RB Leipzig v PSV Eindhoven — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 13 October 2026 · EUR-Champions League · 2627

Champions League results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

RB Leipzig

15:00

PSV Eindhoven

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 909h before kick-off

RB Leipzig win

19.1%

model 19.6%

Draw

19.1%

model 18.4%

PSV Eindhoven win

61.7%

model 62.1%

191962

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (1,523 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-2 9.4%
1-1 7.7%
0-2 7.5%
1-3 7.4%
0-1 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	69.8%	Under 2.5	30.2%
BTTS yes	64.3%	BTTS no	35.7%
RB Leipzig 1+	71.5%	RB Leipzig 2+	35.7%
PSV Eindhoven 1+	90.5%	PSV Eindhoven 2+	68.0%

Expected goals 1.26 – 2.35. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

57/100

Data quality

45/100

Model agreement

84%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

PSV Eindhoven carry the stronger rating, 1811 Elo against 1453.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.84).
Data quality is 45/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
RB Leipzig have only 8 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

PSV Eindhoven have an estimated 61.7% win probability, against 19.1% for RB Leipzig and 19.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.25 for RB Leipzig and 2.35 for PSV Eindhoven.

Why RB Leipzig

Nothing in the data singles out RB Leipzig.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.1%. Draws run at 16% in this competition.

Why PSV Eindhoven can win

PSV Eindhoven carry the stronger rating, 1811 Elo against 1453. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for RB Leipzig, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for PSV Eindhoven, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

RB Leipzig: 49% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. PSV Eindhoven: 63% possession, 21.6 shots a match, 7.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

PSV Eindhoven are the model's most likely outcome at 61.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-2 at 9.4%. Confidence 57/100, data quality 45/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	332046	1.72–2.06	1-2 8%	73%	71%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven to win	46.4%	47.5%	33.7%	1.41×	2.11
RB Leipzig to win	33.1%	30.4%	50.5%	0.60×	3.29
Draw	20.5%	24.4%	16.1%	1.52×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven & both teams score	30.4%	29.7%	18.4%	1.61×	3.37
RB Leipzig & both teams score	22.3%	21.9%	25.8%	0.85×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	18.5%	17.9%	11.1%	1.62×	5.58
PSV Eindhoven & not both score	16.0%	17.9%	15.5%	1.15×	5.58
RB Leipzig & not both score	10.8%	13.3%	25.0%	0.53×	7.55
Draw & not both score	2.0%	4.8%	5.3%	0.92×	20.62

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven & over 1.5	41.3%	40.3%	28.2%	1.43×	2.48
PSV Eindhoven & over 2.5	36.5%	34.9%	23.9%	1.46×	2.87
RB Leipzig & over 1.5	28.9%	26.0%	42.4%	0.61×	3.84
RB Leipzig & over 2.5	25.5%	26.0%	36.1%	0.72×	3.84
PSV Eindhoven & over 3.5	24.8%	21.7%	14.7%	1.47×	4.62
PSV Eindhoven & under 3.5	21.6%	21.7%	19.2%	1.13×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	18.5%	18.0%	11.1%	1.63×	5.56
RB Leipzig & over 3.5	16.6%	18.0%	23.9%	0.75×	5.56
RB Leipzig & under 3.5	16.6%	18.0%	26.8%	0.67×	5.56
Draw & over 2.5	10.7%	12.9%	5.5%	2.33×	7.77
Draw & over 3.5	10.7%	12.9%	5.5%	2.33×	7.77
PSV Eindhoven & under 2.5	9.9%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.69
Draw & under 2.5	9.8%	7.9%	10.8%	0.73×	12.69
Draw & under 3.5	9.8%	7.9%	10.8%	0.73×	12.69
RB Leipzig & under 2.5	7.7%	7.9%	14.7%	0.53×	12.70
PSV Eindhoven & under 1.5	5.0%	7.9%	5.8%	1.36×	12.70
RB Leipzig & under 1.5	4.3%	4.8%	8.4%	0.57×	20.93
Draw & under 1.5	2.0%	4.8%	5.3%	0.91×	20.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (1UP)	65.8%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
RB Leipzig (1UP)	55.1%	58.0%	—	—	1.73

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (2UP)	46.4%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
RB Leipzig (2UP)	33.1%	30.9%	—	—	3.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven to win 2nd half	42.1%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
RB Leipzig to win 2nd half	29.4%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
2nd half drawn	28.5%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (+2.5)	93.3%	92.1%	81.6%	1.13×	1.09
PSV Eindhoven (+1.5)	83.7%	82.4%	68.4%	1.20×	1.21
PSV Eindhoven (+0.5)	66.9%	68.7%	49.5%	1.39×	1.46
RB Leipzig (+0.5)	53.6%	52.3%	66.3%	0.79×	1.91
PSV Eindhoven (-0.5)	46.4%	47.7%	33.7%	1.41×	2.10
RB Leipzig (-0.5)	33.1%	31.3%	50.5%	0.62×	3.20
RB Leipzig (-1.5)	16.3%	17.6%	31.6%	0.56×	5.69
RB Leipzig (-2.5)	6.7%	7.9%	18.4%	0.43×	12.64

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven to concede	82.1%	81.3%	79.5%	1.02×	1.23
PSV Eindhoven clean sheet	17.9%	18.7%	20.5%	0.91×	5.35

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven clean sheet in 1st half	47.8%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
PSV Eindhoven to concede in 1st half	52.2%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven over 0.5 goals	87.2%	87.9%	70.0%	1.26×	1.14
PSV Eindhoven under 3.5 goals	84.7%	81.4%	92.1%	0.88×	1.23
PSV Eindhoven under 2.5 goals	66.2%	67.9%	78.9%	0.86×	1.47
PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals	60.9%	62.9%	40.3%	1.56×	1.59
PSV Eindhoven under 1.5 goals	39.1%	37.1%	59.7%	0.62×	2.70
PSV Eindhoven over 2.5 goals	33.8%	32.1%	21.1%	1.52×	3.12
PSV Eindhoven over 3.5 goals	15.3%	18.6%	7.9%	2.35×	5.39
PSV Eindhoven under 0.5 goals	12.8%	12.1%	30.0%	0.40×	8.25

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven under 1.5 in 1st half	80.1%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
PSV Eindhoven over 0.5 in 1st half	56.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
PSV Eindhoven under 0.5 in 1st half	44.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 in 1st half	19.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RB Leipzig (away no bet)	61.8%	62.1%	75.9%	0.82×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	38.2%	37.9%	24.1%	1.57×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven even goals	50.8%	52.8%	54.5%	0.97×	1.89
PSV Eindhoven odd goals	49.2%	47.2%	45.5%	1.04×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	70.0%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	30.0%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	80.9%	77.4%	—	—	1.29
Both halves under 1.5 goals	19.1%	22.6%	—	—	4.42

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	72.1%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
PSV Eindhoven to score 2+ in a row	48.5%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
RB Leipzig to score 2+ in a row	37.8%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row	31.9%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
PSV Eindhoven to score 3+ in a row	20.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.14
RB Leipzig to score 3+ in a row	12.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.21

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	8.6%	7.4%	11.3%	0.66×	13.48
1-1	7.8%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.48
1-2	8.3%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.48
2-1	7.0%	7.4%	7.4%	1.01×	13.48
2-2	7.2%	7.4%	3.9%	1.88×	13.48
0-1	5.0%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.48
1-3	5.7%	7.4%	2.9%	2.56×	13.48
0-2	4.9%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.46
2-3	4.9%	1.7%	5.0%	0.34×	58.46
0-0	2.0%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.48
0-3	3.3%	1.7%	3.9%	0.43×	58.47
0-4	1.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.48
1-0	4.3%	1.7%	8.4%	0.20×	58.47
1-4	2.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.47
2-0	3.4%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.47
2-4	2.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.48
3-0	1.9%	1.7%	5.3%	0.32×	58.48
3-1	4.0%	1.7%	5.8%	0.30×	58.47
3-2	4.1%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.47
3-3	2.8%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.47
3-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.25×	58.48
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.49
4-1	1.7%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.48
4-2	1.8%	1.7%	1.3%	1.30×	58.48
4-3	1.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.48
4-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.25×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven leading at HT (DNB)	53.7%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
RB Leipzig leading at HT (DNB)	46.3%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RB Leipzig or PSV Eindhoven (12)	79.5%	75.6%	83.9%	0.90×	1.32
PSV Eindhoven or draw (X2)	66.9%	69.6%	49.5%	1.41×	1.44
RB Leipzig or draw (1X)	53.6%	52.5%	66.3%	0.79×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven or draw at HT	70.2%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
RB Leipzig or draw at HT	65.5%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
RB Leipzig or PSV Eindhoven at HT	64.3%	62.1%	—	—	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven or draw (1UP)	66.9%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
RB Leipzig or draw (1UP)	55.1%	62.5%	—	—	1.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RB Leipzig or PSV Eindhoven in 2nd half	71.5%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
PSV Eindhoven or draw in 2nd half	70.6%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
RB Leipzig or draw in 2nd half	57.9%	59.0%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	54.4%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Neither half drawn	45.6%	49.9%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (DNB)	58.3%	58.3%	40.0%	1.46×	1.72
RB Leipzig (DNB)	41.7%	41.7%	60.0%	0.70×	2.40

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven to score first	53.4%	53.9%	—	—	1.86
RB Leipzig to score first	44.6%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	2.0%	4.2%	—	—	23.62

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	71.2%	62.3%	54.7%	1.14×	1.61
Not both teams to score	28.8%	37.7%	45.3%	0.83×	2.65

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	63.4%	50.2%	49.2%	1.02×	1.99
Not both score & under 2.5	19.5%	21.8%	29.5%	0.74×	4.60
Not both score & over 2.5	9.2%	8.4%	16.1%	0.52×	11.95
Both score & under 2.5	7.8%	8.4%	5.8%	1.44×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	68.8%	70.9%	81.1%	0.88×	1.41
Both teams to score 2+	31.2%	29.1%	18.9%	1.53×	3.44

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	55.9%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	44.1%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	39.6%	45.4%	—	—	2.21
Both score 2nd half only	31.2%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
Both score 1st half only	16.3%	15.6%	—	—	6.42
Both score in both halves	13.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.30

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	70.8%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	29.2%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	70.2%	72.4%	—	—	1.38
A half without a goal	29.8%	27.6%	—	—	3.62

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	43.3%	42.1%	37.1%	1.13×	2.38
2-3 goals	36.6%	35.1%	37.6%	0.93×	2.85
0-1 goals	11.3%	16.9%	18.9%	0.89×	5.91
7+ goals	8.8%	7.6%	6.8%	1.11×	13.14

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven to score 3+	33.8%	33.8%	21.1%	1.61×	2.96
PSV Eindhoven to score exactly 2	27.1%	27.4%	19.5%	1.41×	3.65
PSV Eindhoven to score exactly 1	26.3%	27.4%	30.0%	0.91×	3.65
PSV Eindhoven to score exactly 0	12.8%	12.8%	30.0%	0.43×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RB Leipzig to score exactly 1	30.8%	32.6%	25.5%	1.28×	3.06
RB Leipzig to score exactly 2	26.5%	26.5%	23.4%	1.13×	3.77
RB Leipzig to score 3+	24.8%	23.3%	31.1%	0.75×	4.30
RB Leipzig to score exactly 0	17.9%	18.9%	20.5%	0.92×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	35.7%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
PSV Eindhoven leading at HT	34.5%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
RB Leipzig leading at HT	29.8%	25.8%	—	—	3.88

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven -1: 1	53.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
PSV Eindhoven -1: 2	26.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
PSV Eindhoven -1: X	20.0%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (0:1)	66.9%	65.5%	49.5%	1.32×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	16.8%	17.8%	19.2%	0.92×	5.63
RB Leipzig (0:1)	16.3%	17.8%	31.6%	0.56×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (0:2)	83.7%	82.8%	68.4%	1.21×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	9.6%	7.7%	13.4%	0.58×	12.93
RB Leipzig (0:2)	6.7%	7.7%	18.4%	0.42×	12.96

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (0:3)	93.3%	92.6%	81.6%	1.14×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.4%	2.4%	9.2%	0.26×	42.07
RB Leipzig (0:3)	2.3%	2.4%	9.5%	0.25×	42.16

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (0:4)	97.7%	98.1%	90.5%	1.08×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.6%	1.2%	5.8%	0.21×	83.49
RB Leipzig (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	3.9%	0.30×	83.61

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RB Leipzig (1:0)	53.6%	54.2%	66.3%	0.82×	1.85
PSV Eindhoven (1:0)	26.4%	25.1%	17.4%	1.44×	3.99
Draw (1:0)	20.0%	21.8%	16.6%	1.31×	4.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RB Leipzig (2:0)	73.6%	76.5%	82.6%	0.93×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	13.8%	10.4%	7.9%	1.32×	9.62
PSV Eindhoven (2:0)	12.6%	10.4%	9.7%	1.07×	9.63

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	52.8%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	19.9%	19.5%	—	—	5.13

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RB Leipzig to concede	87.2%	86.1%	70.0%	1.23×	1.16
RB Leipzig clean sheet	12.8%	13.9%	30.0%	0.46×	7.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RB Leipzig to concede in 1st half	56.0%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
RB Leipzig clean sheet in 1st half	44.0%	37.7%	—	—	2.65

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RB Leipzig under 3.5 goals	90.4%	92.2%	83.9%	1.10×	1.08
RB Leipzig over 0.5 goals	82.1%	82.1%	79.5%	1.03×	1.22
RB Leipzig under 2.5 goals	75.2%	77.7%	68.9%	1.13×	1.29
RB Leipzig over 1.5 goals	51.3%	53.2%	54.2%	0.98×	1.88
RB Leipzig under 1.5 goals	48.7%	46.8%	45.8%	1.02×	2.14
RB Leipzig over 2.5 goals	24.8%	22.3%	31.1%	0.72×	4.49
RB Leipzig under 0.5 goals	17.9%	17.9%	20.5%	0.87×	5.59
RB Leipzig over 3.5 goals	9.6%	7.8%	16.1%	0.48×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RB Leipzig under 1.5 in 1st half	83.0%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
RB Leipzig under 0.5 in 1st half	47.8%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
RB Leipzig over 0.5 in 1st half	52.2%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
RB Leipzig over 1.5 in 1st half	17.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (home no bet)	69.4%	64.0%	67.7%	0.95×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	30.6%	36.0%	32.3%	1.12×	2.78

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RB Leipzig even goals	51.6%	50.6%	53.2%	0.95×	1.98
RB Leipzig odd goals	48.4%	49.4%	46.8%	1.05×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	20.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 0-1	17.3%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 1-0	15.6%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 1-1	12.7%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
Any other HT score	8.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
HT 0-2	7.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 2-0	5.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
HT 1-2	5.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
HT 2-1	4.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.26
HT 2-2	1.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.47

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven at HT / PSV Eindhoven at FT	26.9%	26.8%	—	—	3.74
RB Leipzig at HT / RB Leipzig at FT	19.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / PSV Eindhoven at FT	15.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / RB Leipzig at FT	10.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	9.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.59
RB Leipzig at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
PSV Eindhoven at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
RB Leipzig at HT / PSV Eindhoven at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
PSV Eindhoven at HT / RB Leipzig at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.86

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven to score last	53.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
RB Leipzig to score last	44.7%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	2.0%	4.2%	—	—	23.62

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.0%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
PSV Eindhoven to lead by 1 at any time	65.8%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	60.4%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
RB Leipzig to lead by 1 at any time	55.1%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
PSV Eindhoven to lead by 2 at any time	36.0%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	26.2%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
RB Leipzig to lead by 2 at any time	25.2%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
PSV Eindhoven to lead by 3 at any time	16.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
RB Leipzig to lead by 3 at any time	9.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.95

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	80.0%	78.6%	81.3%	0.97×	1.27
2-6 goals	79.9%	78.6%	74.5%	1.06×	1.27
2-5 goals	70.7%	72.4%	67.6%	1.07×	1.38
1-4 goals	65.3%	68.9%	67.6%	1.02×	1.45
3-6 goals	63.9%	63.4%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
2-4 goals	56.0%	59.2%	53.9%	1.10×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.6%	53.2%	51.6%	1.03×	1.88
1-3 goals	45.9%	48.7%	51.3%	0.95×	2.06
4-6 goals	43.3%	43.6%	37.1%	1.17×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.0%	39.2%	37.9%	1.03×	2.55
2-3 goals	36.6%	39.1%	37.6%	1.04×	2.55
4-5 goals	34.1%	35.4%	30.3%	1.17×	2.83
1-2 goals	25.3%	30.2%	30.0%	1.01×	3.31
5-6 goals	23.9%	24.5%	20.8%	1.18×	4.08
7+ goals	8.8%	8.7%	6.8%	1.28×	11.44

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven never behind	43.0%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
RB Leipzig never behind	32.2%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.4%	50.8%	45.8%	1.11×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.6%	49.2%	54.2%	0.91×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.1%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.9%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.0%	95.5%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	88.7%	87.7%	81.1%	1.08×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	82.0%	82.4%	86.3%	0.95×	1.21
Over 2.5 goals	72.7%	72.5%	65.0%	1.12×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	67.3%	66.2%	72.6%	0.91×	1.51
Over 3.5 goals	52.1%	52.5%	43.7%	1.20×	1.91
Under 3.5 goals	47.9%	47.5%	56.3%	0.84×	2.10
Over 4.5 goals	32.7%	33.8%	27.4%	1.23×	2.96
Under 2.5 goals	27.3%	27.5%	35.0%	0.78×	3.64
Over 5.5 goals	18.0%	17.6%	13.7%	1.29×	5.68
Under 1.5 goals	11.3%	12.3%	18.9%	0.65×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	2.0%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.23

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	90.3%	92.4%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	86.6%	86.7%	77.4%	1.12×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	78.9%	75.9%	84.1%	0.90×	1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	65.6%	67.4%	55.5%	1.21×	1.48
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	59.4%	55.5%	67.3%	0.82×	1.80
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	40.6%	44.5%	32.7%	1.36×	2.25
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	34.4%	32.6%	44.5%	0.73×	3.07
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	21.1%	24.1%	15.9%	1.52×	4.16
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	13.4%	13.3%	22.6%	0.59×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	9.7%	7.6%	7.3%	1.03×	13.24

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	79.3%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	79.1%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	53.8%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	46.2%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Under 0.5 in 1st half	20.9%	21.1%	—	—	4.73
Over 2.5 in 1st half	20.7%	21.1%	—	—	4.73

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	89.2%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	64.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	62.0%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	38.1%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	35.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	10.8%	14.6%	—	—	6.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RB Leipzig not to score in both halves	67.4%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
PSV Eindhoven not to score in both halves	60.3%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
PSV Eindhoven to score in both halves	39.7%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
RB Leipzig to score in both halves	32.6%	29.6%	—	—	3.38

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	71.2%	66.1%	54.7%	1.21×	1.51
Only PSV Eindhoven scores	16.0%	16.1%	15.5%	1.04×	6.22
Only RB Leipzig scores	10.8%	10.9%	25.0%	0.44×	9.15
Neither team scores	2.0%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.91

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	20.6%	22.6%	21.6%	1.05×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	19.4%	17.4%	16.6%	1.05×	5.74
6 or more goals	18.0%	17.4%	13.7%	1.27×	5.74
Exactly 2 goals	16.0%	17.4%	16.3%	1.07×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	14.7%	12.1%	13.9%	0.87×	8.27
Exactly 1 goals	9.3%	7.6%	13.9%	0.55×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	2.0%	4.4%	5.3%	0.84×	22.69

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	64.7%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
1 goal in 2nd half	24.4%	23.2%	—	—	4.31
No goals in 2nd half	10.8%	14.3%	—	—	6.98

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RB Leipzig not to win both halves	91.3%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
PSV Eindhoven not to win both halves	85.5%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
PSV Eindhoven to win both halves	14.5%	12.2%	—	—	8.21
RB Leipzig to win both halves	8.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.43

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven to win either half	62.1%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
RB Leipzig to win either half	50.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
RB Leipzig to win neither half	49.5%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
PSV Eindhoven to win neither half	37.9%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RB Leipzig not to win to nil	89.2%	88.2%	75.0%	1.18×	1.13
PSV Eindhoven not to win to nil	84.0%	83.0%	84.5%	0.98×	1.20
PSV Eindhoven to win to nil	16.0%	17.0%	15.5%	1.09×	5.90
RB Leipzig to win to nil	10.8%	11.8%	25.0%	0.47×	8.50

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	20.5%	24.1%	16.1%	1.50×	4.14
PSV Eindhoven by 1	20.0%	24.1%	16.6%	1.46×	4.14
RB Leipzig by 1	16.8%	16.9%	19.2%	0.88×	5.91
PSV Eindhoven by 2	13.8%	11.8%	7.9%	1.50×	8.47
PSV Eindhoven by 3+	12.6%	11.8%	9.7%	1.21×	8.47
RB Leipzig by 2	9.6%	7.3%	13.4%	0.54×	13.77
RB Leipzig by 3+	6.7%	7.3%	18.4%	0.39×	13.78