Santos v Querétaro — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 17 October 2026 · MEX-Liga MX · 2627

MEX-Liga MX results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Santos

19:00

Querétaro

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,009h before kick-off

Santos win

36.7%

model 37.3%

Draw

26.7%

model 27.7%

Querétaro win

36.7%

model 35.0%

372737

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,276 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.2%
2-1 8.5%
1-2 8.1%
1-0 8.0%
0-1 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	51.6%	Under 2.5	48.4%
BTTS yes	56.7%	BTTS no	43.3%
Santos 1+	75.2%	Santos 2+	40.6%
Querétaro 1+	73.9%	Querétaro 2+	38.9%

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.35. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

35/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Santos.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Santos have an estimated 36.7% win probability, against 36.7% for Querétaro and 26.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.40 for Santos and 1.34 for Querétaro.

Why Santos

Nothing in the data singles out Santos.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.40 to 1.34. Draws run at 24% in this competition.

Why Querétaro can win

Querétaro carry the stronger rating, 1522 Elo against 1414. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Santos, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Querétaro, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Santos: 52% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Querétaro: 42% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Santos are the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%. Confidence 35/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	332839	1.28–1.42	1-1 13%	51%	56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro to win	39.2%	36.4%	29.3%	1.24×	2.74
Santos to win	32.9%	30.4%	47.1%	0.65×	3.29
Draw	27.9%	27.9%	23.8%	1.17×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & both teams score	20.1%	21.9%	17.4%	1.26×	4.57
Querétaro & not both score	20.0%	21.9%	11.7%	1.87×	4.57
Querétaro & both teams score	19.2%	17.9%	17.8%	1.01×	5.58
Santos & both teams score	16.5%	17.9%	24.5%	0.73×	5.58
Santos & not both score	16.4%	17.9%	22.7%	0.79×	5.58
Draw & not both score	7.8%	8.4%	6.6%	1.28×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro & over 1.5	30.7%	30.9%	23.4%	1.32×	3.24
Querétaro & under 3.5	27.1%	26.0%	19.7%	1.32×	3.84
Santos & over 1.5	25.3%	26.0%	37.3%	0.70×	3.84
Querétaro & over 2.5	24.0%	21.7%	19.9%	1.09×	4.62
Santos & under 3.5	23.2%	21.7%	30.9%	0.70×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	21.1%	21.7%	17.9%	1.21×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	21.1%	21.7%	17.9%	1.21×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	20.1%	21.7%	17.4%	1.24×	4.62
Santos & over 2.5	19.8%	18.0%	30.4%	0.59×	5.56
Querétaro & under 2.5	15.3%	18.0%	9.6%	1.88×	5.56
Santos & under 2.5	13.1%	12.9%	16.9%	0.76×	7.77
Querétaro & over 3.5	12.1%	12.9%	9.8%	1.32×	7.77
Santos & over 3.5	9.6%	7.9%	16.3%	0.48×	12.69
Santos & under 1.5	7.6%	7.9%	9.9%	0.79×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	7.8%	7.9%	6.6%	1.20×	12.70
Querétaro & under 1.5	8.5%	7.9%	6.0%	1.30×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	6.8%	7.9%	6.0%	1.30×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	6.8%	7.9%	6.0%	1.30×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro (1UP)	56.1%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Santos (1UP)	50.6%	52.5%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro (2UP)	39.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Santos (2UP)	32.9%	30.9%	—	—	3.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	36.2%	36.0%	—	—	2.77
Querétaro to win 2nd half	35.4%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Santos to win 2nd half	28.4%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro (+2.5)	95.0%	92.1%	90.9%	1.01×	1.09
Querétaro (+1.5)	85.3%	88.5%	77.1%	1.15×	1.13
Querétaro (+0.5)	67.1%	68.7%	52.9%	1.30×	1.46
Santos (+0.5)	60.8%	62.9%	70.7%	0.89×	1.59
Querétaro (-0.5)	39.2%	37.1%	29.3%	1.27×	2.70
Santos (-0.5)	32.9%	31.3%	47.1%	0.66×	3.20
Santos (-1.5)	14.7%	11.5%	22.9%	0.50×	8.69
Santos (-2.5)	5.0%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro to concede	72.2%	76.4%	81.9%	0.93×	1.31
Querétaro clean sheet	27.8%	23.6%	18.1%	1.30×	4.25

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro clean sheet in 1st half	57.7%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Querétaro to concede in 1st half	42.3%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro over 2.5 corners	77.9%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Querétaro under 6.5 corners	77.2%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Querétaro under 5.5 corners	66.3%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Querétaro over 3.5 corners	62.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Querétaro under 4.5 corners	52.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Querétaro over 4.5 corners	47.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Querétaro under 3.5 corners	37.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Querétaro over 5.5 corners	33.7%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Querétaro over 6.5 corners	22.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Querétaro under 2.5 corners	22.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.16

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro under 3.5 goals	94.4%	92.3%	95.9%	0.96×	1.08
Querétaro under 2.5 goals	82.9%	81.4%	86.7%	0.94×	1.23
Querétaro over 0.5 goals	75.8%	76.2%	70.9%	1.08×	1.31
Querétaro under 1.5 goals	58.6%	59.5%	64.8%	0.92×	1.68
Querétaro over 1.5 goals	41.4%	40.5%	35.2%	1.15×	2.47
Querétaro under 0.5 goals	24.2%	23.8%	29.1%	0.82×	4.21
Querétaro over 2.5 goals	17.1%	18.6%	13.3%	1.40×	5.38
Querétaro over 3.5 goals	5.6%	7.7%	4.1%	1.87×	13.06

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro under 1.5 in 1st half	88.9%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Querétaro under 0.5 in 1st half	56.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Querétaro over 0.5 in 1st half	43.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Querétaro over 1.5 in 1st half	11.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.20

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos (away no bet)	54.1%	51.3%	66.4%	0.77×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	45.9%	48.7%	33.6%	1.45×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro even goals	52.9%	52.8%	54.4%	0.97×	1.89
Querétaro odd goals	47.1%	47.2%	45.6%	1.03×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.6%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.4%	12.4%	—	—	8.04

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	63.7%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals	36.3%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	54.9%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Querétaro to score 2+ in a row	33.0%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Santos to score 2+ in a row	28.1%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.8%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Querétaro to score 3+ in a row	10.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Santos to score 3+ in a row	8.2%	5.7%	—	—	17.62

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos corners (+3.5)	91.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Santos corners (+2.5)	86.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Santos corners (+1.5)	80.7%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Querétaro corners (+3.5)	62.5%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Santos corners (-1.5)	55.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Querétaro corners (+2.5)	53.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Santos corners (-2.5)	46.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Querétaro corners (+1.5)	44.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Santos corners (-3.5)	37.5%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Querétaro corners (-1.5)	19.3%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Querétaro corners (-2.5)	13.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Querétaro corners (-3.5)	9.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	47.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	26.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
0-8 corners	25.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	82.1%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	74.4%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 9.5 corners	65.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 12.5 corners	60.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 10.5 corners	56.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 11.5 corners	52.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 11.5 corners	47.6%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 10.5 corners	43.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 12.5 corners	39.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 9.5 corners	34.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 8.5 corners	25.6%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Under 7.5 corners	17.9%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.3%	11.5%	11.5%	0.99×	8.73
0-1	8.5%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.48
1-2	8.7%	7.4%	8.9%	0.84×	13.48
0-0	7.8%	7.4%	6.6%	1.13×	13.48
0-2	6.8%	7.4%	3.7%	1.99×	13.48
1-0	7.6%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.48
2-1	7.8%	7.4%	10.7%	0.70×	13.48
2-0	5.5%	7.4%	7.1%	1.04×	13.48
2-2	5.5%	7.4%	4.6%	1.61×	13.48
0-3	3.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.47
0-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.48
1-3	4.1%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.47
1-4	1.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.48
2-3	2.6%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.47
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.48
3-0	2.4%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.48
3-1	3.3%	1.7%	5.7%	0.30×	58.47
3-2	2.4%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.48
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.48
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.49
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.49
4-1	1.1%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.48
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.49
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.41×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.81×	58.49
Any other score	2.5%	1.7%	3.2%	0.53×	58.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro leading at HT (DNB)	51.0%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Santos leading at HT (DNB)	49.0%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos or Querétaro (12)	72.1%	72.1%	76.2%	0.95×	1.39
Querétaro or draw (X2)	67.1%	69.6%	52.9%	1.32×	1.44
Santos or draw (1X)	60.8%	63.6%	70.7%	0.90×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro or draw at HT	72.6%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Santos or draw at HT	71.5%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Santos or Querétaro at HT	55.9%	56.8%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro or draw (1UP)	67.1%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Santos or draw (1UP)	60.8%	71.5%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro or draw in 2nd half	71.6%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Santos or draw in 2nd half	64.6%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Santos or Querétaro in 2nd half	63.8%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.2%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	36.8%	38.4%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro (DNB)	54.4%	51.0%	38.4%	1.33×	1.96
Santos (DNB)	45.6%	49.0%	61.6%	0.80×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro to score first	48.5%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Santos to score first	43.7%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	7.8%	7.5%	—	—	13.28

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.8%	54.9%	59.3%	0.93×	1.82
Not both teams to score	44.2%	45.1%	40.7%	1.11×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	42.5%	41.6%	48.0%	0.87×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	36.1%	38.5%	32.7%	1.18×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.3%	12.3%	11.5%	1.07×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.1%	8.4%	8.2%	1.02×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.8%	83.1%	82.6%	1.01×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	15.2%	16.9%	17.4%	0.97×	5.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.9%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Both score 2nd half only	24.6%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Both score 1st half only	13.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	5.4%	6.7%	—	—	14.84

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.5%	82.3%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	18.5%	17.7%	—	—	5.67

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	54.0%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	46.0%	46.5%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.6%	47.4%	46.2%	1.03×	2.11
4-6 goals	26.5%	26.4%	29.1%	0.91×	3.78
0-1 goals	23.8%	22.8%	22.2%	1.03×	4.38
7+ goals	2.0%	1.8%	2.8%	0.64×	54.59

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro to score exactly 1	34.3%	33.8%	35.9%	0.94×	2.96
Querétaro to score exactly 2	24.4%	22.4%	22.0%	1.02×	4.46
Querétaro to score exactly 0	24.2%	22.4%	29.1%	0.77×	4.46
Querétaro to score 3+	17.1%	19.6%	13.3%	1.47×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos to score exactly 1	35.6%	35.6%	33.4%	1.07×	2.81
Santos to score exactly 0	27.8%	26.5%	18.1%	1.46×	3.77
Santos to score exactly 2	22.8%	23.2%	26.6%	0.87×	4.30
Santos to score 3+	13.8%	14.3%	22.2%	0.65×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.1%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Querétaro leading at HT	28.5%	25.7%	—	—	3.89
Santos leading at HT	27.4%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro -1: 1	60.8%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Querétaro -1: X	20.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Querétaro -1: 2	19.0%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro (0:1)	67.1%	65.5%	52.9%	1.24×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	18.1%	17.8%	24.3%	0.73×	5.63
Santos (0:1)	14.7%	13.9%	22.9%	0.61×	7.21

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro (0:2)	85.3%	86.9%	77.1%	1.13×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.7%	7.7%	14.0%	0.55×	12.93
Santos (0:2)	5.0%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.97

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro (0:3)	95.0%	92.6%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.6%	2.4%	6.0%	0.39×	42.10
Santos (0:3)	1.4%	2.4%	3.2%	0.74×	42.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro (0:4)	98.6%	98.1%	96.8%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	1.8%	0.67×	83.56
Santos (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	83.65

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos (1:0)	60.8%	65.0%	70.7%	0.92×	1.54
Draw (1:0)	20.2%	21.8%	19.0%	1.14×	4.60
Querétaro (1:0)	19.0%	17.0%	10.5%	1.63×	5.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos (2:0)	81.0%	84.5%	89.5%	0.94×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.9%	10.4%	7.3%	1.42×	9.64
Querétaro (2:0)	7.1%	6.5%	3.4%	1.91×	15.49

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.2%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	26.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos to concede	75.8%	75.9%	70.9%	1.07×	1.32
Santos clean sheet	24.2%	24.1%	29.1%	0.83×	4.15

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos clean sheet in 1st half	56.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Santos to concede in 1st half	43.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos over 2.5 corners	91.7%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Santos over 3.5 corners	83.7%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Santos over 4.5 corners	73.4%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Santos over 5.5 corners	61.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Santos over 6.5 corners	50.2%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Santos under 6.5 corners	49.8%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Santos under 5.5 corners	38.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Santos under 4.5 corners	26.6%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Santos under 3.5 corners	16.3%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
Santos under 2.5 corners	8.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos under 3.5 goals	95.9%	96.4%	92.4%	1.04×	1.04
Santos under 2.5 goals	86.2%	87.3%	77.8%	1.12×	1.15
Santos over 0.5 goals	72.2%	74.2%	81.9%	0.91×	1.35
Santos under 1.5 goals	63.4%	63.5%	51.3%	1.24×	1.58
Santos over 1.5 goals	36.6%	36.5%	48.7%	0.75×	2.74
Santos under 0.5 goals	27.8%	25.8%	18.1%	1.43×	3.87
Santos over 2.5 goals	13.8%	12.7%	22.2%	0.57×	7.84
Santos over 3.5 goals	4.1%	3.6%	7.6%	0.48×	27.43

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos under 1.5 in 1st half	89.4%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
Santos under 0.5 in 1st half	57.7%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Santos over 0.5 in 1st half	42.3%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Santos over 1.5 in 1st half	10.6%	10.2%	—	—	9.85

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro (home no bet)	58.5%	56.7%	55.2%	1.03×	1.76
Draw (home no bet)	41.5%	43.3%	44.8%	0.97×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos even goals	53.9%	50.6%	49.9%	1.01×	1.98
Santos odd goals	46.1%	49.4%	50.1%	0.99×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	32.9%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
HT 0-1	18.4%	18.7%	—	—	5.33
HT 1-0	17.8%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 1-1	10.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 0-2	5.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
HT 2-0	5.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.25
Any other HT score	3.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.33
HT 1-2	2.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.40
HT 2-1	2.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.40
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.55

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro at HT / Querétaro at FT	21.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Santos at HT / Santos at FT	18.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Querétaro at FT	15.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Santos at FT	12.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Santos at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
Querétaro at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.74
Santos at HT / Querétaro at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Querétaro at HT / Santos at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.89

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro to score last	48.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Santos to score last	43.7%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	7.8%	7.5%	—	—	13.28

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.2%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Querétaro to lead by 1 at any time	56.1%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Santos to lead by 1 at any time	50.6%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	45.5%	44.0%	—	—	2.28
Querétaro to lead by 2 at any time	25.2%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Santos to lead by 2 at any time	20.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Querétaro to lead by 3 at any time	9.0%	6.7%	—	—	14.98
Santos to lead by 3 at any time	6.6%	6.6%	—	—	15.10

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos most corners	65.0%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Querétaro most corners	26.6%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Corners level	8.4%	8.5%	—	—	11.81

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.5%	87.4%	86.5%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.5%	78.6%	75.8%	1.04×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.1%	72.4%	75.1%	0.96×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.5%	72.4%	70.9%	1.02×	1.38
1-3 goals	63.7%	63.4%	61.8%	1.03×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.5%	63.4%	60.2%	1.05×	1.58
3-6 goals	48.5%	48.7%	53.3%	0.91×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.6%	48.7%	46.2%	1.05×	2.06
3-5 goals	44.9%	43.6%	49.0%	0.89×	2.30
1-2 goals	41.6%	43.6%	37.7%	1.16×	2.30
3-4 goals	36.9%	39.1%	38.4%	1.02×	2.55
4-6 goals	26.5%	30.2%	29.1%	1.04×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.9%	24.5%	24.9%	0.98×	4.09
5-6 goals	11.6%	14.9%	15.1%	0.99×	6.72
7+ goals	2.0%	2.5%	2.8%	0.90×	39.24

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro never behind	41.6%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Santos never behind	36.1%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.6%	50.8%	52.6%	0.97×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.4%	49.2%	47.4%	1.04×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.7%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.3%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.8%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.2%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.3%	92.3%	92.9%	0.99×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.2%	92.3%	93.4%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	86.3%	87.6%	82.2%	1.07×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	76.2%	77.3%	77.8%	0.99×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	71.5%	72.5%	68.2%	1.06×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	50.6%	52.5%	56.0%	0.94×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	49.4%	47.5%	44.1%	1.08×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	28.5%	27.5%	31.8%	0.86×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	23.8%	22.7%	22.2%	1.02×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	13.7%	12.4%	17.8%	0.70×	8.09
Under 0.5 goals	7.8%	7.7%	6.6%	1.18×	12.92
Over 5.5 goals	5.7%	7.7%	7.1%	1.09×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.9%	97.2%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.9%	92.5%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	83.9%	81.1%	79.3%	1.02×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	68.0%	67.4%	71.6%	0.94×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	63.4%	62.1%	58.1%	1.07×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	36.6%	37.9%	41.9%	0.90×	2.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	32.0%	32.6%	28.4%	1.15×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	16.1%	18.9%	20.7%	0.92×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.1%	7.5%	8.0%	0.95×	13.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.1%	2.8%	3.0%	0.93×	36.16

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.7%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	69.1%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.1%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	32.9%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Over 1.5 in 1st half	30.9%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.14

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.0%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.8%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.0%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos not to score in both halves	78.1%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Querétaro not to score in both halves	75.2%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Querétaro to score in both halves	24.8%	21.9%	—	—	4.58
Santos to score in both halves	21.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.8%	58.4%	59.3%	0.98×	1.71
Only Querétaro scores	20.0%	22.3%	11.7%	1.90×	4.48
Only Santos scores	16.4%	16.1%	22.7%	0.71×	6.22
Neither team scores	7.8%	7.2%	6.6%	1.09×	13.91

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.6%	25.0%	22.0%	1.13×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	22.6%	24.3%	0.93×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	16.0%	17.4%	15.8%	1.10×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	14.9%	12.1%	14.2%	0.85×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	8.0%	7.6%	10.8%	0.71×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	7.8%	7.6%	6.6%	1.16×	13.08
6 or more goals	5.7%	7.6%	7.1%	1.08×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.2%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
1 goal in 2nd half	31.8%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	21.0%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos not to win both halves	92.1%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Querétaro not to win both halves	89.8%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Querétaro to win both halves	10.2%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Santos to win both halves	7.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.49

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Querétaro to win either half	53.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Santos to win neither half	52.1%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Santos to win either half	47.9%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Querétaro to win neither half	46.4%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Santos not to win to nil	83.6%	83.0%	77.3%	1.07×	1.20
Querétaro not to win to nil	80.0%	78.1%	88.3%	0.88×	1.28
Querétaro to win to nil	20.0%	21.9%	11.7%	1.87×	4.56
Santos to win to nil	16.4%	17.0%	22.7%	0.75×	5.89

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.9%	27.9%	23.8%	1.17×	3.59
Querétaro by 1	20.2%	24.1%	19.0%	1.27×	4.14
Santos by 1	18.1%	16.9%	24.3%	0.70×	5.91
Querétaro by 2	11.9%	11.8%	7.3%	1.62×	8.48
Santos by 2	9.7%	7.3%	14.0%	0.52×	13.77
Querétaro by 3+	7.1%	7.3%	3.4%	2.15×	13.78
Santos by 3+	5.0%	7.3%	9.1%	0.80×	13.79