Sheffield United v Norwich City — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 5 September 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627
Championship
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the chances say
Sheffield United are finishing below their chances — 2.8 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 9.0 goals above expected, which tends to correct.
Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.
What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.48–1.28 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.53–1.19 | 1-1 13% | 51% | 56% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United to win | 43.8% | 43.0% | 43.5% | 0.99× | 2.32 |
| Draw | 28.1% | 27.9% | 27.6% | 1.01× | 3.59 |
| Norwich City to win | 28.2% | 27.9% | 29.0% | 0.96× | 3.59 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United & not both score | 22.4% | 21.9% | 23.4% | 0.94× | 4.57 |
| Sheffield United & both teams score | 21.4% | 21.9% | 20.2% | 1.08× | 4.57 |
| Draw & both teams score | 20.1% | 21.9% | 20.4% | 1.07× | 4.57 |
| Norwich City & both teams score | 14.5% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 0.96× | 7.54 |
| Norwich City & not both score | 13.6% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 0.87× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 1.15× | 11.93 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United & over 1.5 | 35.1% | 34.9% | 32.5% | 1.07× | 2.87 |
| Sheffield United & under 3.5 | 29.5% | 26.0% | 32.5% | 0.80× | 3.84 |
| Sheffield United & over 2.5 | 27.4% | 26.0% | 26.4% | 0.99× | 3.84 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 21.4% | 21.7% | 21.6% | 1.00× | 4.62 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 21.4% | 21.7% | 21.6% | 1.00× | 4.62 |
| Norwich City & over 1.5 | 21.7% | 21.7% | 21.4% | 1.01× | 4.62 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 20.1% | 21.7% | 20.4% | 1.06× | 4.62 |
| Norwich City & under 3.5 | 20.0% | 21.6% | 22.3% | 0.97× | 4.62 |
| Norwich City & over 2.5 | 17.1% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 1.11× | 5.56 |
| Sheffield United & under 2.5 | 16.4% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 1.05× | 5.56 |
| Sheffield United & over 3.5 | 14.3% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 1.16× | 7.77 |
| Norwich City & under 2.5 | 11.1% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 0.99× | 7.77 |
| Sheffield United & under 1.5 | 8.6% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 0.71× | 12.69 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 1.08× | 12.70 |
| Norwich City & over 3.5 | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 1.16× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 1.31× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 1.31× | 12.70 |
| Norwich City & under 1.5 | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 1.02× | 12.70 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United (1UP) | 60.0% | 62.9% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Norwich City (1UP) | 46.5% | 43.2% | — | — | 2.32 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United (2UP) | 43.8% | 47.7% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Norwich City (2UP) | 28.2% | 24.9% | — | — | 4.01 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United to win 2nd half | 36.4% | 36.1% | — | — | 2.77 |
| 2nd half drawn | 36.3% | 36.0% | — | — | 2.77 |
| Norwich City to win 2nd half | 27.3% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.81 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City (+2.5) | 90.9% | 92.1% | 91.9% | 1.00× | 1.09 |
| Norwich City (+1.5) | 77.3% | 78.4% | 80.7% | 0.97× | 1.28 |
| Sheffield United (+0.5) | 71.8% | 73.7% | 71.0% | 1.04× | 1.36 |
| Norwich City (+0.5) | 56.2% | 57.0% | 56.5% | 1.01× | 1.75 |
| Sheffield United (-0.5) | 43.8% | 43.0% | 43.5% | 0.99× | 2.33 |
| Norwich City (-0.5) | 28.2% | 26.3% | 29.0% | 0.91× | 3.80 |
| Sheffield United (-1.5) | 22.7% | 21.6% | 19.3% | 1.12× | 4.64 |
| Sheffield United (-2.5) | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 0.98× | 12.61 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City to concede | 78.4% | 79.0% | 77.5% | 1.02× | 1.27 |
| Norwich City clean sheet | 21.6% | 21.0% | 22.5% | 0.93× | 4.77 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City to concede in 1st half | 48.3% | 50.7% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Norwich City clean sheet in 1st half | 51.7% | 49.3% | — | — | 2.03 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City over 2.5 corners | 83.4% | 81.0% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Norwich City under 6.5 corners | 72.5% | 72.3% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Norwich City over 3.5 corners | 69.7% | 68.3% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Norwich City under 5.5 corners | 60.1% | 61.4% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Norwich City over 4.5 corners | 54.4% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Norwich City under 4.5 corners | 45.6% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Norwich City over 5.5 corners | 39.9% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| Norwich City under 3.5 corners | 30.3% | 31.7% | — | — | 3.15 |
| Norwich City over 6.5 corners | 27.6% | 27.7% | — | — | 3.62 |
| Norwich City under 2.5 corners | 16.6% | 19.0% | — | — | 5.25 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City under 3.5 goals | 96.7% | 97.5% | 97.8% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Norwich City under 2.5 goals | 88.1% | 87.9% | 90.6% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| Norwich City over 0.5 goals | 69.6% | 68.0% | 69.4% | 0.98× | 1.47 |
| Norwich City under 1.5 goals | 66.6% | 68.0% | 69.9% | 0.97× | 1.47 |
| Norwich City over 1.5 goals | 33.4% | 32.1% | 30.1% | 1.07× | 3.12 |
| Norwich City under 0.5 goals | 30.4% | 32.0% | 30.6% | 1.05× | 3.12 |
| Norwich City over 2.5 goals | 11.9% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 1.28× | 8.26 |
| Norwich City over 3.5 goals | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.10× | 40.70 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City under 1.5 in 1st half | 91.7% | 94.1% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Norwich City under 0.5 in 1st half | 62.1% | 64.1% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Norwich City over 0.5 in 1st half | 37.9% | 35.9% | — | — | 2.79 |
| Norwich City over 1.5 in 1st half | 8.3% | 5.9% | — | — | 17.09 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United (away no bet) | 60.9% | 62.1% | 61.2% | 1.01× | 1.61 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 39.1% | 37.9% | 38.8% | 0.98× | 2.64 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City even goals | 54.6% | 52.8% | 52.6% | 1.00× | 1.89 |
| Norwich City odd goals | 45.4% | 47.2% | 47.4% | 1.00× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 85.2% | 87.5% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 14.8% | 12.5% | — | — | 8.02 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 64.5% | 58.2% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 35.5% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.39 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 55.7% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Sheffield United to score 2+ in a row | 37.0% | 36.5% | — | — | 2.74 |
| Norwich City to score 2+ in a row | 24.9% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.11 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 19.6% | 16.4% | — | — | 6.10 |
| Sheffield United to score 3+ in a row | 13.1% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.20 |
| Norwich City to score 3+ in a row | 6.7% | 5.6% | — | — | 17.74 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United corners (+3.5) | 85.6% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Sheffield United corners (+2.5) | 79.1% | 75.5% | — | — | 1.33 |
| Norwich City corners (+3.5) | 77.0% | 75.5% | — | — | 1.33 |
| Sheffield United corners (+1.5) | 70.9% | 69.9% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Norwich City corners (+2.5) | 68.7% | 66.8% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Norwich City corners (+1.5) | 59.1% | 56.8% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Sheffield United corners (-1.5) | 40.9% | 43.2% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Sheffield United corners (-2.5) | 31.3% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| Norwich City corners (-1.5) | 29.1% | 30.1% | — | — | 3.32 |
| Sheffield United corners (-3.5) | 23.0% | 24.5% | — | — | 4.08 |
| Norwich City corners (-2.5) | 20.9% | 24.5% | — | — | 4.08 |
| Norwich City corners (-3.5) | 14.4% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.31 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12+ corners | 40.7% | 37.0% | — | — | 2.70 |
| 9-11 corners | 29.8% | 31.8% | — | — | 3.15 |
| 0-8 corners | 29.5% | 31.8% | — | — | 3.15 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 corners | 79.5% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 70.5% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 12.5 corners | 68.2% | 67.9% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 60.6% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 59.3% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 50.5% | 52.2% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 49.5% | 47.8% | — | — | 2.09 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 40.7% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 39.4% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 31.8% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.12 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 29.5% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.64 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 20.5% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.28 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 50.4% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 49.6% | — | — | 2.02 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.4% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 0.79× | 8.73 |
| 1-0 | 8.6% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 0.67× | 13.48 |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 0.65× | 13.48 |
| 0-0 | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 1.02× | 13.48 |
| 1-2 | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 0.94× | 13.48 |
| 2-0 | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 1.20× | 13.48 |
| 0-1 | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 0.96× | 13.48 |
| 2-2 | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.42× | 13.48 |
| 0-2 | 4.7% | 1.7% | 5.3% | 0.32× | 58.46 |
| 3-1 | 4.7% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 0.40× | 58.46 |
| 0-3 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.05× | 58.48 |
| 0-4 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 3.98× | 58.49 |
| 1-3 | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 0.55× | 58.47 |
| 1-4 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.84× | 58.49 |
| 2-3 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.05× | 58.48 |
| 2-4 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 6.63× | 58.49 |
| 3-0 | 3.9% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 0.42× | 58.47 |
| 3-2 | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.95× | 58.47 |
| 3-3 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.99× | 58.48 |
| 3-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 6.63× | 58.49 |
| 4-0 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.00× | 58.48 |
| 4-1 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.99× | 58.48 |
| 4-2 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.21× | 58.48 |
| 4-3 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 9.95× | 58.49 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 19.90× | 58.49 |
| Any other score | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 0.59× | 58.47 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United leading at HT (DNB) | 60.4% | 65.6% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Norwich City leading at HT (DNB) | 39.6% | 34.4% | — | — | 2.90 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United or draw (1X) | 71.8% | 72.1% | 71.0% | 1.02× | 1.39 |
| Sheffield United or Norwich City (12) | 71.9% | 72.1% | 72.4% | 1.00× | 1.39 |
| Norwich City or draw (X2) | 56.2% | 57.0% | 56.5% | 1.01× | 1.76 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United or draw at HT | 77.7% | 79.9% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Norwich City or draw at HT | 65.9% | 66.4% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Sheffield United or Norwich City at HT | 56.5% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United or draw (1UP) | 71.8% | 80.1% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Norwich City or draw (1UP) | 56.2% | 62.6% | — | — | 1.60 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United or draw in 2nd half | 72.7% | 73.7% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Sheffield United or Norwich City in 2nd half | 63.7% | 64.0% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Norwich City or draw in 2nd half | 63.6% | 63.9% | — | — | 1.56 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 62.5% | 61.6% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Neither half drawn | 37.5% | 38.4% | — | — | 2.60 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United (DNB) | 60.9% | 62.8% | 60.0% | 1.05× | 1.59 |
| Norwich City (DNB) | 39.1% | 37.2% | 40.0% | 0.93× | 2.69 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United to score first | 51.8% | 53.8% | — | — | 1.86 |
| Norwich City to score first | 40.2% | 41.7% | — | — | 2.40 |
| No goal scored | 8.0% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.27 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 56.0% | 54.9% | 54.2% | 1.01× | 1.82 |
| Not both teams to score | 44.0% | 45.1% | 45.8% | 0.99× | 2.22 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 42.6% | 41.6% | 39.9% | 1.04× | 2.40 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 35.4% | 38.5% | 37.3% | 1.03× | 2.60 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 13.4% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 0.85× | 8.11 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 0.97× | 11.95 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 84.9% | 83.1% | 89.0% | 0.93× | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 15.1% | 16.9% | 11.0% | 1.54× | 5.91 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 69.8% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 30.2% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 56.7% | 59.3% | — | — | 1.69 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 24.8% | 20.9% | — | — | 4.79 |
| Both score 1st half only | 13.1% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.29 |
| Both score in both halves | 5.4% | 6.7% | — | — | 14.84 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 81.5% | 82.3% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 18.5% | 17.7% | — | — | 5.67 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 54.7% | 53.5% | — | — | 1.87 |
| A half without a goal | 45.3% | 46.5% | — | — | 2.15 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 47.9% | 47.4% | 50.4% | 0.94× | 2.11 |
| 4-6 goals | 27.0% | 26.4% | 22.4% | 1.18× | 3.78 |
| 0-1 goals | 23.0% | 22.8% | 25.9% | 0.88× | 4.38 |
| 7+ goals | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.33× | 54.58 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City to score exactly 1 | 36.2% | 36.0% | 39.4% | 0.91× | 2.78 |
| Norwich City to score exactly 0 | 30.4% | 33.8% | 30.6% | 1.11× | 2.96 |
| Norwich City to score exactly 2 | 21.6% | 22.4% | 20.7% | 1.08× | 4.46 |
| Norwich City to score 3+ | 11.9% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 1.36× | 7.81 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United to score exactly 1 | 33.1% | 32.7% | 36.9% | 0.88× | 3.06 |
| Sheffield United to score exactly 2 | 25.4% | 26.5% | 24.6% | 1.08× | 3.77 |
| Sheffield United to score exactly 0 | 21.6% | 23.2% | 22.5% | 1.03× | 4.30 |
| Sheffield United to score 3+ | 19.9% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 1.17× | 5.29 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 43.5% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Sheffield United leading at HT | 34.1% | 33.6% | — | — | 2.97 |
| Norwich City leading at HT | 22.3% | 20.1% | — | — | 4.97 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United -1: 2 | 56.2% | 56.6% | — | — | 1.77 |
| Sheffield United -1: 1 | 22.7% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
| Sheffield United -1: X | 21.1% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City (0:1) | 56.2% | 55.8% | 56.5% | 0.99× | 1.79 |
| Sheffield United (0:1) | 22.7% | 24.3% | 19.3% | 1.26× | 4.12 |
| Draw (0:1) | 21.1% | 24.3% | 24.2% | 1.00× | 4.12 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City (0:2) | 77.3% | 79.4% | 80.7% | 0.98× | 1.26 |
| Draw (0:2) | 13.6% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 0.97× | 9.11 |
| Sheffield United (0:2) | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 0.96× | 12.93 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City (0:3) | 90.9% | 92.6% | 91.9% | 1.01× | 1.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.21× | 17.18 |
| Sheffield United (0:3) | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 0.71× | 42.13 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City (0:4) | 97.0% | 98.1% | 96.6% | 1.02× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 0.50× | 83.43 |
| Sheffield United (0:4) | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.16× | 83.59 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United (1:0) | 71.8% | 72.5% | 71.0% | 1.02× | 1.38 |
| Draw (1:0) | 16.1% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 0.99× | 5.87 |
| Norwich City (1:0) | 12.1% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 1.08× | 7.81 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United (2:0) | 87.9% | 88.4% | 88.1% | 1.00× | 1.13 |
| Draw (2:0) | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 0.74× | 15.48 |
| Norwich City (2:0) | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 0.69× | 44.12 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 46.7% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
| Halves equal | 27.0% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.3% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United to concede | 69.6% | 66.6% | 69.4% | 0.96× | 1.50 |
| Sheffield United clean sheet | 30.4% | 33.4% | 30.6% | 1.09× | 2.99 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United clean sheet in 1st half | 62.1% | 64.2% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Sheffield United to concede in 1st half | 37.9% | 35.8% | — | — | 2.79 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United over 2.5 corners | 87.9% | 85.2% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Sheffield United over 3.5 corners | 76.6% | 76.1% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Sheffield United under 6.5 corners | 63.9% | 62.0% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Sheffield United over 4.5 corners | 63.0% | 62.0% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Sheffield United under 5.5 corners | 51.0% | 53.0% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Sheffield United over 5.5 corners | 49.0% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Sheffield United under 4.5 corners | 37.0% | 38.0% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Sheffield United over 6.5 corners | 36.1% | 38.0% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Sheffield United under 3.5 corners | 23.4% | 23.9% | — | — | 4.19 |
| Sheffield United under 2.5 corners | 12.1% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.76 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United under 3.5 goals | 93.0% | 92.3% | 94.8% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| Sheffield United under 2.5 goals | 80.1% | 82.1% | 83.8% | 0.98× | 1.22 |
| Sheffield United over 0.5 goals | 78.4% | 77.8% | 77.5% | 1.00× | 1.29 |
| Sheffield United under 1.5 goals | 54.7% | 53.3% | 59.4% | 0.90× | 1.88 |
| Sheffield United over 1.5 goals | 45.3% | 46.7% | 40.6% | 1.15× | 2.14 |
| Sheffield United under 0.5 goals | 21.6% | 22.2% | 22.5% | 0.99× | 4.50 |
| Sheffield United over 2.5 goals | 19.9% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 1.11× | 5.58 |
| Sheffield United over 3.5 goals | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 1.50× | 12.91 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United under 1.5 in 1st half | 85.8% | 89.7% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Sheffield United over 0.5 in 1st half | 48.3% | 50.9% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Sheffield United under 0.5 in 1st half | 51.7% | 49.1% | — | — | 2.04 |
| Sheffield United over 1.5 in 1st half | 14.2% | 10.3% | — | — | 9.67 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City (home no bet) | 50.1% | 51.6% | 51.3% | 1.01× | 1.94 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 49.9% | 48.4% | 48.7% | 0.99× | 2.07 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United even goals | 52.3% | 50.6% | 50.5% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Sheffield United odd goals | 47.7% | 49.4% | 49.5% | 1.00× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 32.4% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| HT 1-0 | 20.9% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.15 |
| HT 0-1 | 15.1% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.35 |
| HT 1-1 | 10.3% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.18 |
| HT 2-0 | 7.0% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.05 |
| Any other HT score | 4.2% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.30 |
| HT 0-2 | 3.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.34 |
| HT 2-1 | 3.3% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.37 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.4% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.43 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.8% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.55 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United at HT / Sheffield United at FT | 26.3% | 26.7% | — | — | 3.74 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 17.3% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.97 |
| Draw at HT / Sheffield United at FT | 15.1% | 16.7% | — | — | 5.98 |
| Norwich City at HT / Norwich City at FT | 14.9% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.88 |
| Draw at HT / Norwich City at FT | 11.1% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.90 |
| Sheffield United at HT / Draw at FT | 5.7% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.72 |
| Norwich City at HT / Draw at FT | 5.0% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.74 |
| Norwich City at HT / Sheffield United at FT | 2.4% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.87 |
| Sheffield United at HT / Norwich City at FT | 2.1% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.88 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United to score last | 51.9% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Norwich City to score last | 40.1% | 39.9% | — | — | 2.51 |
| No goal scored | 8.0% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.27 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 92.0% | 92.6% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Sheffield United to lead by 1 at any time | 60.0% | 61.2% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Norwich City to lead by 1 at any time | 46.5% | 44.0% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 46.4% | 44.0% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Sheffield United to lead by 2 at any time | 29.1% | 25.5% | — | — | 3.92 |
| Norwich City to lead by 2 at any time | 17.6% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.70 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 16.5% | 14.9% | — | — | 6.71 |
| Sheffield United to lead by 3 at any time | 11.2% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.57 |
| Norwich City to lead by 3 at any time | 5.3% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.17 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United most corners | 51.2% | 52.9% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Norwich City most corners | 38.6% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| Corners level | 10.3% | 10.6% | — | — | 9.40 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 86.2% | 87.4% | 88.8% | 0.98× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 78.0% | 78.6% | 83.4% | 0.94× | 1.27 |
| 2-6 goals | 74.8% | 72.4% | 72.8% | 1.00× | 1.38 |
| 2-5 goals | 71.1% | 72.4% | 70.2% | 1.03× | 1.38 |
| 1-3 goals | 62.9% | 63.4% | 69.1% | 0.92× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 62.9% | 63.4% | 64.8% | 0.98× | 1.58 |
| 3-6 goals | 49.1% | 48.7% | 47.1% | 1.03× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 47.9% | 48.7% | 50.4% | 0.96× | 2.06 |
| 3-5 goals | 45.4% | 48.7% | 44.5% | 1.09× | 2.06 |
| 1-2 goals | 40.8% | 43.6% | 44.4% | 0.98× | 2.30 |
| 3-4 goals | 37.2% | 39.1% | 39.1% | 1.00× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 27.0% | 30.2% | 22.4% | 1.35× | 3.31 |
| 4-5 goals | 23.3% | 24.5% | 19.8% | 1.23× | 4.09 |
| 5-6 goals | 11.9% | 14.9% | 8.1% | 1.84× | 6.72 |
| 7+ goals | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.85× | 39.24 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United never behind | 45.5% | 56.4% | — | — | 1.77 |
| Norwich City never behind | 32.0% | 35.6% | — | — | 2.81 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 47.0% | 50.8% | 49.4% | 1.03× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 53.0% | 49.2% | 50.6% | 0.97× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 55.6% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 44.4% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 53.1% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 46.9% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 94.1% | 92.3% | 96.0% | 0.96× | 1.08 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 92.0% | 92.3% | 92.7% | 1.00× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85.9% | 87.6% | 90.6% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.0% | 77.3% | 74.1% | 1.04× | 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70.9% | 72.5% | 76.3% | 0.95× | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.2% | 52.5% | 48.4% | 1.08× | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48.8% | 47.5% | 51.6% | 0.92× | 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.1% | 27.5% | 23.7% | 1.16× | 3.64 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23.0% | 22.7% | 25.9% | 0.87× | 4.41 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14.1% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 1.32× | 8.09 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 1.06× | 12.92 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 5.9% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.96× | 12.93 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 97.8% | 97.2% | 98.6% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 93.6% | 92.5% | 95.8% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 83.4% | 81.1% | 89.1% | 0.91× | 1.23 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 69.0% | 67.4% | 65.1% | 1.04× | 1.48 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 62.6% | 62.1% | 68.5% | 0.91× | 1.61 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 37.4% | 37.9% | 31.5% | 1.21× | 2.64 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 31.0% | 32.6% | 34.9% | 0.93× | 3.07 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 16.6% | 18.9% | 10.9% | 1.73× | 5.28 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.80× | 13.27 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.96× | 36.16 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 89.3% | 89.0% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 68.4% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 67.6% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 32.4% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.22 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 31.6% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.23 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 10.7% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.13 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 79.1% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 78.6% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 52.4% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 47.6% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 21.4% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.94 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 20.9% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.95 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City not to score in both halves | 80.6% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Sheffield United not to score in both halves | 71.9% | 73.8% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Sheffield United to score in both halves | 28.1% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.81 |
| Norwich City to score in both halves | 19.4% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.34 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 56.0% | 58.4% | 54.2% | 1.08× | 1.71 |
| Only Sheffield United scores | 22.4% | 22.3% | 23.4% | 0.96× | 4.48 |
| Only Norwich City scores | 13.6% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 0.72× | 9.14 |
| Neither team scores | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 0.99× | 13.90 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 25.8% | 25.0% | 25.8% | 0.97× | 4.01 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.1% | 22.6% | 24.7% | 0.91× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 15.1% | 17.4% | 18.7% | 0.93× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 15.1% | 17.4% | 14.4% | 1.21× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 1.05× | 13.08 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 1.39× | 13.08 |
| 6 or more goals | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.93× | 13.09 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 47.6% | 45.0% | — | — | 2.22 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 31.5% | 33.4% | — | — | 2.99 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 20.9% | 23.0% | — | — | 4.35 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City not to win both halves | 93.7% | 94.0% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Sheffield United not to win both halves | 87.3% | 87.9% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Sheffield United to win both halves | 12.7% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.26 |
| Norwich City to win both halves | 6.3% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.61 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United to win either half | 57.9% | 59.5% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Norwich City to win neither half | 56.6% | 59.4% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Norwich City to win either half | 43.4% | 40.6% | — | — | 2.47 |
| Sheffield United to win neither half | 42.1% | 40.5% | — | — | 2.47 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich City not to win to nil | 86.4% | 88.2% | 84.7% | 1.04× | 1.13 |
| Sheffield United not to win to nil | 77.6% | 78.1% | 76.6% | 1.02× | 1.28 |
| Sheffield United to win to nil | 22.4% | 22.0% | 23.4% | 0.94× | 4.56 |
| Norwich City to win to nil | 13.6% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 0.77× | 8.48 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 28.1% | 27.9% | 27.6% | 1.01× | 3.59 |
| Sheffield United by 1 | 21.1% | 24.1% | 24.2% | 1.00× | 4.14 |
| Norwich City by 1 | 16.1% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 0.98× | 5.91 |
| Sheffield United by 2 | 13.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 1.04× | 8.47 |
| Sheffield United by 3+ | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 0.90× | 13.77 |
| Norwich City by 2 | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 0.84× | 13.78 |
| Norwich City by 3+ | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 0.83× | 36.96 |