Sporting Cristal v Los Chankas — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 6 September 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627
PER-Liga 1
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (222 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 2-1 9.9%
- 2-0 9.5%
- 1-0 9.0%
- 1-1 9.0%
- 3-1 7.1%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 61.8% | Under 2.5 | 38.2% |
| BTTS yes | 57.0% | BTTS no | 43.0% |
| Sporting Cristal 1+ | 88.3% | Sporting Cristal 2+ | 63.3% |
| Los Chankas 1+ | 64.7% | Los Chankas 2+ | 28.0% |
Expected goals 2.15 – 1.04. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Nothing in the data singles out Sporting Cristal.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Sporting Cristal have an estimated 62.4% win probability, against 18.9% for the draw and 18.8% for Los Chankas. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.15 for Sporting Cristal and 1.04 for Los Chankas.
Why Sporting Cristal
Nothing in the data singles out Sporting Cristal.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 18.9%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.
Why Los Chankas can win
Nothing in the data singles out Los Chankas.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Sporting Cristal, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Los Chankas, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Sporting Cristal: 55% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Los Chankas: 44% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 17.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Sporting Cristal are the model's most likely outcome at 62.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.9%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 2.15–1.04 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 2.38–1.05 | 2-1 10% | 67% | 59% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal to win | 67.1% | 65.0% | 50.0% | 1.30× | 1.54 |
| Draw | 17.7% | 19.3% | 25.1% | 0.77× | 5.17 |
| Los Chankas to win | 15.2% | 19.3% | 25.1% | 0.77× | 5.18 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal & both teams score | 35.1% | 33.1% | 23.6% | 1.40× | 3.02 |
| Sporting Cristal & not both score | 32.0% | 29.7% | 26.5% | 1.12× | 3.37 |
| Draw & both teams score | 14.6% | 13.3% | 17.5% | 0.76× | 7.54 |
| Los Chankas & both teams score | 9.1% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 0.64× | 11.92 |
| Los Chankas & not both score | 6.2% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 0.69× | 11.94 |
| Draw & not both score | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 0.62× | 20.59 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal & over 1.5 | 59.2% | 55.0% | 38.2% | 1.44× | 1.82 |
| Sporting Cristal & over 2.5 | 50.0% | 45.2% | 30.9% | 1.46× | 2.21 |
| Sporting Cristal & under 3.5 | 34.0% | 30.9% | 33.8% | 0.91× | 3.24 |
| Sporting Cristal & over 3.5 | 33.1% | 30.9% | 16.4% | 1.89× | 3.24 |
| Sporting Cristal & under 2.5 | 17.1% | 18.0% | 19.3% | 0.93× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 14.6% | 12.9% | 17.5% | 0.74× | 7.77 |
| Los Chankas & over 1.5 | 11.7% | 12.9% | 17.3% | 0.74× | 7.77 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 11.0% | 12.9% | 18.9% | 0.68× | 7.77 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 11.0% | 12.9% | 18.9% | 0.68× | 7.77 |
| Los Chankas & under 3.5 | 10.2% | 12.9% | 19.1% | 0.67× | 7.77 |
| Los Chankas & over 2.5 | 9.9% | 7.9% | 14.4% | 0.55× | 12.69 |
| Sporting Cristal & under 1.5 | 7.9% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 0.66× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 1.24× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 1.24× | 12.70 |
| Los Chankas & under 2.5 | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 0.72× | 12.70 |
| Los Chankas & over 3.5 | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 1.27× | 12.70 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 0.61× | 20.94 |
| Los Chankas & under 1.5 | 3.6% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 0.60× | 20.94 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal (1UP) | 78.9% | 79.1% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Los Chankas (1UP) | 34.8% | 33.1% | — | — | 3.02 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal (2UP) | 67.1% | 68.7% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Los Chankas (2UP) | 15.2% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.82 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal to win 2nd half | 54.6% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.91 |
| 2nd half drawn | 28.1% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.80 |
| Los Chankas to win 2nd half | 17.3% | 19.0% | — | — | 5.27 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal (+0.5) | 84.8% | 82.4% | 74.9% | 1.10× | 1.21 |
| Los Chankas (+2.5) | 75.1% | 78.4% | 88.5% | 0.89× | 1.28 |
| Sporting Cristal (-0.5) | 67.1% | 68.7% | 50.0% | 1.37× | 1.46 |
| Los Chankas (+1.5) | 55.4% | 57.0% | 75.3% | 0.76× | 1.76 |
| Sporting Cristal (-1.5) | 44.6% | 43.0% | 24.7% | 1.74× | 2.33 |
| Los Chankas (+0.5) | 32.9% | 31.3% | 50.0% | 0.63× | 3.20 |
| Sporting Cristal (-2.5) | 24.9% | 21.6% | 11.5% | 1.88× | 4.63 |
| Los Chankas (-0.5) | 15.2% | 17.6% | 25.1% | 0.70× | 5.69 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Chankas to concede | 90.8% | 91.7% | 80.2% | 1.14× | 1.09 |
| Los Chankas clean sheet | 9.2% | 8.3% | 19.8% | 0.42× | 12.07 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Chankas to concede in 1st half | 64.1% | 65.0% | — | — | 1.54 |
| Los Chankas clean sheet in 1st half | 35.9% | 35.0% | — | — | 2.86 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Chankas under 6.5 corners | 88.4% | 84.9% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Los Chankas under 5.5 corners | 80.4% | 80.9% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Los Chankas under 4.5 corners | 68.7% | 68.2% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Los Chankas over 2.5 corners | 64.9% | 61.4% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Los Chankas under 3.5 corners | 53.2% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Los Chankas over 3.5 corners | 46.8% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Los Chankas under 2.5 corners | 35.1% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| Los Chankas over 4.5 corners | 31.3% | 31.8% | — | — | 3.15 |
| Los Chankas over 5.5 corners | 19.6% | 19.1% | — | — | 5.24 |
| Los Chankas over 6.5 corners | 11.6% | 15.1% | — | — | 6.63 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Chankas under 3.5 goals | 97.8% | 97.5% | 97.5% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Los Chankas under 2.5 goals | 91.1% | 92.3% | 92.0% | 1.00× | 1.08 |
| Los Chankas under 1.5 goals | 71.8% | 71.9% | 71.6% | 1.00× | 1.39 |
| Los Chankas over 0.5 goals | 64.9% | 63.0% | 65.8% | 0.96× | 1.59 |
| Los Chankas under 0.5 goals | 35.1% | 37.0% | 34.2% | 1.08× | 2.70 |
| Los Chankas over 1.5 goals | 28.2% | 28.1% | 28.4% | 0.99× | 3.56 |
| Los Chankas over 2.5 goals | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 0.96× | 13.02 |
| Los Chankas over 3.5 goals | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.96× | 40.76 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Chankas under 1.5 in 1st half | 93.3% | 94.2% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Los Chankas under 0.5 in 1st half | 65.8% | 68.2% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Los Chankas over 0.5 in 1st half | 34.2% | 31.8% | — | — | 3.14 |
| Los Chankas over 1.5 in 1st half | 6.7% | 5.8% | — | — | 17.27 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal (away no bet) | 79.1% | 73.8% | 66.6% | 1.11× | 1.36 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 20.9% | 26.2% | 33.4% | 0.79× | 3.81 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Chankas even goals | 56.1% | 56.9% | 56.9% | 1.00× | 1.76 |
| Los Chankas odd goals | 43.9% | 43.1% | 43.1% | 1.00× | 2.32 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 75.0% | 82.0% | — | — | 1.22 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 25.0% | 18.0% | — | — | 5.56 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 76.3% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 23.7% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.64 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 70.5% | 71.8% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Sporting Cristal to score 2+ in a row | 60.7% | 59.8% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 34.8% | 29.1% | — | — | 3.44 |
| Sporting Cristal to score 3+ in a row | 31.5% | 28.9% | — | — | 3.45 |
| Los Chankas to score 2+ in a row | 18.0% | 16.3% | — | — | 6.12 |
| Los Chankas to score 3+ in a row | 3.8% | 2.6% | — | — | 38.27 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal corners (+3.5) | 95.9% | 94.0% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Sporting Cristal corners (+2.5) | 93.2% | 88.7% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Sporting Cristal corners (+1.5) | 89.2% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Sporting Cristal corners (-1.5) | 68.2% | 66.8% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Sporting Cristal corners (-2.5) | 59.0% | 56.8% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Los Chankas corners (+3.5) | 50.4% | 52.3% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Sporting Cristal corners (-3.5) | 49.6% | 47.7% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Los Chankas corners (+2.5) | 41.0% | 43.2% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Los Chankas corners (+1.5) | 31.8% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| Los Chankas corners (-1.5) | 10.8% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.32 |
| Los Chankas corners (-2.5) | 6.8% | 11.3% | — | — | 8.82 |
| Los Chankas corners (-3.5) | 4.1% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.56 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12+ corners | 41.9% | 37.0% | — | — | 2.70 |
| 0-8 corners | 30.9% | 32.0% | — | — | 3.13 |
| 9-11 corners | 27.1% | 31.8% | — | — | 3.15 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 corners | 77.6% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 69.1% | 67.9% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Under 12.5 corners | 66.2% | 67.9% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 60.0% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 58.1% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 50.8% | 52.2% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 49.2% | 47.8% | — | — | 2.09 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 41.9% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 40.0% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 33.9% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.12 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 30.9% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.12 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 22.4% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.28 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 50.4% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 49.6% | — | — | 2.02 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 1.00× | 13.48 |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 0.76× | 13.48 |
| Any other score | 9.7% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 2.72× | 13.48 |
| 1-0 | 7.9% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 0.62× | 13.48 |
| 1-1 | 7.9% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 0.66× | 13.48 |
| 3-0 | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.46× | 13.48 |
| 3-1 | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 1.41× | 13.48 |
| 2-2 | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 1.32× | 13.48 |
| 0-0 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 7.8% | 0.22× | 58.47 |
| 0-1 | 3.6% | 1.7% | 8.0% | 0.21× | 58.47 |
| 0-2 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 0.55× | 58.48 |
| 0-3 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.57× | 58.49 |
| 0-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.13× | 58.49 |
| 1-2 | 4.2% | 1.7% | 7.5% | 0.23× | 58.47 |
| 1-3 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.86× | 58.48 |
| 1-4 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.88× | 58.49 |
| 2-3 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.86× | 58.48 |
| 2-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.88× | 58.49 |
| 3-2 | 4.0% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 0.45× | 58.47 |
| 3-3 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.88× | 58.48 |
| 3-4 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.35× | 58.49 |
| 4-0 | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.05× | 58.46 |
| 4-1 | 4.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.67× | 58.46 |
| 4-2 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.57× | 58.48 |
| 4-3 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 4.70× | 58.49 |
| 4-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 9.40× | 58.49 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal leading at HT (DNB) | 77.0% | 77.9% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Los Chankas leading at HT (DNB) | 23.0% | 22.1% | — | — | 4.53 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal or draw (1X) | 84.8% | 80.7% | 74.9% | 1.08× | 1.24 |
| Sporting Cristal or Los Chankas (12) | 82.3% | 80.7% | 74.9% | 1.08× | 1.24 |
| Los Chankas or draw (X2) | 32.9% | 35.0% | 50.0% | 0.70× | 2.86 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal or draw at HT | 85.0% | 87.9% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Sporting Cristal or Los Chankas at HT | 65.2% | 66.3% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Los Chankas or draw at HT | 49.8% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal or draw (1UP) | 84.8% | 88.7% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Los Chankas or draw (1UP) | 34.8% | 39.2% | — | — | 2.55 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal or draw in 2nd half | 82.7% | 81.0% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Sporting Cristal or Los Chankas in 2nd half | 71.9% | 73.7% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Los Chankas or draw in 2nd half | 45.4% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.10 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half drawn | 46.7% | 50.0% | — | — | 2.00 |
| A half drawn | 53.3% | 50.0% | — | — | 2.00 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal (DNB) | 81.5% | 80.5% | 66.6% | 1.21× | 1.24 |
| Los Chankas (DNB) | 18.5% | 19.5% | 33.4% | 0.58× | 5.12 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal to score first | 67.3% | 69.3% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Los Chankas to score first | 29.6% | 28.5% | — | — | 3.51 |
| No goal scored | 3.1% | 4.3% | — | — | 23.43 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 58.8% | 54.9% | 53.8% | 1.02× | 1.82 |
| Not both teams to score | 41.2% | 45.1% | 46.2% | 0.98× | 2.22 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 50.8% | 47.0% | 42.7% | 1.10× | 2.13 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 25.5% | 33.6% | 37.6% | 0.89× | 2.98 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 15.7% | 21.7% | 8.7% | 2.49× | 4.61 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 0.74× | 11.96 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 80.6% | 83.0% | 85.6% | 0.97× | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 19.4% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 1.18× | 5.89 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 65.4% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 34.6% | 32.5% | — | — | 3.08 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 51.1% | 55.8% | — | — | 1.79 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 27.0% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Both score 1st half only | 14.3% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.27 |
| Both score in both halves | 7.6% | 6.8% | — | — | 14.72 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 78.1% | 81.5% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 21.9% | 18.5% | — | — | 5.41 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 65.8% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| A half without a goal | 34.2% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.00 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 40.7% | 42.1% | 44.2% | 0.95× | 2.38 |
| 4-6 goals | 38.8% | 35.1% | 26.9% | 1.30× | 2.85 |
| 0-1 goals | 14.5% | 17.0% | 27.5% | 0.62× | 5.90 |
| 7+ goals | 5.9% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 4.16× | 13.22 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Chankas to score exactly 1 | 36.7% | 36.0% | 37.6% | 0.96× | 2.78 |
| Los Chankas to score exactly 0 | 35.1% | 36.0% | 34.2% | 1.05× | 2.78 |
| Los Chankas to score exactly 2 | 19.3% | 19.6% | 20.5% | 0.95× | 5.11 |
| Los Chankas to score 3+ | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 1.06× | 11.81 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal to score 3+ | 42.5% | 34.9% | 22.5% | 1.55× | 2.86 |
| Sporting Cristal to score exactly 2 | 26.2% | 26.5% | 25.1% | 1.06× | 3.77 |
| Sporting Cristal to score exactly 1 | 22.0% | 23.2% | 32.9% | 0.71× | 4.30 |
| Sporting Cristal to score exactly 0 | 9.2% | 10.3% | 19.8% | 0.52× | 9.70 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal leading at HT | 50.2% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Draw at HT | 34.8% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.97 |
| Los Chankas leading at HT | 15.0% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.28 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal -1: 1 | 44.6% | 42.8% | — | — | 2.34 |
| Sporting Cristal -1: 2 | 32.9% | 30.1% | — | — | 3.33 |
| Sporting Cristal -1: X | 22.5% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal (0:1) | 44.6% | 42.7% | 24.7% | 1.73× | 2.34 |
| Los Chankas (0:1) | 32.9% | 30.0% | 50.0% | 0.60× | 3.33 |
| Draw (0:1) | 22.5% | 24.3% | 25.5% | 0.95× | 4.12 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Chankas (0:2) | 55.4% | 62.6% | 75.3% | 0.83× | 1.60 |
| Sporting Cristal (0:2) | 24.9% | 20.4% | 11.5% | 1.78× | 4.90 |
| Draw (0:2) | 19.7% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 1.14× | 6.54 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Chankas (0:3) | 75.1% | 80.3% | 88.5% | 0.91× | 1.25 |
| Draw (0:3) | 13.2% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 1.31× | 9.98 |
| Sporting Cristal (0:3) | 11.8% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 2.50× | 10.00 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Chankas (0:4) | 88.2% | 92.0% | 96.0% | 0.96× | 1.09 |
| Draw (0:4) | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.83× | 21.51 |
| Sporting Cristal (0:4) | 4.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.74× | 83.12 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal (1:0) | 84.8% | 81.5% | 74.9% | 1.09× | 1.23 |
| Draw (1:0) | 10.0% | 6.9% | 17.6% | 0.39× | 14.40 |
| Los Chankas (1:0) | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 0.90× | 14.48 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal (2:0) | 94.7% | 94.0% | 92.4% | 1.02× | 1.06 |
| Draw (2:0) | 3.8% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 0.40× | 44.13 |
| Los Chankas (2:0) | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.04× | 44.28 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 50.4% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 28.1% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 21.5% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal to concede | 64.9% | 63.5% | 65.8% | 0.96× | 1.58 |
| Sporting Cristal clean sheet | 35.1% | 36.5% | 34.2% | 1.07× | 2.74 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal clean sheet in 1st half | 65.8% | 68.5% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Sporting Cristal to concede in 1st half | 34.2% | 31.5% | — | — | 3.17 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal over 2.5 corners | 92.6% | 88.3% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Sporting Cristal over 3.5 corners | 85.4% | 85.2% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Sporting Cristal over 4.5 corners | 76.0% | 76.1% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Sporting Cristal over 5.5 corners | 65.2% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Sporting Cristal over 6.5 corners | 54.2% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Sporting Cristal under 6.5 corners | 45.8% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Sporting Cristal under 5.5 corners | 34.8% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Sporting Cristal under 4.5 corners | 24.0% | 23.9% | — | — | 4.19 |
| Sporting Cristal under 3.5 corners | 14.6% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.75 |
| Sporting Cristal under 2.5 corners | 7.4% | 11.7% | — | — | 8.54 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal over 0.5 goals | 90.8% | 92.2% | 80.2% | 1.15× | 1.08 |
| Sporting Cristal under 3.5 goals | 78.3% | 77.8% | 92.4% | 0.84× | 1.29 |
| Sporting Cristal over 1.5 goals | 68.7% | 67.9% | 47.5% | 1.43× | 1.47 |
| Sporting Cristal under 2.5 goals | 57.5% | 58.8% | 77.5% | 0.76× | 1.70 |
| Sporting Cristal over 2.5 goals | 42.5% | 41.2% | 22.5% | 1.83× | 2.43 |
| Sporting Cristal under 1.5 goals | 31.3% | 32.1% | 52.5% | 0.61× | 3.11 |
| Sporting Cristal over 3.5 goals | 21.7% | 22.2% | 7.6% | 2.91× | 4.50 |
| Sporting Cristal under 0.5 goals | 9.2% | 7.8% | 19.8% | 0.39× | 12.89 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal under 1.5 in 1st half | 72.7% | 79.9% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Sporting Cristal over 0.5 in 1st half | 64.1% | 64.8% | — | — | 1.54 |
| Sporting Cristal under 0.5 in 1st half | 35.9% | 35.2% | — | — | 2.84 |
| Sporting Cristal over 1.5 in 1st half | 27.3% | 20.1% | — | — | 4.97 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (home no bet) | 53.7% | 51.6% | 50.0% | 1.03× | 1.94 |
| Los Chankas (home no bet) | 46.3% | 48.4% | 50.0% | 0.97× | 2.07 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal even goals | 50.4% | 50.6% | 50.5% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Sporting Cristal odd goals | 49.6% | 49.4% | 49.5% | 1.00× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1-0 | 24.2% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.14 |
| HT 0-0 | 23.6% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.15 |
| HT 2-0 | 12.4% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.16 |
| HT 1-1 | 10.1% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.18 |
| HT 0-1 | 9.9% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.01 |
| Any other HT score | 9.3% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.02 |
| HT 2-1 | 5.2% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.08 |
| HT 0-2 | 2.1% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.46 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.1% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.45 |
| HT 2-2 | 1.1% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.53 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal at HT / Sporting Cristal at FT | 44.4% | 43.5% | — | — | 2.30 |
| Draw at HT / Sporting Cristal at FT | 19.1% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 9.6% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.60 |
| Los Chankas at HT / Los Chankas at FT | 7.7% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.66 |
| Draw at HT / Los Chankas at FT | 6.1% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.70 |
| Sporting Cristal at HT / Draw at FT | 4.3% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.79 |
| Los Chankas at HT / Draw at FT | 3.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.82 |
| Los Chankas at HT / Sporting Cristal at FT | 3.5% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.83 |
| Sporting Cristal at HT / Los Chankas at FT | 1.4% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.91 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal to score last | 67.3% | 70.2% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Los Chankas to score last | 29.7% | 27.3% | — | — | 3.67 |
| No goal scored | 3.1% | 4.3% | — | — | 23.43 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 96.9% | 95.7% | — | — | 1.05 |
| Sporting Cristal to lead by 1 at any time | 78.9% | 78.4% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 61.7% | 61.3% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Sporting Cristal to lead by 2 at any time | 52.1% | 50.7% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Los Chankas to lead by 1 at any time | 34.8% | 29.5% | — | — | 3.39 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 31.2% | 29.4% | — | — | 3.41 |
| Sporting Cristal to lead by 3 at any time | 28.7% | 25.5% | — | — | 3.92 |
| Los Chankas to lead by 2 at any time | 10.1% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.59 |
| Los Chankas to lead by 3 at any time | 2.5% | 1.6% | — | — | 61.87 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal most corners | 76.6% | 73.9% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Los Chankas most corners | 16.4% | 20.6% | — | — | 4.86 |
| Corners level | 7.1% | 8.4% | — | — | 11.92 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 83.7% | 83.5% | 87.1% | 0.96× | 1.20 |
| 2-6 goals | 79.5% | 78.6% | 70.9% | 1.11× | 1.27 |
| 2-5 goals | 72.2% | 72.4% | 67.5% | 1.07× | 1.38 |
| 1-4 goals | 70.8% | 72.4% | 78.0% | 0.93× | 1.38 |
| 3-6 goals | 60.6% | 63.4% | 49.6% | 1.28× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 59.4% | 59.2% | 58.4% | 1.01× | 1.69 |
| 3-5 goals | 53.3% | 53.2% | 46.2% | 1.15× | 1.88 |
| 1-3 goals | 52.1% | 53.2% | 63.8% | 0.83× | 1.88 |
| 2-3 goals | 40.7% | 43.6% | 44.2% | 0.99× | 2.30 |
| 3-4 goals | 40.5% | 43.6% | 37.1% | 1.17× | 2.30 |
| 4-6 goals | 38.8% | 39.2% | 26.9% | 1.46× | 2.55 |
| 4-5 goals | 31.5% | 35.4% | 23.5% | 1.51× | 2.83 |
| 1-2 goals | 30.4% | 35.4% | 41.1% | 0.86× | 2.83 |
| 5-6 goals | 20.2% | 24.5% | 12.7% | 1.92× | 4.09 |
| 7+ goals | 5.9% | 8.7% | 1.8% | 4.80× | 11.46 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal never behind | 62.1% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Los Chankas never behind | 18.0% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.34 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 49.7% | 50.8% | 46.9% | 1.08× | 1.97 |
| Odd number of goals | 50.3% | 49.2% | 53.1% | 0.93× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 52.7% | 51.7% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 47.3% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.8% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 49.2% | 48.0% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96.9% | 95.5% | 92.2% | 1.04× | 1.05 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 86.7% | 87.6% | 94.7% | 0.93× | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.5% | 87.6% | 72.5% | 1.21× | 1.14 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 73.9% | 72.5% | 85.6% | 0.85× | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.6% | 66.2% | 51.3% | 1.29× | 1.51 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55.2% | 58.8% | 71.5% | 0.82× | 1.70 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44.8% | 41.2% | 28.5% | 1.44× | 2.43 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.4% | 33.8% | 48.7% | 0.69× | 2.96 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 26.1% | 27.5% | 14.4% | 1.91× | 3.64 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14.5% | 12.4% | 27.5% | 0.45× | 8.09 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 13.3% | 12.4% | 5.3% | 2.34× | 8.09 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 0.58× | 22.21 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 93.6% | 92.5% | 98.1% | 0.94× | 1.08 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 84.8% | 81.1% | 94.2% | 0.86× | 1.23 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 82.1% | 81.1% | 65.1% | 1.24× | 1.23 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 67.9% | 67.4% | 83.3% | 0.81× | 1.48 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 57.3% | 55.4% | 36.9% | 1.50× | 1.80 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 42.7% | 44.6% | 63.1% | 0.71× | 2.24 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 32.1% | 32.6% | 16.7% | 1.95× | 3.07 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 17.9% | 18.9% | 34.9% | 0.54× | 5.28 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 15.2% | 18.9% | 5.8% | 3.26× | 5.29 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 6.4% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 4.00× | 13.27 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 82.3% | 86.2% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 76.4% | 78.7% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 57.7% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 42.3% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 23.6% | 21.3% | — | — | 4.70 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 17.7% | 13.8% | — | — | 7.26 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 86.3% | 85.3% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 68.1% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 59.0% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 41.0% | 45.1% | — | — | 2.22 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 31.9% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.08 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 13.7% | 14.7% | — | — | 6.80 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Chankas not to score in both halves | 84.0% | 84.4% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Sporting Cristal not to score in both halves | 52.4% | 55.7% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Sporting Cristal to score in both halves | 47.6% | 44.3% | — | — | 2.26 |
| Los Chankas to score in both halves | 16.0% | 15.6% | — | — | 6.40 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 58.8% | 58.4% | 53.8% | 1.09× | 1.71 |
| Only Sporting Cristal scores | 32.0% | 33.3% | 26.5% | 1.26× | 3.00 |
| Only Los Chankas scores | 6.2% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 0.59× | 13.92 |
| Neither team scores | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 0.59× | 21.86 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 3 goals | 21.8% | 22.6% | 22.9% | 0.99× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 18.9% | 17.4% | 21.5% | 0.81× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 18.7% | 17.4% | 14.4% | 1.21× | 5.74 |
| 6 or more goals | 13.3% | 12.1% | 5.3% | 2.29× | 8.27 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 1.30× | 8.27 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 11.5% | 12.1% | 19.8% | 0.61× | 8.28 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 0.56× | 22.67 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 59.0% | 53.5% | — | — | 1.87 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 27.4% | 29.8% | — | — | 3.36 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 13.7% | 14.5% | — | — | 6.89 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Chankas not to win both halves | 97.4% | 97.2% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Sporting Cristal not to win both halves | 72.6% | 72.7% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Sporting Cristal to win both halves | 27.4% | 27.3% | — | — | 3.66 |
| Los Chankas to win both halves | 2.6% | 2.8% | — | — | 36.17 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal to win either half | 77.4% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Los Chankas to win neither half | 70.3% | 72.8% | — | — | 1.37 |
| Los Chankas to win either half | 29.7% | 27.2% | — | — | 3.67 |
| Sporting Cristal to win neither half | 22.6% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.93 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Chankas not to win to nil | 93.8% | 92.1% | 87.8% | 1.05× | 1.09 |
| Sporting Cristal not to win to nil | 68.0% | 69.7% | 73.5% | 0.95× | 1.44 |
| Sporting Cristal to win to nil | 32.0% | 30.3% | 26.5% | 1.14× | 3.30 |
| Los Chankas to win to nil | 6.2% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 0.65× | 12.60 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal by 3+ | 24.9% | 24.2% | 11.5% | 2.11× | 4.14 |
| Sporting Cristal by 1 | 22.5% | 24.1% | 25.5% | 0.95× | 4.14 |
| Sporting Cristal by 2 | 19.7% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 1.26× | 5.91 |
| Draw | 17.7% | 16.9% | 25.1% | 0.67× | 5.91 |
| Los Chankas by 1 | 10.0% | 7.3% | 17.6% | 0.41× | 13.77 |
| Los Chankas by 2 | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 0.48× | 36.96 |
| Los Chankas by 3+ | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.24× | 37.04 |