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Saint-Etienne v Lille — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 13 September 2024 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2425

Ligue 1 xG

1–0
1.18 – 2.73 xG
Shots
10 – 17
On target
5 – 4
Shots in box
5 – 11
xG per shot
0.12 – 0.16
Set-piece xG
0.07 – 0.38
Goals − xG
-0.22 – -2.73
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.81.52.33.10'15'30'45'60'75'90'Mathieu Cafaro 5' — goal
Saint-Etienne 1.22 xGLille 2.73 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Mathieu Cafaro 5' — Goal (0.05 xG, Open Play)Rémy Cabella 12' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Benjamin André 13' — Saved Shot (0.24 xG, From Corner)Rémy Cabella 13' — Blocked Shot (0.48 xG, Open Play)Lucas Stassin 18' — Missed Shot (0.15 xG, Open Play)Mathieu Cafaro 18' — Saved Shot (0.30 xG, Open Play)Mohamed Bayo 20' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Zuriko Davitashvili 24' — Saved Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Thomas Meunier 31' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Benjamin André 32' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Edon Zhegrova 33' — Shot On Post (0.50 xG, Open Play)Pierre Ekwah 36' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Rémy Cabella 40' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Mathieu Cafaro 44' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Gabriel Gudmundsson 50' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Alexsandro Ribeiro 52' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Thomas Meunier 52' — Blocked Shot (0.43 xG, Open Play)Mathieu Cafaro 55' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Gabriel Gudmundsson 58' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Thomas Meunier 62' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Thomas Meunier 63' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Mathieu Cafaro 67' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Direct Freekick)Lucas Stassin 71' — Saved Shot (0.33 xG, Open Play)Jonathan Christian David 73' — Missed Shot (0.33 xG, Open Play)Mitchel Bakker 87' — Saved Shot (0.28 xG, Open Play)Mitchel Bakker 90' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Zuriko Davitashvili 91' — Shot On Post (0.11 xG, Open Play)
Saint-Etienne attacking right Lille attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
5' Saint-Etienne Mathieu Cafaro 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Goal Zuriko Davitashvili
12' Lille Rémy Cabella 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Mohamed Bayo
13' Lille Benjamin André 0.24 From Corner Saved Shot Rémy Cabella
13' Lille Rémy Cabella 0.48 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Tiago Santos
18' Saint-Etienne Lucas Stassin 0.15 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
18' Saint-Etienne Mathieu Cafaro 0.30 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Pierre Cornud
20' Lille Mohamed Bayo 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Rémy Cabella
24' Saint-Etienne Zuriko Davitashvili 0.13 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Aïmen Moueffek
31' Lille Thomas Meunier 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
32' Lille Benjamin André 0.06 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Edon Zhegrova
33' Lille Edon Zhegrova 0.50 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post
36' Saint-Etienne Pierre Ekwah 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Zuriko Davitashvili
40' Lille Rémy Cabella 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Benjamin André
44' Saint-Etienne Mathieu Cafaro 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Lucas Stassin
50' Lille Gabriel Gudmundsson 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Edon Zhegrova
52' Lille Alexsandro Ribeiro 0.03 From Corner Missed Shot Rémy Cabella
52' Lille Thomas Meunier 0.43 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Gabriel Gudmundsson
55' Saint-Etienne Mathieu Cafaro 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Zuriko Davitashvili
58' Lille Gabriel Gudmundsson 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
62' Lille Thomas Meunier 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Gabriel Gudmundsson
63' Lille Thomas Meunier 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
67' Saint-Etienne Mathieu Cafaro 0.07 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot
71' Saint-Etienne Lucas Stassin 0.33 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
73' Lille Jonathan Christian David 0.33 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Matias Fernandez-Pardo
87' Lille Mitchel Bakker 0.28 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Benjamin André
90' Lille Mitchel Bakker 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot
91' Saint-Etienne Zuriko Davitashvili 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post Louis Mouton

Players

Saint-Etienne

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Zuriko Davitashvili MR 90 0 1 2 3 0.24 0.11 0.38
Pierre Ekwah DMC 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.17
Dylan Batubinsika DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.33
Dennis Appiah DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Pierre Cornud DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.30 0.57
Yunis Abdelhamid DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.33
Gautier Larsonneur GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Lucas Stassin FW 82 0 0 2 1 0.48 0.03 0.54
Mathis Amougou MC 82 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.19
Aïmen Moueffek MC 77 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.13 0.46
Mathieu Cafaro ML 69 1 0 5 0 0.47 0.00 0.57
Ben Old Sub 21 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Florian Tardieu Sub 13 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Ibrahim Sissoko Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Louis Mouton Sub 8 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.11 0.11

Lille

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Thomas Meunier DC 90 0 0 4 0 0.51 0.00 1.01
Edon Zhegrova MR 90 0 0 1 2 0.50 0.11 1.74
Benjamin André MC 90 0 0 2 2 0.30 0.31 0.71
Alexsandro Ribeiro DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.44
Bafode Diakite DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.90
Lucas Chevalier GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Gabriel Gudmundsson DL 77 0 0 2 2 0.08 0.45 1.46
Tiago Santos DR 69 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.48 0.56
Rémy Cabella ML 58 0 0 3 3 0.60 0.34 1.11
Mohamed Bayo FW 58 0 0 1 1 0.08 0.09 0.22
Ayyoub Bouaddi MC 58 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Jonathan Christian David Sub 32 0 0 1 0 0.33 0.00 0.33
Osame Sahraoui Sub 32 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.63
Angel Gomes Sub 32 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.35
Matias Fernandez-Pardo Sub 21 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.33 0.33
Mitchel Bakker Sub 13 0 0 2 0 0.30 0.00 0.28
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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