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Saint-Etienne v Rennes — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 8 February 2025 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2425

Ligue 1 xG

Saint-Etienne
0–2
0.46 – 4.07 xG
Rennes
Shots
9 – 21
On target
3 – 8
Shots in box
5 – 16
xG per shot
0.05 – 0.20
Set-piece xG
0.00 – 0.20
Goals − xG
-0.46 – -2.19
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.01.22.33.54.70'15'30'45'60'75'90'Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga 14' — goalMahamadou Nagida 83' — goal
Saint-Etienne 0.46 xGRennes 4.19 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga 2' — Missed Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Louis Mouton 3' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Ludovic Blas 6' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga 14' — Goal (0.95 xG, Open Play)Jordan James 25' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, From Corner)Lilian Brassier 26' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Mousa Al Tamari 31' — Missed Shot (0.17 xG, Open Play)Lorenz Assignon 32' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga 39' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Ludovic Blas 40' — Missed Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Mousa Al Tamari 47' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Zuriko Davitashvili 56' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Zuriko Davitashvili 58' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Djaoui Cissé 60' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Benjamin Bouchouari 61' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Zuriko Davitashvili 61' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Zuriko Davitashvili 64' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Pierre Ekwah 70' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Djaoui Cissé 72' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Mousa Al Tamari 72' — Saved Shot (0.31 xG, Open Play)Mousa Al Tamari 73' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Seko Fofana 73' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Dennis Appiah 79' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Djaoui Cissé 82' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Ludovic Blas 82' — Missed Shot (0.33 xG, Open Play)Adrien Truffert 83' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Mahamadou Nagida 83' — Goal (0.91 xG, Open Play)Seko Fofana 88' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Set Piece)Adrien Truffert 93' — Saved Shot (0.51 xG, Open Play)Djylian N'Guessan 94' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)
Saint-Etienne attacking right Rennes attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
2' Rennes Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga 0.13 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
3' Saint-Etienne Louis Mouton 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Pierre Cornud
6' Rennes Ludovic Blas 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Adrien Truffert
14' Rennes Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga 0.96 Open Play Left Foot Goal Lorenz Assignon
25' Rennes Jordan James 0.09 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot —
26' Rennes Lilian Brassier 0.06 From Corner — Missed Shot —
31' Rennes Mousa Al Tamari 0.17 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Ludovic Blas
32' Rennes Lorenz Assignon 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Adrien Truffert
39' Rennes Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Mousa Al Tamari
40' Rennes Ludovic Blas 0.13 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Lorenz Assignon
47' Rennes Mousa Al Tamari 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga
56' Saint-Etienne Zuriko Davitashvili 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Florian Tardieu
58' Saint-Etienne Zuriko Davitashvili 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Florian Tardieu
60' Rennes Djaoui Cissé 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
61' Saint-Etienne Benjamin Bouchouari 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
61' Saint-Etienne Zuriko Davitashvili 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Lucas Stassin
64' Saint-Etienne Zuriko Davitashvili 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Benjamin Bouchouari
70' Saint-Etienne Pierre Ekwah 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Irvin Cardona
72' Rennes Djaoui Cissé 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Seko Fofana
72' Rennes Mousa Al Tamari 0.31 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot —
73' Rennes Mousa Al Tamari 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Djaoui Cissé
73' Rennes Seko Fofana 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Adrien Truffert
79' Saint-Etienne Dennis Appiah 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Djylian N'Guessan
82' Rennes Djaoui Cissé 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Mousa Al Tamari
82' Rennes Ludovic Blas 0.33 Open Play — Missed Shot Adrien Truffert
83' Rennes Adrien Truffert 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Kazeem Olaigbe
83' Rennes Mahamadou Nagida 0.91 Open Play Right Foot Goal —
88' Rennes Seko Fofana 0.05 Set Piece Left Foot Blocked Shot —
93' Rennes Adrien Truffert 0.51 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Mousa Al Tamari
94' Saint-Etienne Djylian N'Guessan 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Florian Tardieu

Players

Saint-Etienne

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Dennis Appiah DR 90 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.34
Pierre Ekwah MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.21
Benjamin Bouchouari MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.01 0.03 0.16
Gautier Larsonneur GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Pierre Cornud DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.29
Mickael Nade DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Leo Petrot DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.27
Zuriko Davitashvili FWL 86 0 0 4 0 0.17 0.00 0.26
Lucas Stassin FW 77 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.23
Louis Mouton MC 47 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.08
Augustine Boakye FWR 47 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Florian Tardieu Sub 43 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.14 0.34
Irvin Cardona Sub 43 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.20
Djylian N'Guessan Sub 13 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.07 0.13
Ibrahim Sissoko Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Anthony Briancon Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Rennes

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Adrien Truffert DML 90 0 0 2 4 0.62 0.45 2.35
Mousa Al Tamari AMC 90 0 0 4 3 0.59 0.63 1.35
Ludovic Blas AMC 90 0 0 3 1 0.53 0.17 1.62
Lilian Brassier DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.89
Brice Samba GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.58
Christopher Wooh DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.82
Jérémy Jacquet DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.77
Djaoui Cissé MC 85 0 0 3 1 0.12 0.09 0.88
Lorenz Assignon DMR 85 0 1 1 2 0.03 1.08 1.24
Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga FW 70 1 0 3 1 1.17 0.03 1.20
Jordan James MC 60 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 0.16
Seko Fofana Sub 30 0 0 2 1 0.07 0.08 1.05
Ismaël Koné Sub 20 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.02
Mahamadou Nagida Sub 5 1 0 1 0 0.91 0.00 1.53
Kazeem Olaigbe Sub 5 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.10 0.62
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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