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Real Valladolid v Real Betis — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 11 January 2025 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

1–0
1.62 – 1.04 xG
Shots
12 – 14
On target
1 – 3
Shots in box
8 – 9
xG per shot
0.14 – 0.07
Set-piece xG
0.05 – 0.07
Goals − xG
-0.62 – -1.04
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.50.91.41.80'15'30'45'60'75'90'Kike Pérez 57' — goal
Real Valladolid 1.62 xGReal Betis 1.04 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Anuar Mohamed 0' — Missed Shot (0.38 xG, Open Play)Raul Moro 2' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Mario Martín 7' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Set Piece)Cédric Bakambu 9' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Giovani Lo Celso 13' — Missed Shot (0.41 xG, Open Play)Raul Moro 15' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 19' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Johnny Cardoso 30' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Kike Pérez 30' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Raul Moro 32' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Marcos de Sousa 36' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Cédric Bakambu 39' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Giovani Lo Celso 44' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Lucas Rosa 45' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Mario Martín 48' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 51' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Kike Pérez 57' — Goal (0.65 xG, Open Play)Isco 59' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Kike Pérez 63' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Marcos de Sousa 66' — Missed Shot (0.20 xG, Open Play)Juanmi 74' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Aitor Ruibal 82' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Jesús Rodriguez 90' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Vitor Roque 94' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Natan 96' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Francisco Vieites 100' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Set Piece)
Real Valladolid attacking right Real Betis attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
0' Real Valladolid Anuar Mohamed 0.38 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Marcos de Sousa
2' Real Valladolid Raul Moro 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Marcos de Sousa
7' Real Valladolid Mario Martín 0.05 Set Piece Missed Shot Kike Pérez
9' Real Betis Cédric Bakambu 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Isco
13' Real Betis Giovani Lo Celso 0.41 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Cédric Bakambu
15' Real Valladolid Raul Moro 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Marcos de Sousa
19' Real Betis Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Isco
30' Real Betis Johnny Cardoso 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Sergi Altimira
30' Real Valladolid Kike Pérez 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Raul Moro
32' Real Valladolid Raul Moro 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Lucas Rosa
36' Real Valladolid Marcos de Sousa 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Luis Pérez
39' Real Betis Cédric Bakambu 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Isco
44' Real Betis Giovani Lo Celso 0.04 Direct Freekick Left Foot Missed Shot
45' Real Valladolid Lucas Rosa 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Mario Martín
48' Real Valladolid Mario Martín 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
51' Real Betis Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Sergi Altimira
57' Real Valladolid Kike Pérez 0.65 Open Play Right Foot Goal Lucas Rosa
59' Real Betis Isco 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Sergi Altimira
63' Real Valladolid Kike Pérez 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Marcos de Sousa
66' Real Valladolid Marcos de Sousa 0.20 Open Play Missed Shot Luis Pérez
74' Real Betis Juanmi 0.03 Open Play Missed Shot Jesús Rodriguez
82' Real Betis Aitor Ruibal 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Juanmi
90' Real Betis Jesús Rodriguez 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Aitor Ruibal
94' Real Betis Vitor Roque 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
96' Real Betis Natan 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Diego Llorente
100' Real Betis Francisco Vieites 0.03 Set Piece Saved Shot Isco

Players

Real Betis

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Isco AMC 90 0 0 1 4 0.05 0.21 0.75
Natan DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.45
Francisco Vieites GK 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.48
Johnny Cardoso DMC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.11
Diego Llorente DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.54
Ricardo Rodríguez DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.46
Giovani Lo Celso AMR 75 0 0 2 0 0.45 0.00 0.41
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli AML 73 0 0 2 0 0.13 0.00 0.54
Youssouf Sabaly DR 73 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Cédric Bakambu FW 61 0 0 2 1 0.12 0.41 0.53
Sergi Altimira DMC 61 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.14 0.61
Vitor Roque Sub 29 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.10
Aitor Ruibal Sub 29 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.05 0.13
Jesús Rodriguez Sub 17 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.03 0.09
Juanmi Sub 17 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.05 0.08
Mateo Flores Sub 15 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05

Real Valladolid

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Raul Moro FWL 90 0 0 3 1 0.12 0.06 0.27
Mario Martín MC 90 0 0 2 1 0.08 0.02 0.99
Lucas Rosa DL 90 0 1 1 2 0.02 0.71 0.74
Luis Pérez DR 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.29 0.29
Karl Hein GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Javi Sánchez DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.74
Stanko Juric MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.80
Kike Pérez MC 89 1 0 3 1 0.73 0.05 1.05
Marcos de Sousa FW 89 0 0 2 4 0.29 0.45 1.39
Anuar Mohamed FWR 82 0 0 1 0 0.38 0.00 1.28
Juma Bah DC 46 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
David Torres Sub 35 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.65
Eray Cömert Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Amath Diedhiou Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Iván Sánchez Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mamadou Sylla Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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