River Plate v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 11 October 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

River Plate

14:00

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 860h before kick-off

River Plate win

64.8%

model 65.3%

Draw

22.5%

model 23.3%

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto win

12.7%

model 11.4%

652213

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (999 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 17.2%
2-0 15.1%
0-0 10.4%
1-1 10.2%
3-0 8.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	40.1%	Under 2.5	59.9%
BTTS yes	35.7%	BTTS no	64.3%
River Plate 1+	82.1%	River Plate 2+	51.4%
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 1+	43.2%	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2+	11.1%

Expected goals 1.72 – 0.57. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

21/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

River Plate carry the stronger rating, 1544 Elo against 1344.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0033 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

River Plate have an estimated 64.8% win probability, against 22.5% for the draw and 12.7% for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.72 for River Plate and 0.56 for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto.

Why River Plate

River Plate carry the stronger rating, 1544 Elo against 1344.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.5%. A combined 2.29 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Estudiantes de Río Cuarto can win

Nothing in the data singles out Estudiantes de Río Cuarto.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for River Plate, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

River Plate: 59% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 10.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Estudiantes de Río Cuarto: 44% possession, 7.8 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. River Plate's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

River Plate are the model's most likely outcome at 64.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 17.2%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	70228	1.76–0.44	1-0 19%	38%	30%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate to win	69.6%	65.2%	41.7%	1.56×	1.53
Draw	22.0%	24.4%	30.6%	0.80×	4.09
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win	8.4%	8.2%	27.8%	0.30×	12.13

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate & not both score	53.1%	48.6%	27.8%	1.75×	2.06
River Plate & both teams score	16.5%	17.9%	14.1%	1.27×	5.58
Draw & not both score	11.4%	13.3%	14.8%	0.90×	7.55
Draw & both teams score	10.6%	13.3%	15.9%	0.83×	7.55
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & not both score	5.9%	8.4%	17.2%	0.49×	11.94
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & both teams score	2.5%	4.9%	10.7%	0.46×	20.61

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate & under 3.5	54.1%	48.8%	34.9%	1.40×	2.05
River Plate & over 1.5	50.3%	48.7%	27.6%	1.76×	2.05
River Plate & under 2.5	36.5%	34.9%	23.6%	1.48×	2.87
River Plate & over 2.5	33.1%	30.9%	18.2%	1.69×	3.24
Draw & under 2.5	20.2%	21.7%	28.1%	0.77×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	20.2%	21.7%	28.1%	0.77×	4.62
River Plate & under 1.5	19.3%	18.0%	14.2%	1.27×	5.56
River Plate & over 3.5	15.5%	18.0%	7.0%	2.57×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	11.4%	12.9%	14.8%	0.87×	7.77
Draw & over 1.5	10.6%	12.9%	15.9%	0.81×	7.77
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & under 3.5	7.8%	7.9%	23.6%	0.33×	12.70
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & under 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	14.7%	0.54×	12.70
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & under 1.5	4.6%	4.8%	10.3%	0.46×	20.93
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & over 1.5	3.7%	4.8%	17.5%	0.27×	20.94
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & over 2.5	2.7%	4.8%	13.2%	0.36×	20.94
Draw & over 2.5	1.8%	4.8%	2.6%	1.81×	20.95
Draw & over 3.5	1.8%	4.8%	2.6%	1.81×	20.95
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto & over 3.5	0.6%	4.8%	4.2%	1.12×	20.96

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (1UP)	76.1%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (1UP)	18.9%	23.8%	—	—	4.20

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (2UP)	69.6%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (2UP)	8.4%	8.8%	—	—	11.34

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate to win 2nd half	54.1%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
2nd half drawn	36.4%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win 2nd half	9.6%	8.2%	—	—	12.13

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (+0.5)	91.6%	92.1%	72.2%	1.27×	1.09
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (+2.5)	80.3%	82.4%	95.0%	0.87×	1.21
River Plate (-0.5)	69.6%	68.7%	41.7%	1.65×	1.46
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (+1.5)	58.3%	57.0%	82.5%	0.69×	1.75
River Plate (-1.5)	41.7%	43.0%	17.5%	2.45×	2.33
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (+0.5)	30.4%	31.3%	58.3%	0.54×	3.20
River Plate (-2.5)	19.7%	17.6%	5.0%	3.49×	5.68
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (-0.5)	8.4%	7.9%	27.8%	0.29×	12.62

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to concede	82.7%	81.3%	68.1%	1.19×	1.23
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto clean sheet	17.3%	18.7%	31.9%	0.59×	5.35

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto clean sheet in 1st half	47.0%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to concede in 1st half	53.0%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 6.5 corners	94.1%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 5.5 corners	88.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 4.5 corners	78.3%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 3.5 corners	63.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 2.5 corners	56.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 2.5 corners	43.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 3.5 corners	37.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 4.5 corners	21.7%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 5.5 corners	11.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 6.5 corners	5.9%	9.9%	—	—	10.07

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 3.5 goals	99.9%	97.6%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 2.5 goals	99.0%	97.6%	93.3%	1.05×	1.03
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 1.5 goals	92.8%	92.3%	78.2%	1.18×	1.08
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 0.5 goals	64.5%	63.0%	42.4%	1.48×	1.59
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 0.5 goals	35.5%	37.0%	57.6%	0.64×	2.70
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 1.5 goals	7.2%	7.7%	21.8%	0.35×	13.04
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 2.5 goals	1.0%	2.4%	6.7%	0.37×	40.83
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 3.5 goals	0.1%	2.4%	1.1%	2.13×	40.88

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 1.5 in 1st half	98.6%	96.1%	—	—	1.04
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto under 0.5 in 1st half	83.9%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 0.5 in 1st half	16.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto over 1.5 in 1st half	1.4%	3.9%	—	—	25.41

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (away no bet)	75.9%	73.6%	57.7%	1.28×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	24.1%	26.4%	42.3%	0.62×	3.79

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto even goals	70.8%	67.6%	58.4%	1.16×	1.48
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto odd goals	29.2%	32.4%	41.6%	0.78×	3.09

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.4%	92.4%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.6%	7.6%	—	—	13.10

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	48.6%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Not both halves under 1.5	51.4%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	52.0%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
River Plate to score 2+ in a row	48.7%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.5%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
River Plate to score 3+ in a row	22.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score 2+ in a row	4.7%	2.7%	—	—	37.73
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score 3+ in a row	0.5%	2.5%	—	—	40.34

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate corners (+3.5)	97.1%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
River Plate corners (+2.5)	94.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
River Plate corners (+1.5)	90.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
River Plate corners (-1.5)	65.4%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto corners (+3.5)	57.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
River Plate corners (-2.5)	54.1%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto corners (+2.5)	45.9%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
River Plate corners (-3.5)	42.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto corners (+1.5)	34.6%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto corners (-1.5)	9.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto corners (-2.5)	5.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto corners (-3.5)	2.9%	4.2%	—	—	23.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	45.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	24.9%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.1%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	75.1%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	66.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	65.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	56.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	54.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	45.7%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	43.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	34.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 10.5 corners	33.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 11.5 corners	24.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	17.9%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	19.3%	13.8%	14.2%	0.97×	7.25
2-0	17.2%	13.8%	9.5%	1.45×	7.27
0-0	11.4%	11.5%	14.8%	0.77×	8.73
3-0	10.0%	11.5%	2.8%	4.16×	8.73
1-1	8.8%	7.4%	13.4%	0.55×	13.48
2-1	7.5%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.48
0-1	4.6%	1.7%	10.3%	0.17×	58.46
0-2	1.1%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.48
0-3	0.2%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.49
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.6%	2.98×	58.49
1-2	1.9%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.48
1-3	0.3%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.49
1-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
2-2	1.7%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.48
2-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.49
2-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	14.91×	58.49
3-1	4.4%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.46
3-2	1.0%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
3-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	14.91×	58.49
4-0	4.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.49×	58.46
4-1	1.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.48
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.45×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.45×	58.49
Any other score	3.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate leading at HT (DNB)	85.4%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto leading at HT (DNB)	14.6%	14.4%	—	—	6.93

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate or draw (1X)	91.6%	91.8%	72.2%	1.27×	1.09
River Plate or Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (12)	78.0%	75.6%	69.4%	1.09×	1.32
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto or draw (X2)	30.4%	34.8%	58.3%	0.60×	2.87

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate or draw at HT	92.0%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
River Plate or Estudiantes de Río Cuarto at HT	55.1%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto or draw at HT	53.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate or draw (1UP)	91.6%	93.3%	—	—	1.07
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto or draw (1UP)	30.4%	38.4%	—	—	2.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate or draw in 2nd half	90.4%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
River Plate or Estudiantes de Río Cuarto in 2nd half	63.6%	63.9%	—	—	1.56
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto or draw in 2nd half	45.9%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.7%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	35.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (DNB)	89.3%	87.3%	60.1%	1.45×	1.15
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (DNB)	10.7%	12.7%	39.9%	0.32×	7.89

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate to score first	70.9%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score first	17.7%	18.1%	—	—	5.54
No goal scored	11.4%	9.8%	—	—	10.17

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	70.4%	62.2%	59.5%	1.05×	1.61
Both teams to score	29.6%	37.8%	40.5%	0.93×	2.65

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	53.6%	47.1%	52.9%	0.89×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	20.8%	27.7%	27.2%	1.02×	3.61
Not both score & over 2.5	16.8%	21.7%	6.8%	3.21×	4.61
Both score & under 2.5	8.8%	8.4%	13.4%	0.62×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	96.2%	91.7%	94.2%	0.97×	1.09
Both teams to score 2+	3.8%	8.3%	5.8%	1.41×	12.09

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	85.3%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score in 2nd half	14.7%	14.4%	—	—	6.96

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	77.9%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Both score 2nd half only	13.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score 1st half only	7.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.74
Both score in both halves	1.2%	4.9%	—	—	20.49

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	91.4%	91.6%	—	—	1.09
Both teams to score by HT	8.6%	8.4%	—	—	11.95

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	56.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A goal in each half	43.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.7%	47.4%	47.4%	1.00×	2.11
0-1 goals	35.4%	35.0%	39.1%	0.90×	2.85
4-6 goals	17.2%	20.2%	13.3%	1.52×	4.96
7+ goals	0.7%	1.8%	0.5%	3.98×	54.73

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score exactly 0	64.5%	50.8%	42.4%	1.20×	1.97
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score exactly 1	28.3%	27.4%	35.9%	0.76×	3.65
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score exactly 2	6.2%	8.4%	15.3%	0.55×	11.84
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score 3+	1.0%	4.5%	6.7%	0.68×	22.24

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate to score exactly 1	30.3%	32.6%	36.6%	0.89×	3.06
River Plate to score exactly 2	26.6%	26.5%	21.8%	1.22×	3.77
River Plate to score 3+	25.7%	26.5%	10.0%	2.66×	3.77
River Plate to score exactly 0	17.3%	18.9%	31.9%	0.59×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate leading at HT	47.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Draw at HT	44.9%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto leading at HT	8.0%	9.9%	—	—	10.09

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate -1: 1	41.7%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
River Plate -1: 2	30.4%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
River Plate -1: X	27.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (0:1)	41.7%	42.7%	17.5%	2.43×	2.34
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (0:1)	30.4%	30.0%	58.3%	0.51×	3.34
Draw (0:1)	27.9%	27.0%	24.3%	1.11×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (0:2)	58.3%	62.8%	82.5%	0.76×	1.59
Draw (0:2)	22.0%	20.3%	12.6%	1.61×	4.92
River Plate (0:2)	19.7%	15.3%	5.0%	3.03×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (0:3)	80.3%	85.0%	95.0%	0.90×	1.18
Draw (0:3)	12.1%	10.0%	3.4%	2.91×	10.00
River Plate (0:3)	7.5%	5.8%	1.7%	3.39×	17.16

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (0:4)	92.5%	94.7%	98.3%	0.96×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.1%	4.6%	1.3%	3.66×	21.68
River Plate (0:4)	2.4%	1.2%	0.6%	2.09×	83.40

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (1:0)	91.6%	92.6%	72.2%	1.28×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	6.8%	6.9%	18.7%	0.37×	14.45
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (1:0)	1.6%	3.1%	9.2%	0.34×	31.86

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate (2:0)	98.4%	96.9%	90.8%	1.07×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	1.4%	2.3%	6.3%	0.36×	44.29
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (2:0)	0.2%	2.3%	3.0%	0.76×	44.36

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.8%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
Halves equal	29.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate clean sheet	64.5%	63.4%	42.4%	1.50×	1.58
River Plate to concede	35.5%	36.6%	57.6%	0.64×	2.74

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate clean sheet in 1st half	83.9%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
River Plate to concede in 1st half	16.1%	14.6%	—	—	6.83

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate over 2.5 corners	89.8%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
River Plate over 3.5 corners	79.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
River Plate over 4.5 corners	67.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
River Plate under 6.5 corners	59.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
River Plate over 5.5 corners	53.6%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
River Plate under 5.5 corners	46.4%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
River Plate over 6.5 corners	40.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
River Plate under 4.5 corners	32.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
River Plate under 3.5 corners	20.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
River Plate under 2.5 corners	10.2%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate under 3.5 goals	89.9%	87.3%	97.1%	0.90×	1.15
River Plate over 0.5 goals	82.7%	82.1%	68.1%	1.21×	1.22
River Plate under 2.5 goals	74.3%	74.2%	90.0%	0.82×	1.35
River Plate over 1.5 goals	52.4%	53.2%	31.7%	1.68×	1.88
River Plate under 1.5 goals	47.6%	46.8%	68.3%	0.68×	2.14
River Plate over 2.5 goals	25.7%	25.8%	10.0%	2.59×	3.87
River Plate under 0.5 goals	17.3%	17.9%	31.9%	0.56×	5.59
River Plate over 3.5 goals	10.2%	12.7%	2.9%	4.44×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate under 1.5 in 1st half	82.5%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
River Plate under 0.5 in 1st half	47.0%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
River Plate over 0.5 in 1st half	53.0%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
River Plate over 1.5 in 1st half	17.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.35

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	72.5%	66.5%	52.5%	1.27×	1.50
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (home no bet)	27.5%	33.5%	47.5%	0.70×	2.99

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate even goals	51.5%	50.6%	55.7%	0.91×	1.98
River Plate odd goals	48.5%	49.4%	44.3%	1.12×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	39.5%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
HT 1-0	29.7%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
HT 2-0	11.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 0-1	6.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 1-1	5.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
Any other HT score	4.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.30
HT 2-1	2.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.47
HT 0-2	0.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.57
HT 1-2	0.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.58
HT 2-2	0.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.60

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate at HT / River Plate at FT	43.8%	43.4%	—	—	2.30
Draw at HT / River Plate at FT	24.1%	21.9%	—	—	4.57
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Estudiantes de Río Cuarto at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto at HT / Estudiantes de Río Cuarto at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
River Plate at HT / Draw at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto at HT / Draw at FT	2.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto at HT / River Plate at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
River Plate at HT / Estudiantes de Río Cuarto at FT	0.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.95

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate to score last	70.9%	72.2%	—	—	1.39
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score last	17.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.85
No goal scored	11.4%	9.2%	—	—	10.84

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.6%	90.8%	—	—	1.10
River Plate to lead by 1 at any time	76.1%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	47.9%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
River Plate to lead by 2 at any time	45.1%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
River Plate to lead by 3 at any time	21.1%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to lead by 1 at any time	18.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to lead by 2 at any time	2.8%	1.6%	—	—	61.51
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to lead by 3 at any time	0.3%	1.6%	—	—	64.05

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate most corners	75.6%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto most corners	16.0%	19.1%	—	—	5.23
Corners level	8.4%	8.5%	—	—	11.81

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.1%	87.4%	84.3%	1.04×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.4%	83.5%	80.0%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.7%	72.4%	71.7%	1.01×	1.38
2-6 goals	63.9%	63.4%	60.6%	1.05×	1.58
2-5 goals	62.2%	63.4%	60.0%	1.06×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.5%	59.2%	55.7%	1.06×	1.69
1-2 goals	51.0%	53.2%	51.5%	1.03×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.7%	48.7%	47.4%	1.03×	2.06
3-6 goals	36.8%	39.1%	33.5%	1.17×	2.55
3-5 goals	35.1%	39.1%	32.9%	1.19×	2.56
3-4 goals	30.4%	35.4%	28.7%	1.23×	2.83
4-6 goals	17.2%	18.6%	13.3%	1.40×	5.37
4-5 goals	15.5%	18.6%	12.7%	1.46×	5.37
5-6 goals	6.5%	8.7%	4.9%	1.77×	11.46
7+ goals	0.7%	2.5%	0.5%	5.55×	39.30

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate never behind	69.7%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto never behind	12.5%	12.8%	—	—	7.79

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.9%	50.8%	49.1%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.1%	49.2%	50.9%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	42.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.8%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.5%	95.5%	99.0%	0.97×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.8%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.6%	87.7%	85.2%	1.03×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	82.1%	82.4%	86.4%	0.95×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	64.6%	61.8%	60.9%	1.01×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	62.4%	61.8%	66.2%	0.93×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	37.6%	38.2%	33.8%	1.13×	2.62
Under 1.5 goals	35.4%	38.2%	39.1%	0.98×	2.62
Over 3.5 goals	17.9%	17.6%	13.6%	1.29×	5.68
Under 0.5 goals	11.4%	12.3%	14.8%	0.83×	8.10
Over 4.5 goals	7.2%	7.7%	5.3%	1.47×	12.92
Over 5.5 goals	2.5%	4.5%	1.0%	4.36×	22.22

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.3%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.4%	97.2%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	92.0%	92.5%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	77.7%	75.9%	82.9%	0.92×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	51.5%	51.8%	46.4%	1.12×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	48.5%	48.2%	53.6%	0.90×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	22.3%	24.1%	17.1%	1.41×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.0%	7.5%	5.8%	1.31×	13.26
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.6%	2.8%	1.1%	2.57×	36.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.7%	2.8%	0.5%	5.99×	36.20

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.2%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.1%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.5%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	39.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	23.9%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.8%	7.2%	—	—	13.80

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	86.5%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.7%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	63.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	36.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.3%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.5%	14.7%	—	—	6.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto not to score in both halves	96.3%	96.4%	—	—	1.04
River Plate not to score in both halves	66.5%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
River Plate to score in both halves	33.5%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to score in both halves	3.7%	3.6%	—	—	28.16

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only River Plate scores	53.1%	53.9%	27.8%	1.94×	1.85
Both teams score	29.6%	26.1%	40.5%	0.65×	3.83
Neither team scores	11.4%	10.9%	14.8%	0.74×	9.15
Only Estudiantes de Río Cuarto scores	5.9%	7.2%	17.2%	0.42×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.1%	25.0%	27.2%	0.92×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	24.0%	22.6%	24.4%	0.93×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	19.6%	17.4%	20.3%	0.86×	5.74
Exactly 0 goals	11.4%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.28
Exactly 4 goals	10.8%	12.1%	8.5%	1.42×	8.28
Exactly 5 goals	4.7%	4.4%	4.4%	1.01×	22.65
6 or more goals	2.5%	4.4%	1.0%	4.27×	22.68

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	36.1%	39.6%	—	—	2.53
1 goal in 2nd half	35.5%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
No goals in 2nd half	28.3%	29.8%	—	—	3.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto not to win both halves	99.2%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
River Plate not to win both halves	74.5%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
River Plate to win both halves	25.5%	26.9%	—	—	3.71
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win both halves	0.8%	2.7%	—	—	36.98

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win neither half	83.2%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
River Plate to win either half	75.6%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
River Plate to win neither half	24.4%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win either half	16.8%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto not to win to nil	94.1%	92.1%	82.8%	1.11×	1.09
River Plate to win to nil	53.1%	54.1%	27.8%	1.95×	1.85
River Plate not to win to nil	46.9%	45.9%	72.2%	0.63×	2.18
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto to win to nil	5.9%	7.9%	17.2%	0.46×	12.60

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
River Plate by 1	27.9%	27.9%	24.3%	1.15×	3.59
River Plate by 2	22.0%	24.1%	12.6%	1.91×	4.14
Draw	22.0%	24.1%	30.6%	0.79×	4.14
River Plate by 3+	19.7%	16.9%	5.0%	3.36×	5.91
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto by 1	6.8%	7.3%	18.7%	0.39×	13.78
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto by 2	1.4%	2.7%	6.3%	0.43×	37.04
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto by 3+	0.2%	2.7%	3.0%	0.90×	37.08