St Johnstone v Falkirk — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

St Johnstone

10:00

Falkirk

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 294h before kick-off

St Johnstone win

44.1%

model 40.9%

Draw

27.5%

model 26.3%

Falkirk win

28.4%

model 32.8%

442828

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.5%
1-0 10.1%
0-1 8.8%
2-1 8.7%
1-2 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	48.6%	Under 2.5	51.4%
BTTS yes	53.2%	BTTS no	46.8%
St Johnstone 1+	75.3%	St Johnstone 2+	40.7%
Falkirk 1+	70.5%	Falkirk 2+	34.5%

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.22. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 43%

53.7% fair odds 1.86

moderate signal · 1085 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1227 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out St Johnstone.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

St Johnstone have an estimated 44.1% win probability, against 28.4% for Falkirk and 27.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.40 for St Johnstone and 1.22 for Falkirk.

Why St Johnstone

Nothing in the data singles out St Johnstone.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.5%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.40 to 1.22. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Falkirk can win

Falkirk carry the stronger rating, 1436 Elo against 1355.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for St Johnstone, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Falkirk, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

St Johnstone: 54% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Falkirk: 49% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

St Johnstone are the model's most likely outcome at 44.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.5%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	412633	1.40–1.22	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	402635	1.44–1.33	1-1 12%	52%	56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to win	39.7%	36.4%	45.9%	0.79×	2.74
Falkirk to win	34.8%	30.4%	30.9%	0.98×	3.29
Draw	25.5%	27.9%	23.4%	1.19×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone & not both score	20.1%	21.9%	27.4%	0.80×	4.57
St Johnstone & both teams score	19.6%	17.9%	18.7%	0.96×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	19.2%	17.9%	17.8%	1.00×	5.58
Falkirk & both teams score	17.4%	17.9%	16.4%	1.09×	5.58
Falkirk & not both score	17.4%	17.9%	14.7%	1.22×	5.58
Draw & not both score	6.3%	8.4%	5.8%	1.44×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone & over 1.5	30.7%	30.9%	36.7%	0.84×	3.24
St Johnstone & under 3.5	27.2%	26.0%	30.1%	0.87×	3.84
Falkirk & over 1.5	26.5%	26.0%	24.5%	1.06×	3.84
Falkirk & under 3.5	24.3%	21.7%	22.4%	0.97×	4.62
St Johnstone & over 2.5	24.2%	21.7%	28.2%	0.77×	4.62
Falkirk & over 2.5	20.9%	21.7%	20.5%	1.05×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.2%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	18.4%	18.0%	14.9%	1.20×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.4%	18.0%	14.9%	1.20×	5.56
St Johnstone & under 2.5	15.5%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Falkirk & under 2.5	13.9%	12.9%	10.6%	1.22×	7.77
St Johnstone & over 3.5	12.5%	12.9%	16.0%	0.81×	7.77
Falkirk & over 3.5	10.5%	12.9%	8.7%	1.48×	7.77
St Johnstone & under 1.5	9.0%	7.9%	9.3%	0.84×	12.69
Falkirk & under 1.5	8.3%	7.9%	6.6%	1.19×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	6.3%	7.9%	5.8%	1.36×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	7.1%	7.9%	8.7%	0.90×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.1%	7.9%	8.7%	0.90×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (1UP)	56.5%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Falkirk (1UP)	52.3%	52.6%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (2UP)	39.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Falkirk (2UP)	34.8%	31.1%	—	—	3.22

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	35.1%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
St Johnstone to win 2nd half	33.0%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Falkirk to win 2nd half	31.8%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (+2.5)	92.9%	92.1%	87.8%	1.05×	1.09
Falkirk (+1.5)	81.2%	82.4%	73.4%	1.12×	1.21
St Johnstone (+0.5)	65.2%	68.7%	69.1%	0.99×	1.46
Falkirk (+0.5)	60.3%	62.9%	54.1%	1.16×	1.59
St Johnstone (-0.5)	39.7%	37.1%	45.9%	0.81×	2.70
Falkirk (-0.5)	34.8%	31.3%	30.9%	1.01×	3.20
St Johnstone (-1.5)	18.8%	17.6%	26.6%	0.66×	5.68
St Johnstone (-2.5)	7.1%	7.9%	12.2%	0.65×	12.64

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to concede	76.2%	79.0%	79.7%	0.99×	1.27
Falkirk clean sheet	23.8%	21.0%	20.3%	1.03×	4.76

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to concede in 1st half	46.1%	50.6%	—	—	1.97
Falkirk clean sheet in 1st half	53.9%	49.4%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk over 2.5 corners	80.8%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Falkirk under 6.5 corners	77.5%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Falkirk over 3.5 corners	65.6%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Falkirk under 5.5 corners	65.6%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Falkirk under 4.5 corners	50.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Falkirk over 4.5 corners	49.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Falkirk under 3.5 corners	34.4%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Falkirk over 5.5 corners	34.4%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Falkirk over 6.5 corners	22.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Falkirk under 2.5 corners	19.2%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 3.5 goals	95.4%	97.5%	96.3%	1.01×	1.03
Falkirk under 2.5 goals	85.0%	87.9%	85.5%	1.03×	1.14
Falkirk over 0.5 goals	73.6%	72.0%	67.0%	1.07×	1.39
Falkirk under 1.5 goals	61.6%	62.9%	63.1%	1.00×	1.59
Falkirk over 1.5 goals	38.4%	37.1%	36.9%	1.00×	2.70
Falkirk under 0.5 goals	26.4%	28.0%	33.0%	0.85×	3.57
Falkirk over 2.5 goals	15.0%	12.1%	14.5%	0.84×	8.24
Falkirk over 3.5 goals	4.6%	2.5%	3.7%	0.66×	40.63

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk under 1.5 in 1st half	90.0%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Falkirk under 0.5 in 1st half	58.7%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Falkirk over 0.5 in 1st half	41.3%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Falkirk over 1.5 in 1st half	10.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.25

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (away no bet)	60.8%	62.1%	66.2%	0.94×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	39.2%	37.9%	33.8%	1.12×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk even goals	53.5%	52.8%	57.7%	0.92×	1.89
Falkirk odd goals	46.5%	47.2%	42.3%	1.12×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.7%	83.0%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.3%	17.0%	—	—	5.90

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.7%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals	35.3%	41.8%	—	—	2.39

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	56.2%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
St Johnstone to score 2+ in a row	33.3%	29.0%	—	—	3.45
Falkirk to score 2+ in a row	29.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.5%	16.4%	—	—	6.10
St Johnstone to score 3+ in a row	10.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.24
Falkirk to score 3+ in a row	8.9%	5.7%	—	—	17.57

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk corners (+3.5)	86.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
St Johnstone corners (+3.5)	83.1%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Falkirk corners (+2.5)	78.6%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
St Johnstone corners (+2.5)	74.9%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Falkirk corners (+1.5)	69.2%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
St Johnstone corners (+1.5)	64.9%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Falkirk corners (-1.5)	35.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
St Johnstone corners (-1.5)	30.8%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Falkirk corners (-2.5)	25.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
St Johnstone corners (-2.5)	21.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Falkirk corners (-3.5)	16.9%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
St Johnstone corners (-3.5)	14.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	44.4%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
9-11 corners	30.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	24.8%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.4%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	75.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	67.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	66.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	55.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	55.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	44.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	44.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	33.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	33.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 11.5 corners	24.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	17.6%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.1%	11.5%	9.3%	1.23×	8.73
1-0	9.0%	7.4%	9.3%	0.79×	13.48
2-1	8.6%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.48
0-1	8.3%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.48
1-2	8.0%	7.4%	8.9%	0.83×	13.48
0-0	6.3%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.48
0-2	5.6%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.48
2-0	6.5%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.48
2-2	5.7%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.48
3-2	2.7%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.47
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.48
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.4%	4.12×	58.49
4-0	1.1%	1.7%	3.5%	0.48×	58.48
4-1	1.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.18×	58.48
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	0.6%	2.75×	58.48
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.24×	58.49
Any other score	2.7%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.47
0-3	2.5%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.48
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.4%	4.12×	58.49
1-3	3.5%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.47
1-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.48
2-3	2.5%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.48
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.06×	58.49
3-0	3.1%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.47
3-1	4.1%	1.7%	5.6%	0.31×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone leading at HT (DNB)	54.9%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Falkirk leading at HT (DNB)	45.1%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone or Falkirk (12)	74.5%	72.1%	76.6%	0.94×	1.39
St Johnstone or draw (1X)	65.2%	69.6%	69.1%	1.01×	1.44
Falkirk or draw (X2)	60.3%	63.6%	54.1%	1.17×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone or draw at HT	74.3%	74.4%	—	—	1.34
Falkirk or draw at HT	68.7%	66.5%	—	—	1.51
St Johnstone or Falkirk at HT	57.0%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone or draw (1UP)	65.2%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Falkirk or draw (1UP)	60.3%	71.5%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone or draw in 2nd half	68.2%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Falkirk or draw in 2nd half	67.0%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
St Johnstone or Falkirk in 2nd half	64.9%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.0%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	37.0%	38.4%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (DNB)	53.3%	51.0%	59.7%	0.85×	1.96
Falkirk (DNB)	46.7%	49.0%	40.3%	1.22×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to score first	48.6%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Falkirk to score first	45.0%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
No goal scored	6.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.37

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	56.1%	54.9%	52.5%	1.05×	1.82
Not both teams to score	43.9%	45.1%	47.5%	0.95×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	44.1%	41.6%	43.4%	0.96×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	35.7%	38.5%	33.8%	1.14×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.1%	12.3%	9.3%	1.32×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.2%	8.4%	13.9%	0.60×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.8%	83.1%	83.8%	0.99×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	16.2%	16.9%	16.2%	1.05×	5.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.09

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.1%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Both score 2nd half only	24.9%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Both score 1st half only	13.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	5.8%	6.8%	—	—	14.82

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.0%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Both teams to score by HT	19.0%	17.7%	—	—	5.66

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	54.8%	53.6%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	45.2%	46.5%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.3%	47.4%	45.9%	1.03×	2.11
4-6 goals	27.8%	26.5%	31.3%	0.84×	3.78
0-1 goals	23.6%	22.8%	21.4%	1.07×	4.38
7+ goals	2.3%	1.8%	1.9%	0.98×	54.57

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk to score exactly 1	35.2%	36.0%	30.3%	1.19×	2.78
Falkirk to score exactly 0	26.4%	27.4%	33.0%	0.83×	3.65
Falkirk to score exactly 2	23.4%	22.4%	22.6%	0.99×	4.46
Falkirk to score 3+	15.0%	12.8%	14.5%	0.88×	7.79

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to score exactly 1	34.2%	32.7%	31.1%	1.05×	3.06
St Johnstone to score exactly 2	24.5%	23.3%	25.1%	0.93×	4.30
St Johnstone to score exactly 0	23.8%	23.2%	20.3%	1.14×	4.30
St Johnstone to score 3+	17.5%	18.9%	23.9%	0.79×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.0%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
St Johnstone leading at HT	31.3%	33.5%	—	—	2.98
Falkirk leading at HT	25.7%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone -1: 2	60.3%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
St Johnstone -1: X	20.8%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
St Johnstone -1: 1	18.8%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (0:1)	60.3%	61.4%	54.1%	1.13×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	20.8%	24.3%	19.5%	1.24×	4.12
St Johnstone (0:1)	18.8%	17.8%	26.6%	0.67×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (0:2)	81.2%	82.8%	73.4%	1.13×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.7%	11.0%	14.5%	0.75×	9.12
St Johnstone (0:2)	7.1%	7.7%	12.2%	0.63×	12.95

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (0:3)	92.9%	92.6%	87.8%	1.06×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.9%	2.4%	6.8%	0.35×	42.04
St Johnstone (0:3)	2.2%	2.4%	5.6%	0.42×	42.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (0:4)	97.8%	98.1%	94.4%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.6%	1.2%	4.8%	0.25×	83.49
St Johnstone (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	1.0%	1.15×	83.62

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (1:0)	65.2%	69.9%	69.1%	1.01×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	19.3%	17.0%	17.6%	0.97×	5.87
Falkirk (1:0)	15.5%	17.0%	13.5%	1.26×	5.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone (2:0)	84.5%	84.6%	86.5%	0.98×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.1%	10.4%	7.7%	1.35×	9.66
Falkirk (2:0)	5.5%	6.4%	6.0%	1.07×	15.51

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.14

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to concede	73.6%	73.1%	67.0%	1.09×	1.37
St Johnstone clean sheet	26.4%	26.9%	33.0%	0.82×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone clean sheet in 1st half	58.7%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
St Johnstone to concede in 1st half	41.3%	37.6%	—	—	2.66

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 6.5 corners	80.2%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
St Johnstone over 2.5 corners	78.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
St Johnstone under 5.5 corners	68.8%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
St Johnstone over 3.5 corners	62.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
St Johnstone under 4.5 corners	54.2%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
St Johnstone over 4.5 corners	45.8%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
St Johnstone under 3.5 corners	37.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
St Johnstone over 5.5 corners	31.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
St Johnstone under 2.5 corners	21.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
St Johnstone over 6.5 corners	19.8%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 3.5 goals	94.2%	92.3%	92.1%	1.00×	1.08
St Johnstone under 2.5 goals	82.5%	82.1%	76.1%	1.08×	1.22
St Johnstone over 0.5 goals	76.2%	77.7%	79.7%	0.98×	1.29
St Johnstone under 1.5 goals	57.9%	58.8%	51.2%	1.15×	1.70
St Johnstone over 1.5 goals	42.1%	41.2%	48.8%	0.84×	2.43
St Johnstone under 0.5 goals	23.8%	22.3%	20.3%	1.09×	4.49
St Johnstone over 2.5 goals	17.5%	17.9%	23.9%	0.75×	5.59
St Johnstone over 3.5 goals	5.8%	7.7%	7.9%	0.98×	12.93

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone under 1.5 in 1st half	87.2%	89.7%	—	—	1.11
St Johnstone over 0.5 in 1st half	46.1%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
St Johnstone under 0.5 in 1st half	53.9%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
St Johnstone over 1.5 in 1st half	12.8%	10.3%	—	—	9.74

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk (home no bet)	57.7%	56.7%	56.9%	1.00×	1.76
Draw (home no bet)	42.3%	43.3%	43.1%	1.00×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone even goals	52.8%	50.6%	51.7%	0.98×	1.98
St Johnstone odd goals	47.2%	49.4%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
HT 1-0	19.6%	18.8%	—	—	5.33
HT 0-1	16.8%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 1-1	10.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 2-0	6.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
HT 0-2	4.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.28
Any other HT score	4.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.31
HT 2-1	3.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.37
HT 1-2	2.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.41
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.55

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone at HT / St Johnstone at FT	23.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Falkirk at HT / Falkirk at FT	18.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / St Johnstone at FT	14.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Falkirk at FT	13.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
St Johnstone at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
Falkirk at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
St Johnstone at HT / Falkirk at FT	2.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Falkirk at HT / St Johnstone at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.87

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to score last	48.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Falkirk to score last	45.0%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
No goal scored	6.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.37

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.7%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
St Johnstone to lead by 1 at any time	56.5%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Falkirk to lead by 1 at any time	52.3%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.6%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
St Johnstone to lead by 2 at any time	25.2%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Falkirk to lead by 2 at any time	21.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.2%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
St Johnstone to lead by 3 at any time	9.1%	6.7%	—	—	14.98
Falkirk to lead by 3 at any time	7.2%	6.6%	—	—	15.07

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk most corners	46.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
St Johnstone most corners	41.8%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.4%	87.4%	86.9%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.9%	78.6%	79.7%	0.99×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.1%	72.4%	77.0%	0.94×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.2%	72.4%	71.4%	1.01×	1.38
1-3 goals	63.6%	63.4%	61.4%	1.03×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.7%	63.4%	64.1%	0.99×	1.58
3-6 goals	50.0%	48.7%	55.4%	0.88×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.3%	48.7%	45.9%	1.06×	2.06
3-5 goals	46.0%	48.7%	49.8%	0.98×	2.06
1-2 goals	41.4%	43.6%	37.3%	1.17×	2.30
3-4 goals	37.5%	39.1%	42.5%	0.92×	2.55
4-6 goals	27.8%	30.2%	31.3%	0.97×	3.31
4-5 goals	23.8%	24.5%	25.7%	0.95×	4.08
5-6 goals	12.4%	14.9%	13.1%	1.14×	6.72
7+ goals	2.3%	2.5%	1.9%	1.37×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone never behind	41.4%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Falkirk never behind	37.2%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.7%	50.8%	48.5%	1.05×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.3%	49.2%	51.5%	0.96×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.0%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	45.0%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.0%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.8%	92.3%	92.5%	1.00×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.7%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.3%	87.6%	85.3%	1.03×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	76.4%	77.3%	78.6%	0.98×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	69.9%	66.2%	67.0%	0.99×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	52.3%	52.5%	57.1%	0.92×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	47.7%	47.5%	42.9%	1.11×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	30.1%	33.8%	33.0%	1.02×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	23.6%	22.7%	21.4%	1.06×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	14.7%	12.4%	14.7%	0.84×	8.09
Over 5.5 goals	6.2%	7.7%	7.5%	1.04×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	6.3%	7.7%	5.8%	1.33×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.6%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.2%	92.5%	91.9%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.6%	81.1%	82.0%	0.99×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	68.9%	67.4%	72.8%	0.93×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	61.4%	62.1%	56.6%	1.10×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	38.6%	37.9%	43.4%	0.87×	2.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	31.1%	32.6%	27.2%	1.20×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.4%	18.9%	18.0%	1.05×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.8%	7.5%	8.1%	0.94×	13.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.4%	2.8%	2.0%	1.40×	36.15

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.0%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.3%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.1%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.9%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.7%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.12

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.1%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	48.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.1%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk not to score in both halves	77.3%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
St Johnstone not to score in both halves	74.2%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
St Johnstone to score in both halves	25.8%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Falkirk to score in both halves	22.7%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	56.1%	58.4%	52.5%	1.11×	1.71
Only St Johnstone scores	20.1%	22.3%	27.4%	0.81×	4.48
Only Falkirk scores	17.4%	16.1%	14.7%	1.09×	6.22
Neither team scores	6.3%	7.2%	5.8%	1.24×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.1%	22.6%	21.8%	1.04×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	24.3%	0.93×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	17.3%	17.4%	15.8%	1.11×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	15.4%	17.4%	18.5%	0.94×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	8.5%	7.6%	7.5%	1.02×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	6.3%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.09
6 or more goals	6.2%	7.6%	7.5%	1.02×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	48.1%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
1 goal in 2nd half	32.1%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	19.9%	17.2%	—	—	5.80

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk not to win both halves	91.8%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
St Johnstone not to win both halves	89.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
St Johnstone to win both halves	10.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Falkirk to win both halves	8.2%	6.1%	—	—	16.47

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Johnstone to win either half	54.0%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Falkirk to win neither half	50.6%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Falkirk to win either half	49.4%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
St Johnstone to win neither half	46.0%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Falkirk not to win to nil	82.6%	83.0%	85.3%	0.97×	1.20
St Johnstone not to win to nil	79.9%	78.1%	72.6%	1.08×	1.28
St Johnstone to win to nil	20.1%	21.9%	27.4%	0.80×	4.56
Falkirk to win to nil	17.4%	17.0%	14.7%	1.15×	5.89

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.5%	27.8%	23.4%	1.19×	3.59
St Johnstone by 1	20.8%	24.1%	19.5%	1.24×	4.14
Falkirk by 1	19.3%	16.9%	17.6%	0.96×	5.91
St Johnstone by 2	11.7%	11.8%	14.5%	0.81×	8.48
Falkirk by 2	10.1%	11.8%	7.7%	1.54×	8.48
St Johnstone by 3+	7.1%	7.3%	12.2%	0.59×	13.78
Falkirk by 3+	5.5%	7.3%	6.0%	1.21×	13.79