Stoke City v Sheffield United — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Stoke City

07:30

Sheffield United

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 292h before kick-off

Stoke City win

21.9%

model 23.9%

Draw

28.2%

model 28.8%

Sheffield United win

49.8%

model 47.3%

222850

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.7%
0-1 10.7%
0-0 9.5%
1-2 9.3%
0-2 9.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	46.2%	Under 2.5	53.8%
BTTS yes	51.1%	BTTS no	48.9%
Stoke City 1+	63.7%	Stoke City 2+	26.9%
Sheffield United 1+	77.9%	Sheffield United 2+	44.6%

Expected goals 1.01 – 1.51. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

43/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Sheffield United (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 40%

69.4% fair odds 1.44

strong signal · 259 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1227 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Sheffield United carry the stronger rating, 1478 Elo against 1330.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Sheffield United have an estimated 49.8% win probability, against 28.2% for the draw and 21.9% for Stoke City. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.01 for Stoke City and 1.51 for Sheffield United.

Why Stoke City

Nothing in the data singles out Stoke City.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.2%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Sheffield United can win

Sheffield United carry the stronger rating, 1478 Elo against 1330. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

Sheffield United's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Ben Brereton Díaz (0.40), Oliver McBurnie (0.30), Cameron Archer (0.28).

Availability

No lineup on record for Stoke City, so availability is unknown. 1 of Sheffield United's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Stoke City: 42% possession, 10.4 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sheffield United: 42% possession, 9.8 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.36 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Sheffield United are the model's most likely outcome at 49.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.7%. Confidence 43/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Sheffield United are finishing below their chances — 2.8 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 9.0 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

DLDLLLLLLL last 10 scored 11 from 13.8 xG conceded 30 from 21.1 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	242947	1.01–1.51	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	212851	0.96–1.59	1-1 13%	47%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United to win	50.7%	51.4%	29.0%	1.77×	1.95
Draw	28.0%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.59
Stoke City to win	21.4%	24.4%	43.5%	0.56×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United & not both score	29.1%	25.2%	15.3%	1.65×	3.97
Sheffield United & both teams score	21.5%	21.9%	13.8%	1.58×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	18.7%	17.9%	20.4%	0.88×	5.58
Stoke City & not both score	11.2%	13.3%	23.4%	0.57×	7.55
Stoke City & both teams score	10.2%	13.3%	20.2%	0.66×	7.55
Draw & not both score	9.3%	8.4%	7.3%	1.15×	11.92

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United & over 1.5	39.6%	34.9%	21.4%	1.63×	2.87
Sheffield United & under 3.5	35.7%	34.9%	22.3%	1.56×	2.87
Sheffield United & over 2.5	29.7%	26.0%	16.2%	1.61×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	22.6%	21.7%	21.6%	1.00×	4.62
Draw & under 3.5	22.6%	21.7%	21.6%	1.00×	4.62
Sheffield United & under 2.5	21.0%	21.7%	13.0%	1.67×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	18.7%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Stoke City & under 3.5	16.6%	18.0%	32.5%	0.55×	5.56
Sheffield United & over 3.5	15.0%	18.0%	6.8%	2.65×	5.56
Stoke City & over 1.5	15.3%	18.0%	32.5%	0.55×	5.56
Stoke City & over 2.5	11.7%	12.9%	26.4%	0.49×	7.77
Sheffield United & under 1.5	11.1%	12.9%	7.7%	1.66×	7.77
Stoke City & under 2.5	9.7%	7.9%	17.2%	0.46×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	9.3%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.69
Stoke City & under 1.5	6.1%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	5.4%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	5.4%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.70
Stoke City & over 3.5	4.8%	4.8%	11.1%	0.43×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United (1UP)	64.5%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Stoke City (1UP)	38.6%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United (2UP)	50.7%	55.4%	—	—	1.80
Stoke City (2UP)	21.4%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United to win 2nd half	43.6%	41.1%	—	—	2.43
2nd half drawn	36.5%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
Stoke City to win 2nd half	19.9%	19.2%	—	—	5.21

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United (+2.5)	97.9%	96.3%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
Sheffield United (+1.5)	92.1%	92.1%	80.7%	1.14×	1.09
Sheffield United (+0.5)	78.6%	78.4%	56.5%	1.39×	1.28
Sheffield United (-0.5)	50.7%	52.3%	29.0%	1.80×	1.91
Stoke City (+0.5)	49.3%	47.7%	71.0%	0.67×	2.10
Stoke City (-0.5)	21.4%	21.6%	43.5%	0.50×	4.64
Stoke City (-1.5)	7.9%	7.9%	19.3%	0.41×	12.63
Stoke City (-2.5)	2.1%	3.7%	8.1%	0.46×	26.94

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United to concede	61.6%	67.2%	77.5%	0.87×	1.49
Sheffield United clean sheet	38.4%	32.8%	22.5%	1.46×	3.05

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United clean sheet in 1st half	66.3%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Sheffield United to concede in 1st half	33.7%	30.8%	—	—	3.25

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United over 2.5 corners	82.2%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Sheffield United over 3.5 corners	70.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Sheffield United under 6.5 corners	65.7%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Sheffield United over 4.5 corners	57.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Sheffield United under 5.5 corners	54.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Sheffield United over 5.5 corners	45.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Sheffield United under 4.5 corners	42.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Sheffield United over 6.5 corners	34.3%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Sheffield United under 3.5 corners	29.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Sheffield United under 2.5 corners	17.8%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United under 3.5 goals	92.3%	92.3%	97.8%	0.94×	1.08
Sheffield United over 0.5 goals	79.5%	76.3%	69.4%	1.10×	1.31
Sheffield United under 2.5 goals	78.7%	76.2%	90.6%	0.84×	1.31
Sheffield United under 1.5 goals	52.9%	53.7%	69.9%	0.77×	1.86
Sheffield United over 1.5 goals	47.1%	46.3%	30.1%	1.54×	2.16
Sheffield United over 2.5 goals	21.3%	23.8%	9.5%	2.51×	4.21
Sheffield United under 0.5 goals	20.5%	23.7%	30.6%	0.78×	4.21
Sheffield United over 3.5 goals	7.7%	7.7%	2.2%	3.43×	13.03

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United under 1.5 in 1st half	86.7%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Sheffield United under 0.5 in 1st half	53.0%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Sheffield United over 0.5 in 1st half	47.0%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
Sheffield United over 1.5 in 1st half	13.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.10

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	56.7%	57.5%	38.8%	1.48×	1.74
Stoke City (away no bet)	43.3%	42.5%	61.2%	0.70×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United even goals	52.1%	52.8%	52.6%	1.00×	1.89
Sheffield United odd goals	47.9%	47.2%	47.4%	1.00×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.6%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.4%	12.3%	—	—	8.13

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	60.6%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	39.4%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	53.2%	51.4%	—	—	1.95
Sheffield United to score 2+ in a row	40.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.0%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
Stoke City to score 2+ in a row	17.9%	16.3%	—	—	6.12
Sheffield United to score 3+ in a row	15.2%	16.3%	—	—	6.14
Stoke City to score 3+ in a row	3.9%	2.6%	—	—	38.17

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City corners (+3.5)	84.5%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Stoke City corners (+2.5)	79.3%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Stoke City corners (+1.5)	73.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Sheffield United corners (+3.5)	65.1%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Sheffield United corners (+2.5)	57.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Stoke City corners (-1.5)	50.2%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Sheffield United corners (+1.5)	49.8%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Stoke City corners (-2.5)	42.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Stoke City corners (-3.5)	34.9%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Sheffield United corners (-1.5)	26.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Sheffield United corners (-2.5)	20.7%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Sheffield United corners (-3.5)	15.5%	20.3%	—	—	4.94

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	56.4%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
9-11 corners	22.2%	25.6%	—	—	3.91
0-8 corners	21.4%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	84.8%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	78.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 9.5 corners	71.6%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 10.5 corners	64.1%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 11.5 corners	56.4%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 12.5 corners	51.2%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 12.5 corners	48.8%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 11.5 corners	43.6%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 10.5 corners	35.9%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 9.5 corners	28.4%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Under 8.5 corners	21.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Under 7.5 corners	15.2%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.3%	11.5%	14.4%	0.79×	8.73
0-1	11.1%	11.5%	7.7%	1.48×	8.73
0-0	9.3%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.48
0-2	9.9%	7.4%	5.3%	1.39×	13.48
1-2	9.5%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.48
0-3	5.2%	7.4%	1.6%	4.55×	13.48
1-0	6.1%	7.4%	11.1%	0.67×	13.48
1-3	5.0%	7.4%	3.1%	2.40×	13.48
2-1	5.7%	7.4%	11.4%	0.65×	13.48
0-4	2.1%	1.7%	0.4%	3.98×	58.48
1-4	2.0%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.48
2-0	3.6%	1.7%	6.2%	0.28×	58.47
2-2	4.5%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.46
2-3	2.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.48
2-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.3%	6.63×	58.48
3-0	1.1%	1.7%	4.0%	0.42×	58.48
3-1	1.8%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.48
3-2	1.4%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.48
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.49
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	6.63×	58.49
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.49
4-1	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.49
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.21×	58.49
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	9.95×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	19.90×	58.49
Any other score	2.6%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United leading at HT (DNB)	63.5%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Stoke City leading at HT (DNB)	36.5%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United or draw (X2)	78.6%	75.6%	56.5%	1.34×	1.32
Stoke City or Sheffield United (12)	72.0%	72.1%	72.4%	1.00×	1.39
Stoke City or draw (1X)	49.3%	48.6%	71.0%	0.69×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United or draw at HT	80.1%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Stoke City or draw at HT	65.3%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Stoke City or Sheffield United at HT	54.6%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United or draw (1UP)	78.6%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Stoke City or draw (1UP)	49.3%	52.9%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United or draw in 2nd half	80.1%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Stoke City or Sheffield United in 2nd half	63.5%	63.9%	—	—	1.56
Stoke City or draw in 2nd half	56.5%	58.9%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.8%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	36.2%	38.4%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United (DNB)	70.3%	71.3%	40.0%	1.78×	1.40
Stoke City (DNB)	29.7%	28.7%	60.0%	0.48×	3.49

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United to score first	56.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Stoke City to score first	34.1%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
No goal scored	9.3%	7.6%	—	—	13.19

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.4%	51.4%	54.2%	0.95×	1.95
Not both teams to score	49.6%	48.6%	45.8%	1.06×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	39.9%	38.5%	37.3%	1.03×	2.60
Both score & over 2.5	37.1%	38.5%	39.9%	0.97×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.3%	12.3%	14.4%	0.85×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	9.7%	8.4%	8.6%	0.97×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.3%	85.6%	89.0%	0.96×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.7%	14.4%	11.0%	1.31×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.7%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.3%	25.9%	—	—	3.87

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.7%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Both score 2nd half only	22.2%	20.8%	—	—	4.81
Both score 1st half only	12.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	4.1%	5.0%	—	—	19.87

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.9%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	16.1%	17.6%	—	—	5.70

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
A half without a goal	49.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.4%	47.4%	50.4%	0.94×	2.11
0-1 goals	26.4%	26.4%	25.9%	1.02×	3.78
4-6 goals	23.6%	22.8%	22.4%	1.02×	4.38
7+ goals	1.5%	1.8%	1.4%	1.33×	54.65

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United to score exactly 1	32.5%	33.8%	39.4%	0.86×	2.96
Sheffield United to score exactly 2	25.8%	27.4%	20.7%	1.32×	3.65
Sheffield United to score 3+	21.3%	22.4%	9.5%	2.37×	4.47
Sheffield United to score exactly 0	20.5%	22.4%	30.6%	0.73×	4.47

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City to score exactly 0	38.4%	35.6%	22.5%	1.58×	2.81
Stoke City to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.6%	36.9%	0.96×	2.81
Stoke City to score exactly 2	17.6%	18.9%	24.6%	0.77×	5.29
Stoke City to score 3+	7.3%	10.3%	16.2%	0.64×	9.73

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.4%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Sheffield United leading at HT	34.7%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
Stoke City leading at HT	19.9%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United -1: 1	49.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Sheffield United -1: 2	27.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Sheffield United -1: X	23.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United (0:1)	78.6%	73.9%	56.5%	1.31×	1.35
Draw (0:1)	13.5%	13.9%	24.2%	0.57×	7.22
Stoke City (0:1)	7.9%	9.2%	19.3%	0.48×	10.86

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United (0:2)	92.1%	90.8%	80.7%	1.13×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	5.8%	7.7%	11.3%	0.68×	12.96
Stoke City (0:2)	2.1%	3.8%	8.1%	0.47×	26.63

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United (0:3)	97.9%	96.6%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.7%	2.4%	4.8%	0.49×	42.19
Stoke City (0:3)	0.4%	2.4%	3.4%	0.71×	42.25

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United (0:4)	99.6%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	2.4%	0.50×	83.64
Stoke City (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.0%	1.16×	83.68

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City (1:0)	49.3%	49.8%	71.0%	0.70×	2.01
Sheffield United (1:0)	27.4%	25.1%	11.9%	2.12×	3.99
Draw (1:0)	23.3%	21.8%	17.3%	1.26×	4.59

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City (2:0)	72.6%	76.4%	88.1%	0.87×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	16.0%	15.6%	8.7%	1.80×	6.39
Sheffield United (2:0)	11.5%	10.4%	3.3%	3.18×	9.64

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.5%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Halves equal	28.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	25.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City to concede	79.5%	76.0%	69.4%	1.09×	1.32
Stoke City clean sheet	20.5%	24.0%	30.6%	0.78×	4.17

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City clean sheet in 1st half	53.0%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Stoke City to concede in 1st half	47.0%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City over 2.5 corners	90.1%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Stoke City over 3.5 corners	82.1%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Stoke City over 4.5 corners	72.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Stoke City over 5.5 corners	62.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Stoke City over 6.5 corners	51.8%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Stoke City under 6.5 corners	48.2%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Stoke City under 5.5 corners	37.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Stoke City under 4.5 corners	27.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Stoke City under 3.5 corners	17.9%	19.1%	—	—	5.25
Stoke City under 2.5 corners	9.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.35

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City under 3.5 goals	98.4%	96.4%	94.8%	1.02×	1.04
Stoke City under 2.5 goals	92.7%	92.3%	83.8%	1.10×	1.08
Stoke City under 1.5 goals	75.2%	77.7%	59.4%	1.31×	1.29
Stoke City over 0.5 goals	61.6%	63.5%	77.5%	0.82×	1.58
Stoke City under 0.5 goals	38.4%	36.5%	22.5%	1.62×	2.74
Stoke City over 1.5 goals	24.8%	22.3%	40.6%	0.55×	4.49
Stoke City over 2.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	16.2%	0.48×	12.91
Stoke City over 3.5 goals	1.6%	3.6%	5.2%	0.70×	27.54

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City under 1.5 in 1st half	93.5%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
Stoke City under 0.5 in 1st half	66.3%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Stoke City over 0.5 in 1st half	33.7%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Stoke City over 1.5 in 1st half	6.5%	4.5%	—	—	22.09

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United (home no bet)	64.4%	60.2%	51.3%	1.17×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	35.6%	39.8%	48.7%	0.82×	2.52

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City even goals	57.4%	55.5%	50.5%	1.10×	1.80
Stoke City odd goals	42.6%	44.5%	49.5%	0.90×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.4%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
HT 0-1	22.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 1-0	14.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.14
HT 1-1	9.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
HT 0-2	7.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
Any other HT score	3.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.35
HT 2-0	3.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.39
HT 1-2	2.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.40
HT 2-1	1.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.47
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.57

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United at HT / Sheffield United at FT	28.8%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
Draw at HT / Sheffield United at FT	18.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Stoke City at HT / Stoke City at FT	11.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Stoke City at FT	8.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Stoke City at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Sheffield United at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Stoke City at HT / Sheffield United at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Sheffield United at HT / Stoke City at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United to score last	56.8%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Stoke City to score last	34.0%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
No goal scored	9.3%	7.6%	—	—	13.19

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.7%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Sheffield United to lead by 1 at any time	64.5%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	45.1%	44.0%	—	—	2.28
Stoke City to lead by 1 at any time	38.6%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Sheffield United to lead by 2 at any time	33.2%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Sheffield United to lead by 3 at any time	13.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Stoke City to lead by 2 at any time	12.1%	10.5%	—	—	9.56
Stoke City to lead by 3 at any time	3.0%	1.6%	—	—	61.37

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City most corners	58.2%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Sheffield United most corners	34.0%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Corners level	7.7%	8.5%	—	—	11.81

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.2%	87.4%	88.8%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.3%	78.6%	83.4%	0.94×	1.27
2-6 goals	72.0%	72.4%	72.8%	1.00×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.1%	69.0%	70.2%	0.98×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.6%	68.9%	69.1%	1.00×	1.45
2-4 goals	62.1%	63.4%	64.8%	0.98×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.4%	48.7%	50.4%	0.96×	2.06
3-6 goals	45.2%	48.7%	47.1%	1.03×	2.06
1-2 goals	44.0%	43.6%	44.4%	0.98×	2.30
3-5 goals	42.2%	43.6%	44.5%	0.98×	2.30
3-4 goals	35.3%	39.1%	39.1%	1.00×	2.56
4-6 goals	23.6%	24.5%	22.4%	1.09×	4.09
4-5 goals	20.7%	24.5%	19.8%	1.23×	4.09
5-6 goals	9.9%	8.8%	8.1%	1.08×	11.43
7+ goals	1.5%	2.5%	1.4%	1.85×	39.26

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sheffield United never behind	52.1%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Stoke City never behind	26.3%	30.0%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.9%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.1%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	43.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.5%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.5%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.5%	95.5%	96.0%	0.99×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	90.7%	92.3%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.5%	87.7%	90.6%	0.97×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	74.8%	72.5%	76.3%	0.95×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	73.6%	72.5%	74.1%	0.98×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	53.3%	52.5%	51.6%	1.02×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	46.7%	47.5%	48.4%	0.98×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	26.4%	27.5%	25.9%	1.06×	3.64
Over 3.5 goals	25.2%	27.5%	23.7%	1.16×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	11.5%	12.3%	9.4%	1.32×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	9.3%	7.7%	7.3%	1.06×	12.91
Over 5.5 goals	4.5%	4.5%	4.0%	1.14×	22.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.4%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.2%	97.2%	95.8%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	86.7%	86.7%	89.1%	0.97×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	67.9%	67.4%	68.5%	0.98×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	63.9%	62.1%	65.1%	0.95×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	36.1%	37.9%	34.9%	1.09×	2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	32.1%	32.6%	31.5%	1.04×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	13.3%	13.3%	10.9%	1.21×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.8%	2.8%	4.2%	0.66×	36.08
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.6%	2.8%	1.4%	1.96×	36.18

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.1%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	71.6%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.6%	63.7%	—	—	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.4%	36.3%	—	—	2.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	28.4%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.51

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.9%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.2%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.4%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	44.6%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.8%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City not to score in both halves	85.8%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Sheffield United not to score in both halves	71.1%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Sheffield United to score in both halves	28.9%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
Stoke City to score in both halves	14.2%	14.3%	—	—	6.98

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.4%	53.9%	54.2%	0.99×	1.86
Only Sheffield United scores	29.1%	26.1%	15.3%	1.71×	3.83
Only Stoke City scores	11.2%	10.9%	23.4%	0.47×	9.15
Neither team scores	9.3%	7.2%	7.3%	0.99×	13.89

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.8%	25.0%	25.8%	0.97×	4.01
Exactly 3 goals	21.6%	22.6%	24.7%	0.91×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	17.2%	17.4%	18.7%	0.93×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	13.7%	12.1%	14.4%	0.84×	8.27
Exactly 0 goals	9.3%	7.6%	7.3%	1.05×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	7.0%	7.6%	5.5%	1.39×	13.09
6 or more goals	4.5%	4.4%	4.0%	1.12×	22.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	44.6%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
1 goal in 2nd half	32.5%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	22.8%	23.1%	—	—	4.33

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City not to win both halves	95.9%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Sheffield United not to win both halves	84.6%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Sheffield United to win both halves	15.4%	15.7%	—	—	6.38
Stoke City to win both halves	4.1%	2.8%	—	—	35.51

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City to win neither half	64.3%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Sheffield United to win either half	62.9%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Sheffield United to win neither half	37.1%	34.9%	—	—	2.86
Stoke City to win either half	35.7%	34.9%	—	—	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City not to win to nil	88.8%	88.2%	76.6%	1.15×	1.13
Sheffield United not to win to nil	70.9%	75.3%	84.7%	0.89×	1.33
Sheffield United to win to nil	29.1%	24.7%	15.3%	1.62×	4.05
Stoke City to win to nil	11.2%	11.8%	23.4%	0.50×	8.50

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.0%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.59
Sheffield United by 1	23.3%	24.2%	17.3%	1.40×	4.14
Sheffield United by 2	16.0%	16.9%	8.7%	1.95×	5.91
Stoke City by 1	13.5%	11.8%	24.2%	0.49×	8.47
Sheffield United by 3+	11.5%	11.8%	3.3%	3.61×	8.48
Stoke City by 2	5.8%	7.3%	11.3%	0.64×	13.79
Stoke City by 3+	2.1%	2.7%	8.1%	0.33×	37.02