RKC Waalwijk v FC Volendam — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 18 October 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

RKC Waalwijk

06:15

FC Volendam

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,020h before kick-off

RKC Waalwijk win

40.5%

model 41.8%

Draw

22.5%

model 21.5%

FC Volendam win

37.0%

model 36.7%

412337

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,353 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 9.0%
2-1 8.4%
1-2 7.9%
2-2 7.0%
1-0 6.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	66.7%	Under 2.5	33.3%
BTTS yes	66.8%	BTTS no	33.2%
RKC Waalwijk 1+	83.1%	RKC Waalwijk 2+	53.1%
FC Volendam 1+	80.9%	FC Volendam 2+	49.3%

Expected goals 1.78 – 1.66. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

49/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

89%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

RKC Waalwijk carry the stronger rating, 1496 Elo against 1461.

Risk factors

The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.89).

Why the model thinks this

The price

RKC Waalwijk have an estimated 40.5% win probability, against 37.0% for FC Volendam and 22.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.78 for RKC Waalwijk and 1.66 for FC Volendam.

Why RKC Waalwijk

RKC Waalwijk carry the stronger rating, 1496 Elo against 1461.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.5%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.78 to 1.66. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why FC Volendam can win

Nothing in the data singles out FC Volendam.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for RKC Waalwijk, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for FC Volendam, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

RKC Waalwijk: 53% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. FC Volendam: 52% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

RKC Waalwijk are the model's most likely outcome at 40.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.0%. Confidence 49/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	322048	1.71–2.12	1-2 8%	74%	72%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to win	48.1%	47.5%	33.5%	1.42×	2.11
RKC Waalwijk to win	31.9%	30.4%	44.4%	0.68×	3.29
Draw	20.0%	24.4%	22.3%	1.10×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam & both teams score	31.7%	29.7%	19.7%	1.51×	3.37
RKC Waalwijk & both teams score	21.7%	21.9%	21.6%	1.01×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	18.2%	17.9%	17.7%	1.01×	5.58
FC Volendam & not both score	16.4%	17.9%	13.9%	1.29×	5.58
RKC Waalwijk & not both score	10.2%	13.3%	22.9%	0.58×	7.55
Draw & not both score	1.8%	4.9%	4.7%	1.03×	20.61

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam & over 1.5	43.1%	40.3%	27.2%	1.48×	2.48
FC Volendam & over 2.5	38.2%	34.9%	23.6%	1.48×	2.86
RKC Waalwijk & over 1.5	27.8%	26.0%	36.8%	0.71×	3.84
FC Volendam & over 3.5	26.4%	26.0%	13.8%	1.89×	3.84
RKC Waalwijk & over 2.5	24.6%	21.6%	30.6%	0.71×	4.62
FC Volendam & under 3.5	21.7%	21.6%	19.8%	1.09×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	18.2%	18.0%	17.7%	1.02×	5.56
RKC Waalwijk & over 3.5	16.1%	18.0%	18.7%	0.96×	5.56
RKC Waalwijk & under 3.5	15.8%	18.0%	25.9%	0.70×	5.56
Draw & over 2.5	10.8%	12.9%	8.2%	1.57×	7.77
Draw & over 3.5	10.8%	12.9%	8.2%	1.57×	7.77
FC Volendam & under 2.5	9.9%	7.9%	10.0%	0.79×	12.69
Draw & under 2.5	9.3%	7.9%	14.2%	0.56×	12.70
Draw & under 3.5	9.3%	7.9%	14.2%	0.56×	12.70
RKC Waalwijk & under 2.5	7.3%	7.9%	13.9%	0.57×	12.70
FC Volendam & under 1.5	5.0%	7.9%	6.3%	1.24×	12.70
RKC Waalwijk & under 1.5	4.1%	4.8%	7.7%	0.62×	20.93
Draw & under 1.5	1.8%	4.8%	4.7%	1.01×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (1UP)	67.2%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
RKC Waalwijk (1UP)	54.1%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (2UP)	48.1%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
RKC Waalwijk (2UP)	31.9%	31.1%	—	—	3.22

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to win 2nd half	43.4%	41.3%	—	—	2.42
RKC Waalwijk to win 2nd half	28.5%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
2nd half drawn	28.1%	26.4%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (+2.5)	93.7%	92.1%	88.1%	1.05×	1.09
FC Volendam (+1.5)	84.5%	82.4%	75.6%	1.09×	1.21
FC Volendam (+0.5)	68.1%	68.7%	55.6%	1.24×	1.46
RKC Waalwijk (+0.5)	51.9%	52.4%	66.5%	0.79×	1.91
FC Volendam (-0.5)	48.1%	47.6%	33.5%	1.42×	2.10
RKC Waalwijk (-0.5)	31.9%	31.3%	44.4%	0.71×	3.19
RKC Waalwijk (-1.5)	15.5%	17.6%	24.4%	0.72×	5.69
RKC Waalwijk (-2.5)	6.3%	7.9%	11.9%	0.66×	12.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to concede	81.9%	81.3%	81.5%	1.00×	1.23
FC Volendam clean sheet	18.1%	18.7%	18.5%	1.01×	5.36

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam clean sheet in 1st half	48.0%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
FC Volendam to concede in 1st half	52.0%	49.4%	—	—	2.02

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam over 2.5 corners	79.5%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
FC Volendam under 6.5 corners	79.2%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
FC Volendam under 5.5 corners	67.6%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
FC Volendam over 3.5 corners	63.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
FC Volendam under 4.5 corners	52.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
FC Volendam over 4.5 corners	47.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
FC Volendam under 3.5 corners	36.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
FC Volendam over 5.5 corners	32.4%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
FC Volendam over 6.5 corners	20.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
FC Volendam under 2.5 corners	20.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.16

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam over 0.5 goals	88.0%	87.9%	72.5%	1.21×	1.14
FC Volendam under 3.5 goals	83.5%	81.4%	93.0%	0.88×	1.23
FC Volendam under 2.5 goals	64.4%	63.0%	81.5%	0.77×	1.59
FC Volendam over 1.5 goals	62.6%	62.9%	41.9%	1.50×	1.59
FC Volendam under 1.5 goals	37.4%	37.1%	58.1%	0.64×	2.70
FC Volendam over 2.5 goals	35.6%	37.0%	18.5%	2.00×	2.70
FC Volendam over 3.5 goals	16.5%	18.6%	7.0%	2.66×	5.39
FC Volendam under 0.5 goals	12.0%	12.1%	27.5%	0.44×	8.26

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam under 1.5 in 1st half	79.1%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
FC Volendam over 0.5 in 1st half	57.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
FC Volendam under 0.5 in 1st half	42.8%	37.5%	—	—	2.66
FC Volendam over 1.5 in 1st half	20.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.25

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (away no bet)	61.4%	62.1%	66.6%	0.93×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	38.6%	37.9%	33.4%	1.14×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam even goals	50.7%	52.8%	57.1%	0.92×	1.90
FC Volendam odd goals	49.3%	47.2%	42.9%	1.10×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	69.2%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Both halves over 1.5 goals	30.8%	27.3%	—	—	3.66

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	81.6%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Both halves under 1.5 goals	18.4%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	72.9%	72.2%	—	—	1.39
FC Volendam to score 2+ in a row	50.3%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
RKC Waalwijk to score 2+ in a row	37.1%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row	32.8%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
FC Volendam to score 3+ in a row	21.5%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
RKC Waalwijk to score 3+ in a row	12.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.26

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk corners (+3.5)	88.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
RKC Waalwijk corners (+2.5)	82.2%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
FC Volendam corners (+3.5)	77.0%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
RKC Waalwijk corners (+1.5)	74.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
FC Volendam corners (+2.5)	68.0%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
FC Volendam corners (+1.5)	57.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
RKC Waalwijk corners (-1.5)	42.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
RKC Waalwijk corners (-2.5)	32.0%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
FC Volendam corners (-1.5)	25.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
RKC Waalwijk corners (-3.5)	23.0%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
FC Volendam corners (-2.5)	17.8%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
FC Volendam corners (-3.5)	11.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	36.2%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
12+ corners	32.6%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	31.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	75.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	74.2%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	67.4%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	63.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	57.7%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	47.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	42.3%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	36.2%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	32.6%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	25.8%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	24.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-2	8.4%	7.4%	7.5%	1.00×	13.47
Any other score	9.2%	7.4%	4.7%	1.57×	13.47
1-1	7.5%	7.4%	9.6%	0.78×	13.47
2-1	6.7%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.47
2-2	7.1%	7.4%	6.7%	1.11×	13.47
1-3	5.9%	7.4%	3.7%	1.99×	13.47
2-3	5.0%	7.4%	3.5%	2.13×	13.47
0-1	5.0%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.47
0-2	4.9%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.50
1-0	4.1%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.50
1-4	3.1%	1.7%	2.2%	0.76×	58.51
2-0	3.2%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.51
2-4	2.7%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.51
3-0	1.8%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.51
3-1	3.8%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.50
3-2	4.1%	1.7%	4.2%	0.40×	58.50
3-3	2.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.51
3-4	1.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.52
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.52
4-1	1.6%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.51
4-2	1.7%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.51
4-3	1.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.43×	58.52
4-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.1%	13.74×	58.52
0-0	1.8%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.51
0-3	3.5%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.50
0-4	1.8%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam leading at HT (DNB)	55.1%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
RKC Waalwijk leading at HT (DNB)	44.9%	43.0%	—	—	2.33

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk or FC Volendam (12)	80.0%	75.6%	77.7%	0.97×	1.32
FC Volendam or draw (X2)	68.1%	69.6%	55.6%	1.25×	1.44
RKC Waalwijk or draw (1X)	51.9%	52.5%	66.5%	0.79×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam or draw at HT	71.0%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
RKC Waalwijk or FC Volendam at HT	64.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
RKC Waalwijk or draw at HT	64.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam or draw (1UP)	68.1%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
RKC Waalwijk or draw (1UP)	54.1%	59.4%	—	—	1.68

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk or FC Volendam in 2nd half	71.9%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
FC Volendam or draw in 2nd half	71.5%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
RKC Waalwijk or draw in 2nd half	56.6%	58.7%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	54.0%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Neither half drawn	46.0%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (DNB)	60.1%	62.7%	43.0%	1.46×	1.60
RKC Waalwijk (DNB)	39.9%	37.3%	57.0%	0.65×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to score first	54.4%	54.0%	—	—	1.85
RKC Waalwijk to score first	43.8%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	1.8%	4.2%	—	—	23.56

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	71.7%	62.3%	58.7%	1.06×	1.61
Not both teams to score	28.3%	37.7%	41.3%	0.91×	2.65

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	64.2%	50.2%	49.3%	1.02×	1.99
Not both score & under 2.5	19.0%	21.8%	28.4%	0.77×	4.59
Not both score & over 2.5	9.4%	8.4%	13.1%	0.64×	11.94
Both score & under 2.5	7.5%	8.4%	9.6%	0.87×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	68.2%	70.8%	79.0%	0.90×	1.41
Both teams to score 2+	31.8%	29.2%	21.0%	1.39×	3.42

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	55.4%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Both teams to score in 2nd half	44.6%	33.4%	—	—	2.99

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	39.0%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Both score 2nd half only	31.3%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Both score 1st half only	16.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
Both score in both halves	13.3%	10.6%	—	—	9.47

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	70.3%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	29.7%	20.1%	—	—	4.97

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	70.8%	72.2%	—	—	1.39
A half without a goal	29.2%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	43.9%	42.1%	37.3%	1.13×	2.38
2-3 goals	35.9%	35.0%	41.2%	0.85×	2.85
0-1 goals	10.9%	16.9%	18.5%	0.91×	5.91
7+ goals	9.3%	7.6%	3.2%	2.36×	13.11

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to score 3+	35.6%	36.0%	18.5%	1.94×	2.78
FC Volendam to score exactly 2	27.0%	27.4%	23.5%	1.17×	3.65
FC Volendam to score exactly 1	25.4%	27.4%	30.7%	0.89×	3.65
FC Volendam to score exactly 0	12.0%	12.8%	27.5%	0.47×	7.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to score exactly 1	31.0%	32.6%	30.5%	1.07×	3.06
RKC Waalwijk to score exactly 2	26.4%	26.5%	25.9%	1.02×	3.77
RKC Waalwijk to score 3+	24.5%	23.3%	25.4%	0.92×	4.30
RKC Waalwijk to score exactly 0	18.1%	18.9%	18.5%	1.02×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam leading at HT	35.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Draw at HT	35.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
RKC Waalwijk leading at HT	29.0%	25.5%	—	—	3.92

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam -1: 1	51.9%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
FC Volendam -1: 2	27.8%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
FC Volendam -1: X	20.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (0:1)	68.1%	65.5%	55.6%	1.18×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	16.4%	17.8%	20.1%	0.88×	5.63
RKC Waalwijk (0:1)	15.5%	17.8%	24.4%	0.73×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (0:2)	84.5%	82.8%	75.6%	1.10×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	9.2%	7.7%	12.6%	0.62×	12.94
RKC Waalwijk (0:2)	6.3%	7.7%	11.9%	0.65×	12.97

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (0:3)	93.7%	92.6%	88.1%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.2%	2.4%	5.7%	0.42×	42.02
RKC Waalwijk (0:3)	2.1%	2.4%	6.3%	0.37×	42.12

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (0:4)	97.9%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	4.4%	0.28×	83.43
RKC Waalwijk (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	83.54

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (1:0)	51.9%	54.1%	66.5%	0.81×	1.85
FC Volendam (1:0)	27.8%	25.1%	15.4%	1.63×	3.98
Draw (1:0)	20.2%	21.7%	18.2%	1.20×	4.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk (2:0)	72.2%	76.4%	84.6%	0.90×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	14.2%	10.4%	8.8%	1.18×	9.60
FC Volendam (2:0)	13.6%	10.4%	6.7%	1.55×	9.61

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	53.1%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	19.6%	19.1%	—	—	5.23

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to concede	88.0%	86.1%	72.5%	1.19×	1.16
RKC Waalwijk clean sheet	12.0%	13.9%	27.5%	0.50×	7.21

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk to concede in 1st half	57.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
RKC Waalwijk clean sheet in 1st half	42.8%	37.5%	—	—	2.66

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk over 2.5 corners	86.6%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
RKC Waalwijk over 3.5 corners	74.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
RKC Waalwijk under 6.5 corners	68.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
RKC Waalwijk over 4.5 corners	59.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
RKC Waalwijk under 5.5 corners	55.0%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
RKC Waalwijk over 5.5 corners	45.0%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
RKC Waalwijk under 4.5 corners	40.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
RKC Waalwijk over 6.5 corners	32.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
RKC Waalwijk under 3.5 corners	25.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
RKC Waalwijk under 2.5 corners	13.4%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk under 3.5 goals	90.6%	92.2%	89.8%	1.03×	1.08
RKC Waalwijk over 0.5 goals	81.9%	82.1%	81.5%	1.01×	1.22
RKC Waalwijk under 2.5 goals	75.5%	77.7%	74.6%	1.04×	1.29
RKC Waalwijk over 1.5 goals	50.9%	53.2%	51.1%	1.04×	1.88
RKC Waalwijk under 1.5 goals	49.1%	46.8%	48.9%	0.96×	2.14
RKC Waalwijk over 2.5 goals	24.5%	22.3%	25.4%	0.88×	4.49
RKC Waalwijk under 0.5 goals	18.1%	17.9%	18.5%	0.96×	5.59
RKC Waalwijk over 3.5 goals	9.4%	7.8%	10.2%	0.76×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk under 1.5 in 1st half	83.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
RKC Waalwijk under 0.5 in 1st half	48.0%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
RKC Waalwijk over 0.5 in 1st half	52.0%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
RKC Waalwijk over 1.5 in 1st half	16.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam (home no bet)	70.6%	66.3%	60.0%	1.10×	1.51
Draw (home no bet)	29.4%	33.7%	40.0%	0.84×	2.97

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk even goals	51.6%	50.6%	51.7%	0.98×	1.98
RKC Waalwijk odd goals	48.4%	49.4%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	20.5%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	17.5%	18.8%	—	—	5.32
HT 1-0	15.1%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 1-1	12.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
Any other HT score	9.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.15
HT 0-2	7.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.17
HT 2-0	5.5%	7.0%	—	—	14.20
HT 1-2	5.4%	7.0%	—	—	14.20
HT 2-1	4.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.72
HT 2-2	2.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.92

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam at HT / FC Volendam at FT	28.0%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
RKC Waalwijk at HT / RKC Waalwijk at FT	18.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / FC Volendam at FT	15.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / RKC Waalwijk at FT	10.3%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	9.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
RKC Waalwijk at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
FC Volendam at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
RKC Waalwijk at HT / FC Volendam at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
FC Volendam at HT / RKC Waalwijk at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.88

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to score last	54.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
RKC Waalwijk to score last	43.8%	40.4%	—	—	2.48
No goal scored	1.8%	4.2%	—	—	23.56

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.2%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
FC Volendam to lead by 1 at any time	67.2%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	61.2%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
RKC Waalwijk to lead by 1 at any time	54.1%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
FC Volendam to lead by 2 at any time	37.6%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	27.0%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
RKC Waalwijk to lead by 2 at any time	24.4%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
FC Volendam to lead by 3 at any time	17.7%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
RKC Waalwijk to lead by 3 at any time	9.3%	6.6%	—	—	15.14

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk most corners	53.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.93
FC Volendam most corners	35.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	79.8%	78.6%	78.4%	1.00×	1.27
1-5 goals	79.4%	78.6%	86.3%	0.91×	1.27
2-5 goals	70.3%	72.4%	72.5%	1.00×	1.38
1-4 goals	64.5%	63.4%	74.1%	0.86×	1.58
3-6 goals	64.2%	63.4%	59.1%	1.07×	1.58
2-4 goals	55.4%	59.2%	60.3%	0.98×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.7%	53.2%	53.2%	1.00×	1.88
1-3 goals	45.0%	48.7%	55.0%	0.89×	2.06
4-6 goals	43.9%	43.6%	37.3%	1.17×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.8%	39.2%	41.0%	0.95×	2.55
2-3 goals	35.9%	39.2%	41.2%	0.95×	2.55
4-5 goals	34.4%	35.4%	31.5%	1.12×	2.83
1-2 goals	24.7%	24.5%	33.2%	0.74×	4.09
5-6 goals	24.4%	24.5%	18.2%	1.35×	4.09
7+ goals	9.3%	8.8%	3.2%	2.71×	11.42

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam never behind	44.1%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
RKC Waalwijk never behind	31.0%	35.7%	—	—	2.80

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.3%	50.8%	49.5%	1.03×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.7%	49.2%	50.5%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.0%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	48.0%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.2%	95.5%	95.3%	1.00×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	89.1%	87.7%	81.5%	1.08×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	81.2%	82.4%	90.9%	0.91×	1.21
Over 2.5 goals	73.5%	72.5%	62.2%	1.17×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	66.3%	66.2%	78.7%	0.84×	1.51
Over 3.5 goals	53.2%	52.5%	40.4%	1.30×	1.91
Under 3.5 goals	46.8%	47.5%	59.6%	0.80×	2.10
Over 4.5 goals	33.7%	33.8%	21.3%	1.59×	2.96
Under 2.5 goals	26.5%	27.5%	37.8%	0.73×	3.64
Over 5.5 goals	18.8%	17.6%	9.1%	1.94×	5.67
Under 1.5 goals	10.9%	12.3%	18.5%	0.67×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	1.8%	4.5%	4.7%	0.95×	22.26

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	89.7%	86.8%	96.6%	0.90×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	87.1%	86.7%	77.0%	1.13×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	77.9%	75.9%	89.7%	0.85×	1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	66.8%	67.4%	51.7%	1.30×	1.48
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	58.1%	55.5%	73.7%	0.75×	1.80
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	41.9%	44.5%	26.3%	1.69×	2.25
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.2%	32.6%	48.3%	0.68×	3.07
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	22.1%	24.1%	10.3%	2.33×	4.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	12.9%	13.3%	23.0%	0.58×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	10.3%	13.2%	3.4%	3.86×	7.55

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	79.5%	79.0%	—	—	1.27
Under 2.5 in 1st half	78.8%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	53.1%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Over 1.5 in 1st half	46.9%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Over 2.5 in 1st half	21.2%	21.1%	—	—	4.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	20.5%	21.0%	—	—	4.76

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	89.5%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	65.5%	66.9%	—	—	1.49
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	61.1%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	38.9%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	34.5%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	10.5%	14.6%	—	—	6.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk not to score in both halves	67.7%	70.2%	—	—	1.42
FC Volendam not to score in both halves	58.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
FC Volendam to score in both halves	41.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
RKC Waalwijk to score in both halves	32.3%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	71.7%	66.2%	58.7%	1.13×	1.51
Only FC Volendam scores	16.4%	16.1%	13.9%	1.15×	6.22
Only RKC Waalwijk scores	10.2%	10.9%	22.9%	0.48×	9.15
Neither team scores	1.8%	4.6%	4.7%	0.97×	21.89

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	20.3%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	19.5%	17.4%	19.3%	0.91×	5.73
6 or more goals	18.8%	17.4%	9.1%	1.92×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	15.6%	17.4%	19.4%	0.90×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	14.9%	12.1%	12.3%	0.98×	8.28
Exactly 1 goals	9.1%	7.6%	13.9%	0.55×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	1.8%	4.4%	4.7%	0.93×	22.71

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	65.5%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
1 goal in 2nd half	24.0%	23.1%	—	—	4.32
No goals in 2nd half	10.5%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk not to win both halves	91.8%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
FC Volendam not to win both halves	84.6%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
FC Volendam to win both halves	15.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.35
RKC Waalwijk to win both halves	8.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.54

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam to win either half	63.6%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
RKC Waalwijk to win neither half	50.7%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
RKC Waalwijk to win either half	49.3%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
FC Volendam to win neither half	36.4%	34.7%	—	—	2.88

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RKC Waalwijk not to win to nil	89.8%	88.2%	77.1%	1.14×	1.13
FC Volendam not to win to nil	83.6%	83.0%	86.1%	0.96×	1.20
FC Volendam to win to nil	16.4%	17.0%	13.9%	1.22×	5.89
RKC Waalwijk to win to nil	10.2%	11.8%	22.9%	0.51×	8.49

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
FC Volendam by 1	20.2%	24.1%	18.2%	1.33×	4.14
Draw	20.0%	24.1%	22.3%	1.08×	4.14
RKC Waalwijk by 1	16.4%	16.9%	20.1%	0.84×	5.90
FC Volendam by 2	14.2%	11.8%	8.8%	1.34×	8.47
FC Volendam by 3+	13.6%	11.8%	6.7%	1.76×	8.47
RKC Waalwijk by 2	9.2%	7.3%	12.6%	0.58×	13.79
RKC Waalwijk by 3+	6.3%	7.2%	11.9%	0.61×	13.80