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Sønderjyske Fodbold v Randers FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · DEN-Superliga · 2627

DEN-Superliga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Sønderjyske Fodbold win
40.5%
model 38.7%
Draw
29.3%
model 29.1%
Randers FC win
30.1%
model 32.2%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 13.8%
  2. 1-0 10.5%
  3. 0-0 9.8%
  4. 0-1 9.3%
  5. 2-1 8.3%

Goals

Over 2.543.5% Under 2.556.5%
BTTS yes49.9% BTTS no50.1%
Sønderjyske Fodbold 1+72.1% Sønderjyske Fodbold 2+36.5%
Randers FC 1+68.1% Randers FC 2+31.6%

Expected goals 1.28 – 1.14. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
80/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
Under 2.5 goals
Over/Under · usually 41%
57.3% fair odds 1.74
strong signal · 957 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Not both to score by HT
GG/NG half time
83.1% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 1236 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Sønderjyske Fodbold.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Sønderjyske Fodbold have an estimated 40.5% win probability, against 30.1% for Randers FC and 29.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.28 for Sønderjyske Fodbold and 1.14 for Randers FC.

Why Sønderjyske Fodbold

Nothing in the data singles out Sønderjyske Fodbold.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.28 to 1.14. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Randers FC can win

Nothing in the data singles out Randers FC.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Sønderjyske Fodbold, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Randers FC, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Sønderjyske Fodbold: 39% possession, 9.8 shots a match, 20.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Randers FC: 43% possession, 9.4 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Sønderjyske Fodbold are the model's most likely outcome at 40.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.8%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.28–1.14 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.29–1.19 1-1 14% 45% 51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold to win 38.2% 36.4% 44.9% 0.81× 2.74
Randers FC to win 33.1% 30.4% 30.0% 1.01× 3.29
Draw 28.8% 27.9% 25.3% 1.10× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold & not both score 21.3% 21.9% 20.7% 1.06× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 19.5% 17.9% 19.6% 0.92× 5.58
Randers FC & not both score 18.3% 17.9% 13.5% 1.33× 5.58
Sønderjyske Fodbold & both teams score 16.8% 17.9% 24.5% 0.73× 5.58
Randers FC & both teams score 14.8% 13.3% 16.8% 0.79× 7.54
Draw & not both score 9.2% 8.4% 6.1% 1.38× 11.92
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold & over 1.5 28.1% 26.0% 35.5% 0.73× 3.84
Sønderjyske Fodbold & under 3.5 28.4% 26.0% 27.3% 0.95× 3.84
Randers FC & under 3.5 25.0% 21.6% 18.5% 1.17× 4.62
Randers FC & over 1.5 23.9% 21.6% 26.2% 0.83× 4.62
Draw & under 2.5 22.9% 21.6% 16.8% 1.29× 4.62
Draw & under 3.5 22.9% 21.6% 16.8% 1.29× 4.62
Sønderjyske Fodbold & over 2.5 21.1% 21.6% 29.5% 0.73× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 19.5% 18.0% 19.6% 0.92× 5.56
Randers FC & over 2.5 18.0% 18.0% 20.9% 0.86× 5.56
Sønderjyske Fodbold & under 2.5 17.0% 18.0% 15.7% 1.15× 5.56
Randers FC & under 2.5 15.0% 18.0% 9.4% 1.92× 5.56
Sønderjyske Fodbold & under 1.5 10.0% 12.9% 9.6% 1.33× 7.77
Sønderjyske Fodbold & over 3.5 9.8% 7.9% 17.9% 0.44× 12.69
Draw & under 1.5 9.2% 7.9% 6.1% 1.30× 12.70
Randers FC & under 1.5 9.1% 7.9% 4.1% 1.91× 12.70
Randers FC & over 3.5 8.1% 7.9% 11.8% 0.66× 12.70
Draw & over 2.5 5.8% 7.9% 8.8% 0.89× 12.70
Draw & over 3.5 5.8% 7.9% 8.8% 0.89× 12.70
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold (1UP) 53.9% 52.9% 1.89
Randers FC (1UP) 49.5% 43.5% 2.30
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold (2UP) 38.2% 37.3% 2.68
Randers FC (2UP) 33.1% 31.2% 3.21
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 38.1% 36.3% 2.75
Sønderjyske Fodbold to win 2nd half 31.7% 34.2% 2.92
Randers FC to win 2nd half 30.2% 34.2% 2.92
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC (+2.5) 93.9% 92.1% 91.7% 1.00× 1.09
Randers FC (+1.5) 82.6% 82.4% 78.8% 1.05× 1.21
Sønderjyske Fodbold (+0.5) 66.9% 68.7% 70.0% 0.98× 1.46
Randers FC (+0.5) 61.8% 62.9% 55.1% 1.14× 1.59
Sønderjyske Fodbold (-0.5) 38.2% 37.1% 44.9% 0.83× 2.69
Randers FC (-0.5) 33.1% 31.3% 30.0% 1.04× 3.19
Sønderjyske Fodbold (-1.5) 17.4% 17.6% 21.2% 0.83× 5.68
Sønderjyske Fodbold (-2.5) 6.1% 7.9% 8.3% 0.96× 12.66
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC to concede 72.5% 76.5% 80.7% 0.95× 1.31
Randers FC clean sheet 27.5% 23.5% 19.3% 1.22× 4.26
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC clean sheet in 1st half 57.4% 57.9% 1.73
Randers FC to concede in 1st half 42.6% 42.1% 2.37
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC over 2.5 corners 83.8% 81.5% 1.23
Randers FC over 3.5 corners 70.7% 71.5% 1.40
Randers FC under 6.5 corners 70.2% 71.5% 1.40
Randers FC under 5.5 corners 58.1% 57.1% 1.75
Randers FC over 4.5 corners 56.1% 57.1% 1.75
Randers FC under 4.5 corners 43.9% 42.9% 2.33
Randers FC over 5.5 corners 41.9% 42.9% 2.33
Randers FC over 6.5 corners 29.8% 28.5% 3.51
Randers FC under 3.5 corners 29.3% 28.5% 3.51
Randers FC under 2.5 corners 16.2% 18.5% 5.39
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC under 3.5 goals 96.8% 97.5% 93.7% 1.04× 1.03
Randers FC under 2.5 goals 88.3% 87.9% 84.0% 1.05× 1.14
Randers FC over 0.5 goals 69.4% 68.0% 73.6% 0.92× 1.47
Randers FC under 1.5 goals 66.8% 68.0% 57.9% 1.17× 1.47
Randers FC over 1.5 goals 33.2% 32.0% 42.1% 0.76× 3.12
Randers FC under 0.5 goals 30.6% 32.0% 26.4% 1.21× 3.12
Randers FC over 2.5 goals 11.7% 12.1% 16.0% 0.76× 8.27
Randers FC over 3.5 goals 3.2% 2.5% 6.3% 0.39× 40.81
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC under 1.5 in 1st half 91.8% 94.1% 1.06
Randers FC under 0.5 in 1st half 62.3% 64.5% 1.55
Randers FC over 0.5 in 1st half 37.7% 35.5% 2.82
Randers FC over 1.5 in 1st half 8.2% 5.9% 16.95
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold (away no bet) 57.0% 57.5% 63.9% 0.90× 1.74
Draw (away no bet) 43.0% 42.5% 36.1% 1.18× 2.35
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC even goals 54.7% 52.8% 57.6% 0.92× 1.89
Randers FC odd goals 45.3% 47.2% 42.4% 1.11× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 88.3% 88.0% 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 11.7% 12.0% 8.30
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 58.7% 60.0% 1.67
Both halves under 1.5 goals 41.3% 40.0% 2.50
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 50.5% 51.3% 1.95
Sønderjyske Fodbold to score 2+ in a row 29.6% 25.2% 3.97
Randers FC to score 2+ in a row 25.8% 25.1% 3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row 16.1% 16.4% 6.10
Sønderjyske Fodbold to score 3+ in a row 9.1% 5.7% 17.62
Randers FC to score 3+ in a row 7.2% 5.6% 17.77
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC corners (+3.5) 83.9% 79.7% 1.25
Sønderjyske Fodbold corners (+3.5) 80.0% 79.7% 1.25
Randers FC corners (+2.5) 76.8% 74.9% 1.34
Sønderjyske Fodbold corners (+2.5) 72.1% 70.7% 1.41
Randers FC corners (+1.5) 68.1% 65.8% 1.52
Sønderjyske Fodbold corners (+1.5) 62.8% 61.9% 1.62
Randers FC corners (-1.5) 37.2% 38.1% 2.63
Sønderjyske Fodbold corners (-1.5) 31.9% 34.2% 2.92
Randers FC corners (-2.5) 27.9% 29.3% 3.41
Sønderjyske Fodbold corners (-2.5) 23.2% 25.1% 3.98
Randers FC corners (-3.5) 20.0% 20.3% 4.93
Sønderjyske Fodbold corners (-3.5) 16.1% 20.3% 4.93
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 35.6% 33.7% 2.97
12+ corners 34.7% 33.3% 3.01
9-11 corners 29.8% 31.2% 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 74.2% 72.7% 1.38
Under 12.5 corners 73.5% 72.7% 1.38
Under 11.5 corners 65.3% 67.7% 1.48
Over 8.5 corners 64.4% 63.4% 1.58
Under 10.5 corners 56.0% 57.7% 1.73
Over 9.5 corners 54.1% 53.3% 1.88
Under 9.5 corners 45.9% 46.7% 2.14
Over 10.5 corners 44.0% 42.3% 2.37
Under 8.5 corners 35.6% 36.6% 2.73
Over 11.5 corners 34.7% 32.3% 3.09
Over 12.5 corners 26.5% 27.3% 3.66
Under 7.5 corners 25.8% 27.3% 3.66
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 13.7% 11.5% 11.0% 1.04× 8.73
1-0 10.0% 11.4% 9.6% 1.19× 8.74
0-0 9.2% 7.4% 6.1% 1.23× 13.47
0-1 9.1% 7.4% 4.1% 1.80× 13.47
1-2 7.6% 7.4% 7.7% 0.96× 13.47
2-0 7.0% 7.4% 6.3% 1.17× 13.47
2-1 8.3% 7.4% 10.2% 0.73× 13.47
0-2 5.9% 7.4% 5.5% 1.35× 13.47
2-2 4.9% 1.7% 6.6% 0.26× 58.50
3-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.3% 6.20× 58.52
4-0 1.0% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.52
4-1 1.2% 1.7% 1.1% 1.55× 58.52
4-2 0.7% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.52
4-3 0.3% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.52
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.3% 6.20× 58.52
Any other score 1.8% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.51
0-3 2.3% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.51
0-4 0.7% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.52
1-3 3.0% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 58.51
1-4 0.9% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 58.52
2-3 1.9% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.51
2-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.52
3-0 3.0% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.51
3-1 3.6% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.50
3-2 2.1% 1.7% 4.4% 0.39× 58.51
3-3 0.8% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.52
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold leading at HT (DNB) 55.0% 57.0% 1.75
Randers FC leading at HT (DNB) 45.0% 43.0% 2.33
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold or Randers FC (12) 71.2% 72.1% 74.7% 0.97× 1.39
Sønderjyske Fodbold or draw (1X) 66.9% 69.6% 70.0% 0.99× 1.44
Randers FC or draw (X2) 61.8% 63.6% 55.1% 1.15× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold or draw at HT 75.7% 79.8% 1.25
Randers FC or draw at HT 70.3% 74.5% 1.34
Sønderjyske Fodbold or Randers FC at HT 53.9% 47.7% 2.10
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold or draw (1UP) 66.9% 75.7% 1.32
Randers FC or draw (1UP) 61.8% 71.6% 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold or draw in 2nd half 69.8% 65.8% 1.52
Randers FC or draw in 2nd half 68.3% 65.8% 1.52
Sønderjyske Fodbold or Randers FC in 2nd half 61.9% 63.7% 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 65.7% 69.4% 1.44
Neither half drawn 34.3% 30.6% 3.26
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold (DNB) 53.6% 51.0% 59.9% 0.85× 1.96
Randers FC (DNB) 46.4% 49.0% 40.1% 1.22× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold to score first 47.3% 45.6% 2.19
Randers FC to score first 43.4% 41.8% 2.39
No goal scored 9.2% 7.6% 13.23
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 51.2% 51.4% 60.3% 0.85× 1.94
Not both teams to score 48.8% 48.6% 39.7% 1.22× 2.06
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 41.3% 41.6% 30.6% 1.36× 2.40
Both score & over 2.5 37.5% 38.5% 49.6% 0.78× 2.60
Both score & under 2.5 13.7% 12.3% 11.0% 1.12× 8.12
Not both score & over 2.5 7.5% 8.4% 9.4% 0.89× 11.95
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 87.7% 85.7% 80.4% 1.07× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 12.3% 14.3% 19.6% 0.73× 6.98
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 73.2% 74.3% 1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half 26.8% 25.7% 3.89
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 61.3% 66.7% 1.50
Both score 2nd half only 22.5% 20.9% 4.78
Both score 1st half only 12.0% 10.5% 9.49
Both score in both halves 4.3% 4.9% 20.21
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 83.8% 82.9% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 16.2% 17.1% 5.84
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 50.5% 53.3% 1.88
A goal in each half 49.5% 46.7% 2.14
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.9% 47.4% 43.0% 1.10× 2.11
0-1 goals 28.4% 26.5% 19.3% 1.37× 3.78
4-6 goals 22.4% 22.8% 36.4% 0.63× 4.38
7+ goals 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 0.94× 55.12
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC to score exactly 1 36.2% 36.0% 31.7% 1.14× 2.78
Randers FC to score exactly 0 30.6% 33.8% 26.4% 1.28× 2.96
Randers FC to score exactly 2 21.5% 22.4% 26.4% 0.85× 4.46
Randers FC to score 3+ 11.7% 12.8% 16.0% 0.80× 7.81
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold to score exactly 1 35.5% 35.6% 33.6% 1.06× 2.81
Sønderjyske Fodbold to score exactly 0 27.5% 26.5% 19.3% 1.37× 3.77
Sønderjyske Fodbold to score exactly 2 22.9% 23.3% 25.9% 0.90× 4.30
Sønderjyske Fodbold to score 3+ 14.1% 14.4% 21.8% 0.66× 6.97
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 46.1% 52.3% 1.91
Sønderjyske Fodbold leading at HT 29.7% 25.6% 3.91
Randers FC leading at HT 24.3% 20.2% 4.95
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold -1: 2 61.8% 62.4% 1.60
Sønderjyske Fodbold -1: X 20.7% 23.6% 4.24
Sønderjyske Fodbold -1: 1 17.4% 17.5% 5.71
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC (0:1) 61.8% 61.4% 55.1% 1.11× 1.63
Draw (0:1) 20.7% 24.3% 24.0% 1.01× 4.12
Sønderjyske Fodbold (0:1) 17.4% 17.8% 21.2% 0.84× 5.62
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC (0:2) 82.6% 82.8% 78.8% 1.05× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 11.3% 11.0% 13.2% 0.83× 9.11
Sønderjyske Fodbold (0:2) 6.1% 7.7% 8.3% 0.93× 12.97
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC (0:3) 93.9% 92.6% 91.7% 1.01× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 4.4% 2.4% 3.6% 0.66× 42.02
Sønderjyske Fodbold (0:3) 1.7% 2.4% 5.0% 0.48× 42.14
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC (0:4) 98.3% 98.1% 95.0% 1.03× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.3% 1.2% 3.3% 0.36× 83.46
Sønderjyske Fodbold (0:4) 0.4% 1.2% 1.9% 0.62× 83.57
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold (1:0) 66.9% 69.8% 70.0% 1.00× 1.43
Draw (1:0) 19.0% 17.0% 14.6% 1.17× 5.87
Randers FC (1:0) 14.1% 12.8% 15.7% 0.82× 7.80
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold (2:0) 85.9% 88.4% 84.3% 1.05× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 9.6% 6.5% 8.3% 0.78× 15.50
Randers FC (2:0) 4.6% 2.3% 7.7% 0.29× 44.21
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 46.0% 48.1% 2.08
Halves equal 27.7% 26.5% 3.77
1st half highest scoring 26.3% 26.5% 3.78
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold to concede 69.4% 66.6% 73.6% 0.91× 1.50
Sønderjyske Fodbold clean sheet 30.6% 33.4% 26.4% 1.26× 2.99
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold clean sheet in 1st half 62.3% 64.6% 1.55
Sønderjyske Fodbold to concede in 1st half 37.7% 35.4% 2.82
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold over 2.5 corners 81.5% 80.9% 1.24
Sønderjyske Fodbold under 6.5 corners 73.9% 71.9% 1.39
Sønderjyske Fodbold over 3.5 corners 67.3% 66.7% 1.50
Sønderjyske Fodbold under 5.5 corners 62.1% 62.3% 1.61
Sønderjyske Fodbold over 4.5 corners 52.1% 52.8% 1.90
Sønderjyske Fodbold under 4.5 corners 47.9% 47.2% 2.12
Sønderjyske Fodbold over 5.5 corners 37.9% 37.7% 2.65
Sønderjyske Fodbold under 3.5 corners 32.7% 33.3% 3.00
Sønderjyske Fodbold over 6.5 corners 26.1% 28.1% 3.56
Sønderjyske Fodbold under 2.5 corners 18.5% 19.1% 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold under 3.5 goals 95.8% 96.4% 91.2% 1.06× 1.04
Sønderjyske Fodbold under 2.5 goals 85.9% 87.2% 78.2% 1.12× 1.15
Sønderjyske Fodbold over 0.5 goals 72.5% 74.2% 80.7% 0.92× 1.35
Sønderjyske Fodbold under 1.5 goals 63.0% 63.4% 52.6% 1.21× 1.58
Sønderjyske Fodbold over 1.5 goals 37.0% 36.6% 47.4% 0.77× 2.74
Sønderjyske Fodbold under 0.5 goals 27.5% 25.8% 19.3% 1.34× 3.88
Sønderjyske Fodbold over 2.5 goals 14.1% 12.8% 21.8% 0.59× 7.83
Sønderjyske Fodbold over 3.5 goals 4.2% 3.7% 8.8% 0.41× 27.39
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold under 1.5 in 1st half 89.3% 90.0% 1.11
Sønderjyske Fodbold under 0.5 in 1st half 57.4% 57.5% 1.74
Sønderjyske Fodbold over 0.5 in 1st half 42.6% 42.5% 2.35
Sønderjyske Fodbold over 1.5 in 1st half 10.7% 10.0% 10.00
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC (home no bet) 53.5% 51.6% 54.2% 0.95× 1.94
Draw (home no bet) 46.5% 48.4% 45.8% 1.06× 2.07
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold even goals 53.8% 50.6% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
Sønderjyske Fodbold odd goals 46.2% 49.4% 49.6% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 35.9% 38.2% 2.62
HT 1-0 19.7% 18.8% 5.31
HT 0-1 16.8% 18.8% 5.33
HT 1-1 9.5% 7.1% 14.14
HT 2-0 5.5% 7.0% 14.20
HT 0-2 4.0% 2.3% 43.77
Any other HT score 3.1% 2.3% 43.84
HT 2-1 2.6% 2.3% 43.87
HT 1-2 2.2% 2.3% 43.90
HT 2-2 0.6% 2.3% 44.02
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold at HT / Sønderjyske Fodbold at FT 22.0% 21.7% 4.60
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 18.4% 16.8% 5.94
Randers FC at HT / Randers FC at FT 17.5% 16.8% 5.94
Draw at HT / Sønderjyske Fodbold at FT 14.2% 12.7% 7.89
Draw at HT / Randers FC at FT 13.5% 12.7% 7.89
Sønderjyske Fodbold at HT / Draw at FT 5.5% 6.0% 16.64
Randers FC at HT / Draw at FT 4.8% 3.5% 28.80
Sønderjyske Fodbold at HT / Randers FC at FT 2.1% 3.5% 28.90
Randers FC at HT / Sønderjyske Fodbold at FT 2.0% 3.5% 28.91
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold to score last 47.3% 46.7% 2.14
Randers FC to score last 43.4% 40.3% 2.48
No goal scored 9.2% 7.6% 13.23
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 90.8% 92.5% 1.08
Sønderjyske Fodbold to lead by 1 at any time 53.9% 50.7% 1.97
Randers FC to lead by 1 at any time 49.5% 44.1% 2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 41.9% 39.2% 2.55
Sønderjyske Fodbold to lead by 2 at any time 22.8% 19.6% 5.11
Randers FC to lead by 2 at any time 19.2% 15.0% 6.67
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 13.5% 10.4% 9.59
Sønderjyske Fodbold to lead by 3 at any time 7.6% 6.6% 15.22
Randers FC to lead by 3 at any time 5.9% 6.5% 15.31
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC most corners 47.6% 46.9% 2.13
Sønderjyske Fodbold most corners 41.9% 43.5% 2.30
Corners level 10.6% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.7% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 80.2% 83.5% 73.8% 1.13× 1.20
2-6 goals 70.2% 72.4% 79.1% 0.92× 1.38
2-5 goals 67.6% 69.0% 72.2% 0.96× 1.45
1-3 goals 67.0% 69.0% 56.2% 1.23× 1.45
2-4 goals 61.0% 63.4% 60.6% 1.05× 1.58
2-3 goals 47.9% 48.7% 43.0% 1.13× 2.06
1-2 goals 45.8% 48.7% 35.5% 1.37× 2.06
3-6 goals 43.7% 43.6% 57.0% 0.76× 2.30
3-5 goals 41.0% 43.6% 50.1% 0.87× 2.30
3-4 goals 34.4% 35.4% 38.6% 0.92× 2.83
4-6 goals 22.4% 24.5% 36.4% 0.67× 4.09
4-5 goals 19.7% 18.6% 29.5% 0.63× 5.37
5-6 goals 9.2% 8.8% 18.7% 0.47× 11.42
7+ goals 1.4% 2.5% 1.9% 1.31× 39.46
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sønderjyske Fodbold never behind 41.3% 48.1% 2.08
Randers FC never behind 36.8% 44.5% 2.25
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.0% 50.8% 47.1% 1.08× 1.97
Even number of goals 52.0% 49.2% 52.9% 0.93× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 56.7% 57.5% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 43.3% 42.5% 2.35
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 53.3% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 46.7% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 96.0% 95.5% 91.2% 1.05× 1.05
Over 0.5 goals 90.8% 92.3% 93.9% 0.98× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 89.4% 87.7% 79.6% 1.10× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 76.3% 77.4% 62.0% 1.25× 1.29
Over 1.5 goals 71.6% 72.5% 80.7% 0.90× 1.38
Under 2.5 goals 55.0% 52.5% 41.3% 1.27× 1.91
Over 2.5 goals 45.0% 47.5% 58.7% 0.81× 2.10
Under 1.5 goals 28.4% 27.5% 19.3% 1.42× 3.64
Over 3.5 goals 23.7% 22.6% 38.0% 0.60× 4.42
Over 4.5 goals 10.6% 12.3% 20.4% 0.61× 8.10
Under 0.5 goals 9.2% 7.7% 6.1% 1.28× 12.93
Over 5.5 goals 4.0% 4.5% 8.8% 0.51× 22.22
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.6% 97.3% 97.9% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 95.7% 97.2% 90.0% 1.08× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 87.8% 86.7% 75.3% 1.15× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 69.9% 67.4% 52.1% 1.29× 1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 61.3% 62.1% 75.3% 0.82× 1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 38.7% 37.9% 24.7% 1.53× 2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 30.1% 32.6% 47.9% 0.68× 3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 12.2% 13.3% 24.7% 0.54× 7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 4.3% 2.8% 10.0% 0.28× 36.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.4% 2.7% 2.1% 1.33× 36.38
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 91.4% 92.7% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 72.4% 70.9% 1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half 64.1% 63.7% 1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half 35.9% 36.3% 2.75
Over 1.5 in 1st half 27.6% 29.1% 3.44
Over 2.5 in 1st half 8.6% 7.3% 13.72
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 82.2% 82.9% 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 76.2% 79.9% 1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 57.3% 54.7% 1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 42.7% 45.3% 2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 23.8% 20.1% 4.97
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 17.8% 17.1% 5.85
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC not to score in both halves 80.8% 84.3% 1.19
Sønderjyske Fodbold not to score in both halves 77.8% 78.3% 1.28
Sønderjyske Fodbold to score in both halves 22.2% 21.7% 4.60
Randers FC to score in both halves 19.2% 15.7% 6.38
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 51.2% 53.9% 60.3% 0.89× 1.86
Only Sønderjyske Fodbold scores 21.3% 22.3% 20.7% 1.08× 4.48
Only Randers FC scores 18.3% 16.1% 13.5% 1.19× 6.22
Neither team scores 9.2% 7.2% 6.1% 1.19× 13.89
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 26.6% 24.9% 22.3% 1.12× 4.01
Exactly 3 goals 21.3% 22.6% 20.9% 1.08× 4.42
Exactly 1 goals 19.2% 17.4% 13.5% 1.29× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 13.2% 12.1% 17.9% 0.67× 8.29
Exactly 0 goals 9.2% 7.6% 6.1% 1.26× 13.09
Exactly 5 goals 6.5% 7.6% 11.8% 0.64× 13.10
6 or more goals 4.0% 4.4% 8.8% 0.50× 22.68
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 42.7% 44.0% 2.27
1 goal in 2nd half 33.5% 33.7% 2.97
No goals in 2nd half 23.8% 23.1% 4.32
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC not to win both halves 92.6% 94.0% 1.06
Sønderjyske Fodbold not to win both halves 90.5% 93.9% 1.07
Sønderjyske Fodbold to win both halves 9.5% 6.1% 16.45
Randers FC to win both halves 7.4% 6.0% 16.60
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC to win neither half 53.0% 55.0% 1.82
Sønderjyske Fodbold to win either half 51.8% 55.0% 1.82
Sønderjyske Fodbold to win neither half 48.2% 45.0% 2.22
Randers FC to win either half 47.0% 45.0% 2.22
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC not to win to nil 81.7% 83.0% 86.5% 0.96× 1.21
Sønderjyske Fodbold not to win to nil 78.7% 78.0% 79.3% 0.98× 1.28
Sønderjyske Fodbold to win to nil 21.3% 22.0% 20.7% 1.06× 4.55
Randers FC to win to nil 18.3% 17.0% 13.5% 1.26× 5.89
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 28.8% 27.8% 25.3% 1.10× 3.59
Sønderjyske Fodbold by 1 20.7% 24.1% 24.0% 1.01× 4.14
Randers FC by 1 19.0% 17.0% 14.6% 1.16× 5.90
Sønderjyske Fodbold by 2 11.3% 11.8% 13.2% 0.89× 8.47
Randers FC by 2 9.6% 7.3% 8.3% 0.88× 13.79
Sønderjyske Fodbold by 3+ 6.1% 7.2% 8.3% 0.88× 13.80
Randers FC by 3+ 4.6% 2.7% 7.7% 0.35× 36.99
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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