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Randers FC v Brøndby IF — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 23 October 2026 · DEN-Superliga · 2627

DEN-Superliga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Randers FC win
26.8%
model 26.2%
Draw
26.8%
model 25.5%
Brøndby IF win
46.5%
model 48.3%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 12.1%
  2. 1-2 9.5%
  3. 0-1 8.8%
  4. 0-2 8.0%
  5. 2-1 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.554.7% Under 2.545.3%
BTTS yes57.3% BTTS no42.7%
Randers FC 1+69.5% Randers FC 2+33.2%
Brøndby IF 1+81.4% Brøndby IF 2+50.1%

Expected goals 1.19 – 1.68. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
77/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
95%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • Brøndby IF carry the stronger rating, 1566 Elo against 1430.
  • Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Brøndby IF have an estimated 46.5% win probability, against 26.8% for Randers FC and 26.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.19 for Randers FC and 1.68 for Brøndby IF.

Why Randers FC

Nothing in the data singles out Randers FC.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.8%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Brøndby IF can win

Brøndby IF carry the stronger rating, 1566 Elo against 1430. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Randers FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Brøndby IF, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Randers FC: 43% possession, 9.4 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Brøndby IF: 56% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Brøndby IF are the model's most likely outcome at 46.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.1%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 1.15–1.45 1-1 13% 48% 53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF to win 43.2% 43.0% 30.0% 1.43× 2.32
Randers FC to win 29.1% 27.9% 44.9% 0.62× 3.59
Draw 27.6% 27.9% 25.3% 1.10× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF & not both score 23.5% 21.9% 13.5% 1.62× 4.57
Brøndby IF & both teams score 19.8% 17.9% 16.8% 1.07× 5.58
Draw & both teams score 19.4% 17.9% 19.6% 0.92× 5.58
Randers FC & not both score 15.2% 17.9% 20.7% 0.87× 5.58
Randers FC & both teams score 13.9% 13.3% 24.5% 0.54× 7.54
Draw & not both score 8.2% 8.4% 6.1% 1.38× 11.93
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF & over 1.5 33.3% 30.9% 26.2% 1.18× 3.24
Brøndby IF & under 3.5 30.6% 30.9% 18.5% 1.67× 3.24
Brøndby IF & over 2.5 25.4% 26.0% 20.9% 1.24× 3.84
Randers FC & over 1.5 21.4% 21.7% 35.5% 0.61× 4.62
Randers FC & under 3.5 21.6% 21.7% 27.3% 0.79× 4.62
Draw & under 2.5 21.4% 21.7% 16.8% 1.29× 4.62
Draw & under 3.5 21.4% 21.7% 16.8% 1.29× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 19.4% 18.0% 19.6% 0.92× 5.56
Brøndby IF & under 2.5 17.8% 18.0% 9.4% 1.92× 5.56
Randers FC & over 2.5 16.5% 18.0% 29.5% 0.61× 5.56
Randers FC & under 2.5 12.6% 12.9% 15.7% 0.82× 7.77
Brøndby IF & over 3.5 12.7% 12.9% 11.8% 1.09× 7.77
Brøndby IF & under 1.5 10.0% 7.9% 4.1% 1.91× 12.69
Randers FC & under 1.5 7.7% 7.9% 9.6% 0.82× 12.70
Randers FC & over 3.5 7.5% 7.9% 17.9% 0.44× 12.70
Draw & under 1.5 8.2% 7.9% 6.1% 1.30× 12.70
Draw & over 2.5 6.2% 7.9% 8.8% 0.89× 12.70
Draw & over 3.5 6.2% 7.9% 8.8% 0.89× 12.70
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF (1UP) 58.8% 58.2% 1.72
Randers FC (1UP) 46.5% 43.2% 2.32
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF (2UP) 43.2% 47.7% 2.10
Randers FC (2UP) 29.1% 25.0% 4.00
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF to win 2nd half 38.0% 36.1% 2.77
2nd half drawn 36.6% 36.1% 2.77
Randers FC to win 2nd half 25.4% 26.2% 3.81
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF (+2.5) 96.3% 96.3% 91.7% 1.05× 1.04
Brøndby IF (+1.5) 88.0% 88.5% 78.8% 1.12× 1.13
Brøndby IF (+0.5) 70.9% 73.7% 55.1% 1.34× 1.36
Randers FC (+0.5) 56.8% 57.0% 70.0% 0.81× 1.75
Brøndby IF (-0.5) 43.2% 43.0% 30.0% 1.43× 2.33
Randers FC (-0.5) 29.1% 26.3% 44.9% 0.59× 3.80
Randers FC (-1.5) 12.0% 11.5% 21.2% 0.54× 8.70
Randers FC (-2.5) 3.7% 3.7% 8.3% 0.45× 26.83
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF to concede 68.3% 72.5% 80.7% 0.90× 1.38
Brøndby IF clean sheet 31.7% 27.5% 19.3% 1.42× 3.64
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF clean sheet in 1st half 61.0% 64.8% 1.54
Brøndby IF to concede in 1st half 39.0% 35.2% 2.84
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF over 2.5 corners 82.6% 81.5% 1.23
Brøndby IF under 6.5 corners 72.2% 71.6% 1.40
Brøndby IF over 3.5 corners 68.9% 67.5% 1.48
Brøndby IF under 5.5 corners 60.2% 61.8% 1.62
Brøndby IF over 4.5 corners 53.9% 53.1% 1.88
Brøndby IF under 4.5 corners 46.1% 46.9% 2.13
Brøndby IF over 5.5 corners 39.8% 38.2% 2.62
Brøndby IF under 3.5 corners 31.1% 32.5% 3.08
Brøndby IF over 6.5 corners 27.8% 28.4% 3.52
Brøndby IF under 2.5 corners 17.4% 18.5% 5.39
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF under 3.5 goals 94.0% 92.3% 93.7% 0.99× 1.08
Brøndby IF under 2.5 goals 82.1% 81.4% 84.0% 0.97× 1.23
Brøndby IF over 0.5 goals 76.6% 76.2% 73.6% 1.04× 1.31
Brøndby IF under 1.5 goals 57.4% 59.5% 57.9% 1.03× 1.68
Brøndby IF over 1.5 goals 42.6% 40.5% 42.1% 0.96× 2.47
Brøndby IF under 0.5 goals 23.4% 23.8% 26.4% 0.90× 4.21
Brøndby IF over 2.5 goals 17.9% 18.6% 16.0% 1.16× 5.38
Brøndby IF over 3.5 goals 6.0% 7.7% 6.3% 1.21× 13.05
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF under 1.5 in 1st half 88.5% 89.1% 1.12
Brøndby IF under 0.5 in 1st half 56.0% 62.3% 1.61
Brøndby IF over 0.5 in 1st half 44.0% 37.7% 2.65
Brøndby IF over 1.5 in 1st half 11.5% 10.9% 9.18
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC (away no bet) 51.3% 51.2% 63.9% 0.80× 1.95
Draw (away no bet) 48.7% 48.8% 36.1% 1.35× 2.05
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF even goals 52.7% 52.8% 57.6% 0.92× 1.89
Brøndby IF odd goals 47.3% 47.2% 42.4% 1.11× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 86.9% 87.6% 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 13.1% 12.4% 8.09
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 61.5% 57.9% 1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals 38.5% 42.1% 2.38
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 53.2% 51.4% 1.95
Brøndby IF to score 2+ in a row 34.7% 29.1% 3.44
Randers FC to score 2+ in a row 24.0% 19.6% 5.11
Either team to score 3+ in a row 18.0% 16.4% 6.12
Brøndby IF to score 3+ in a row 11.9% 12.2% 8.23
Randers FC to score 3+ in a row 6.4% 5.6% 17.77
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF corners (+3.5) 83.1% 79.7% 1.25
Randers FC corners (+3.5) 81.4% 79.7% 1.25
Brøndby IF corners (+2.5) 75.8% 74.9% 1.34
Randers FC corners (+2.5) 73.7% 70.7% 1.41
Brøndby IF corners (+1.5) 66.8% 65.8% 1.52
Randers FC corners (+1.5) 64.4% 61.9% 1.62
Brøndby IF corners (-1.5) 35.6% 38.1% 2.63
Randers FC corners (-1.5) 33.2% 34.2% 2.92
Brøndby IF corners (-2.5) 26.3% 29.3% 3.42
Randers FC corners (-2.5) 24.2% 25.1% 3.98
Brøndby IF corners (-3.5) 18.6% 20.3% 4.94
Randers FC corners (-3.5) 16.9% 20.3% 4.94
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 36.9% 33.7% 2.97
12+ corners 33.3% 33.2% 3.01
9-11 corners 29.8% 31.2% 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 74.8% 72.6% 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 73.1% 72.6% 1.38
Under 11.5 corners 66.7% 67.7% 1.48
Over 8.5 corners 63.1% 63.4% 1.58
Under 10.5 corners 57.5% 57.8% 1.73
Over 9.5 corners 52.7% 53.3% 1.88
Under 9.5 corners 47.3% 46.7% 2.14
Over 10.5 corners 42.5% 42.2% 2.37
Under 8.5 corners 36.9% 36.6% 2.73
Over 11.5 corners 33.3% 32.3% 3.09
Under 7.5 corners 26.9% 27.4% 3.66
Over 12.5 corners 25.2% 27.4% 3.66
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 13.2% 11.5% 11.0% 1.04× 8.73
0-1 10.0% 7.4% 4.1% 1.80× 13.48
1-2 9.0% 7.4% 7.7% 0.96× 13.48
0-0 8.2% 7.4% 6.1% 1.22× 13.48
0-2 7.8% 7.4% 5.5% 1.35× 13.48
1-0 7.7% 7.4% 9.6% 0.77× 13.48
2-1 7.1% 7.4% 10.2% 0.73× 13.48
2-2 5.2% 7.4% 6.6% 1.12× 13.48
2-0 4.9% 1.7% 6.3% 0.27× 58.46
0-3 3.8% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.47
0-4 1.4% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.48
1-3 4.3% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 58.46
1-4 1.6% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 58.48
2-3 2.5% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.48
2-4 0.9% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.48
3-0 1.9% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.48
3-1 2.7% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.47
3-2 2.0% 1.7% 4.4% 0.39× 58.48
3-3 1.0% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.48
3-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.3% 6.21× 58.49
4-0 0.5% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.49
4-1 0.8% 1.7% 1.1% 1.55× 58.49
4-2 0.6% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.49
4-3 0.3% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.49
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.3% 6.21× 58.49
Any other score 2.3% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.48
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF leading at HT (DNB) 55.2% 57.5% 1.74
Randers FC leading at HT (DNB) 44.8% 42.5% 2.35
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC or Brøndby IF (12) 72.4% 72.1% 74.7% 0.97× 1.39
Brøndby IF or draw (X2) 70.9% 72.1% 55.1% 1.31× 1.39
Randers FC or draw (1X) 56.8% 57.0% 70.0% 0.81× 1.76
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF or draw at HT 75.3% 79.8% 1.25
Randers FC or draw at HT 69.6% 66.5% 1.50
Randers FC or Brøndby IF at HT 55.1% 56.8% 1.76
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF or draw (1UP) 70.9% 80.0% 1.25
Randers FC or draw (1UP) 56.8% 62.7% 1.60
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF or draw in 2nd half 74.6% 73.8% 1.36
Randers FC or Brøndby IF in 2nd half 63.4% 63.9% 1.56
Randers FC or draw in 2nd half 62.0% 63.9% 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 64.2% 61.7% 1.62
Neither half drawn 35.8% 38.3% 2.61
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF (DNB) 59.7% 58.3% 40.1% 1.46× 1.72
Randers FC (DNB) 40.3% 41.7% 59.9% 0.70× 2.40
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF to score first 51.2% 53.8% 1.86
Randers FC to score first 40.6% 41.7% 2.40
No goal scored 8.2% 7.5% 13.26
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 53.1% 51.4% 60.3% 0.85× 1.95
Not both teams to score 46.9% 48.6% 39.7% 1.22× 2.06
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 39.9% 38.5% 49.6% 0.78× 2.60
Not both score & under 2.5 38.7% 38.5% 30.6% 1.26× 2.60
Both score & under 2.5 13.2% 12.3% 11.0% 1.12× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 8.2% 8.4% 9.4% 0.89× 11.95
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 86.4% 85.6% 80.4% 1.06× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 13.6% 14.4% 19.6% 0.74× 6.94
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 71.8% 74.0% 1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half 28.2% 26.0% 3.85
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 59.3% 59.5% 1.68
Both score 2nd half only 23.4% 20.8% 4.80
Both score 1st half only 12.5% 10.8% 9.30
Both score in both halves 4.8% 5.1% 19.73
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 82.7% 82.4% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 17.3% 17.6% 5.68
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 51.9% 53.4% 1.87
A half without a goal 48.1% 46.6% 2.15
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.7% 47.4% 43.0% 1.10× 2.11
0-1 goals 25.9% 26.4% 19.3% 1.37× 3.78
4-6 goals 24.7% 22.8% 36.4% 0.63× 4.38
7+ goals 1.7% 1.8% 1.9% 0.95× 54.63
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF to score exactly 1 34.0% 33.8% 31.7% 1.07× 2.96
Brøndby IF to score exactly 2 24.7% 22.4% 26.4% 0.85× 4.46
Brøndby IF to score exactly 0 23.4% 22.4% 26.4% 0.85× 4.46
Brøndby IF to score 3+ 17.9% 19.6% 16.0% 1.22× 5.11
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC to score exactly 1 36.4% 35.6% 33.6% 1.06× 2.81
Randers FC to score exactly 0 31.7% 32.6% 19.3% 1.69× 3.06
Randers FC to score exactly 2 20.9% 23.2% 25.9% 0.90× 4.30
Randers FC to score 3+ 11.0% 14.3% 21.8% 0.66× 6.99
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 44.9% 43.2% 2.32
Brøndby IF leading at HT 30.4% 33.5% 2.99
Randers FC leading at HT 24.7% 20.2% 4.94
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF -1: 1 56.8% 56.7% 1.77
Brøndby IF -1: X 21.8% 23.6% 4.24
Brøndby IF -1: 2 21.4% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF (0:1) 70.9% 71.0% 55.1% 1.29× 1.41
Draw (0:1) 17.1% 17.8% 24.0% 0.74× 5.63
Randers FC (0:1) 12.0% 13.8% 21.2% 0.65× 7.23
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF (0:2) 88.0% 87.0% 78.8% 1.10× 1.15
Draw (0:2) 8.3% 7.7% 13.2% 0.58× 12.94
Randers FC (0:2) 3.7% 3.8% 8.3% 0.46× 26.53
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF (0:3) 96.3% 96.6% 91.7% 1.05× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 2.8% 2.4% 3.6% 0.66× 42.14
Randers FC (0:3) 0.9% 2.4% 5.0% 0.48× 42.22
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF (0:4) 99.1% 98.1% 95.0% 1.03× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.7% 1.2% 3.3% 0.36× 83.60
Randers FC (0:4) 0.2% 1.2% 1.9% 0.62× 83.66
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC (1:0) 56.8% 58.1% 70.0% 0.83× 1.72
Draw (1:0) 21.8% 21.8% 14.6% 1.49× 4.59
Brøndby IF (1:0) 21.4% 21.8% 15.7% 1.39× 4.59
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC (2:0) 78.6% 80.4% 84.3% 0.95× 1.24
Draw (2:0) 13.2% 10.4% 8.3% 1.26× 9.63
Brøndby IF (2:0) 8.2% 6.5% 7.7% 0.84× 15.48
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 47.0% 48.1% 2.08
Halves equal 26.8% 26.5% 3.77
1st half highest scoring 26.2% 26.5% 3.77
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC to concede 76.6% 75.9% 73.6% 1.03× 1.32
Randers FC clean sheet 23.4% 24.1% 26.4% 0.91× 4.16
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC clean sheet in 1st half 56.0% 62.3% 1.61
Randers FC to concede in 1st half 44.0% 37.7% 2.65
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC over 2.5 corners 81.6% 80.9% 1.24
Randers FC under 6.5 corners 73.9% 71.9% 1.39
Randers FC over 3.5 corners 67.4% 66.7% 1.50
Randers FC under 5.5 corners 62.1% 62.3% 1.61
Randers FC over 4.5 corners 52.1% 52.8% 1.90
Randers FC under 4.5 corners 47.9% 47.2% 2.12
Randers FC over 5.5 corners 37.9% 37.7% 2.65
Randers FC under 3.5 corners 32.6% 33.3% 3.00
Randers FC over 6.5 corners 26.1% 28.1% 3.56
Randers FC under 2.5 corners 18.4% 19.1% 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC under 3.5 goals 97.0% 96.4% 91.2% 1.06× 1.04
Randers FC under 2.5 goals 89.0% 87.3% 78.2% 1.12× 1.15
Randers FC over 0.5 goals 68.3% 67.9% 80.7% 0.84× 1.47
Randers FC under 1.5 goals 68.1% 67.9% 52.6% 1.29× 1.47
Randers FC over 1.5 goals 31.9% 32.1% 47.4% 0.68× 3.11
Randers FC under 0.5 goals 31.7% 32.1% 19.3% 1.67× 3.11
Randers FC over 2.5 goals 11.0% 12.7% 21.8% 0.58× 7.86
Randers FC over 3.5 goals 3.0% 3.6% 8.8% 0.41× 27.48
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC under 1.5 in 1st half 91.2% 95.3% 1.05
Randers FC under 0.5 in 1st half 61.0% 64.6% 1.55
Randers FC over 0.5 in 1st half 39.0% 35.4% 2.82
Randers FC over 1.5 in 1st half 8.8% 4.7% 21.20
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF (home no bet) 61.0% 60.1% 54.2% 1.11× 1.66
Draw (home no bet) 39.0% 39.9% 45.8% 0.87× 2.51
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC even goals 55.0% 55.4% 50.4% 1.10× 1.80
Randers FC odd goals 45.0% 44.6% 49.6% 0.90× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 34.3% 32.4% 3.09
HT 0-1 19.7% 18.8% 5.33
HT 1-0 16.7% 18.7% 5.34
HT 1-1 9.9% 7.1% 14.01
HT 0-2 5.8% 7.1% 14.07
HT 2-0 4.2% 2.3% 43.30
Any other HT score 3.5% 2.3% 43.35
HT 1-2 2.8% 2.3% 43.40
HT 2-1 2.4% 2.3% 43.43
HT 2-2 0.7% 2.3% 43.56
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF at HT / Brøndby IF at FT 23.9% 21.9% 4.58
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 17.3% 16.8% 5.97
Draw at HT / Brøndby IF at FT 16.6% 16.8% 5.97
Randers FC at HT / Randers FC at FT 16.4% 16.8% 5.97
Draw at HT / Randers FC at FT 11.0% 12.7% 7.90
Randers FC at HT / Draw at FT 5.5% 6.0% 16.72
Brøndby IF at HT / Draw at FT 4.8% 3.5% 28.77
Randers FC at HT / Brøndby IF at FT 2.8% 3.5% 28.85
Brøndby IF at HT / Randers FC at FT 1.7% 3.5% 28.90
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF to score last 51.3% 51.9% 1.93
Randers FC to score last 40.5% 39.9% 2.51
No goal scored 8.2% 7.5% 13.26
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 91.8% 92.6% 1.08
Brøndby IF to lead by 1 at any time 58.8% 55.1% 1.81
Randers FC to lead by 1 at any time 46.5% 44.0% 2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 44.4% 39.3% 2.54
Brøndby IF to lead by 2 at any time 27.4% 25.4% 3.93
Randers FC to lead by 2 at any time 17.2% 14.9% 6.71
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 15.1% 14.9% 6.72
Brøndby IF to lead by 3 at any time 10.1% 10.4% 9.59
Randers FC to lead by 3 at any time 5.0% 6.6% 15.18
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF most corners 46.0% 46.9% 2.13
Randers FC most corners 43.4% 43.5% 2.30
Corners level 10.7% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.9% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 79.5% 78.6% 73.8% 1.07× 1.27
2-6 goals 72.3% 72.4% 79.1% 0.92× 1.38
2-5 goals 69.2% 69.0% 72.2% 0.96× 1.45
1-3 goals 65.4% 68.9% 56.2% 1.23× 1.45
2-4 goals 61.8% 63.4% 60.6% 1.05× 1.58
2-3 goals 47.7% 48.7% 43.0% 1.13× 2.06
3-6 goals 46.4% 48.7% 57.0% 0.85× 2.06
1-2 goals 43.6% 43.6% 35.5% 1.23× 2.30
3-5 goals 43.3% 43.6% 50.1% 0.87× 2.30
3-4 goals 35.9% 39.1% 38.6% 1.02× 2.56
4-6 goals 24.7% 24.5% 36.4% 0.67× 4.08
4-5 goals 21.5% 24.5% 29.5% 0.83× 4.09
5-6 goals 10.5% 14.9% 18.7% 0.79× 6.73
7+ goals 1.7% 2.5% 1.9% 1.32× 39.26
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF never behind 45.3% 56.4% 1.77
Randers FC never behind 33.0% 35.7% 2.80
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.1% 50.8% 47.1% 1.08× 1.97
Even number of goals 51.9% 49.2% 52.9% 0.93× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 56.1% 57.4% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 43.9% 42.6% 2.35
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.9% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.1% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 95.1% 95.5% 91.2% 1.05× 1.05
Over 0.5 goals 91.8% 92.3% 93.9% 0.98× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 87.7% 87.6% 79.6% 1.10× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 74.1% 72.5% 80.7% 0.90× 1.38
Under 3.5 goals 73.6% 72.5% 62.0% 1.17× 1.38
Under 2.5 goals 51.8% 52.5% 41.3% 1.27× 1.91
Over 2.5 goals 48.2% 47.5% 58.7% 0.81× 2.10
Over 3.5 goals 26.4% 27.5% 38.0% 0.72× 3.64
Under 1.5 goals 25.9% 27.5% 19.3% 1.42× 3.64
Over 4.5 goals 12.3% 12.4% 20.4% 0.61× 8.10
Under 0.5 goals 8.2% 7.7% 6.1% 1.28× 12.92
Over 5.5 goals 4.9% 4.5% 8.8% 0.51× 22.18
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.2% 97.2% 97.9% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 94.7% 92.5% 90.0% 1.03× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 85.7% 86.7% 75.3% 1.15× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 66.3% 67.4% 52.1% 1.29× 1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 65.0% 62.1% 75.3% 0.83× 1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 35.0% 37.9% 24.7% 1.53× 2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 33.7% 32.6% 47.9% 0.68× 3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 14.3% 13.3% 24.7% 0.54× 7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 5.3% 7.5% 10.0% 0.76× 13.28
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.8% 2.8% 2.1% 1.34× 36.17
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 90.6% 92.6% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 70.7% 71.2% 1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half 65.7% 68.9% 1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half 34.3% 31.1% 3.22
Over 1.5 in 1st half 29.3% 28.8% 3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half 9.4% 7.4% 13.44
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 80.2% 82.8% 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 78.0% 79.8% 1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 54.7% 53.3% 1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 45.3% 46.7% 2.14
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 22.0% 20.2% 4.94
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 19.8% 17.2% 5.80
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC not to score in both halves 81.3% 84.2% 1.19
Brøndby IF not to score in both halves 74.4% 73.9% 1.35
Brøndby IF to score in both halves 25.6% 26.1% 3.83
Randers FC to score in both halves 18.7% 15.8% 6.35
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 53.1% 53.9% 60.3% 0.89× 1.85
Only Brøndby IF scores 23.5% 22.3% 13.5% 1.66× 4.48
Only Randers FC scores 15.2% 16.1% 20.7% 0.78× 6.22
Neither team scores 8.2% 7.2% 6.1% 1.19× 13.90
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 25.9% 25.0% 22.3% 1.12× 4.01
Exactly 3 goals 21.8% 22.6% 20.9% 1.08× 4.42
Exactly 1 goals 17.7% 17.4% 13.5% 1.29× 5.74
Exactly 4 goals 14.1% 12.1% 17.9% 0.68× 8.27
Exactly 0 goals 8.2% 7.6% 6.1% 1.26× 13.08
Exactly 5 goals 7.4% 7.6% 11.8% 0.65× 13.09
6 or more goals 4.9% 4.4% 8.8% 0.50× 22.64
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 45.3% 44.8% 2.23
1 goal in 2nd half 32.6% 33.4% 2.99
No goals in 2nd half 22.0% 23.1% 4.33
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC not to win both halves 93.6% 94.0% 1.06
Brøndby IF not to win both halves 88.3% 87.9% 1.14
Brøndby IF to win both halves 11.7% 12.1% 8.28
Randers FC to win both halves 6.4% 6.0% 16.60
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brøndby IF to win either half 56.7% 59.4% 1.68
Randers FC to win neither half 56.3% 59.4% 1.68
Randers FC to win either half 43.7% 40.6% 2.47
Brøndby IF to win neither half 43.3% 40.6% 2.47
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC not to win to nil 84.8% 83.0% 79.3% 1.05× 1.20
Brøndby IF not to win to nil 76.5% 78.0% 86.5% 0.90× 1.28
Brøndby IF to win to nil 23.5% 22.0% 13.5% 1.63× 4.55
Randers FC to win to nil 15.2% 17.0% 20.7% 0.82× 5.90
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 27.6% 27.9% 25.3% 1.10× 3.59
Brøndby IF by 1 21.8% 24.1% 14.6% 1.65× 4.14
Randers FC by 1 17.1% 16.9% 24.0% 0.71× 5.91
Brøndby IF by 2 13.2% 11.8% 8.3% 1.43× 8.47
Randers FC by 2 8.3% 7.3% 13.2% 0.55× 13.78
Brøndby IF by 3+ 8.2% 7.3% 7.7% 0.94× 13.78
Randers FC by 3+ 3.7% 2.7% 8.3% 0.33× 36.96
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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