RC Celta Fortuna v Córdoba — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 1 November 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627
La Liga
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 10.8%
- 2-1 9.3%
- 1-0 8.8%
- 1-2 7.2%
- 2-0 7.1%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 57.3% | Under 2.5 | 42.7% |
| BTTS yes | 59.0% | BTTS no | 41.0% |
| RC Celta Fortuna 1+ | 81.3% | RC Celta Fortuna 2+ | 50.0% |
| Córdoba 1+ | 72.9% | Córdoba 2+ | 37.5% |
Expected goals 1.68 – 1.31. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- RC Celta Fortuna carry the stronger rating, 1501 Elo against 1466.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 45/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- RC Celta Fortuna have only 3 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
RC Celta Fortuna have an estimated 46.5% win probability, against 30.1% for Córdoba and 23.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.68 for RC Celta Fortuna and 1.30 for Córdoba.
Why RC Celta Fortuna
RC Celta Fortuna carry the stronger rating, 1501 Elo against 1466.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 23.3%. Draws run at 27% in this competition.
Why Córdoba can win
Nothing in the data singles out Córdoba.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for RC Celta Fortuna, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Córdoba, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
RC Celta Fortuna: 42% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 15.3 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Córdoba: 56% possession, 17.6 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
RC Celta Fortuna are the model's most likely outcome at 46.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.8%. Confidence 42/100, data quality 45/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 1.98–1.21 | 2-1 10% | 62% | 60% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.