Remo v Santos — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 19 September 2026 · BRA-Serie A · 2627
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 13.0%
- 2-1 8.6%
- 1-2 8.1%
- 1-0 7.4%
- 0-0 7.1%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 53.7% | Under 2.5 | 46.3% |
| BTTS yes | 58.4% | BTTS no | 41.6% |
| Remo 1+ | 76.7% | Remo 2+ | 42.8% |
| Santos 1+ | 74.6% | Santos 2+ | 39.8% |
Expected goals 1.46 – 1.37. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Remo carry the stronger rating, 1445 Elo against 1414.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Remo have an estimated 40.5% win probability, against 30.2% for Santos and 29.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.46 for Remo and 1.37 for Santos.
Why Remo
Remo carry the stronger rating, 1445 Elo against 1414.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 29.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.46 to 1.37. Draws run at 27% in this competition.
Why Santos can win
Nothing in the data singles out Santos.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Remo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Santos, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Remo: 47% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Santos: 52% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Remo are the model's most likely outcome at 40.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.0%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.46–1.37 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.53–1.44 | 1-1 12% | 57% | 61% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo to win | 38.6% | 36.5% | 48.9% | 0.75× | 2.74 |
| Santos to win | 34.7% | 30.4% | 24.0% | 1.26× | 3.29 |
| Draw | 26.7% | 27.9% | 27.2% | 1.02× | 3.59 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo & both teams score | 21.2% | 21.9% | 21.0% | 1.04× | 4.57 |
| Draw & both teams score | 20.4% | 21.9% | 20.7% | 1.06× | 4.57 |
| Santos & both teams score | 19.3% | 17.9% | 10.4% | 1.73× | 5.58 |
| Remo & not both score | 17.4% | 17.9% | 28.0% | 0.64× | 5.58 |
| Santos & not both score | 15.4% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 1.29× | 5.58 |
| Draw & not both score | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 1.25× | 11.95 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo & over 1.5 | 31.9% | 30.9% | 36.8% | 0.84× | 3.24 |
| Santos & over 1.5 | 28.4% | 26.0% | 17.2% | 1.51× | 3.84 |
| Remo & over 2.5 | 25.9% | 26.0% | 27.5% | 0.94× | 3.84 |
| Remo & under 3.5 | 24.4% | 21.6% | 36.8% | 0.59× | 4.62 |
| Santos & over 2.5 | 23.1% | 21.6% | 13.2% | 1.64× | 4.62 |
| Santos & under 3.5 | 22.3% | 21.6% | 18.6% | 1.16× | 4.62 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 20.4% | 21.6% | 20.7% | 1.04× | 4.62 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 18.7% | 18.0% | 20.2% | 0.89× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 18.7% | 18.0% | 20.2% | 0.89× | 5.56 |
| Remo & over 3.5 | 14.2% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 1.05× | 7.77 |
| Remo & under 2.5 | 12.7% | 12.9% | 21.5% | 0.60× | 7.78 |
| Santos & over 3.5 | 12.4% | 12.9% | 5.6% | 2.31× | 7.78 |
| Santos & under 2.5 | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 1.17× | 7.78 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 1.10× | 12.69 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 1.10× | 12.69 |
| Remo & under 1.5 | 6.7% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 0.64× | 12.69 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 1.18× | 12.69 |
| Santos & under 1.5 | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 1.12× | 12.69 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo (1UP) | 56.9% | 58.0% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Santos (1UP) | 53.5% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.89 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo (2UP) | 38.6% | 37.1% | — | — | 2.70 |
| Santos (2UP) | 34.7% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.21 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half drawn | 34.4% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
| Remo to win 2nd half | 33.0% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
| Santos to win 2nd half | 32.6% | 34.4% | — | — | 2.90 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos (+2.5) | 92.4% | 92.1% | 90.8% | 1.01× | 1.09 |
| Santos (+1.5) | 80.5% | 82.4% | 76.8% | 1.07× | 1.21 |
| Remo (+0.5) | 65.3% | 68.7% | 76.0% | 0.90× | 1.46 |
| Santos (+0.5) | 61.4% | 62.9% | 51.1% | 1.23× | 1.59 |
| Remo (-0.5) | 38.6% | 37.1% | 48.9% | 0.76× | 2.69 |
| Santos (-0.5) | 34.7% | 31.3% | 24.0% | 1.30× | 3.19 |
| Remo (-1.5) | 19.5% | 17.6% | 23.2% | 0.76× | 5.68 |
| Remo (-2.5) | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 0.85× | 12.67 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos to concede | 78.3% | 79.0% | 79.6% | 0.99× | 1.27 |
| Santos clean sheet | 21.7% | 21.0% | 20.4% | 1.03× | 4.76 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos to concede in 1st half | 48.2% | 50.9% | — | — | 1.96 |
| Santos clean sheet in 1st half | 51.8% | 49.1% | — | — | 2.04 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos over 2.5 corners | 86.3% | 84.9% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Santos over 3.5 corners | 75.4% | 75.8% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Santos over 4.5 corners | 62.9% | 61.4% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Santos under 6.5 corners | 61.4% | 61.4% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Santos over 5.5 corners | 50.2% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Santos under 5.5 corners | 49.8% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Santos over 6.5 corners | 38.6% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| Santos under 4.5 corners | 37.1% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| Santos under 3.5 corners | 24.6% | 24.2% | — | — | 4.13 |
| Santos under 2.5 corners | 13.7% | 15.1% | — | — | 6.62 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos under 3.5 goals | 94.2% | 92.4% | 97.9% | 0.94× | 1.08 |
| Santos under 2.5 goals | 82.4% | 81.5% | 90.9% | 0.90× | 1.23 |
| Santos over 0.5 goals | 76.3% | 76.2% | 65.4% | 1.16× | 1.31 |
| Santos under 1.5 goals | 57.8% | 59.6% | 72.0% | 0.83× | 1.68 |
| Santos over 1.5 goals | 42.2% | 40.4% | 28.0% | 1.44× | 2.48 |
| Santos under 0.5 goals | 23.7% | 23.8% | 34.6% | 0.69× | 4.20 |
| Santos over 2.5 goals | 17.6% | 18.5% | 9.1% | 2.04× | 5.40 |
| Santos over 3.5 goals | 5.8% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 3.69× | 13.09 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos under 1.5 in 1st half | 88.6% | 89.6% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Santos under 0.5 in 1st half | 56.2% | 62.8% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Santos over 0.5 in 1st half | 43.8% | 37.2% | — | — | 2.69 |
| Santos over 1.5 in 1st half | 11.4% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.63 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo (away no bet) | 59.1% | 57.5% | 64.2% | 0.90× | 1.74 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 40.9% | 42.5% | 35.8% | 1.19× | 2.36 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos even goals | 52.8% | 52.7% | 54.9% | 0.96× | 1.90 |
| Santos odd goals | 47.2% | 47.3% | 45.1% | 1.05× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 81.9% | 83.2% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 18.1% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.94 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 69.2% | 68.5% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 30.8% | 31.5% | — | — | 3.18 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 59.8% | 55.5% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Remo to score 2+ in a row | 35.5% | 36.2% | — | — | 2.76 |
| Santos to score 2+ in a row | 32.4% | 28.5% | — | — | 3.51 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 22.0% | 19.3% | — | — | 5.18 |
| Remo to score 3+ in a row | 12.1% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.35 |
| Santos to score 3+ in a row | 10.3% | 11.9% | — | — | 8.38 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos corners (+3.5) | 81.9% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Remo corners (+3.5) | 75.6% | 75.5% | — | — | 1.33 |
| Santos corners (+2.5) | 75.4% | 75.5% | — | — | 1.33 |
| Remo corners (+2.5) | 68.1% | 66.8% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Santos corners (+1.5) | 67.6% | 66.8% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Remo corners (+1.5) | 59.5% | 56.8% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Santos corners (-1.5) | 40.5% | 43.2% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Remo corners (-1.5) | 32.4% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| Santos corners (-2.5) | 31.9% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| Remo corners (-2.5) | 24.6% | 24.5% | — | — | 4.08 |
| Santos corners (-3.5) | 24.4% | 24.5% | — | — | 4.08 |
| Remo corners (-3.5) | 18.1% | 20.0% | — | — | 5.00 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12+ corners | 45.6% | 40.6% | — | — | 2.46 |
| 0-8 corners | 27.9% | 31.8% | — | — | 3.15 |
| 9-11 corners | 26.5% | 31.8% | — | — | 3.15 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 corners | 80.1% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 72.1% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 63.4% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Under 12.5 corners | 62.6% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 54.5% | 52.3% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 54.4% | 52.3% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 45.6% | 47.7% | — | — | 2.09 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 45.5% | 47.7% | — | — | 2.09 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 37.4% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 36.6% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 27.9% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.64 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 19.9% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.96 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 50.4% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 49.6% | — | — | 2.02 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.5% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 0.84× | 8.73 |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 0.69× | 13.46 |
| 1-0 | 6.7% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 0.61× | 13.46 |
| 1-2 | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 1.20× | 13.46 |
| 0-0 | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 1.11× | 13.46 |
| 0-1 | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 1.06× | 13.46 |
| 0-2 | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.79× | 13.46 |
| 2-0 | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 0.79× | 13.46 |
| 2-2 | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 1.33× | 13.46 |
| 0-3 | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.97× | 58.58 |
| 0-4 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.53× | 58.59 |
| 1-3 | 3.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.82× | 58.57 |
| 1-4 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.36× | 58.58 |
| 2-3 | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.97× | 58.58 |
| 2-4 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.36× | 58.59 |
| 3-0 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 4.8% | 0.36× | 58.57 |
| 3-1 | 4.4% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 0.43× | 58.57 |
| 3-2 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 0.60× | 58.57 |
| 3-3 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.97× | 58.58 |
| 3-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 10.72× | 58.59 |
| 4-0 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.53× | 58.59 |
| 4-1 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.82× | 58.58 |
| 4-2 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.79× | 58.59 |
| 4-3 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.36× | 58.59 |
| 4-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 10.72× | 58.59 |
| Any other score | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.67× | 58.57 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo leading at HT (DNB) | 54.4% | 55.9% | — | — | 1.79 |
| Santos leading at HT (DNB) | 45.6% | 44.1% | — | — | 2.27 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo or Santos (12) | 73.3% | 72.1% | 72.8% | 0.99× | 1.39 |
| Remo or draw (1X) | 65.3% | 69.6% | 76.0% | 0.92× | 1.44 |
| Santos or draw (X2) | 61.4% | 63.5% | 51.1% | 1.24× | 1.57 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo or draw at HT | 73.4% | 74.7% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Santos or draw at HT | 68.2% | 66.1% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Remo or Santos at HT | 58.4% | 56.8% | — | — | 1.76 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo or draw (1UP) | 65.3% | 75.8% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Santos or draw (1UP) | 61.4% | 71.3% | — | — | 1.40 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo or draw in 2nd half | 67.4% | 65.6% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Santos or draw in 2nd half | 67.0% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Remo or Santos in 2nd half | 65.6% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 60.4% | 61.5% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Neither half drawn | 39.6% | 38.5% | — | — | 2.60 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo (DNB) | 52.7% | 50.9% | 67.0% | 0.76× | 1.96 |
| Santos (DNB) | 47.3% | 49.1% | 33.0% | 1.49× | 2.04 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo to score first | 48.3% | 45.6% | — | — | 2.19 |
| Santos to score first | 45.4% | 45.5% | — | — | 2.20 |
| No goal scored | 6.3% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.60 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 60.9% | 56.5% | 51.8% | 1.09× | 1.77 |
| Not both teams to score | 39.1% | 43.5% | 48.2% | 0.90× | 2.30 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 48.5% | 44.2% | 38.2% | 1.16× | 2.26 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 30.5% | 34.4% | 38.9% | 0.88× | 2.91 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 12.5% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 0.90× | 8.11 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 0.88× | 11.96 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 80.9% | 83.1% | 87.3% | 0.95× | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 19.1% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 1.32× | 5.93 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 65.9% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 34.1% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.08 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 51.7% | 56.1% | — | — | 1.78 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 27.0% | 26.0% | — | — | 3.84 |
| Both score 1st half only | 14.2% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.51 |
| Both score in both halves | 7.1% | 6.7% | — | — | 14.94 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 78.7% | 81.7% | — | — | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 21.3% | 18.3% | — | — | 5.48 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 59.0% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| A half without a goal | 41.0% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 46.2% | 47.4% | 49.8% | 0.95× | 2.11 |
| 4-6 goals | 31.4% | 30.7% | 24.2% | 1.27× | 3.26 |
| 0-1 goals | 19.2% | 20.3% | 25.6% | 0.79× | 4.94 |
| 7+ goals | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 2.85× | 55.10 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos to score exactly 1 | 34.1% | 33.9% | 37.6% | 0.90× | 2.95 |
| Santos to score exactly 2 | 24.6% | 22.4% | 19.1% | 1.17× | 4.47 |
| Santos to score exactly 0 | 23.7% | 22.4% | 34.6% | 0.65× | 4.47 |
| Santos to score 3+ | 17.6% | 19.5% | 9.1% | 2.15× | 5.12 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo to score exactly 1 | 33.1% | 32.6% | 34.2% | 0.95× | 3.06 |
| Remo to score exactly 2 | 25.3% | 26.5% | 27.2% | 0.97× | 3.77 |
| Remo to score exactly 0 | 21.7% | 23.3% | 20.4% | 1.14× | 4.30 |
| Remo to score 3+ | 19.9% | 18.9% | 18.5% | 1.02× | 5.30 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 41.6% | 43.2% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Remo leading at HT | 31.8% | 33.9% | — | — | 2.95 |
| Santos leading at HT | 26.6% | 25.3% | — | — | 3.95 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo -1: 2 | 61.4% | 62.4% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Remo -1: 1 | 19.5% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.70 |
| Remo -1: X | 19.2% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.70 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos (0:1) | 61.4% | 61.3% | 51.1% | 1.20× | 1.63 |
| Remo (0:1) | 19.5% | 17.8% | 23.2% | 0.77× | 5.62 |
| Draw (0:1) | 19.2% | 17.8% | 25.8% | 0.69× | 5.62 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos (0:2) | 80.5% | 82.7% | 76.8% | 1.08× | 1.21 |
| Draw (0:2) | 11.8% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 0.78× | 9.09 |
| Remo (0:2) | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 0.83× | 12.97 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos (0:3) | 92.4% | 92.6% | 90.8% | 1.02× | 1.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 0.87× | 17.27 |
| Remo (0:3) | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.88× | 42.03 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos (0:4) | 97.5% | 98.1% | 97.3% | 1.01× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.69× | 83.26 |
| Remo (0:4) | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.08× | 83.40 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo (1:0) | 65.3% | 69.8% | 76.0% | 0.92× | 1.43 |
| Draw (1:0) | 18.0% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 1.16× | 5.87 |
| Santos (1:0) | 16.7% | 17.0% | 9.6% | 1.78× | 5.87 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo (2:0) | 83.3% | 84.5% | 90.4% | 0.93× | 1.18 |
| Draw (2:0) | 10.5% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 1.67× | 9.63 |
| Santos (2:0) | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.84× | 15.50 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 48.2% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.07 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 25.3% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo to concede | 76.3% | 75.8% | 65.4% | 1.16× | 1.32 |
| Remo clean sheet | 23.7% | 24.2% | 34.6% | 0.70× | 4.14 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo clean sheet in 1st half | 56.2% | 62.8% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Remo to concede in 1st half | 43.8% | 37.2% | — | — | 2.69 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo over 2.5 corners | 83.2% | 81.3% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Remo over 3.5 corners | 70.8% | 71.5% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Remo under 6.5 corners | 67.4% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Remo over 4.5 corners | 57.2% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Remo under 5.5 corners | 55.9% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Remo over 5.5 corners | 44.1% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Remo under 4.5 corners | 42.8% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Remo over 6.5 corners | 32.6% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Remo under 3.5 corners | 29.2% | 28.5% | — | — | 3.51 |
| Remo under 2.5 corners | 16.8% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.36 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo under 3.5 goals | 93.1% | 92.2% | 94.3% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Remo under 2.5 goals | 80.1% | 82.1% | 81.5% | 1.01× | 1.22 |
| Remo over 0.5 goals | 78.3% | 77.7% | 79.6% | 0.98× | 1.29 |
| Remo under 1.5 goals | 54.8% | 53.3% | 54.5% | 0.98× | 1.88 |
| Remo over 1.5 goals | 45.2% | 46.7% | 45.5% | 1.02× | 2.14 |
| Remo under 0.5 goals | 21.7% | 22.3% | 20.4% | 1.09× | 4.49 |
| Remo over 2.5 goals | 19.9% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 0.97× | 5.60 |
| Remo over 3.5 goals | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 1.35× | 12.89 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo under 1.5 in 1st half | 85.9% | 89.9% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Remo over 0.5 in 1st half | 48.2% | 51.0% | — | — | 1.96 |
| Remo under 0.5 in 1st half | 51.8% | 49.0% | — | — | 2.04 |
| Remo over 1.5 in 1st half | 14.1% | 10.1% | — | — | 9.87 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos (home no bet) | 56.5% | 56.7% | 46.9% | 1.21× | 1.77 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 43.5% | 43.3% | 53.1% | 0.82× | 2.31 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo even goals | 52.3% | 50.6% | 51.8% | 0.98× | 1.97 |
| Remo odd goals | 47.7% | 49.4% | 48.2% | 1.02× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 29.3% | 28.7% | — | — | 3.48 |
| HT 1-0 | 19.0% | 18.9% | — | — | 5.29 |
| HT 0-1 | 16.6% | 18.9% | — | — | 5.30 |
| HT 1-1 | 11.2% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.06 |
| HT 2-0 | 6.3% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.12 |
| Any other HT score | 4.9% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.55 |
| HT 0-2 | 4.8% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.56 |
| HT 2-1 | 3.6% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.65 |
| HT 1-2 | 3.2% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.69 |
| HT 2-2 | 1.0% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.86 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo at HT / Remo at FT | 23.0% | 22.2% | — | — | 4.51 |
| Santos at HT / Santos at FT | 19.0% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.94 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 15.6% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Draw at HT / Remo at FT | 13.1% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Draw at HT / Santos at FT | 12.9% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Remo at HT / Draw at FT | 5.9% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.62 |
| Santos at HT / Draw at FT | 5.2% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.64 |
| Remo at HT / Santos at FT | 2.8% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.17 |
| Santos at HT / Remo at FT | 2.5% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.19 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo to score last | 48.3% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Santos to score last | 45.4% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| No goal scored | 6.3% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.60 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 93.7% | 92.8% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Remo to lead by 1 at any time | 56.9% | 55.0% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Santos to lead by 1 at any time | 53.5% | 50.6% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 49.6% | 44.1% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Remo to lead by 2 at any time | 26.5% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
| Santos to lead by 2 at any time | 23.4% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.10 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 18.2% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.69 |
| Remo to lead by 3 at any time | 9.9% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.20 |
| Santos to lead by 3 at any time | 8.3% | 6.5% | — | — | 15.28 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos most corners | 49.6% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Remo most corners | 41.1% | 43.2% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Corners level | 9.2% | 8.4% | — | — | 11.89 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 85.6% | 87.4% | 88.9% | 0.98× | 1.14 |
| 2-6 goals | 77.6% | 78.6% | 73.9% | 1.06× | 1.27 |
| 1-4 goals | 75.8% | 78.6% | 81.8% | 0.96× | 1.27 |
| 2-5 goals | 72.7% | 72.4% | 69.9% | 1.04× | 1.38 |
| 2-4 goals | 62.8% | 63.5% | 62.9% | 1.01× | 1.58 |
| 1-3 goals | 59.1% | 59.2% | 68.8% | 0.86× | 1.69 |
| 3-6 goals | 53.8% | 53.1% | 47.1% | 1.13× | 1.88 |
| 3-5 goals | 48.9% | 48.7% | 43.2% | 1.13× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 46.2% | 48.7% | 49.8% | 0.98× | 2.06 |
| 3-4 goals | 39.0% | 39.2% | 36.1% | 1.08× | 2.55 |
| 1-2 goals | 36.7% | 39.2% | 45.9% | 0.85× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 31.4% | 35.4% | 24.2% | 1.46× | 2.83 |
| 4-5 goals | 26.5% | 30.2% | 20.2% | 1.49× | 3.31 |
| 5-6 goals | 14.8% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 1.33× | 6.73 |
| 7+ goals | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 3.98× | 39.43 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo never behind | 40.2% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
| Santos never behind | 36.8% | 44.8% | — | — | 2.23 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 47.6% | 50.8% | 49.2% | 1.03× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 52.4% | 49.2% | 50.8% | 0.97× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 54.6% | 51.6% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 45.4% | 48.4% | — | — | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 52.3% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 47.7% | 48.0% | — | — | 2.08 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93.7% | 92.3% | 93.3% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 91.9% | 92.3% | 95.4% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 82.0% | 82.4% | 88.4% | 0.93× | 1.21 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.8% | 82.4% | 74.4% | 1.11× | 1.21 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65.4% | 66.3% | 75.3% | 0.88× | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.0% | 58.8% | 47.6% | 1.24× | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43.0% | 41.2% | 52.4% | 0.79× | 2.43 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34.6% | 33.8% | 24.7% | 1.37× | 2.96 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19.2% | 17.6% | 25.6% | 0.69× | 5.67 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18.0% | 17.6% | 11.6% | 1.52× | 5.67 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.67× | 12.95 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 1.15× | 12.95 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 96.6% | 97.2% | 99.3% | 0.98× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 91.0% | 92.5% | 95.0% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 78.5% | 75.9% | 86.6% | 0.88× | 1.32 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 74.8% | 72.6% | 65.0% | 1.12× | 1.38 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 55.4% | 55.5% | 68.0% | 0.82× | 1.80 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 44.6% | 44.5% | 32.0% | 1.39× | 2.25 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 25.2% | 27.4% | 35.0% | 0.78× | 3.65 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 21.6% | 24.1% | 13.4% | 1.80× | 4.16 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.52× | 13.25 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 4.15× | 36.35 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 87.2% | 89.3% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 70.7% | 71.0% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 64.8% | 63.8% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 35.2% | 36.2% | — | — | 2.76 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 29.3% | 29.0% | — | — | 3.45 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 12.8% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.34 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 82.0% | 82.9% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 74.8% | 78.0% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 52.2% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 47.8% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 25.2% | 22.0% | — | — | 4.55 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 18.0% | 17.1% | — | — | 5.85 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos not to score in both halves | 74.7% | 74.4% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Remo not to score in both halves | 71.9% | 74.3% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Remo to score in both halves | 28.1% | 25.7% | — | — | 3.89 |
| Santos to score in both halves | 25.3% | 25.6% | — | — | 3.90 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 60.9% | 60.2% | 51.8% | 1.16× | 1.66 |
| Only Remo scores | 17.4% | 16.1% | 28.0% | 0.58× | 6.20 |
| Only Santos scores | 15.4% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 1.16× | 6.21 |
| Neither team scores | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 1.07× | 13.95 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 23.8% | 22.7% | 26.9% | 0.84× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.4% | 22.6% | 23.1% | 0.98× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 16.6% | 17.5% | 13.2% | 1.32× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 12.9% | 12.1% | 19.1% | 0.63× | 8.29 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 1.06× | 13.13 |
| 6 or more goals | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 1.65× | 13.13 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 1.14× | 13.14 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 52.2% | 51.0% | — | — | 1.96 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 29.8% | 29.7% | — | — | 3.37 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 18.0% | 16.9% | — | — | 5.91 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos not to win both halves | 91.2% | 93.9% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Remo not to win both halves | 89.3% | 88.1% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Remo to win both halves | 10.7% | 11.9% | — | — | 8.43 |
| Santos to win both halves | 8.8% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.47 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo to win either half | 54.1% | 54.8% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Santos to win either half | 50.3% | 54.7% | — | — | 1.83 |
| Santos to win neither half | 49.7% | 45.3% | — | — | 2.21 |
| Remo to win neither half | 45.9% | 45.2% | — | — | 2.21 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos not to win to nil | 84.6% | 83.0% | 86.1% | 0.96× | 1.21 |
| Remo not to win to nil | 82.6% | 83.0% | 72.0% | 1.15× | 1.21 |
| Remo to win to nil | 17.4% | 17.0% | 28.0% | 0.61× | 5.88 |
| Santos to win to nil | 15.4% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 1.23× | 5.88 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 26.7% | 27.8% | 27.2% | 1.02× | 3.59 |
| Remo by 1 | 19.2% | 16.9% | 25.8% | 0.66× | 5.90 |
| Santos by 1 | 18.0% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 1.16× | 5.90 |
| Remo by 2 | 11.8% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 0.83× | 8.46 |
| Santos by 2 | 10.5% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 1.90× | 8.47 |
| Remo by 3+ | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 0.78× | 13.80 |
| Santos by 3+ | 6.2% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 2.07× | 13.81 |