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Real Valladolid v Villarreal — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 26 October 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

1–2
0.98 – 2.68 xG
Shots
7 – 21
On target
3 – 9
Shots in box
4 – 14
xG per shot
0.14 – 0.13
Set-piece xG
0.83 – 0.16
Goals − xG
+0.02 – -0.69
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.81.52.33.00'15'30'45'60'75'90'Thierno Barry 28' — goalMamadou Sylla 59' — goalAyoze Pérez 83' — goal
Real Valladolid 0.98 xGVillarreal 2.69 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Mamadou Sylla 1' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Ilias Akhomach 8' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Thierno Barry 10' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Anuar Mohamed 16' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Mario Martín 23' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Thierno Barry 28' — Goal (0.57 xG, Open Play)Nicolas Pepe 31' — Saved Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Thierno Barry 44' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Álex Baena 47' — Shot On Post (0.07 xG, Open Play)Thierno Barry 52' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Ilias Akhomach 54' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Santiago Comesaña 54' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Mamadou Sylla 59' — Goal (0.74 xG, )Santiago Comesaña 61' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Set Piece)Logan Costa 63' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Selim Amallah 66' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Pape Alassane Gueye 72' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Álex Baena 73' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Ayoze Pérez 75' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Ilias Akhomach 75' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Eray Cömert 76' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Nicolas Pepe 78' — Shot On Post (0.07 xG, Open Play)Nicolas Pepe 80' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Sergi Cardona 82' — Saved Shot (0.44 xG, Open Play)Yeremi Pino 82' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Álex Baena 82' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Ayoze Pérez 83' — Goal (0.59 xG, Open Play)Kenedy 91' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)
Real Valladolid attacking right Villarreal attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' Real Valladolid Mamadou Sylla 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Luis Pérez
8' Villarreal Ilias Akhomach 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Álex Baena
10' Villarreal Thierno Barry 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Sergi Cardona
16' Real Valladolid Anuar Mohamed 0.04 Open Play Saved Shot Raul Moro
23' Real Valladolid Mario Martín 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Selim Amallah
28' Villarreal Thierno Barry 0.57 Open Play Goal Kiko Femenía
31' Villarreal Nicolas Pepe 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
44' Villarreal Thierno Barry 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Álex Baena
47' Villarreal Álex Baena 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post Sergi Cardona
52' Villarreal Thierno Barry 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Álex Baena
54' Villarreal Ilias Akhomach 0.04 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot
54' Villarreal Santiago Comesaña 0.05 From Corner Blocked Shot Álex Baena
59' Real Valladolid Mamadou Sylla 0.74 Right Foot Goal
61' Villarreal Santiago Comesaña 0.06 Set Piece Missed Shot Álex Baena
63' Villarreal Logan Costa 0.02 From Corner Saved Shot Álex Baena
66' Real Valladolid Selim Amallah 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Raul Moro
72' Villarreal Pape Alassane Gueye 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Ilias Akhomach
73' Villarreal Álex Baena 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Ayoze Pérez
75' Villarreal Ayoze Pérez 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
75' Villarreal Ilias Akhomach 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Ayoze Pérez
76' Real Valladolid Eray Cömert 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
78' Villarreal Nicolas Pepe 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post Álex Baena
80' Villarreal Nicolas Pepe 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Ayoze Pérez
82' Villarreal Sergi Cardona 0.44 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
82' Villarreal Yeremi Pino 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
82' Villarreal Álex Baena 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Sergi Cardona
83' Villarreal Ayoze Pérez 0.59 Open Play Goal
91' Real Valladolid Kenedy 0.08 From Corner Missed Shot Kike Pérez

Players

Real Valladolid

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Lucas Rosa DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
David Torres DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Raul Moro AML 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.07 0.08
Luis Pérez DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.05
Javi Sánchez DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Karl Hein GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Anuar Mohamed AMR 89 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.04
Eray Cömert DMC 89 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.07
Selim Amallah AMC 80 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.02 0.05
Mamadou Sylla FW 72 1 0 2 0 0.80 0.00 0.08
Mario Martín DMC 72 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.07
Juan Latasa Sub 18 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Víctor Meseguer Sub 18 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kike Pérez Sub 10 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.00
Kenedy Sub 1 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.00
Iván Sánchez Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Villarreal

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Sergi Cardona DL 90 0 0 1 3 0.44 0.17 1.30
Nicolas Pepe FW 90 0 0 3 0 0.23 0.00 0.26
Álex Baena ML 90 0 0 3 7 0.17 0.41 1.17
Logan Costa DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.89
Diego Conde GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Kiko Femenía DR 90 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.57 0.96
Daniel Parejo MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.13
Raúl Albiol DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.32
Ilias Akhomach MR 83 0 0 3 1 0.09 0.09 0.77
Santiago Comesaña MC 72 0 0 2 0 0.11 0.00 0.68
Thierno Barry FW 71 1 0 4 0 0.79 0.00 0.81
Ayoze Pérez Sub 19 1 0 2 3 0.66 0.10 0.73
Pape Alassane Gueye Sub 18 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 0.28
Yeremi Pino Sub 7 0 0 1 0 0.10 0.00 0.10
Juan Bernat Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ramón Terrats Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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