Sarmiento (Junín) v Belgrano (Córdoba) — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Sarmiento (Junín)

13:45

Belgrano (Córdoba)

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 154h before kick-off

Sarmiento (Junín) win

27.8%

model 29.6%

Draw

27.8%

model 28.7%

Belgrano (Córdoba) win

44.4%

model 41.7%

282844

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.4%
0-1 12.2%
0-0 10.1%
1-0 9.8%
1-2 8.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	41.1%	Under 2.5	58.9%
BTTS yes	47.2%	BTTS no	52.8%
Sarmiento (Junín) 1+	64.7%	Sarmiento (Junín) 2+	27.9%
Belgrano (Córdoba) 1+	72.4%	Belgrano (Córdoba) 2+	36.8%

Expected goals 1.04 – 1.29. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Belgrano (Córdoba) over 0.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 58%

73.0% fair odds 1.37

moderate signal · 964 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Sarmiento (Junín) (2:0)

Handicap 2:0 · usually 91%

82.9% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 326 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Belgrano (Córdoba) carry the stronger rating, 1592 Elo against 1487.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0033 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Belgrano (Córdoba) have an estimated 44.4% win probability, against 27.8% for Sarmiento (Junín) and 27.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.04 for Sarmiento (Junín) and 1.29 for Belgrano (Córdoba).

Why Sarmiento (Junín)

Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.8%. A combined 2.33 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.04 to 1.29. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Belgrano (Córdoba) can win

Belgrano (Córdoba) carry the stronger rating, 1592 Elo against 1487.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Sarmiento (Junín), so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Belgrano (Córdoba), so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Sarmiento (Junín): 36% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Belgrano (Córdoba): 57% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Belgrano (Córdoba) are the model's most likely outcome at 44.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.4%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	302942	1.04–1.29	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	283042	0.95–1.22	1-1 14%	37%	43%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win	41.8%	43.0%	27.8%	1.55×	2.33
Draw	29.9%	27.9%	30.6%	0.91×	3.59
Sarmiento (Junín) to win	28.3%	27.9%	41.7%	0.67×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) & not both score	26.9%	25.2%	17.2%	1.46×	3.97
Sarmiento (Junín) & not both score	17.8%	17.9%	27.8%	0.65×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	18.0%	17.9%	15.9%	1.12×	5.58
Belgrano (Córdoba) & both teams score	14.9%	13.3%	10.7%	1.24×	7.54
Draw & not both score	11.9%	13.3%	14.8%	0.90×	7.55
Sarmiento (Junín) & both teams score	10.5%	13.3%	14.1%	0.94×	7.55

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) & under 3.5	33.6%	30.9%	23.6%	1.31×	3.24
Belgrano (Córdoba) & over 1.5	28.2%	26.0%	17.5%	1.48×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	25.5%	26.0%	28.1%	0.93×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	25.5%	26.0%	28.1%	0.93×	3.84
Sarmiento (Junín) & under 3.5	23.6%	21.7%	34.9%	0.62×	4.62
Belgrano (Córdoba) & under 2.5	22.1%	21.7%	14.7%	1.48×	4.62
Belgrano (Córdoba) & over 2.5	19.7%	18.0%	13.2%	1.36×	5.56
Sarmiento (Junín) & over 1.5	17.8%	18.0%	27.6%	0.65×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.0%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Sarmiento (Junín) & under 2.5	15.7%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.56
Belgrano (Córdoba) & under 1.5	13.6%	12.9%	10.3%	1.25×	7.77
Sarmiento (Junín) & over 2.5	12.6%	12.9%	18.2%	0.71×	7.77
Draw & under 1.5	11.9%	12.9%	14.8%	0.87×	7.77
Sarmiento (Junín) & under 1.5	10.5%	12.9%	14.2%	0.90×	7.77
Belgrano (Córdoba) & over 3.5	8.3%	7.9%	4.2%	1.86×	12.70
Sarmiento (Junín) & over 3.5	4.7%	4.8%	7.0%	0.68×	20.93
Draw & over 2.5	4.3%	4.8%	2.6%	1.81×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	4.3%	4.8%	2.6%	1.81×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (1UP)	55.1%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Sarmiento (Junín) (1UP)	42.9%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (2UP)	41.8%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Sarmiento (Junín) (2UP)	28.3%	24.9%	—	—	4.01

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	40.6%	40.9%	—	—	2.44
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win 2nd half	35.6%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Sarmiento (Junín) to win 2nd half	23.8%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (+2.5)	97.3%	96.3%	95.0%	1.01×	1.04
Belgrano (Córdoba) (+1.5)	89.8%	88.5%	82.5%	1.07×	1.13
Belgrano (Córdoba) (+0.5)	71.7%	73.7%	58.3%	1.27×	1.36
Sarmiento (Junín) (+0.5)	58.2%	57.0%	72.2%	0.79×	1.75
Belgrano (Córdoba) (-0.5)	41.8%	43.0%	27.8%	1.55×	2.33
Sarmiento (Junín) (-0.5)	28.3%	26.3%	41.7%	0.63×	3.80
Sarmiento (Junín) (-1.5)	10.2%	11.5%	17.5%	0.65×	8.71
Sarmiento (Junín) (-2.5)	2.7%	3.7%	5.0%	0.74×	26.90

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) to concede	61.2%	67.2%	68.1%	0.99×	1.49
Belgrano (Córdoba) clean sheet	38.8%	32.8%	31.9%	1.03×	3.05

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) clean sheet in 1st half	66.6%	69.2%	—	—	1.44
Belgrano (Córdoba) to concede in 1st half	33.5%	30.8%	—	—	3.25

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 6.5 corners	83.1%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 2.5 corners	74.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 5.5 corners	72.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 4.5 corners	58.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 3.5 corners	57.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 3.5 corners	42.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 4.5 corners	41.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 5.5 corners	27.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 2.5 corners	25.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 6.5 corners	16.9%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 3.5 goals	96.5%	97.5%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 2.5 goals	87.6%	87.9%	93.3%	0.94×	1.14
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 0.5 goals	70.3%	71.9%	57.6%	1.25×	1.39
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 1.5 goals	65.7%	67.9%	78.2%	0.87×	1.47
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 1.5 goals	34.3%	32.1%	21.8%	1.47×	3.12
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 0.5 goals	29.7%	28.1%	42.4%	0.66×	3.56
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 2.5 goals	12.4%	12.1%	6.7%	1.82×	8.25
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 3.5 goals	3.5%	2.5%	1.1%	2.14×	40.69

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 1.5 in 1st half	91.4%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Belgrano (Córdoba) under 0.5 in 1st half	61.5%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 0.5 in 1st half	38.5%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
Belgrano (Córdoba) over 1.5 in 1st half	8.6%	5.9%	—	—	17.06

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	51.3%	51.2%	42.3%	1.21×	1.95
Sarmiento (Junín) (away no bet)	48.7%	48.8%	57.7%	0.85×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) even goals	54.4%	52.8%	58.4%	0.90×	1.89
Belgrano (Córdoba) odd goals	45.6%	47.2%	41.6%	1.13×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.9%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.27

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	49.2%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Not both halves under 1.5	50.8%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	44.0%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score 2+ in a row	28.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Sarmiento (Junín) to score 2+ in a row	18.9%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Either team to score 3+ in a row	12.9%	12.2%	—	—	8.21
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score 3+ in a row	8.6%	5.7%	—	—	17.59
Sarmiento (Junín) to score 3+ in a row	4.4%	2.6%	—	—	37.91

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) corners (+3.5)	88.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Sarmiento (Junín) corners (+2.5)	81.4%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Belgrano (Córdoba) corners (+3.5)	80.0%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Sarmiento (Junín) corners (+1.5)	72.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Belgrano (Córdoba) corners (+2.5)	71.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Belgrano (Córdoba) corners (+1.5)	60.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Sarmiento (Junín) corners (-1.5)	39.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Sarmiento (Junín) corners (-2.5)	28.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Belgrano (Córdoba) corners (-1.5)	27.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Sarmiento (Junín) corners (-3.5)	20.0%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Belgrano (Córdoba) corners (-2.5)	18.6%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Belgrano (Córdoba) corners (-3.5)	11.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	46.5%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	23.7%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.2%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	76.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	64.8%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	57.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	53.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	46.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	42.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	35.2%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	32.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	23.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	16.8%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.6%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.73
0-1	13.6%	11.5%	10.3%	1.11×	8.73
0-0	11.9%	11.5%	14.8%	0.77×	8.73
1-0	10.5%	11.5%	14.2%	0.81×	8.73
0-2	8.5%	7.4%	4.5%	1.66×	13.48
1-2	8.0%	7.4%	7.1%	1.04×	13.48
2-0	5.2%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.48
2-1	6.3%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.48
0-3	3.4%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.47
0-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.6%	2.98×	58.48
1-3	3.3%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.47
1-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.48
2-2	3.8%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.47
2-3	1.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.1%	14.91×	58.49
3-0	1.6%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.48
3-1	2.0%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.48
3-2	1.2%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	14.91×	58.49
4-0	0.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.49×	58.49
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.45×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.45×	58.49
Any other score	1.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) leading at HT (DNB)	55.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Sarmiento (Junín) leading at HT (DNB)	44.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.36

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) or draw (X2)	71.7%	72.1%	58.3%	1.24×	1.39
Sarmiento (Junín) or Belgrano (Córdoba) (12)	70.1%	72.1%	69.4%	1.04×	1.39
Sarmiento (Junín) or draw (1X)	58.2%	57.0%	72.2%	0.79×	1.76

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) or draw at HT	77.5%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Sarmiento (Junín) or draw at HT	72.0%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Sarmiento (Junín) or Belgrano (Córdoba) at HT	50.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) or draw (1UP)	71.7%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Sarmiento (Junín) or draw (1UP)	58.2%	62.8%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) or draw in 2nd half	76.2%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Sarmiento (Junín) or draw in 2nd half	64.4%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Sarmiento (Junín) or Belgrano (Córdoba) in 2nd half	59.4%	59.1%	—	—	1.69

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	69.6%	69.7%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	30.4%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (DNB)	59.7%	58.3%	39.9%	1.46×	1.72
Sarmiento (Junín) (DNB)	40.3%	41.7%	60.1%	0.69×	2.40

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score first	49.5%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Sarmiento (Junín) to score first	38.6%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	11.9%	10.0%	—	—	10.03

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	56.6%	54.9%	59.5%	0.92×	1.82
Both teams to score	43.4%	45.1%	40.5%	1.11×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	49.7%	44.3%	52.9%	0.84×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	29.8%	33.6%	27.2%	1.24×	2.98
Both score & under 2.5	13.6%	12.3%	13.4%	0.92×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	6.9%	8.4%	6.8%	1.24×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.6%	89.1%	94.2%	0.95×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.4%	10.9%	5.8%	1.86×	9.18

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	78.3%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	21.7%	24.6%	—	—	4.07

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	68.1%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Both score 2nd half only	18.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.36
Both score 1st half only	10.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.34
Both score in both halves	2.8%	5.0%	—	—	20.15

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.1%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	12.9%	14.0%	—	—	7.16

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	57.4%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
A goal in each half	42.6%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.7%	47.4%	47.4%	1.00×	2.11
0-1 goals	36.0%	35.1%	39.1%	0.90×	2.85
4-6 goals	16.6%	20.2%	13.3%	1.52×	4.96
7+ goals	0.7%	1.8%	0.5%	3.98×	54.74

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score exactly 1	36.1%	36.0%	35.9%	1.00×	2.78
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score exactly 0	29.7%	27.4%	42.4%	0.65×	3.65
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score exactly 2	21.9%	22.4%	15.3%	1.47×	4.46
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score 3+	12.4%	12.8%	6.7%	1.93×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) to score exactly 0	38.8%	35.6%	31.9%	1.12×	2.81
Sarmiento (Junín) to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.6%	36.6%	0.97×	2.81
Sarmiento (Junín) to score exactly 2	17.4%	18.9%	21.8%	0.87×	5.29
Sarmiento (Junín) to score 3+	7.1%	10.3%	10.0%	1.03×	9.73

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	49.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Belgrano (Córdoba) leading at HT	28.0%	25.7%	—	—	3.89
Sarmiento (Junín) leading at HT	22.5%	20.1%	—	—	4.97

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) -1: 1	58.2%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Belgrano (Córdoba) -1: X	23.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Belgrano (Córdoba) -1: 2	18.5%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (0:1)	71.7%	71.0%	58.3%	1.22×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	18.1%	17.8%	24.3%	0.73×	5.63
Sarmiento (Junín) (0:1)	10.2%	13.8%	17.5%	0.79×	7.24

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (0:2)	89.8%	87.0%	82.5%	1.06×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	7.4%	7.7%	12.6%	0.61×	12.95
Sarmiento (Junín) (0:2)	2.7%	3.8%	5.0%	0.75×	26.59

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (0:3)	97.3%	96.6%	95.0%	1.02×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.2%	2.4%	3.4%	0.69×	42.17
Sarmiento (Junín) (0:3)	0.6%	2.4%	1.7%	1.38×	42.24

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (0:4)	99.4%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	1.3%	0.95×	83.63
Sarmiento (Junín) (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	0.6%	2.08×	83.67

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) (1:0)	58.2%	58.1%	72.2%	0.80×	1.72
Draw (1:0)	23.3%	21.8%	18.7%	1.17×	4.59
Belgrano (Córdoba) (1:0)	18.5%	17.0%	9.2%	1.86×	5.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) (2:0)	81.5%	84.5%	90.8%	0.93×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	12.3%	10.4%	6.3%	1.65×	9.64
Belgrano (Córdoba) (2:0)	6.2%	6.5%	3.0%	2.16×	15.50

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.8%	49.9%	—	—	2.00
Halves equal	29.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	25.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) to concede	70.3%	73.0%	57.6%	1.27×	1.37
Sarmiento (Junín) clean sheet	29.7%	27.0%	42.4%	0.64×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) clean sheet in 1st half	61.5%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Sarmiento (Junín) to concede in 1st half	38.5%	35.9%	—	—	2.79

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) over 2.5 corners	81.1%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Sarmiento (Junín) under 6.5 corners	75.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Sarmiento (Junín) over 3.5 corners	66.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Sarmiento (Junín) under 5.5 corners	63.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Sarmiento (Junín) over 4.5 corners	50.6%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Sarmiento (Junín) under 4.5 corners	49.4%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Sarmiento (Junín) over 5.5 corners	36.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Sarmiento (Junín) under 3.5 corners	33.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Sarmiento (Junín) over 6.5 corners	24.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Sarmiento (Junín) under 2.5 corners	18.9%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) under 3.5 goals	98.4%	96.4%	97.1%	0.99×	1.04
Sarmiento (Junín) under 2.5 goals	92.9%	92.3%	90.0%	1.02×	1.08
Sarmiento (Junín) under 1.5 goals	75.5%	77.7%	68.3%	1.14×	1.29
Sarmiento (Junín) over 0.5 goals	61.2%	63.5%	68.1%	0.93×	1.58
Sarmiento (Junín) under 0.5 goals	38.8%	36.5%	31.9%	1.15×	2.74
Sarmiento (Junín) over 1.5 goals	24.5%	22.3%	31.7%	0.70×	4.49
Sarmiento (Junín) over 2.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	10.0%	0.78×	12.91
Sarmiento (Junín) over 3.5 goals	1.6%	3.6%	2.9%	1.27×	27.54

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) under 1.5 in 1st half	93.7%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
Sarmiento (Junín) under 0.5 in 1st half	66.6%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Sarmiento (Junín) over 0.5 in 1st half	33.5%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Sarmiento (Junín) over 1.5 in 1st half	6.4%	4.5%	—	—	22.14

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) (home no bet)	58.4%	56.7%	47.5%	1.19×	1.76
Draw (home no bet)	41.6%	43.3%	52.5%	0.83×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) even goals	57.5%	55.5%	55.7%	1.00×	1.80
Sarmiento (Junín) odd goals	42.5%	44.5%	44.3%	1.01×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	41.0%	40.7%	—	—	2.46
HT 0-1	19.8%	18.8%	—	—	5.33
HT 1-0	16.6%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 1-1	8.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
HT 0-2	4.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.26
HT 2-0	3.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.36
HT 1-2	2.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.47
Any other HT score	2.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.45
HT 2-1	1.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.49
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.58

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) at HT / Belgrano (Córdoba) at FT	22.3%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.5%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Belgrano (Córdoba) at FT	17.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Sarmiento (Junín) at HT / Sarmiento (Junín) at FT	15.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Sarmiento (Junín) at FT	11.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Sarmiento (Junín) at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
Belgrano (Córdoba) at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Sarmiento (Junín) at HT / Belgrano (Córdoba) at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Belgrano (Córdoba) at HT / Sarmiento (Junín) at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score last	49.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Sarmiento (Junín) to score last	38.6%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	11.9%	9.4%	—	—	10.69

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.1%	90.7%	—	—	1.10
Belgrano (Córdoba) to lead by 1 at any time	55.1%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Sarmiento (Junín) to lead by 1 at any time	42.9%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	36.9%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Belgrano (Córdoba) to lead by 2 at any time	23.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Sarmiento (Junín) to lead by 2 at any time	14.0%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	11.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Belgrano (Córdoba) to lead by 3 at any time	7.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.06
Sarmiento (Junín) to lead by 3 at any time	3.5%	1.6%	—	—	60.81

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) most corners	50.8%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Belgrano (Córdoba) most corners	37.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.8%	87.4%	84.3%	1.04×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.3%	83.5%	80.0%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.8%	72.4%	71.7%	1.01×	1.38
2-6 goals	63.3%	63.4%	60.6%	1.05×	1.58
2-5 goals	61.7%	63.4%	60.0%	1.06×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.1%	59.2%	55.7%	1.06×	1.69
1-2 goals	51.4%	53.2%	51.5%	1.03×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.7%	48.7%	47.4%	1.03×	2.06
3-6 goals	36.0%	39.1%	33.5%	1.17×	2.56
3-5 goals	34.4%	35.4%	32.9%	1.07×	2.83
3-4 goals	29.9%	30.3%	28.7%	1.06×	3.31
4-6 goals	16.6%	18.6%	13.3%	1.40×	5.37
4-5 goals	15.0%	18.6%	12.7%	1.46×	5.37
5-6 goals	6.2%	8.7%	4.9%	1.77×	11.46
7+ goals	0.7%	2.5%	0.5%	5.55×	39.30

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Belgrano (Córdoba) never behind	45.2%	56.4%	—	—	1.77
Sarmiento (Junín) never behind	33.0%	35.7%	—	—	2.80

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.6%	50.8%	49.1%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.4%	49.2%	50.9%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.5%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	41.5%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.8%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.7%	95.5%	99.0%	0.97×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	93.2%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.1%	87.6%	85.2%	1.03×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	82.7%	82.4%	86.4%	0.95×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	64.0%	61.8%	60.9%	1.01×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	63.3%	61.8%	66.2%	0.93×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	36.7%	38.2%	33.8%	1.13×	2.62
Under 1.5 goals	36.0%	38.2%	39.1%	0.98×	2.62
Over 3.5 goals	17.3%	17.6%	13.6%	1.29×	5.68
Under 0.5 goals	11.9%	12.4%	14.8%	0.83×	8.10
Over 4.5 goals	6.8%	7.7%	5.3%	1.47×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	2.3%	4.5%	1.0%	4.36×	22.23

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.3%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.6%	97.2%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	92.4%	92.5%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	78.5%	75.9%	82.9%	0.92×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	50.5%	51.8%	46.4%	1.12×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	49.5%	48.2%	53.6%	0.90×	2.07
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	21.5%	24.1%	17.1%	1.41×	4.16
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	7.6%	7.5%	5.8%	1.31×	13.26
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.4%	2.8%	1.1%	2.57×	36.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.7%	2.8%	0.5%	5.99×	36.20

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.8%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	77.4%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	59.0%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Under 0.5 in 1st half	41.0%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Over 1.5 in 1st half	22.6%	21.2%	—	—	4.71
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.2%	7.2%	—	—	13.89

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	86.4%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.8%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	63.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	36.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.3%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.6%	14.7%	—	—	6.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) not to score in both halves	86.0%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Belgrano (Córdoba) not to score in both halves	80.1%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Belgrano (Córdoba) to score in both halves	19.9%	15.8%	—	—	6.33
Sarmiento (Junín) to score in both halves	14.0%	14.3%	—	—	6.99

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	43.4%	46.6%	40.5%	1.15×	2.15
Only Belgrano (Córdoba) scores	26.9%	26.1%	17.2%	1.52×	3.83
Only Sarmiento (Junín) scores	17.8%	16.1%	27.8%	0.58×	6.22
Neither team scores	11.9%	10.9%	14.8%	0.74×	9.15

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.3%	25.0%	27.2%	0.92×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	24.1%	22.6%	24.4%	0.93×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	19.4%	17.4%	20.3%	0.86×	5.74
Exactly 0 goals	11.9%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.28
Exactly 4 goals	10.5%	12.1%	8.5%	1.42×	8.28
Exactly 5 goals	4.5%	4.4%	4.4%	1.01×	22.65
6 or more goals	2.3%	4.4%	1.0%	4.27×	22.68

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	36.3%	39.6%	—	—	2.53
1 goal in 2nd half	35.4%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
No goals in 2nd half	28.3%	29.8%	—	—	3.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) not to win both halves	94.6%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Belgrano (Córdoba) not to win both halves	90.0%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win both halves	10.0%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Sarmiento (Junín) to win both halves	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.67

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) to win neither half	59.1%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win either half	53.5%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win neither half	46.5%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Sarmiento (Junín) to win either half	40.9%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) not to win to nil	82.2%	83.0%	72.2%	1.15×	1.21
Belgrano (Córdoba) not to win to nil	73.1%	75.3%	82.8%	0.91×	1.33
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win to nil	26.9%	24.7%	17.2%	1.44×	4.05
Sarmiento (Junín) to win to nil	17.8%	17.0%	27.8%	0.61×	5.89

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	29.9%	27.9%	30.6%	0.91×	3.59
Belgrano (Córdoba) by 1	23.3%	24.2%	18.7%	1.29×	4.14
Sarmiento (Junín) by 1	18.1%	16.9%	24.3%	0.70×	5.91
Belgrano (Córdoba) by 2	12.3%	11.8%	6.3%	1.87×	8.48
Sarmiento (Junín) by 2	7.4%	7.3%	12.6%	0.58×	13.78
Belgrano (Córdoba) by 3+	6.2%	7.3%	3.0%	2.43×	13.79
Sarmiento (Junín) by 3+	2.7%	2.7%	5.0%	0.54×	37.00