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Randers FC v Viborg FF — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 11 October 2026 · DEN-Superliga · 2627

DEN-Superliga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Randers FC win
31.6%
model 30.9%
Draw
27.3%
model 26.1%
Viborg FF win
41.1%
model 43.0%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,353 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 12.3%
  2. 1-2 9.1%
  3. 0-1 8.1%
  4. 2-1 7.5%
  5. 0-2 7.0%

Goals

Over 2.554.8% Under 2.545.2%
BTTS yes58.4% BTTS no41.6%
Randers FC 1+72.8% Randers FC 2+37.4%
Viborg FF 1+79.3% Viborg FF 2+46.6%

Expected goals 1.30 – 1.57. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
79/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • Viborg FF carry the stronger rating, 1584 Elo against 1430.
  • Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Viborg FF have an estimated 41.1% win probability, against 31.6% for Randers FC and 27.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.30 for Randers FC and 1.57 for Viborg FF.

Why Randers FC

Nothing in the data singles out Randers FC.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Viborg FF can win

Viborg FF carry the stronger rating, 1584 Elo against 1430. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Randers FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Viborg FF, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Randers FC: 43% possession, 9.4 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Viborg FF: 47% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Viborg FF are the model's most likely outcome at 41.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 1.33–1.49 1-1 13% 53% 58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF to win 40.4% 43.0% 30.0% 1.43× 2.33
Randers FC to win 33.0% 30.4% 44.9% 0.68× 3.29
Draw 26.6% 27.9% 25.3% 1.10× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF & both teams score 20.6% 21.9% 16.8% 1.30× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 19.9% 17.9% 19.6% 0.92× 5.58
Viborg FF & not both score 19.8% 17.9% 13.5% 1.33× 5.58
Randers FC & both teams score 17.2% 17.9% 24.5% 0.73× 5.58
Randers FC & not both score 15.8% 17.9% 20.7% 0.87× 5.58
Draw & not both score 6.7% 8.4% 6.1% 1.38× 11.93
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF & over 1.5 32.2% 30.9% 26.2% 1.18× 3.24
Viborg FF & under 3.5 26.9% 26.0% 18.5% 1.41× 3.84
Randers FC & over 1.5 25.8% 26.0% 35.5% 0.73× 3.84
Viborg FF & over 2.5 25.6% 26.0% 20.9% 1.24× 3.84
Randers FC & under 3.5 22.6% 21.7% 27.3% 0.79× 4.62
Randers FC & over 2.5 20.5% 21.7% 29.5% 0.73× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 19.9% 18.0% 19.6% 0.92× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 19.3% 18.0% 16.8% 1.07× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 19.3% 18.0% 16.8% 1.07× 5.56
Viborg FF & under 2.5 14.8% 12.9% 9.4% 1.37× 7.77
Viborg FF & over 3.5 13.5% 12.9% 11.8% 1.09× 7.77
Randers FC & under 2.5 12.4% 12.9% 15.7% 0.82× 7.77
Randers FC & over 3.5 10.4% 12.9% 17.9% 0.72× 7.77
Draw & over 2.5 7.3% 7.9% 8.8% 0.89× 12.70
Draw & over 3.5 7.3% 7.9% 8.8% 0.89× 12.70
Viborg FF & under 1.5 8.2% 7.9% 4.1% 1.91× 12.70
Randers FC & under 1.5 7.2% 7.9% 9.6% 0.82× 12.70
Draw & under 1.5 6.7% 7.9% 6.1% 1.30× 12.70
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF (1UP) 57.6% 58.1% 1.72
Randers FC (1UP) 51.1% 52.6% 1.90
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF (2UP) 40.4% 47.5% 2.11
Randers FC (2UP) 33.0% 30.9% 3.23
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF to win 2nd half 36.4% 36.1% 2.77
2nd half drawn 35.1% 36.0% 2.78
Randers FC to win 2nd half 28.5% 26.3% 3.80
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF (+2.5) 94.8% 92.1% 91.7% 1.00× 1.09
Viborg FF (+1.5) 85.1% 88.5% 78.8% 1.12× 1.13
Viborg FF (+0.5) 67.0% 68.7% 55.1% 1.25× 1.46
Randers FC (+0.5) 59.6% 57.0% 70.0% 0.82× 1.75
Viborg FF (-0.5) 40.4% 43.0% 30.0% 1.43× 2.33
Randers FC (-0.5) 33.0% 31.3% 44.9% 0.70× 3.20
Randers FC (-1.5) 14.9% 11.5% 21.2% 0.54× 8.69
Randers FC (-2.5) 5.2% 7.9% 8.3% 0.96× 12.65
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF to concede 73.4% 76.5% 80.7% 0.95× 1.31
Viborg FF clean sheet 26.6% 23.5% 19.3% 1.22× 4.25
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF clean sheet in 1st half 56.6% 58.4% 1.71
Viborg FF to concede in 1st half 43.4% 41.6% 2.41
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF over 2.5 corners 78.8% 75.9% 1.32
Viborg FF under 6.5 corners 77.6% 75.9% 1.32
Viborg FF under 5.5 corners 66.3% 67.5% 1.48
Viborg FF over 3.5 corners 63.5% 61.8% 1.62
Viborg FF under 4.5 corners 52.3% 53.1% 1.88
Viborg FF over 4.5 corners 47.7% 46.9% 2.13
Viborg FF under 3.5 corners 36.5% 38.2% 2.62
Viborg FF over 5.5 corners 33.7% 32.5% 3.08
Viborg FF over 6.5 corners 22.4% 24.1% 4.16
Viborg FF under 2.5 corners 21.2% 24.1% 4.16
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF under 3.5 goals 93.6% 92.3% 93.7% 0.99× 1.08
Viborg FF under 2.5 goals 81.1% 81.4% 84.0% 0.97× 1.23
Viborg FF over 0.5 goals 77.5% 76.2% 73.6% 1.04× 1.31
Viborg FF under 1.5 goals 56.1% 59.5% 57.9% 1.03× 1.68
Viborg FF over 1.5 goals 43.9% 40.5% 42.1% 0.96× 2.47
Viborg FF under 0.5 goals 22.5% 23.8% 26.4% 0.90× 4.21
Viborg FF over 2.5 goals 18.9% 18.6% 16.0% 1.16× 5.38
Viborg FF over 3.5 goals 6.4% 7.7% 6.3% 1.21× 13.05
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF under 1.5 in 1st half 87.9% 89.1% 1.12
Viborg FF under 0.5 in 1st half 55.1% 62.2% 1.61
Viborg FF over 0.5 in 1st half 44.9% 37.8% 2.65
Viborg FF over 1.5 in 1st half 12.1% 10.9% 9.15
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC (away no bet) 55.3% 57.4% 63.9% 0.90× 1.74
Draw (away no bet) 44.7% 42.6% 36.1% 1.18× 2.35
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF even goals 52.5% 52.8% 57.6% 0.92× 1.89
Viborg FF odd goals 47.5% 47.2% 42.4% 1.11× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 84.1% 83.0% 1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals 15.9% 17.0% 5.89
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 66.0% 68.5% 1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals 34.0% 31.5% 3.18
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 57.1% 55.2% 1.81
Viborg FF to score 2+ in a row 34.9% 29.1% 3.44
Randers FC to score 2+ in a row 29.2% 25.1% 3.99
Either team to score 3+ in a row 20.2% 19.5% 5.14
Viborg FF to score 3+ in a row 11.8% 12.2% 8.23
Randers FC to score 3+ in a row 8.7% 5.7% 17.59
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC corners (+3.5) 86.0% 84.5% 1.18
Randers FC corners (+2.5) 79.3% 74.9% 1.34
Viborg FF corners (+3.5) 78.6% 74.9% 1.34
Randers FC corners (+1.5) 70.9% 70.7% 1.41
Viborg FF corners (+2.5) 70.2% 70.7% 1.41
Viborg FF corners (+1.5) 60.4% 61.9% 1.62
Randers FC corners (-1.5) 39.6% 38.1% 2.63
Randers FC corners (-2.5) 29.8% 29.3% 3.42
Viborg FF corners (-1.5) 29.1% 29.3% 3.42
Randers FC corners (-3.5) 21.4% 25.1% 3.98
Viborg FF corners (-2.5) 20.7% 25.1% 3.98
Viborg FF corners (-3.5) 14.0% 15.5% 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 38.5% 33.7% 2.96
12+ corners 31.6% 33.2% 3.01
9-11 corners 29.8% 31.2% 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 76.2% 76.5% 1.31
Over 7.5 corners 71.7% 72.6% 1.38
Under 11.5 corners 68.4% 67.7% 1.48
Over 8.5 corners 61.5% 63.4% 1.58
Under 10.5 corners 59.2% 57.8% 1.73
Over 9.5 corners 50.9% 53.3% 1.88
Under 9.5 corners 49.1% 46.7% 2.14
Over 10.5 corners 40.8% 42.2% 2.37
Under 8.5 corners 38.5% 36.6% 2.73
Over 11.5 corners 31.6% 32.3% 3.10
Under 7.5 corners 28.3% 27.4% 3.66
Over 12.5 corners 23.8% 23.5% 4.26
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 12.6% 11.5% 11.0% 1.04× 8.73
1-2 8.8% 7.4% 7.7% 0.96× 13.48
0-0 6.7% 7.4% 6.1% 1.22× 13.48
0-1 8.2% 7.4% 4.1% 1.80× 13.48
0-2 6.7% 7.4% 5.5% 1.35× 13.48
1-0 7.2% 7.4% 9.6% 0.77× 13.48
2-1 7.8% 7.4% 10.2% 0.73× 13.48
2-0 5.3% 7.4% 6.3% 1.17× 13.48
2-2 5.8% 7.4% 6.6% 1.12× 13.48
4-1 1.1% 1.7% 1.1% 1.55× 58.48
4-2 0.9% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.49
4-3 0.4% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.49
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.3% 6.21× 58.49
Any other score 2.9% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.47
0-3 3.3% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.47
0-4 1.2% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.48
1-3 4.4% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 58.46
1-4 1.6% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 58.48
2-3 2.9% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.47
2-4 1.1% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.48
3-0 2.3% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.48
3-1 3.5% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.47
3-2 2.6% 1.7% 4.4% 0.39× 58.47
3-3 1.3% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.48
3-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.3% 6.21× 58.49
4-0 0.8% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.49
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF leading at HT (DNB) 51.5% 55.8% 1.79
Randers FC leading at HT (DNB) 48.5% 44.2% 2.26
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC or Viborg FF (12) 73.4% 72.1% 74.7% 0.97× 1.39
Viborg FF or draw (X2) 67.0% 69.6% 55.1% 1.26× 1.44
Randers FC or draw (1X) 59.6% 57.0% 70.0% 0.81× 1.75
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF or draw at HT 72.3% 74.3% 1.35
Randers FC or draw at HT 70.6% 74.3% 1.35
Randers FC or Viborg FF at HT 57.1% 56.9% 1.76
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF or draw (1UP) 67.0% 75.9% 1.32
Randers FC or draw (1UP) 59.6% 62.9% 1.59
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF or draw in 2nd half 71.5% 73.7% 1.36
Randers FC or Viborg FF in 2nd half 64.9% 64.0% 1.56
Randers FC or draw in 2nd half 63.6% 63.9% 1.56
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 62.1% 61.6% 1.63
Neither half drawn 37.9% 38.4% 2.60
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF (DNB) 55.1% 58.2% 40.1% 1.45× 1.72
Randers FC (DNB) 44.9% 41.8% 59.9% 0.70× 2.39
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF to score first 49.4% 45.6% 2.19
Randers FC to score first 43.9% 41.9% 2.39
No goal scored 6.7% 7.5% 13.35
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 57.6% 54.9% 60.3% 0.91× 1.82
Not both teams to score 42.4% 45.1% 39.7% 1.14× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 45.0% 44.3% 49.6% 0.89× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 34.0% 34.3% 30.6% 1.12× 2.92
Both score & under 2.5 12.6% 12.3% 11.0% 1.12× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 8.4% 8.4% 9.4% 0.89× 11.95
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 83.2% 83.1% 80.4% 1.03× 1.20
Both teams to score 2+ 16.8% 16.9% 19.6% 0.87× 5.91
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 68.4% 67.6% 1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half 31.6% 32.4% 3.09
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 54.9% 56.1% 1.78
Both score 2nd half only 25.5% 26.5% 3.78
Both score 1st half only 13.5% 10.8% 9.29
Both score in both halves 6.1% 6.8% 14.80
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 80.4% 82.3% 1.22
Both teams to score by HT 19.6% 17.7% 5.65
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 56.0% 57.2% 1.75
A half without a goal 44.0% 42.8% 2.34
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 46.8% 47.4% 43.0% 1.10× 2.11
4-6 goals 28.6% 26.5% 36.4% 0.73× 3.78
0-1 goals 22.1% 22.8% 19.3% 1.18× 4.39
7+ goals 2.5% 1.8% 1.9% 0.95× 54.55
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF to score exactly 1 33.6% 33.8% 31.7% 1.07× 2.96
Viborg FF to score exactly 2 25.0% 27.4% 26.4% 1.04× 3.65
Viborg FF to score exactly 0 22.5% 22.4% 26.4% 0.85× 4.46
Viborg FF to score 3+ 18.9% 19.6% 16.0% 1.23× 5.11
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC to score exactly 1 35.2% 35.6% 33.6% 1.06× 2.81
Randers FC to score exactly 0 26.6% 26.5% 19.3% 1.38× 3.77
Randers FC to score exactly 2 23.3% 23.2% 25.9% 0.90× 4.30
Randers FC to score 3+ 14.9% 14.3% 21.8% 0.66× 6.97
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 42.9% 43.1% 2.32
Viborg FF leading at HT 29.4% 25.7% 3.88
Randers FC leading at HT 27.7% 25.7% 3.90
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF -1: 1 59.6% 56.7% 1.76
Viborg FF -1: X 20.4% 23.6% 4.24
Viborg FF -1: 2 20.0% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF (0:1) 67.0% 65.5% 55.1% 1.19× 1.53
Draw (0:1) 18.1% 17.8% 24.0% 0.74× 5.63
Randers FC (0:1) 14.9% 13.9% 21.2% 0.65× 7.21
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF (0:2) 85.1% 86.9% 78.8% 1.10× 1.15
Draw (0:2) 9.7% 7.7% 13.2% 0.59× 12.93
Randers FC (0:2) 5.2% 7.7% 8.3% 0.93× 12.97
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF (0:3) 94.8% 92.6% 91.7% 1.01× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 3.7% 2.4% 3.6% 0.66× 42.10
Randers FC (0:3) 1.5% 2.4% 5.0% 0.48× 42.20
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF (0:4) 98.5% 98.1% 95.0% 1.03× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.1% 1.2% 3.3% 0.36× 83.55
Randers FC (0:4) 0.4% 1.2% 1.9% 0.62× 83.64
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC (1:0) 59.6% 58.2% 70.0% 0.83× 1.72
Draw (1:0) 20.4% 21.8% 14.6% 1.49× 4.60
Viborg FF (1:0) 20.0% 21.8% 15.7% 1.39× 4.60
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC (2:0) 80.0% 80.4% 84.3% 0.95× 1.24
Draw (2:0) 12.3% 10.4% 8.3% 1.26× 9.64
Viborg FF (2:0) 7.7% 6.5% 7.7% 0.84× 15.48
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 48.0% 48.2% 2.08
1st half highest scoring 26.5% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 25.5% 26.5% 3.77
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC to concede 77.5% 76.0% 73.6% 1.03× 1.32
Randers FC clean sheet 22.5% 24.0% 26.4% 0.91× 4.16
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC clean sheet in 1st half 55.1% 62.2% 1.61
Randers FC to concede in 1st half 44.9% 37.8% 2.65
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC over 2.5 corners 83.6% 81.0% 1.24
Randers FC over 3.5 corners 70.4% 71.9% 1.39
Randers FC under 6.5 corners 70.6% 71.9% 1.39
Randers FC under 5.5 corners 58.4% 57.5% 1.74
Randers FC over 4.5 corners 55.7% 57.5% 1.74
Randers FC under 4.5 corners 44.3% 42.5% 2.35
Randers FC over 5.5 corners 41.6% 42.5% 2.35
Randers FC under 3.5 corners 29.6% 28.1% 3.56
Randers FC over 6.5 corners 29.4% 28.1% 3.56
Randers FC under 2.5 corners 16.4% 19.0% 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC under 3.5 goals 95.4% 96.4% 91.2% 1.06× 1.04
Randers FC under 2.5 goals 85.1% 87.2% 78.2% 1.12× 1.15
Randers FC over 0.5 goals 73.4% 74.2% 80.7% 0.92× 1.35
Randers FC under 1.5 goals 61.8% 63.5% 52.6% 1.21× 1.58
Randers FC over 1.5 goals 38.2% 36.5% 47.4% 0.77× 2.74
Randers FC under 0.5 goals 26.6% 25.8% 19.3% 1.34× 3.87
Randers FC over 2.5 goals 14.9% 12.8% 21.8% 0.59× 7.84
Randers FC over 3.5 goals 4.6% 3.6% 8.8% 0.41× 27.41
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC under 1.5 in 1st half 88.8% 89.8% 1.11
Randers FC under 0.5 in 1st half 56.6% 58.1% 1.72
Randers FC over 0.5 in 1st half 43.4% 41.9% 2.38
Randers FC over 1.5 in 1st half 11.2% 10.2% 9.82
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF (home no bet) 60.3% 60.1% 54.2% 1.11× 1.66
Draw (home no bet) 39.7% 39.9% 45.8% 0.87× 2.51
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC even goals 53.5% 50.6% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
Randers FC odd goals 46.5% 49.4% 49.6% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 31.3% 32.2% 3.10
HT 0-1 18.4% 18.8% 5.33
HT 1-0 17.6% 18.7% 5.34
HT 1-1 10.7% 10.9% 9.17
HT 0-2 5.5% 7.1% 14.07
HT 2-0 5.1% 7.1% 14.08
Any other HT score 4.2% 2.3% 43.30
HT 1-2 3.2% 2.3% 43.38
HT 2-1 3.0% 2.3% 43.39
HT 2-2 0.9% 2.3% 43.54
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF at HT / Viborg FF at FT 22.3% 21.8% 4.59
Randers FC at HT / Randers FC at FT 19.0% 16.8% 5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 15.9% 16.7% 5.97
Draw at HT / Viborg FF at FT 15.2% 16.7% 5.98
Draw at HT / Randers FC at FT 11.9% 12.7% 7.89
Randers FC at HT / Draw at FT 5.7% 6.0% 16.72
Viborg FF at HT / Draw at FT 5.0% 3.5% 28.77
Randers FC at HT / Viborg FF at FT 2.9% 3.5% 28.85
Viborg FF at HT / Randers FC at FT 2.1% 3.5% 28.88
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF to score last 49.4% 46.8% 2.14
Randers FC to score last 43.9% 40.1% 2.49
No goal scored 6.7% 7.5% 13.35
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 93.3% 92.6% 1.08
Viborg FF to lead by 1 at any time 57.6% 55.1% 1.82
Randers FC to lead by 1 at any time 51.1% 50.7% 1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 47.4% 44.0% 2.27
Viborg FF to lead by 2 at any time 26.6% 25.4% 3.93
Randers FC to lead by 2 at any time 21.0% 19.6% 5.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 16.8% 14.9% 6.71
Viborg FF to lead by 3 at any time 9.9% 6.7% 14.94
Randers FC to lead by 3 at any time 6.9% 6.6% 15.08
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC most corners 50.2% 51.9% 1.93
Viborg FF most corners 39.0% 39.4% 2.54
Corners level 10.7% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.6% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 77.8% 78.6% 73.8% 1.06× 1.27
2-6 goals 75.4% 78.6% 79.1% 0.99× 1.27
2-5 goals 71.3% 72.4% 72.2% 1.00× 1.38
2-4 goals 62.4% 63.4% 60.6% 1.05× 1.58
1-3 goals 62.1% 63.4% 56.2% 1.13× 1.58
3-6 goals 50.9% 53.2% 57.0% 0.93× 1.88
2-3 goals 46.8% 48.7% 43.0% 1.13× 2.06
3-5 goals 46.8% 48.7% 50.1% 0.97× 2.06
1-2 goals 39.8% 39.2% 35.5% 1.10× 2.55
3-4 goals 37.9% 39.2% 38.6% 1.02× 2.55
4-6 goals 28.6% 30.3% 36.4% 0.83× 3.31
4-5 goals 24.5% 24.5% 29.5% 0.83× 4.08
5-6 goals 13.0% 14.9% 18.7% 0.79× 6.72
7+ goals 2.5% 2.6% 1.9% 1.32× 39.22
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF never behind 42.1% 48.2% 2.07
Randers FC never behind 35.7% 44.6% 2.24
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.3% 50.8% 47.1% 1.08× 1.97
Even number of goals 51.7% 49.2% 52.9% 0.93× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 55.1% 57.4% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 44.9% 42.6% 2.35
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.4% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.6% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 93.4% 92.3% 91.2% 1.01× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 93.3% 92.3% 93.9% 0.98× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 84.5% 82.4% 79.6% 1.03× 1.21
Over 1.5 goals 77.9% 77.3% 80.7% 0.96× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 68.9% 66.2% 62.0% 1.07× 1.51
Over 2.5 goals 53.4% 52.5% 58.7% 0.89× 1.91
Under 2.5 goals 46.6% 47.5% 41.3% 1.15× 2.11
Over 3.5 goals 31.1% 33.8% 38.0% 0.89× 2.96
Under 1.5 goals 22.1% 22.7% 19.3% 1.17× 4.42
Over 4.5 goals 15.5% 17.6% 20.4% 0.86× 5.68
Over 5.5 goals 6.6% 7.7% 8.8% 0.88× 12.93
Under 0.5 goals 6.7% 7.7% 6.1% 1.28× 12.93
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.4% 97.2% 97.9% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 92.7% 92.5% 90.0% 1.03× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 81.7% 81.0% 75.3% 1.08× 1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 70.7% 72.6% 75.3% 0.96× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 59.9% 55.5% 52.1% 1.07× 1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 40.1% 44.5% 47.9% 0.93× 2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 29.3% 27.4% 24.7% 1.11× 3.64
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 18.3% 19.0% 24.7% 0.77× 5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 7.3% 7.5% 10.0% 0.76× 13.26
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 2.6% 2.8% 2.1% 1.34× 36.15
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 88.7% 89.0% 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 68.7% 69.0% 1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half 67.4% 69.0% 1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half 32.6% 31.0% 3.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half 31.3% 31.0% 3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half 11.3% 11.0% 9.11
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 80.5% 82.8% 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 77.1% 79.7% 1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 50.7% 53.1% 1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 49.3% 46.9% 2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 22.9% 20.3% 4.93
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 19.5% 17.2% 5.81
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC not to score in both halves 77.0% 78.2% 1.28
Viborg FF not to score in both halves 73.5% 73.8% 1.35
Viborg FF to score in both halves 26.5% 26.2% 3.82
Randers FC to score in both halves 23.0% 21.8% 4.59
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 57.6% 58.4% 60.3% 0.97× 1.71
Only Viborg FF scores 19.8% 16.1% 13.5% 1.19× 6.21
Only Randers FC scores 15.8% 16.1% 20.7% 0.78× 6.22
Neither team scores 6.7% 7.2% 6.1% 1.19× 13.91
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 24.5% 22.6% 22.3% 1.01× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 22.3% 22.6% 20.9% 1.08× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 15.7% 17.4% 17.9% 0.97× 5.74
Exactly 1 goals 15.3% 17.4% 13.5% 1.29× 5.74
Exactly 5 goals 8.8% 7.6% 11.8% 0.65× 13.08
Exactly 0 goals 6.7% 7.6% 6.1% 1.26× 13.09
6 or more goals 6.6% 7.6% 8.8% 0.87× 13.09
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 49.3% 45.1% 2.22
1 goal in 2nd half 31.2% 33.4% 3.00
No goals in 2nd half 19.5% 17.2% 5.81
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC not to win both halves 92.0% 93.9% 1.07
Viborg FF not to win both halves 89.2% 88.0% 1.14
Viborg FF to win both halves 10.8% 12.0% 8.31
Randers FC to win both halves 8.0% 6.1% 16.48
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF to win either half 54.9% 55.0% 1.82
Randers FC to win neither half 51.8% 54.9% 1.82
Randers FC to win either half 48.2% 45.1% 2.22
Viborg FF to win neither half 45.1% 45.0% 2.23
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC not to win to nil 84.2% 83.0% 79.3% 1.05× 1.20
Viborg FF not to win to nil 80.2% 83.0% 86.5% 0.96× 1.21
Viborg FF to win to nil 19.8% 17.0% 13.5% 1.26× 5.88
Randers FC to win to nil 15.8% 17.0% 20.7% 0.82× 5.90
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 26.6% 27.8% 25.3% 1.10× 3.59
Viborg FF by 1 20.4% 24.1% 14.6% 1.65× 4.14
Randers FC by 1 18.1% 16.9% 24.0% 0.71× 5.91
Viborg FF by 2 12.3% 11.8% 8.3% 1.43× 8.48
Randers FC by 2 9.7% 7.3% 13.2% 0.55× 13.77
Viborg FF by 3+ 7.7% 7.3% 7.7% 0.94× 13.78
Randers FC by 3+ 5.2% 7.3% 8.3% 0.88× 13.79
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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