Racing Club v Atlético Tucumán — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 7 September 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Racing Club

20:30

Atlético Tucumán

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 17h before kick-off

Racing Club win

49.4%

model 45.6%

Draw

28.7%

model 30.1%

Atlético Tucumán win

21.8%

model 24.3%

492922

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 15.3%
1-1 13.4%
0-0 13.0%
0-1 10.1%
2-0 9.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	34.3%	Under 2.5	65.7%
BTTS yes	40.5%	BTTS no	59.5%
Racing Club 1+	71.2%	Racing Club 2+	35.3%
Atlético Tucumán 1+	56.4%	Atlético Tucumán 2+	20.2%

Expected goals 1.24 – 0.83. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

21/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Under 11.5 corners

Corners O/U

80.8% fair odds 1.24

moderate signal · 8470 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 12.5 corners

Corners O/U

83.0% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 4269 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Racing Club carry the stronger rating, 1532 Elo against 1448.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0033 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Racing Club have an estimated 49.4% win probability, against 28.7% for the draw and 21.8% for Atlético Tucumán. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.24 for Racing Club and 0.83 for Atlético Tucumán.

Why Racing Club

Racing Club carry the stronger rating, 1532 Elo against 1448.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.7%. A combined 2.07 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Atlético Tucumán can win

Nothing in the data singles out Atlético Tucumán.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Racing Club, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Atlético Tucumán, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Racing Club: 58% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Atlético Tucumán: 45% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 11.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Racing Club are the model's most likely outcome at 49.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 15.3%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	463024	1.24–0.83	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	423325	1.07–0.75	1-0 17%	27%	35%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club to win	42.1%	43.0%	41.7%	1.03×	2.33
Draw	32.8%	30.4%	30.6%	0.99×	3.29
Atlético Tucumán to win	25.0%	27.9%	27.8%	1.00×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club & not both score	30.6%	29.7%	27.8%	1.07×	3.37
Atlético Tucumán & not both score	17.8%	17.9%	17.2%	1.04×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	16.3%	17.9%	15.9%	1.12×	5.58
Draw & not both score	16.6%	17.9%	14.8%	1.21×	5.58
Racing Club & both teams score	11.6%	13.2%	14.1%	0.94×	7.55
Atlético Tucumán & both teams score	7.2%	8.4%	10.7%	0.78×	11.95

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club & under 3.5	36.4%	34.9%	34.9%	1.00×	2.86
Draw & under 2.5	30.0%	26.0%	28.1%	0.93×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	30.0%	26.0%	28.1%	0.93×	3.84
Racing Club & under 2.5	26.2%	26.0%	23.6%	1.10×	3.84
Racing Club & over 1.5	25.2%	26.0%	27.6%	0.94×	3.84
Atlético Tucumán & under 3.5	22.4%	21.6%	23.6%	0.92×	4.62
Racing Club & under 1.5	16.9%	18.0%	14.2%	1.27×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	16.6%	18.0%	14.8%	1.22×	5.56
Racing Club & over 2.5	16.0%	18.0%	18.2%	0.99×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.3%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Atlético Tucumán & under 2.5	16.4%	18.0%	14.7%	1.23×	5.56
Atlético Tucumán & over 1.5	13.2%	12.9%	17.5%	0.73×	7.78
Atlético Tucumán & under 1.5	11.8%	12.9%	10.3%	1.25×	7.78
Atlético Tucumán & over 2.5	8.6%	7.9%	13.2%	0.60×	12.69
Racing Club & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	7.0%	1.13×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	2.9%	4.8%	2.6%	1.81×	20.94
Draw & over 3.5	2.9%	4.8%	2.6%	1.81×	20.94
Atlético Tucumán & over 3.5	2.6%	4.8%	4.2%	1.13×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (1UP)	53.2%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Atlético Tucumán (1UP)	37.4%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (2UP)	42.1%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Atlético Tucumán (2UP)	25.0%	24.4%	—	—	4.09

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	45.1%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Racing Club to win 2nd half	32.7%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Atlético Tucumán to win 2nd half	22.2%	23.0%	—	—	4.36

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán (+2.5)	94.7%	92.1%	95.0%	0.97×	1.09
Atlético Tucumán (+1.5)	82.7%	82.4%	82.5%	1.00×	1.21
Racing Club (+0.5)	75.0%	73.7%	72.2%	1.02×	1.36
Atlético Tucumán (+0.5)	57.9%	57.0%	58.3%	0.98×	1.75
Racing Club (-0.5)	42.1%	43.0%	41.7%	1.03×	2.33
Atlético Tucumán (-0.5)	25.0%	26.3%	27.8%	0.95×	3.80
Racing Club (-1.5)	17.3%	17.6%	17.5%	1.00×	5.68
Racing Club (-2.5)	5.3%	7.9%	5.0%	1.56×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán to concede	65.6%	72.5%	68.1%	1.06×	1.38
Atlético Tucumán clean sheet	34.4%	27.5%	31.9%	0.86×	3.63

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán clean sheet in 1st half	63.2%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Atlético Tucumán to concede in 1st half	36.8%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán under 6.5 corners	88.5%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Atlético Tucumán under 5.5 corners	80.3%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Atlético Tucumán under 4.5 corners	68.1%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Atlético Tucumán over 2.5 corners	66.4%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Atlético Tucumán under 3.5 corners	52.1%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Atlético Tucumán over 3.5 corners	47.9%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Atlético Tucumán under 2.5 corners	33.6%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Atlético Tucumán over 4.5 corners	31.9%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
Atlético Tucumán over 5.5 corners	19.7%	19.1%	—	—	5.24
Atlético Tucumán over 6.5 corners	11.5%	15.1%	—	—	6.63

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán under 3.5 goals	99.3%	97.6%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
Atlético Tucumán under 2.5 goals	95.9%	97.6%	93.3%	1.05×	1.03
Atlético Tucumán under 1.5 goals	82.6%	81.5%	78.2%	1.04×	1.23
Atlético Tucumán over 0.5 goals	52.9%	53.7%	57.6%	0.93×	1.86
Atlético Tucumán under 0.5 goals	47.1%	46.3%	42.4%	1.09×	2.16
Atlético Tucumán over 1.5 goals	17.4%	18.5%	21.8%	0.85×	5.40
Atlético Tucumán over 2.5 goals	4.1%	2.4%	6.7%	0.37×	40.98
Atlético Tucumán over 3.5 goals	0.7%	2.4%	1.1%	2.12×	41.16

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán under 1.5 in 1st half	96.3%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Atlético Tucumán under 0.5 in 1st half	74.0%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Atlético Tucumán over 0.5 in 1st half	26.0%	30.4%	—	—	3.29
Atlético Tucumán over 1.5 in 1st half	3.7%	4.3%	—	—	23.16

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (away no bet)	56.2%	57.5%	57.7%	1.00×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	43.8%	42.5%	42.3%	1.01×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán even goals	61.1%	59.1%	58.4%	1.01×	1.69
Atlético Tucumán odd goals	38.9%	41.0%	41.6%	0.98×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	94.9%	93.0%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	5.1%	7.0%	—	—	14.30

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	58.6%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Not both halves under 1.5	41.5%	40.1%	—	—	2.49

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	36.3%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Racing Club to score 2+ in a row	24.7%	19.4%	—	—	5.16
Atlético Tucumán to score 2+ in a row	13.6%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Either team to score 3+ in a row	9.5%	5.6%	—	—	17.76
Racing Club to score 3+ in a row	6.9%	5.6%	—	—	17.98
Atlético Tucumán to score 3+ in a row	2.6%	2.6%	—	—	38.49

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club corners (+3.5)	90.9%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Racing Club corners (+2.5)	85.2%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Racing Club corners (+1.5)	77.2%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Atlético Tucumán corners (+3.5)	77.1%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Atlético Tucumán corners (+2.5)	67.6%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Atlético Tucumán corners (+1.5)	56.4%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Racing Club corners (-1.5)	43.6%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Racing Club corners (-2.5)	32.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Racing Club corners (-3.5)	22.9%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Atlético Tucumán corners (-1.5)	22.8%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Atlético Tucumán corners (-2.5)	14.8%	15.8%	—	—	6.31
Atlético Tucumán corners (-3.5)	9.1%	11.4%	—	—	8.81

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	54.6%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
9-11 corners	27.1%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
12+ corners	18.3%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	87.4%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	81.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 10.5 corners	74.3%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	65.2%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 7.5 corners	56.9%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	54.6%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Over 8.5 corners	45.4%	47.7%	—	—	2.09
Under 7.5 corners	43.1%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	34.8%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 10.5 corners	25.7%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	18.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.96
Over 12.5 corners	12.6%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	16.9%	13.8%	14.2%	0.97×	7.27
0-0	16.6%	13.8%	14.8%	0.93×	7.27
1-1	13.4%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.73
0-1	11.8%	11.5%	10.3%	1.11×	8.73
2-0	9.2%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.46
2-1	6.9%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.46
1-2	4.9%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.56
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.98×	58.59
1-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.59
1-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	4.96×	58.59
2-2	2.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.58
2-3	0.7%	1.7%	1.5%	1.14×	58.59
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	14.88×	58.59
3-0	3.3%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.57
3-1	2.5%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.58
3-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.14×	58.59
3-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	4.96×	58.59
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	14.88×	58.59
4-0	0.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.49×	58.59
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.59
4-2	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	4.96×	58.59
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.44×	58.59
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.44×	58.59
Any other score	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.59
0-2	4.6%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.57
0-3	1.1%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.59

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club leading at HT (DNB)	62.4%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Atlético Tucumán leading at HT (DNB)	37.6%	33.7%	—	—	2.97

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club or draw (1X)	75.0%	72.1%	72.2%	1.00×	1.39
Racing Club or Atlético Tucumán (12)	67.2%	69.6%	69.4%	1.00×	1.44
Atlético Tucumán or draw (X2)	57.9%	57.0%	58.3%	0.98×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club or draw at HT	82.6%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Atlético Tucumán or draw at HT	71.0%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Racing Club or Atlético Tucumán at HT	46.4%	52.3%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club or draw (1UP)	75.0%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Atlético Tucumán or draw (1UP)	57.9%	62.7%	—	—	1.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club or draw in 2nd half	77.8%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Atlético Tucumán or draw in 2nd half	67.3%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Racing Club or Atlético Tucumán in 2nd half	54.9%	54.5%	—	—	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	74.1%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
Neither half drawn	25.9%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (DNB)	62.7%	62.9%	60.1%	1.05×	1.59
Atlético Tucumán (DNB)	37.3%	37.1%	39.9%	0.93×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club to score first	49.0%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Atlético Tucumán to score first	34.5%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
No goal scored	16.6%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	64.9%	56.5%	59.5%	0.95×	1.77
Both teams to score	35.1%	43.5%	40.5%	1.07×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	59.1%	47.3%	52.9%	0.89×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	21.7%	27.7%	27.2%	1.02×	3.61
Both score & under 2.5	13.4%	12.3%	13.4%	0.92×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	5.8%	8.4%	6.8%	1.23×	11.97

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	95.0%	89.1%	94.2%	0.95×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	5.0%	10.9%	5.8%	1.86×	9.20

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	83.3%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	16.7%	25.3%	—	—	3.96

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	75.3%	73.4%	—	—	1.36
Both score 2nd half only	15.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.44
Both score 1st half only	8.0%	6.7%	—	—	14.88
Both score in both halves	1.6%	4.8%	—	—	20.65

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	90.4%	90.8%	—	—	1.10
Both teams to score by HT	9.6%	9.2%	—	—	10.90

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	65.0%	66.5%	—	—	1.50
A goal in each half	35.0%	33.5%	—	—	2.99

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1 goals	45.3%	47.4%	39.1%	1.21×	2.11
2-3 goals	43.5%	42.1%	47.4%	0.89×	2.37
4-6 goals	10.9%	16.9%	13.3%	1.27×	5.92
7+ goals	0.3%	1.8%	0.5%	3.93×	55.42

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán to score exactly 0	47.1%	42.9%	42.4%	1.01×	2.33
Atlético Tucumán to score exactly 1	35.5%	36.0%	35.9%	1.00×	2.78
Atlético Tucumán to score exactly 2	13.3%	12.8%	15.3%	0.84×	7.80
Atlético Tucumán to score 3+	4.1%	4.5%	6.7%	0.68×	22.19

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.6%	36.6%	0.97×	2.81
Racing Club to score exactly 0	34.4%	32.7%	31.9%	1.02×	3.06
Racing Club to score exactly 2	19.6%	18.9%	21.8%	0.87×	5.30
Racing Club to score 3+	9.3%	10.3%	10.0%	1.04×	9.68

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	53.6%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Racing Club leading at HT	29.0%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Atlético Tucumán leading at HT	17.4%	15.9%	—	—	6.31

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club -1: 2	57.9%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Racing Club -1: X	24.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Racing Club -1: 1	17.3%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán (0:1)	57.9%	55.8%	58.3%	0.96×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	24.9%	24.3%	24.3%	1.00×	4.11
Racing Club (0:1)	17.3%	17.8%	17.5%	1.01×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán (0:2)	82.7%	82.8%	82.5%	1.00×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	12.0%	11.0%	12.6%	0.87×	9.09
Racing Club (0:2)	5.3%	7.7%	5.0%	1.52×	13.00

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán (0:3)	94.7%	92.7%	95.0%	0.98×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.0%	2.4%	3.4%	0.69×	41.96
Racing Club (0:3)	1.3%	2.4%	1.7%	1.38×	42.08

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán (0:4)	98.7%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	1.3%	0.95×	83.35
Racing Club (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	0.6%	2.09×	83.45

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (1:0)	75.0%	72.6%	72.2%	1.00×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	17.4%	17.0%	18.7%	0.91×	5.87
Atlético Tucumán (1:0)	7.6%	6.9%	9.2%	0.75×	14.48

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (2:0)	92.4%	93.9%	90.8%	1.03×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.9%	6.4%	6.3%	1.02×	15.51
Atlético Tucumán (2:0)	1.7%	2.3%	3.0%	0.76×	44.31

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	41.7%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Halves equal	32.7%	30.4%	—	—	3.29
1st half highest scoring	25.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club to concede	52.9%	53.1%	57.6%	0.92×	1.88
Racing Club clean sheet	47.1%	46.9%	42.4%	1.10×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club clean sheet in 1st half	74.0%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Racing Club to concede in 1st half	26.0%	31.1%	—	—	3.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club over 2.5 corners	78.9%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Racing Club under 6.5 corners	77.0%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Racing Club under 5.5 corners	65.8%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Racing Club over 3.5 corners	63.8%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Racing Club under 4.5 corners	51.8%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
Racing Club over 4.5 corners	48.2%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Racing Club under 3.5 corners	36.2%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Racing Club over 5.5 corners	34.2%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Racing Club over 6.5 corners	23.0%	23.9%	—	—	4.19
Racing Club under 2.5 corners	21.1%	23.9%	—	—	4.19

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club under 3.5 goals	97.7%	96.4%	97.1%	0.99×	1.04
Racing Club under 2.5 goals	90.7%	92.2%	90.0%	1.02×	1.08
Racing Club under 1.5 goals	71.1%	74.2%	68.3%	1.09×	1.35
Racing Club over 0.5 goals	65.6%	67.9%	68.1%	1.00×	1.47
Racing Club under 0.5 goals	34.4%	32.1%	31.9%	1.01×	3.12
Racing Club over 1.5 goals	28.9%	25.8%	31.7%	0.81×	3.88
Racing Club over 2.5 goals	9.3%	7.8%	10.0%	0.78×	12.87
Racing Club over 3.5 goals	2.3%	3.6%	2.9%	1.27×	27.46

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club under 1.5 in 1st half	92.2%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
Racing Club under 0.5 in 1st half	63.2%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Racing Club over 0.5 in 1st half	36.8%	35.4%	—	—	2.83
Racing Club over 1.5 in 1st half	7.8%	4.5%	—	—	22.15

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	56.7%	56.7%	52.5%	1.08×	1.76
Atlético Tucumán (home no bet)	43.3%	43.3%	47.5%	0.91×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club even goals	55.9%	55.4%	55.7%	0.99×	1.80
Racing Club odd goals	44.1%	44.6%	44.3%	1.01×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	46.8%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
HT 1-0	21.4%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	14.0%	11.1%	—	—	9.03
HT 1-1	6.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.12
HT 2-0	4.9%	2.2%	—	—	44.55
HT 0-2	2.1%	2.2%	—	—	44.77
HT 2-1	1.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.82
Any other HT score	1.5%	2.2%	—	—	44.82
HT 1-2	1.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.86
HT 2-2	0.2%	2.2%	—	—	44.92

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	24.5%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Racing Club at HT / Racing Club at FT	23.5%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Draw at HT / Racing Club at FT	17.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Atlético Tucumán at HT / Atlético Tucumán at FT	12.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Atlético Tucumán at FT	11.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Racing Club at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.4%	—	—	29.11
Atlético Tucumán at HT / Draw at FT	3.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.13
Atlético Tucumán at HT / Racing Club at FT	1.3%	3.4%	—	—	29.23
Racing Club at HT / Atlético Tucumán at FT	1.1%	3.4%	—	—	29.24

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club to score last	49.0%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Atlético Tucumán to score last	34.4%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
No goal scored	16.6%	12.2%	—	—	8.20

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	83.4%	87.3%	—	—	1.15
Racing Club to lead by 1 at any time	53.2%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Atlético Tucumán to lead by 1 at any time	37.4%	34.7%	—	—	2.88
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	30.9%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Racing Club to lead by 2 at any time	20.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Atlético Tucumán to lead by 2 at any time	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.61
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	8.3%	6.5%	—	—	15.28
Racing Club to lead by 3 at any time	6.1%	6.5%	—	—	15.39
Atlético Tucumán to lead by 3 at any time	2.1%	1.6%	—	—	63.76

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club most corners	55.5%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Atlético Tucumán most corners	32.9%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
Corners level	11.6%	10.6%	—	—	9.39

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	82.3%	83.5%	84.3%	0.99×	1.20
1-4 goals	79.6%	78.6%	80.0%	0.98×	1.27
1-3 goals	72.2%	72.4%	71.7%	1.01×	1.38
1-2 goals	55.9%	59.2%	51.5%	1.15×	1.69
2-6 goals	54.4%	53.2%	60.6%	0.88×	1.88
2-5 goals	53.6%	53.1%	60.0%	0.89×	1.88
2-4 goals	50.9%	53.1%	55.7%	0.95×	1.88
2-3 goals	43.5%	43.6%	47.4%	0.92×	2.29
3-6 goals	27.2%	30.2%	33.5%	0.90×	3.31
3-5 goals	26.4%	30.2%	32.9%	0.92×	3.31
3-4 goals	23.7%	24.5%	28.7%	0.85×	4.09
4-6 goals	10.9%	14.8%	13.3%	1.12×	6.74
4-5 goals	10.1%	14.8%	12.7%	1.17×	6.74
5-6 goals	3.5%	2.5%	4.9%	0.51×	39.42
7+ goals	0.3%	2.5%	0.5%	5.51×	39.57

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club never behind	46.0%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
Atlético Tucumán never behind	30.3%	35.3%	—	—	2.84

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.9%	50.8%	49.1%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.1%	49.2%	50.9%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	61.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	38.9%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	56.3%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Odd goals in 2nd half	43.7%	40.2%	—	—	2.49

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.9%	95.5%	99.0%	0.97×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	96.2%	95.5%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	88.8%	87.7%	86.4%	1.02×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	83.4%	82.4%	85.2%	0.97×	1.21
Under 2.5 goals	72.5%	72.5%	66.2%	1.10×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	54.7%	52.4%	60.9%	0.86×	1.91
Under 1.5 goals	45.3%	47.6%	39.1%	1.22×	2.10
Over 2.5 goals	27.5%	27.5%	33.8%	0.81×	3.64
Under 0.5 goals	16.6%	17.6%	14.8%	1.19×	5.67
Over 3.5 goals	11.2%	12.3%	13.6%	0.90×	8.12
Over 4.5 goals	3.8%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.19
Over 5.5 goals	1.1%	4.5%	1.0%	4.36×	22.24

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.7%	97.3%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.9%	97.3%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	95.9%	97.2%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	86.6%	86.7%	82.9%	1.05×	1.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	62.3%	62.1%	53.6%	1.16×	1.61
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	37.7%	37.9%	46.4%	0.82×	2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	13.4%	13.3%	17.1%	0.78×	7.53
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	4.1%	2.8%	5.8%	0.48×	36.32
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.1%	2.7%	1.1%	2.55×	36.41
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.3%	2.7%	0.5%	5.95×	36.44

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	95.8%	96.4%	—	—	1.04
Under 1.5 in 1st half	82.2%	86.4%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	53.2%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Under 0.5 in 1st half	46.8%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Over 1.5 in 1st half	17.8%	13.6%	—	—	7.36
Over 2.5 in 1st half	4.2%	3.6%	—	—	28.08

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	90.8%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	71.2%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	65.2%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	34.8%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	28.8%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	9.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.15

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán not to score in both halves	90.6%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
Racing Club not to score in both halves	83.2%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Racing Club to score in both halves	16.8%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
Atlético Tucumán to score in both halves	9.4%	10.2%	—	—	9.84

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	35.1%	39.8%	40.5%	0.98×	2.51
Only Racing Club scores	30.6%	33.3%	27.8%	1.20×	3.00
Only Atlético Tucumán scores	17.8%	16.1%	17.2%	0.94×	6.20
Neither team scores	16.6%	16.1%	14.8%	1.09×	6.21

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	28.7%	25.0%	24.4%	1.02×	4.01
Exactly 2 goals	27.2%	25.0%	27.2%	0.92×	4.01
Exactly 0 goals	16.6%	17.5%	14.8%	1.18×	5.73
Exactly 3 goals	16.3%	17.4%	20.3%	0.86×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	7.4%	7.6%	8.5%	0.90×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	2.7%	4.4%	4.4%	1.01×	22.63
6 or more goals	1.1%	4.4%	1.0%	4.28×	22.66

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	36.5%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
No goals in 2nd half	34.8%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
2+ goals in 2nd half	28.8%	29.6%	—	—	3.37

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán not to win both halves	96.1%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Racing Club not to win both halves	90.5%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Racing Club to win both halves	9.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.42
Atlético Tucumán to win both halves	3.9%	2.9%	—	—	35.09

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán to win neither half	64.2%	65.4%	—	—	1.53
Racing Club to win either half	52.1%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Racing Club to win neither half	47.9%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Atlético Tucumán to win either half	35.8%	34.6%	—	—	2.89

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlético Tucumán not to win to nil	82.2%	83.0%	82.8%	1.00×	1.21
Racing Club not to win to nil	69.4%	69.7%	72.2%	0.96×	1.44
Racing Club to win to nil	30.6%	30.3%	27.8%	1.09×	3.30
Atlético Tucumán to win to nil	17.8%	17.0%	17.2%	0.99×	5.87

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	32.8%	27.6%	30.6%	0.90×	3.62
Racing Club by 1	24.9%	24.1%	24.3%	0.99×	4.14
Atlético Tucumán by 1	17.4%	16.9%	18.7%	0.91×	5.90
Racing Club by 2	12.0%	11.8%	12.6%	0.94×	8.46
Atlético Tucumán by 2	5.9%	7.2%	6.3%	1.15×	13.81
Racing Club by 3+	5.3%	7.2%	5.0%	1.43×	13.81
Atlético Tucumán by 3+	1.7%	2.7%	3.0%	0.91×	37.02