Queen's Park v Ayr United — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 18 September 2026 · SCO-Championship · 2627

SCO-Championship results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Queen's Park

14:30

Ayr United

AI prediction

dc-xg No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Queen's Park win

43.2%

Draw

31.2%

Ayr United win

25.6%

433126

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	433126	1.08–0.76	1-0 18%	28%	35%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queen's Park to win	37.3%	36.4%	39.6%	0.92×	2.74
Draw	36.3%	36.4%	33.8%	1.08×	2.75
Ayr United to win	26.4%	27.9%	27.1%	1.03×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queen's Park & not both score	24.8%	21.9%	22.2%	0.99×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	19.6%	17.9%	20.8%	0.86×	5.58
Draw & not both score	16.7%	17.9%	13.5%	1.32×	5.58
Ayr United & not both score	17.1%	17.9%	18.4%	0.98×	5.58
Queen's Park & both teams score	12.5%	13.2%	17.9%	0.74×	7.55
Ayr United & both teams score	9.3%	8.4%	9.2%	0.91×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & under 2.5	32.8%	30.9%	28.5%	1.08×	3.24
Draw & under 3.5	32.8%	30.9%	28.5%	1.08×	3.24
Queen's Park & under 3.5	31.1%	30.9%	28.0%	1.10×	3.24
Queen's Park & over 1.5	24.7%	21.6%	31.4%	0.69×	4.62
Ayr United & under 3.5	22.5%	21.6%	22.2%	0.97×	4.62
Queen's Park & under 2.5	20.8%	21.6%	16.4%	1.32×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.6%	18.0%	20.8%	0.87×	5.56
Queen's Park & over 2.5	16.5%	18.0%	23.7%	0.76×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	16.7%	18.0%	13.5%	1.33×	5.56
Ayr United & over 1.5	16.7%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Ayr United & under 2.5	15.1%	18.0%	14.5%	1.24×	5.56
Queen's Park & under 1.5	12.6%	12.9%	8.7%	1.48×	7.78
Ayr United & over 2.5	11.3%	12.9%	13.0%	0.99×	7.78
Ayr United & under 1.5	9.7%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.69
Queen's Park & over 3.5	6.2%	7.9%	12.1%	0.65×	12.69
Ayr United & over 3.5	3.9%	4.8%	5.3%	0.90×	20.93
Draw & over 2.5	3.5%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	3.5%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queen's Park (1UP)	50.8%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Ayr United (1UP)	40.9%	38.7%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queen's Park (2UP)	37.3%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
Ayr United (2UP)	26.4%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	44.9%	41.4%	—	—	2.42
Queen's Park to win 2nd half	30.5%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Ayr United to win 2nd half	24.6%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ayr United (+2.5)	95.0%	96.3%	92.3%	1.04×	1.04
Ayr United (+1.5)	83.8%	82.4%	80.2%	1.03×	1.21
Queen's Park (+0.5)	73.6%	73.7%	72.9%	1.01×	1.36
Ayr United (+0.5)	62.7%	62.9%	60.4%	1.04×	1.59
Queen's Park (-0.5)	37.3%	37.1%	39.6%	0.94×	2.69
Ayr United (-0.5)	26.4%	26.3%	27.1%	0.97×	3.80
Queen's Park (-1.5)	16.2%	17.6%	19.8%	0.89×	5.69
Queen's Park (-2.5)	5.0%	3.7%	7.7%	0.48×	26.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ayr United to concede	66.2%	72.5%	68.6%	1.06×	1.38
Ayr United clean sheet	33.8%	27.5%	31.4%	0.88×	3.64

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ayr United clean sheet in 1st half	62.7%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Ayr United to concede in 1st half	37.3%	35.2%	—	—	2.84

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ayr United under 3.5 goals	98.8%	97.6%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Ayr United under 2.5 goals	94.1%	92.4%	91.8%	1.01×	1.08
Ayr United under 1.5 goals	78.1%	76.2%	71.5%	1.07×	1.31
Ayr United over 0.5 goals	58.4%	59.6%	64.7%	0.92×	1.68
Ayr United under 0.5 goals	41.6%	40.4%	35.3%	1.14×	2.48
Ayr United over 1.5 goals	21.9%	23.8%	28.5%	0.83×	4.21
Ayr United over 2.5 goals	5.9%	7.6%	8.2%	0.93×	13.08
Ayr United over 3.5 goals	1.2%	2.4%	3.4%	0.72×	41.13

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ayr United under 1.5 in 1st half	95.1%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
Ayr United under 0.5 in 1st half	70.4%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Ayr United over 0.5 in 1st half	29.6%	30.9%	—	—	3.23
Ayr United over 1.5 in 1st half	4.9%	4.5%	—	—	22.24

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queen's Park (away no bet)	50.7%	51.2%	53.9%	0.95×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	49.3%	48.8%	46.1%	1.06×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ayr United even goals	58.6%	56.9%	58.0%	0.98×	1.76
Ayr United odd goals	41.4%	43.1%	42.0%	1.02×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	93.7%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	6.3%	7.3%	—	—	13.75

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	53.4%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Not both halves under 1.5	46.6%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	39.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Queen's Park to score 2+ in a row	24.6%	19.4%	—	—	5.16
Ayr United to score 2+ in a row	17.2%	16.4%	—	—	6.10
Either team to score 3+ in a row	10.6%	11.9%	—	—	8.38
Queen's Park to score 3+ in a row	6.8%	5.6%	—	—	17.98
Ayr United to score 3+ in a row	3.8%	2.6%	—	—	37.77

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-0	16.7%	13.8%	13.5%	1.02×	7.27
1-1	16.1%	13.7%	15.5%	0.89×	7.27
1-0	12.6%	11.5%	8.7%	1.32×	8.73
0-1	9.7%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.46
2-0	8.3%	7.4%	8.2%	0.90×	13.46
2-1	7.3%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.46
0-2	5.4%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.46
1-2	5.9%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.46
0-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.58
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.59
1-3	1.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.18×	58.58
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.53×	58.59
2-2	3.2%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.57
2-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.4%	1.18×	58.59
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.18×	58.59
3-0	3.0%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.58
3-1	2.6%	1.7%	3.9%	0.44×	58.58
3-2	1.2%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.59
3-3	0.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.77×	58.59
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.53×	58.59
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.18×	58.59
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.18×	58.59
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.18×	58.59
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.77×	58.59
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.5%	3.53×	58.59
Any other score	0.7%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queen's Park leading at HT (DNB)	58.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Ayr United leading at HT (DNB)	41.3%	42.3%	—	—	2.37

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queen's Park or draw (1X)	73.6%	72.1%	72.9%	0.99×	1.39
Queen's Park or Ayr United (12)	63.7%	63.6%	66.2%	0.96×	1.57
Ayr United or draw (X2)	62.7%	63.6%	60.4%	1.05×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queen's Park or draw at HT	80.4%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Ayr United or draw at HT	72.2%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Queen's Park or Ayr United at HT	47.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queen's Park or draw (1UP)	73.6%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Ayr United or draw (1UP)	62.7%	71.3%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queen's Park or draw in 2nd half	75.4%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Ayr United or draw in 2nd half	69.5%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Queen's Park or Ayr United in 2nd half	55.1%	58.6%	—	—	1.71

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	71.2%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Neither half drawn	28.8%	29.7%	—	—	3.36

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queen's Park (DNB)	58.6%	58.2%	59.4%	0.98×	1.72
Ayr United (DNB)	41.4%	41.8%	40.6%	1.03×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queen's Park to score first	46.0%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Ayr United to score first	37.2%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
No goal scored	16.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	58.6%	54.8%	53.1%	1.03×	1.83
Both teams to score	41.4%	45.2%	46.9%	0.97×	2.21

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	52.6%	47.1%	43.5%	1.08×	2.13
Both score & over 2.5	25.3%	33.6%	31.9%	1.05×	2.98
Both score & under 2.5	16.1%	21.7%	15.5%	1.41×	4.60
Not both score & over 2.5	6.0%	8.4%	10.1%	0.82×	11.97

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	93.5%	89.1%	87.9%	1.01×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	6.5%	10.9%	12.1%	0.90×	9.19

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	80.2%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
Both teams to score in 2nd half	19.8%	27.2%	—	—	3.68

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	70.8%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Both score 2nd half only	17.7%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
Both score 1st half only	9.4%	6.8%	—	—	14.81
Both score in both halves	2.1%	4.9%	—	—	20.54

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	88.5%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	11.5%	14.3%	—	—	6.99

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	60.6%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
A goal in each half	39.4%	41.2%	—	—	2.43

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.4%	47.4%	48.3%	0.98×	2.11
0-1 goals	38.9%	35.0%	30.0%	1.17×	2.86
4-6 goals	13.2%	16.9%	21.7%	0.78×	5.91
7+ goals	0.4%	1.8%	1.0%	1.87×	55.40

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ayr United to score exactly 0	41.6%	37.0%	35.3%	1.05×	2.71
Ayr United to score exactly 1	36.5%	36.0%	36.7%	0.98×	2.78
Ayr United to score exactly 2	16.0%	19.5%	20.8%	0.94×	5.12
Ayr United to score 3+	5.9%	8.5%	8.2%	1.03×	11.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queen's Park to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.6%	30.4%	1.17×	2.81
Queen's Park to score exactly 0	33.8%	32.7%	31.4%	1.04×	3.06
Queen's Park to score exactly 2	19.9%	18.9%	23.2%	0.81×	5.30
Queen's Park to score 3+	9.7%	10.3%	15.9%	0.65×	9.67

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	52.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Queen's Park leading at HT	27.8%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Ayr United leading at HT	19.6%	16.0%	—	—	6.25

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queen's Park -1: 2	62.7%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Queen's Park -1: X	21.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Queen's Park -1: 1	16.2%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ayr United (0:1)	62.7%	61.3%	60.4%	1.02×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	21.1%	24.3%	20.3%	1.20×	4.12
Queen's Park (0:1)	16.2%	17.8%	19.8%	0.90×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ayr United (0:2)	83.8%	82.8%	80.2%	1.03×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.2%	11.0%	12.6%	0.88×	9.09
Queen's Park (0:2)	5.0%	3.8%	7.7%	0.49×	26.40

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ayr United (0:3)	95.0%	96.6%	92.3%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.8%	2.4%	4.8%	0.49×	41.97
Queen's Park (0:3)	1.2%	2.4%	3.4%	0.70×	42.09

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ayr United (0:4)	98.8%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	1.9%	0.62×	83.36
Queen's Park (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.9%	0.62×	83.45

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queen's Park (1:0)	73.6%	72.5%	72.9%	0.99×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	16.5%	17.0%	15.5%	1.10×	5.87
Ayr United (1:0)	9.9%	6.9%	12.1%	0.57×	14.44

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queen's Park (2:0)	90.1%	93.9%	87.9%	1.07×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	7.4%	6.5%	8.2%	0.79×	15.49
Ayr United (2:0)	2.5%	2.3%	4.3%	0.52×	44.25

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	41.1%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
Halves equal	34.6%	31.3%	—	—	3.20
1st half highest scoring	24.3%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queen's Park to concede	58.4%	61.0%	64.7%	0.94×	1.64
Queen's Park clean sheet	41.6%	39.0%	35.3%	1.11×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queen's Park clean sheet in 1st half	70.4%	68.3%	—	—	1.47
Queen's Park to concede in 1st half	29.6%	31.7%	—	—	3.15

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queen's Park under 3.5 goals	97.5%	96.4%	94.2%	1.02×	1.04
Queen's Park under 2.5 goals	90.3%	92.2%	84.1%	1.10×	1.08
Queen's Park under 1.5 goals	70.5%	74.2%	61.4%	1.21×	1.35
Queen's Park over 0.5 goals	66.2%	67.9%	68.6%	0.99×	1.47
Queen's Park under 0.5 goals	33.8%	32.1%	31.4%	1.02×	3.12
Queen's Park over 1.5 goals	29.5%	25.8%	38.6%	0.67×	3.88
Queen's Park over 2.5 goals	9.7%	7.8%	15.9%	0.49×	12.87
Queen's Park over 3.5 goals	2.5%	3.6%	5.8%	0.63×	27.45

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queen's Park under 1.5 in 1st half	92.0%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
Queen's Park under 0.5 in 1st half	62.7%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Queen's Park over 0.5 in 1st half	37.3%	35.4%	—	—	2.83
Queen's Park over 1.5 in 1st half	8.0%	4.5%	—	—	22.06

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	57.9%	56.7%	55.6%	1.02×	1.76
Ayr United (home no bet)	42.1%	43.3%	44.4%	0.97×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queen's Park even goals	55.7%	55.4%	58.0%	0.96×	1.80
Queen's Park odd goals	44.3%	44.6%	42.0%	1.06×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	44.6%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
HT 1-0	20.1%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	15.0%	18.8%	—	—	5.31
HT 1-1	7.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.10
HT 2-0	4.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.56
HT 0-2	2.7%	2.2%	—	—	44.72
HT 2-1	1.7%	2.2%	—	—	44.81
Any other HT score	1.7%	2.2%	—	—	44.80
HT 1-2	1.3%	2.2%	—	—	44.84
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.2%	—	—	44.92

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	26.3%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
Queen's Park at HT / Queen's Park at FT	21.1%	22.1%	—	—	4.53
Draw at HT / Queen's Park at FT	14.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Ayr United at HT / Ayr United at FT	13.4%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Ayr United at FT	11.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Queen's Park at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Ayr United at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.4%	—	—	29.10
Ayr United at HT / Queen's Park at FT	1.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.23
Queen's Park at HT / Ayr United at FT	1.4%	3.4%	—	—	29.23

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queen's Park to score last	46.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Ayr United to score last	37.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
No goal scored	16.7%	12.3%	—	—	8.16

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	83.3%	87.3%	—	—	1.15
Queen's Park to lead by 1 at any time	50.8%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Ayr United to lead by 1 at any time	40.9%	39.0%	—	—	2.57
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	33.1%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Queen's Park to lead by 2 at any time	20.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.12
Ayr United to lead by 2 at any time	13.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	9.1%	6.6%	—	—	15.24
Queen's Park to lead by 3 at any time	5.9%	6.5%	—	—	15.40
Ayr United to lead by 3 at any time	3.2%	1.6%	—	—	62.69

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	81.8%	83.5%	82.6%	1.01×	1.20
1-4 goals	78.3%	78.6%	76.3%	1.03×	1.27
1-3 goals	69.7%	69.0%	64.7%	1.07×	1.45
2-6 goals	60.7%	63.5%	69.6%	0.91×	1.58
2-5 goals	59.5%	59.2%	66.2%	0.89×	1.69
2-4 goals	56.1%	59.2%	59.9%	0.99×	1.69
1-2 goals	52.0%	53.1%	45.4%	1.17×	1.88
2-3 goals	47.4%	48.7%	48.3%	1.01×	2.06
3-6 goals	30.9%	35.4%	41.1%	0.86×	2.83
3-5 goals	29.8%	30.2%	37.7%	0.80×	3.31
3-4 goals	26.4%	30.2%	31.4%	0.96×	3.31
4-6 goals	13.2%	14.9%	21.7%	0.68×	6.73
4-5 goals	12.1%	14.8%	18.4%	0.81×	6.74
5-6 goals	4.5%	2.5%	10.1%	0.25×	39.37
7+ goals	0.4%	2.5%	1.0%	2.62×	39.57

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queen's Park never behind	42.4%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
Ayr United never behind	32.5%	35.4%	—	—	2.82

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	56.3%	50.1%	57.0%	0.88×	2.00
Odd number of goals	43.7%	49.9%	43.0%	1.16×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	60.7%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	39.3%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	56.9%	60.3%	—	—	1.66
Odd goals in 2nd half	43.1%	39.7%	—	—	2.52

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.5%	95.5%	95.7%	1.00×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	95.1%	95.5%	89.4%	1.07×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	86.4%	87.7%	77.8%	1.13×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	83.3%	82.4%	86.5%	0.95×	1.21
Under 2.5 goals	68.7%	66.3%	58.5%	1.13×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	61.1%	61.7%	70.0%	0.88×	1.62
Under 1.5 goals	38.9%	38.3%	30.0%	1.28×	2.61
Over 2.5 goals	31.3%	33.7%	41.5%	0.81×	2.97
Under 0.5 goals	16.7%	17.6%	13.5%	1.30×	5.67
Over 3.5 goals	13.6%	12.3%	22.2%	0.55×	8.11
Over 4.5 goals	4.9%	4.5%	10.6%	0.42×	22.17
Over 5.5 goals	1.5%	4.5%	4.3%	1.03×	22.23

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.6%	97.3%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.4%	97.3%	95.4%	1.02×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	94.6%	92.5%	88.0%	1.05×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	83.4%	81.1%	72.5%	1.12×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	55.4%	55.5%	41.9%	1.33×	1.80
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	44.6%	44.5%	58.1%	0.77×	2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	16.6%	18.9%	27.5%	0.69×	5.30
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	5.4%	7.5%	12.0%	0.63×	13.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.6%	2.7%	4.6%	0.59×	36.40
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.4%	2.7%	1.0%	2.74×	36.44

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	95.0%	93.0%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	79.8%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	55.4%	63.8%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	44.6%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	20.2%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.0%	7.0%	—	—	14.38

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	89.1%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	67.3%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	67.3%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	32.7%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	32.7%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	10.9%	14.5%	—	—	6.90

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ayr United not to score in both halves	87.9%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Queen's Park not to score in both halves	82.8%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Queen's Park to score in both halves	17.2%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
Ayr United to score in both halves	12.1%	14.1%	—	—	7.11

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	41.4%	46.6%	46.9%	0.99×	2.15
Only Queen's Park scores	24.8%	22.4%	22.2%	1.01×	4.47
Only Ayr United scores	17.1%	16.1%	18.4%	0.88×	6.21
Neither team scores	16.7%	16.1%	13.5%	1.19×	6.21

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	29.7%	25.0%	29.0%	0.86×	4.00
Exactly 1 goals	22.2%	22.6%	16.9%	1.34×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	17.7%	17.5%	19.8%	0.88×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	16.7%	17.5%	13.5%	1.29×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	8.7%	7.6%	12.1%	0.63×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	3.4%	4.4%	6.8%	0.65×	22.62
6 or more goals	1.5%	4.4%	4.3%	1.02×	22.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	34.6%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	32.7%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
2+ goals in 2nd half	32.7%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ayr United not to win both halves	94.9%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Queen's Park not to win both halves	91.1%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Queen's Park to win both halves	8.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.47
Ayr United to win both halves	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.74

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ayr United to win neither half	60.9%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Queen's Park to win neither half	50.6%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Queen's Park to win either half	49.4%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Ayr United to win either half	39.1%	34.7%	—	—	2.88

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Ayr United not to win to nil	82.9%	83.0%	81.6%	1.02×	1.21
Queen's Park not to win to nil	75.2%	78.0%	77.8%	1.00×	1.28
Queen's Park to win to nil	24.8%	22.0%	22.2%	0.99×	4.54
Ayr United to win to nil	17.1%	17.0%	18.4%	0.93×	5.88

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	36.3%	34.8%	33.8%	1.03×	2.87
Queen's Park by 1	21.1%	24.1%	20.3%	1.19×	4.14
Ayr United by 1	16.5%	16.9%	15.5%	1.10×	5.90
Queen's Park by 2	11.2%	11.8%	12.6%	0.94×	8.47
Ayr United by 2	7.4%	7.2%	8.2%	0.88×	13.80
Queen's Park by 3+	5.0%	2.7%	7.7%	0.35×	36.91
Ayr United by 3+	2.5%	2.7%	4.3%	0.62×	36.99

Queen's Park v Ayr United — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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