Sporting Kansas City v LAFC — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 13 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627
USA-MLS
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (282 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 0-1 11.8%
- 0-2 11.2%
- 1-1 11.2%
- 1-2 9.8%
- 0-0 7.2%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 50.7% | Under 2.5 | 49.3% |
| BTTS yes | 49.3% | BTTS no | 50.7% |
| Sporting Kansas City 1+ | 58.2% | Sporting Kansas City 2+ | 21.7% |
| LAFC 1+ | 84.0% | LAFC 2+ | 54.6% |
Expected goals 0.87 – 1.83. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- LAFC carry the stronger rating, 1570 Elo against 1302.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
LAFC have an estimated 59.2% win probability, against 21.5% for the draw and 19.3% for Sporting Kansas City. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.87 for Sporting Kansas City and 1.83 for LAFC.
Why Sporting Kansas City
Nothing in the data singles out Sporting Kansas City.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 21.5%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.
Why LAFC can win
LAFC carry the stronger rating, 1570 Elo against 1302.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Sporting Kansas City, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for LAFC, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Sporting Kansas City: 41% possession, 9.2 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. LAFC: 50% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 13.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
LAFC are the model's most likely outcome at 59.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 11.8%. Confidence 52/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 0.87–1.83 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 0.79–2.13 | 0-2 12% | 56% | 49% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC to win | 67.7% | 65.1% | 29.9% | 2.18× | 1.54 |
| Draw | 19.9% | 19.4% | 24.9% | 0.78× | 5.17 |
| Sporting Kansas City to win | 12.4% | 13.3% | 45.4% | 0.29× | 7.52 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC & not both score | 39.4% | 33.2% | 12.3% | 2.71× | 3.01 |
| LAFC & both teams score | 28.3% | 25.2% | 17.8% | 1.42× | 3.97 |
| Draw & both teams score | 14.1% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 0.69× | 7.54 |
| Sporting Kansas City & both teams score | 6.2% | 8.4% | 24.4% | 0.34× | 11.94 |
| Sporting Kansas City & not both score | 6.1% | 8.4% | 21.1% | 0.40× | 11.94 |
| Draw & not both score | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 1.43× | 11.94 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC & over 1.5 | 56.6% | 54.9% | 23.5% | 2.34× | 1.82 |
| LAFC & over 2.5 | 44.4% | 40.3% | 20.3% | 1.99× | 2.48 |
| LAFC & under 3.5 | 41.6% | 40.3% | 18.8% | 2.15× | 2.48 |
| LAFC & over 3.5 | 26.1% | 26.0% | 11.2% | 2.32× | 3.84 |
| LAFC & under 2.5 | 23.3% | 21.7% | 9.7% | 2.22× | 4.62 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 15.3% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 1.12× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 15.3% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 1.12× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 14.1% | 12.9% | 19.1% | 0.67× | 7.77 |
| LAFC & under 1.5 | 11.1% | 12.9% | 6.5% | 1.97× | 7.77 |
| Sporting Kansas City & under 3.5 | 9.7% | 7.9% | 28.3% | 0.28× | 12.69 |
| Sporting Kansas City & over 1.5 | 8.5% | 7.9% | 37.1% | 0.21× | 12.69 |
| Sporting Kansas City & over 2.5 | 6.8% | 7.9% | 30.9% | 0.25× | 12.70 |
| Sporting Kansas City & under 2.5 | 5.6% | 7.9% | 14.5% | 0.54× | 12.70 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 1.35× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 4.6% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 0.53× | 20.93 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 4.6% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 0.53× | 20.93 |
| Sporting Kansas City & under 1.5 | 3.9% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 0.57× | 20.94 |
| Sporting Kansas City & over 3.5 | 2.7% | 4.8% | 17.2% | 0.28× | 20.94 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC (1UP) | 77.8% | 78.9% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Sporting Kansas City (1UP) | 28.9% | 27.1% | — | — | 3.69 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC (2UP) | 67.7% | 68.8% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Sporting Kansas City (2UP) | 12.4% | 13.3% | — | — | 7.50 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC to win 2nd half | 57.1% | 59.8% | — | — | 1.67 |
| 2nd half drawn | 29.9% | 26.4% | — | — | 3.79 |
| Sporting Kansas City to win 2nd half | 13.0% | 12.3% | — | — | 8.10 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC (+2.5) | 99.2% | 96.3% | 89.5% | 1.08× | 1.04 |
| LAFC (+1.5) | 96.3% | 96.3% | 76.7% | 1.25× | 1.04 |
| LAFC (+0.5) | 87.6% | 88.5% | 54.6% | 1.62× | 1.13 |
| LAFC (-0.5) | 67.7% | 68.7% | 29.9% | 2.30× | 1.46 |
| Sporting Kansas City (+0.5) | 32.3% | 31.3% | 70.1% | 0.45× | 3.20 |
| Sporting Kansas City (-0.5) | 12.4% | 11.5% | 45.4% | 0.25× | 8.70 |
| Sporting Kansas City (-1.5) | 3.7% | 3.7% | 23.3% | 0.16× | 26.83 |
| Sporting Kansas City (-2.5) | 0.8% | 3.7% | 10.5% | 0.35× | 27.02 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC to concede | 54.8% | 56.0% | 82.0% | 0.68× | 1.78 |
| LAFC clean sheet | 45.2% | 44.0% | 18.0% | 2.44× | 2.28 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC clean sheet in 1st half | 71.1% | 77.3% | — | — | 1.29 |
| LAFC to concede in 1st half | 28.9% | 22.7% | — | — | 4.40 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC over 2.5 corners | 81.6% | 81.5% | — | — | 1.23 |
| LAFC under 6.5 corners | 73.2% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| LAFC over 3.5 corners | 67.6% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| LAFC under 5.5 corners | 61.4% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| LAFC over 4.5 corners | 52.6% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| LAFC under 4.5 corners | 47.4% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| LAFC over 5.5 corners | 38.6% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| LAFC under 3.5 corners | 32.4% | 32.5% | — | — | 3.08 |
| LAFC over 6.5 corners | 26.8% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| LAFC under 2.5 corners | 18.4% | 18.5% | — | — | 5.39 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC over 0.5 goals | 88.1% | 87.9% | 73.2% | 1.20× | 1.14 |
| LAFC under 3.5 goals | 83.4% | 81.4% | 93.9% | 0.87× | 1.23 |
| LAFC under 2.5 goals | 64.3% | 63.0% | 83.3% | 0.76× | 1.59 |
| LAFC over 1.5 goals | 62.7% | 63.0% | 38.7% | 1.63× | 1.59 |
| LAFC under 1.5 goals | 37.3% | 37.0% | 61.3% | 0.60× | 2.70 |
| LAFC over 2.5 goals | 35.7% | 37.0% | 16.7% | 2.21× | 2.70 |
| LAFC over 3.5 goals | 16.6% | 18.6% | 6.1% | 3.06× | 5.38 |
| LAFC under 0.5 goals | 11.9% | 12.1% | 26.8% | 0.45× | 8.26 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC under 1.5 in 1st half | 79.1% | 76.2% | — | — | 1.31 |
| LAFC over 0.5 in 1st half | 57.3% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.60 |
| LAFC under 0.5 in 1st half | 42.7% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.66 |
| LAFC over 1.5 in 1st half | 20.9% | 23.8% | — | — | 4.20 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (away no bet) | 61.7% | 62.1% | 35.4% | 1.75× | 1.61 |
| Sporting Kansas City (away no bet) | 38.3% | 37.9% | 64.6% | 0.59× | 2.64 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC even goals | 50.7% | 52.8% | 53.6% | 0.98× | 1.89 |
| LAFC odd goals | 49.3% | 47.2% | 46.4% | 1.02× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 82.8% | 82.9% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 17.2% | 17.1% | — | — | 5.86 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 67.9% | 68.7% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 32.1% | 31.3% | — | — | 3.19 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 63.6% | 60.0% | — | — | 1.67 |
| LAFC to score 2+ in a row | 56.3% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 29.8% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| LAFC to score 3+ in a row | 27.9% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.99 |
| Sporting Kansas City to score 2+ in a row | 12.0% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.22 |
| Sporting Kansas City to score 3+ in a row | 2.0% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.33 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC corners (+3.5) | 84.4% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Sporting Kansas City corners (+3.5) | 80.6% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| LAFC corners (+2.5) | 77.3% | 74.9% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Sporting Kansas City corners (+2.5) | 72.6% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| LAFC corners (+1.5) | 68.5% | 65.8% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Sporting Kansas City corners (+1.5) | 63.1% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.62 |
| LAFC corners (-1.5) | 36.9% | 38.1% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Sporting Kansas City corners (-1.5) | 31.5% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.92 |
| LAFC corners (-2.5) | 27.4% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Sporting Kansas City corners (-2.5) | 22.7% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| LAFC corners (-3.5) | 19.4% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.93 |
| Sporting Kansas City corners (-3.5) | 15.6% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.94 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 40.3% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| 12+ corners | 30.2% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| 9-11 corners | 29.5% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 77.4% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 70.1% | 72.6% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 69.8% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 60.8% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 59.7% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 50.8% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 49.2% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 40.3% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 39.2% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 30.2% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 29.9% | 27.4% | — | — | 3.65 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 22.6% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | 12.2% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 3.45× | 8.73 |
| 0-1 | 11.1% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 1.75× | 8.73 |
| 0-3 | 8.6% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 4.05× | 13.48 |
| 1-1 | 9.5% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 0.72× | 13.48 |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 1.00× | 13.48 |
| 1-3 | 6.9% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 2.16× | 13.48 |
| Any other score | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.58× | 13.48 |
| 0-0 | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 1.27× | 13.48 |
| 0-4 | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.13× | 58.46 |
| 1-0 | 3.9% | 1.7% | 8.4% | 0.20× | 58.47 |
| 1-4 | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.24× | 58.47 |
| 2-0 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 6.3% | 0.27× | 58.48 |
| 2-1 | 3.6% | 1.7% | 9.9% | 0.17× | 58.47 |
| 2-2 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 6.1% | 0.28× | 58.47 |
| 2-3 | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.71× | 58.47 |
| 2-4 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.00× | 58.48 |
| 3-0 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.41× | 58.49 |
| 3-1 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 4.9% | 0.35× | 58.48 |
| 3-2 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.48× | 58.48 |
| 3-3 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 0.65× | 58.49 |
| 3-4 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.49× | 58.49 |
| 4-0 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.36× | 58.49 |
| 4-1 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.71× | 58.49 |
| 4-2 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.07× | 58.49 |
| 4-3 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.13× | 58.49 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.73× | 58.49 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC leading at HT (DNB) | 76.6% | 77.8% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Sporting Kansas City leading at HT (DNB) | 23.4% | 22.2% | — | — | 4.51 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC or draw (X2) | 87.6% | 86.7% | 54.6% | 1.59× | 1.15 |
| Sporting Kansas City or LAFC (12) | 80.1% | 80.6% | 75.1% | 1.07× | 1.24 |
| Sporting Kansas City or draw (1X) | 32.3% | 34.9% | 70.1% | 0.50× | 2.86 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC or draw at HT | 85.9% | 88.0% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Sporting Kansas City or LAFC at HT | 60.0% | 62.0% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Sporting Kansas City or draw at HT | 54.0% | 47.7% | — | — | 2.10 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC or draw (1UP) | 87.6% | 91.8% | — | — | 1.09 |
| Sporting Kansas City or draw (1UP) | 32.3% | 38.8% | — | — | 2.58 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC or draw in 2nd half | 87.0% | 87.7% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Sporting Kansas City or LAFC in 2nd half | 70.1% | 73.6% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Sporting Kansas City or draw in 2nd half | 42.9% | 40.2% | — | — | 2.49 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 57.5% | 58.0% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Neither half drawn | 42.5% | 42.0% | — | — | 2.38 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC (DNB) | 84.5% | 80.6% | 39.7% | 2.03× | 1.24 |
| Sporting Kansas City (DNB) | 15.5% | 19.4% | 60.3% | 0.32× | 5.16 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC to score first | 68.6% | 69.5% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Sporting Kansas City to score first | 25.6% | 28.0% | — | — | 3.57 |
| No goal scored | 5.8% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.41 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 51.4% | 51.4% | 38.9% | 1.32× | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | 48.7% | 48.6% | 61.1% | 0.80× | 2.06 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 39.1% | 38.5% | 50.9% | 0.76× | 2.60 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 34.7% | 34.3% | 29.9% | 1.15× | 2.92 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 16.7% | 21.7% | 9.2% | 2.37× | 4.61 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 0.81× | 11.95 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 88.1% | 85.6% | 79.5% | 1.08× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 11.9% | 14.4% | 20.5% | 0.70× | 6.95 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 73.6% | 74.1% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 26.4% | 25.9% | — | — | 3.87 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 61.3% | 66.3% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 22.0% | 20.8% | — | — | 4.81 |
| Both score 1st half only | 12.3% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.31 |
| Both score in both halves | 4.3% | 5.0% | — | — | 19.82 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 83.4% | 82.4% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 16.6% | 17.6% | — | — | 5.69 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 57.5% | 57.3% | — | — | 1.75 |
| A half without a goal | 42.5% | 42.7% | — | — | 2.34 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 45.8% | 47.4% | 42.5% | 1.12× | 2.11 |
| 4-6 goals | 30.5% | 30.7% | 33.1% | 0.93× | 3.25 |
| 0-1 goals | 20.8% | 22.8% | 20.5% | 1.11× | 4.39 |
| 7+ goals | 2.9% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 0.45× | 54.50 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC to score 3+ | 35.7% | 36.0% | 16.7% | 2.15× | 2.78 |
| LAFC to score exactly 2 | 27.0% | 27.4% | 22.1% | 1.24× | 3.65 |
| LAFC to score exactly 1 | 25.4% | 27.4% | 34.6% | 0.79× | 3.65 |
| LAFC to score exactly 0 | 11.9% | 12.8% | 26.8% | 0.48× | 7.81 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City to score exactly 0 | 45.2% | 36.7% | 18.0% | 2.04× | 2.72 |
| Sporting Kansas City to score exactly 1 | 35.9% | 35.6% | 31.0% | 1.15× | 2.81 |
| Sporting Kansas City to score exactly 2 | 14.2% | 14.3% | 26.0% | 0.55× | 6.98 |
| Sporting Kansas City to score 3+ | 4.7% | 6.2% | 25.2% | 0.25× | 16.12 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC leading at HT | 46.0% | 52.3% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Draw at HT | 40.0% | 38.0% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Sporting Kansas City leading at HT | 14.1% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.35 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC -1: 2 | 43.8% | 42.8% | — | — | 2.34 |
| LAFC -1: 1 | 32.3% | 30.1% | — | — | 3.33 |
| LAFC -1: X | 23.9% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC (0:1) | 87.6% | 89.2% | 54.6% | 1.63× | 1.12 |
| Draw (0:1) | 8.7% | 9.2% | 22.2% | 0.42× | 10.84 |
| Sporting Kansas City (0:1) | 3.7% | 5.8% | 23.3% | 0.25× | 17.28 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC (0:2) | 96.3% | 94.1% | 76.7% | 1.23× | 1.06 |
| Draw (0:2) | 2.9% | 3.8% | 12.8% | 0.29× | 26.59 |
| Sporting Kansas City (0:2) | 0.8% | 3.7% | 10.5% | 0.36× | 26.71 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC (0:3) | 99.2% | 96.6% | 89.5% | 1.08× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 0.7% | 2.4% | 6.6% | 0.36× | 42.24 |
| Sporting Kansas City (0:3) | 0.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 0.59× | 42.26 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC (0:4) | 99.9% | 98.1% | 96.0% | 1.02× | 1.02 |
| Sporting Kansas City (0:4) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.58× | 83.68 |
| Draw (0:4) | 0.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.58× | 83.67 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC (1:0) | 43.8% | 43.1% | 13.2% | 3.27× | 2.32 |
| Sporting Kansas City (1:0) | 32.3% | 30.4% | 70.1% | 0.43× | 3.29 |
| Draw (1:0) | 23.9% | 21.8% | 16.8% | 1.29× | 4.59 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City (2:0) | 56.2% | 62.5% | 86.8% | 0.72× | 1.60 |
| LAFC (2:0) | 23.1% | 19.4% | 4.6% | 4.23× | 5.16 |
| Draw (2:0) | 20.7% | 19.1% | 8.7% | 2.20× | 5.22 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 49.6% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.08 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.1% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 24.3% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.14 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City to concede | 88.1% | 86.1% | 73.2% | 1.18× | 1.16 |
| Sporting Kansas City clean sheet | 11.9% | 13.9% | 26.8% | 0.52× | 7.21 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City to concede in 1st half | 57.3% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Sporting Kansas City clean sheet in 1st half | 42.7% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.66 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City over 2.5 corners | 79.0% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Sporting Kansas City under 6.5 corners | 76.8% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Sporting Kansas City under 5.5 corners | 65.6% | 66.6% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Sporting Kansas City over 3.5 corners | 64.0% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Sporting Kansas City under 4.5 corners | 51.6% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Sporting Kansas City over 4.5 corners | 48.4% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
| Sporting Kansas City under 3.5 corners | 36.0% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Sporting Kansas City over 5.5 corners | 34.4% | 33.4% | — | — | 3.00 |
| Sporting Kansas City over 6.5 corners | 23.2% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
| Sporting Kansas City under 2.5 corners | 21.0% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City under 3.5 goals | 99.1% | 96.4% | 90.6% | 1.06× | 1.04 |
| Sporting Kansas City under 2.5 goals | 95.3% | 96.4% | 74.8% | 1.29× | 1.04 |
| Sporting Kansas City under 1.5 goals | 81.1% | 82.1% | 48.9% | 1.68× | 1.22 |
| Sporting Kansas City over 0.5 goals | 54.8% | 53.3% | 82.0% | 0.65× | 1.88 |
| Sporting Kansas City under 0.5 goals | 45.2% | 46.7% | 18.0% | 2.60× | 2.14 |
| Sporting Kansas City over 1.5 goals | 18.9% | 17.9% | 51.1% | 0.35× | 5.59 |
| Sporting Kansas City over 2.5 goals | 4.7% | 3.6% | 25.2% | 0.14× | 27.41 |
| Sporting Kansas City over 3.5 goals | 0.9% | 3.6% | 9.4% | 0.39× | 27.57 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City under 1.5 in 1st half | 95.3% | 96.8% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Sporting Kansas City under 0.5 in 1st half | 71.1% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Sporting Kansas City over 0.5 in 1st half | 28.9% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.92 |
| Sporting Kansas City over 1.5 in 1st half | 4.7% | 3.2% | — | — | 31.44 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC (home no bet) | 77.2% | 78.8% | 54.6% | 1.44× | 1.27 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 22.8% | 21.2% | 45.4% | 0.47× | 4.72 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City even goals | 60.2% | 55.9% | 51.0% | 1.10× | 1.79 |
| Sporting Kansas City odd goals | 39.8% | 44.1% | 49.0% | 0.90× | 2.27 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 30.4% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.11 |
| HT 0-1 | 25.8% | 28.8% | — | — | 3.47 |
| HT 0-2 | 11.0% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.17 |
| HT 1-0 | 10.3% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.18 |
| HT 1-1 | 8.9% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.02 |
| Any other HT score | 6.0% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.07 |
| HT 1-2 | 3.7% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.33 |
| HT 2-0 | 1.8% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.48 |
| HT 2-1 | 1.5% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.50 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.56 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC at HT / LAFC at FT | 41.6% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Draw at HT / LAFC at FT | 22.6% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.59 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 12.4% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Sporting Kansas City at HT / Sporting Kansas City at FT | 6.6% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.69 |
| Draw at HT / Sporting Kansas City at FT | 5.0% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.74 |
| Sporting Kansas City at HT / Draw at FT | 4.0% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.81 |
| Sporting Kansas City at HT / LAFC at FT | 3.5% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.83 |
| LAFC at HT / Draw at FT | 3.5% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.83 |
| LAFC at HT / Sporting Kansas City at FT | 0.8% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.93 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC to score last | 68.7% | 70.4% | — | — | 1.42 |
| Sporting Kansas City to score last | 25.5% | 26.8% | — | — | 3.74 |
| No goal scored | 5.8% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.41 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 94.2% | 92.6% | — | — | 1.08 |
| LAFC to lead by 1 at any time | 77.8% | 78.2% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 56.4% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| LAFC to lead by 2 at any time | 49.7% | 44.1% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Sporting Kansas City to lead by 1 at any time | 28.9% | 25.5% | — | — | 3.92 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 27.2% | 25.4% | — | — | 3.93 |
| LAFC to lead by 3 at any time | 25.9% | 25.4% | — | — | 3.94 |
| Sporting Kansas City to lead by 2 at any time | 6.9% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.08 |
| Sporting Kansas City to lead by 3 at any time | 1.4% | 1.6% | — | — | 62.98 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC most corners | 47.5% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Sporting Kansas City most corners | 41.7% | 43.5% | — | — | 2.30 |
| Corners level | 10.8% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.61 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 86.6% | 87.4% | 83.2% | 1.05× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 77.1% | 78.6% | 73.1% | 1.08× | 1.27 |
| 2-6 goals | 76.3% | 78.6% | 75.5% | 1.04× | 1.27 |
| 2-5 goals | 71.7% | 72.4% | 68.5% | 1.06× | 1.38 |
| 2-4 goals | 62.1% | 63.4% | 58.4% | 1.09× | 1.58 |
| 1-3 goals | 60.8% | 63.4% | 57.2% | 1.11× | 1.58 |
| 3-6 goals | 52.9% | 53.2% | 55.9% | 0.95× | 1.88 |
| 3-5 goals | 48.3% | 48.7% | 48.9% | 0.99× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 45.8% | 48.7% | 42.5% | 1.14× | 2.06 |
| 3-4 goals | 38.7% | 39.2% | 38.8% | 1.01× | 2.55 |
| 1-2 goals | 38.4% | 39.2% | 34.4% | 1.14× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 30.5% | 35.4% | 33.1% | 1.07× | 2.83 |
| 4-5 goals | 25.9% | 30.2% | 26.1% | 1.16× | 3.31 |
| 5-6 goals | 14.2% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 0.87× | 6.72 |
| 7+ goals | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 0.62× | 39.20 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC never behind | 65.3% | 69.8% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Sporting Kansas City never behind | 16.4% | 18.5% | — | — | 5.40 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 49.1% | 50.8% | 50.2% | 1.01× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 50.9% | 49.2% | 49.8% | 0.99× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 54.7% | 51.7% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 45.3% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 51.9% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.1% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94.2% | 92.3% | 94.2% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 92.4% | 92.3% | 88.9% | 1.04× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 82.9% | 82.4% | 78.8% | 1.05× | 1.21 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.2% | 77.4% | 79.5% | 0.97× | 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66.5% | 66.2% | 62.9% | 1.05× | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.8% | 58.8% | 59.9% | 0.98× | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44.2% | 41.2% | 40.1% | 1.03× | 2.43 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.5% | 33.8% | 37.1% | 0.91× | 2.96 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20.8% | 22.6% | 20.5% | 1.10× | 4.42 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17.1% | 17.6% | 21.2% | 0.83× | 5.68 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 7.6% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 0.70× | 12.92 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 1.32× | 12.93 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 96.9% | 97.2% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 91.6% | 92.5% | 87.6% | 1.05× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 79.5% | 75.9% | 74.8% | 1.02× | 1.32 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 72.9% | 72.6% | 74.5% | 0.97× | 1.38 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 56.9% | 55.4% | 51.9% | 1.07× | 1.80 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 43.1% | 44.6% | 48.1% | 0.93× | 2.24 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 27.1% | 27.4% | 25.5% | 1.08× | 3.65 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 20.5% | 24.1% | 25.2% | 0.95× | 4.16 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 8.4% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 0.61× | 13.25 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 0.62× | 36.13 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 88.1% | 89.0% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 69.6% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 66.5% | 69.0% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 33.5% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.22 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 30.4% | 31.0% | — | — | 3.23 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 11.9% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.09 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 82.1% | 82.8% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 75.0% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 51.7% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 48.3% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 25.0% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.92 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 17.9% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.82 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City not to score in both halves | 89.5% | 85.9% | — | — | 1.16 |
| LAFC not to score in both halves | 58.7% | 57.7% | — | — | 1.73 |
| LAFC to score in both halves | 41.3% | 42.3% | — | — | 2.36 |
| Sporting Kansas City to score in both halves | 10.5% | 14.1% | — | — | 7.11 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 48.7% | 50.5% | 61.1% | 0.83× | 1.98 |
| Only LAFC scores | 39.4% | 39.9% | 12.3% | 3.25× | 2.51 |
| Only Sporting Kansas City scores | 6.1% | 7.2% | 21.1% | 0.34× | 13.92 |
| Neither team scores | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 1.23× | 13.92 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 23.4% | 22.6% | 19.7% | 1.15× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.4% | 22.6% | 22.9% | 0.99× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 16.3% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 1.09× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 15.0% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 0.82× | 8.27 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 9.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 0.75× | 13.08 |
| 6 or more goals | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 0.69× | 13.08 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 1.31× | 13.09 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 51.7% | 51.3% | — | — | 1.95 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 30.4% | 33.4% | — | — | 3.00 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 17.9% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.83 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City not to win both halves | 98.1% | 97.3% | — | — | 1.03 |
| LAFC not to win both halves | 73.7% | 72.9% | — | — | 1.37 |
| LAFC to win both halves | 26.3% | 27.1% | — | — | 3.69 |
| Sporting Kansas City to win both halves | 1.9% | 2.7% | — | — | 36.49 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC to win either half | 76.7% | 79.6% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Sporting Kansas City to win neither half | 74.8% | 73.1% | — | — | 1.37 |
| Sporting Kansas City to win either half | 25.2% | 26.9% | — | — | 3.72 |
| LAFC to win neither half | 23.3% | 20.4% | — | — | 4.91 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City not to win to nil | 93.9% | 92.1% | 78.9% | 1.17× | 1.09 |
| LAFC not to win to nil | 60.6% | 66.7% | 87.7% | 0.76× | 1.50 |
| LAFC to win to nil | 39.4% | 33.3% | 12.3% | 2.72× | 3.00 |
| Sporting Kansas City to win to nil | 6.1% | 7.9% | 21.1% | 0.38× | 12.60 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAFC by 1 | 23.9% | 24.2% | 16.8% | 1.43× | 4.14 |
| LAFC by 3+ | 23.1% | 24.1% | 4.6% | 5.27× | 4.14 |
| LAFC by 2 | 20.7% | 24.1% | 8.7% | 2.77× | 4.14 |
| Draw | 19.9% | 16.9% | 24.9% | 0.68× | 5.91 |
| Sporting Kansas City by 1 | 8.7% | 7.3% | 22.2% | 0.33× | 13.78 |
| Sporting Kansas City by 2 | 2.9% | 2.7% | 12.8% | 0.21× | 36.99 |
| Sporting Kansas City by 3+ | 0.8% | 2.7% | 10.5% | 0.26× | 37.06 |