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SK Brann v Molde — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · NOR-Eliteserien · 2627

NOR-Eliteserien results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
SK Brann win
43.1%
model 43.5%
Draw
23.9%
model 22.7%
Molde win
33.0%
model 33.8%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,353 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 9.2%
  2. 2-1 8.4%
  3. 1-2 7.4%
  4. 2-2 7.1%
  5. 3-1 5.4%

Goals

Over 2.570.3% Under 2.529.7%
BTTS yes70.4% BTTS no29.6%
SK Brann 1+85.6% SK Brann 2+57.7%
Molde 1+81.7% Molde 2+50.6%

Expected goals 1.94 – 1.70. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
80/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
100%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

SK Brann have an estimated 43.1% win probability, against 33.0% for Molde and 23.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.94 for SK Brann and 1.70 for Molde.

Why SK Brann

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.9%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.94 to 1.70. Draws run at 20% in this competition.

Why Molde can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for SK Brann, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Molde, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

SK Brann: 60% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Molde: 61% possession, 19.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

SK Brann are the model's most likely outcome at 43.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.2%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 1.94–1.69 1-1 9% 70% 70%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann to win 43.7% 43.0% 49.0% 0.88× 2.32
Molde to win 33.6% 30.4% 31.3% 0.97× 3.29
Draw 22.7% 24.5% 19.9% 1.23× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann & both teams score 28.4% 25.2% 25.1% 1.00× 3.97
Molde & both teams score 22.4% 21.9% 16.8% 1.30× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 19.5% 17.9% 15.0% 1.19× 5.58
SK Brann & not both score 15.3% 17.9% 24.1% 0.74× 5.58
Molde & not both score 11.2% 13.3% 14.8% 0.90× 7.55
Draw & not both score 3.2% 4.9% 5.2% 0.94× 20.59
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann & over 1.5 39.0% 34.9% 41.2% 0.85× 2.87
SK Brann & over 2.5 34.0% 30.9% 34.7% 0.89× 3.24
Molde & over 1.5 29.6% 26.0% 26.4% 0.99× 3.84
Molde & over 2.5 25.8% 26.0% 21.5% 1.21× 3.84
SK Brann & over 3.5 22.4% 21.7% 21.2% 1.02× 4.62
SK Brann & under 3.5 21.3% 21.7% 28.0% 0.77× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 19.5% 18.0% 15.0% 1.20× 5.56
Molde & under 3.5 17.3% 18.0% 19.4% 0.93× 5.56
Molde & over 3.5 16.3% 18.0% 12.2% 1.48× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 12.4% 12.9% 14.5% 0.89× 7.77
Draw & under 3.5 12.4% 12.9% 14.5% 0.89× 7.77
Draw & over 2.5 10.3% 12.9% 5.7% 2.26× 7.77
Draw & over 3.5 10.3% 12.9% 5.7% 2.26× 7.77
SK Brann & under 2.5 9.7% 7.9% 14.5% 0.54× 12.69
Molde & under 2.5 7.8% 7.9% 10.1% 0.78× 12.70
SK Brann & under 1.5 4.6% 4.8% 8.0% 0.59× 20.93
Molde & under 1.5 4.0% 4.8% 5.2% 0.92× 20.93
Draw & under 1.5 3.2% 4.8% 5.2% 0.92× 20.94
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann (1UP) 63.4% 63.2% 1.58
Molde (1UP) 55.2% 58.0% 1.73
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann (2UP) 43.7% 47.7% 2.10
Molde (2UP) 33.6% 31.0% 3.23
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann to win 2nd half 37.3% 36.1% 2.77
Molde to win 2nd half 32.6% 34.5% 2.90
2nd half drawn 30.1% 34.5% 2.90
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde (+2.5) 88.7% 88.5% 85.5% 1.04× 1.13
Molde (+1.5) 75.5% 78.4% 72.0% 1.09× 1.28
SK Brann (+0.5) 66.4% 68.7% 68.7% 1.00× 1.46
Molde (+0.5) 56.3% 57.0% 51.0% 1.12× 1.75
SK Brann (-0.5) 43.7% 43.0% 49.0% 0.88× 2.33
Molde (-0.5) 33.6% 31.3% 31.3% 1.00× 3.20
SK Brann (-1.5) 24.5% 21.6% 28.0% 0.77× 4.64
SK Brann (-2.5) 11.3% 11.5% 14.5% 0.79× 8.71
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde to concede 85.6% 86.4% 80.3% 1.08× 1.16
Molde clean sheet 14.4% 13.6% 19.7% 0.69× 7.36
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde to concede in 1st half 56.5% 58.4% 1.71
Molde clean sheet in 1st half 43.5% 41.6% 2.40
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde under 6.5 corners 79.0% 75.9% 1.32
Molde over 2.5 corners 76.5% 75.9% 1.32
Molde under 5.5 corners 68.4% 67.5% 1.48
Molde over 3.5 corners 60.9% 61.8% 1.62
Molde under 4.5 corners 54.8% 53.1% 1.88
Molde over 4.5 corners 45.2% 46.9% 2.13
Molde under 3.5 corners 39.1% 38.2% 2.62
Molde over 5.5 corners 31.6% 32.5% 3.08
Molde under 2.5 corners 23.5% 24.1% 4.16
Molde over 6.5 corners 21.0% 24.1% 4.16
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde under 3.5 goals 90.9% 92.3% 93.5% 0.99× 1.08
Molde over 0.5 goals 81.5% 81.4% 71.0% 1.15× 1.23
Molde under 2.5 goals 76.1% 76.2% 82.6% 0.92× 1.31
Molde over 1.5 goals 50.3% 53.6% 37.0% 1.45× 1.86
Molde under 1.5 goals 49.7% 46.4% 63.0% 0.74× 2.16
Molde over 2.5 goals 23.9% 23.8% 17.4% 1.37× 4.21
Molde under 0.5 goals 18.5% 18.6% 29.0% 0.64× 5.38
Molde over 3.5 goals 9.1% 7.7% 6.5% 1.19× 13.02
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde under 1.5 in 1st half 85.3% 88.9% 1.12
Molde under 0.5 in 1st half 50.9% 56.1% 1.78
Molde over 0.5 in 1st half 49.1% 43.9% 2.28
Molde over 1.5 in 1st half 14.7% 11.1% 9.04
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann (away no bet) 65.8% 66.3% 71.1% 0.93× 1.51
Draw (away no bet) 34.2% 33.7% 28.9% 1.16× 2.97
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde even goals 51.7% 52.8% 52.9% 1.00× 1.89
Molde odd goals 48.3% 47.2% 47.2% 1.00× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 72.2% 77.1% 1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals 27.8% 22.9% 4.36
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 79.4% 72.8% 1.37
Both halves under 1.5 goals 20.6% 27.2% 3.68
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 70.1% 71.7% 1.40
SK Brann to score 2+ in a row 45.6% 45.7% 2.19
Molde to score 2+ in a row 37.4% 36.5% 2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row 30.0% 25.1% 3.98
SK Brann to score 3+ in a row 18.2% 16.4% 6.12
Molde to score 3+ in a row 12.8% 12.2% 8.21
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann corners (+3.5) 89.0% 84.5% 1.18
SK Brann corners (+2.5) 83.6% 79.7% 1.25
SK Brann corners (+1.5) 76.5% 74.9% 1.34
Molde corners (+3.5) 70.8% 70.7% 1.41
Molde corners (+2.5) 61.8% 61.9% 1.62
Molde corners (+1.5) 51.9% 52.5% 1.91
SK Brann corners (-1.5) 48.1% 47.5% 2.10
SK Brann corners (-2.5) 38.2% 38.1% 2.63
SK Brann corners (-3.5) 29.2% 29.3% 3.42
Molde corners (-1.5) 23.5% 25.1% 3.98
Molde corners (-2.5) 16.4% 20.3% 4.94
Molde corners (-3.5) 11.0% 15.5% 6.46
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 37.1% 33.7% 2.97
0-8 corners 34.2% 33.2% 3.01
9-11 corners 28.7% 31.2% 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 75.1% 76.5% 1.31
Under 12.5 corners 71.1% 72.6% 1.38
Over 8.5 corners 65.8% 67.7% 1.48
Under 11.5 corners 62.9% 63.4% 1.58
Over 9.5 corners 55.9% 57.8% 1.73
Under 10.5 corners 53.8% 53.3% 1.88
Over 10.5 corners 46.2% 46.7% 2.14
Under 9.5 corners 44.1% 42.2% 2.37
Over 11.5 corners 37.1% 36.6% 2.73
Under 8.5 corners 34.2% 32.3% 3.09
Over 12.5 corners 28.9% 27.4% 3.66
Under 7.5 corners 24.9% 23.5% 4.26
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 9.2% 7.4% 9.6% 0.77× 13.48
2-1 8.4% 7.4% 9.8% 0.75× 13.48
1-2 7.4% 7.4% 6.2% 1.19× 13.48
2-2 7.1% 7.4% 4.4% 1.68× 13.48
Any other score 7.4% 7.4% 7.3% 1.02× 13.48
2-0 5.0% 7.4% 6.7% 1.10× 13.48
3-1 5.5% 7.4% 6.2% 1.19× 13.48
1-0 4.6% 1.7% 8.0% 0.21× 58.46
0-0 3.2% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.47
0-1 4.0% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.47
0-2 3.8% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.47
0-3 2.1% 1.7% 3.6% 0.47× 58.48
0-4 0.9% 1.7% 0.5% 3.30× 58.48
1-3 4.1% 1.7% 3.1% 0.55× 58.47
1-4 1.7% 1.7% 2.1% 0.83× 58.48
2-3 4.0% 1.7% 3.6% 0.47× 58.47
2-4 1.7% 1.7% 1.3% 1.32× 58.48
3-0 3.2% 1.7% 4.1% 0.41× 58.47
3-2 4.6% 1.7% 3.6% 0.47× 58.46
3-3 2.6% 1.7% 1.0% 1.65× 58.47
3-4 1.1% 1.7% 0.5% 3.30× 58.48
4-0 1.6% 1.7% 3.6% 0.47× 58.48
4-1 2.6% 1.7% 2.9% 0.60× 58.47
4-2 2.2% 1.7% 1.3% 1.32× 58.48
4-3 1.3% 1.7% 0.5% 3.30× 58.48
4-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.5% 3.30× 58.49
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann leading at HT (DNB) 57.3% 57.8% 1.73
Molde leading at HT (DNB) 42.7% 42.2% 2.37
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann or Molde (12) 77.3% 75.5% 80.1% 0.94× 1.32
SK Brann or draw (1X) 66.4% 69.6% 68.7% 1.01× 1.44
Molde or draw (X2) 56.3% 57.0% 51.0% 1.12× 1.76
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann or draw at HT 72.9% 74.4% 1.35
Molde or draw at HT 63.7% 62.1% 1.61
SK Brann or Molde at HT 63.4% 62.1% 1.61
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann or draw (1UP) 66.4% 75.9% 1.32
Molde or draw (1UP) 56.3% 62.6% 1.60
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann or Molde in 2nd half 69.9% 65.5% 1.53
SK Brann or draw in 2nd half 67.4% 65.5% 1.53
Molde or draw in 2nd half 62.7% 63.9% 1.56
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 55.1% 57.9% 1.73
Neither half drawn 44.9% 42.1% 2.38
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann (DNB) 56.5% 58.2% 61.0% 0.96× 1.72
Molde (DNB) 43.5% 41.8% 39.0% 1.07× 2.39
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann to score first 51.8% 53.8% 1.86
Molde to score first 45.1% 45.4% 2.20
No goal scored 3.2% 4.3% 23.41
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 70.3% 62.2% 56.5% 1.10× 1.61
Not both teams to score 29.7% 37.8% 43.5% 0.87× 2.65
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 61.0% 50.1% 47.2% 1.06× 2.00
Not both score & under 2.5 20.6% 27.7% 29.3% 0.95× 3.61
Both score & under 2.5 9.2% 8.4% 9.6% 0.87× 11.95
Not both score & over 2.5 9.1% 8.4% 14.5% 0.58× 11.95
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 71.0% 80.4% 83.4% 0.96× 1.24
Both teams to score 2+ 29.0% 19.6% 16.6% 1.18× 5.10
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 57.3% 66.3% 1.51
Both teams to score in 2nd half 42.7% 33.7% 2.96
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 41.2% 49.8% 2.01
Both score 2nd half only 30.9% 26.3% 3.80
Both score 1st half only 16.0% 15.6% 6.42
Both score in both halves 11.8% 10.7% 9.31
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 72.2% 79.8% 1.25
Both teams to score by HT 27.8% 20.2% 4.95
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 68.7% 66.9% 1.49
A half without a goal 31.3% 33.1% 3.03
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
4-6 goals 41.5% 42.1% 35.5% 1.19× 2.38
2-3 goals 39.2% 35.1% 43.8% 0.80× 2.85
0-1 goals 11.8% 16.9% 17.9% 0.95× 5.91
7+ goals 7.5% 7.6% 3.4% 2.25× 13.17
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde to score exactly 1 31.2% 33.8% 34.2% 0.99× 2.96
Molde to score exactly 2 26.3% 27.4% 19.9% 1.37× 3.65
Molde to score 3+ 23.9% 22.4% 17.4% 1.29× 4.46
Molde to score exactly 0 18.5% 19.6% 29.0% 0.67× 5.11
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann to score 3+ 30.6% 32.6% 26.7% 1.22× 3.06
SK Brann to score exactly 1 27.9% 26.5% 28.2% 0.94× 3.77
SK Brann to score exactly 2 27.0% 26.5% 25.9% 1.02× 3.77
SK Brann to score exactly 0 14.4% 14.3% 19.7% 0.73× 6.97
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 36.6% 37.9% 2.64
SK Brann leading at HT 36.3% 37.9% 2.64
Molde leading at HT 27.1% 25.6% 3.90
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann -1: 2 56.3% 56.6% 1.77
SK Brann -1: 1 24.5% 23.6% 4.24
SK Brann -1: X 19.2% 17.5% 5.71
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde (0:1) 56.3% 55.8% 51.0% 1.09× 1.79
SK Brann (0:1) 24.5% 24.3% 28.0% 0.87× 4.12
Draw (0:1) 19.2% 17.8% 21.2% 0.84× 5.63
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde (0:2) 75.5% 79.4% 72.0% 1.10× 1.26
Draw (0:2) 13.2% 11.0% 13.7% 0.80× 9.12
SK Brann (0:2) 11.3% 11.0% 14.5% 0.76× 9.13
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde (0:3) 88.7% 90.8% 85.5% 1.06× 1.10
Draw (0:3) 6.9% 5.8% 7.0% 0.83× 17.17
SK Brann (0:3) 4.3% 2.4% 7.8% 0.31× 42.07
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde (0:4) 95.7% 98.1% 92.2% 1.06× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.9% 1.2% 4.7% 0.26× 83.34
SK Brann (0:4) 1.4% 1.2% 3.4% 0.36× 83.52
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann (1:0) 66.4% 69.9% 68.7% 1.02× 1.43
Molde (1:0) 17.0% 17.0% 16.8% 1.01× 5.87
Draw (1:0) 16.6% 17.0% 14.8% 1.15× 5.87
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann (2:0) 83.0% 84.5% 83.2% 1.02× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 10.0% 10.4% 9.1% 1.14× 9.66
Molde (2:0) 6.9% 6.5% 8.0% 0.80× 15.49
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 51.2% 50.2% 1.99
1st half highest scoring 27.1% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 21.7% 24.1% 4.15
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann to concede 81.5% 80.8% 71.0% 1.14× 1.24
SK Brann clean sheet 18.5% 19.2% 29.0% 0.66× 5.20
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann clean sheet in 1st half 50.9% 56.1% 1.78
SK Brann to concede in 1st half 49.1% 43.9% 2.28
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann over 2.5 corners 87.4% 86.3% 1.16
SK Brann over 3.5 corners 76.5% 76.6% 1.31
SK Brann over 4.5 corners 63.7% 62.3% 1.61
SK Brann under 6.5 corners 61.7% 62.3% 1.61
SK Brann over 5.5 corners 50.5% 52.8% 1.90
SK Brann under 5.5 corners 49.5% 47.2% 2.12
SK Brann over 6.5 corners 38.3% 37.7% 2.65
SK Brann under 4.5 corners 36.3% 37.7% 2.65
SK Brann under 3.5 corners 23.5% 23.4% 4.27
SK Brann under 2.5 corners 12.6% 13.7% 7.29
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann under 3.5 goals 86.8% 87.3% 87.6% 1.00× 1.15
SK Brann over 0.5 goals 85.6% 87.2% 80.3% 1.09× 1.15
SK Brann under 2.5 goals 69.4% 67.9% 73.3% 0.93× 1.47
SK Brann over 1.5 goals 57.7% 58.8% 52.3% 1.12× 1.70
SK Brann under 1.5 goals 42.3% 41.2% 47.7% 0.86× 2.43
SK Brann over 2.5 goals 30.6% 32.1% 26.7% 1.20× 3.11
SK Brann under 0.5 goals 14.4% 12.8% 19.7% 0.65× 7.84
SK Brann over 3.5 goals 13.2% 12.7% 12.4% 1.02× 7.85
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann under 1.5 in 1st half 79.7% 77.4% 1.29
SK Brann over 0.5 in 1st half 56.5% 58.1% 1.72
SK Brann under 0.5 in 1st half 43.5% 41.9% 2.38
SK Brann over 1.5 in 1st half 20.3% 22.6% 4.42
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde (home no bet) 59.6% 56.7% 61.1% 0.93× 1.76
Draw (home no bet) 40.4% 43.3% 38.9% 1.11× 2.31
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann even goals 51.0% 50.6% 53.9% 0.94× 1.98
SK Brann odd goals 49.0% 49.4% 46.1% 1.07× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 22.2% 24.1% 4.15
HT 1-0 18.4% 18.7% 5.33
HT 0-1 14.8% 11.0% 9.13
HT 1-1 12.5% 10.9% 9.15
Any other HT score 8.2% 7.1% 14.03
HT 2-0 7.7% 7.1% 14.04
HT 2-1 5.2% 7.1% 14.08
HT 0-2 5.0% 7.1% 14.08
HT 1-2 4.2% 2.3% 43.30
HT 2-2 1.8% 2.3% 43.48
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann at HT / SK Brann at FT 27.1% 26.8% 3.73
Molde at HT / Molde at FT 18.6% 16.8% 5.96
Draw at HT / SK Brann at FT 13.4% 12.7% 7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 11.6% 12.7% 7.90
Draw at HT / Molde at FT 11.6% 12.7% 7.90
SK Brann at HT / Draw at FT 5.9% 6.0% 16.71
Molde at HT / Draw at FT 5.2% 6.0% 16.73
SK Brann at HT / Molde at FT 3.3% 3.5% 28.83
Molde at HT / SK Brann at FT 3.3% 3.5% 28.83
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann to score last 51.8% 51.9% 1.93
Molde to score last 45.0% 46.6% 2.15
No goal scored 3.2% 4.3% 23.41
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 96.8% 95.7% 1.05
SK Brann to lead by 1 at any time 63.4% 61.4% 1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 58.5% 55.1% 1.81
Molde to lead by 1 at any time 55.2% 55.0% 1.82
SK Brann to lead by 2 at any time 33.6% 29.4% 3.40
Molde to lead by 2 at any time 25.5% 25.4% 3.94
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 24.6% 19.7% 5.09
SK Brann to lead by 3 at any time 14.8% 10.5% 9.50
Molde to lead by 3 at any time 9.8% 6.7% 14.95
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann most corners 58.2% 55.5% 1.80
Molde most corners 32.1% 34.3% 2.92
Corners level 9.7% 8.5% 11.80
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 80.9% 83.5% 87.0% 0.96× 1.20
2-6 goals 80.7% 83.5% 79.0% 1.06× 1.20
2-5 goals 72.3% 72.4% 74.4% 0.97× 1.38
1-4 goals 67.0% 69.0% 73.1% 0.94× 1.45
3-6 goals 62.6% 63.4% 58.3% 1.09× 1.58
2-4 goals 58.4% 59.2% 60.4% 0.98× 1.69
3-5 goals 54.2% 53.2% 53.6% 0.99× 1.88
1-3 goals 47.8% 48.7% 56.5% 0.86× 2.06
4-6 goals 41.5% 43.6% 35.5% 1.23× 2.30
3-4 goals 40.3% 43.6% 39.6% 1.10× 2.30
2-3 goals 39.2% 39.2% 43.8% 0.89× 2.55
4-5 goals 33.1% 35.4% 30.8% 1.15× 2.83
1-2 goals 26.7% 30.2% 33.7% 0.90× 3.31
5-6 goals 22.3% 24.5% 18.9% 1.29× 4.09
7+ goals 7.5% 8.7% 3.4% 2.59× 11.45
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann never behind 41.6% 48.2% 2.08
Molde never behind 33.4% 35.7% 2.80
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.9% 50.8% 51.6% 0.99× 1.97
Even number of goals 51.1% 49.2% 48.4% 1.02× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 52.6% 51.7% 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 47.4% 48.3% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.1% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.9% 48.0% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 96.8% 95.5% 94.8% 1.01× 1.05
Over 1.5 goals 88.2% 87.6% 82.1% 1.07× 1.14
Under 5.5 goals 84.1% 82.4% 92.0% 0.90× 1.21
Over 2.5 goals 70.2% 72.5% 61.4% 1.18× 1.38
Under 4.5 goals 70.2% 72.5% 78.0% 0.93× 1.38
Under 3.5 goals 51.0% 52.5% 61.4% 0.85× 1.91
Over 3.5 goals 49.0% 47.5% 38.6% 1.23× 2.10
Under 2.5 goals 29.8% 27.5% 38.6% 0.71× 3.64
Over 4.5 goals 29.8% 27.5% 22.0% 1.25× 3.64
Over 5.5 goals 15.9% 17.6% 8.0% 2.19× 5.68
Under 1.5 goals 11.8% 12.4% 17.9% 0.69× 8.10
Under 0.5 goals 3.2% 4.5% 5.2% 0.87× 22.21
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 91.8% 92.5% 96.5% 0.96× 1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 85.6% 86.7% 77.5% 1.12× 1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 81.5% 81.0% 90.7% 0.89× 1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 63.1% 62.1% 73.6% 0.84× 1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 62.1% 62.1% 50.0% 1.24× 1.61
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 37.9% 37.9% 50.0% 0.76× 2.64
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 36.9% 37.9% 26.4% 1.44× 2.64
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 18.5% 19.0% 9.3% 2.03× 5.28
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 14.4% 13.3% 22.5% 0.59× 7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 8.2% 7.5% 3.5% 2.14× 13.26
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 80.7% 86.1% 1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half 77.8% 78.8% 1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half 55.4% 62.6% 1.60
Over 1.5 in 1st half 44.6% 37.4% 2.67
Under 0.5 in 1st half 22.2% 21.2% 4.72
Over 2.5 in 1st half 19.3% 13.9% 7.22
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 87.8% 85.4% 1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 64.5% 61.9% 1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 62.6% 61.7% 1.62
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 37.4% 38.3% 2.61
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 35.5% 38.1% 2.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 12.2% 14.6% 6.84
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde not to score in both halves 68.8% 70.5% 1.42
SK Brann not to score in both halves 62.2% 63.4% 1.58
SK Brann to score in both halves 37.8% 36.6% 2.73
Molde to score in both halves 31.2% 29.5% 3.39
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 70.3% 66.0% 56.5% 1.17× 1.52
Only SK Brann scores 15.3% 16.1% 24.1% 0.67× 6.22
Only Molde scores 11.2% 10.9% 14.8% 0.74× 9.15
Neither team scores 3.2% 4.6% 5.2% 0.88× 21.85
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 21.2% 22.6% 23.1% 0.98× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 19.2% 17.4% 16.8% 1.04× 5.74
Exactly 2 goals 18.0% 17.4% 21.0% 0.83× 5.74
6 or more goals 15.9% 17.4% 8.0% 2.17× 5.74
Exactly 5 goals 13.9% 12.1% 14.2% 0.85× 8.27
Exactly 1 goals 8.6% 7.6% 13.0% 0.59× 13.08
Exactly 0 goals 3.2% 4.4% 5.2% 0.85× 22.67
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 62.6% 58.5% 1.71
1 goal in 2nd half 25.1% 29.7% 3.36
No goals in 2nd half 12.2% 14.4% 6.94
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde not to win both halves 91.1% 93.9% 1.07
SK Brann not to win both halves 86.4% 87.9% 1.14
SK Brann to win both halves 13.6% 12.1% 8.23
Molde to win both halves 8.9% 6.1% 16.42
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SK Brann to win either half 60.0% 59.6% 1.68
Molde to win either half 50.7% 54.9% 1.82
Molde to win neither half 49.3% 45.1% 2.22
SK Brann to win neither half 40.0% 40.4% 2.47
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Molde not to win to nil 88.8% 88.2% 85.2% 1.04× 1.13
SK Brann not to win to nil 84.7% 83.0% 75.9% 1.09× 1.20
SK Brann to win to nil 15.3% 17.0% 24.1% 0.70× 5.90
Molde to win to nil 11.2% 11.8% 14.8% 0.80× 8.50
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 22.7% 24.1% 19.9% 1.21× 4.14
SK Brann by 1 19.2% 16.9% 21.2% 0.80× 5.91
Molde by 1 16.6% 16.9% 14.8% 1.15× 5.91
SK Brann by 2 13.2% 11.8% 13.7% 0.86× 8.47
SK Brann by 3+ 11.3% 11.8% 14.5% 0.81× 8.48
Molde by 2 10.0% 11.8% 9.1% 1.30× 8.48
Molde by 3+ 6.9% 7.3% 8.0% 0.90× 13.78
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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