St. Louis City v San Diego — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

St. Louis City

15:00

San Diego

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,366h before kick-off

St. Louis City win

43.0%

model 41.0%

Draw

23.9%

model 24.5%

San Diego win

33.0%

model 34.5%

432433

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,353 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.1%
2-1 8.8%
1-2 8.0%
1-0 6.7%
2-2 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	60.7%	Under 2.5	39.3%
BTTS yes	63.0%	BTTS no	37.0%
St. Louis City 1+	80.7%	St. Louis City 2+	48.9%
San Diego 1+	77.5%	San Diego 2+	44.0%

Expected goals 1.64 – 1.49. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

55/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

St. Louis City have an estimated 43.0% win probability, against 33.0% for San Diego and 23.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.64 for St. Louis City and 1.49 for San Diego.

Why St. Louis City

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.9%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.64 to 1.49. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why San Diego can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for St. Louis City, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for San Diego, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

St. Louis City: 53% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. San Diego: 58% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 13.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

St. Louis City are the model's most likely outcome at 43.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.1%. Confidence 55/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	392537	1.59–1.55	1-1 11%	61%	63%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to win	38.6%	36.4%	45.4%	0.80×	2.74
San Diego to win	36.8%	36.4%	29.9%	1.22×	2.75
Draw	24.6%	24.5%	24.9%	0.98×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City & both teams score	22.1%	21.9%	24.4%	0.90×	4.57
San Diego & both teams score	21.2%	21.9%	17.8%	1.23×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	19.8%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
St. Louis City & not both score	16.4%	17.9%	21.1%	0.85×	5.58
San Diego & not both score	15.6%	17.9%	12.3%	1.46×	5.59
Draw & not both score	4.8%	4.9%	5.8%	0.83×	20.52

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City & over 1.5	32.2%	30.8%	37.1%	0.83×	3.24
San Diego & over 1.5	30.6%	30.8%	23.5%	1.31×	3.24
St. Louis City & over 2.5	26.7%	26.0%	30.9%	0.84×	3.84
San Diego & over 2.5	25.4%	26.0%	20.3%	1.28×	3.84
St. Louis City & under 3.5	23.3%	21.6%	28.3%	0.76×	4.62
San Diego & under 3.5	22.4%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.8%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.9%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.9%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
St. Louis City & over 3.5	15.3%	18.0%	17.2%	1.05×	5.56
San Diego & over 3.5	14.4%	12.9%	11.2%	1.15×	7.77
St. Louis City & under 2.5	11.9%	12.9%	14.5%	0.88×	7.77
San Diego & under 2.5	11.4%	12.9%	9.7%	1.32×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	8.7%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	8.7%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.70
St. Louis City & under 1.5	6.4%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.70
San Diego & under 1.5	6.2%	7.9%	6.5%	1.21×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	4.8%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.92

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (1UP)	57.4%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
San Diego (1UP)	55.9%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (2UP)	38.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
San Diego (2UP)	36.8%	37.2%	—	—	2.69

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego to win 2nd half	34.2%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
St. Louis City to win 2nd half	33.0%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
2nd half drawn	32.8%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego (+2.5)	92.2%	92.1%	89.5%	1.03×	1.09
San Diego (+1.5)	80.6%	82.4%	76.7%	1.07×	1.21
St. Louis City (+0.5)	63.2%	62.9%	70.1%	0.90×	1.59
San Diego (+0.5)	61.4%	62.9%	54.6%	1.15×	1.59
St. Louis City (-0.5)	38.6%	37.1%	45.4%	0.82×	2.69
San Diego (-0.5)	36.8%	37.1%	29.9%	1.24×	2.69
St. Louis City (-1.5)	19.4%	17.6%	23.3%	0.76×	5.68
St. Louis City (-2.5)	7.8%	7.9%	10.5%	0.75×	12.64

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego to concede	79.6%	79.0%	82.0%	0.96×	1.27
San Diego clean sheet	20.4%	21.0%	18.0%	1.17×	4.77

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego to concede in 1st half	49.5%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
San Diego clean sheet in 1st half	50.5%	49.4%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego under 6.5 corners	80.7%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
San Diego over 2.5 corners	75.7%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
San Diego under 5.5 corners	70.2%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
San Diego over 3.5 corners	59.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
San Diego under 4.5 corners	56.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
San Diego over 4.5 corners	43.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
San Diego under 3.5 corners	40.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
San Diego over 5.5 corners	29.8%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
San Diego under 2.5 corners	24.3%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
San Diego over 6.5 corners	19.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego under 3.5 goals	92.8%	92.3%	93.9%	0.98×	1.08
San Diego under 2.5 goals	79.6%	76.3%	83.3%	0.92×	1.31
San Diego over 0.5 goals	78.8%	76.2%	73.2%	1.04×	1.31
San Diego under 1.5 goals	54.1%	53.7%	61.3%	0.88×	1.86
San Diego over 1.5 goals	45.9%	46.3%	38.7%	1.20×	2.16
San Diego under 0.5 goals	21.2%	23.8%	26.8%	0.89×	4.21
San Diego over 2.5 goals	20.4%	23.7%	16.7%	1.42×	4.21
San Diego over 3.5 goals	7.2%	7.7%	6.1%	1.26×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego under 1.5 in 1st half	87.1%	89.4%	—	—	1.12
San Diego under 0.5 in 1st half	53.8%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
San Diego over 0.5 in 1st half	46.2%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
San Diego over 1.5 in 1st half	12.9%	10.6%	—	—	9.43

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (away no bet)	61.1%	62.1%	64.6%	0.96×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	38.9%	37.9%	35.4%	1.07×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego even goals	52.3%	52.8%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
San Diego odd goals	47.7%	47.2%	46.4%	1.02×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	79.5%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	20.5%	17.5%	—	—	5.73

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	72.0%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals	28.0%	32.9%	—	—	3.04

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	62.7%	59.7%	—	—	1.67
St. Louis City to score 2+ in a row	36.7%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
San Diego to score 2+ in a row	35.3%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
St. Louis City to score 3+ in a row	12.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
San Diego to score 3+ in a row	11.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.27

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City corners (+3.5)	85.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
San Diego corners (+3.5)	80.9%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
St. Louis City corners (+2.5)	78.9%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
San Diego corners (+2.5)	72.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
St. Louis City corners (+1.5)	70.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
San Diego corners (+1.5)	62.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
St. Louis City corners (-1.5)	37.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
San Diego corners (-1.5)	30.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
St. Louis City corners (-2.5)	27.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
San Diego corners (-2.5)	21.1%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
St. Louis City corners (-3.5)	19.1%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
San Diego corners (-3.5)	14.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	46.0%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	25.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	81.8%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	74.9%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 10.5 corners	66.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	65.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	56.7%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	54.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	46.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	43.3%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	35.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 10.5 corners	33.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 11.5 corners	25.1%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	18.2%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.1%	11.4%	10.3%	1.11×	8.74
2-1	8.5%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.47
1-2	8.3%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.47
2-2	6.6%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.47
0-1	6.2%	7.4%	6.5%	1.14×	13.47
0-2	5.2%	7.4%	3.3%	2.23×	13.47
1-0	6.4%	7.4%	8.4%	0.89×	13.47
2-0	5.5%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.47
0-0	4.8%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.50
0-3	2.7%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.51
0-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.52
1-3	4.3%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.50
1-4	1.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.51
2-3	3.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.50
2-4	1.3%	1.7%	1.7%	0.99×	58.52
3-0	2.9%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.51
3-1	4.5%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.50
3-2	3.5%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.50
3-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.51
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.49×	58.52
4-0	1.2%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.52
4-1	1.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.51
4-2	1.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.52
4-3	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.52
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.73×	58.52
Any other score	4.4%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.50

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City leading at HT (DNB)	53.3%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
San Diego leading at HT (DNB)	46.7%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City or San Diego (12)	75.4%	75.5%	75.1%	1.01×	1.32
St. Louis City or draw (1X)	63.2%	63.6%	70.1%	0.91×	1.57
San Diego or draw (X2)	61.4%	63.6%	54.6%	1.16×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City or draw at HT	72.0%	74.5%	—	—	1.34
San Diego or draw at HT	68.1%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
St. Louis City or San Diego at HT	59.9%	56.7%	—	—	1.77

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City or draw (1UP)	63.2%	71.7%	—	—	1.40
San Diego or draw (1UP)	61.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City or San Diego in 2nd half	67.2%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
San Diego or draw in 2nd half	67.0%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
St. Louis City or draw in 2nd half	65.8%	65.7%	—	—	1.52

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	59.2%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	40.8%	41.8%	—	—	2.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (DNB)	51.2%	50.9%	60.3%	0.85×	1.96
San Diego (DNB)	48.8%	49.1%	39.7%	1.24×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to score first	48.2%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
San Diego to score first	47.0%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
No goal scored	4.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.06

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	63.2%	56.5%	61.1%	0.93×	1.77
Not both teams to score	36.8%	43.5%	38.9%	1.12×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	52.1%	47.1%	50.9%	0.93×	2.13
Not both score & under 2.5	28.1%	33.6%	29.9%	1.12×	2.98
Both score & under 2.5	11.1%	12.3%	10.3%	1.19×	8.12
Not both score & over 2.5	8.7%	8.4%	9.2%	0.91×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	78.3%	80.0%	79.5%	1.01×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	21.7%	20.0%	20.5%	0.98×	5.00

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	63.7%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	36.3%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	49.0%	53.7%	—	—	1.86
Both score 2nd half only	28.0%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
Both score 1st half only	14.7%	10.6%	—	—	9.44
Both score in both halves	8.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.74

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	77.0%	81.3%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	23.0%	18.7%	—	—	5.34

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	61.5%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
A half without a goal	38.5%	41.4%	—	—	2.42

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.1%	42.1%	42.5%	0.99×	2.38
4-6 goals	34.3%	30.8%	33.1%	0.93×	3.25
0-1 goals	17.4%	20.2%	20.5%	0.98×	4.95
7+ goals	4.1%	1.8%	4.1%	0.44×	54.82

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego to score exactly 1	32.9%	33.8%	34.6%	0.98×	2.95
San Diego to score exactly 2	25.5%	27.4%	22.1%	1.24×	3.65
San Diego to score exactly 0	21.2%	22.4%	26.8%	0.84×	4.46
San Diego to score 3+	20.4%	22.4%	16.7%	1.34×	4.47

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to score exactly 1	32.4%	32.7%	31.0%	1.05×	3.06
St. Louis City to score exactly 2	25.8%	26.5%	26.0%	1.02×	3.77
St. Louis City to score 3+	21.4%	23.3%	25.2%	0.92×	4.30
St. Louis City to score exactly 0	20.4%	23.3%	18.0%	1.29×	4.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	40.1%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
St. Louis City leading at HT	31.9%	33.6%	—	—	2.97
San Diego leading at HT	28.0%	25.5%	—	—	3.93

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City -1: 2	61.4%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
St. Louis City -1: 1	19.4%	17.5%	—	—	5.71
St. Louis City -1: X	19.2%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego (0:1)	61.4%	61.3%	54.6%	1.12×	1.63
St. Louis City (0:1)	19.4%	17.8%	23.3%	0.77×	5.62
Draw (0:1)	19.2%	17.8%	22.2%	0.80×	5.62

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego (0:2)	80.6%	82.7%	76.7%	1.08×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.6%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.11
St. Louis City (0:2)	7.8%	7.7%	10.5%	0.73×	12.95

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego (0:3)	92.2%	92.6%	89.5%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.2%	5.8%	6.6%	0.87×	17.22
St. Louis City (0:3)	2.6%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.10

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego (0:4)	97.4%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.9%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.39
St. Louis City (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.53

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (1:0)	63.2%	65.1%	70.1%	0.93×	1.54
Draw (1:0)	18.7%	17.0%	16.8%	1.01×	5.87
San Diego (1:0)	18.1%	17.0%	13.2%	1.29×	5.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (2:0)	81.9%	84.6%	86.8%	0.97×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.0%	10.4%	8.7%	1.19×	9.63
San Diego (2:0)	7.1%	6.4%	4.6%	1.41×	15.53

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.6%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	23.5%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to concede	78.8%	75.9%	73.2%	1.04×	1.32
St. Louis City clean sheet	21.2%	24.1%	26.8%	0.90×	4.16

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City clean sheet in 1st half	53.8%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
St. Louis City to concede in 1st half	46.2%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City over 2.5 corners	79.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
St. Louis City under 6.5 corners	76.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
St. Louis City over 3.5 corners	64.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
St. Louis City under 5.5 corners	64.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
St. Louis City under 4.5 corners	50.8%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
St. Louis City over 4.5 corners	49.2%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
St. Louis City under 3.5 corners	35.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
St. Louis City over 5.5 corners	35.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
St. Louis City over 6.5 corners	23.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
St. Louis City under 2.5 corners	20.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City under 3.5 goals	92.2%	92.3%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
St. Louis City over 0.5 goals	79.6%	77.7%	82.0%	0.95×	1.29
St. Louis City under 2.5 goals	78.6%	77.7%	74.8%	1.04×	1.29
St. Louis City under 1.5 goals	52.8%	53.3%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
St. Louis City over 1.5 goals	47.2%	46.7%	51.1%	0.92×	2.14
St. Louis City over 2.5 goals	21.4%	22.3%	25.2%	0.88×	4.49
St. Louis City under 0.5 goals	20.4%	22.3%	18.0%	1.24×	4.49
St. Louis City over 3.5 goals	7.8%	7.7%	9.4%	0.82×	12.92

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City under 1.5 in 1st half	85.0%	84.6%	—	—	1.18
St. Louis City over 0.5 in 1st half	49.5%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
St. Louis City under 0.5 in 1st half	50.5%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
St. Louis City over 1.5 in 1st half	15.0%	15.4%	—	—	6.51

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego (home no bet)	60.0%	56.8%	54.6%	1.04×	1.76
Draw (home no bet)	40.0%	43.2%	45.4%	0.95×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City even goals	52.1%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
St. Louis City odd goals	47.9%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.2%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
HT 1-0	18.5%	18.8%	—	—	5.32
HT 0-1	16.7%	18.8%	—	—	5.33
HT 1-1	11.6%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	6.4%	7.0%	—	—	14.19
Any other HT score	5.7%	7.0%	—	—	14.20
HT 0-2	5.2%	7.0%	—	—	14.21
HT 2-1	3.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.77
HT 1-2	3.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.80
HT 2-2	1.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.98

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City at HT / St. Louis City at FT	23.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
San Diego at HT / San Diego at FT	20.3%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / San Diego at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / St. Louis City at FT	13.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
St. Louis City at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
San Diego at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.65
St. Louis City at HT / San Diego at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
San Diego at HT / St. Louis City at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.89

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to score last	48.2%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
San Diego to score last	47.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
No goal scored	4.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.06

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.2%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
St. Louis City to lead by 1 at any time	57.4%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
San Diego to lead by 1 at any time	55.9%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	52.0%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
St. Louis City to lead by 2 at any time	26.9%	25.3%	—	—	3.96
San Diego to lead by 2 at any time	25.5%	25.2%	—	—	3.96
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.7%	15.0%	—	—	6.66
St. Louis City to lead by 3 at any time	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.66
San Diego to lead by 3 at any time	9.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.13

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City most corners	48.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
San Diego most corners	40.4%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.3%	87.4%	83.2%	1.05×	1.14
2-6 goals	78.5%	78.6%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
1-4 goals	74.3%	72.4%	73.1%	0.99×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.7%	72.4%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.7%	63.4%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
1-3 goals	56.8%	59.2%	57.2%	1.04×	1.69
3-6 goals	56.7%	59.2%	55.9%	1.06×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.9%	53.2%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
2-3 goals	44.1%	43.6%	42.5%	1.03×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.9%	39.2%	38.8%	1.01×	2.55
1-2 goals	34.5%	35.4%	34.4%	1.03×	2.83
4-6 goals	34.3%	35.4%	33.1%	1.07×	2.83
4-5 goals	28.6%	30.2%	26.1%	1.16×	3.31
5-6 goals	16.8%	18.6%	17.2%	1.08×	5.37
7+ goals	4.1%	2.5%	4.1%	0.62×	39.33

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City never behind	39.3%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
San Diego never behind	37.8%	44.6%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.0%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.0%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.8%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.2%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.4%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.2%	95.5%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	90.1%	92.3%	88.9%	1.04×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	82.6%	82.4%	79.5%	1.04×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	79.1%	77.4%	78.8%	0.98×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	61.6%	61.7%	62.9%	0.98×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	60.8%	61.7%	59.9%	1.03×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	39.2%	38.3%	40.1%	0.95×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	38.4%	38.3%	37.1%	1.03×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	20.9%	22.6%	21.2%	1.07×	4.42
Under 1.5 goals	17.4%	17.6%	20.5%	0.86×	5.67
Over 5.5 goals	9.9%	7.7%	11.1%	0.70×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	4.8%	4.5%	5.8%	0.77×	22.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.6%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	88.9%	86.8%	87.6%	0.99×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	77.7%	75.9%	74.5%	1.02×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	74.7%	72.6%	74.8%	0.97×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	50.5%	51.8%	51.9%	1.00×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	49.5%	48.2%	48.1%	1.00×	2.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	25.3%	27.4%	25.2%	1.09×	3.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	22.3%	24.1%	25.5%	0.94×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	11.1%	13.2%	12.4%	1.07×	7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.4%	2.8%	4.4%	0.62×	36.29

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.6%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.8%	70.9%	—	—	1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half	62.5%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	37.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.2%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.4%	11.0%	—	—	9.08

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.9%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	72.1%	77.7%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	55.0%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	45.0%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	27.9%	22.3%	—	—	4.48
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.1%	17.1%	—	—	5.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego not to score in both halves	72.0%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
St. Louis City not to score in both halves	70.5%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
St. Louis City to score in both halves	29.5%	26.1%	—	—	3.84
San Diego to score in both halves	28.0%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	63.2%	60.3%	61.1%	0.99×	1.66
Only St. Louis City scores	16.4%	16.1%	21.1%	0.76×	6.22
Only San Diego scores	15.6%	16.1%	12.3%	1.31×	6.22
Neither team scores	4.8%	4.6%	5.8%	0.79×	21.75

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	21.8%	22.6%	19.7%	1.15×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	17.5%	17.4%	16.0%	1.09×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	12.7%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	11.0%	12.1%	10.2%	1.18×	8.29
6 or more goals	9.9%	7.6%	11.1%	0.69×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	4.8%	4.4%	5.8%	0.76×	22.67

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	55.0%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
1 goal in 2nd half	29.0%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	16.1%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego not to win both halves	90.4%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
St. Louis City not to win both halves	89.4%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
St. Louis City to win both halves	10.6%	11.9%	—	—	8.39
San Diego to win both halves	9.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.44

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to win either half	54.3%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
San Diego to win either half	52.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
San Diego to win neither half	47.4%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
St. Louis City to win neither half	45.7%	44.9%	—	—	2.23

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
San Diego not to win to nil	84.4%	83.0%	87.7%	0.95×	1.20
St. Louis City not to win to nil	83.6%	83.0%	78.9%	1.05×	1.20
St. Louis City to win to nil	16.4%	17.0%	21.1%	0.81×	5.89
San Diego to win to nil	15.6%	17.0%	12.3%	1.38×	5.89

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.6%	24.2%	24.9%	0.97×	4.14
St. Louis City by 1	19.2%	17.0%	22.2%	0.76×	5.90
San Diego by 1	18.7%	17.0%	16.8%	1.01×	5.90
St. Louis City by 2	11.6%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.47
San Diego by 2	11.0%	11.8%	8.7%	1.36×	8.47
St. Louis City by 3+	7.8%	7.2%	10.5%	0.69×	13.80
San Diego by 3+	7.1%	7.2%	4.6%	1.58×	13.80