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Real Valladolid v Rayo Vallecano — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 October 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

Real Valladolid
1–2
1.66 – 1.65 xG
Rayo Vallecano
Shots
13 – 17
On target
5 – 3
Shots in box
10 – 8
xG per shot
0.13 – 0.10
Set-piece xG
0.20 – 0.18
Goals − xG
-0.66 – +0.35
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.50.91.41.90'15'30'45'60'75'90'Selim Amallah 50' — goalJorge De Frutos 56' — goalJorge De Frutos 79' — goal
Real Valladolid 1.66 xGRayo Vallecano 1.65 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Florian Lejeune 2' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Amath Diedhiou 5' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Isi Palazón 6' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Isi Palazón 11' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Andrei Ratiu 12' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Selim Amallah 14' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Unai López 17' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Jorge De Frutos 21' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Adrián Embarba 22' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Isi Palazón 24' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Unai López 27' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Amath Diedhiou 36' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Eray Cömert 38' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Isi Palazón 49' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Direct Freekick)Selim Amallah 50' — Goal (0.44 xG, Open Play)Jorge De Frutos 56' — Goal (0.30 xG, Open Play)Selim Amallah 61' — Saved Shot (0.37 xG, Open Play)Sergio Camello 66' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Abdul Mumin 67' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Juma Bah 71' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Lucas Rosa 74' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Mario Martín 74' — Saved Shot (0.27 xG, Open Play)Andrei Ratiu 79' — Shot On Post (0.05 xG, Open Play)Jorge De Frutos 79' — Goal (0.60 xG, Open Play)Juma Bah 82' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Set Piece)Anuar Mohamed 84' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Iván Sánchez 87' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Sergi Guardiola 90' — Missed Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Marcos de Sousa 93' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Set Piece)James Rodríguez 94' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)
Real Valladolid attacking right Rayo Vallecano attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
2' Rayo Vallecano Florian Lejeune 0.04 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot —
5' Real Valladolid Amath Diedhiou 0.02 Open Play — Missed Shot Luis Pérez
6' Rayo Vallecano Isi Palazón 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Óscar Valentín
11' Rayo Vallecano Isi Palazón 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot —
12' Rayo Vallecano Andrei Ratiu 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot —
14' Real Valladolid Selim Amallah 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Luis Pérez
17' Rayo Vallecano Unai López 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Andrei Ratiu
21' Rayo Vallecano Jorge De Frutos 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Andrei Ratiu
22' Rayo Vallecano Adrián Embarba 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Unai López
24' Rayo Vallecano Isi Palazón 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Sergio Camello
27' Rayo Vallecano Unai López 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Sergio Camello
36' Real Valladolid Amath Diedhiou 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Luis Pérez
38' Real Valladolid Eray Cömert 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Juan Latasa
49' Rayo Vallecano Isi Palazón 0.07 Direct Freekick Left Foot Missed Shot —
50' Real Valladolid Selim Amallah 0.44 Open Play Right Foot Goal Raul Moro
56' Rayo Vallecano Jorge De Frutos 0.30 Open Play Right Foot Goal Isi Palazón
61' Real Valladolid Selim Amallah 0.37 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Lucas Rosa
66' Rayo Vallecano Sergio Camello 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Gerard Gumbau
67' Rayo Vallecano Abdul Mumin 0.05 From Corner — Missed Shot Álvaro García
71' Real Valladolid Juma Bah 0.03 From Corner — Missed Shot Raul Moro
74' Real Valladolid Lucas Rosa 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Raul Moro
74' Real Valladolid Mario Martín 0.27 Open Play — Saved Shot Luis Pérez
79' Rayo Vallecano Andrei Ratiu 0.05 Open Play — Shot On Post Álvaro García
79' Rayo Vallecano Jorge De Frutos 0.60 Open Play Right Foot Goal —
82' Real Valladolid Juma Bah 0.09 Set Piece — Missed Shot Raul Moro
84' Real Valladolid Anuar Mohamed 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Luis Pérez
87' Real Valladolid Iván Sánchez 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Anuar Mohamed
90' Rayo Vallecano Sergi Guardiola 0.13 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Pathé Ciss
93' Real Valladolid Marcos de Sousa 0.07 Set Piece Left Foot Blocked Shot —
94' Rayo Vallecano James Rodríguez 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Álvaro García

Players

Rayo Vallecano

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Jorge De Frutos MR 90 2 0 3 0 0.99 0.00 1.03
Andrei Ratiu DR 90 0 0 2 2 0.07 0.10 0.84
Abdul Mumin DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.20
Florian Lejeune DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.37
Augusto Batalla GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Iván Balliu DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.36
Unai López MC 83 0 0 2 1 0.04 0.03 0.07
Isi Palazón FW 77 0 1 4 1 0.13 0.30 0.44
Sergio Camello FW 77 0 0 1 2 0.05 0.03 0.42
Adrián Embarba ML 63 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.05
Óscar Valentín MC 63 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.05
Gerard Gumbau Sub 27 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.30
Álvaro García Sub 27 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.22 0.30
Sergi Guardiola Sub 13 0 0 1 0 0.13 0.00 0.13
James Rodríguez Sub 13 0 0 1 0 0.12 0.00 0.25
Pathé Ciss Sub 7 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.13 0.25

Real Valladolid

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Mario Martín MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.27 0.00 0.28
Juma Bah DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.13 0.00 0.06
Lucas Rosa DL 90 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.37 0.85
David Torres DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.60
Karl Hein GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.46
Luis Pérez DR 90 0 0 0 5 0.00 0.48 0.51
Selim Amallah MC 83 1 0 3 0 0.91 0.00 0.96
Amath Diedhiou FWR 68 0 0 2 0 0.10 0.00 0.13
Eray Cömert MC 46 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.12
Juan Latasa FW 46 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Darwin Machís FWL 46 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Marcos de Sousa Sub 44 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.13
Raul Moro Sub 44 0 1 0 4 0.00 0.59 0.73
Stanko Juric Sub 44 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.85
Anuar Mohamed Sub 22 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.12 0.42
Iván Sánchez Sub 7 0 0 1 0 0.12 0.00 0.13
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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