Standard Liege v Antwerp — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 5 September 2026 · BEL-Pro League · 2627
BEL-Pro League
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (886 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 12.6%
- 1-0 9.3%
- 2-1 8.9%
- 0-1 7.8%
- 1-2 7.5%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 50.9% | Under 2.5 | 49.1% |
| BTTS yes | 55.2% | BTTS no | 44.8% |
| Standard Liege 1+ | 77.0% | Standard Liege 2+ | 43.1% |
| Antwerp 1+ | 71.1% | Antwerp 2+ | 35.2% |
Expected goals 1.47 – 1.24. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Standard Liege carry the stronger rating, 1537 Elo against 1469.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
The draw is the single most likely outcome at 37.0%, with Standard Liege at 26.3% and Antwerp at 36.8%. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.47 for Standard Liege and 1.24 for Antwerp.
Why Standard Liege
Standard Liege carry the stronger rating, 1537 Elo against 1469.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 37.0%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.47 to 1.24. Draws run at 26% in this competition.
Why Antwerp can win
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Standard Liege, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Antwerp, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Standard Liege: 50% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Antwerp: 50% possession, 17.0 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 21:18 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
A draw is the model's most likely outcome at 37.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.47–1.24 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.34–1.01 | 1-1 13% | 42% | 47% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege to win | 43.8% | 43.0% | 42.9% | 1.00× | 2.32 |
| Draw | 28.5% | 27.9% | 26.4% | 1.06× | 3.59 |
| Antwerp to win | 27.7% | 27.9% | 30.9% | 0.90× | 3.59 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege & not both score | 26.5% | 25.2% | 24.4% | 1.03× | 3.97 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.4% | 17.9% | 18.8% | 0.95× | 5.58 |
| Standard Liege & both teams score | 17.3% | 17.9% | 18.7% | 0.96× | 5.58 |
| Antwerp & not both score | 16.2% | 17.9% | 14.5% | 1.24× | 5.58 |
| Antwerp & both teams score | 11.5% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 0.80× | 7.55 |
| Draw & not both score | 10.1% | 13.3% | 7.7% | 1.72× | 7.55 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege & under 3.5 | 33.4% | 30.9% | 29.5% | 1.05× | 3.24 |
| Standard Liege & over 1.5 | 31.4% | 30.9% | 33.6% | 0.92× | 3.24 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 23.5% | 21.7% | 19.9% | 1.09× | 4.62 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 23.5% | 21.7% | 19.9% | 1.09× | 4.62 |
| Standard Liege & over 2.5 | 22.8% | 21.7% | 26.1% | 0.83× | 4.62 |
| Antwerp & under 3.5 | 22.2% | 21.7% | 21.9% | 0.99× | 4.62 |
| Standard Liege & under 2.5 | 20.9% | 21.7% | 17.0% | 1.28× | 4.62 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.4% | 18.0% | 18.8% | 0.96× | 5.56 |
| Antwerp & over 1.5 | 18.5% | 18.0% | 24.4% | 0.74× | 5.56 |
| Antwerp & over 2.5 | 13.6% | 12.9% | 19.8% | 0.65× | 7.77 |
| Antwerp & under 2.5 | 14.1% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 1.14× | 7.77 |
| Standard Liege & under 1.5 | 12.4% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 1.37× | 7.77 |
| Standard Liege & over 3.5 | 10.4% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 0.95× | 7.77 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 10.1% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 1.67× | 7.77 |
| Antwerp & under 1.5 | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 1.19× | 12.69 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 1.19× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 1.19× | 12.70 |
| Antwerp & over 3.5 | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 0.86× | 12.70 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege (1UP) | 57.8% | 58.1% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Antwerp (1UP) | 43.4% | 39.5% | — | — | 2.53 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege (2UP) | 43.8% | 47.7% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Antwerp (2UP) | 27.7% | 24.9% | — | — | 4.02 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half drawn | 39.0% | 36.1% | — | — | 2.77 |
| Standard Liege to win 2nd half | 35.3% | 36.0% | — | — | 2.78 |
| Antwerp to win 2nd half | 25.7% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.81 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp (+2.5) | 92.5% | 92.1% | 89.5% | 1.03× | 1.09 |
| Antwerp (+1.5) | 79.4% | 78.5% | 77.9% | 1.01× | 1.28 |
| Standard Liege (+0.5) | 72.3% | 73.7% | 69.1% | 1.07× | 1.36 |
| Antwerp (+0.5) | 56.2% | 57.0% | 57.1% | 1.00× | 1.75 |
| Standard Liege (-0.5) | 43.8% | 43.0% | 42.9% | 1.00× | 2.33 |
| Antwerp (-0.5) | 27.7% | 26.3% | 30.9% | 0.85× | 3.80 |
| Standard Liege (-1.5) | 20.6% | 21.5% | 22.1% | 0.98× | 4.64 |
| Standard Liege (-2.5) | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 0.75× | 12.63 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp to concede | 73.7% | 76.5% | 77.9% | 0.98× | 1.31 |
| Antwerp clean sheet | 26.3% | 23.5% | 22.1% | 1.07× | 4.25 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp clean sheet in 1st half | 56.3% | 58.4% | — | — | 1.71 |
| Antwerp to concede in 1st half | 43.7% | 41.6% | — | — | 2.40 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp over 2.5 corners | 85.1% | 84.9% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Antwerp over 3.5 corners | 72.3% | 72.3% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Antwerp under 6.5 corners | 69.2% | 68.3% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Antwerp over 4.5 corners | 57.6% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Antwerp under 5.5 corners | 56.7% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Antwerp over 5.5 corners | 43.3% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Antwerp under 4.5 corners | 42.4% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Antwerp over 6.5 corners | 30.8% | 31.8% | — | — | 3.15 |
| Antwerp under 3.5 corners | 27.7% | 27.7% | — | — | 3.61 |
| Antwerp under 2.5 corners | 14.9% | 15.1% | — | — | 6.62 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp under 3.5 goals | 98.1% | 97.5% | 95.2% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Antwerp under 2.5 goals | 91.9% | 92.3% | 86.9% | 1.06× | 1.08 |
| Antwerp under 1.5 goals | 73.4% | 72.0% | 64.7% | 1.11× | 1.39 |
| Antwerp over 0.5 goals | 63.4% | 63.0% | 68.1% | 0.93× | 1.59 |
| Antwerp under 0.5 goals | 36.6% | 37.0% | 31.9% | 1.16× | 2.70 |
| Antwerp over 1.5 goals | 26.6% | 28.0% | 35.3% | 0.79× | 3.57 |
| Antwerp over 2.5 goals | 8.1% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 0.59× | 13.03 |
| Antwerp over 3.5 goals | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 0.51× | 40.78 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp under 1.5 in 1st half | 93.8% | 94.2% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Antwerp under 0.5 in 1st half | 66.9% | 68.3% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Antwerp over 0.5 in 1st half | 33.1% | 31.7% | — | — | 3.15 |
| Antwerp over 1.5 in 1st half | 6.2% | 5.8% | — | — | 17.32 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege (away no bet) | 60.5% | 62.0% | 61.9% | 1.00× | 1.61 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 39.5% | 38.0% | 38.1% | 1.00× | 2.64 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp even goals | 56.7% | 56.9% | 57.4% | 0.99× | 1.76 |
| Antwerp odd goals | 43.3% | 43.1% | 42.6% | 1.01× | 2.32 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 89.9% | 87.8% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 10.1% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.23 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 55.3% | 59.9% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 44.7% | 40.1% | — | — | 2.49 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 48.0% | 45.9% | — | — | 2.18 |
| Standard Liege to score 2+ in a row | 32.0% | 29.0% | — | — | 3.45 |
| Antwerp to score 2+ in a row | 20.2% | 19.5% | — | — | 5.14 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 15.1% | 16.3% | — | — | 6.14 |
| Standard Liege to score 3+ in a row | 10.4% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.25 |
| Antwerp to score 3+ in a row | 4.8% | 2.7% | — | — | 37.63 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp corners (+3.5) | 91.3% | 88.6% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Antwerp corners (+2.5) | 86.0% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Antwerp corners (+1.5) | 78.7% | 75.5% | — | — | 1.33 |
| Standard Liege corners (+3.5) | 73.4% | 69.9% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Standard Liege corners (+2.5) | 63.7% | 61.7% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Standard Liege corners (+1.5) | 52.8% | 52.3% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Antwerp corners (-1.5) | 47.2% | 47.7% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Antwerp corners (-2.5) | 36.3% | 38.3% | — | — | 2.61 |
| Antwerp corners (-3.5) | 26.6% | 30.1% | — | — | 3.32 |
| Standard Liege corners (-1.5) | 21.3% | 24.5% | — | — | 4.08 |
| Standard Liege corners (-2.5) | 14.0% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.31 |
| Standard Liege corners (-3.5) | 8.7% | 11.4% | — | — | 8.81 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 43.8% | 37.1% | — | — | 2.70 |
| 9-11 corners | 30.0% | 31.8% | — | — | 3.15 |
| 12+ corners | 26.2% | 31.8% | — | — | 3.15 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 81.0% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 73.8% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 67.2% | 67.9% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 64.9% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 56.2% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 54.8% | 52.3% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 45.2% | 47.7% | — | — | 2.09 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 43.8% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 35.1% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 32.8% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.12 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 26.2% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.64 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 19.0% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.96 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 50.4% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 49.6% | — | — | 2.02 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.4% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 0.93× | 8.73 |
| 1-0 | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 1.22× | 8.73 |
| 0-0 | 10.1% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 1.48× | 8.73 |
| 0-1 | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 1.12× | 13.48 |
| 2-0 | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 0.96× | 13.48 |
| 2-1 | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 0.84× | 13.48 |
| 1-2 | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 0.84× | 13.48 |
| 0-2 | 4.9% | 1.7% | 4.8% | 0.36× | 58.46 |
| 0-3 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.79× | 58.48 |
| 0-4 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.85× | 58.49 |
| 1-3 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 0.55× | 58.48 |
| 1-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.38× | 58.49 |
| 2-2 | 4.3% | 1.7% | 5.2% | 0.33× | 58.46 |
| 2-3 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.79× | 58.48 |
| 2-4 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.85× | 58.49 |
| 3-0 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 0.43× | 58.47 |
| 3-1 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 0.58× | 58.47 |
| 3-2 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.69× | 58.48 |
| 3-3 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.85× | 58.49 |
| 3-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.69× | 58.49 |
| 4-0 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.85× | 58.48 |
| 4-1 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.85× | 58.48 |
| 4-2 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.23× | 58.49 |
| 4-3 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.22× | 58.49 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.69× | 58.49 |
| Any other score | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 0.40× | 58.48 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege leading at HT (DNB) | 61.0% | 65.6% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Antwerp leading at HT (DNB) | 39.0% | 34.4% | — | — | 2.91 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege or draw (1X) | 72.3% | 72.1% | 69.1% | 1.04× | 1.39 |
| Standard Liege or Antwerp (12) | 71.5% | 72.1% | 73.6% | 0.98× | 1.39 |
| Antwerp or draw (X2) | 56.2% | 57.0% | 57.1% | 1.00× | 1.76 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege or draw at HT | 79.3% | 79.9% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Antwerp or draw at HT | 67.7% | 66.4% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Standard Liege or Antwerp at HT | 53.0% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege or draw (1UP) | 72.3% | 80.1% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Antwerp or draw (1UP) | 56.2% | 62.6% | — | — | 1.60 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege or draw in 2nd half | 74.3% | 73.8% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Antwerp or draw in 2nd half | 64.7% | 64.0% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Standard Liege or Antwerp in 2nd half | 61.0% | 63.9% | — | — | 1.57 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 67.2% | 69.4% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Neither half drawn | 32.8% | 30.6% | — | — | 3.27 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege (DNB) | 61.3% | 62.8% | 58.2% | 1.08× | 1.59 |
| Antwerp (DNB) | 38.7% | 37.2% | 41.8% | 0.89× | 2.69 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege to score first | 51.3% | 53.8% | — | — | 1.86 |
| Antwerp to score first | 38.6% | 32.9% | — | — | 3.04 |
| No goal scored | 10.1% | 9.5% | — | — | 10.55 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 52.8% | 51.4% | 46.3% | 1.11× | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | 47.2% | 48.6% | 53.7% | 0.90× | 2.06 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 45.1% | 44.3% | 35.6% | 1.24× | 2.26 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 33.8% | 34.3% | 41.5% | 0.83× | 2.92 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.00× | 8.11 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 0.77× | 11.96 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 89.7% | 85.6% | 85.5% | 1.00× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 10.3% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 0.99× | 6.96 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 75.7% | 75.1% | — | — | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 24.3% | 24.9% | — | — | 4.01 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 64.6% | 66.6% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 20.8% | 20.8% | — | — | 4.82 |
| Both score 1st half only | 11.1% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.33 |
| Both score in both halves | 3.5% | 5.0% | — | — | 20.00 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 85.4% | 85.8% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 14.6% | 14.2% | — | — | 7.03 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half without a goal | 53.3% | 53.5% | — | — | 1.87 |
| A goal in each half | 46.7% | 46.5% | — | — | 2.15 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 47.4% | 47.4% | 47.7% | 0.99× | 2.11 |
| 0-1 goals | 31.7% | 30.7% | 23.5% | 1.31× | 3.25 |
| 4-6 goals | 19.9% | 20.2% | 26.4% | 0.77× | 4.95 |
| 7+ goals | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 0.66× | 54.70 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp to score exactly 1 | 36.8% | 36.0% | 32.9% | 1.09× | 2.78 |
| Antwerp to score exactly 0 | 36.6% | 36.0% | 31.9% | 1.13× | 2.78 |
| Antwerp to score exactly 2 | 18.5% | 19.6% | 22.4% | 0.87× | 5.11 |
| Antwerp to score 3+ | 8.1% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 0.65× | 11.82 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege to score exactly 1 | 35.1% | 35.6% | 34.6% | 1.03× | 2.81 |
| Standard Liege to score exactly 0 | 26.3% | 26.5% | 22.1% | 1.20× | 3.77 |
| Standard Liege to score exactly 2 | 23.5% | 23.2% | 24.4% | 0.95× | 4.30 |
| Standard Liege to score 3+ | 15.1% | 18.9% | 19.3% | 0.98× | 5.30 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 47.0% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Standard Liege leading at HT | 32.3% | 33.6% | — | — | 2.98 |
| Antwerp leading at HT | 20.7% | 20.1% | — | — | 4.99 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege -1: 2 | 56.2% | 56.6% | — | — | 1.77 |
| Standard Liege -1: X | 23.2% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
| Standard Liege -1: 1 | 20.6% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp (0:1) | 56.2% | 55.8% | 57.1% | 0.98× | 1.79 |
| Draw (0:1) | 23.2% | 24.3% | 21.0% | 1.16× | 4.12 |
| Standard Liege (0:1) | 20.6% | 24.3% | 22.1% | 1.10× | 4.12 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp (0:2) | 79.4% | 79.5% | 77.9% | 1.02× | 1.26 |
| Draw (0:2) | 13.1% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 0.94× | 9.12 |
| Standard Liege (0:2) | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 0.74× | 12.95 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp (0:3) | 92.5% | 92.6% | 89.5% | 1.03× | 1.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 0.94× | 17.19 |
| Standard Liege (0:3) | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 0.53× | 42.17 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp (0:4) | 97.8% | 98.1% | 95.5% | 1.03× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 0.49× | 83.49 |
| Standard Liege (0:4) | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 0.55× | 83.62 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege (1:0) | 72.3% | 72.5% | 69.1% | 1.05× | 1.38 |
| Draw (1:0) | 17.3% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 0.97× | 5.87 |
| Antwerp (1:0) | 10.4% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 0.95× | 7.82 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege (2:0) | 89.6% | 88.4% | 86.6% | 1.02× | 1.13 |
| Draw (2:0) | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 0.75× | 15.49 |
| Antwerp (2:0) | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 0.46× | 44.19 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 45.4% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
| Halves equal | 28.1% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege to concede | 63.4% | 63.4% | 68.1% | 0.93× | 1.58 |
| Standard Liege clean sheet | 36.6% | 36.6% | 31.9% | 1.15× | 2.73 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege clean sheet in 1st half | 66.9% | 68.6% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Standard Liege to concede in 1st half | 33.1% | 31.4% | — | — | 3.18 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege under 6.5 corners | 85.7% | 85.2% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Standard Liege under 5.5 corners | 76.1% | 76.1% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Standard Liege over 2.5 corners | 71.7% | 71.5% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Standard Liege under 4.5 corners | 62.7% | 62.0% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Standard Liege over 3.5 corners | 53.9% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Standard Liege under 3.5 corners | 46.1% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Standard Liege over 4.5 corners | 37.3% | 38.0% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Standard Liege under 2.5 corners | 28.3% | 28.5% | — | — | 3.51 |
| Standard Liege over 5.5 corners | 23.9% | 23.9% | — | — | 4.19 |
| Standard Liege over 6.5 corners | 14.3% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.75 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege under 3.5 goals | 95.3% | 96.4% | 90.9% | 1.06× | 1.04 |
| Standard Liege under 2.5 goals | 84.9% | 82.1% | 80.7% | 1.02× | 1.22 |
| Standard Liege over 0.5 goals | 73.7% | 74.2% | 77.9% | 0.95× | 1.35 |
| Standard Liege under 1.5 goals | 61.4% | 63.5% | 56.5% | 1.12× | 1.58 |
| Standard Liege over 1.5 goals | 38.6% | 36.5% | 43.5% | 0.84× | 2.74 |
| Standard Liege under 0.5 goals | 26.3% | 25.8% | 22.1% | 1.17× | 3.87 |
| Standard Liege over 2.5 goals | 15.1% | 17.9% | 19.3% | 0.93× | 5.60 |
| Standard Liege over 3.5 goals | 4.7% | 3.6% | 9.1% | 0.40× | 27.40 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege under 1.5 in 1st half | 88.6% | 89.8% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Standard Liege under 0.5 in 1st half | 56.3% | 58.0% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Standard Liege over 0.5 in 1st half | 43.7% | 42.0% | — | — | 2.38 |
| Standard Liege over 1.5 in 1st half | 11.4% | 10.2% | — | — | 9.81 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (home no bet) | 50.8% | 51.6% | 46.1% | 1.12× | 1.94 |
| Antwerp (home no bet) | 49.2% | 48.4% | 53.9% | 0.90× | 2.07 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege even goals | 53.5% | 50.6% | 52.6% | 0.96× | 1.98 |
| Standard Liege odd goals | 46.5% | 49.4% | 47.4% | 1.04× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 37.7% | 38.7% | — | — | 2.59 |
| HT 1-0 | 21.5% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.15 |
| HT 0-1 | 15.1% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.35 |
| HT 1-1 | 8.8% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.02 |
| HT 2-0 | 6.2% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.06 |
| HT 0-2 | 3.0% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.39 |
| Any other HT score | 2.9% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.40 |
| HT 2-1 | 2.5% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.43 |
| HT 1-2 | 1.8% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.48 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.5% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.57 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege at HT / Standard Liege at FT | 25.5% | 26.7% | — | — | 3.75 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 18.9% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Draw at HT / Standard Liege at FT | 16.3% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.97 |
| Antwerp at HT / Antwerp at FT | 14.2% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.88 |
| Draw at HT / Antwerp at FT | 11.8% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Standard Liege at HT / Draw at FT | 5.2% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.73 |
| Antwerp at HT / Draw at FT | 4.5% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.79 |
| Antwerp at HT / Standard Liege at FT | 2.0% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.89 |
| Standard Liege at HT / Antwerp at FT | 1.7% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.90 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege to score last | 51.3% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Antwerp to score last | 38.6% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| No goal scored | 10.1% | 8.9% | — | — | 11.28 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 89.9% | 91.0% | — | — | 1.10 |
| Standard Liege to lead by 1 at any time | 57.8% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Antwerp to lead by 1 at any time | 43.4% | 39.3% | — | — | 2.55 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 40.3% | 39.2% | — | — | 2.55 |
| Standard Liege to lead by 2 at any time | 25.8% | 25.4% | — | — | 3.94 |
| Antwerp to lead by 2 at any time | 14.6% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.51 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 12.9% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.54 |
| Standard Liege to lead by 3 at any time | 9.0% | 6.7% | — | — | 14.98 |
| Antwerp to lead by 3 at any time | 3.9% | 1.7% | — | — | 60.52 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp most corners | 58.6% | 55.4% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Standard Liege most corners | 30.6% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.97 |
| Corners level | 10.8% | 10.6% | — | — | 9.40 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 86.7% | 87.4% | 86.0% | 1.02× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 81.0% | 83.5% | 76.9% | 1.09× | 1.20 |
| 1-3 goals | 69.0% | 69.0% | 63.4% | 1.09× | 1.45 |
| 2-6 goals | 67.3% | 69.0% | 73.9% | 0.93× | 1.45 |
| 2-5 goals | 65.1% | 68.9% | 70.2% | 0.98× | 1.45 |
| 2-4 goals | 59.5% | 59.2% | 61.1% | 0.97× | 1.69 |
| 1-2 goals | 48.4% | 48.7% | 40.3% | 1.21× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 47.4% | 48.7% | 47.7% | 1.02× | 2.06 |
| 3-6 goals | 40.5% | 43.6% | 49.5% | 0.88× | 2.30 |
| 3-5 goals | 38.3% | 39.2% | 45.8% | 0.85× | 2.55 |
| 3-4 goals | 32.6% | 35.4% | 36.7% | 0.96× | 2.83 |
| 4-6 goals | 19.9% | 18.6% | 26.4% | 0.71× | 5.37 |
| 4-5 goals | 17.7% | 18.6% | 22.7% | 0.82× | 5.37 |
| 5-6 goals | 7.8% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 0.67× | 11.44 |
| 7+ goals | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 0.92× | 39.29 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege never behind | 46.5% | 56.5% | — | — | 1.77 |
| Antwerp never behind | 32.1% | 35.6% | — | — | 2.81 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 48.6% | 50.8% | 50.0% | 1.02× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 51.4% | 49.2% | 50.0% | 0.98× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 57.3% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 42.8% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 53.6% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 46.4% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 96.8% | 95.5% | 93.5% | 1.02× | 1.05 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 91.1% | 92.3% | 84.4% | 1.09× | 1.08 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 89.9% | 87.7% | 92.3% | 0.95× | 1.14 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 79.1% | 77.4% | 71.0% | 1.09× | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.3% | 66.2% | 76.5% | 0.87× | 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58.5% | 58.8% | 47.8% | 1.23× | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.5% | 41.2% | 52.2% | 0.79× | 2.43 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31.7% | 33.8% | 23.5% | 1.44× | 2.96 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.9% | 22.6% | 29.0% | 0.78× | 4.42 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10.1% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 1.60× | 8.10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 8.9% | 7.7% | 15.6% | 0.50× | 12.92 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 0.69× | 22.21 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 99.0% | 97.2% | 97.1% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 96.6% | 97.2% | 92.9% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 89.9% | 86.8% | 82.0% | 1.06× | 1.15 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 73.7% | 72.6% | 62.2% | 1.17× | 1.38 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 56.7% | 55.4% | 69.0% | 0.80× | 1.80 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 43.3% | 44.6% | 31.0% | 1.44× | 2.24 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 26.3% | 27.4% | 37.8% | 0.73× | 3.65 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 10.1% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 0.74× | 7.55 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 3.4% | 2.8% | 7.1% | 0.39× | 36.12 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.96× | 36.19 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 92.4% | 92.7% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 74.3% | 71.3% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 62.3% | 63.6% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 37.7% | 36.4% | — | — | 2.75 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 25.7% | 28.7% | — | — | 3.48 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 7.6% | 7.3% | — | — | 13.69 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 84.2% | 82.9% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 74.3% | 77.8% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 60.2% | 61.6% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 39.8% | 38.4% | — | — | 2.60 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 25.7% | 22.2% | — | — | 4.50 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 15.8% | 17.1% | — | — | 5.84 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp not to score in both halves | 85.0% | 84.4% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Standard Liege not to score in both halves | 76.7% | 78.2% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Standard Liege to score in both halves | 23.3% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.59 |
| Antwerp to score in both halves | 15.0% | 15.6% | — | — | 6.41 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 47.2% | 50.5% | 53.7% | 0.94× | 1.98 |
| Only Standard Liege scores | 26.5% | 26.1% | 24.4% | 1.07× | 3.83 |
| Only Antwerp scores | 16.2% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 1.11× | 6.22 |
| Neither team scores | 10.1% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 1.42× | 9.16 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 26.8% | 25.0% | 24.5% | 1.02× | 4.01 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 21.6% | 22.6% | 15.9% | 1.42× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 20.6% | 22.6% | 23.3% | 0.97× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 12.1% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 0.89× | 8.28 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 10.1% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 1.57× | 8.28 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 0.83× | 13.09 |
| 6 or more goals | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 0.68× | 22.67 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 39.8% | 40.0% | — | — | 2.50 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 34.5% | 33.5% | — | — | 2.99 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 25.7% | 29.7% | — | — | 3.36 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp not to win both halves | 94.6% | 94.0% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Standard Liege not to win both halves | 88.5% | 87.9% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Standard Liege to win both halves | 11.5% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.29 |
| Antwerp to win both halves | 5.4% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.68 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp to win neither half | 59.0% | 59.5% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Standard Liege to win either half | 56.1% | 59.4% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Standard Liege to win neither half | 43.9% | 40.6% | — | — | 2.46 |
| Antwerp to win either half | 41.0% | 40.5% | — | — | 2.47 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antwerp not to win to nil | 83.8% | 83.0% | 85.5% | 0.97× | 1.20 |
| Standard Liege not to win to nil | 73.5% | 75.3% | 75.6% | 1.00× | 1.33 |
| Standard Liege to win to nil | 26.5% | 24.7% | 24.4% | 1.01× | 4.05 |
| Antwerp to win to nil | 16.2% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 1.17× | 5.89 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 28.5% | 27.9% | 26.4% | 1.06× | 3.59 |
| Standard Liege by 1 | 23.2% | 24.2% | 21.0% | 1.15× | 4.14 |
| Antwerp by 1 | 17.3% | 16.9% | 17.6% | 0.96× | 5.91 |
| Standard Liege by 2 | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 1.01× | 8.47 |
| Standard Liege by 3+ | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 0.69× | 13.78 |
| Antwerp by 2 | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 0.84× | 13.78 |
| Antwerp by 3+ | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 0.55× | 36.99 |