Real Salt Lake v New York City — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Real Salt Lake

21:30

New York City

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 162h before kick-off

Real Salt Lake win

40.6%

model 39.5%

Draw

29.2%

model 25.7%

New York City win

30.2%

model 34.7%

412930

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.1%
2-1 8.7%
1-2 8.1%
1-0 7.8%
0-1 7.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	55.4%	Under 2.5	44.6%
BTTS yes	59.0%	BTTS no	41.0%
Real Salt Lake 1+	77.8%	Real Salt Lake 2+	44.3%
New York City 1+	75.2%	New York City 2+	40.7%

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.40. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

56/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

1-3 goals

Multi goal · usually 57%

62.7% fair odds 1.60

moderate signal · 3105 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Real Salt Lake (2:0)

Handicap 2:0 · usually 87%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 326 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Real Salt Lake.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Real Salt Lake have an estimated 40.6% win probability, against 30.2% for New York City and 29.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.50 for Real Salt Lake and 1.40 for New York City.

Why Real Salt Lake

Nothing in the data singles out Real Salt Lake.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.2%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.50 to 1.40. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why New York City can win

New York City carry the stronger rating, 1533 Elo against 1445.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Real Salt Lake, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for New York City, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Real Salt Lake: 45% possession, 9.6 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. New York City: 50% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Real Salt Lake are the model's most likely outcome at 40.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.1%. Confidence 56/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	402635	1.50–1.40	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	382735	1.41–1.33	1-1 13%	52%	56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake to win	38.4%	36.5%	45.4%	0.80×	2.74
New York City to win	35.0%	36.4%	29.9%	1.22×	2.75
Draw	26.6%	27.9%	24.9%	1.12×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake & not both score	19.4%	17.9%	21.1%	0.85×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	19.6%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
Real Salt Lake & both teams score	19.0%	17.9%	24.4%	0.73×	5.58
New York City & both teams score	17.5%	17.9%	17.8%	1.01×	5.58
New York City & not both score	17.5%	17.9%	12.3%	1.46×	5.58
Draw & not both score	7.0%	8.4%	5.8%	1.43×	11.95

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake & over 1.5	29.8%	26.0%	37.1%	0.70×	3.84
New York City & over 1.5	26.9%	26.0%	23.5%	1.11×	3.84
Real Salt Lake & under 3.5	26.5%	26.0%	28.3%	0.92×	3.84
New York City & under 3.5	24.5%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.62
Real Salt Lake & over 2.5	23.4%	21.6%	30.9%	0.70×	4.62
New York City & over 2.5	21.2%	21.6%	20.3%	1.07×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.6%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	19.6%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	19.6%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Real Salt Lake & under 2.5	14.9%	12.9%	14.5%	0.88×	7.77
New York City & under 2.5	13.8%	12.9%	9.7%	1.32×	7.77
Real Salt Lake & over 3.5	11.9%	12.9%	17.2%	0.75×	7.78
New York City & over 3.5	10.6%	12.9%	11.2%	1.15×	7.78
Real Salt Lake & under 1.5	8.6%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.69
New York City & under 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	6.5%	1.21×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	7.0%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	7.0%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	7.0%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.69

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake (1UP)	55.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
New York City (1UP)	52.5%	52.8%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake (2UP)	38.4%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
New York City (2UP)	35.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	35.7%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Real Salt Lake to win 2nd half	32.2%	34.4%	—	—	2.90
New York City to win 2nd half	32.1%	34.4%	—	—	2.90

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City (+2.5)	93.3%	92.1%	89.5%	1.03×	1.09
New York City (+1.5)	81.8%	82.4%	76.7%	1.07×	1.21
Real Salt Lake (+0.5)	65.0%	62.9%	70.1%	0.90×	1.59
New York City (+0.5)	61.6%	62.9%	54.6%	1.15×	1.59
Real Salt Lake (-0.5)	38.4%	37.1%	45.4%	0.82×	2.69
New York City (-0.5)	35.0%	37.1%	29.9%	1.24×	2.70
Real Salt Lake (-1.5)	18.2%	17.6%	23.3%	0.76×	5.68
Real Salt Lake (-2.5)	6.7%	7.9%	10.5%	0.75×	12.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City to concede	75.5%	79.0%	82.0%	0.96×	1.27
New York City clean sheet	24.5%	21.0%	18.0%	1.17×	4.75

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City to concede in 1st half	45.4%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
New York City clean sheet in 1st half	54.6%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City under 6.5 corners	82.6%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
New York City over 2.5 corners	73.3%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
New York City under 5.5 corners	72.6%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
New York City under 4.5 corners	59.4%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
New York City over 3.5 corners	56.6%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
New York City under 3.5 corners	43.4%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
New York City over 4.5 corners	40.6%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
New York City over 5.5 corners	27.4%	27.7%	—	—	3.62
New York City under 2.5 corners	26.7%	27.7%	—	—	3.62
New York City over 6.5 corners	17.4%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City under 3.5 goals	95.3%	97.6%	93.9%	1.04×	1.03
New York City under 2.5 goals	84.9%	81.5%	83.3%	0.98×	1.23
New York City over 0.5 goals	73.7%	71.9%	73.2%	0.98×	1.39
New York City under 1.5 goals	61.5%	62.9%	61.3%	1.03×	1.59
New York City over 1.5 goals	38.5%	37.1%	38.7%	0.96×	2.70
New York City under 0.5 goals	26.3%	28.1%	26.8%	1.05×	3.56
New York City over 2.5 goals	15.1%	18.5%	16.7%	1.11×	5.41
New York City over 3.5 goals	4.7%	2.4%	6.1%	0.40×	40.95

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City under 1.5 in 1st half	89.9%	89.7%	—	—	1.12
New York City under 0.5 in 1st half	58.6%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
New York City over 0.5 in 1st half	41.4%	37.0%	—	—	2.70
New York City over 1.5 in 1st half	10.1%	10.3%	—	—	9.70

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake (away no bet)	59.0%	57.5%	64.6%	0.89×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	41.0%	42.5%	35.4%	1.20×	2.36

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City even goals	53.5%	52.8%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
New York City odd goals	46.5%	47.3%	46.4%	1.02×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.0%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.0%	12.2%	—	—	8.17

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	35.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	55.7%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Real Salt Lake to score 2+ in a row	32.4%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
New York City to score 2+ in a row	29.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.2%	16.5%	—	—	6.08
Real Salt Lake to score 3+ in a row	10.4%	11.9%	—	—	8.38
New York City to score 3+ in a row	9.1%	5.6%	—	—	17.80

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake corners (+3.5)	88.2%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Real Salt Lake corners (+2.5)	82.1%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
New York City corners (+3.5)	76.7%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Real Salt Lake corners (+1.5)	74.0%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
New York City corners (+2.5)	67.9%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
New York City corners (+1.5)	57.6%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Real Salt Lake corners (-1.5)	42.4%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Real Salt Lake corners (-2.5)	32.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
New York City corners (-1.5)	26.0%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Real Salt Lake corners (-3.5)	23.3%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
New York City corners (-2.5)	17.9%	20.0%	—	—	5.00
New York City corners (-3.5)	11.8%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.8%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
9-11 corners	28.7%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
12+ corners	26.5%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	80.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 11.5 corners	73.5%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	65.9%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 10.5 corners	65.0%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	55.2%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	55.3%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	44.8%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	44.7%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	35.0%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Under 7.5 corners	34.1%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 11.5 corners	26.5%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	19.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.96

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.6%	11.5%	10.3%	1.11×	8.73
1-0	8.6%	7.4%	8.4%	0.89×	13.46
2-1	8.5%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.46
0-0	7.0%	7.4%	5.8%	1.27×	13.46
0-1	8.1%	7.4%	6.5%	1.14×	13.46
1-2	8.1%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.46
0-2	5.7%	7.4%	3.3%	2.24×	13.46
2-0	6.4%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.46
2-2	5.7%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.46
0-3	2.6%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.58
0-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.59
1-3	3.6%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.57
1-4	1.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.59
2-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.58
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	1.7%	0.99×	58.59
3-0	3.0%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.58
3-1	4.0%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.57
3-2	2.7%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.58
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.59
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.48×	58.59
4-0	1.1%	1.7%	1.3%	1.35×	58.59
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.58
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.59
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.59
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.72×	58.59
Any other score	2.6%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.58

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake leading at HT (DNB)	54.1%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
New York City leading at HT (DNB)	45.9%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake or New York City (12)	73.4%	72.1%	75.1%	0.96×	1.39
Real Salt Lake or draw (1X)	65.0%	63.6%	70.1%	0.91×	1.57
New York City or draw (X2)	61.6%	63.5%	54.6%	1.16×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake or draw at HT	74.0%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
New York City or draw at HT	69.4%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Real Salt Lake or New York City at HT	56.6%	56.8%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake or draw (1UP)	65.0%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
New York City or draw (1UP)	61.6%	71.3%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake or draw in 2nd half	67.9%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
New York City or draw in 2nd half	67.8%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Real Salt Lake or New York City in 2nd half	64.3%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.0%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	37.0%	38.4%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake (DNB)	52.3%	50.9%	60.3%	0.84×	1.96
New York City (DNB)	47.7%	49.1%	39.7%	1.24×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake to score first	47.8%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
New York City to score first	45.3%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
No goal scored	7.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.56

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	56.1%	54.8%	61.1%	0.90×	1.83
Not both teams to score	43.9%	45.3%	38.9%	1.16×	2.21

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	43.5%	41.6%	50.9%	0.82×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	35.7%	38.5%	29.9%	1.29×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.6%	12.3%	10.3%	1.20×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.1%	8.4%	9.2%	0.91×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.2%	83.2%	79.5%	1.05×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	15.8%	16.8%	20.5%	0.82×	5.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.4%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.6%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.3%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	24.9%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Both score 1st half only	13.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Both score in both halves	5.7%	6.7%	—	—	15.02

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.1%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	18.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	54.5%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	45.5%	46.5%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.9%	47.4%	42.5%	1.12×	2.11
4-6 goals	27.3%	26.4%	33.1%	0.80×	3.79
0-1 goals	23.6%	22.8%	20.5%	1.11×	4.38
7+ goals	2.2%	1.8%	4.1%	0.44×	55.21

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City to score exactly 1	35.1%	36.0%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
New York City to score exactly 0	26.3%	27.4%	26.8%	1.02×	3.65
New York City to score exactly 2	23.4%	22.4%	22.1%	1.01×	4.47
New York City to score 3+	15.1%	19.5%	16.7%	1.17×	5.12

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake to score exactly 1	34.5%	32.7%	31.0%	1.05×	3.06
Real Salt Lake to score exactly 0	24.5%	23.3%	18.0%	1.29×	4.30
Real Salt Lake to score exactly 2	24.2%	23.3%	26.0%	0.90×	4.30
Real Salt Lake to score 3+	16.8%	18.9%	25.2%	0.75×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.4%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Real Salt Lake leading at HT	30.6%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
New York City leading at HT	26.0%	25.3%	—	—	3.95

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake -1: 2	61.6%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Real Salt Lake -1: X	20.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Real Salt Lake -1: 1	18.2%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City (0:1)	61.6%	61.3%	54.6%	1.12×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	20.2%	24.3%	22.2%	1.09×	4.12
Real Salt Lake (0:1)	18.2%	17.8%	23.3%	0.77×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City (0:2)	81.8%	82.8%	76.7%	1.08×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.4%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.09
Real Salt Lake (0:2)	6.7%	7.7%	10.5%	0.73×	12.98

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City (0:3)	93.3%	92.6%	89.5%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.7%	2.4%	6.6%	0.36×	41.93
Real Salt Lake (0:3)	2.0%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.05

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City (0:4)	98.0%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.30
Real Salt Lake (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.42

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake (1:0)	65.0%	65.2%	70.1%	0.93×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	19.1%	17.0%	16.8%	1.01×	5.87
New York City (1:0)	15.9%	17.0%	13.2%	1.29×	5.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake (2:0)	84.1%	84.6%	86.8%	0.97×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.3%	10.4%	8.7%	1.19×	9.64
New York City (2:0)	5.6%	6.4%	4.6%	1.41×	15.51

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	26.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	25.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake to concede	73.7%	73.1%	73.2%	1.00×	1.37
Real Salt Lake clean sheet	26.3%	26.9%	26.8%	1.01×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake clean sheet in 1st half	58.6%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Real Salt Lake to concede in 1st half	41.4%	37.0%	—	—	2.70

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake over 2.5 corners	81.8%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Real Salt Lake under 6.5 corners	72.1%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Real Salt Lake over 3.5 corners	68.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Real Salt Lake under 5.5 corners	60.4%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Real Salt Lake over 4.5 corners	53.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Real Salt Lake under 4.5 corners	46.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Real Salt Lake over 5.5 corners	39.6%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Real Salt Lake under 3.5 corners	31.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
Real Salt Lake over 6.5 corners	27.9%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Real Salt Lake under 2.5 corners	18.2%	18.7%	—	—	5.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake under 3.5 goals	94.6%	92.3%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Real Salt Lake under 2.5 goals	83.2%	82.1%	74.8%	1.10×	1.22
Real Salt Lake over 0.5 goals	75.5%	77.7%	82.0%	0.95×	1.29
Real Salt Lake under 1.5 goals	58.9%	58.8%	48.9%	1.20×	1.70
Real Salt Lake over 1.5 goals	41.1%	41.2%	51.1%	0.81×	2.43
Real Salt Lake under 0.5 goals	24.5%	22.3%	18.0%	1.24×	4.48
Real Salt Lake over 2.5 goals	16.8%	17.9%	25.2%	0.71×	5.60
Real Salt Lake over 3.5 goals	5.4%	7.7%	9.4%	0.82×	12.91

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake under 1.5 in 1st half	87.6%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Real Salt Lake over 0.5 in 1st half	45.4%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Real Salt Lake under 0.5 in 1st half	54.6%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Real Salt Lake over 1.5 in 1st half	12.4%	10.0%	—	—	9.96

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City (home no bet)	56.8%	56.7%	54.6%	1.04×	1.76
Draw (home no bet)	43.2%	43.3%	45.4%	0.95×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake even goals	53.0%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.97
Real Salt Lake odd goals	47.0%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	32.1%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
HT 1-0	19.3%	18.9%	—	—	5.29
HT 0-1	17.0%	18.9%	—	—	5.30
HT 1-1	10.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.07
HT 2-0	5.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.13
HT 0-2	4.6%	2.2%	—	—	44.58
Any other HT score	4.0%	2.2%	—	—	44.62
HT 2-1	3.1%	2.2%	—	—	44.69
HT 1-2	2.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.72
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.2%	—	—	44.87

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake at HT / Real Salt Lake at FT	22.4%	22.1%	—	—	4.52
New York City at HT / New York City at FT	18.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Real Salt Lake at FT	13.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / New York City at FT	13.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Real Salt Lake at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
New York City at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.4%	—	—	29.09
Real Salt Lake at HT / New York City at FT	2.5%	3.4%	—	—	29.18
New York City at HT / Real Salt Lake at FT	2.2%	3.4%	—	—	29.20

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake to score last	47.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
New York City to score last	45.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
No goal scored	7.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.56

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.0%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Real Salt Lake to lead by 1 at any time	55.4%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
New York City to lead by 1 at any time	52.5%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.1%	44.0%	—	—	2.28
Real Salt Lake to lead by 2 at any time	24.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
New York City to lead by 2 at any time	21.9%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Real Salt Lake to lead by 3 at any time	8.6%	6.6%	—	—	15.27
New York City to lead by 3 at any time	7.3%	6.5%	—	—	15.33

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake most corners	53.4%	52.9%	—	—	1.89
New York City most corners	35.8%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Corners level	10.8%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.0%	87.4%	83.2%	1.05×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.7%	78.6%	73.1%	1.08×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.2%	72.4%	75.5%	0.96×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.4%	72.4%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
1-3 goals	63.5%	63.5%	57.2%	1.11×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.1%	63.5%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
3-6 goals	49.4%	48.7%	55.9%	0.87×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.9%	48.7%	42.5%	1.14×	2.06
3-5 goals	45.6%	48.7%	48.9%	0.99×	2.06
1-2 goals	41.4%	43.6%	34.4%	1.27×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.3%	39.2%	38.8%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	27.3%	30.2%	33.1%	0.91×	3.31
4-5 goals	23.5%	24.5%	26.1%	0.94×	4.09
5-6 goals	12.1%	14.8%	17.2%	0.86×	6.74
7+ goals	2.2%	2.5%	4.1%	0.61×	39.48

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake never behind	40.5%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
New York City never behind	37.6%	44.8%	—	—	2.23

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.7%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.3%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.3%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.7%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.0%	92.3%	88.9%	1.04×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.0%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.7%	87.7%	78.8%	1.11×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	76.4%	77.4%	79.5%	0.97×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	70.5%	72.5%	62.9%	1.15×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	51.6%	52.4%	59.9%	0.88×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	48.4%	47.6%	40.1%	1.19×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	29.5%	27.5%	37.1%	0.74×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	23.6%	22.6%	20.5%	1.10×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	14.3%	12.3%	21.2%	0.58×	8.11
Under 0.5 goals	7.0%	7.7%	5.8%	1.32×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	6.0%	7.7%	11.1%	0.69×	12.96

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.7%	97.3%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.5%	92.5%	87.6%	1.06×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	83.1%	81.1%	74.8%	1.08×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	68.6%	67.3%	74.5%	0.90×	1.49
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	62.1%	62.1%	51.9%	1.20×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	37.9%	37.9%	48.1%	0.79×	2.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	31.4%	32.7%	25.5%	1.28×	3.06
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	16.9%	18.9%	25.2%	0.75×	5.30
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.5%	7.5%	12.4%	0.61×	13.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.3%	2.7%	4.4%	0.62×	36.38

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.3%	89.4%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.4%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.9%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	32.1%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.6%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.7%	10.6%	—	—	9.40

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.7%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.3%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.7%	20.0%	—	—	4.99
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.3%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City not to score in both halves	77.2%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Real Salt Lake not to score in both halves	75.0%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Real Salt Lake to score in both halves	25.0%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
New York City to score in both halves	22.8%	21.6%	—	—	4.63

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	56.1%	58.2%	61.1%	0.95×	1.72
Only Real Salt Lake scores	19.4%	16.1%	21.1%	0.77×	6.20
Only New York City scores	17.5%	16.1%	12.3%	1.32×	6.20
Neither team scores	7.0%	7.2%	5.8%	1.23×	13.95

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.8%	22.7%	19.7%	1.15×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	16.6%	17.5%	14.8%	1.18×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.2%	17.4%	16.0%	1.09×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	8.3%	7.6%	10.2%	0.75×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	7.0%	7.6%	5.8%	1.30×	13.14
6 or more goals	6.0%	7.6%	11.1%	0.69×	13.14

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.8%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	31.9%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	20.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City not to win both halves	91.6%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Real Salt Lake not to win both halves	90.1%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Real Salt Lake to win both halves	9.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.39
New York City to win both halves	8.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.50

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Salt Lake to win either half	52.9%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
New York City to win neither half	50.3%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
New York City to win either half	49.7%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Real Salt Lake to win neither half	47.1%	45.2%	—	—	2.21

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
New York City not to win to nil	82.5%	83.0%	87.7%	0.95×	1.21
Real Salt Lake not to win to nil	80.6%	83.0%	78.9%	1.05×	1.21
Real Salt Lake to win to nil	19.4%	17.0%	21.1%	0.81×	5.87
New York City to win to nil	17.5%	17.0%	12.3%	1.39×	5.88

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.6%	27.8%	24.9%	1.12×	3.59
Real Salt Lake by 1	20.2%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
New York City by 1	19.1%	16.9%	16.8%	1.01×	5.90
Real Salt Lake by 2	11.4%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.47
New York City by 2	10.3%	11.8%	8.7%	1.36×	8.47
Real Salt Lake by 3+	6.7%	7.2%	10.5%	0.69×	13.81
New York City by 3+	5.6%	7.2%	4.6%	1.58×	13.81