betaider.com

Sport Huancayo v Alianza Atlético — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 24 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Sport Huancayo win
43.1%
model 43.2%
Draw
23.9%
model 24.6%
Alianza Atlético win
33.0%
model 32.1%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,353 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 11.6%
  2. 1-0 9.6%
  3. 2-1 9.0%
  4. 0-1 8.1%
  5. 1-2 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.552.7% Under 2.547.3%
BTTS yes55.9% BTTS no44.1%
Sport Huancayo 1+78.0% Sport Huancayo 2+44.8%
Alianza Atlético 1+71.9% Alianza Atlético 2+36.3%

Expected goals 1.52 – 1.27. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
78/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Sport Huancayo.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Sport Huancayo have an estimated 43.1% win probability, against 33.0% for Alianza Atlético and 23.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.52 for Sport Huancayo and 1.27 for Alianza Atlético.

Why Sport Huancayo

Nothing in the data singles out Sport Huancayo.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.9%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.52 to 1.27. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Alianza Atlético can win

Alianza Atlético carry the stronger rating, 1562 Elo against 1440. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Sport Huancayo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Alianza Atlético, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Sport Huancayo: 52% possession, 20.6 shots a match, 10.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Alianza Atlético: 39% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Sport Huancayo are the model's most likely outcome at 43.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.6%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 1.46–1.36 1-1 12% 54% 57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to win 39.9% 36.4% 50.0% 0.73× 2.74
Alianza Atlético to win 35.4% 36.4% 25.1% 1.45× 2.75
Draw 24.6% 24.5% 25.1% 0.98× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo & both teams score 20.0% 17.9% 23.6% 0.76× 5.58
Sport Huancayo & not both score 20.0% 17.9% 26.5% 0.68× 5.58
Draw & both teams score 18.9% 17.9% 17.5% 1.03× 5.58
Alianza Atlético & both teams score 17.9% 17.9% 13.1% 1.37× 5.58
Alianza Atlético & not both score 17.5% 17.9% 12.2% 1.47× 5.58
Draw & not both score 5.7% 8.4% 7.8% 1.07× 11.94
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo & over 1.5 31.0% 30.9% 38.2% 0.81× 3.24
Sport Huancayo & under 3.5 27.0% 26.0% 33.8% 0.77× 3.84
Alianza Atlético & over 1.5 27.1% 26.0% 17.3% 1.51× 3.84
Sport Huancayo & over 2.5 24.6% 21.7% 30.9% 0.70× 4.62
Alianza Atlético & under 3.5 24.4% 21.7% 19.1% 1.13× 4.62
Alianza Atlético & over 2.5 21.6% 21.7% 14.4% 1.51× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 18.9% 18.0% 17.5% 1.03× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 17.3% 18.0% 18.9% 0.95× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 17.3% 18.0% 18.9% 0.95× 5.56
Sport Huancayo & under 2.5 15.3% 18.0% 19.3% 0.93× 5.56
Alianza Atlético & under 2.5 13.9% 12.9% 10.9% 1.18× 7.77
Sport Huancayo & over 3.5 12.9% 12.9% 16.4% 0.79× 7.77
Alianza Atlético & over 3.5 11.0% 12.9% 6.2% 2.08× 7.77
Sport Huancayo & under 1.5 9.0% 7.9% 12.0% 0.66× 12.69
Draw & over 2.5 7.3% 7.9% 6.4% 1.24× 12.70
Draw & over 3.5 7.3% 7.9% 6.4% 1.24× 12.70
Alianza Atlético & under 1.5 8.4% 7.9% 8.0% 0.98× 12.70
Draw & under 1.5 5.7% 7.9% 7.8% 1.01× 12.70
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (1UP) 56.8% 58.1% 1.72
Alianza Atlético (1UP) 53.0% 52.7% 1.90
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (2UP) 39.9% 37.3% 2.68
Alianza Atlético (2UP) 35.4% 37.0% 2.70
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 34.5% 34.5% 2.90
Sport Huancayo to win 2nd half 33.2% 34.5% 2.90
Alianza Atlético to win 2nd half 32.3% 34.5% 2.90
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza Atlético (+2.5) 92.8% 92.1% 88.5% 1.04× 1.09
Alianza Atlético (+1.5) 81.1% 82.4% 75.3% 1.09× 1.21
Sport Huancayo (+0.5) 64.6% 62.9% 74.9% 0.84× 1.59
Alianza Atlético (+0.5) 60.1% 62.9% 50.0% 1.26× 1.59
Sport Huancayo (-0.5) 39.9% 37.1% 50.0% 0.74× 2.70
Alianza Atlético (-0.5) 35.4% 37.1% 25.1% 1.48× 2.70
Sport Huancayo (-1.5) 18.9% 17.6% 24.7% 0.71× 5.68
Sport Huancayo (-2.5) 7.2% 7.9% 11.5% 0.69× 12.63
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza Atlético to concede 76.8% 79.0% 80.2% 0.99× 1.27
Alianza Atlético clean sheet 23.2% 21.0% 19.8% 1.06× 4.76
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza Atlético to concede in 1st half 46.6% 50.7% 1.97
Alianza Atlético clean sheet in 1st half 53.4% 49.3% 2.03
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza Atlético under 6.5 corners 89.6% 85.2% 1.17
Alianza Atlético under 5.5 corners 81.6% 81.5% 1.23
Alianza Atlético under 4.5 corners 69.7% 67.5% 1.48
Alianza Atlético over 2.5 corners 65.1% 67.5% 1.48
Alianza Atlético under 3.5 corners 53.6% 53.1% 1.88
Alianza Atlético over 3.5 corners 46.4% 46.9% 2.13
Alianza Atlético under 2.5 corners 34.9% 32.5% 3.08
Alianza Atlético over 4.5 corners 30.3% 32.5% 3.08
Alianza Atlético over 5.5 corners 18.4% 18.5% 5.39
Alianza Atlético over 6.5 corners 10.4% 14.8% 6.76
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza Atlético under 3.5 goals 95.1% 97.5% 97.5% 1.00× 1.03
Alianza Atlético under 2.5 goals 84.3% 81.4% 92.0% 0.89× 1.23
Alianza Atlético over 0.5 goals 74.3% 72.0% 65.8% 1.09× 1.39
Alianza Atlético under 1.5 goals 60.6% 62.9% 71.6% 0.88× 1.59
Alianza Atlético over 1.5 goals 39.4% 37.1% 28.4% 1.31× 2.70
Alianza Atlético under 0.5 goals 25.7% 28.0% 34.2% 0.82× 3.57
Alianza Atlético over 2.5 goals 15.7% 18.6% 8.0% 2.32× 5.38
Alianza Atlético over 3.5 goals 4.9% 2.5% 2.5% 0.97× 40.62
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza Atlético under 1.5 in 1st half 89.6% 89.2% 1.12
Alianza Atlético under 0.5 in 1st half 58.0% 62.4% 1.60
Alianza Atlético over 0.5 in 1st half 42.0% 37.6% 2.66
Alianza Atlético over 1.5 in 1st half 10.4% 10.8% 9.23
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (away no bet) 61.8% 62.1% 66.6% 0.93× 1.61
Draw (away no bet) 38.2% 37.9% 33.4% 1.14× 2.64
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza Atlético even goals 53.3% 52.8% 56.9% 0.93× 1.89
Alianza Atlético odd goals 46.7% 47.2% 43.1% 1.10× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 84.0% 83.0% 1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals 16.0% 17.0% 5.88
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 65.6% 68.5% 1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals 34.4% 31.5% 3.18
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 57.1% 55.2% 1.81
Sport Huancayo to score 2+ in a row 33.8% 29.0% 3.44
Alianza Atlético to score 2+ in a row 30.4% 28.9% 3.46
Either team to score 3+ in a row 20.2% 19.5% 5.14
Sport Huancayo to score 3+ in a row 11.2% 12.1% 8.24
Alianza Atlético to score 3+ in a row 9.3% 5.7% 17.54
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo corners (+3.5) 94.2% 89.6% 1.12
Sport Huancayo corners (+2.5) 90.2% 89.6% 1.12
Sport Huancayo corners (+1.5) 84.3% 79.7% 1.25
Alianza Atlético corners (+3.5) 65.6% 65.8% 1.52
Sport Huancayo corners (-1.5) 55.9% 57.1% 1.75
Alianza Atlético corners (+2.5) 55.2% 57.1% 1.75
Sport Huancayo corners (-2.5) 44.8% 42.9% 2.33
Alianza Atlético corners (+1.5) 44.1% 42.9% 2.33
Sport Huancayo corners (-3.5) 34.4% 34.2% 2.92
Alianza Atlético corners (-1.5) 15.7% 20.3% 4.94
Alianza Atlético corners (-2.5) 9.8% 10.4% 9.58
Alianza Atlético corners (-3.5) 5.8% 10.4% 9.59
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 44.4% 38.7% 2.59
9-11 corners 29.2% 31.2% 3.20
12+ corners 26.5% 31.2% 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 80.6% 80.7% 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 73.5% 72.6% 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 66.5% 67.7% 1.48
Under 10.5 corners 64.9% 63.4% 1.58
Over 8.5 corners 55.6% 57.8% 1.73
Under 9.5 corners 55.1% 57.8% 1.73
Over 9.5 corners 44.9% 42.3% 2.37
Under 8.5 corners 44.4% 42.2% 2.37
Over 10.5 corners 35.1% 36.6% 2.73
Under 7.5 corners 33.5% 32.3% 3.09
Over 11.5 corners 26.5% 27.4% 3.66
Over 12.5 corners 19.4% 19.3% 5.20
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 11.6% 11.5% 11.3% 1.02× 8.73
0-1 8.4% 7.4% 8.0% 0.93× 13.48
1-0 9.0% 7.4% 12.0% 0.62× 13.48
2-1 8.6% 7.4% 9.8% 0.76× 13.48
1-2 8.1% 7.4% 7.5% 1.00× 13.48
0-0 5.7% 7.4% 7.8% 0.95× 13.48
0-2 5.5% 7.4% 3.1% 2.40× 13.48
2-0 6.4% 7.4% 7.5% 1.00× 13.48
2-2 5.9% 7.4% 5.6% 1.32× 13.48
0-3 2.5% 1.7% 1.1% 1.57× 58.48
0-4 0.9% 1.7% 0.5% 3.13× 58.49
1-3 3.7% 1.7% 2.0% 0.86× 58.47
1-4 1.2% 1.7% 0.9% 1.88× 58.48
2-3 2.7% 1.7% 2.0% 0.86× 58.47
2-4 0.9% 1.7% 0.9% 1.88× 58.48
3-0 3.1% 1.7% 5.1% 0.34× 58.47
3-1 4.2% 1.7% 5.3% 0.32× 58.47
3-2 2.9% 1.7% 3.8% 0.45× 58.47
3-3 1.3% 1.7% 0.9% 1.88× 58.48
3-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.7% 2.35× 58.49
4-0 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 1.04× 58.48
4-1 1.5% 1.7% 2.5% 0.67× 58.48
4-2 1.0% 1.7% 1.1% 1.57× 58.48
4-3 0.5% 1.7% 0.4% 4.70× 58.49
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.2% 9.40× 58.49
Any other score 2.9% 1.7% 2.7% 0.63× 58.47
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo leading at HT (DNB) 54.6% 56.1% 1.78
Alianza Atlético leading at HT (DNB) 45.4% 43.9% 2.28
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo or Alianza Atlético (12) 75.4% 75.5% 74.9% 1.01× 1.32
Sport Huancayo or draw (1X) 64.6% 63.6% 74.9% 0.85× 1.57
Alianza Atlético or draw (X2) 60.1% 63.6% 50.0% 1.27× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo or draw at HT 73.9% 74.4% 1.34
Alianza Atlético or draw at HT 68.5% 66.5% 1.51
Sport Huancayo or Alianza Atlético at HT 57.6% 56.9% 1.76
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo or draw (1UP) 64.6% 71.8% 1.39
Alianza Atlético or draw (1UP) 60.1% 71.5% 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo or draw in 2nd half 67.7% 65.5% 1.53
Alianza Atlético or draw in 2nd half 66.8% 65.5% 1.53
Sport Huancayo or Alianza Atlético in 2nd half 65.5% 65.5% 1.53
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 62.6% 61.6% 1.62
Neither half drawn 37.4% 38.4% 2.60
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (DNB) 53.0% 50.9% 66.6% 0.77× 1.96
Alianza Atlético (DNB) 47.0% 49.1% 33.4% 1.47× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to score first 48.8% 45.6% 2.19
Alianza Atlético to score first 45.5% 45.4% 2.20
No goal scored 5.7% 7.5% 13.41
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 56.8% 54.9% 53.8% 1.02× 1.82
Not both teams to score 43.2% 45.1% 46.2% 0.98× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 45.2% 44.3% 42.7% 1.04× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 34.9% 34.3% 37.6% 0.91× 2.92
Both score & under 2.5 11.6% 12.3% 11.3% 1.09× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 8.3% 8.4% 8.7% 0.96× 11.95
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 83.1% 83.1% 85.6% 0.97× 1.20
Both teams to score 2+ 16.9% 16.9% 14.4% 1.18× 5.90
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 68.6% 67.6% 1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half 31.4% 32.4% 3.09
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 55.2% 59.2% 1.69
Both score 2nd half only 25.3% 26.4% 3.78
Both score 1st half only 13.4% 10.8% 9.29
Both score in both halves 6.2% 6.8% 14.80
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 80.5% 82.3% 1.22
Both teams to score by HT 19.5% 17.7% 5.65
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 55.6% 57.2% 1.75
A half without a goal 44.4% 42.8% 2.34
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 45.7% 47.4% 44.2% 1.07× 2.11
4-6 goals 28.7% 26.5% 26.9% 0.98× 3.78
0-1 goals 23.0% 22.8% 27.5% 0.83× 4.38
7+ goals 2.5% 1.8% 1.8% 1.01× 54.54
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza Atlético to score exactly 1 34.9% 33.8% 37.6% 0.90× 2.96
Alianza Atlético to score exactly 0 25.7% 27.4% 34.2% 0.80× 3.65
Alianza Atlético to score exactly 2 23.7% 22.4% 20.5% 1.09× 4.46
Alianza Atlético to score 3+ 15.7% 19.6% 8.0% 2.44× 5.11
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to score exactly 1 33.9% 32.7% 32.9% 0.99× 3.06
Sport Huancayo to score exactly 2 24.7% 23.3% 25.1% 0.93× 4.30
Sport Huancayo to score exactly 0 23.2% 23.2% 19.8% 1.17× 4.30
Sport Huancayo to score 3+ 18.1% 18.9% 22.5% 0.84× 5.29
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 42.4% 43.1% 2.32
Sport Huancayo leading at HT 31.5% 33.5% 2.98
Alianza Atlético leading at HT 26.1% 25.6% 3.91
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo -1: 2 60.1% 62.4% 1.60
Sport Huancayo -1: X 21.0% 23.6% 4.24
Sport Huancayo -1: 1 18.9% 17.5% 5.71
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza Atlético (0:1) 60.1% 61.4% 50.0% 1.23× 1.63
Draw (0:1) 21.0% 24.3% 25.5% 0.95× 4.12
Sport Huancayo (0:1) 18.9% 17.8% 24.7% 0.72× 5.63
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza Atlético (0:2) 81.1% 82.8% 75.3% 1.10× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 11.7% 11.0% 13.5% 0.81× 9.12
Sport Huancayo (0:2) 7.2% 7.7% 11.5% 0.67× 12.95
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza Atlético (0:3) 92.8% 92.6% 88.5% 1.05× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 5.0% 2.4% 7.6% 0.31× 42.04
Sport Huancayo (0:3) 2.2% 2.4% 4.0% 0.59× 42.17
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza Atlético (0:4) 97.8% 98.1% 96.0% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.7% 1.2% 2.5% 0.47× 83.49
Sport Huancayo (0:4) 0.6% 1.2% 1.6% 0.73× 83.62
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (1:0) 64.6% 65.1% 74.9% 0.87× 1.54
Draw (1:0) 19.6% 17.0% 17.6% 0.97× 5.87
Alianza Atlético (1:0) 15.9% 17.0% 7.6% 2.23× 5.88
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo (2:0) 84.1% 84.6% 92.4% 0.92× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 10.2% 10.4% 5.6% 1.84× 9.65
Alianza Atlético (2:0) 5.7% 6.4% 2.2% 2.96× 15.51
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 48.7% 48.2% 2.08
1st half highest scoring 27.3% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 24.0% 24.1% 4.15
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to concede 74.3% 73.1% 65.8% 1.11× 1.37
Sport Huancayo clean sheet 25.7% 26.9% 34.2% 0.79× 3.72
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo clean sheet in 1st half 58.0% 62.4% 1.60
Sport Huancayo to concede in 1st half 42.0% 37.6% 2.66
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo over 2.5 corners 87.1% 86.3% 1.16
Sport Huancayo over 3.5 corners 75.7% 76.5% 1.31
Sport Huancayo under 6.5 corners 63.9% 62.3% 1.61
Sport Huancayo over 4.5 corners 62.3% 62.3% 1.61
Sport Huancayo under 5.5 corners 51.4% 52.8% 1.90
Sport Huancayo over 5.5 corners 48.6% 47.2% 2.12
Sport Huancayo under 4.5 corners 37.7% 37.7% 2.65
Sport Huancayo over 6.5 corners 36.1% 37.7% 2.65
Sport Huancayo under 3.5 corners 24.3% 23.5% 4.26
Sport Huancayo under 2.5 corners 12.9% 13.7% 7.29
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo under 3.5 goals 93.9% 92.3% 92.4% 1.00× 1.08
Sport Huancayo under 2.5 goals 81.9% 82.1% 77.5% 1.06× 1.22
Sport Huancayo over 0.5 goals 76.8% 77.7% 80.2% 0.97× 1.29
Sport Huancayo under 1.5 goals 57.2% 58.8% 52.5% 1.12× 1.70
Sport Huancayo over 1.5 goals 42.8% 41.2% 47.5% 0.87× 2.43
Sport Huancayo under 0.5 goals 23.2% 22.3% 19.8% 1.12× 4.49
Sport Huancayo over 2.5 goals 18.1% 17.9% 22.5% 0.79× 5.59
Sport Huancayo over 3.5 goals 6.1% 7.7% 7.6% 1.01× 12.92
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo under 1.5 in 1st half 86.9% 89.7% 1.12
Sport Huancayo over 0.5 in 1st half 46.6% 50.8% 1.97
Sport Huancayo under 0.5 in 1st half 53.4% 49.2% 2.03
Sport Huancayo over 1.5 in 1st half 13.1% 10.3% 9.73
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza Atlético (home no bet) 59.0% 56.7% 50.0% 1.13× 1.76
Draw (home no bet) 41.0% 43.3% 50.0% 0.87× 2.31
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo even goals 52.7% 50.6% 50.5% 1.00× 1.98
Sport Huancayo odd goals 47.3% 49.4% 49.5% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 31.0% 32.2% 3.10
HT 1-0 19.5% 18.8% 5.33
HT 0-1 16.9% 18.7% 5.34
HT 1-1 10.5% 10.9% 9.17
HT 2-0 6.1% 7.1% 14.06
HT 0-2 4.6% 2.3% 43.27
Any other HT score 4.3% 2.3% 43.29
HT 2-1 3.3% 2.3% 43.37
HT 1-2 2.9% 2.3% 43.40
HT 2-2 0.9% 2.3% 43.54
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo at HT / Sport Huancayo at FT 23.4% 21.8% 4.58
Alianza Atlético at HT / Alianza Atlético at FT 19.0% 16.8% 5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 14.4% 12.7% 7.88
Draw at HT / Sport Huancayo at FT 14.2% 12.7% 7.88
Draw at HT / Alianza Atlético at FT 13.8% 12.7% 7.88
Sport Huancayo at HT / Draw at FT 5.5% 6.0% 16.72
Alianza Atlético at HT / Draw at FT 4.8% 3.5% 28.78
Sport Huancayo at HT / Alianza Atlético at FT 2.6% 3.5% 28.86
Alianza Atlético at HT / Sport Huancayo at FT 2.3% 3.5% 28.87
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to score last 48.8% 46.8% 2.14
Alianza Atlético to score last 45.5% 46.6% 2.15
No goal scored 5.7% 7.5% 13.41
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 94.3% 92.6% 1.08
Sport Huancayo to lead by 1 at any time 56.8% 55.1% 1.82
Alianza Atlético to lead by 1 at any time 53.0% 50.7% 1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 47.3% 44.0% 2.27
Sport Huancayo to lead by 2 at any time 25.5% 25.4% 3.94
Alianza Atlético to lead by 2 at any time 22.1% 19.6% 5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 16.7% 14.9% 6.71
Sport Huancayo to lead by 3 at any time 9.2% 6.7% 14.97
Alianza Atlético to lead by 3 at any time 7.5% 6.6% 15.06
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo most corners 66.7% 64.5% 1.55
Alianza Atlético most corners 23.6% 26.0% 3.85
Corners level 9.7% 8.5% 11.80
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 87.6% 87.4% 87.1% 1.00× 1.14
1-4 goals 78.8% 78.6% 78.0% 1.01× 1.27
2-6 goals 74.4% 72.4% 70.9% 1.02× 1.38
2-5 goals 70.3% 72.4% 67.5% 1.07× 1.38
1-3 goals 63.1% 63.4% 63.8% 0.99× 1.58
2-4 goals 61.4% 63.4% 58.4% 1.09× 1.58
3-6 goals 51.0% 53.2% 49.6% 1.07× 1.88
3-5 goals 46.8% 48.7% 46.2% 1.05× 2.06
2-3 goals 45.7% 48.7% 44.2% 1.10× 2.06
1-2 goals 40.8% 43.6% 41.1% 1.06× 2.30
3-4 goals 38.0% 39.2% 37.1% 1.06× 2.55
4-6 goals 28.7% 30.3% 26.9% 1.12× 3.31
4-5 goals 24.6% 24.5% 23.5% 1.04× 4.08
5-6 goals 13.0% 14.9% 12.7% 1.17× 6.72
7+ goals 2.5% 2.6% 1.8% 1.40× 39.22
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo never behind 41.3% 48.2% 2.08
Alianza Atlético never behind 37.5% 44.7% 2.24
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.7% 50.8% 46.9% 1.08× 1.97
Odd number of goals 50.3% 49.2% 53.1% 0.93× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.7% 51.7% 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 45.3% 48.3% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.7% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.3% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 94.3% 92.3% 92.2% 1.00× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 93.3% 92.3% 94.7% 0.97× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 84.5% 82.4% 85.6% 0.96× 1.21
Over 1.5 goals 77.0% 77.3% 72.5% 1.07× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 68.8% 66.2% 71.5% 0.93× 1.51
Over 2.5 goals 53.5% 52.5% 51.3% 1.02× 1.91
Under 2.5 goals 46.5% 47.5% 48.7% 0.98× 2.11
Over 3.5 goals 31.2% 33.8% 28.5% 1.18× 2.96
Under 1.5 goals 23.0% 22.7% 27.5% 0.83× 4.41
Over 4.5 goals 15.5% 17.6% 14.4% 1.23× 5.68
Over 5.5 goals 6.7% 7.7% 5.3% 1.47× 12.93
Under 0.5 goals 5.7% 7.7% 7.8% 0.99× 12.93
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.4% 97.2% 98.1% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 92.7% 92.5% 94.2% 0.98× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 81.6% 81.0% 83.3% 0.97× 1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 69.9% 67.4% 65.1% 1.04× 1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 59.8% 55.5% 63.1% 0.88× 1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 40.2% 44.5% 36.9% 1.21× 2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 30.1% 32.6% 34.9% 0.93× 3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 18.4% 19.0% 16.7% 1.13× 5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 7.3% 7.5% 5.8% 1.30× 13.26
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 2.6% 2.8% 1.9% 1.47× 36.15
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 88.6% 89.0% 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 69.0% 69.0% 1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half 67.3% 69.0% 1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half 32.7% 31.0% 3.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half 31.0% 31.0% 3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half 11.4% 11.0% 9.10
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 80.8% 82.8% 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 77.1% 79.7% 1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 51.1% 53.1% 1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 48.9% 46.9% 2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 22.9% 20.3% 4.93
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 19.2% 17.2% 5.81
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza Atlético not to score in both halves 76.6% 78.2% 1.28
Sport Huancayo not to score in both halves 73.7% 73.8% 1.35
Sport Huancayo to score in both halves 26.3% 26.2% 3.82
Alianza Atlético to score in both halves 23.4% 21.8% 4.59
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 56.8% 58.4% 53.8% 1.08× 1.71
Only Sport Huancayo scores 20.0% 16.1% 26.5% 0.61× 6.21
Only Alianza Atlético scores 17.5% 16.1% 12.2% 1.32× 6.22
Neither team scores 5.7% 7.2% 7.8% 0.92× 13.92
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 23.5% 22.6% 21.5% 1.05× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 22.3% 22.6% 22.9% 0.99× 4.42
Exactly 1 goals 17.3% 17.4% 19.8% 0.88× 5.74
Exactly 4 goals 15.7% 17.4% 14.4% 1.21× 5.74
Exactly 5 goals 8.9% 7.6% 9.3% 0.82× 13.08
6 or more goals 6.7% 7.6% 5.3% 1.45× 13.09
Exactly 0 goals 5.7% 7.6% 7.8% 0.98× 13.09
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 48.9% 45.1% 2.22
1 goal in 2nd half 31.9% 33.4% 2.99
No goals in 2nd half 19.2% 17.2% 5.81
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza Atlético not to win both halves 91.6% 93.9% 1.07
Sport Huancayo not to win both halves 89.6% 88.0% 1.14
Sport Huancayo to win both halves 10.4% 12.0% 8.32
Alianza Atlético to win both halves 8.4% 6.1% 16.46
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Sport Huancayo to win either half 54.2% 55.0% 1.82
Alianza Atlético to win either half 50.0% 54.9% 1.82
Alianza Atlético to win neither half 50.0% 45.1% 2.22
Sport Huancayo to win neither half 45.8% 45.0% 2.22
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alianza Atlético not to win to nil 82.5% 83.0% 87.8% 0.95× 1.20
Sport Huancayo not to win to nil 80.1% 83.0% 73.5% 1.13× 1.21
Sport Huancayo to win to nil 20.0% 17.0% 26.5% 0.64× 5.88
Alianza Atlético to win to nil 17.5% 17.0% 12.2% 1.39× 5.89
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 24.6% 24.2% 25.1% 0.96× 4.14
Sport Huancayo by 1 21.0% 24.1% 25.5% 0.95× 4.14
Alianza Atlético by 1 19.6% 16.9% 17.6% 0.96× 5.91
Sport Huancayo by 2 11.7% 11.8% 13.5% 0.88× 8.48
Alianza Atlético by 2 10.2% 11.8% 5.6% 2.09× 8.48
Sport Huancayo by 3+ 7.2% 7.3% 11.5% 0.63× 13.78
Alianza Atlético by 3+ 5.7% 7.3% 2.2% 3.32× 13.79
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
to move to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide