Shanghai Shenhua v Yunnan Yukun — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 10 October 2026 · CHN-Super League · 2627

CHN-Super League results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Shanghai Shenhua

07:35

Yunnan Yukun

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 829h before kick-off

Shanghai Shenhua win

53.6%

model 53.1%

Draw

18.8%

model 19.9%

Yunnan Yukun win

27.6%

model 27.0%

541928

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,060 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 8.1%
1-1 7.0%
2-2 6.9%
3-1 6.5%
1-2 5.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	77.5%	Under 2.5	22.5%
BTTS yes	74.5%	BTTS no	25.5%
Shanghai Shenhua 1+	90.9%	Shanghai Shenhua 2+	69.0%
Yunnan Yukun 1+	81.7%	Yunnan Yukun 2+	50.6%

Expected goals 2.39 – 1.70. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

21/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Shanghai Shenhua carry the stronger rating, 1566 Elo against 1517.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0120 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Shanghai Shenhua have an estimated 53.6% win probability, against 27.6% for Yunnan Yukun and 18.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.39 for Shanghai Shenhua and 1.70 for Yunnan Yukun.

Why Shanghai Shenhua

Shanghai Shenhua carry the stronger rating, 1566 Elo against 1517. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 18.8%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Yunnan Yukun can win

Nothing in the data singles out Yunnan Yukun.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Shanghai Shenhua, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Yunnan Yukun, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Shanghai Shenhua: 49% possession, 17.8 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Yunnan Yukun: 52% possession, 17.0 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Shanghai Shenhua's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Shanghai Shenhua are the model's most likely outcome at 53.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 8.1%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	601723	2.91–1.85	2-1 7%	85%	80%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua to win	59.6%	54.1%	46.0%	1.18×	1.85
Yunnan Yukun to win	23.1%	24.5%	28.0%	0.87×	4.09
Draw	17.3%	19.3%	26.2%	0.74×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua & both teams score	44.9%	40.2%	23.0%	1.75×	2.49
Yunnan Yukun & both teams score	18.7%	17.9%	18.5%	0.97×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	16.3%	17.9%	22.1%	0.81×	5.58
Shanghai Shenhua & not both score	14.6%	13.3%	23.2%	0.57×	7.54
Yunnan Yukun & not both score	4.4%	4.9%	9.8%	0.50×	20.55
Draw & not both score	1.0%	4.8%	4.3%	1.12×	20.65

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua & over 1.5	57.2%	54.9%	36.4%	1.51×	1.82
Shanghai Shenhua & over 2.5	53.6%	48.8%	29.4%	1.66×	2.05
Shanghai Shenhua & over 3.5	43.4%	40.3%	18.9%	2.13×	2.48
Yunnan Yukun & over 1.5	21.7%	21.7%	23.7%	0.91×	4.62
Yunnan Yukun & over 2.5	20.3%	21.7%	21.0%	1.03×	4.62
Shanghai Shenhua & under 3.5	16.1%	18.0%	27.3%	0.66×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.3%	18.0%	22.1%	0.81×	5.56
Yunnan Yukun & over 3.5	15.1%	18.0%	12.3%	1.46×	5.56
Draw & over 2.5	11.5%	12.9%	10.0%	1.28×	7.77
Draw & over 3.5	11.5%	12.9%	10.0%	1.28×	7.77
Yunnan Yukun & under 3.5	8.0%	7.9%	15.9%	0.49×	12.70
Shanghai Shenhua & under 2.5	5.9%	7.9%	16.9%	0.47×	12.70
Draw & under 2.5	5.8%	7.9%	16.4%	0.48×	12.70
Draw & under 3.5	5.8%	7.9%	16.4%	0.48×	12.70
Yunnan Yukun & under 2.5	2.9%	4.8%	7.3%	0.66×	20.94
Shanghai Shenhua & under 1.5	2.3%	4.8%	9.8%	0.49×	20.95
Draw & under 1.5	1.0%	4.8%	4.3%	1.10×	20.95
Yunnan Yukun & under 1.5	1.4%	4.8%	4.6%	1.05×	20.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua (1UP)	77.5%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Yunnan Yukun (1UP)	49.3%	43.4%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua (2UP)	59.6%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
Yunnan Yukun (2UP)	23.1%	23.7%	—	—	4.22

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua to win 2nd half	50.0%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
Yunnan Yukun to win 2nd half	25.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
2nd half drawn	24.5%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua (+0.5)	76.9%	78.4%	72.0%	1.09×	1.28
Yunnan Yukun (+2.5)	75.6%	78.4%	89.3%	0.88×	1.28
Shanghai Shenhua (-0.5)	59.6%	57.0%	46.0%	1.24×	1.75
Yunnan Yukun (+1.5)	59.1%	57.0%	74.7%	0.76×	1.75
Shanghai Shenhua (-1.5)	40.9%	43.0%	25.3%	1.70×	2.33
Yunnan Yukun (+0.5)	40.4%	43.0%	54.0%	0.80×	2.33
Shanghai Shenhua (-2.5)	24.4%	21.6%	10.7%	2.02×	4.64
Yunnan Yukun (-0.5)	23.1%	21.6%	28.0%	0.77×	4.64

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yunnan Yukun to concede	94.6%	91.9%	86.1%	1.07×	1.09
Yunnan Yukun clean sheet	5.4%	8.1%	13.9%	0.58×	12.35

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yunnan Yukun to concede in 1st half	71.4%	77.4%	—	—	1.29
Yunnan Yukun clean sheet in 1st half	28.6%	22.6%	—	—	4.42

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yunnan Yukun under 6.5 corners	81.4%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Yunnan Yukun over 2.5 corners	76.8%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Yunnan Yukun under 5.5 corners	70.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Yunnan Yukun over 3.5 corners	60.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Yunnan Yukun under 4.5 corners	56.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Yunnan Yukun over 4.5 corners	43.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Yunnan Yukun under 3.5 corners	39.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Yunnan Yukun over 5.5 corners	29.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Yunnan Yukun under 2.5 corners	23.2%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Yunnan Yukun over 6.5 corners	18.6%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yunnan Yukun under 3.5 goals	88.3%	87.9%	92.9%	0.95×	1.14
Yunnan Yukun over 0.5 goals	84.3%	81.4%	72.7%	1.12×	1.23
Yunnan Yukun under 2.5 goals	71.6%	71.9%	83.1%	0.87×	1.39
Yunnan Yukun over 1.5 goals	55.3%	59.5%	39.2%	1.52×	1.68
Yunnan Yukun under 1.5 goals	44.7%	40.5%	60.8%	0.67×	2.47
Yunnan Yukun over 2.5 goals	28.4%	28.1%	16.9%	1.66×	3.56
Yunnan Yukun under 0.5 goals	15.7%	18.6%	27.3%	0.68×	5.38
Yunnan Yukun over 3.5 goals	11.7%	12.1%	7.1%	1.71×	8.26

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yunnan Yukun under 1.5 in 1st half	83.0%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Yunnan Yukun over 0.5 in 1st half	52.4%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Yunnan Yukun under 0.5 in 1st half	47.6%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
Yunnan Yukun over 1.5 in 1st half	17.0%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua (away no bet)	77.5%	73.7%	63.7%	1.16×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	22.5%	26.3%	36.3%	0.73×	3.80

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yunnan Yukun even goals	51.2%	52.8%	54.7%	0.97×	1.89
Yunnan Yukun odd goals	48.8%	47.2%	45.3%	1.04×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	54.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Both halves over 1.5 goals	45.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	90.5%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Both halves under 1.5 goals	9.5%	8.1%	—	—	12.32

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	83.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Shanghai Shenhua to score 2+ in a row	66.8%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Either team to score 3+ in a row	45.6%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Yunnan Yukun to score 2+ in a row	37.5%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Shanghai Shenhua to score 3+ in a row	35.8%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Yunnan Yukun to score 3+ in a row	12.0%	12.2%	—	—	8.22

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua corners (+3.5)	94.2%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Shanghai Shenhua corners (+2.5)	90.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Shanghai Shenhua corners (+1.5)	85.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Shanghai Shenhua corners (-1.5)	61.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Yunnan Yukun corners (+3.5)	57.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Shanghai Shenhua corners (-2.5)	52.0%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Yunnan Yukun corners (+2.5)	48.0%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Shanghai Shenhua corners (-3.5)	42.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Yunnan Yukun corners (+1.5)	38.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Yunnan Yukun corners (-1.5)	14.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Yunnan Yukun corners (-2.5)	9.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Yunnan Yukun corners (-3.5)	5.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	48.4%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	28.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
0-8 corners	23.6%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	84.1%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	76.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 9.5 corners	67.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 12.5 corners	60.8%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 10.5 corners	58.0%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 11.5 corners	51.6%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 11.5 corners	48.4%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 10.5 corners	42.0%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 12.5 corners	39.2%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 9.5 corners	32.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 8.5 corners	23.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Under 7.5 corners	15.9%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	20.2%	20.1%	4.8%	4.19×	4.99
2-1	6.7%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.48
3-1	6.5%	7.4%	6.2%	1.21×	13.48
2-2	6.2%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.48
3-2	6.0%	7.4%	3.6%	2.04×	13.48
1-1	4.8%	1.7%	12.3%	0.14×	58.46
4-1	4.7%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.46
0-0	1.0%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.48
0-1	1.4%	1.7%	4.6%	0.38×	58.48
0-2	1.5%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.48
0-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.48
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.1%	1.50×	58.49
1-0	2.3%	1.7%	9.8%	0.17×	58.48
1-2	4.3%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	58.47
1-3	2.6%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.47
1-4	1.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.50×	58.48
2-0	3.6%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.47
2-3	3.8%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.47
2-4	1.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.48
3-0	3.5%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.47
3-3	3.7%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.47
3-4	1.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.48
4-0	2.6%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.48
4-2	4.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.46
4-3	2.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.50×	58.47
4-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.48

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua leading at HT (DNB)	68.8%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Yunnan Yukun leading at HT (DNB)	31.2%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua or Yunnan Yukun (12)	82.7%	80.7%	73.8%	1.09×	1.24
Shanghai Shenhua or draw (1X)	76.9%	75.5%	72.0%	1.05×	1.32
Yunnan Yukun or draw (X2)	40.4%	45.9%	54.0%	0.85×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua or draw at HT	78.0%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Shanghai Shenhua or Yunnan Yukun at HT	70.4%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Yunnan Yukun or draw at HT	51.6%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua or draw (1UP)	77.5%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Yunnan Yukun or draw (1UP)	49.3%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua or Yunnan Yukun in 2nd half	75.5%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Shanghai Shenhua or draw in 2nd half	74.5%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Yunnan Yukun or draw in 2nd half	50.0%	48.2%	—	—	2.08

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	46.6%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Neither half drawn	53.4%	50.0%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua (DNB)	72.0%	71.4%	62.2%	1.15×	1.40
Yunnan Yukun (DNB)	28.0%	28.6%	37.8%	0.76×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua to score first	60.5%	64.3%	—	—	1.55
Yunnan Yukun to score first	38.5%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	1.0%	4.2%	—	—	23.79

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	79.9%	62.8%	63.1%	1.00×	1.59
Not both teams to score	20.1%	37.2%	36.9%	1.01×	2.69

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	75.2%	65.9%	51.0%	1.29×	1.52
Not both score & over 2.5	10.3%	12.3%	9.1%	1.35×	8.11
Not both score & under 2.5	9.8%	8.4%	28.0%	0.30×	11.95
Both score & under 2.5	4.8%	4.7%	12.3%	0.38×	21.27

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	56.5%	60.3%	78.4%	0.77×	1.66
Both teams to score 2+	43.5%	39.7%	21.6%	1.83×	2.52

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score in 2nd half	54.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Not both to score in 2nd half	45.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score 2nd half only	34.1%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
Neither half both score	28.5%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
Both score in both halves	20.3%	20.7%	—	—	4.82
Both score 1st half only	17.1%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	62.6%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Both teams to score by HT	37.4%	38.0%	—	—	2.63

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	81.1%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
A half without a goal	18.9%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	49.7%	47.4%	36.9%	1.28×	2.11
2-3 goals	25.2%	26.4%	41.2%	0.64×	3.78
7+ goals	20.3%	22.8%	4.1%	5.56×	4.39
0-1 goals	4.7%	1.8%	18.2%	0.10×	54.31

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yunnan Yukun to score exactly 1	29.0%	27.4%	33.7%	0.81×	3.65
Yunnan Yukun to score 3+	28.4%	27.4%	16.9%	1.63×	3.65
Yunnan Yukun to score exactly 2	26.9%	27.4%	22.6%	1.22×	3.65
Yunnan Yukun to score exactly 0	15.7%	19.6%	27.3%	0.72×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua to score 3+	55.6%	44.5%	26.2%	1.70×	2.25
Shanghai Shenhua to score exactly 2	23.1%	23.2%	26.2%	0.89×	4.30
Shanghai Shenhua to score exactly 1	15.8%	18.9%	34.2%	0.55×	5.29
Shanghai Shenhua to score exactly 0	5.4%	10.3%	13.9%	0.74×	9.75

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua leading at HT	48.4%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Draw at HT	29.6%	25.8%	—	—	3.88
Yunnan Yukun leading at HT	22.0%	20.1%	—	—	4.97

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua -1: 1	40.9%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
Shanghai Shenhua -1: 2	40.4%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
Shanghai Shenhua -1: X	18.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua (0:1)	40.9%	42.6%	25.3%	1.69×	2.35
Yunnan Yukun (0:1)	40.4%	42.6%	54.0%	0.79×	2.35
Draw (0:1)	18.7%	17.8%	21.0%	0.85×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yunnan Yukun (0:2)	59.1%	62.9%	74.7%	0.84×	1.59
Shanghai Shenhua (0:2)	24.4%	20.4%	10.7%	1.90×	4.91
Draw (0:2)	16.5%	15.3%	14.8%	1.03×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yunnan Yukun (0:3)	75.6%	80.4%	89.3%	0.90×	1.24
Shanghai Shenhua (0:3)	12.6%	10.0%	5.0%	2.00×	9.99
Draw (0:3)	11.8%	10.0%	5.9%	1.69×	10.01

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yunnan Yukun (0:4)	87.4%	91.9%	95.0%	0.97×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	6.9%	4.6%	3.9%	1.20×	21.52
Shanghai Shenhua (0:4)	5.7%	4.6%	1.4%	3.38×	21.63

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua (1:0)	76.9%	78.4%	72.0%	1.09×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	11.8%	12.8%	16.4%	0.78×	7.81
Yunnan Yukun (1:0)	11.3%	12.8%	11.8%	1.08×	7.81

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua (2:0)	88.7%	88.4%	88.2%	1.00×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	6.7%	6.5%	7.1%	0.91×	15.49
Yunnan Yukun (2:0)	4.6%	2.3%	5.0%	0.45×	44.07

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	54.5%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
1st half highest scoring	27.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	18.1%	18.9%	—	—	5.28

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua to concede	84.3%	80.9%	72.7%	1.11×	1.24
Shanghai Shenhua clean sheet	15.7%	19.1%	27.3%	0.70×	5.23

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua to concede in 1st half	52.4%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Shanghai Shenhua clean sheet in 1st half	47.6%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua over 2.5 corners	94.2%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Shanghai Shenhua over 3.5 corners	87.5%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Shanghai Shenhua over 4.5 corners	78.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Shanghai Shenhua over 5.5 corners	66.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Shanghai Shenhua over 6.5 corners	54.7%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Shanghai Shenhua under 6.5 corners	45.3%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Shanghai Shenhua under 5.5 corners	33.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Shanghai Shenhua under 4.5 corners	21.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Shanghai Shenhua under 3.5 corners	12.5%	13.7%	—	—	7.29
Shanghai Shenhua under 2.5 corners	5.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.39

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua over 0.5 goals	94.6%	92.3%	86.1%	1.07×	1.08
Shanghai Shenhua over 1.5 goals	78.7%	77.8%	52.2%	1.49×	1.29
Shanghai Shenhua under 3.5 goals	66.8%	67.9%	89.5%	0.76×	1.47
Shanghai Shenhua over 2.5 goals	55.6%	58.8%	26.2%	2.24×	1.70
Shanghai Shenhua under 2.5 goals	44.4%	41.2%	73.8%	0.56×	2.43
Shanghai Shenhua over 3.5 goals	33.2%	32.1%	10.5%	3.07×	3.11
Shanghai Shenhua under 1.5 goals	21.3%	22.2%	47.8%	0.47×	4.50
Shanghai Shenhua under 0.5 goals	5.4%	7.7%	13.9%	0.56×	12.93

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua over 0.5 in 1st half	71.4%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Shanghai Shenhua under 1.5 in 1st half	64.4%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Shanghai Shenhua over 1.5 in 1st half	35.6%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
Shanghai Shenhua under 0.5 in 1st half	28.6%	20.3%	—	—	4.93

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yunnan Yukun (home no bet)	57.2%	56.7%	51.7%	1.10×	1.76
Draw (home no bet)	42.8%	43.3%	48.3%	0.90×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua even goals	50.2%	50.6%	48.3%	1.05×	1.98
Shanghai Shenhua odd goals	49.8%	49.4%	51.7%	0.95×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	17.0%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
Any other HT score	16.6%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 0-0	13.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.14
HT 1-1	12.7%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 2-0	10.7%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 0-1	10.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.18
HT 2-1	7.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
HT 1-2	4.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.27
HT 0-2	3.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.34
HT 2-2	2.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.39

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua at HT / Shanghai Shenhua at FT	40.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Draw at HT / Shanghai Shenhua at FT	14.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Yunnan Yukun at HT / Yunnan Yukun at FT	12.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	7.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
Draw at HT / Yunnan Yukun at FT	7.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
Shanghai Shenhua at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Yunnan Yukun at HT / Shanghai Shenhua at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Yunnan Yukun at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Shanghai Shenhua at HT / Yunnan Yukun at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.84

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua to score last	60.5%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Yunnan Yukun to score last	38.5%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	1.0%	4.2%	—	—	23.79

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	99.0%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Shanghai Shenhua to lead by 1 at any time	77.5%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	72.1%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Shanghai Shenhua to lead by 2 at any time	52.4%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Yunnan Yukun to lead by 1 at any time	49.3%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	38.6%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Shanghai Shenhua to lead by 3 at any time	30.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Yunnan Yukun to lead by 2 at any time	21.3%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Yunnan Yukun to lead by 3 at any time	7.9%	6.7%	—	—	15.04

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua most corners	71.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.42
Yunnan Yukun most corners	21.0%	25.9%	—	—	3.86
Corners level	8.1%	8.5%	—	—	11.81

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	75.0%	72.4%	77.9%	0.93×	1.38
3-6 goals	65.1%	68.9%	56.0%	1.23×	1.45
1-5 goals	64.8%	63.4%	84.7%	0.75×	1.58
2-5 goals	61.1%	63.4%	70.8%	0.89×	1.58
3-5 goals	51.2%	53.2%	49.0%	1.09×	1.88
4-6 goals	49.7%	48.7%	36.9%	1.32×	2.06
1-4 goals	47.3%	48.7%	74.7%	0.65×	2.06
2-4 goals	43.6%	43.6%	60.8%	0.72×	2.30
4-5 goals	35.8%	39.1%	29.8%	1.31×	2.56
3-4 goals	33.7%	35.4%	39.0%	0.91×	2.83
5-6 goals	31.4%	35.4%	17.3%	2.04×	2.83
1-3 goals	29.0%	30.3%	55.1%	0.55×	3.31
2-3 goals	25.2%	30.2%	41.2%	0.73×	3.31
7+ goals	20.3%	24.5%	4.1%	5.97×	4.09
1-2 goals	13.6%	14.9%	36.0%	0.41×	6.72

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua never behind	49.7%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Yunnan Yukun never behind	21.5%	24.2%	—	—	4.12

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.7%	50.8%	46.2%	1.10×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.3%	49.2%	53.8%	0.91×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.0%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	49.0%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	99.0%	95.5%	95.7%	1.00×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	95.3%	95.5%	81.8%	1.17×	1.05
Over 2.5 goals	85.4%	87.6%	59.9%	1.46×	1.14
Over 3.5 goals	70.0%	72.5%	40.8%	1.78×	1.38
Under 5.5 goals	65.8%	66.2%	88.8%	0.75×	1.51
Over 4.5 goals	51.7%	52.5%	21.2%	2.48×	1.91
Under 4.5 goals	48.3%	47.5%	78.8%	0.60×	2.10
Over 5.5 goals	34.2%	33.8%	11.2%	3.03×	2.96
Under 3.5 goals	30.0%	27.5%	59.2%	0.46×	3.64
Under 2.5 goals	14.6%	12.4%	40.1%	0.31×	8.09
Under 1.5 goals	4.7%	4.5%	18.2%	0.25×	22.18
Under 0.5 goals	1.0%	4.5%	4.3%	1.04×	22.25

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	94.7%	92.5%	76.7%	1.21×	1.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	82.8%	81.1%	50.4%	1.61×	1.23
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	76.4%	75.9%	95.6%	0.79×	1.32
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	63.3%	62.1%	26.3%	2.36×	1.61
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	58.6%	55.5%	87.6%	0.63×	1.80
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	41.4%	44.5%	12.4%	3.59×	2.25
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	36.7%	37.9%	73.7%	0.51×	2.64
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	23.6%	24.1%	4.4%	5.46×	4.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	17.2%	18.9%	49.6%	0.38×	5.28
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	5.3%	7.5%	23.3%	0.32×	13.28

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	86.4%	88.9%	—	—	1.12
Under 2.5 in 1st half	67.8%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	59.3%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Under 1.5 in 1st half	40.7%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Over 2.5 in 1st half	32.2%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Under 0.5 in 1st half	13.6%	11.1%	—	—	9.04

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	93.7%	89.7%	—	—	1.11
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	76.4%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	52.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	47.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	23.6%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	6.3%	10.3%	—	—	9.74

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yunnan Yukun not to score in both halves	64.9%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Shanghai Shenhua to score in both halves	57.8%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Shanghai Shenhua not to score in both halves	42.2%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Yunnan Yukun to score in both halves	35.1%	36.4%	—	—	2.75

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	79.9%	68.6%	63.1%	1.09×	1.46
Only Shanghai Shenhua scores	14.6%	10.9%	23.2%	0.47×	9.14
Only Yunnan Yukun scores	4.4%	4.6%	9.8%	0.47×	21.80
Neither team scores	1.0%	4.6%	4.3%	1.05×	21.95

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	34.2%	25.4%	11.2%	2.28×	3.94
Exactly 4 goals	18.3%	17.4%	19.8%	0.88×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	17.5%	17.4%	10.3%	1.70×	5.74
Exactly 3 goals	15.4%	17.4%	19.4%	0.90×	5.74
Exactly 2 goals	9.8%	7.6%	22.1%	0.35×	13.08
Exactly 1 goals	3.7%	4.4%	14.1%	0.31×	22.66
Exactly 0 goals	1.0%	4.4%	4.3%	1.02×	22.70

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	76.4%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
1 goal in 2nd half	17.2%	17.1%	—	—	5.83
No goals in 2nd half	6.3%	9.7%	—	—	10.33

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yunnan Yukun not to win both halves	94.4%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Shanghai Shenhua not to win both halves	75.7%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Shanghai Shenhua to win both halves	24.3%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Yunnan Yukun to win both halves	5.6%	6.0%	—	—	16.66

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua to win either half	74.2%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
Yunnan Yukun to win neither half	58.2%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Yunnan Yukun to win either half	41.8%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
Shanghai Shenhua to win neither half	25.8%	26.9%	—	—	3.71

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yunnan Yukun not to win to nil	95.6%	96.1%	90.2%	1.07×	1.04
Shanghai Shenhua not to win to nil	85.4%	88.2%	76.8%	1.15×	1.13
Shanghai Shenhua to win to nil	14.6%	11.8%	23.2%	0.51×	8.48
Yunnan Yukun to win to nil	4.4%	3.9%	9.8%	0.40×	25.70

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shanghai Shenhua by 3+	24.4%	24.2%	10.7%	2.26×	4.14
Shanghai Shenhua by 1	18.7%	16.9%	21.0%	0.81×	5.91
Draw	17.3%	16.9%	26.2%	0.65×	5.91
Shanghai Shenhua by 2	16.5%	16.9%	14.8%	1.14×	5.91
Yunnan Yukun by 1	11.8%	11.8%	16.4%	0.72×	8.48
Yunnan Yukun by 2	6.7%	7.3%	7.1%	1.03×	13.78
Yunnan Yukun by 3+	4.6%	2.7%	5.0%	0.54×	36.93