Stade de Reims v Montpellier — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 18 September 2026 · FRA-Ligue 2 · 2627

FRA-Ligue 2 results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Stade de Reims

14:00

Montpellier

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 274h before kick-off

Stade de Reims win

49.8%

model 46.6%

Draw

28.2%

model 28.8%

Montpellier win

22.0%

model 24.5%

502822

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 13.9%
1-1 13.3%
0-0 11.2%
2-0 9.6%
0-1 9.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	38.6%	Under 2.5	61.4%
BTTS yes	44.1%	BTTS no	55.9%
Stade de Reims 1+	73.8%	Stade de Reims 2+	38.7%
Montpellier 1+	59.1%	Montpellier 2+	22.5%

Expected goals 1.34 – 0.89. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

1-2 goals

Multi goal · usually 44%

51.9% fair odds 1.93

moderate signal · 1537 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Montpellier not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 820 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Stade de Reims carry the stronger rating, 1608 Elo against 1500.
Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Stade de Reims have an estimated 49.8% win probability, against 28.2% for the draw and 22.0% for Montpellier. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.34 for Stade de Reims and 0.89 for Montpellier.

Why Stade de Reims

Stade de Reims carry the stronger rating, 1608 Elo against 1500. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.2%. A combined 2.23 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Montpellier can win

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

Montpellier's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Andy Delort (0.32), Tanguy Coulibaly (0.28), Téji Savanier (0.25).

Availability

No lineup on record for Stade de Reims, so availability is unknown. 1 of Montpellier's top three contributors did not start their last match. Montpellier changed goalkeeper for their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Stade de Reims: 51% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 9.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Montpellier: 53% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.11 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Stade de Reims are the model's most likely outcome at 49.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 13.9%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Montpellier are finishing sharply below their chances — 4.4 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

LLLLLLDLLL last 10 scored 2 from 6.4 xG conceded 21 from 19.5 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	472925	1.34–0.89	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	443224	1.15–0.78	1-0 16%	30%	37%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims to win	43.8%	43.0%	42.5%	1.01×	2.32
Draw	31.7%	30.4%	27.8%	1.09×	3.30
Montpellier to win	24.5%	24.5%	29.8%	0.82×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims & not both score	30.8%	29.7%	23.8%	1.25×	3.37
Draw & both teams score	16.7%	17.9%	18.9%	0.95×	5.58
Montpellier & not both score	16.8%	17.9%	17.7%	1.01×	5.58
Draw & not both score	15.0%	17.9%	9.1%	1.97×	5.58
Stade de Reims & both teams score	13.0%	13.3%	18.8%	0.71×	7.54
Montpellier & both teams score	7.7%	8.4%	12.3%	0.68×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims & under 3.5	36.9%	34.9%	29.4%	1.19×	2.87
Draw & under 2.5	28.5%	26.0%	20.8%	1.25×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	28.5%	26.0%	20.8%	1.25×	3.84
Stade de Reims & over 1.5	27.6%	26.0%	30.0%	0.87×	3.84
Stade de Reims & under 2.5	25.8%	26.0%	18.5%	1.41×	3.84
Montpellier & under 3.5	21.6%	21.7%	23.1%	0.94×	4.62
Stade de Reims & over 2.5	18.0%	18.0%	24.2%	0.74×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.7%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.56
Stade de Reims & under 1.5	16.2%	18.0%	12.6%	1.43×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	15.0%	18.0%	9.1%	1.98×	5.56
Montpellier & under 2.5	15.3%	18.0%	13.7%	1.31×	5.56
Montpellier & over 1.5	13.6%	12.9%	20.2%	0.64×	7.77
Montpellier & under 1.5	10.9%	12.9%	9.8%	1.31×	7.77
Montpellier & over 2.5	9.1%	7.9%	16.3%	0.48×	12.69
Stade de Reims & over 3.5	6.9%	7.9%	13.2%	0.60×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	3.2%	4.8%	7.2%	0.66×	20.94
Draw & over 3.5	3.2%	4.8%	7.2%	0.66×	20.94
Montpellier & over 3.5	2.9%	4.8%	6.9%	0.69×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims (1UP)	55.3%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Montpellier (1UP)	37.6%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims (2UP)	43.8%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Montpellier (2UP)	24.5%	23.8%	—	—	4.20

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	43.7%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
Stade de Reims to win 2nd half	34.2%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Montpellier to win 2nd half	22.2%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (+2.5)	93.9%	92.1%	92.2%	1.00×	1.09
Montpellier (+1.5)	81.1%	82.4%	80.8%	1.02×	1.21
Stade de Reims (+0.5)	75.5%	78.4%	70.2%	1.12×	1.28
Montpellier (+0.5)	56.2%	57.0%	57.5%	0.99×	1.75
Stade de Reims (-0.5)	43.8%	43.0%	42.5%	1.01×	2.33
Montpellier (-0.5)	24.5%	21.6%	29.8%	0.72×	4.64
Stade de Reims (-1.5)	18.9%	17.6%	19.2%	0.92×	5.68
Stade de Reims (-2.5)	6.1%	7.9%	7.8%	1.01×	12.65

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier to concede	68.2%	72.5%	73.4%	0.99×	1.38
Montpellier clean sheet	31.8%	27.5%	26.6%	1.03×	3.64

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier clean sheet in 1st half	61.1%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Montpellier to concede in 1st half	38.9%	35.2%	—	—	2.84

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier under 6.5 corners	85.8%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Montpellier under 5.5 corners	76.4%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Montpellier over 2.5 corners	71.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Montpellier under 4.5 corners	63.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Montpellier over 3.5 corners	53.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Montpellier under 3.5 corners	46.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Montpellier over 4.5 corners	36.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Montpellier under 2.5 corners	28.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Montpellier over 5.5 corners	23.6%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Montpellier over 6.5 corners	14.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier under 3.5 goals	99.2%	97.6%	97.2%	1.00×	1.03
Montpellier under 2.5 goals	95.5%	97.5%	87.5%	1.11×	1.03
Montpellier under 1.5 goals	81.6%	81.4%	68.3%	1.19×	1.23
Montpellier over 0.5 goals	54.2%	53.7%	67.2%	0.80×	1.86
Montpellier under 0.5 goals	45.8%	46.3%	32.8%	1.41×	2.16
Montpellier over 1.5 goals	18.4%	18.6%	31.7%	0.59×	5.38
Montpellier over 2.5 goals	4.5%	2.5%	12.5%	0.20×	40.64
Montpellier over 3.5 goals	0.8%	2.4%	2.8%	0.88×	40.84

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier under 1.5 in 1st half	96.0%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Montpellier under 0.5 in 1st half	73.2%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Montpellier over 0.5 in 1st half	26.8%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Montpellier over 1.5 in 1st half	4.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.13

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims (away no bet)	58.0%	57.5%	60.4%	0.95×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	42.0%	42.5%	39.6%	1.07×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier even goals	60.5%	59.0%	54.2%	1.09×	1.70
Montpellier odd goals	39.5%	41.0%	45.8%	0.89×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	94.0%	93.0%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	6.0%	7.0%	—	—	14.21

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	55.6%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Not both halves under 1.5	44.4%	40.1%	—	—	2.50

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	39.0%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Stade de Reims to score 2+ in a row	27.1%	25.0%	—	—	3.99
Montpellier to score 2+ in a row	14.1%	12.2%	—	—	8.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	10.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.25
Stade de Reims to score 3+ in a row	8.0%	5.7%	—	—	17.64
Montpellier to score 3+ in a row	2.8%	2.6%	—	—	38.87

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims corners (+3.5)	89.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Stade de Reims corners (+2.5)	84.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Montpellier corners (+3.5)	77.4%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Stade de Reims corners (+1.5)	75.9%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Montpellier corners (+2.5)	68.1%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Montpellier corners (+1.5)	57.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Stade de Reims corners (-1.5)	42.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Stade de Reims corners (-2.5)	31.9%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Montpellier corners (-1.5)	24.2%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Stade de Reims corners (-3.5)	22.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Montpellier corners (-2.5)	16.0%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Montpellier corners (-3.5)	10.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	48.9%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	28.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	22.2%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	84.3%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	77.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	69.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	62.5%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	59.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	51.1%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	48.9%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	40.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	37.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	30.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	22.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	15.7%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	16.2%	13.8%	12.6%	1.09×	7.27
0-0	15.0%	13.7%	9.1%	1.51×	7.28
1-1	13.5%	11.5%	11.8%	0.97×	8.73
0-1	10.9%	11.5%	9.8%	1.16×	8.73
2-0	9.6%	7.4%	6.0%	1.24×	13.48
2-1	7.5%	7.4%	8.2%	0.91×	13.48
1-2	5.1%	7.4%	6.0%	1.24×	13.48
0-2	4.4%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.46
0-3	1.2%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.48
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.70×	58.49
1-3	1.3%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.48
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.49
2-2	2.9%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.47
2-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.49
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.78×	58.49
3-0	3.7%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.47
3-1	2.9%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.47
3-2	1.1%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.48
3-3	0.3%	1.7%	1.5%	1.11×	58.49
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.70×	58.49
4-0	1.0%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.48
4-1	0.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.49
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.39×	58.49
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.78×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	11.11×	58.49
Any other score	0.8%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims leading at HT (DNB)	63.5%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Montpellier leading at HT (DNB)	36.5%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims or draw (1X)	75.5%	75.5%	70.2%	1.08×	1.32
Stade de Reims or Montpellier (12)	68.3%	69.6%	72.2%	0.97×	1.44
Montpellier or draw (X2)	56.2%	57.0%	57.5%	0.99×	1.76

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims or draw at HT	82.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Montpellier or draw at HT	69.5%	66.5%	—	—	1.50
Stade de Reims or Montpellier at HT	48.0%	52.1%	—	—	1.92

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims or draw (1UP)	75.5%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Montpellier or draw (1UP)	56.2%	62.6%	—	—	1.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims or draw in 2nd half	77.8%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
Montpellier or draw in 2nd half	65.8%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Stade de Reims or Montpellier in 2nd half	56.4%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	72.5%	71.0%	—	—	1.41
Neither half drawn	27.5%	29.0%	—	—	3.45

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims (DNB)	64.2%	62.9%	58.7%	1.07×	1.59
Montpellier (DNB)	35.8%	37.1%	41.3%	0.90×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims to score first	50.6%	53.7%	—	—	1.86
Montpellier to score first	34.4%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
No goal scored	15.0%	16.7%	—	—	6.00

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	62.6%	56.5%	50.3%	1.12×	1.77
Both teams to score	37.4%	43.5%	49.7%	0.88×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	56.2%	47.2%	40.9%	1.15×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	23.9%	27.7%	38.0%	0.73×	3.61
Both score & under 2.5	13.5%	12.3%	11.8%	1.04×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	6.4%	8.4%	9.5%	0.88×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	94.2%	89.1%	85.5%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	5.8%	10.9%	14.5%	0.75×	9.20

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	81.9%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
Both teams to score in 2nd half	18.1%	26.9%	—	—	3.71

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	73.3%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Both score 2nd half only	16.2%	15.6%	—	—	6.42
Both score 1st half only	8.6%	6.8%	—	—	14.66
Both score in both halves	1.9%	4.9%	—	—	20.35

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	89.5%	86.4%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	10.5%	13.6%	—	—	7.35

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	62.5%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
A goal in each half	37.5%	41.1%	—	—	2.43

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.8%	42.1%	41.8%	1.01×	2.37
0-1 goals	42.2%	42.1%	31.2%	1.35×	2.38
4-6 goals	12.6%	16.9%	25.2%	0.67×	5.91
7+ goals	0.4%	1.8%	2.0%	0.91×	54.77

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier to score exactly 0	45.8%	42.9%	32.8%	1.31×	2.33
Montpellier to score exactly 1	35.8%	36.0%	35.7%	1.01×	2.78
Montpellier to score exactly 2	13.9%	12.8%	19.4%	0.66×	7.80
Montpellier to score 3+	4.5%	4.5%	12.5%	0.36×	22.00

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims to score exactly 1	36.4%	35.6%	33.7%	1.06×	2.81
Stade de Reims to score exactly 0	31.8%	32.6%	26.6%	1.23×	3.06
Stade de Reims to score exactly 2	20.9%	23.2%	22.2%	1.05×	4.30
Stade de Reims to score 3+	10.9%	14.3%	17.8%	0.80×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	52.0%	47.9%	—	—	2.09
Stade de Reims leading at HT	30.5%	33.5%	—	—	2.99
Montpellier leading at HT	17.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.43

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims -1: 2	56.2%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Stade de Reims -1: X	24.9%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Stade de Reims -1: 1	18.9%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (0:1)	56.2%	55.8%	57.5%	0.97×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	24.9%	24.3%	23.4%	1.04×	4.12
Stade de Reims (0:1)	18.9%	17.8%	19.2%	0.92×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (0:2)	81.1%	82.8%	80.8%	1.02×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	12.8%	11.0%	11.5%	0.95×	9.12
Stade de Reims (0:2)	6.1%	7.7%	7.8%	0.98×	12.96

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (0:3)	93.9%	92.6%	92.2%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.5%	2.4%	4.3%	0.55×	42.06
Stade de Reims (0:3)	1.6%	2.4%	3.7%	0.64×	42.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier (0:4)	98.4%	98.1%	96.3%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	3.1%	0.39×	83.54
Stade de Reims (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	0.8%	1.55×	83.64

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims (1:0)	75.5%	78.4%	70.2%	1.12×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	16.8%	17.0%	17.5%	0.97×	5.87
Montpellier (1:0)	7.7%	6.9%	12.5%	0.56×	14.44

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims (2:0)	92.3%	93.9%	87.5%	1.07×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	5.9%	6.5%	7.1%	0.91×	15.50
Montpellier (2:0)	1.7%	2.3%	5.5%	0.41×	44.26

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	42.5%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Halves equal	31.7%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
1st half highest scoring	25.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims to concede	54.2%	53.1%	67.2%	0.79×	1.88
Stade de Reims clean sheet	45.8%	46.9%	32.8%	1.43×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims clean sheet in 1st half	73.2%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Stade de Reims to concede in 1st half	26.8%	31.5%	—	—	3.17

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims over 2.5 corners	81.3%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Stade de Reims under 6.5 corners	74.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Stade de Reims over 3.5 corners	66.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Stade de Reims under 5.5 corners	62.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Stade de Reims over 4.5 corners	51.4%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Stade de Reims under 4.5 corners	48.6%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Stade de Reims over 5.5 corners	37.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Stade de Reims under 3.5 corners	33.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Stade de Reims over 6.5 corners	25.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Stade de Reims under 2.5 corners	18.7%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims under 3.5 goals	97.1%	96.4%	93.4%	1.03×	1.04
Stade de Reims under 2.5 goals	89.1%	87.3%	82.2%	1.06×	1.15
Stade de Reims over 0.5 goals	68.2%	67.9%	73.4%	0.92×	1.47
Stade de Reims under 1.5 goals	68.2%	67.9%	60.2%	1.13×	1.47
Stade de Reims under 0.5 goals	31.8%	32.1%	26.6%	1.21×	3.11
Stade de Reims over 1.5 goals	31.8%	32.1%	39.8%	0.81×	3.11
Stade de Reims over 2.5 goals	10.9%	12.7%	17.8%	0.71×	7.86
Stade de Reims over 3.5 goals	2.9%	3.6%	6.6%	0.55×	27.48

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims under 1.5 in 1st half	91.2%	95.3%	—	—	1.05
Stade de Reims under 0.5 in 1st half	61.1%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Stade de Reims over 0.5 in 1st half	38.9%	35.4%	—	—	2.82
Stade de Reims over 1.5 in 1st half	8.8%	4.7%	—	—	21.22

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	56.5%	56.7%	48.3%	1.17×	1.76
Montpellier (home no bet)	43.5%	43.3%	51.7%	0.84×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims even goals	55.1%	55.4%	53.4%	1.04×	1.80
Stade de Reims odd goals	44.9%	44.6%	46.6%	0.96×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	44.8%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
HT 1-0	22.0%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 0-1	13.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.14
HT 1-1	7.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 2-0	5.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
HT 0-2	2.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.45
HT 2-1	1.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.49
Any other HT score	1.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.48
HT 1-2	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.53
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.59

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims at HT / Stade de Reims at FT	24.8%	21.9%	—	—	4.57
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	23.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.58
Draw at HT / Stade de Reims at FT	17.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Montpellier at HT / Montpellier at FT	12.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Montpellier at FT	11.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Stade de Reims at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Montpellier at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Montpellier at HT / Stade de Reims at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.90
Stade de Reims at HT / Montpellier at FT	1.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims to score last	50.6%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Montpellier to score last	34.4%	33.1%	—	—	3.03
No goal scored	15.0%	11.4%	—	—	8.77

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	85.0%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Stade de Reims to lead by 1 at any time	55.3%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Montpellier to lead by 1 at any time	37.6%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	33.1%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Stade de Reims to lead by 2 at any time	22.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Montpellier to lead by 2 at any time	10.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	9.4%	6.7%	—	—	14.97
Stade de Reims to lead by 3 at any time	7.1%	6.6%	—	—	15.07
Montpellier to lead by 3 at any time	2.3%	1.6%	—	—	62.07

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims most corners	54.4%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Montpellier most corners	34.2%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Corners level	11.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.6%	83.5%	84.8%	0.99×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.4%	83.5%	78.8%	1.06×	1.20
1-3 goals	72.0%	72.4%	64.0%	1.13×	1.38
2-6 goals	57.4%	59.2%	66.9%	0.88×	1.69
2-5 goals	56.4%	59.2%	62.6%	0.95×	1.69
1-2 goals	54.6%	53.2%	43.7%	1.22×	1.88
2-4 goals	53.2%	53.2%	56.6%	0.94×	1.88
2-3 goals	44.8%	43.6%	41.8%	1.04×	2.30
3-6 goals	30.0%	30.3%	45.5%	0.66×	3.31
3-5 goals	28.9%	30.3%	41.2%	0.73×	3.31
3-4 goals	25.7%	30.2%	35.2%	0.86×	3.31
4-6 goals	12.6%	14.9%	25.2%	0.59×	6.72
4-5 goals	11.6%	14.9%	20.9%	0.71×	6.72
5-6 goals	4.3%	2.6%	10.5%	0.24×	39.14
7+ goals	0.4%	2.5%	2.0%	1.27×	39.32

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stade de Reims never behind	47.4%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Montpellier never behind	29.7%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.0%	50.8%	49.8%	1.02×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.0%	49.2%	50.2%	0.98×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	60.2%	57.0%	—	—	1.76
Odd goals in 1st half	39.8%	43.0%	—	—	2.32

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.6%	58.3%	—	—	1.71
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.4%	41.7%	—	—	2.40

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.6%	95.5%	93.7%	1.02×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	95.4%	95.5%	87.7%	1.09×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	87.0%	87.6%	72.9%	1.20×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	85.0%	82.4%	90.9%	0.91×	1.21
Under 2.5 goals	69.7%	66.2%	52.6%	1.26×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	57.8%	58.8%	68.8%	0.86×	1.70
Under 1.5 goals	42.2%	41.2%	31.2%	1.32×	2.43
Over 2.5 goals	30.3%	33.8%	47.4%	0.71×	2.96
Under 0.5 goals	15.0%	17.6%	9.1%	1.94×	5.68
Over 3.5 goals	13.0%	12.4%	27.1%	0.46×	8.09
Over 4.5 goals	4.6%	4.5%	12.3%	0.37×	22.19
Over 5.5 goals	1.4%	4.5%	6.3%	0.71×	22.24

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.6%	97.2%	97.9%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.6%	97.2%	93.3%	1.04×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	95.0%	92.5%	85.6%	1.08×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	84.3%	81.1%	66.0%	1.23×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	58.2%	55.4%	39.7%	1.40×	1.80
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	41.8%	44.6%	60.3%	0.74×	2.25
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	15.7%	18.9%	34.0%	0.56×	5.28
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	5.0%	7.5%	14.4%	0.52×	13.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.5%	2.8%	6.7%	0.41×	36.18
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.4%	2.8%	2.1%	1.32×	36.21

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	95.2%	95.9%	—	—	1.04
Under 1.5 in 1st half	80.6%	86.1%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	55.2%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Under 0.5 in 1st half	44.8%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Over 1.5 in 1st half	19.4%	13.9%	—	—	7.22
Over 2.5 in 1st half	4.8%	4.1%	—	—	24.42

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	89.6%	85.5%	—	—	1.17
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	69.0%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	67.3%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	32.7%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	31.0%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	10.4%	14.5%	—	—	6.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier not to score in both halves	90.0%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Stade de Reims not to score in both halves	81.3%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Stade de Reims to score in both halves	18.7%	15.8%	—	—	6.35
Montpellier to score in both halves	10.0%	14.0%	—	—	7.13

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	37.4%	39.8%	49.7%	0.80×	2.51
Only Stade de Reims scores	30.8%	33.3%	23.8%	1.40×	3.00
Only Montpellier scores	16.8%	16.1%	17.7%	0.91×	6.22
Neither team scores	15.0%	16.1%	9.1%	1.77×	6.23

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.5%	25.0%	21.5%	1.16×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	27.2%	25.0%	22.3%	1.12×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	17.4%	17.4%	20.5%	0.85×	5.74
Exactly 0 goals	15.0%	17.4%	9.1%	1.92×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	8.4%	7.6%	14.9%	0.51×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	3.2%	4.4%	6.2%	0.72×	22.67
6 or more goals	1.4%	4.4%	6.3%	0.70×	22.70

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	36.2%	39.6%	—	—	2.53
No goals in 2nd half	32.7%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
2+ goals in 2nd half	31.0%	33.4%	—	—	3.00

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier not to win both halves	96.1%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Stade de Reims not to win both halves	89.5%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Stade de Reims to win both halves	10.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.32
Montpellier to win both halves	3.9%	2.8%	—	—	35.59

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier to win neither half	64.2%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Stade de Reims to win either half	54.2%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Stade de Reims to win neither half	45.8%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Montpellier to win either half	35.8%	34.9%	—	—	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Montpellier not to win to nil	83.2%	83.0%	82.3%	1.01×	1.20
Stade de Reims not to win to nil	69.2%	69.7%	76.2%	0.92×	1.44
Stade de Reims to win to nil	30.8%	30.3%	23.8%	1.27×	3.30
Montpellier to win to nil	16.8%	17.0%	17.7%	0.96×	5.89

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	31.7%	27.6%	27.8%	0.99×	3.62
Stade de Reims by 1	24.9%	24.2%	23.4%	1.03×	4.14
Montpellier by 1	16.8%	16.9%	17.5%	0.97×	5.91
Stade de Reims by 2	12.8%	11.8%	11.5%	1.02×	8.47
Montpellier by 2	5.9%	7.3%	7.1%	1.02×	13.79
Stade de Reims by 3+	6.1%	7.3%	7.8%	0.92×	13.79
Montpellier by 3+	1.7%	2.7%	5.5%	0.49×	37.03