Roda JC Kerkrade v Vitesse — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Roda JC Kerkrade

10:30

Vitesse

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 127h before kick-off

Roda JC Kerkrade win

42.6%

model 40.5%

Draw

20.7%

model 23.4%

Vitesse win

36.7%

model 36.0%

432137

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.9%
2-1 8.7%
1-0 8.6%
1-2 8.1%
0-1 8.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	56.3%	Under 2.5	43.7%
BTTS yes	58.7%	BTTS no	41.3%
Roda JC Kerkrade 1+	78.1%	Roda JC Kerkrade 2+	44.9%
Vitesse 1+	75.8%	Vitesse 2+	41.5%

Expected goals 1.52 – 1.42. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

54/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

1-3 goals

Multi goal · usually 55%

62.7% fair odds 1.60

moderate signal · 3105 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Roda JC Kerkrade (2:0)

Handicap 2:0 · usually 85%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 326 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Roda JC Kerkrade.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Roda JC Kerkrade have an estimated 42.6% win probability, against 36.7% for Vitesse and 20.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.52 for Roda JC Kerkrade and 1.42 for Vitesse.

Why Roda JC Kerkrade

Nothing in the data singles out Roda JC Kerkrade.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 20.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.52 to 1.42. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why Vitesse can win

Vitesse carry the stronger rating, 1528 Elo against 1470.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Roda JC Kerkrade, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Vitesse, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Roda JC Kerkrade: 48% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Vitesse: 45% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 18.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Roda JC Kerkrade are the model's most likely outcome at 42.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.9%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	412336	1.52–1.42	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	392437	1.41–1.36	1-1 11%	52%	55%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade to win	39.0%	36.4%	44.4%	0.82×	2.74
Vitesse to win	36.7%	36.4%	33.5%	1.09×	2.75
Draw	24.3%	24.5%	22.3%	1.10×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade & not both score	20.1%	21.9%	22.9%	0.96×	4.57
Roda JC Kerkrade & both teams score	19.0%	17.9%	21.6%	0.83×	5.58
Vitesse & not both score	18.8%	17.9%	13.9%	1.29×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	18.6%	17.9%	17.7%	1.01×	5.58
Vitesse & both teams score	17.9%	17.9%	19.7%	0.91×	5.58
Draw & not both score	5.7%	8.4%	4.7%	1.77×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade & over 1.5	29.6%	26.0%	36.8%	0.71×	3.84
Roda JC Kerkrade & under 3.5	27.1%	26.0%	25.9%	1.01×	3.84
Vitesse & over 1.5	27.5%	26.0%	27.2%	0.96×	3.84
Vitesse & under 3.5	25.7%	26.0%	19.8%	1.32×	3.84
Roda JC Kerkrade & over 2.5	23.3%	21.7%	30.6%	0.71×	4.62
Vitesse & over 2.5	21.7%	21.7%	23.6%	0.92×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	18.6%	18.0%	17.7%	1.02×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	17.2%	18.0%	14.2%	1.27×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.2%	18.0%	14.2%	1.27×	5.56
Roda JC Kerkrade & under 2.5	15.7%	18.0%	13.9%	1.29×	5.56
Vitesse & under 2.5	14.9%	12.9%	10.0%	1.29×	7.77
Roda JC Kerkrade & over 3.5	11.9%	12.9%	18.7%	0.69×	7.77
Vitesse & over 3.5	10.9%	12.9%	13.8%	0.93×	7.77
Roda JC Kerkrade & under 1.5	9.5%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.69
Vitesse & under 1.5	9.1%	7.9%	6.3%	1.24×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	7.1%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.1%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	5.7%	7.9%	4.7%	1.67×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade (1UP)	55.7%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Vitesse (1UP)	53.6%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade (2UP)	39.0%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Vitesse (2UP)	36.7%	37.1%	—	—	2.70

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	34.7%	34.6%	—	—	2.89
Vitesse to win 2nd half	32.9%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Roda JC Kerkrade to win 2nd half	32.3%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse (+2.5)	93.4%	92.1%	88.1%	1.05×	1.09
Vitesse (+1.5)	82.1%	82.4%	75.6%	1.09×	1.21
Roda JC Kerkrade (+0.5)	63.3%	62.9%	66.5%	0.95×	1.59
Vitesse (+0.5)	61.0%	62.9%	55.6%	1.13×	1.59
Roda JC Kerkrade (-0.5)	39.0%	37.1%	44.4%	0.84×	2.70
Vitesse (-0.5)	36.7%	37.1%	33.5%	1.11×	2.70
Roda JC Kerkrade (-1.5)	17.9%	17.6%	24.4%	0.72×	5.69
Roda JC Kerkrade (-2.5)	6.6%	7.9%	11.9%	0.66×	12.64

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse to concede	75.5%	79.0%	81.5%	0.97×	1.27
Vitesse clean sheet	24.5%	21.0%	18.5%	1.13×	4.76

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse to concede in 1st half	45.4%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Vitesse clean sheet in 1st half	54.6%	49.4%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse under 6.5 corners	82.6%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Vitesse over 2.5 corners	76.3%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Vitesse under 5.5 corners	71.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Vitesse over 3.5 corners	59.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Vitesse under 4.5 corners	57.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Vitesse over 4.5 corners	42.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Vitesse under 3.5 corners	40.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Vitesse over 5.5 corners	28.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Vitesse under 2.5 corners	23.7%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Vitesse over 6.5 corners	17.4%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse under 3.5 goals	95.1%	97.5%	93.0%	1.05×	1.03
Vitesse under 2.5 goals	84.4%	81.4%	81.5%	1.00×	1.23
Vitesse over 0.5 goals	74.2%	72.0%	72.5%	0.99×	1.39
Vitesse under 1.5 goals	60.7%	62.9%	58.1%	1.08×	1.59
Vitesse over 1.5 goals	39.3%	37.1%	41.9%	0.88×	2.70
Vitesse under 0.5 goals	25.8%	28.0%	27.5%	1.02×	3.57
Vitesse over 2.5 goals	15.6%	18.6%	18.5%	1.00×	5.38
Vitesse over 3.5 goals	4.9%	2.5%	7.0%	0.35×	40.62

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse under 1.5 in 1st half	89.7%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Vitesse under 0.5 in 1st half	58.2%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Vitesse over 0.5 in 1st half	41.8%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Vitesse over 1.5 in 1st half	10.3%	10.8%	—	—	9.23

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade (away no bet)	61.6%	62.1%	66.6%	0.93×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	38.4%	37.9%	33.4%	1.14×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse even goals	53.3%	52.8%	57.1%	0.92×	1.89
Vitesse odd goals	46.7%	47.2%	42.9%	1.10×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.7%	83.0%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.3%	17.0%	—	—	5.90

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.2%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals	35.8%	41.8%	—	—	2.39

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	56.1%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Roda JC Kerkrade to score 2+ in a row	32.3%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Vitesse to score 2+ in a row	30.5%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.4%	16.4%	—	—	6.10
Roda JC Kerkrade to score 3+ in a row	10.4%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Vitesse to score 3+ in a row	9.4%	5.7%	—	—	17.53

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade corners (+3.5)	89.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Roda JC Kerkrade corners (+2.5)	84.1%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Roda JC Kerkrade corners (+1.5)	76.2%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Vitesse corners (+3.5)	76.0%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Vitesse corners (+2.5)	66.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Vitesse corners (+1.5)	55.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Roda JC Kerkrade corners (-1.5)	44.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Roda JC Kerkrade corners (-2.5)	33.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Roda JC Kerkrade corners (-3.5)	24.0%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Vitesse corners (-1.5)	23.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Vitesse corners (-2.5)	15.9%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Vitesse corners (-3.5)	10.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	40.0%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
9-11 corners	31.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	28.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.2%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	70.8%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 10.5 corners	61.8%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	60.0%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	51.2%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	48.8%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	40.0%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	38.2%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 7.5 corners	29.2%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Over 11.5 corners	28.8%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	21.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.5%	11.5%	9.6%	1.20×	8.73
0-1	9.1%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.48
1-0	9.5%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.48
2-1	8.5%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.48
1-2	8.2%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.48
0-0	5.7%	7.4%	4.7%	1.57×	13.48
0-2	5.8%	7.4%	3.7%	1.99×	13.48
2-0	6.3%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.48
2-2	5.7%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.48
0-3	2.6%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.47
0-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.48
1-3	3.7%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.47
1-4	1.2%	1.7%	2.2%	0.76×	58.48
2-3	2.6%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.47
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
3-0	2.9%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.47
3-1	4.0%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.47
3-2	2.7%	1.7%	4.2%	0.40×	58.47
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.48
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.49
4-0	1.0%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.48
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.48
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.44×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	13.75×	58.49
Any other score	2.7%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade leading at HT (DNB)	53.6%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
Vitesse leading at HT (DNB)	46.4%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade or Vitesse (12)	75.7%	75.5%	77.7%	0.97×	1.32
Roda JC Kerkrade or draw (1X)	63.3%	63.6%	66.5%	0.96×	1.57
Vitesse or draw (X2)	61.0%	63.6%	55.6%	1.14×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade or draw at HT	73.5%	74.4%	—	—	1.35
Vitesse or draw at HT	69.4%	66.5%	—	—	1.50
Roda JC Kerkrade or Vitesse at HT	57.1%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade or draw (1UP)	63.3%	71.7%	—	—	1.39
Vitesse or draw (1UP)	61.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse or draw in 2nd half	67.7%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Roda JC Kerkrade or draw in 2nd half	67.1%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Roda JC Kerkrade or Vitesse in 2nd half	65.3%	65.4%	—	—	1.53

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.4%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	36.7%	38.4%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade (DNB)	51.6%	50.9%	57.0%	0.89×	1.96
Vitesse (DNB)	48.4%	49.1%	43.0%	1.14×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade to score first	48.0%	45.6%	—	—	2.20
Vitesse to score first	46.2%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
No goal scored	5.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.41

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.4%	54.9%	58.7%	0.93×	1.82
Not both teams to score	44.6%	45.1%	41.3%	1.09×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	44.0%	41.6%	49.3%	0.85×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	36.4%	38.5%	28.4%	1.36×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.5%	12.3%	9.6%	1.29×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.2%	8.4%	13.1%	0.64×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.9%	83.1%	79.0%	1.05×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	16.1%	16.9%	21.0%	0.81×	5.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.4%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Both score 2nd half only	24.7%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Both score 1st half only	13.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	5.8%	6.7%	—	—	14.82

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.1%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Both teams to score by HT	18.9%	17.7%	—	—	5.66

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	54.4%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	45.6%	46.5%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.7%	47.4%	41.2%	1.15×	2.11
4-6 goals	27.7%	26.5%	37.3%	0.71×	3.78
0-1 goals	24.4%	22.8%	18.5%	1.23×	4.38
7+ goals	2.3%	1.8%	3.2%	0.57×	54.57

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse to score exactly 1	35.0%	33.8%	30.7%	1.10×	2.96
Vitesse to score exactly 0	25.8%	27.4%	27.5%	1.00×	3.65
Vitesse to score exactly 2	23.7%	22.4%	23.5%	0.95×	4.46
Vitesse to score 3+	15.6%	19.6%	18.5%	1.06×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade to score exactly 1	34.5%	32.7%	30.5%	1.07×	3.06
Roda JC Kerkrade to score exactly 0	24.5%	23.3%	18.5%	1.25×	4.30
Roda JC Kerkrade to score exactly 2	24.2%	23.3%	25.9%	0.90×	4.30
Roda JC Kerkrade to score 3+	16.8%	18.9%	25.4%	0.74×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.9%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Roda JC Kerkrade leading at HT	30.6%	33.5%	—	—	2.98
Vitesse leading at HT	26.5%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade -1: 2	61.0%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Roda JC Kerkrade -1: X	21.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Roda JC Kerkrade -1: 1	17.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse (0:1)	61.0%	61.4%	55.6%	1.10×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	21.1%	24.3%	20.1%	1.20×	4.12
Roda JC Kerkrade (0:1)	17.9%	17.8%	24.4%	0.73×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse (0:2)	82.1%	82.8%	75.6%	1.09×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.3%	11.0%	12.6%	0.87×	9.13
Roda JC Kerkrade (0:2)	6.6%	7.7%	11.9%	0.65×	12.96

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse (0:3)	93.4%	92.6%	88.1%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.6%	2.4%	5.7%	0.42×	42.06
Roda JC Kerkrade (0:3)	2.0%	2.4%	6.3%	0.37×	42.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse (0:4)	98.0%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	4.4%	0.28×	83.51
Roda JC Kerkrade (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	83.63

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade (1:0)	63.3%	65.1%	66.5%	0.98×	1.54
Draw (1:0)	20.4%	21.8%	18.2%	1.20×	4.60
Vitesse (1:0)	16.3%	17.0%	15.4%	1.10×	5.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade (2:0)	83.7%	84.6%	84.6%	1.00×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.5%	10.4%	8.8%	1.17×	9.65
Vitesse (2:0)	5.8%	6.5%	6.7%	0.96×	15.50

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	23.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade to concede	74.2%	73.1%	72.5%	1.01×	1.37
Roda JC Kerkrade clean sheet	25.8%	26.9%	27.5%	0.98×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade clean sheet in 1st half	58.2%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Roda JC Kerkrade to concede in 1st half	41.8%	37.6%	—	—	2.66

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade over 2.5 corners	85.9%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Roda JC Kerkrade over 3.5 corners	73.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Roda JC Kerkrade under 6.5 corners	69.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Roda JC Kerkrade over 4.5 corners	58.3%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Roda JC Kerkrade under 5.5 corners	56.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Roda JC Kerkrade over 5.5 corners	43.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Roda JC Kerkrade under 4.5 corners	41.7%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Roda JC Kerkrade over 6.5 corners	30.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Roda JC Kerkrade under 3.5 corners	26.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Roda JC Kerkrade under 2.5 corners	14.1%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade under 3.5 goals	94.6%	92.3%	89.8%	1.03×	1.08
Roda JC Kerkrade under 2.5 goals	83.2%	82.1%	74.6%	1.10×	1.22
Roda JC Kerkrade over 0.5 goals	75.5%	77.7%	81.5%	0.95×	1.29
Roda JC Kerkrade under 1.5 goals	58.9%	58.8%	48.9%	1.20×	1.70
Roda JC Kerkrade over 1.5 goals	41.1%	41.2%	51.1%	0.81×	2.43
Roda JC Kerkrade under 0.5 goals	24.5%	22.3%	18.5%	1.20×	4.49
Roda JC Kerkrade over 2.5 goals	16.8%	17.9%	25.4%	0.70×	5.59
Roda JC Kerkrade over 3.5 goals	5.4%	7.7%	10.2%	0.76×	12.93

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade under 1.5 in 1st half	87.6%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
Roda JC Kerkrade over 0.5 in 1st half	45.4%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Roda JC Kerkrade under 0.5 in 1st half	54.6%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
Roda JC Kerkrade over 1.5 in 1st half	12.4%	10.2%	—	—	9.76

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse (home no bet)	60.1%	60.1%	60.0%	1.00×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	39.9%	39.9%	40.0%	1.00×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade even goals	53.0%	50.6%	51.7%	0.98×	1.98
Roda JC Kerkrade odd goals	47.0%	49.4%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
HT 1-0	19.3%	18.8%	—	—	5.33
HT 0-1	17.3%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 1-1	10.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.18
HT 2-0	5.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
HT 0-2	4.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.27
Any other HT score	4.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.31
HT 2-1	3.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.38
HT 1-2	2.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.40
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.55

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade at HT / Roda JC Kerkrade at FT	22.6%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Vitesse at HT / Vitesse at FT	19.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Vitesse at FT	14.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Roda JC Kerkrade at FT	14.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Roda JC Kerkrade at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Vitesse at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Roda JC Kerkrade at HT / Vitesse at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Vitesse at HT / Roda JC Kerkrade at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.88

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade to score last	48.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Vitesse to score last	46.3%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
No goal scored	5.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.41

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.3%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Roda JC Kerkrade to lead by 1 at any time	55.7%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Vitesse to lead by 1 at any time	53.6%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.4%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Roda JC Kerkrade to lead by 2 at any time	24.2%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
Vitesse to lead by 2 at any time	22.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Roda JC Kerkrade to lead by 3 at any time	8.5%	6.7%	—	—	15.01
Vitesse to lead by 3 at any time	7.6%	6.6%	—	—	15.05

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade most corners	55.5%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
Vitesse most corners	33.5%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Corners level	11.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	88.1%	87.4%	86.3%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.6%	78.6%	74.1%	1.06×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.4%	72.4%	78.4%	0.92×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.5%	69.0%	72.5%	0.95×	1.45
1-3 goals	64.3%	63.4%	55.0%	1.15×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.0%	63.4%	60.3%	1.05×	1.58
3-6 goals	49.9%	48.7%	59.1%	0.82×	2.06
3-5 goals	46.0%	48.7%	53.2%	0.91×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.7%	48.7%	41.2%	1.18×	2.06
1-2 goals	42.1%	43.6%	33.2%	1.31×	2.30
3-4 goals	37.5%	39.1%	41.0%	0.95×	2.55
4-6 goals	27.7%	30.2%	37.3%	0.81×	3.31
4-5 goals	23.8%	24.5%	31.5%	0.78×	4.09
5-6 goals	12.4%	14.9%	18.2%	0.82×	6.72
7+ goals	2.3%	2.5%	3.2%	0.79×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade never behind	40.6%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Vitesse never behind	38.6%	44.8%	—	—	2.23

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.0%	50.8%	49.5%	1.03×	1.97
Odd number of goals	51.0%	49.2%	50.5%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.4%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.3%	92.3%	95.3%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.8%	92.3%	90.9%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.4%	87.6%	78.7%	1.11×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	75.6%	77.3%	81.5%	0.95×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	70.0%	72.5%	59.6%	1.22×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	52.1%	52.5%	62.2%	0.84×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	47.9%	47.5%	37.8%	1.26×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	30.0%	27.5%	40.4%	0.68×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	24.4%	22.7%	18.5%	1.22×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	14.6%	12.4%	21.3%	0.58×	8.09
Over 5.5 goals	6.2%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	5.7%	7.7%	4.7%	1.64×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.6%	97.2%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.2%	92.5%	89.7%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.7%	81.1%	73.7%	1.10×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	68.2%	67.4%	77.0%	0.88×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	61.5%	62.1%	48.3%	1.28×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	38.5%	37.9%	51.7%	0.73×	2.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	31.8%	32.6%	23.0%	1.42×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.3%	18.9%	26.3%	0.72×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.8%	7.5%	10.3%	0.73×	13.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.4%	2.8%	3.4%	0.81×	36.15

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.1%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.3%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.3%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.7%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.7%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.12

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.3%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.2%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.8%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.7%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse not to score in both halves	76.7%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Roda JC Kerkrade not to score in both halves	75.0%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Roda JC Kerkrade to score in both halves	25.0%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Vitesse to score in both halves	23.3%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.4%	58.4%	58.7%	0.99×	1.71
Only Roda JC Kerkrade scores	20.1%	22.3%	22.9%	0.97×	4.48
Only Vitesse scores	18.8%	16.1%	13.9%	1.16×	6.22
Neither team scores	5.7%	7.2%	4.7%	1.52×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.5%	22.6%	19.4%	1.17×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	18.6%	17.4%	13.9%	1.25×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	15.3%	17.4%	19.3%	0.90×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	8.5%	7.6%	12.3%	0.62×	13.08
6 or more goals	6.2%	7.6%	9.1%	0.84×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	5.7%	7.6%	4.7%	1.62×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.8%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
1 goal in 2nd half	32.5%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	19.7%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse not to win both halves	91.3%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Roda JC Kerkrade not to win both halves	90.2%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Roda JC Kerkrade to win both halves	9.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.36
Vitesse to win both halves	8.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.44

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade to win either half	53.1%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Vitesse to win either half	50.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Vitesse to win neither half	49.2%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Roda JC Kerkrade to win neither half	46.9%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vitesse not to win to nil	81.2%	83.0%	86.1%	0.96×	1.21
Roda JC Kerkrade not to win to nil	79.9%	78.1%	77.1%	1.01×	1.28
Roda JC Kerkrade to win to nil	20.1%	21.9%	22.9%	0.96×	4.56
Vitesse to win to nil	18.8%	17.0%	13.9%	1.22×	5.89

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.3%	24.2%	22.3%	1.08×	4.14
Roda JC Kerkrade by 1	21.1%	24.1%	20.1%	1.20×	4.14
Vitesse by 1	20.4%	24.1%	18.2%	1.33×	4.14
Roda JC Kerkrade by 2	11.3%	11.8%	12.6%	0.94×	8.48
Vitesse by 2	10.5%	11.8%	8.8%	1.34×	8.48
Roda JC Kerkrade by 3+	6.6%	7.3%	11.9%	0.61×	13.79
Vitesse by 3+	5.8%	7.3%	6.7%	1.08×	13.79