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Real Valladolid v Athletic Club — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 10 November 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

1–1
0.89 – 1.49 xG
Shots
6 – 17
On target
3 – 1
Shots in box
4 – 10
xG per shot
0.15 – 0.09
Set-piece xG
0.13 – 0.20
Goals − xG
+0.11 – -0.49
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.81.31.70'15'30'45'60'75'90'Raul Moro 78' — goalGorka Guruzeta 93' — goal
Real Valladolid 0.89 xGAthletic Club 1.49 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Unai Gómez 4' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Juma Bah 5' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Lucas Rosa 11' — Saved Shot (0.29 xG, Open Play)Nico Williams 14' — Missed Shot (0.44 xG, Open Play)Yeray Álvarez 20' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Beñat Prados 23' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Nicolás Serrano 32' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Adama Boiro 33' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Alex Berenguer 33' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Alex Berenguer 34' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Raul Moro 43' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Álvaro Djaló 46' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Nicolás Serrano 49' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Álvaro Djaló 49' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Nico Williams 57' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Kike Pérez 61' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Marcos de Sousa 65' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Set Piece)Álvaro Djaló 68' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Álvaro Djaló 68' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Gorka Guruzeta 74' — Missed Shot (0.43 xG, Open Play)Raul Moro 78' — Goal (0.45 xG, Open Play)Nico Williams 82' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Gorka Guruzeta 93' — Goal (0.07 xG, Set Piece)
Real Valladolid attacking right Athletic Club attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
4' Athletic Club Unai Gómez 0.03 Open Play Missed Shot Beñat Prados
5' Real Valladolid Juma Bah 0.06 From Corner Saved Shot Luis Pérez
11' Real Valladolid Lucas Rosa 0.29 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Raul Moro
14' Athletic Club Nico Williams 0.44 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Alex Berenguer
20' Athletic Club Yeray Álvarez 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Mikel Jauregizar
23' Athletic Club Beñat Prados 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Mikel Jauregizar
32' Athletic Club Nicolás Serrano 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Yeray Álvarez
33' Athletic Club Adama Boiro 0.06 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot
33' Athletic Club Alex Berenguer 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
34' Athletic Club Alex Berenguer 0.11 Open Play Missed Shot De Marcos
43' Real Valladolid Raul Moro 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot Kike Pérez
46' Athletic Club Álvaro Djaló 0.09 Open Play Missed Shot De Marcos
49' Athletic Club Nicolás Serrano 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Alex Berenguer
49' Athletic Club Álvaro Djaló 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Mikel Vesga
57' Athletic Club Nico Williams 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Mikel Vesga
61' Real Valladolid Kike Pérez 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
65' Real Valladolid Marcos de Sousa 0.05 Set Piece Missed Shot Kike Pérez
68' Athletic Club Álvaro Djaló 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Mikel Vesga
68' Athletic Club Álvaro Djaló 0.02 From Corner Missed Shot Nico Williams
74' Athletic Club Gorka Guruzeta 0.43 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot De Marcos
78' Real Valladolid Raul Moro 0.45 Open Play Goal Iván Sánchez
82' Athletic Club Nico Williams 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Mikel Vesga
93' Athletic Club Gorka Guruzeta 0.07 Set Piece Right Foot Goal Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta

Players

Athletic Club

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Nico Williams AML 90 0 0 3 1 0.49 0.02 0.62
Adama Boiro DL 90 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.05
Yeray Álvarez DC 90 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.02 0.59
Aitor Paredes DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
De Marcos DR 90 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.63 1.15
Julen Agirrezabala GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.55
Nicolás Serrano AMR 84 0 0 2 0 0.08 0.00 1.01
Alex Berenguer FW 68 0 0 2 2 0.13 0.51 0.75
Unai Gómez AMC 50 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.03
Beñat Prados DMC 50 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.03 0.49
Mikel Jauregizar DMC 50 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.04 0.13
Álvaro Djaló Sub 40 0 0 4 0 0.15 0.00 0.56
Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta Sub 40 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.46
Mikel Vesga Sub 40 0 0 0 4 0.00 0.09 0.09
Gorka Guruzeta Sub 22 1 0 2 0 0.51 0.00 0.43
Javier Martón Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Real Valladolid

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Raul Moro MR 90 1 0 2 1 0.47 0.29 0.74
Lucas Rosa DL 90 0 0 1 0 0.29 0.00 0.29
Juma Bah DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.29
Karl Hein GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Javi Sánchez DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.29
David Torres DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Stanko Juric MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.74
Luis Pérez DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.74
Kike Pérez MC 80 0 0 1 2 0.02 0.07 0.02
Mamadou Sylla FW 66 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Anuar Mohamed ML 65 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Iván Sánchez Sub 25 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.45 0.45
Marcos de Sousa Sub 24 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.45
Mario Martín Sub 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.45
Eray Cömert Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Víctor Meseguer Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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