betaider.com

Rennes v Brest — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 18 January 2025 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2425

Ligue 1 xG

Rennes
1–2
1.93 – 1.87 xG
Brest
Shots
22 – 10
On target
9 – 3
Shots in box
16 – 8
xG per shot
0.09 – 0.19
Set-piece xG
0.93 – 0.13
Goals − xG
-0.93 – +0.09
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.51.11.62.20'15'30'45'60'75'90'Hugo Magnetti 26' — goalLudovic Ajorque 73' — goalLudovic Blas 76' — goal
Rennes 1.93 xGBrest 1.91 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Edimilson Fernandes 1' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Lorenz Assignon 4' — Missed Shot (0.30 xG, Open Play)Christopher Wooh 8' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Seko Fofana 8' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, From Corner)Jordan James 9' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Mama Baldé 12' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Edimilson Fernandes 20' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Brendan Chardonnet 24' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Hugo Magnetti 26' — Goal (0.03 xG, From Corner)Mahdi Camara 26' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Ludovic Blas 33' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Ludovic Blas 38' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Leo Østigard 40' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Set Piece)Adrien Truffert 43' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Seko Fofana 43' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga 46' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Jordan James 46' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Lorenz Assignon 47' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Hugo Magnetti 50' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Mama Baldé 50' — Saved Shot (0.46 xG, Open Play)Amine Gouiri 57' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Kamory Doumbia 59' — Missed Shot (0.55 xG, Open Play)Ludovic Blas 67' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Set Piece)Ludovic Ajorque 73' — Goal (0.64 xG, Open Play)Ludovic Blas 76' — Goal (0.09 xG, Open Play)Ludovic Blas 79' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga 80' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Amine Gouiri 85' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga 87' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Set Piece)Amine Gouiri 89' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Seko Fofana 91' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Christopher Wooh 95' — Saved Shot (0.44 xG, From Corner)
Rennes attacking right Brest attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' Brest Edimilson Fernandes 0.04 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot —
4' Rennes Lorenz Assignon 0.30 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Ludovic Blas
8' Rennes Christopher Wooh 0.06 From Corner — Saved Shot Jordan James
8' Rennes Seko Fofana 0.12 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot —
9' Rennes Jordan James 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Hans Hateboer
12' Brest Mama Baldé 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Kamory Doumbia
20' Brest Edimilson Fernandes 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Mama Baldé
24' Brest Brendan Chardonnet 0.02 From Corner — Missed Shot Kamory Doumbia
26' Brest Hugo Magnetti 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Goal Edimilson Fernandes
26' Brest Mahdi Camara 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Kamory Doumbia
33' Rennes Ludovic Blas 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Lorenz Assignon
38' Rennes Ludovic Blas 0.03 From Corner Left Foot Saved Shot Jordan James
40' Rennes Leo Østigard 0.05 Set Piece — Missed Shot Ludovic Blas
43' Rennes Adrien Truffert 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
43' Rennes Seko Fofana 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Ludovic Blas
46' Rennes Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
46' Rennes Jordan James 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Ludovic Blas
47' Rennes Lorenz Assignon 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot —
50' Brest Hugo Magnetti 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
50' Brest Mama Baldé 0.46 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot —
57' Rennes Amine Gouiri 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga
59' Brest Kamory Doumbia 0.55 Open Play — Missed Shot Mahdi Camara
67' Rennes Ludovic Blas 0.10 Set Piece — Missed Shot Seko Fofana
73' Brest Ludovic Ajorque 0.64 Open Play Left Foot Goal Abdallah Sima
76' Rennes Ludovic Blas 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Goal Amine Gouiri
79' Rennes Ludovic Blas 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Seko Fofana
80' Rennes Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Azor Matusiwa
85' Rennes Amine Gouiri 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Ludovic Blas
87' Rennes Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga 0.09 Set Piece — Missed Shot Ludovic Blas
89' Rennes Amine Gouiri 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Seko Fofana
91' Rennes Seko Fofana 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Mahamadou Nagida
95' Rennes Christopher Wooh 0.44 From Corner — Saved Shot Lorenz Assignon

Players

Brest

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Hugo Magnetti DMC 90 1 0 2 0 0.11 0.00 0.08
Edimilson Fernandes DMC 90 0 1 2 1 0.06 0.03 0.05
Mahdi Camara AMC 90 0 0 1 1 0.04 0.55 0.59
Brendan Chardonnet DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.61
Niakhate Ndiaye DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Luc Zogbe DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.64
Kenny Lala DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.01
Marco Bizot GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ludovic Ajorque FW 87 1 0 1 0 0.64 0.00 1.19
Kamory Doumbia AMC 77 0 0 1 3 0.55 0.09 0.59
Mama Baldé FW 71 0 0 2 1 0.50 0.01 0.51
Abdallah Sima Sub 19 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.64 0.64
Romain Del Castillo Sub 13 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Pereira Lage Sub 3 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Rennes

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Christopher Wooh DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.49 0.00 0.07
Ludovic Blas AMC 90 1 0 5 6 0.35 0.55 0.79
Lorenz Assignon DMR 90 0 0 2 2 0.32 0.51 0.57
Seko Fofana AMC 90 0 0 3 3 0.24 0.20 0.48
Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga FW 90 0 0 3 1 0.23 0.08 0.33
Adrien Truffert DML 90 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.14
Azor Matusiwa MC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.20
Hans Hateboer DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.10
Brice Samba GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Leo Østigard DC 67 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.00
Jordan James MC 60 0 0 2 2 0.04 0.09 0.02
Amine Gouiri Sub 30 0 1 3 1 0.13 0.09 0.31
Mahamadou Nagida Sub 23 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.14
Mohamed Meïté Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
betaider.com

Sport

Football Basketball Tennis Ice hockey Baseball

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
↑↓ to move ↵ to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide