betaider.com

RasenBallsport Leipzig v Freiburg — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 26 October 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

RasenBallsport Leipzig
3–1
2.69 – 1.76 xG
Freiburg
Shots
12 – 15
On target
9 – 5
Shots in box
10 – 9
xG per shot
0.22 – 0.12
Set-piece xG
1.08 – 0.38
Goals − xG
+0.31 – -0.76
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.81.52.33.00'15'30'45'60'75'90'Ritsu Doan 14' — goalWilli Orban 46' — goalLutsharel Geertruida 57' — goalLoïs Openda 77' — goal
RasenBallsport Leipzig 2.69 xGFreiburg 1.76 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Patrick Osterhage 3' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Loïs Openda 8' — Missed Shot (0.34 xG, Open Play)Loïs Openda 9' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Junior Adamu 10' — Missed Shot (0.42 xG, Open Play)Christoph Baumgartner 11' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Set Piece)Christian Günter 14' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Ritsu Doan 14' — Goal (0.52 xG, Open Play)Lukas Kübler 20' — Saved Shot (0.15 xG, Set Piece)Christian Günter 30' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Eren Sami Dinkci 33' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Benjamin Sesko 35' — Saved Shot (0.32 xG, Open Play)Benjamin Sesko 37' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Set Piece)Christoph Baumgartner 41' — Saved Shot (0.34 xG, Set Piece)Willi Orban 46' — Goal (0.60 xG, Set Piece)Vincenzo Grifo 50' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Vincenzo Grifo 51' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Direct Freekick)Junior Adamu 52' — Saved Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Ritsu Doan 56' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Lutsharel Geertruida 57' — Goal (0.36 xG, Open Play)Philipp Lienhart 68' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Florent Muslija 71' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Loïs Openda 77' — Goal (0.30 xG, Open Play)Florent Muslija 88' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Direct Freekick)Matthias Ginter 89' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)André Silva 90' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Loïs Openda 91' — Blocked Shot (0.20 xG, Open Play)El Chadaille Bitshiabu 92' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)
RasenBallsport Leipzig attacking right Freiburg attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
3' Freiburg Patrick Osterhage 0.06 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot —
8' RasenBallsport Leipzig Loïs Openda 0.34 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Benjamin Henrichs
9' RasenBallsport Leipzig Loïs Openda 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
10' Freiburg Junior Adamu 0.42 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
11' RasenBallsport Leipzig Christoph Baumgartner 0.08 Set Piece Right Foot Saved Shot Kevin Kampl
14' Freiburg Christian Günter 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Vincenzo Grifo
14' Freiburg Ritsu Doan 0.52 Open Play — Goal Vincenzo Grifo
20' Freiburg Lukas Kübler 0.15 Set Piece — Saved Shot Vincenzo Grifo
30' Freiburg Christian Günter 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Vincenzo Grifo
33' Freiburg Eren Sami Dinkci 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Ritsu Doan
35' RasenBallsport Leipzig Benjamin Sesko 0.32 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Antonio Nusa
37' RasenBallsport Leipzig Benjamin Sesko 0.03 Set Piece — Saved Shot Christoph Baumgartner
41' RasenBallsport Leipzig Christoph Baumgartner 0.34 Set Piece — Saved Shot Antonio Nusa
46' RasenBallsport Leipzig Willi Orban 0.60 Set Piece Right Foot Goal Benjamin Henrichs
50' Freiburg Vincenzo Grifo 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Christian Günter
51' Freiburg Vincenzo Grifo 0.08 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot —
52' Freiburg Junior Adamu 0.11 Open Play — Saved Shot Christian Günter
56' Freiburg Ritsu Doan 0.10 Open Play — Missed Shot Christian Günter
57' RasenBallsport Leipzig Lutsharel Geertruida 0.36 Open Play Right Foot Goal —
68' Freiburg Philipp Lienhart 0.01 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot —
71' Freiburg Florent Muslija 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Nicolas Höfler
77' RasenBallsport Leipzig Loïs Openda 0.30 Open Play Right Foot Goal André Silva
88' Freiburg Florent Muslija 0.06 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot —
89' Freiburg Matthias Ginter 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
90' RasenBallsport Leipzig André Silva 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot El Chadaille Bitshiabu
91' RasenBallsport Leipzig Loïs Openda 0.20 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Christoph Baumgartner
92' RasenBallsport Leipzig El Chadaille Bitshiabu 0.03 From Corner Left Foot Saved Shot Willi Orban

Players

Freiburg

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Ritsu Doan AMR 90 1 0 2 1 0.61 0.04 0.68
Patrick Osterhage DMC 90 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.18
Philipp Lienhart DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.06
Max Rosenfelder DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Noah Atubolu GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nicolas Höfler DMC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.28
Christian Günter DL 88 0 0 2 3 0.07 0.23 0.34
Eren Sami Dinkci AMC 88 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.56
Junior Adamu FW 69 0 0 2 0 0.53 0.00 0.53
Lukas Kübler DR 69 0 0 1 0 0.15 0.00 0.11
Vincenzo Grifo AML 69 0 1 2 4 0.10 0.74 0.72
Florent Muslija Sub 21 0 0 2 0 0.09 0.00 0.02
Michael Gregoritsch Sub 21 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kiliann Sildillia Sub 21 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Matthias Ginter Sub 2 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.08
Lucas Höler Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

RasenBallsport Leipzig

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Loïs Openda FW 90 1 0 4 0 0.85 0.00 0.85
Willi Orban DC 90 1 0 1 1 0.60 0.03 0.34
Christoph Baumgartner AMC 90 0 0 2 2 0.42 0.24 0.84
Antonio Nusa AMC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.66 0.66
Benjamin Henrichs DL 90 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.94 0.34
Kevin Kampl DMC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.54
Lutsharel Geertruida DR 81 1 0 1 0 0.36 0.00 1.02
Castello Lukeba DC 81 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.34
Benjamin Sesko FW 66 0 0 2 0 0.35 0.00 0.66
Amadou Haidara DMC 66 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.34
Péter Gulácsi GK 47 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.34
Maarten Vandevoordt Sub 43 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
André Silva Sub 24 0 1 1 1 0.08 0.30 0.38
Arthur Vermeeren Sub 24 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.30
El Chadaille Bitshiabu Sub 9 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.08 0.08
Lukas Klostermann Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.20
betaider.com

Sport

Football Basketball Tennis Ice hockey Baseball

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
↑↓ to move ↵ to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide