Rodez Aveyron v Montpellier — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 19 October 2026 · FRA-Ligue 2 · 2627

FRA-Ligue 2 results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

Rodez Aveyron

14:45

Montpellier

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,052h before kick-off

Rodez Aveyron win

38.9%

model 39.4%

Draw

28.3%

model 29.0%

Montpellier win

32.7%

model 31.6%

392833

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,276 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.6%
1-0 11.7%
0-0 10.3%
0-1 10.1%
2-1 8.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	41.0%	Under 2.5	59.0%
BTTS yes	47.5%	BTTS no	52.5%
Rodez Aveyron 1+	71.1%	Rodez Aveyron 2+	35.2%
Montpellier 1+	66.1%	Montpellier 2+	29.4%

Expected goals 1.24 – 1.08. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

75/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Rodez Aveyron carry the stronger rating, 1595 Elo against 1500.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Rodez Aveyron have an estimated 38.9% win probability, against 32.7% for Montpellier and 28.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.24 for Rodez Aveyron and 1.08 for Montpellier.

Why Rodez Aveyron

Rodez Aveyron carry the stronger rating, 1595 Elo against 1500. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.3%. A combined 2.32 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.24 to 1.08. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Montpellier can win

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

Montpellier's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Andy Delort (0.32), Tanguy Coulibaly (0.28), Téji Savanier (0.25).

Availability

No lineup on record for Rodez Aveyron, so availability is unknown. 1 of Montpellier's top three contributors did not start their last match. Montpellier changed goalkeeper for their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Rodez Aveyron: 47% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Montpellier: 53% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.11 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Rodez Aveyron are the model's most likely outcome at 38.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.6%. Confidence 75/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Montpellier are finishing sharply below their chances — 4.4 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

LLLLLLDLLL last 10 scored 2 from 6.4 xG conceded 21 from 19.5 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	323236	0.97–1.06	1-1 14%	33%	41%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier to win	36.5%	36.4%	29.8%	1.22×	2.75
Rodez Aveyron to win	32.0%	30.4%	42.5%	0.72×	3.29
Draw	31.5%	30.4%	27.8%	1.09×	3.29

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier & not both score	24.3%	21.9%	17.7%	1.24×	4.57
Rodez Aveyron & not both score	21.1%	21.9%	23.8%	0.92×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	17.9%	17.9%	18.9%	0.95×	5.58
Draw & not both score	13.7%	13.3%	9.1%	1.46×	7.54
Montpellier & both teams score	12.2%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.54
Rodez Aveyron & both teams score	10.9%	13.3%	18.8%	0.71×	7.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier & under 3.5	30.5%	30.8%	23.1%	1.34×	3.24
Draw & under 2.5	27.6%	26.0%	20.8%	1.25×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	27.6%	26.0%	20.8%	1.25×	3.84
Rodez Aveyron & under 3.5	27.1%	26.0%	29.4%	0.89×	3.84
Montpellier & over 1.5	23.0%	21.6%	20.2%	1.07×	4.62
Montpellier & under 2.5	20.8%	21.6%	13.7%	1.58×	4.62
Rodez Aveyron & over 1.5	19.7%	18.0%	30.0%	0.60×	5.56
Rodez Aveyron & under 2.5	18.5%	18.0%	18.5%	0.97×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.9%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.56
Montpellier & over 2.5	15.7%	18.0%	16.3%	1.10×	5.56
Rodez Aveyron & over 2.5	13.5%	12.9%	24.2%	0.53×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	13.7%	12.9%	9.1%	1.42×	7.77
Montpellier & under 1.5	13.5%	12.9%	9.8%	1.31×	7.77
Rodez Aveyron & under 1.5	12.3%	12.9%	12.6%	1.02×	7.77
Montpellier & over 3.5	6.0%	7.9%	6.9%	1.14×	12.70
Rodez Aveyron & over 3.5	4.9%	4.8%	13.2%	0.36×	20.92
Draw & over 2.5	3.9%	4.8%	7.2%	0.66×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	3.9%	4.8%	7.2%	0.66×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (1UP)	49.7%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Rodez Aveyron (1UP)	45.6%	43.2%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (2UP)	36.5%	37.1%	—	—	2.69
Rodez Aveyron (2UP)	32.0%	31.1%	—	—	3.22

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	42.5%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
Montpellier to win 2nd half	31.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Rodez Aveyron to win 2nd half	26.2%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (+2.5)	96.7%	96.3%	92.2%	1.04×	1.04
Montpellier (+1.5)	88.1%	88.5%	80.8%	1.10×	1.13
Montpellier (+0.5)	68.0%	68.7%	57.5%	1.19×	1.46
Rodez Aveyron (+0.5)	63.5%	62.9%	70.2%	0.90×	1.59
Montpellier (-0.5)	36.5%	37.1%	29.8%	1.24×	2.70
Rodez Aveyron (-0.5)	32.0%	31.3%	42.5%	0.74×	3.19
Rodez Aveyron (-1.5)	11.9%	11.5%	19.2%	0.60×	8.70
Rodez Aveyron (-2.5)	3.3%	3.7%	7.8%	0.47×	26.84

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier to concede	62.1%	67.2%	73.4%	0.92×	1.49
Montpellier clean sheet	37.9%	32.8%	26.6%	1.23×	3.05

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier clean sheet in 1st half	65.9%	70.2%	—	—	1.42
Montpellier to concede in 1st half	34.1%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier over 2.5 corners	83.0%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Montpellier under 6.5 corners	72.1%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Montpellier over 3.5 corners	69.4%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Montpellier under 5.5 corners	60.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Montpellier over 4.5 corners	54.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Montpellier under 4.5 corners	45.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Montpellier over 5.5 corners	40.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Montpellier under 3.5 corners	30.6%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Montpellier over 6.5 corners	27.9%	28.5%	—	—	3.52
Montpellier under 2.5 corners	17.0%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier under 3.5 goals	97.7%	97.6%	97.2%	1.00×	1.03
Montpellier under 2.5 goals	90.9%	92.3%	87.5%	1.05×	1.08
Montpellier under 1.5 goals	71.5%	71.9%	68.3%	1.05×	1.39
Montpellier over 0.5 goals	65.2%	67.9%	67.2%	1.01×	1.47
Montpellier under 0.5 goals	34.8%	32.1%	32.8%	0.98×	3.12
Montpellier over 1.5 goals	28.5%	28.1%	31.7%	0.89×	3.56
Montpellier over 2.5 goals	9.1%	7.7%	12.5%	0.61×	13.05
Montpellier over 3.5 goals	2.3%	2.4%	2.8%	0.88×	40.86

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier under 1.5 in 1st half	93.2%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Montpellier under 0.5 in 1st half	65.5%	68.1%	—	—	1.47
Montpellier over 0.5 in 1st half	34.5%	31.9%	—	—	3.13
Montpellier over 1.5 in 1st half	6.8%	5.8%	—	—	17.11

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron (away no bet)	50.4%	51.2%	60.4%	0.85×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	49.6%	48.8%	39.6%	1.23×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier even goals	56.1%	56.9%	54.2%	1.05×	1.76
Montpellier odd goals	44.0%	43.1%	45.8%	0.94×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	93.2%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	6.8%	7.4%	—	—	13.59

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	52.8%	50.4%	—	—	1.99
Not both halves under 1.5	47.2%	49.6%	—	—	2.01

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	40.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Montpellier to score 2+ in a row	23.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Rodez Aveyron to score 2+ in a row	20.2%	19.4%	—	—	5.14
Either team to score 3+ in a row	11.0%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
Montpellier to score 3+ in a row	6.2%	5.6%	—	—	17.85
Rodez Aveyron to score 3+ in a row	4.9%	2.7%	—	—	37.43

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron corners (+3.5)	82.6%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Montpellier corners (+3.5)	81.5%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Rodez Aveyron corners (+2.5)	75.2%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Montpellier corners (+2.5)	73.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Rodez Aveyron corners (+1.5)	66.3%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Montpellier corners (+1.5)	64.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Rodez Aveyron corners (-1.5)	35.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Montpellier corners (-1.5)	33.7%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Rodez Aveyron corners (-2.5)	26.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Montpellier corners (-2.5)	24.8%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Rodez Aveyron corners (-3.5)	18.5%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Montpellier corners (-3.5)	17.4%	20.3%	—	—	4.93

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	35.6%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
0-8 corners	34.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	72.7%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	65.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	64.4%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	55.3%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	54.9%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	45.1%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	44.7%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	35.6%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	34.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 12.5 corners	27.3%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Under 7.5 corners	24.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-0	13.7%	11.5%	9.1%	1.26×	8.73
1-1	14.0%	11.5%	11.8%	0.97×	8.73
0-1	13.5%	11.5%	9.8%	1.16×	8.73
1-0	12.3%	11.4%	12.6%	0.91×	8.74
0-2	7.4%	7.4%	4.0%	1.86×	13.47
1-2	7.1%	7.4%	6.0%	1.24×	13.47
2-1	6.6%	7.4%	8.2%	0.91×	13.47
2-0	6.2%	7.4%	6.0%	1.24×	13.47
0-3	2.6%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.51
0-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.5%	3.70×	58.52
1-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.51
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.52
2-2	3.5%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.50
2-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.52
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.78×	58.52
3-0	2.0%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.51
3-1	2.1%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.51
3-2	1.1%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.52
3-3	0.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.11×	58.52
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.70×	58.52
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.52
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.52
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.52
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.78×	58.52
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	11.11×	58.52
Any other score	0.8%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.52

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier leading at HT (DNB)	50.4%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Rodez Aveyron leading at HT (DNB)	49.6%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron or Montpellier (12)	68.5%	69.6%	72.2%	0.97×	1.44
Montpellier or draw (X2)	68.0%	69.6%	57.5%	1.21×	1.44
Rodez Aveyron or draw (1X)	63.5%	63.6%	70.2%	0.91×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier or draw at HT	75.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Rodez Aveyron or draw at HT	75.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Rodez Aveyron or Montpellier at HT	48.7%	52.5%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier or draw (1UP)	68.0%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Rodez Aveyron or draw (1UP)	63.5%	71.7%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier or draw in 2nd half	73.8%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Rodez Aveyron or draw in 2nd half	68.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Rodez Aveyron or Montpellier in 2nd half	57.5%	58.8%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	71.5%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Neither half drawn	28.5%	29.5%	—	—	3.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (DNB)	53.3%	51.0%	41.3%	1.24×	1.96
Rodez Aveyron (DNB)	46.7%	49.0%	58.7%	0.83×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier to score first	45.0%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Rodez Aveyron to score first	41.3%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	13.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.57

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	59.0%	54.9%	50.3%	1.09×	1.82
Both teams to score	41.0%	45.1%	49.7%	0.91×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	53.0%	47.1%	40.9%	1.15×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	27.0%	33.6%	38.0%	0.88×	2.98
Both score & under 2.5	14.0%	12.3%	11.8%	1.04×	8.12
Not both score & over 2.5	6.0%	8.4%	9.5%	0.88×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	92.8%	89.1%	85.5%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	7.2%	10.9%	14.5%	0.75×	9.18

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	79.9%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Both teams to score in 2nd half	20.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.16

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	70.4%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
Both score 2nd half only	17.8%	15.8%	—	—	6.33
Both score 1st half only	9.5%	6.8%	—	—	14.67
Both score in both halves	2.3%	4.8%	—	—	20.65

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	88.2%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	11.8%	14.0%	—	—	7.13

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	60.3%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
A goal in each half	39.7%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.8%	47.4%	41.8%	1.13×	2.11
0-1 goals	39.4%	35.1%	31.2%	1.12×	2.85
4-6 goals	14.3%	17.0%	25.2%	0.67×	5.90
7+ goals	0.5%	1.8%	2.0%	0.91×	55.21

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier to score exactly 1	36.7%	36.0%	35.7%	1.01×	2.78
Montpellier to score exactly 0	34.8%	33.9%	32.8%	1.03×	2.95
Montpellier to score exactly 2	19.4%	19.6%	19.4%	1.01×	5.11
Montpellier to score 3+	9.1%	8.5%	12.5%	0.68×	11.79

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron to score exactly 0	37.9%	35.6%	26.6%	1.34×	2.81
Rodez Aveyron to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.6%	33.7%	1.06×	2.81
Rodez Aveyron to score exactly 2	17.8%	18.9%	22.2%	0.85×	5.30
Rodez Aveyron to score 3+	7.5%	10.3%	17.8%	0.58×	9.72

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	51.3%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Montpellier leading at HT	24.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Rodez Aveyron leading at HT	24.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier -1: 1	63.5%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Montpellier -1: X	21.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Montpellier -1: 2	14.6%	14.0%	—	—	7.15

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (0:1)	68.0%	65.5%	57.5%	1.14×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	20.1%	24.3%	23.4%	1.04×	4.12
Rodez Aveyron (0:1)	11.9%	13.8%	19.2%	0.72×	7.23

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (0:2)	88.1%	87.0%	80.8%	1.08×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	8.6%	7.7%	11.5%	0.67×	12.95
Rodez Aveyron (0:2)	3.3%	3.8%	7.8%	0.48×	26.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (0:3)	96.7%	96.6%	92.2%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.6%	2.4%	4.3%	0.55×	42.10
Rodez Aveyron (0:3)	0.7%	2.4%	3.7%	0.64×	42.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (0:4)	99.3%	98.1%	96.3%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	3.1%	0.39×	83.54
Rodez Aveyron (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	0.8%	1.56×	83.60

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron (1:0)	63.5%	65.2%	70.2%	0.93×	1.54
Draw (1:0)	21.9%	21.8%	17.5%	1.24×	4.60
Montpellier (1:0)	14.6%	12.8%	12.5%	1.03×	7.80

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron (2:0)	85.4%	88.4%	87.5%	1.01×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	10.2%	10.4%	7.1%	1.47×	9.64
Montpellier (2:0)	4.4%	2.3%	5.5%	0.41×	44.23

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	43.6%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Halves equal	30.7%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
1st half highest scoring	25.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron to concede	65.2%	66.5%	67.2%	0.99×	1.50
Rodez Aveyron clean sheet	34.8%	33.5%	32.8%	1.02×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron clean sheet in 1st half	65.5%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Rodez Aveyron to concede in 1st half	34.5%	31.6%	—	—	3.16

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron over 2.5 corners	83.7%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Rodez Aveyron under 6.5 corners	71.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Rodez Aveyron over 3.5 corners	70.4%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Rodez Aveyron under 5.5 corners	58.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Rodez Aveyron over 4.5 corners	55.5%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Rodez Aveyron under 4.5 corners	44.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Rodez Aveyron over 5.5 corners	41.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Rodez Aveyron under 3.5 corners	29.6%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Rodez Aveyron over 6.5 corners	29.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Rodez Aveyron under 2.5 corners	16.3%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron under 3.5 goals	98.3%	96.4%	93.4%	1.03×	1.04
Rodez Aveyron under 2.5 goals	92.5%	92.3%	82.2%	1.12×	1.08
Rodez Aveyron under 1.5 goals	74.7%	74.2%	60.2%	1.23×	1.35
Rodez Aveyron over 0.5 goals	62.1%	63.4%	73.4%	0.86×	1.58
Rodez Aveyron under 0.5 goals	37.9%	36.6%	26.6%	1.37×	2.74
Rodez Aveyron over 1.5 goals	25.3%	25.8%	39.8%	0.65×	3.88
Rodez Aveyron over 2.5 goals	7.5%	7.7%	17.8%	0.43×	12.92
Rodez Aveyron over 3.5 goals	1.7%	3.6%	6.6%	0.55×	27.51

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron under 1.5 in 1st half	93.4%	95.4%	—	—	1.05
Rodez Aveyron under 0.5 in 1st half	65.9%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Rodez Aveyron over 0.5 in 1st half	34.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
Rodez Aveyron over 1.5 in 1st half	6.6%	4.6%	—	—	21.81

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (home no bet)	53.7%	51.6%	51.7%	1.00×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	46.3%	48.4%	48.3%	1.00×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron even goals	57.2%	55.5%	53.4%	1.04×	1.80
Rodez Aveyron odd goals	42.8%	44.5%	46.6%	0.96×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	43.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
HT 0-1	18.2%	18.8%	—	—	5.32
HT 1-0	17.9%	18.8%	—	—	5.32
HT 1-1	7.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.17
HT 0-2	3.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.78
HT 2-0	3.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.79
Any other HT score	1.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.94
HT 1-2	1.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.95
HT 2-1	1.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.95
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.3%	—	—	44.05

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	22.3%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Montpellier at HT / Montpellier at FT	18.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Rodez Aveyron at HT / Rodez Aveyron at FT	17.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / Montpellier at FT	15.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Draw at HT / Rodez Aveyron at FT	13.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Rodez Aveyron at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Montpellier at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Rodez Aveyron at HT / Montpellier at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.92
Montpellier at HT / Rodez Aveyron at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.94

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier to score last	45.0%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Rodez Aveyron to score last	41.3%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	13.7%	9.8%	—	—	10.16

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	86.3%	90.3%	—	—	1.11
Montpellier to lead by 1 at any time	49.7%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Rodez Aveyron to lead by 1 at any time	45.6%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	34.0%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
Montpellier to lead by 2 at any time	18.5%	15.0%	—	—	6.67
Rodez Aveyron to lead by 2 at any time	15.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	9.4%	6.6%	—	—	15.13
Montpellier to lead by 3 at any time	5.3%	6.5%	—	—	15.34
Rodez Aveyron to lead by 3 at any time	4.1%	1.6%	—	—	62.35

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron most corners	45.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Montpellier most corners	43.9%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.6%	83.5%	84.8%	0.99×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.8%	83.5%	78.8%	1.06×	1.20
1-3 goals	71.6%	72.4%	64.0%	1.13×	1.38
2-6 goals	60.1%	63.4%	66.9%	0.95×	1.58
2-5 goals	58.8%	59.2%	62.6%	0.95×	1.69
2-4 goals	55.1%	59.2%	56.6%	1.05×	1.69
1-2 goals	53.3%	53.2%	43.7%	1.22×	1.88
2-3 goals	45.8%	48.7%	41.8%	1.16×	2.06
3-6 goals	32.6%	35.4%	45.5%	0.78×	2.83
3-5 goals	31.3%	35.4%	41.2%	0.86×	2.83
3-4 goals	27.5%	30.2%	35.2%	0.86×	3.31
4-6 goals	14.3%	14.9%	25.2%	0.59×	6.72
4-5 goals	13.0%	14.9%	20.9%	0.71×	6.72
5-6 goals	5.0%	8.7%	10.5%	0.83×	11.45
7+ goals	0.5%	2.5%	2.0%	1.27×	39.50

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier never behind	40.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.08
Rodez Aveyron never behind	36.7%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.2%	50.8%	49.8%	1.02×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.8%	49.2%	50.2%	0.98×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	59.5%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	40.5%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.0%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.2%	95.5%	93.7%	1.02×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	94.5%	92.3%	87.7%	1.05×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	86.3%	87.6%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	85.2%	87.6%	72.9%	1.20×	1.14
Under 2.5 goals	67.0%	66.2%	52.6%	1.26×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	60.6%	61.7%	68.8%	0.90×	1.62
Under 1.5 goals	39.4%	38.3%	31.2%	1.23×	2.61
Over 2.5 goals	33.0%	33.8%	47.4%	0.71×	2.96
Over 3.5 goals	14.8%	12.4%	27.1%	0.46×	8.09
Under 0.5 goals	13.7%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.09
Over 4.5 goals	5.5%	7.7%	12.3%	0.63×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	1.8%	4.5%	6.3%	0.71×	22.26

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.5%	97.3%	97.9%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.2%	97.3%	93.3%	1.04×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	93.9%	92.5%	85.6%	1.08×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	81.9%	81.1%	66.0%	1.23×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	54.4%	51.8%	39.7%	1.30×	1.93
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	45.6%	48.2%	60.3%	0.80×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	18.1%	18.9%	34.0%	0.56×	5.28
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	6.1%	7.5%	14.4%	0.52×	13.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.8%	2.8%	6.7%	0.41×	36.37
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.5%	2.7%	2.1%	1.31×	36.41

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.7%	93.0%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	79.4%	79.0%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	56.7%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	43.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Over 1.5 in 1st half	20.6%	21.0%	—	—	4.75
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.3%	7.0%	—	—	14.19

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	88.2%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	69.3%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	66.6%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	33.4%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	30.7%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	11.8%	14.7%	—	—	6.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron not to score in both halves	85.5%	85.9%	—	—	1.16
Montpellier not to score in both halves	83.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Montpellier to score in both halves	16.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.44
Rodez Aveyron to score in both halves	14.5%	14.1%	—	—	7.09

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	41.0%	46.6%	49.7%	0.94×	2.15
Only Montpellier scores	24.3%	22.4%	17.7%	1.26×	4.47
Only Rodez Aveyron scores	21.1%	22.3%	23.8%	0.94×	4.48
Neither team scores	13.7%	11.0%	9.1%	1.21×	9.13

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.5%	24.9%	21.5%	1.16×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	25.8%	24.9%	22.3%	1.12×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	18.3%	17.4%	20.5%	0.85×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	13.7%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.28
Exactly 4 goals	9.3%	7.6%	14.9%	0.51×	13.09
Exactly 5 goals	3.8%	4.4%	6.2%	0.72×	22.68
6 or more goals	1.8%	4.4%	6.3%	0.70×	22.71

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	35.9%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
2+ goals in 2nd half	33.4%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	30.7%	33.6%	—	—	2.98

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron not to win both halves	93.6%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Montpellier not to win both halves	92.3%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Montpellier to win both halves	7.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.58
Rodez Aveyron to win both halves	6.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.68

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron to win neither half	56.1%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Montpellier to win neither half	51.9%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Montpellier to win either half	48.1%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Rodez Aveyron to win either half	43.9%	40.6%	—	—	2.46

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rodez Aveyron not to win to nil	78.9%	78.0%	76.2%	1.02×	1.28
Montpellier not to win to nil	75.7%	78.0%	82.3%	0.95×	1.28
Montpellier to win to nil	24.3%	22.0%	17.7%	1.24×	4.55
Rodez Aveyron to win to nil	21.1%	22.0%	23.8%	0.92×	4.56

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	31.5%	27.6%	27.8%	0.99×	3.62
Montpellier by 1	21.9%	24.1%	17.5%	1.38×	4.14
Rodez Aveyron by 1	20.1%	24.1%	23.4%	1.03×	4.14
Montpellier by 2	10.2%	11.8%	7.1%	1.67×	8.47
Rodez Aveyron by 2	8.6%	7.3%	11.5%	0.63×	13.79
Montpellier by 3+	4.4%	2.7%	5.5%	0.49×	37.00
Rodez Aveyron by 3+	3.3%	2.7%	7.8%	0.34×	37.03