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Sevilla v Real Betis — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 October 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

1–0
1.83 – 0.44 xG
Shots
14 – 11
On target
5 – 3
Shots in box
6 – 6
xG per shot
0.13 – 0.04
Set-piece xG
0.85 – 0.02
Goals − xG
-0.83 – -0.44
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.51.01.52.00'15'30'45'60'75'90'Dodi Lukebakio 49' — goal
Sevilla 1.83 xGReal Betis 0.44 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Nemanja Gudelj 13' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Giovani Lo Celso 16' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Vitor Roque 16' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Dodi Lukebakio 20' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Giovani Lo Celso 24' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Vitor Roque 27' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Natan 28' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Chidera Ejuke 32' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Vitor Roque 33' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)José Ángel Carmona 40' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Lucien Agoume 46' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Dodi Lukebakio 49' — Goal (0.74 xG, )Isaac Romero 54' — Saved Shot (0.42 xG, Open Play)Nemanja Gudelj 60' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Peque 62' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 65' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Johnny Cardoso 73' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Dodi Lukebakio 79' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Nemanja Gudelj 79' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Dodi Lukebakio 81' — Missed Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Ezequiel Ávila 84' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Suso 84' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Dodi Lukebakio 87' — Saved Shot (0.24 xG, Open Play)Giovani Lo Celso 92' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Romain Perraud 95' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)
Sevilla attacking right Real Betis attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
13' Sevilla Nemanja Gudelj 0.04 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot
16' Real Betis Giovani Lo Celso 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Vitor Roque
16' Real Betis Vitor Roque 0.06 Open Play Saved Shot Héctor Bellerín
20' Sevilla Dodi Lukebakio 0.02 Set Piece Left Foot Saved Shot Nemanja Gudelj
24' Real Betis Giovani Lo Celso 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Vitor Roque
27' Real Betis Vitor Roque 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Giovani Lo Celso
28' Real Betis Natan 0.02 From Corner Blocked Shot Giovani Lo Celso
32' Sevilla Chidera Ejuke 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Adrià Pedrosa
33' Real Betis Vitor Roque 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Diego Llorente
40' Sevilla José Ángel Carmona 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
46' Sevilla Lucien Agoume 0.01 Set Piece Blocked Shot Nemanja Gudelj
49' Sevilla Dodi Lukebakio 0.74 Left Foot Goal
54' Sevilla Isaac Romero 0.42 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Peque
60' Sevilla Nemanja Gudelj 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Chidera Ejuke
62' Sevilla Peque 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Nemanja Gudelj
65' Real Betis Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
73' Real Betis Johnny Cardoso 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Cédric Bakambu
79' Sevilla Dodi Lukebakio 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Chidera Ejuke
79' Sevilla Nemanja Gudelj 0.04 Direct Freekick Right Foot Blocked Shot
81' Sevilla Dodi Lukebakio 0.14 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Chidera Ejuke
84' Real Betis Ezequiel Ávila 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
84' Sevilla Suso 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Jesús Navas
87' Sevilla Dodi Lukebakio 0.24 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
92' Real Betis Giovani Lo Celso 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
95' Real Betis Romain Perraud 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Pablo Fornals

Players

Real Betis

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Giovani Lo Celso AMC 90 0 0 3 2 0.14 0.06 0.26
Natan DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.12
Johnny Cardoso DMC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.14
Pablo Fornals AMR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Rui Silva GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Diego Llorente DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.16
Héctor Bellerín DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.14
Ricardo Rodríguez DL 88 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli AML 81 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.09
Vitor Roque FW 66 0 0 3 2 0.14 0.09 0.23
Marc Roca DMC 66 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Cédric Bakambu Sub 24 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Aitor Ruibal Sub 24 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Ezequiel Ávila Sub 9 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.06
Romain Perraud Sub 2 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02

Sevilla

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Dodi Lukebakio AMR 90 1 0 5 0 1.18 0.00 0.42
Nemanja Gudelj DMC 90 0 0 3 3 0.10 0.05 0.12
Chidera Ejuke AML 90 0 0 1 3 0.05 0.20 0.25
José Ángel Carmona DR 90 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.23
Loic Bade DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.07
Nianzou Kouassi DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Ørjan Nyland GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Peque AMC 81 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.42 0.52
Adrià Pedrosa DL 81 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.07
Isaac Romero FW 74 0 0 1 0 0.42 0.00 0.42
Lucien Agoume DMC 74 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.07
Albert Sambi Lokonga Sub 16 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Jesús Navas Sub 16 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.21
Suso Sub 9 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.21
Kike Salas Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Marcão Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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