betaider.com
Sign in

Seattle Sounders FC v CF Montréal — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 18 October 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Seattle Sounders FC win
48.6%
model 49.0%
Draw
23.4%
model 24.9%
CF Montréal win
28.0%
model 26.2%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 11.7%
  2. 2-1 9.6%
  3. 1-0 9.0%
  4. 2-0 8.1%
  5. 1-2 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.555.2% Under 2.544.8%
BTTS yes57.3% BTTS no42.7%
Seattle Sounders FC 1+81.8% Seattle Sounders FC 2+50.8%
CF Montréal 1+69.5% CF Montréal 2+33.3%

Expected goals 1.70 – 1.19. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
54/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
95%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • Seattle Sounders FC carry the stronger rating, 1458 Elo against 1402.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Seattle Sounders FC have an estimated 48.6% win probability, against 28.0% for CF Montréal and 23.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.70 for Seattle Sounders FC and 1.19 for CF Montréal.

Why Seattle Sounders FC

Seattle Sounders FC carry the stronger rating, 1458 Elo against 1402.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.4%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why CF Montréal can win

Nothing in the data singles out CF Montréal.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Seattle Sounders FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for CF Montréal, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Seattle Sounders FC: 42% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. CF Montréal: 50% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Seattle Sounders FC are the model's most likely outcome at 48.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.7%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 1.77–1.05 1-1 12% 53% 54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC to win 53.8% 51.5% 45.4% 1.13× 1.94
Draw 24.4% 24.5% 24.9% 0.98× 4.09
CF Montréal to win 21.8% 24.4% 29.9% 0.82× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC & not both score 28.7% 25.2% 21.1% 1.19× 3.97
Seattle Sounders FC & both teams score 25.1% 25.2% 24.4% 1.03× 3.98
Draw & both teams score 17.9% 17.9% 19.1% 0.94× 5.58
CF Montréal & both teams score 11.2% 13.3% 17.8% 0.75× 7.55
CF Montréal & not both score 10.6% 13.3% 12.3% 1.08× 7.55
Draw & not both score 6.5% 8.4% 5.8% 1.43× 11.93
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC & over 1.5 43.6% 40.3% 37.1% 1.09× 2.48
Seattle Sounders FC & under 3.5 34.8% 30.9% 28.3% 1.09× 3.24
Seattle Sounders FC & over 2.5 34.2% 30.9% 30.9% 1.00× 3.24
Seattle Sounders FC & under 2.5 19.5% 18.0% 14.5% 1.24× 5.56
Seattle Sounders FC & over 3.5 18.9% 18.0% 17.2% 1.05× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 17.9% 18.0% 19.1% 0.94× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 18.1% 18.0% 16.0% 1.12× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 18.1% 18.0% 16.0% 1.12× 5.56
CF Montréal & over 1.5 16.0% 18.0% 23.5% 0.77× 5.56
CF Montréal & under 3.5 16.0% 18.0% 18.8% 0.96× 5.56
CF Montréal & over 2.5 12.7% 12.9% 20.3% 0.63× 7.77
Seattle Sounders FC & under 1.5 10.1% 12.9% 8.4% 1.54× 7.77
CF Montréal & under 2.5 9.1% 7.9% 9.7% 0.81× 12.69
Draw & under 1.5 6.5% 7.9% 5.8% 1.35× 12.70
Draw & over 2.5 6.3% 7.9% 8.9% 0.88× 12.70
Draw & over 3.5 6.3% 7.9% 8.9% 0.88× 12.70
CF Montréal & under 1.5 5.8% 7.9% 6.5% 1.21× 12.70
CF Montréal & over 3.5 5.8% 7.9% 11.2% 0.70× 12.70
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC (1UP) 67.8% 70.0% 1.43
CF Montréal (1UP) 40.0% 39.2% 2.55
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC (2UP) 53.8% 55.7% 1.79
CF Montréal (2UP) 21.8% 23.6% 4.24
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC to win 2nd half 43.5% 41.1% 2.43
2nd half drawn 34.3% 34.5% 2.90
CF Montréal to win 2nd half 22.2% 23.1% 4.33
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
CF Montréal (+2.5) 86.4% 88.5% 89.5% 0.99× 1.13
Seattle Sounders FC (+0.5) 78.2% 78.4% 70.1% 1.12× 1.28
CF Montréal (+1.5) 69.7% 68.7% 76.7% 0.90× 1.46
Seattle Sounders FC (-0.5) 53.8% 52.3% 45.4% 1.15× 1.91
CF Montréal (+0.5) 46.2% 47.7% 54.6% 0.87× 2.10
Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5) 30.3% 31.3% 23.3% 1.34× 3.20
CF Montréal (-0.5) 21.8% 21.6% 29.9% 0.72× 4.64
Seattle Sounders FC (-2.5) 13.6% 11.5% 10.5% 1.09× 8.70
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
CF Montréal to concede 82.9% 81.3% 82.0% 0.99× 1.23
CF Montréal clean sheet 17.1% 18.7% 18.0% 1.04× 5.35
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
CF Montréal clean sheet in 1st half 46.8% 50.7% 1.97
CF Montréal to concede in 1st half 53.2% 49.3% 2.03
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
CF Montréal over 2.5 corners 82.6% 81.5% 1.23
CF Montréal under 6.5 corners 71.7% 71.6% 1.40
CF Montréal over 3.5 corners 69.0% 67.5% 1.48
CF Montréal under 5.5 corners 59.8% 57.1% 1.75
CF Montréal over 4.5 corners 54.2% 53.1% 1.88
CF Montréal under 4.5 corners 45.8% 46.9% 2.13
CF Montréal over 5.5 corners 40.2% 42.9% 2.33
CF Montréal under 3.5 corners 31.0% 32.5% 3.08
CF Montréal over 6.5 corners 28.3% 28.4% 3.52
CF Montréal under 2.5 corners 17.4% 18.5% 5.39
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
CF Montréal under 3.5 goals 97.8% 97.5% 93.9% 1.04× 1.03
CF Montréal under 2.5 goals 91.1% 92.3% 83.3% 1.11× 1.08
CF Montréal under 1.5 goals 71.9% 71.9% 61.3% 1.17× 1.39
CF Montréal over 0.5 goals 64.8% 63.0% 73.2% 0.86× 1.59
CF Montréal under 0.5 goals 35.2% 37.0% 26.8% 1.38× 2.70
CF Montréal over 1.5 goals 28.1% 28.1% 38.7% 0.72× 3.57
CF Montréal over 2.5 goals 8.9% 7.7% 16.7% 0.46× 13.02
CF Montréal over 3.5 goals 2.2% 2.5% 6.1% 0.40× 40.76
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
CF Montréal under 1.5 in 1st half 93.4% 94.2% 1.06
CF Montréal under 0.5 in 1st half 65.8% 68.2% 1.47
CF Montréal over 0.5 in 1st half 34.2% 31.8% 3.14
CF Montréal over 1.5 in 1st half 6.6% 5.8% 17.27
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC (away no bet) 68.8% 66.4% 64.6% 1.03× 1.51
Draw (away no bet) 31.2% 33.6% 35.4% 0.95× 2.98
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
CF Montréal even goals 56.2% 56.9% 53.6% 1.06× 1.76
CF Montréal odd goals 43.8% 43.1% 46.4% 0.93× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 84.0% 83.0% 1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals 16.0% 17.0% 5.89
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 65.7% 68.5% 1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals 34.3% 31.5% 3.18
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 58.4% 55.2% 1.81
Seattle Sounders FC to score 2+ in a row 44.7% 38.5% 2.60
Either team to score 3+ in a row 22.6% 19.5% 5.12
CF Montréal to score 2+ in a row 19.8% 16.4% 6.10
Seattle Sounders FC to score 3+ in a row 18.3% 16.4% 6.11
CF Montréal to score 3+ in a row 4.6% 2.6% 37.79
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
CF Montréal corners (+3.5) 82.8% 79.7% 1.25
Seattle Sounders FC corners (+3.5) 81.0% 79.7% 1.25
CF Montréal corners (+2.5) 75.5% 74.9% 1.34
Seattle Sounders FC corners (+2.5) 73.4% 70.7% 1.41
CF Montréal corners (+1.5) 66.6% 65.8% 1.52
Seattle Sounders FC corners (+1.5) 64.2% 61.9% 1.62
CF Montréal corners (-1.5) 35.8% 38.1% 2.63
Seattle Sounders FC corners (-1.5) 33.4% 34.2% 2.92
CF Montréal corners (-2.5) 26.6% 29.3% 3.42
Seattle Sounders FC corners (-2.5) 24.5% 25.1% 3.98
CF Montréal corners (-3.5) 19.0% 20.3% 4.93
Seattle Sounders FC corners (-3.5) 17.2% 20.3% 4.94
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 36.5% 33.7% 2.97
12+ corners 34.0% 33.2% 3.01
9-11 corners 29.5% 31.2% 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 74.0% 72.6% 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 73.3% 72.6% 1.38
Under 11.5 corners 66.0% 67.7% 1.48
Over 8.5 corners 63.5% 63.4% 1.58
Under 10.5 corners 56.8% 57.8% 1.73
Over 9.5 corners 53.2% 53.3% 1.88
Under 9.5 corners 46.8% 46.7% 2.14
Over 10.5 corners 43.2% 42.2% 2.37
Under 8.5 corners 36.5% 36.6% 2.73
Over 11.5 corners 34.0% 32.3% 3.09
Under 7.5 corners 26.7% 27.4% 3.66
Over 12.5 corners 26.0% 27.4% 3.66
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 11.6% 11.5% 10.3% 1.11× 8.73
1-0 10.1% 11.5% 8.4% 1.37× 8.73
2-0 9.4% 7.4% 6.3% 1.18× 13.48
2-1 9.8% 7.4% 9.9% 0.75× 13.48
0-0 6.5% 7.4% 5.8% 1.27× 13.48
1-2 5.8% 7.4% 7.4% 1.00× 13.48
2-2 5.1% 7.4% 6.1% 1.22× 13.48
3-0 5.5% 7.4% 4.1% 1.80× 13.48
3-1 5.8% 7.4% 4.9% 1.51× 13.48
0-1 5.8% 7.4% 6.5% 1.14× 13.48
0-2 3.3% 1.7% 3.3% 0.51× 58.47
0-3 1.1% 1.7% 1.8% 0.93× 58.48
0-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.8% 2.13× 58.49
1-3 2.0% 1.7% 3.4% 0.50× 58.48
1-4 0.5% 1.7% 1.4% 1.24× 58.49
2-3 1.8% 1.7% 2.4% 0.71× 58.48
2-4 0.5% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.49
3-2 3.0% 1.7% 3.6% 0.48× 58.47
3-3 1.0% 1.7% 2.6% 0.65× 58.48
3-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.7% 2.49× 58.49
4-0 2.4% 1.7% 1.3% 1.36× 58.48
4-1 2.5% 1.7% 2.4% 0.71× 58.48
4-2 1.3% 1.7% 1.6% 1.07× 58.48
4-3 0.5% 1.7% 0.8% 2.13× 58.49
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.5% 3.73× 58.49
Any other score 3.8% 1.7% 4.7% 0.36× 58.47
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC leading at HT (DNB) 68.5% 74.1% 1.35
CF Montréal leading at HT (DNB) 31.5% 25.9% 3.86
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC or draw (1X) 78.2% 75.6% 70.1% 1.08× 1.32
Seattle Sounders FC or CF Montréal (12) 75.6% 75.5% 75.1% 1.01× 1.32
CF Montréal or draw (X2) 46.2% 48.5% 54.6% 0.89× 2.06
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC or draw at HT 81.6% 84.4% 1.19
CF Montréal or draw at HT 60.0% 57.0% 1.76
Seattle Sounders FC or CF Montréal at HT 58.4% 56.9% 1.76
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC or draw (1UP) 78.2% 84.0% 1.19
CF Montréal or draw (1UP) 46.2% 52.6% 1.90
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC or draw in 2nd half 77.8% 76.9% 1.30
Seattle Sounders FC or CF Montréal in 2nd half 65.7% 65.5% 1.53
CF Montréal or draw in 2nd half 56.5% 58.9% 1.70
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 61.1% 61.5% 1.63
Neither half drawn 38.9% 38.5% 2.60
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC (DNB) 71.1% 71.4% 60.3% 1.18× 1.40
CF Montréal (DNB) 28.9% 28.6% 39.7% 0.72× 3.49
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC to score first 58.7% 62.0% 1.61
CF Montréal to score first 34.8% 27.4% 3.65
No goal scored 6.5% 7.5% 13.36
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 54.2% 51.4% 61.1% 0.84× 1.94
Not both teams to score 45.8% 48.6% 38.9% 1.25× 2.06
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 42.6% 41.6% 50.9% 0.82× 2.40
Not both score & under 2.5 35.1% 38.5% 29.9% 1.29× 2.60
Both score & under 2.5 11.6% 12.3% 10.3% 1.20× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 10.7% 12.3% 9.2% 1.35× 8.11
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 85.2% 85.6% 79.5% 1.08× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 14.8% 14.4% 20.5% 0.70× 6.94
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 70.3% 74.0% 1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half 29.7% 26.0% 3.84
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 57.4% 59.4% 1.68
Both score 2nd half only 24.3% 20.9% 4.79
Both score 1st half only 12.9% 10.8% 9.30
Both score in both halves 5.4% 6.7% 14.84
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 81.7% 82.4% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 18.3% 17.6% 5.67
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 55.9% 57.2% 1.75
A half without a goal 44.1% 42.8% 2.34
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 46.5% 47.4% 42.5% 1.12× 2.11
4-6 goals 28.6% 26.5% 33.1% 0.80× 3.78
0-1 goals 22.5% 22.8% 20.5% 1.11× 4.38
7+ goals 2.5% 1.8% 4.1% 0.44× 54.55
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
CF Montréal to score exactly 1 36.8% 36.0% 34.6% 1.04× 2.78
CF Montréal to score exactly 0 35.2% 36.0% 26.8% 1.34× 2.78
CF Montréal to score exactly 2 19.2% 19.6% 22.1% 0.89× 5.11
CF Montréal to score 3+ 8.9% 8.5% 16.7% 0.51× 11.81
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC to score exactly 1 30.2% 32.6% 31.0% 1.05× 3.06
Seattle Sounders FC to score exactly 2 26.7% 26.5% 26.0% 1.02× 3.77
Seattle Sounders FC to score 3+ 26.0% 26.5% 25.2% 1.05× 3.77
Seattle Sounders FC to score exactly 0 17.1% 18.9% 18.0% 1.05× 5.29
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 41.6% 43.1% 2.32
Seattle Sounders FC leading at HT 40.0% 43.0% 2.32
CF Montréal leading at HT 18.4% 15.6% 6.41
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC -1: 2 46.2% 46.9% 2.13
Seattle Sounders FC -1: 1 30.3% 30.0% 3.33
Seattle Sounders FC -1: X 23.5% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
CF Montréal (0:1) 46.2% 45.9% 54.6% 0.84× 2.18
Seattle Sounders FC (0:1) 30.3% 30.0% 23.3% 1.29× 3.34
Draw (0:1) 23.5% 24.3% 22.2% 1.09× 4.12
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
CF Montréal (0:2) 69.7% 72.3% 76.7% 0.94× 1.38
Draw (0:2) 16.7% 15.3% 12.8% 1.19× 6.55
Seattle Sounders FC (0:2) 13.6% 11.0% 10.5% 1.04× 9.11
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
CF Montréal (0:3) 86.4% 90.8% 89.5% 1.01× 1.10
Draw (0:3) 8.6% 5.8% 6.6% 0.88× 17.14
Seattle Sounders FC (0:3) 5.1% 5.8% 4.0% 1.45× 17.20
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
CF Montréal (0:4) 94.9% 94.7% 96.0% 0.99× 1.06
Draw (0:4) 3.5% 1.2% 2.1% 0.58× 83.27
Seattle Sounders FC (0:4) 1.6% 1.2% 2.1% 0.58× 83.50
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC (1:0) 78.2% 78.4% 70.1% 1.12× 1.28
Draw (1:0) 13.7% 12.8% 16.8% 0.76× 7.80
CF Montréal (1:0) 8.1% 6.9% 13.2% 0.53× 14.43
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC (2:0) 91.9% 93.9% 86.8% 1.08× 1.07
Draw (2:0) 5.8% 6.5% 8.7% 0.74× 15.50
CF Montréal (2:0) 2.3% 2.3% 4.6% 0.49× 44.23
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 47.6% 48.1% 2.08
1st half highest scoring 27.2% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 25.2% 26.5% 3.77
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC to concede 64.8% 63.5% 73.2% 0.87× 1.58
Seattle Sounders FC clean sheet 35.2% 36.5% 26.8% 1.36× 2.74
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC clean sheet in 1st half 65.8% 68.5% 1.46
Seattle Sounders FC to concede in 1st half 34.2% 31.5% 3.17
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC over 2.5 corners 81.5% 80.9% 1.24
Seattle Sounders FC under 6.5 corners 73.4% 71.9% 1.39
Seattle Sounders FC over 3.5 corners 67.5% 66.7% 1.50
Seattle Sounders FC under 5.5 corners 61.6% 62.3% 1.61
Seattle Sounders FC over 4.5 corners 52.4% 52.8% 1.90
Seattle Sounders FC under 4.5 corners 47.6% 47.2% 2.12
Seattle Sounders FC over 5.5 corners 38.4% 37.7% 2.65
Seattle Sounders FC under 3.5 corners 32.5% 33.3% 3.00
Seattle Sounders FC over 6.5 corners 26.6% 28.1% 3.56
Seattle Sounders FC under 2.5 corners 18.5% 19.1% 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC under 3.5 goals 89.7% 87.3% 90.6% 0.96× 1.15
Seattle Sounders FC over 0.5 goals 82.9% 82.1% 82.0% 1.00× 1.22
Seattle Sounders FC under 2.5 goals 74.0% 74.2% 74.8% 0.99× 1.35
Seattle Sounders FC over 1.5 goals 52.7% 53.2% 51.1% 1.04× 1.88
Seattle Sounders FC under 1.5 goals 47.3% 46.8% 48.9% 0.96× 2.14
Seattle Sounders FC over 2.5 goals 26.0% 25.8% 25.2% 1.02× 3.87
Seattle Sounders FC under 0.5 goals 17.1% 17.9% 18.0% 0.99× 5.59
Seattle Sounders FC over 3.5 goals 10.3% 12.7% 9.4% 1.35× 7.86
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC under 1.5 in 1st half 82.3% 84.2% 1.19
Seattle Sounders FC under 0.5 in 1st half 46.8% 50.8% 1.97
Seattle Sounders FC over 0.5 in 1st half 53.2% 49.2% 2.03
Seattle Sounders FC over 1.5 in 1st half 17.7% 15.8% 6.35
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 52.8% 51.6% 45.4% 1.14× 1.94
CF Montréal (home no bet) 47.3% 48.4% 54.6% 0.89× 2.07
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC even goals 51.5% 50.6% 51.0% 0.99× 1.98
Seattle Sounders FC odd goals 48.5% 49.4% 49.0% 1.01× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 30.9% 32.2% 3.10
HT 1-0 23.3% 24.1% 4.15
HT 0-1 12.8% 10.9% 9.15
HT 1-1 9.9% 7.1% 14.01
HT 2-0 8.9% 7.1% 14.02
Any other HT score 5.0% 7.1% 14.08
HT 2-1 3.7% 2.3% 43.34
HT 0-2 2.7% 2.3% 43.41
HT 1-2 2.0% 2.3% 43.46
HT 2-2 0.8% 2.3% 43.55
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC at HT / Seattle Sounders FC at FT 33.2% 32.9% 3.04
Draw at HT / Seattle Sounders FC at FT 17.8% 16.8% 5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 14.8% 12.7% 7.88
CF Montréal at HT / CF Montréal at FT 11.2% 12.7% 7.90
Draw at HT / CF Montréal at FT 9.0% 6.0% 16.62
Seattle Sounders FC at HT / Draw at FT 5.1% 6.0% 16.73
CF Montréal at HT / Draw at FT 4.5% 3.5% 28.79
CF Montréal at HT / Seattle Sounders FC at FT 2.7% 3.5% 28.86
Seattle Sounders FC at HT / CF Montréal at FT 1.7% 3.5% 28.90
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC to score last 58.8% 56.6% 1.77
CF Montréal to score last 34.7% 33.1% 3.02
No goal scored 6.5% 7.5% 13.36
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 93.5% 92.6% 1.08
Seattle Sounders FC to lead by 1 at any time 67.8% 69.5% 1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 49.6% 44.1% 2.27
CF Montréal to lead by 1 at any time 40.0% 39.2% 2.55
Seattle Sounders FC to lead by 2 at any time 36.9% 34.8% 2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 19.6% 15.0% 6.69
Seattle Sounders FC to lead by 3 at any time 16.2% 14.9% 6.72
CF Montréal to lead by 2 at any time 12.9% 10.5% 9.54
CF Montréal to lead by 3 at any time 3.4% 1.6% 60.98
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
CF Montréal most corners 46.0% 46.9% 2.13
Seattle Sounders FC most corners 43.4% 43.5% 2.30
Corners level 10.5% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.9% 87.4% 83.2% 1.05× 1.14
1-4 goals 78.1% 78.6% 73.1% 1.08× 1.27
2-6 goals 75.1% 78.6% 75.5% 1.04× 1.27
2-5 goals 71.0% 72.4% 68.5% 1.06× 1.38
1-3 goals 62.5% 63.4% 57.2% 1.11× 1.58
2-4 goals 62.2% 63.4% 58.4% 1.09× 1.58
3-6 goals 50.8% 53.2% 55.9% 0.95× 1.88
2-3 goals 46.5% 48.7% 42.5% 1.14× 2.06
3-5 goals 46.7% 48.7% 48.9% 0.99× 2.06
1-2 goals 40.2% 43.6% 34.4% 1.27× 2.30
3-4 goals 37.9% 39.2% 38.8% 1.01× 2.55
4-6 goals 28.6% 30.3% 33.1% 0.91× 3.31
4-5 goals 24.4% 24.5% 26.1% 0.94× 4.08
5-6 goals 12.9% 14.9% 17.2% 0.87× 6.72
7+ goals 2.5% 2.6% 4.1% 0.62× 39.22
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC never behind 53.5% 62.0% 1.61
CF Montréal never behind 25.7% 29.9% 3.34
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.9% 50.8% 50.2% 1.01× 1.97
Even number of goals 51.1% 49.2% 49.8% 0.99× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.9% 51.7% 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 45.1% 48.3% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.2% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.8% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 93.5% 92.3% 94.2% 0.98× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 93.4% 92.3% 88.9% 1.04× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 84.6% 82.4% 78.8% 1.05× 1.21
Over 1.5 goals 77.5% 77.3% 79.5% 0.97× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 69.0% 66.2% 62.9% 1.05× 1.51
Over 2.5 goals 53.3% 52.5% 59.9% 0.88× 1.91
Under 2.5 goals 46.7% 47.5% 40.1% 1.19× 2.11
Over 3.5 goals 31.0% 33.8% 37.1% 0.91× 2.96
Under 1.5 goals 22.5% 22.7% 20.5% 1.10× 4.41
Over 4.5 goals 15.4% 17.6% 21.2% 0.83× 5.68
Over 5.5 goals 6.6% 7.7% 11.1% 0.70× 12.93
Under 0.5 goals 6.5% 7.7% 5.8% 1.32× 12.93
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.4% 97.2% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 92.8% 92.5% 87.6% 1.06× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 81.8% 81.1% 74.8% 1.08× 1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 70.3% 72.6% 74.5% 0.97× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 60.1% 62.0% 51.9% 1.19× 1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 39.9% 38.0% 48.1% 0.79× 2.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 29.7% 27.5% 25.5% 1.08× 3.64
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 18.2% 19.0% 25.2% 0.75× 5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 7.2% 7.5% 12.4% 0.61× 13.26
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 2.6% 2.8% 4.4% 0.62× 36.15
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 88.4% 89.0% 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 69.1% 69.0% 1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half 67.0% 69.0% 1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half 33.0% 31.0% 3.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half 30.9% 31.0% 3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half 11.6% 11.0% 9.10
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 80.3% 82.8% 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 77.5% 79.7% 1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 51.3% 53.1% 1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 48.7% 46.9% 2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 22.5% 20.3% 4.94
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 19.7% 17.2% 5.80
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
CF Montréal not to score in both halves 84.1% 84.4% 1.19
Seattle Sounders FC not to score in both halves 66.3% 70.4% 1.42
Seattle Sounders FC to score in both halves 33.7% 29.6% 3.38
CF Montréal to score in both halves 15.9% 15.6% 6.40
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 54.2% 54.0% 61.1% 0.88× 1.85
Only Seattle Sounders FC scores 28.7% 26.1% 21.1% 1.24× 3.83
Only CF Montréal scores 10.6% 10.9% 12.3% 0.89× 9.15
Neither team scores 6.5% 7.2% 5.8% 1.23× 13.92
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 24.3% 22.6% 19.7% 1.15× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 22.3% 22.6% 22.9% 0.99× 4.42
Exactly 1 goals 16.0% 17.4% 14.8% 1.18× 5.74
Exactly 4 goals 15.6% 17.4% 16.0% 1.09× 5.74
Exactly 5 goals 8.8% 7.6% 10.2% 0.75× 13.08
Exactly 0 goals 6.5% 7.6% 5.8% 1.31× 13.09
6 or more goals 6.6% 7.6% 11.1% 0.69× 13.09
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 48.7% 45.1% 2.22
1 goal in 2nd half 31.6% 33.4% 2.99
No goals in 2nd half 19.7% 17.2% 5.80
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
CF Montréal not to win both halves 95.9% 97.2% 1.03
Seattle Sounders FC not to win both halves 82.5% 84.2% 1.19
Seattle Sounders FC to win both halves 17.5% 15.8% 6.33
CF Montréal to win both halves 4.1% 2.8% 35.51
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seattle Sounders FC to win either half 66.0% 67.8% 1.48
CF Montréal to win neither half 63.5% 65.1% 1.54
CF Montréal to win either half 36.5% 34.9% 2.87
Seattle Sounders FC to win neither half 34.0% 32.2% 3.11
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
CF Montréal not to win to nil 89.4% 88.2% 87.7% 1.01× 1.13
Seattle Sounders FC not to win to nil 71.3% 75.3% 78.9% 0.95× 1.33
Seattle Sounders FC to win to nil 28.7% 24.7% 21.1% 1.17× 4.05
CF Montréal to win to nil 10.6% 11.8% 12.3% 0.96× 8.50
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 24.4% 24.2% 24.9% 0.97× 4.14
Seattle Sounders FC by 1 23.5% 24.2% 22.2% 1.09× 4.14
Seattle Sounders FC by 2 16.7% 16.9% 12.8% 1.32× 5.91
CF Montréal by 1 13.7% 11.8% 16.8% 0.70× 8.47
Seattle Sounders FC by 3+ 13.6% 11.8% 10.5% 1.12× 8.47
CF Montréal by 2 5.8% 7.3% 8.7% 0.83× 13.79
CF Montréal by 3+ 2.3% 2.7% 4.6% 0.59× 37.01
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
to move to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide