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Sabah FK v Slavia Prague — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 13 October 2026 · EUR-Champions League · 2627

Champions League results-only

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Sabah FK win
52.8%
Draw
24.3%
Slavia Prague win
22.8%

Raw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 11.6%
  2. 1-0 11.5%
  3. 2-1 9.7%
  4. 2-0 9.6%
  5. 0-1 6.9%

Goals

Over 2.550.0% Under 2.550.0%
BTTS yes51.5% BTTS no48.5%
Sabah FK 1+81.1% Sabah FK 2+49.7%
Slavia Prague 1+63.5% Slavia Prague 2+26.7%

Expected goals 1.67 – 1.01. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
27/100
Data quality
10/100
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • Sabah FK carry the stronger rating, 1500 Elo against 1450.
  • At home Sabah FK average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 10/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • Sabah FK have only 0 matches on record.
  • Slavia Prague have only 8 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Sabah FK have an estimated 52.8% win probability, against 24.3% for the draw and 22.8% for Slavia Prague. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.67 for Sabah FK and 1.01 for Slavia Prague.

Why Sabah FK

Sabah FK carry the stronger rating, 1500 Elo against 1450. At home Sabah FK average 1.35 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 24.3%. Draws run at 16% in this competition.

Why Slavia Prague can win

They have had 30 days' rest to Sabah FK's 14.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Sabah FK, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Slavia Prague, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Sabah FK: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Slavia Prague: 48% possession, 10.8 shots a match, 15.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Sabah FK are the model's most likely outcome at 52.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.6%. Confidence 27/100, data quality 10/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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