Racing Genk v KAA Gent — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · BEL-Pro League · 2627

BEL-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Racing Genk

10:00

KAA Gent

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 150h before kick-off

Racing Genk win

54.8%

model 52.5%

Draw

22.7%

model 24.8%

KAA Gent win

22.6%

model 22.7%

552323

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.8%
1-0 10.5%
2-1 9.7%
2-0 9.3%
0-0 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	51.7%	Under 2.5	48.3%
BTTS yes	53.3%	BTTS no	46.7%
Racing Genk 1+	81.8%	Racing Genk 2+	50.8%
KAA Gent 1+	64.7%	KAA Gent 2+	27.9%

Expected goals 1.71 – 1.04. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Racing Genk or draw (1X)

Double chance · usually 69%

78.5% fair odds 1.27

moderate signal · 1358 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1227 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Racing Genk carry the stronger rating, 1586 Elo against 1539.
They have had 16 days' rest to KAA Gent's 10.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Racing Genk have an estimated 54.8% win probability, against 22.7% for the draw and 22.6% for KAA Gent. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.71 for Racing Genk and 1.04 for KAA Gent.

Why Racing Genk

Racing Genk carry the stronger rating, 1586 Elo against 1539. They have had 16 days' rest to KAA Gent's 10.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.7%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why KAA Gent can win

Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Racing Genk, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for KAA Gent, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Racing Genk: 54% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. KAA Gent: 39% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 7.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Racing Genk are the model's most likely outcome at 54.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.8%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	532523	1.71–1.04	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	552420	1.74–0.96	1-1 12%	51%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk to win	55.3%	54.0%	42.9%	1.26×	1.85
Draw	24.4%	24.5%	26.4%	0.93×	4.09
KAA Gent to win	20.3%	24.4%	30.9%	0.79×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk & not both score	31.0%	29.7%	24.4%	1.22×	3.37
Racing Genk & both teams score	24.2%	21.9%	18.7%	1.17×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	17.3%	17.9%	18.8%	0.95×	5.58
KAA Gent & not both score	10.4%	13.3%	14.5%	0.91×	7.55
KAA Gent & both teams score	9.9%	8.4%	16.5%	0.51×	11.92
Draw & not both score	7.1%	8.4%	7.7%	1.09×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk & over 1.5	44.0%	40.3%	33.6%	1.20×	2.48
Racing Genk & under 3.5	37.0%	34.9%	29.5%	1.18×	2.87
Racing Genk & over 2.5	33.9%	30.9%	26.1%	1.18×	3.24
Racing Genk & under 2.5	21.4%	21.7%	17.0%	1.28×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	18.7%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.7%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Racing Genk & over 3.5	18.2%	18.0%	13.6%	1.32×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.3%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
KAA Gent & under 3.5	15.5%	18.0%	21.9%	0.82×	5.56
KAA Gent & over 1.5	14.3%	12.9%	24.4%	0.53×	7.77
Racing Genk & under 1.5	11.2%	12.9%	9.4%	1.37×	7.77
KAA Gent & over 2.5	11.2%	12.9%	19.8%	0.65×	7.77
KAA Gent & under 2.5	9.1%	7.9%	11.3%	0.70×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	7.1%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.70
KAA Gent & under 1.5	6.0%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.70
KAA Gent & over 3.5	4.8%	4.8%	9.1%	0.52×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk (1UP)	68.4%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
KAA Gent (1UP)	37.8%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk (2UP)	55.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
KAA Gent (2UP)	20.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk to win 2nd half	44.4%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
2nd half drawn	34.8%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
KAA Gent to win 2nd half	20.8%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent (+2.5)	86.0%	88.5%	89.5%	0.99×	1.13
Racing Genk (+0.5)	79.7%	78.5%	69.1%	1.13×	1.28
KAA Gent (+1.5)	68.9%	68.7%	77.9%	0.88×	1.46
Racing Genk (-0.5)	55.3%	57.0%	42.9%	1.33×	1.76
KAA Gent (+0.5)	44.7%	43.0%	57.1%	0.75×	2.33
Racing Genk (-1.5)	31.1%	31.3%	22.1%	1.42×	3.20
KAA Gent (-0.5)	20.3%	21.5%	30.9%	0.70×	4.64
Racing Genk (-2.5)	14.0%	11.5%	10.5%	1.10×	8.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent to concede	82.5%	81.3%	77.9%	1.04×	1.23
KAA Gent clean sheet	17.5%	18.7%	22.1%	0.85×	5.35

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent clean sheet in 1st half	47.3%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
KAA Gent to concede in 1st half	52.7%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent under 6.5 corners	89.5%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
KAA Gent under 5.5 corners	81.3%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
KAA Gent under 4.5 corners	69.0%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
KAA Gent over 2.5 corners	66.4%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
KAA Gent under 3.5 corners	52.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
KAA Gent over 3.5 corners	47.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
KAA Gent under 2.5 corners	33.6%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
KAA Gent over 4.5 corners	31.0%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
KAA Gent over 5.5 corners	18.7%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
KAA Gent over 6.5 corners	10.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent under 3.5 goals	98.3%	97.5%	95.2%	1.02×	1.03
KAA Gent under 2.5 goals	92.6%	92.3%	86.9%	1.06×	1.08
KAA Gent under 1.5 goals	74.9%	72.0%	64.7%	1.11×	1.39
KAA Gent over 0.5 goals	61.9%	63.0%	68.1%	0.93×	1.59
KAA Gent under 0.5 goals	38.1%	37.0%	31.9%	1.16×	2.70
KAA Gent over 1.5 goals	25.1%	28.0%	35.3%	0.79×	3.57
KAA Gent over 2.5 goals	7.4%	7.7%	13.1%	0.58×	13.04
KAA Gent over 3.5 goals	1.7%	2.5%	4.8%	0.51×	40.79

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent under 1.5 in 1st half	94.2%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
KAA Gent under 0.5 in 1st half	68.0%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
KAA Gent over 0.5 in 1st half	32.0%	31.6%	—	—	3.16
KAA Gent over 1.5 in 1st half	5.8%	5.8%	—	—	17.37

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk (away no bet)	69.4%	66.4%	61.9%	1.07×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	30.6%	33.6%	38.1%	0.88×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent even goals	57.3%	56.9%	57.4%	0.99×	1.76
KAA Gent odd goals	42.7%	43.1%	42.6%	1.01×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.4%	87.5%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.6%	12.5%	—	—	8.03

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	63.5%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals	36.5%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	56.9%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
Racing Genk to score 2+ in a row	44.6%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.9%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Racing Genk to score 3+ in a row	18.3%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
KAA Gent to score 2+ in a row	17.6%	16.3%	—	—	6.12
KAA Gent to score 3+ in a row	3.8%	2.6%	—	—	38.26

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk corners (+3.5)	94.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Racing Genk corners (+2.5)	91.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Racing Genk corners (+1.5)	85.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
KAA Gent corners (+3.5)	63.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Racing Genk corners (-1.5)	57.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
KAA Gent corners (+2.5)	53.1%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Racing Genk corners (-2.5)	46.9%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
KAA Gent corners (+1.5)	42.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Racing Genk corners (-3.5)	36.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
KAA Gent corners (-1.5)	14.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
KAA Gent corners (-2.5)	8.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
KAA Gent corners (-3.5)	5.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	41.1%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
9-11 corners	30.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	28.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	78.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.2%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	69.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	62.1%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	58.9%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	51.9%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	48.1%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	41.1%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	37.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 7.5 corners	30.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	28.8%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	21.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	11.2%	11.5%	9.4%	1.22×	8.73
1-1	11.6%	11.5%	12.3%	0.93×	8.73
2-0	10.1%	11.5%	7.7%	1.48×	8.73
2-1	9.8%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.48
0-0	7.1%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.48
0-1	6.0%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.48
1-2	5.4%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.48
3-0	5.9%	7.4%	4.0%	1.85×	13.48
3-1	5.7%	7.4%	2.9%	2.53×	13.48
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.46
0-2	3.1%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.47
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.2%	0.79×	58.48
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.49
1-3	1.7%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.48
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.49
2-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.2%	0.79×	58.48
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.49
3-2	2.7%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.47
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.48
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.69×	58.49
4-0	2.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.48
4-1	2.5%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.48
4-2	1.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.23×	58.48
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.22×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.69×	58.49
Any other score	3.5%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk leading at HT (DNB)	70.2%	71.2%	—	—	1.40
KAA Gent leading at HT (DNB)	29.8%	28.8%	—	—	3.48

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk or draw (1X)	79.7%	75.6%	69.1%	1.09×	1.32
Racing Genk or KAA Gent (12)	75.6%	75.5%	73.6%	1.03×	1.32
KAA Gent or draw (X2)	44.7%	46.0%	57.1%	0.81×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk or draw at HT	82.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
KAA Gent or draw at HT	59.5%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Racing Genk or KAA Gent at HT	57.7%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk or draw (1UP)	79.7%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
KAA Gent or draw (1UP)	44.7%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk or draw in 2nd half	79.2%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Racing Genk or KAA Gent in 2nd half	65.2%	65.4%	—	—	1.53
KAA Gent or draw in 2nd half	55.6%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.9%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.1%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk (DNB)	73.1%	71.4%	58.2%	1.23×	1.40
KAA Gent (DNB)	26.9%	28.6%	41.8%	0.68×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk to score first	59.8%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
KAA Gent to score first	33.1%	27.2%	—	—	3.67
No goal scored	7.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.32

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.4%	51.4%	53.7%	0.96×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.6%	48.6%	46.3%	1.05×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	39.8%	38.5%	41.5%	0.93×	2.60
Not both score & under 2.5	37.6%	38.5%	35.6%	1.08×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.6%	12.3%	12.3%	1.00×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	11.0%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.11

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.0%	85.6%	85.5%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.0%	14.4%	14.5%	0.99×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.2%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.8%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.9%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	23.1%	20.8%	—	—	4.80
Both score 1st half only	12.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	4.7%	5.1%	—	—	19.75

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.1%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	16.9%	17.6%	—	—	5.68

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	53.9%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	46.1%	46.5%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.9%	47.4%	47.7%	0.99×	2.11
4-6 goals	26.6%	26.4%	26.4%	1.00×	3.78
0-1 goals	24.3%	22.8%	23.5%	0.97×	4.38
7+ goals	2.1%	1.8%	2.8%	0.66×	54.59

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent to score exactly 0	38.1%	36.0%	31.9%	1.13×	2.78
KAA Gent to score exactly 1	36.8%	36.0%	32.9%	1.09×	2.78
KAA Gent to score exactly 2	17.7%	19.6%	22.4%	0.87×	5.11
KAA Gent to score 3+	7.4%	8.5%	13.1%	0.64×	11.83

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk to score exactly 1	30.5%	32.6%	34.6%	0.94×	3.06
Racing Genk to score exactly 2	26.6%	26.5%	24.4%	1.09×	3.77
Racing Genk to score 3+	25.4%	26.5%	19.3%	1.38×	3.77
Racing Genk to score exactly 0	17.5%	18.9%	22.1%	0.86×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.3%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Racing Genk leading at HT	40.5%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
KAA Gent leading at HT	17.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk -1: 2	44.7%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Racing Genk -1: 1	31.1%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Racing Genk -1: X	24.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent (0:1)	44.7%	42.7%	57.1%	0.75×	2.34
Racing Genk (0:1)	31.1%	30.0%	22.1%	1.36×	3.33
Draw (0:1)	24.2%	24.3%	21.0%	1.16×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent (0:2)	68.9%	72.2%	77.9%	0.93×	1.39
Draw (0:2)	17.1%	15.3%	11.7%	1.30×	6.54
Racing Genk (0:2)	14.0%	11.0%	10.5%	1.05×	9.11

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent (0:3)	86.0%	90.8%	89.5%	1.01×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	8.8%	5.8%	6.2%	0.95×	17.13
Racing Genk (0:3)	5.2%	5.8%	4.5%	1.30×	17.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent (0:4)	94.9%	94.7%	95.5%	0.99×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	3.6%	1.2%	2.5%	0.49×	83.26
Racing Genk (0:4)	1.6%	1.2%	2.2%	0.55×	83.50

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk (1:0)	79.7%	78.4%	69.1%	1.13×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	13.2%	12.8%	17.6%	0.73×	7.80
KAA Gent (1:0)	7.1%	6.9%	13.4%	0.52×	14.45

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk (2:0)	92.9%	93.9%	86.6%	1.09×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.3%	6.4%	8.6%	0.75×	15.51
KAA Gent (2:0)	1.9%	2.3%	4.9%	0.46×	44.25

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.1%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	25.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk to concede	61.9%	63.4%	68.1%	0.93×	1.58
Racing Genk clean sheet	38.1%	36.6%	31.9%	1.15×	2.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk clean sheet in 1st half	68.0%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Racing Genk to concede in 1st half	32.0%	31.3%	—	—	3.19

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk over 2.5 corners	89.0%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Racing Genk over 3.5 corners	78.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Racing Genk over 4.5 corners	65.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Racing Genk under 6.5 corners	60.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Racing Genk over 5.5 corners	52.0%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Racing Genk under 5.5 corners	48.0%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Racing Genk over 6.5 corners	39.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Racing Genk under 4.5 corners	34.4%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
Racing Genk under 3.5 corners	21.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Racing Genk under 2.5 corners	11.0%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk under 3.5 goals	90.1%	92.2%	90.9%	1.01×	1.08
Racing Genk over 0.5 goals	82.5%	82.1%	77.9%	1.05×	1.22
Racing Genk under 2.5 goals	74.6%	74.2%	80.7%	0.92×	1.35
Racing Genk over 1.5 goals	52.0%	53.2%	43.5%	1.22×	1.88
Racing Genk under 1.5 goals	48.0%	46.8%	56.5%	0.83×	2.14
Racing Genk over 2.5 goals	25.4%	25.8%	19.3%	1.34×	3.87
Racing Genk under 0.5 goals	17.5%	17.9%	22.1%	0.81×	5.59
Racing Genk over 3.5 goals	9.9%	7.8%	9.1%	0.85×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk under 1.5 in 1st half	82.7%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Racing Genk under 0.5 in 1st half	47.3%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Racing Genk over 0.5 in 1st half	52.7%	49.2%	—	—	2.04
Racing Genk over 1.5 in 1st half	17.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.36

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	54.6%	51.7%	46.1%	1.12×	1.94
KAA Gent (home no bet)	45.4%	48.3%	53.9%	0.90×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk even goals	51.5%	50.6%	52.6%	0.96×	1.98
Racing Genk odd goals	48.5%	49.4%	47.4%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	32.2%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
HT 1-0	24.0%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	12.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 1-1	9.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
HT 2-0	9.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
Any other HT score	4.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.26
HT 2-1	3.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.35
HT 0-2	2.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.43
HT 1-2	1.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.48
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.56

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk at HT / Racing Genk at FT	34.1%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Draw at HT / Racing Genk at FT	18.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
KAA Gent at HT / KAA Gent at FT	10.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / KAA Gent at FT	8.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
Racing Genk at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
KAA Gent at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
KAA Gent at HT / Racing Genk at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Racing Genk at HT / KAA Gent at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk to score last	59.9%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
KAA Gent to score last	33.0%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	7.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.32

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.9%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Racing Genk to lead by 1 at any time	68.4%	69.5%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.5%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
KAA Gent to lead by 1 at any time	37.8%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Racing Genk to lead by 2 at any time	37.3%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Racing Genk to lead by 3 at any time	16.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
KAA Gent to lead by 2 at any time	11.4%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
KAA Gent to lead by 3 at any time	2.8%	1.6%	—	—	61.56

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk most corners	68.6%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
KAA Gent most corners	22.0%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Corners level	9.4%	8.5%	—	—	11.80

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.2%	87.4%	86.0%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.1%	78.6%	76.9%	1.02×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.6%	72.4%	73.9%	0.98×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.9%	69.0%	70.2%	0.98×	1.45
1-3 goals	64.2%	63.4%	63.4%	1.00×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.9%	63.4%	61.1%	1.04×	1.58
3-6 goals	48.7%	48.7%	49.5%	0.98×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.9%	48.7%	47.7%	1.02×	2.06
3-5 goals	45.1%	48.7%	45.8%	1.06×	2.06
1-2 goals	42.1%	43.6%	40.3%	1.08×	2.30
3-4 goals	37.0%	39.1%	36.7%	1.07×	2.55
4-6 goals	26.6%	30.2%	26.4%	1.15×	3.31
4-5 goals	23.0%	24.5%	22.7%	1.08×	4.09
5-6 goals	11.7%	14.9%	13.0%	1.15×	6.72
7+ goals	2.1%	2.5%	2.8%	0.92×	39.24

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk never behind	55.2%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
KAA Gent never behind	24.5%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.0%	50.8%	50.0%	1.02×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.0%	49.2%	50.0%	0.98×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.3%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.7%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.4%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.6%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.3%	92.3%	93.5%	0.99×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.9%	92.3%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	86.2%	87.6%	84.4%	1.04×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	75.7%	77.3%	76.5%	1.01×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	71.3%	72.5%	71.0%	1.02×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	50.8%	52.5%	52.2%	1.01×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	49.2%	47.5%	47.8%	0.99×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	28.7%	27.5%	29.0%	0.95×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	24.3%	22.7%	23.5%	0.97×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	13.8%	12.4%	15.6%	0.79×	8.09
Under 0.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	7.7%	1.00×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	5.7%	7.7%	6.5%	1.19×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.9%	97.2%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.8%	92.5%	92.9%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	83.8%	81.1%	82.0%	0.99×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	67.6%	67.4%	69.0%	0.98×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	63.2%	62.1%	62.2%	1.00×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	36.8%	37.9%	37.8%	1.00×	2.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	32.4%	32.6%	31.0%	1.05×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	16.2%	18.9%	18.0%	1.05×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.2%	7.5%	7.1%	1.06×	13.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.1%	2.8%	2.9%	0.96×	36.16

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.3%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.6%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.8%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	32.2%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.4%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.13

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	53.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	46.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent not to score in both halves	85.9%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Racing Genk not to score in both halves	66.8%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Racing Genk to score in both halves	33.2%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
KAA Gent to score in both halves	14.1%	14.3%	—	—	6.98

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.4%	53.9%	53.7%	1.00×	1.86
Only Racing Genk scores	31.0%	33.3%	24.4%	1.37×	3.00
Only KAA Gent scores	10.4%	10.9%	14.5%	0.75×	9.16
Neither team scores	7.1%	7.2%	7.7%	0.93×	13.91

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.9%	22.6%	24.5%	0.92×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	17.3%	17.4%	15.9%	1.10×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	14.9%	12.1%	13.6%	0.89×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	8.1%	7.6%	9.3%	0.83×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	7.1%	7.6%	7.7%	0.99×	13.09
6 or more goals	5.7%	7.6%	6.5%	1.18×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	46.7%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	32.4%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	20.9%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent not to win both halves	96.4%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Racing Genk not to win both halves	81.9%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Racing Genk to win both halves	18.1%	15.8%	—	—	6.31
KAA Gent to win both halves	3.6%	2.8%	—	—	35.73

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Genk to win either half	66.9%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
KAA Gent to win neither half	65.7%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
KAA Gent to win either half	34.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Racing Genk to win neither half	33.1%	32.2%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
KAA Gent not to win to nil	89.6%	88.2%	85.5%	1.03×	1.13
Racing Genk not to win to nil	69.0%	69.7%	75.6%	0.92×	1.44
Racing Genk to win to nil	31.0%	30.3%	24.4%	1.24×	3.30
KAA Gent to win to nil	10.4%	11.8%	14.5%	0.81×	8.50

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.4%	24.2%	26.4%	0.92×	4.14
Racing Genk by 1	24.2%	24.2%	21.0%	1.15×	4.14
Racing Genk by 2	17.1%	16.9%	11.7%	1.44×	5.91
Racing Genk by 3+	14.0%	11.8%	10.5%	1.12×	8.47
KAA Gent by 1	13.2%	11.8%	17.6%	0.67×	8.47
KAA Gent by 2	5.3%	7.3%	8.6%	0.84×	13.79
KAA Gent by 3+	1.9%	2.7%	4.9%	0.55×	37.02