Sporting Kansas City v Philadelphia Union — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Sporting Kansas City

20:30

Philadelphia Union

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 329h before kick-off

Sporting Kansas City win

21.0%

model 20.1%

Draw

21.1%

model 22.5%

Philadelphia Union win

57.8%

model 57.4%

212158

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (282 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.5%
1-2 9.9%
0-2 9.1%
0-1 8.8%
1-3 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	59.1%	Under 2.5	40.9%
BTTS yes	57.6%	BTTS no	42.4%
Sporting Kansas City 1+	66.4%	Sporting Kansas City 2+	29.7%
Philadelphia Union 1+	86.1%	Philadelphia Union 2+	58.6%

Expected goals 1.09 – 1.97. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

56/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Philadelphia Union (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 30%

56.9% fair odds 1.76

strong signal · 920 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Philadelphia Union not to win both halves

Win both halves

82.8% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 588 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Philadelphia Union carry the stronger rating, 1532 Elo against 1302.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Philadelphia Union have an estimated 57.8% win probability, against 21.1% for the draw and 21.0% for Sporting Kansas City. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.09 for Sporting Kansas City and 1.97 for Philadelphia Union.

Why Sporting Kansas City

Nothing in the data singles out Sporting Kansas City.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.1%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Philadelphia Union can win

Philadelphia Union carry the stronger rating, 1532 Elo against 1302. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Sporting Kansas City, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Philadelphia Union, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Sporting Kansas City: 41% possession, 9.2 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Philadelphia Union: 50% possession, 18.4 shots a match, 9.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Philadelphia Union are the model's most likely outcome at 57.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.5%. Confidence 56/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	202257	1.09–1.97	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	202159	1.17–2.15	1-2 10%	65%	61%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union to win	59.4%	54.1%	29.9%	1.81×	1.85
Draw	21.1%	24.4%	24.9%	0.98×	4.09
Sporting Kansas City to win	19.5%	19.4%	45.4%	0.43×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union & both teams score	32.4%	29.7%	17.8%	1.67×	3.37
Philadelphia Union & not both score	27.0%	25.2%	12.3%	2.05×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	17.1%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
Sporting Kansas City & both teams score	11.9%	13.3%	24.4%	0.54×	7.54
Sporting Kansas City & not both score	7.6%	8.4%	21.1%	0.40×	11.93
Draw & not both score	4.0%	4.9%	5.8%	0.83×	20.56

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union & over 1.5	52.0%	48.7%	23.5%	2.08×	2.05
Philadelphia Union & over 2.5	43.7%	40.3%	20.3%	1.99×	2.48
Philadelphia Union & under 3.5	31.5%	30.9%	18.8%	1.64×	3.24
Philadelphia Union & over 3.5	27.9%	26.0%	11.2%	2.32×	3.84
Draw & over 1.5	17.1%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Sporting Kansas City & over 1.5	15.7%	18.0%	37.1%	0.48×	5.56
Philadelphia Union & under 2.5	15.7%	18.0%	9.7%	1.85×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	13.5%	12.9%	16.0%	0.80×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	13.5%	12.9%	16.0%	0.80×	7.77
Sporting Kansas City & over 2.5	13.2%	12.9%	30.9%	0.42×	7.77
Sporting Kansas City & under 3.5	12.6%	12.9%	28.3%	0.45×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	7.6%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.6%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.70
Philadelphia Union & under 1.5	7.4%	7.9%	6.5%	1.21×	12.70
Sporting Kansas City & under 2.5	6.3%	7.9%	14.5%	0.54×	12.70
Sporting Kansas City & over 3.5	7.0%	7.9%	17.2%	0.46×	12.70
Sporting Kansas City & under 1.5	3.8%	4.8%	8.4%	0.57×	20.94
Draw & under 1.5	4.0%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union (1UP)	73.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Sporting Kansas City (1UP)	39.9%	34.6%	—	—	2.89

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union (2UP)	59.4%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Sporting Kansas City (2UP)	19.5%	17.6%	—	—	5.67

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union to win 2nd half	51.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
2nd half drawn	29.4%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Sporting Kansas City to win 2nd half	19.1%	19.1%	—	—	5.23

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union (+2.5)	97.7%	96.3%	89.5%	1.08×	1.04
Philadelphia Union (+1.5)	92.4%	92.1%	76.7%	1.20×	1.09
Philadelphia Union (+0.5)	80.5%	82.4%	54.6%	1.51×	1.21
Philadelphia Union (-0.5)	59.4%	57.0%	29.9%	1.91×	1.75
Sporting Kansas City (+0.5)	40.6%	43.0%	70.1%	0.61×	2.33
Sporting Kansas City (-0.5)	19.5%	17.6%	45.4%	0.39×	5.68
Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)	7.6%	7.9%	23.3%	0.34×	12.63
Sporting Kansas City (-2.5)	2.3%	3.7%	10.5%	0.35×	26.92

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union to concede	69.0%	72.5%	82.0%	0.88×	1.38
Philadelphia Union clean sheet	31.0%	27.5%	18.0%	1.53×	3.64

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union clean sheet in 1st half	60.5%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Philadelphia Union to concede in 1st half	39.5%	35.3%	—	—	2.84

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union over 2.5 corners	85.1%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Philadelphia Union over 3.5 corners	72.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Philadelphia Union under 6.5 corners	67.3%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Philadelphia Union over 4.5 corners	58.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Philadelphia Union under 5.5 corners	55.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Philadelphia Union over 5.5 corners	44.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Philadelphia Union under 4.5 corners	41.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Philadelphia Union over 6.5 corners	32.7%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Philadelphia Union under 3.5 corners	27.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Philadelphia Union under 2.5 corners	14.9%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union over 0.5 goals	88.4%	87.9%	73.2%	1.20×	1.14
Philadelphia Union under 3.5 goals	82.9%	81.4%	93.9%	0.87×	1.23
Philadelphia Union under 2.5 goals	63.5%	63.0%	83.3%	0.76×	1.59
Philadelphia Union over 1.5 goals	63.4%	63.0%	38.7%	1.63×	1.59
Philadelphia Union under 1.5 goals	36.6%	37.0%	61.3%	0.60×	2.70
Philadelphia Union over 2.5 goals	36.5%	37.0%	16.7%	2.21×	2.70
Philadelphia Union over 3.5 goals	17.1%	18.6%	6.1%	3.06×	5.38
Philadelphia Union under 0.5 goals	11.6%	12.1%	26.8%	0.45×	8.26

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union under 1.5 in 1st half	78.7%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Philadelphia Union over 0.5 in 1st half	57.8%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Philadelphia Union under 0.5 in 1st half	42.3%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Philadelphia Union over 1.5 in 1st half	21.3%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	51.9%	51.2%	35.4%	1.45×	1.95
Sporting Kansas City (away no bet)	48.1%	48.8%	64.6%	0.76×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union even goals	50.7%	52.8%	53.6%	0.98×	1.89
Philadelphia Union odd goals	49.3%	47.2%	46.4%	1.02×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	76.9%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	23.1%	17.9%	—	—	5.60

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.0%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	25.0%	32.5%	—	—	3.07

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	67.6%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Philadelphia Union to score 2+ in a row	54.4%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Either team to score 3+ in a row	30.4%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Philadelphia Union to score 3+ in a row	25.6%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Sporting Kansas City to score 2+ in a row	22.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Sporting Kansas City to score 3+ in a row	5.3%	5.6%	—	—	17.86

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union corners (+3.5)	92.1%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Philadelphia Union corners (+2.5)	87.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Philadelphia Union corners (+1.5)	80.3%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Sporting Kansas City corners (+3.5)	70.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Sporting Kansas City corners (+2.5)	60.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Philadelphia Union corners (-1.5)	50.2%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Sporting Kansas City corners (+1.5)	49.8%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Philadelphia Union corners (-2.5)	39.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Philadelphia Union corners (-3.5)	29.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Sporting Kansas City corners (-1.5)	19.7%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Sporting Kansas City corners (-2.5)	12.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Sporting Kansas City corners (-3.5)	7.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.5%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
9-11 corners	29.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	26.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	80.6%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	73.5%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	66.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	65.0%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	55.5%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	55.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	44.9%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	44.5%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	35.0%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 7.5 corners	33.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 11.5 corners	26.5%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	19.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-2	8.4%	7.4%	3.3%	2.23×	13.48
1-1	9.5%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.48
1-2	9.8%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.48
0-1	7.4%	7.4%	6.5%	1.14×	13.48
1-3	7.0%	7.4%	3.4%	2.16×	13.48
Any other score	7.4%	7.4%	4.7%	1.58×	13.48
0-3	6.0%	7.4%	1.8%	4.05×	13.48
2-1	5.3%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.48
2-2	5.7%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.48
0-0	4.0%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.47
0-4	3.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.47
1-0	3.8%	1.7%	8.4%	0.20×	58.47
1-4	3.8%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.47
2-0	2.5%	1.7%	6.3%	0.27×	58.48
2-3	4.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.47
2-4	2.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.48
3-0	1.0%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.48
3-1	2.1%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.48
3-2	2.2%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.48
3-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.48
3-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.49×	58.48
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.49
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.49
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.49
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.73×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union leading at HT (DNB)	67.4%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Sporting Kansas City leading at HT (DNB)	32.6%	26.1%	—	—	3.83

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union or draw (X2)	80.5%	80.6%	54.6%	1.48×	1.24
Sporting Kansas City or Philadelphia Union (12)	78.9%	75.6%	75.1%	1.01×	1.32
Sporting Kansas City or draw (1X)	40.6%	45.9%	70.1%	0.65×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union or draw at HT	79.8%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Sporting Kansas City or Philadelphia Union at HT	62.0%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Sporting Kansas City or draw at HT	58.2%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union or draw (1UP)	80.5%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Sporting Kansas City or draw (1UP)	40.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union or draw in 2nd half	80.9%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Sporting Kansas City or Philadelphia Union in 2nd half	70.6%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Sporting Kansas City or draw in 2nd half	48.5%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	55.8%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Neither half drawn	44.2%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union (DNB)	75.3%	74.5%	39.7%	1.88×	1.34
Sporting Kansas City (DNB)	24.7%	25.5%	60.3%	0.42×	3.93

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union to score first	62.2%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Sporting Kansas City to score first	33.8%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
No goal scored	4.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.28

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	61.4%	56.5%	61.1%	0.93×	1.77
Not both teams to score	38.6%	43.5%	38.9%	1.12×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	51.9%	47.1%	50.9%	0.93×	2.13
Not both score & under 2.5	26.0%	33.6%	29.9%	1.12×	2.98
Not both score & over 2.5	12.6%	12.3%	9.2%	1.35×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	9.5%	8.4%	10.3%	0.81×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	79.3%	80.0%	79.5%	1.01×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	20.7%	20.0%	20.5%	0.98×	5.00

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	64.6%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Both teams to score in 2nd half	35.4%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	49.7%	53.6%	—	—	1.87
Both score 2nd half only	27.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Both score 1st half only	14.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.27
Both score in both halves	8.1%	6.8%	—	—	14.70

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	77.1%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	22.9%	18.5%	—	—	5.40

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	64.1%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
A half without a goal	35.9%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.3%	42.1%	42.5%	0.99×	2.38
4-6 goals	37.3%	35.1%	33.1%	1.06×	2.85
0-1 goals	15.2%	20.2%	20.5%	0.98×	4.96
7+ goals	5.2%	7.6%	4.1%	1.83×	13.24

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union to score 3+	36.5%	36.0%	16.7%	2.15×	2.78
Philadelphia Union to score exactly 2	26.9%	27.4%	22.1%	1.24×	3.65
Philadelphia Union to score exactly 1	25.0%	27.4%	34.6%	0.79×	3.65
Philadelphia Union to score exactly 0	11.6%	12.8%	26.8%	0.48×	7.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City to score exactly 1	36.3%	35.6%	31.0%	1.15×	2.81
Sporting Kansas City to score exactly 0	31.0%	32.6%	18.0%	1.82×	3.06
Sporting Kansas City to score exactly 2	21.2%	23.2%	26.0%	0.89×	4.30
Sporting Kansas City to score 3+	11.4%	14.3%	25.2%	0.57×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union leading at HT	41.8%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Draw at HT	38.0%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Sporting Kansas City leading at HT	20.2%	20.0%	—	—	4.99

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union -1: 1	40.6%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
Philadelphia Union -1: 2	37.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Philadelphia Union -1: X	22.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union (0:1)	80.5%	77.5%	54.6%	1.42×	1.29
Draw (0:1)	11.9%	13.8%	22.2%	0.62×	7.23
Sporting Kansas City (0:1)	7.6%	9.2%	23.3%	0.40×	10.87

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union (0:2)	92.4%	90.8%	76.7%	1.18×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	5.3%	7.7%	12.8%	0.60×	12.97
Sporting Kansas City (0:2)	2.3%	3.8%	10.5%	0.36×	26.62

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union (0:3)	97.7%	96.6%	89.5%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.7%	2.4%	6.6%	0.36×	42.19
Sporting Kansas City (0:3)	0.6%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.24

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union (0:4)	99.4%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.63
Sporting Kansas City (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.67

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City (1:0)	40.6%	42.8%	70.1%	0.61×	2.33
Philadelphia Union (1:0)	37.2%	37.3%	13.2%	2.83×	2.68
Draw (1:0)	22.2%	21.8%	16.8%	1.29×	4.59

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City (2:0)	62.8%	66.9%	86.8%	0.77×	1.50
Philadelphia Union (2:0)	19.2%	15.7%	4.6%	3.43×	6.36
Draw (2:0)	18.0%	15.7%	8.7%	1.80×	6.37

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	26.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	22.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City to concede	88.4%	86.2%	73.2%	1.18×	1.16
Sporting Kansas City clean sheet	11.6%	13.8%	26.8%	0.52×	7.23

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City to concede in 1st half	57.8%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Sporting Kansas City clean sheet in 1st half	42.3%	37.6%	—	—	2.66

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City under 6.5 corners	86.8%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Sporting Kansas City under 5.5 corners	77.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Sporting Kansas City over 2.5 corners	68.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Sporting Kansas City under 4.5 corners	65.3%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
Sporting Kansas City over 3.5 corners	50.9%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Sporting Kansas City under 3.5 corners	49.1%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Sporting Kansas City over 4.5 corners	34.7%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
Sporting Kansas City under 2.5 corners	31.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Sporting Kansas City over 5.5 corners	22.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Sporting Kansas City over 6.5 corners	13.2%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City under 3.5 goals	96.9%	96.4%	90.6%	1.06×	1.04
Sporting Kansas City under 2.5 goals	88.6%	87.3%	74.8%	1.17×	1.15
Sporting Kansas City over 0.5 goals	69.0%	67.9%	82.0%	0.83×	1.47
Sporting Kansas City under 1.5 goals	67.4%	67.9%	48.9%	1.39×	1.47
Sporting Kansas City over 1.5 goals	32.7%	32.1%	51.1%	0.63×	3.11
Sporting Kansas City under 0.5 goals	31.0%	32.1%	18.0%	1.79×	3.11
Sporting Kansas City over 2.5 goals	11.4%	12.7%	25.2%	0.51×	7.85
Sporting Kansas City over 3.5 goals	3.1%	3.6%	9.4%	0.39×	27.47

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City under 1.5 in 1st half	90.9%	95.3%	—	—	1.05
Sporting Kansas City under 0.5 in 1st half	60.5%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Sporting Kansas City over 0.5 in 1st half	39.5%	35.5%	—	—	2.82
Sporting Kansas City over 1.5 in 1st half	9.1%	4.7%	—	—	21.10

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union (home no bet)	73.8%	66.6%	54.6%	1.22×	1.50
Draw (home no bet)	26.2%	33.4%	45.4%	0.74×	3.00

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City even goals	54.8%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.97
Sporting Kansas City odd goals	45.2%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.6%	28.8%	—	—	3.48
HT 0-1	21.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 1-0	12.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 1-1	11.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 0-2	9.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
Any other HT score	7.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 1-2	4.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.26
HT 2-0	3.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.37
HT 2-1	2.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.41
HT 2-2	1.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.52

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union at HT / Philadelphia Union at FT	35.9%	40.8%	—	—	2.45
Draw at HT / Philadelphia Union at FT	19.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Sporting Kansas City at HT / Sporting Kansas City at FT	10.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Sporting Kansas City at FT	7.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.68
Sporting Kansas City at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.74
Philadelphia Union at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Sporting Kansas City at HT / Philadelphia Union at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Philadelphia Union at HT / Sporting Kansas City at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.90

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union to score last	62.3%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Sporting Kansas City to score last	33.7%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
No goal scored	4.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.28

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.0%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Philadelphia Union to lead by 1 at any time	73.7%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	57.9%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Philadelphia Union to lead by 2 at any time	45.0%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Sporting Kansas City to lead by 1 at any time	39.9%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	26.4%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Philadelphia Union to lead by 3 at any time	22.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Sporting Kansas City to lead by 2 at any time	13.3%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Sporting Kansas City to lead by 3 at any time	3.7%	1.6%	—	—	60.70

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union most corners	61.2%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Sporting Kansas City most corners	28.4%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Corners level	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.62

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.0%	83.5%	83.2%	1.00×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.6%	78.6%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.9%	72.4%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
1-4 goals	71.9%	72.4%	73.1%	0.99×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.7%	63.4%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
3-6 goals	59.3%	59.2%	55.9%	1.06×	1.69
1-3 goals	53.5%	53.2%	57.2%	0.93×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.6%	53.2%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.3%	43.6%	42.5%	1.03×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.4%	43.6%	38.8%	1.12×	2.30
4-6 goals	37.3%	39.1%	33.1%	1.18×	2.55
1-2 goals	31.5%	35.4%	34.4%	1.03×	2.83
4-5 goals	30.5%	35.4%	26.1%	1.35×	2.83
5-6 goals	18.9%	18.6%	17.2%	1.08×	5.37
7+ goals	5.2%	8.7%	4.1%	2.12×	11.46

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union never behind	56.1%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Sporting Kansas City never behind	22.4%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.1%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.9%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.4%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.6%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.0%	95.5%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	88.0%	87.6%	88.9%	0.99×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	84.8%	82.4%	79.5%	1.04×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	75.9%	77.3%	78.8%	0.98×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	64.5%	61.8%	59.9%	1.03×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	57.5%	58.8%	62.9%	0.94×	1.70
Over 3.5 goals	42.5%	41.2%	37.1%	1.11×	2.43
Under 2.5 goals	35.5%	38.2%	40.1%	0.95×	2.62
Over 4.5 goals	24.1%	22.7%	21.2%	1.07×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	15.2%	17.6%	20.5%	0.86×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	12.0%	12.4%	11.1%	1.11×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	4.0%	4.5%	5.8%	0.77×	22.20

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.4%	92.5%	95.6%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	86.4%	86.7%	87.6%	0.99×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	81.0%	81.0%	74.5%	1.09×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	70.4%	72.6%	74.8%	0.97×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	54.5%	51.8%	48.1%	1.08×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	45.5%	48.2%	51.9%	0.93×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	29.6%	27.4%	25.2%	1.09×	3.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	19.1%	19.0%	25.5%	0.74×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	13.6%	13.3%	12.4%	1.07×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.6%	7.5%	4.4%	1.70×	13.28

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.2%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.4%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	60.3%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	39.7%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.6%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.8%	13.7%	—	—	7.31

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.8%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	68.8%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	58.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	41.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	31.2%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.2%	14.7%	—	—	6.79

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City not to score in both halves	80.8%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Philadelphia Union not to score in both halves	58.1%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Philadelphia Union to score in both halves	41.9%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Sporting Kansas City to score in both halves	19.2%	15.8%	—	—	6.34

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	61.4%	60.2%	61.1%	0.99×	1.66
Only Philadelphia Union scores	27.0%	26.1%	12.3%	2.13×	3.83
Only Sporting Kansas City scores	7.6%	7.2%	21.1%	0.34×	13.91
Neither team scores	4.0%	4.6%	5.8%	0.78×	21.82

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	20.3%	22.6%	19.7%	1.15×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	18.3%	17.4%	16.0%	1.09×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	12.2%	12.1%	10.2%	1.19×	8.28
6 or more goals	12.0%	12.1%	11.1%	1.09×	8.28
Exactly 1 goals	11.2%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	4.0%	4.4%	5.8%	0.76×	22.66

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	58.4%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
1 goal in 2nd half	27.4%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
No goals in 2nd half	14.2%	14.5%	—	—	6.88

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City not to win both halves	96.1%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Philadelphia Union not to win both halves	78.4%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Philadelphia Union to win both halves	21.6%	24.6%	—	—	4.06
Sporting Kansas City to win both halves	3.9%	2.8%	—	—	35.60

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union to win either half	71.7%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Sporting Kansas City to win neither half	64.6%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Sporting Kansas City to win either half	35.4%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Philadelphia Union to win neither half	28.3%	27.1%	—	—	3.69

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sporting Kansas City not to win to nil	92.4%	92.0%	78.9%	1.17×	1.09
Philadelphia Union not to win to nil	73.0%	75.3%	87.7%	0.86×	1.33
Philadelphia Union to win to nil	27.0%	24.7%	12.3%	2.01×	4.05
Sporting Kansas City to win to nil	7.6%	8.0%	21.1%	0.38×	12.56

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Philadelphia Union by 1	22.2%	24.1%	16.8%	1.43×	4.14
Draw	21.1%	24.1%	24.9%	0.97×	4.14
Philadelphia Union by 3+	19.2%	16.9%	4.6%	3.70×	5.91
Philadelphia Union by 2	18.0%	16.9%	8.7%	1.94×	5.91
Sporting Kansas City by 1	11.9%	11.8%	22.2%	0.53×	8.48
Sporting Kansas City by 2	5.3%	7.3%	12.8%	0.57×	13.79
Sporting Kansas City by 3+	2.3%	2.7%	10.5%	0.26×	37.01