Sutton United v Scunthorpe United — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 12 September 2026 · ENG-National League · 2627
ENG-National League
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
dc-xg No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 1.43–1.58 | 1-1 11% | 58% | 60% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United to win | 41.5% | 43.0% | 33.6% | 1.28× | 2.33 |
| Sutton United to win | 35.1% | 36.4% | 43.7% | 0.83× | 2.75 |
| Draw | 23.3% | 24.4% | 22.8% | 1.07× | 4.09 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United & both teams score | 22.2% | 21.9% | 17.3% | 1.27× | 4.57 |
| Scunthorpe United & not both score | 19.3% | 17.9% | 16.5% | 1.09× | 5.58 |
| Sutton United & both teams score | 19.0% | 17.9% | 22.0% | 0.81× | 5.58 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.8% | 17.9% | 18.2% | 0.98× | 5.58 |
| Sutton United & not both score | 16.1% | 17.9% | 21.9% | 0.82× | 5.58 |
| Draw & not both score | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 1.03× | 20.47 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United & over 1.5 | 33.3% | 30.9% | 27.7% | 1.11× | 3.24 |
| Sutton United & over 1.5 | 27.7% | 26.0% | 34.4% | 0.76× | 3.84 |
| Scunthorpe United & over 2.5 | 27.2% | 26.0% | 21.6% | 1.21× | 3.84 |
| Scunthorpe United & under 3.5 | 26.3% | 26.0% | 24.2% | 1.07× | 3.84 |
| Sutton United & over 2.5 | 22.6% | 21.6% | 29.0% | 0.75× | 4.62 |
| Sutton United & under 3.5 | 22.9% | 21.6% | 28.1% | 0.77× | 4.62 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.8% | 18.0% | 18.2% | 0.99× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 15.2% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 1.11× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 15.2% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 1.11× | 5.56 |
| Scunthorpe United & over 3.5 | 15.2% | 18.0% | 9.5% | 1.89× | 5.56 |
| Scunthorpe United & under 2.5 | 14.3% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 1.05× | 7.77 |
| Sutton United & under 2.5 | 12.5% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 0.86× | 7.78 |
| Sutton United & over 3.5 | 12.2% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 0.81× | 7.78 |
| Sutton United & under 1.5 | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 0.83× | 12.69 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 1.16× | 12.69 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 1.16× | 12.69 |
| Scunthorpe United & under 1.5 | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 1.31× | 12.69 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 1.01× | 20.93 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United (1UP) | 59.0% | 58.1% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Sutton United (1UP) | 53.6% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.89 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United (2UP) | 41.5% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Sutton United (2UP) | 35.1% | 36.8% | — | — | 2.72 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United to win 2nd half | 37.1% | 36.1% | — | — | 2.77 |
| 2nd half drawn | 32.9% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
| Sutton United to win 2nd half | 30.0% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.80 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United (+2.5) | 94.1% | 92.1% | 89.7% | 1.03× | 1.09 |
| Scunthorpe United (+1.5) | 83.9% | 82.4% | 79.4% | 1.04× | 1.21 |
| Scunthorpe United (+0.5) | 64.9% | 62.9% | 56.3% | 1.12× | 1.59 |
| Sutton United (+0.5) | 58.5% | 57.0% | 66.4% | 0.86× | 1.75 |
| Scunthorpe United (-0.5) | 41.5% | 43.0% | 33.6% | 1.28× | 2.33 |
| Sutton United (-0.5) | 35.1% | 37.1% | 43.7% | 0.85× | 2.70 |
| Sutton United (-1.5) | 16.1% | 17.6% | 20.6% | 0.85× | 5.69 |
| Sutton United (-2.5) | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 0.77× | 12.69 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United to concede | 76.2% | 79.0% | 78.9% | 1.00× | 1.27 |
| Scunthorpe United clean sheet | 23.8% | 21.0% | 21.1% | 1.00× | 4.76 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United to concede in 1st half | 46.0% | 50.8% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Scunthorpe United clean sheet in 1st half | 54.0% | 49.2% | — | — | 2.03 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United under 3.5 goals | 92.4% | 92.3% | 96.4% | 0.96× | 1.08 |
| Scunthorpe United over 0.5 goals | 79.4% | 76.2% | 73.5% | 1.04× | 1.31 |
| Scunthorpe United under 2.5 goals | 78.9% | 76.2% | 84.5% | 0.90× | 1.31 |
| Scunthorpe United under 1.5 goals | 53.2% | 53.7% | 59.4% | 0.90× | 1.86 |
| Scunthorpe United over 1.5 goals | 46.8% | 46.3% | 40.6% | 1.14× | 2.16 |
| Scunthorpe United over 2.5 goals | 21.1% | 23.8% | 15.5% | 1.53× | 4.21 |
| Scunthorpe United under 0.5 goals | 20.6% | 23.8% | 26.5% | 0.90× | 4.21 |
| Scunthorpe United over 3.5 goals | 7.6% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 2.10× | 13.07 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United under 1.5 in 1st half | 86.8% | 89.5% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Scunthorpe United under 0.5 in 1st half | 53.2% | 55.9% | — | — | 1.79 |
| Scunthorpe United over 0.5 in 1st half | 46.8% | 44.1% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Scunthorpe United over 1.5 in 1st half | 13.2% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.54 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton United (away no bet) | 60.1% | 62.1% | 65.7% | 0.94× | 1.61 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 39.9% | 37.9% | 34.3% | 1.11× | 2.64 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United even goals | 52.1% | 52.7% | 54.4% | 0.97× | 1.90 |
| Scunthorpe United odd goals | 47.9% | 47.3% | 45.6% | 1.04× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 81.3% | 83.1% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 18.7% | 16.9% | — | — | 5.93 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 69.2% | 68.5% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 30.8% | 31.5% | — | — | 3.18 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 60.6% | 59.4% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Scunthorpe United to score 2+ in a row | 37.0% | 36.3% | — | — | 2.76 |
| Sutton United to score 2+ in a row | 32.0% | 28.5% | — | — | 3.51 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 22.5% | 19.3% | — | — | 5.18 |
| Scunthorpe United to score 3+ in a row | 12.9% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.33 |
| Sutton United to score 3+ in a row | 10.0% | 11.9% | — | — | 8.39 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 0.99× | 8.73 |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 0.88× | 13.46 |
| 0-1 | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 1.23× | 13.46 |
| 1-0 | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 0.78× | 13.46 |
| 2-1 | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 0.77× | 13.46 |
| 0-2 | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 1.17× | 13.46 |
| 2-0 | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 1.34× | 13.46 |
| 2-2 | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.47× | 13.46 |
| 0-0 | 4.5% | 1.7% | 4.8% | 0.36× | 58.57 |
| 0-3 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 0.43× | 58.57 |
| 0-4 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.59× | 58.59 |
| 1-3 | 4.6% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 0.49× | 58.57 |
| 1-4 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.54× | 58.58 |
| 2-3 | 3.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 0.57× | 58.57 |
| 2-4 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.69× | 58.59 |
| 3-0 | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 0.45× | 58.58 |
| 3-1 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 0.49× | 58.57 |
| 3-2 | 3.0% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 0.41× | 58.58 |
| 3-3 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.08× | 58.58 |
| 3-4 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.69× | 58.59 |
| 4-0 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.72× | 58.59 |
| 4-1 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.98× | 58.58 |
| 4-2 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.08× | 58.59 |
| 4-3 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.59× | 58.59 |
| 4-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.59× | 58.59 |
| Any other score | 3.8% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 0.43× | 58.57 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United leading at HT (DNB) | 50.8% | 55.5% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Sutton United leading at HT (DNB) | 49.2% | 44.5% | — | — | 2.25 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton United or Scunthorpe United (12) | 76.7% | 75.6% | 77.2% | 0.98× | 1.32 |
| Scunthorpe United or draw (X2) | 64.9% | 63.6% | 56.3% | 1.13× | 1.57 |
| Sutton United or draw (1X) | 58.5% | 57.0% | 66.4% | 0.86× | 1.75 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United or draw at HT | 70.9% | 74.6% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Sutton United or draw at HT | 70.0% | 66.2% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Sutton United or Scunthorpe United at HT | 59.1% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United or draw (1UP) | 64.9% | 71.5% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Sutton United or draw (1UP) | 58.5% | 62.8% | — | — | 1.59 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United or draw in 2nd half | 70.0% | 73.7% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Sutton United or Scunthorpe United in 2nd half | 67.1% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Sutton United or draw in 2nd half | 62.9% | 63.9% | — | — | 1.56 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 60.8% | 61.5% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Neither half drawn | 39.2% | 38.5% | — | — | 2.60 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United (DNB) | 54.1% | 51.0% | 43.4% | 1.17× | 1.96 |
| Sutton United (DNB) | 45.9% | 49.0% | 56.6% | 0.87× | 2.04 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United to score first | 50.0% | 54.0% | — | — | 1.85 |
| Sutton United to score first | 45.5% | 45.5% | — | — | 2.20 |
| No goal scored | 4.5% | 4.4% | — | — | 22.85 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 60.0% | 56.4% | 57.2% | 0.99× | 1.77 |
| Not both teams to score | 40.0% | 43.6% | 42.8% | 1.02× | 2.30 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 49.3% | 44.2% | 45.8% | 0.97× | 2.26 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 31.3% | 34.4% | 31.5% | 1.09× | 2.91 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 1.07× | 8.11 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 0.73× | 11.96 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 80.3% | 83.1% | 82.7% | 1.01× | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 19.7% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 0.98× | 5.93 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 66.0% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 34.0% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.08 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 51.8% | 56.1% | — | — | 1.78 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 26.7% | 26.0% | — | — | 3.85 |
| Both score 1st half only | 14.1% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.51 |
| Both score in both halves | 7.4% | 6.7% | — | — | 14.92 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 78.5% | 81.7% | — | — | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 21.5% | 18.3% | — | — | 5.48 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 58.9% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| A half without a goal | 41.1% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 44.3% | 42.1% | 48.3% | 0.87× | 2.37 |
| 4-6 goals | 32.2% | 30.7% | 29.5% | 1.04× | 3.26 |
| 0-1 goals | 20.1% | 22.8% | 20.0% | 1.14× | 4.39 |
| 7+ goals | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 0.72× | 55.08 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United to score exactly 1 | 32.6% | 33.9% | 33.1% | 1.02× | 2.95 |
| Scunthorpe United to score exactly 2 | 25.7% | 27.4% | 25.2% | 1.09× | 3.65 |
| Scunthorpe United to score 3+ | 21.1% | 22.4% | 15.5% | 1.44× | 4.47 |
| Scunthorpe United to score exactly 0 | 20.6% | 22.4% | 26.5% | 0.85× | 4.47 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton United to score exactly 1 | 34.2% | 32.7% | 33.8% | 0.97× | 3.06 |
| Sutton United to score exactly 2 | 24.5% | 23.3% | 23.6% | 0.99× | 4.30 |
| Sutton United to score exactly 0 | 23.8% | 23.3% | 21.1% | 1.10× | 4.30 |
| Sutton United to score 3+ | 17.5% | 18.9% | 21.9% | 0.86× | 5.30 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 40.9% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Scunthorpe United leading at HT | 30.0% | 33.8% | — | — | 2.96 |
| Sutton United leading at HT | 29.1% | 25.4% | — | — | 3.93 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United -1: 1 | 58.5% | 56.7% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Scunthorpe United -1: X | 21.0% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
| Scunthorpe United -1: 2 | 20.5% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United (0:1) | 64.9% | 61.4% | 56.3% | 1.09× | 1.63 |
| Draw (0:1) | 19.1% | 17.8% | 23.3% | 0.76× | 5.62 |
| Sutton United (0:1) | 16.1% | 17.8% | 20.6% | 0.86× | 5.62 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United (0:2) | 83.9% | 82.8% | 79.4% | 1.04× | 1.21 |
| Draw (0:2) | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 1.05× | 9.10 |
| Sutton United (0:2) | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 0.75× | 12.99 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United (0:3) | 94.1% | 92.7% | 89.7% | 1.03× | 1.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 4.1% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 0.43× | 41.96 |
| Sutton United (0:3) | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 0.48× | 42.06 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United (0:4) | 98.2% | 98.1% | 95.1% | 1.03× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.6% | 0.33× | 83.32 |
| Sutton United (0:4) | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.84× | 83.42 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton United (1:0) | 58.5% | 58.2% | 66.4% | 0.88× | 1.72 |
| Draw (1:0) | 21.0% | 21.7% | 17.6% | 1.23× | 4.61 |
| Scunthorpe United (1:0) | 20.5% | 21.7% | 16.2% | 1.34× | 4.61 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton United (2:0) | 79.5% | 80.4% | 83.8% | 0.96× | 1.24 |
| Draw (2:0) | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 1.03× | 9.62 |
| Scunthorpe United (2:0) | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 1.05× | 15.48 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 49.9% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.4% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 22.8% | 24.2% | — | — | 4.13 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton United to concede | 79.4% | 75.9% | 73.5% | 1.03× | 1.32 |
| Sutton United clean sheet | 20.6% | 24.1% | 26.5% | 0.91× | 4.15 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton United clean sheet in 1st half | 53.2% | 55.9% | — | — | 1.79 |
| Sutton United to concede in 1st half | 46.8% | 44.1% | — | — | 2.27 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton United under 3.5 goals | 94.2% | 92.3% | 91.1% | 1.01× | 1.08 |
| Sutton United under 2.5 goals | 82.5% | 82.1% | 78.1% | 1.05× | 1.22 |
| Sutton United over 0.5 goals | 76.2% | 77.7% | 78.9% | 0.98× | 1.29 |
| Sutton United under 1.5 goals | 58.0% | 58.8% | 54.7% | 1.08× | 1.70 |
| Sutton United over 1.5 goals | 42.0% | 41.2% | 45.3% | 0.91× | 2.43 |
| Sutton United under 0.5 goals | 23.8% | 22.3% | 21.1% | 1.06× | 4.48 |
| Sutton United over 2.5 goals | 17.5% | 17.9% | 21.9% | 0.82× | 5.60 |
| Sutton United over 3.5 goals | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 0.87× | 12.91 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton United under 1.5 in 1st half | 87.3% | 89.9% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Sutton United over 0.5 in 1st half | 46.0% | 50.9% | — | — | 1.96 |
| Sutton United under 0.5 in 1st half | 54.0% | 49.1% | — | — | 2.04 |
| Sutton United over 1.5 in 1st half | 12.7% | 10.1% | — | — | 9.94 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United (home no bet) | 64.0% | 60.2% | 59.6% | 1.01× | 1.66 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 36.0% | 39.8% | 40.4% | 0.98× | 2.51 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton United even goals | 52.8% | 50.6% | 50.6% | 1.00× | 1.97 |
| Sutton United odd goals | 47.2% | 49.4% | 49.4% | 1.00× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 28.6% | 28.7% | — | — | 3.49 |
| HT 0-1 | 18.2% | 18.9% | — | — | 5.29 |
| HT 1-0 | 17.8% | 18.9% | — | — | 5.30 |
| HT 1-1 | 11.1% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.06 |
| HT 0-2 | 5.7% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.13 |
| HT 2-0 | 5.5% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.13 |
| Any other HT score | 5.0% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.14 |
| HT 1-2 | 3.5% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.66 |
| HT 2-1 | 3.4% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.67 |
| HT 2-2 | 1.1% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.85 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United at HT / Scunthorpe United at FT | 22.9% | 22.2% | — | — | 4.51 |
| Sutton United at HT / Sutton United at FT | 20.4% | 22.1% | — | — | 4.53 |
| Draw at HT / Scunthorpe United at FT | 15.4% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 13.0% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Draw at HT / Sutton United at FT | 12.5% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.90 |
| Sutton United at HT / Draw at FT | 5.5% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.63 |
| Scunthorpe United at HT / Draw at FT | 4.8% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.09 |
| Sutton United at HT / Scunthorpe United at FT | 3.2% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.16 |
| Scunthorpe United at HT / Sutton United at FT | 2.3% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.19 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United to score last | 50.0% | 51.7% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Sutton United to score last | 45.5% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| No goal scored | 4.5% | 4.4% | — | — | 22.85 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 95.5% | 95.6% | — | — | 1.05 |
| Scunthorpe United to lead by 1 at any time | 59.0% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Sutton United to lead by 1 at any time | 53.6% | 50.6% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 50.3% | 50.5% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Scunthorpe United to lead by 2 at any time | 27.7% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
| Sutton United to lead by 2 at any time | 22.9% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.10 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 18.6% | 15.0% | — | — | 6.69 |
| Scunthorpe United to lead by 3 at any time | 10.7% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.60 |
| Sutton United to lead by 3 at any time | 8.0% | 6.5% | — | — | 15.30 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 87.0% | 87.4% | 88.1% | 0.99× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 76.8% | 78.6% | 77.7% | 1.01× | 1.27 |
| 2-6 goals | 76.5% | 78.6% | 77.7% | 1.01× | 1.27 |
| 2-5 goals | 71.3% | 72.4% | 72.9% | 0.99× | 1.38 |
| 2-4 goals | 61.2% | 63.5% | 62.4% | 1.02× | 1.58 |
| 1-3 goals | 59.9% | 59.2% | 63.6% | 0.93× | 1.69 |
| 3-6 goals | 54.6% | 53.2% | 54.7% | 0.97× | 1.88 |
| 3-5 goals | 49.5% | 48.7% | 49.9% | 0.97× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 44.3% | 43.6% | 48.3% | 0.90× | 2.29 |
| 3-4 goals | 39.3% | 39.2% | 39.5% | 0.99× | 2.55 |
| 1-2 goals | 37.5% | 39.2% | 38.4% | 1.02× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 32.2% | 35.4% | 29.5% | 1.20× | 2.83 |
| 4-5 goals | 27.0% | 30.2% | 24.7% | 1.22× | 3.31 |
| 5-6 goals | 15.3% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 1.21× | 5.38 |
| 7+ goals | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.00× | 39.42 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United never behind | 41.9% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.08 |
| Sutton United never behind | 36.5% | 44.8% | — | — | 2.23 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 49.3% | 50.8% | 47.5% | 1.07× | 1.97 |
| Odd number of goals | 50.7% | 49.2% | 52.5% | 0.94× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 54.0% | 51.6% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 46.0% | 48.5% | — | — | 2.06 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 51.2% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.8% | 48.0% | — | — | 2.08 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95.5% | 95.5% | 95.2% | 1.00× | 1.05 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 91.5% | 92.3% | 92.7% | 1.00× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 81.3% | 82.4% | 82.3% | 1.00× | 1.21 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.9% | 77.4% | 80.0% | 0.97× | 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64.4% | 61.8% | 68.1% | 0.91× | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.0% | 58.8% | 57.1% | 1.03× | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42.0% | 41.2% | 42.9% | 0.96× | 2.43 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.6% | 38.2% | 31.9% | 1.20× | 2.62 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20.1% | 22.6% | 20.0% | 1.13× | 4.42 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18.7% | 17.6% | 17.8% | 0.99× | 5.67 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 1.06× | 12.94 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 0.95× | 22.18 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 96.4% | 97.2% | 97.3% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 90.5% | 92.5% | 91.9% | 1.01× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 77.5% | 75.9% | 79.3% | 0.96× | 1.32 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 74.2% | 72.6% | 74.1% | 0.98× | 1.38 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 54.2% | 51.8% | 57.4% | 0.90× | 1.93 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 45.8% | 48.2% | 42.6% | 1.13× | 2.08 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 25.8% | 27.4% | 25.9% | 1.06× | 3.65 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 22.5% | 24.1% | 20.7% | 1.16× | 4.16 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 0.93× | 13.25 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.03× | 36.34 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 86.9% | 89.3% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 71.4% | 71.1% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 64.6% | 63.8% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 35.4% | 36.2% | — | — | 2.76 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 28.6% | 28.9% | — | — | 3.46 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 13.1% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.33 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 83.0% | 82.9% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 74.0% | 78.0% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 52.5% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 47.5% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 26.0% | 22.0% | — | — | 4.54 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 17.0% | 17.1% | — | — | 5.86 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton United not to score in both halves | 74.3% | 74.4% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Scunthorpe United not to score in both halves | 71.3% | 74.2% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Scunthorpe United to score in both halves | 28.7% | 25.8% | — | — | 3.88 |
| Sutton United to score in both halves | 25.7% | 25.6% | — | — | 3.90 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 60.0% | 60.2% | 57.2% | 1.05× | 1.66 |
| Only Scunthorpe United scores | 19.3% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 0.98× | 6.20 |
| Only Sutton United scores | 16.1% | 16.1% | 21.9% | 0.74× | 6.21 |
| Neither team scores | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 0.97× | 21.69 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.4% | 22.6% | 25.4% | 0.89× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 21.9% | 22.6% | 23.1% | 0.98× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 16.9% | 17.5% | 14.3% | 1.22× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 15.6% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 1.14× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 10.2% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 1.14× | 8.29 |
| 6 or more goals | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 1.04× | 13.13 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 0.93× | 22.60 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 52.5% | 51.0% | — | — | 1.96 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 30.5% | 33.8% | — | — | 2.96 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 17.0% | 16.9% | — | — | 5.93 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton United not to win both halves | 91.3% | 93.9% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Scunthorpe United not to win both halves | 88.9% | 88.1% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Scunthorpe United to win both halves | 11.1% | 11.9% | — | — | 8.42 |
| Sutton United to win both halves | 8.7% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.48 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe United to win either half | 56.1% | 59.4% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Sutton United to win either half | 50.4% | 54.7% | — | — | 1.83 |
| Sutton United to win neither half | 49.6% | 45.3% | — | — | 2.21 |
| Scunthorpe United to win neither half | 43.9% | 40.6% | — | — | 2.46 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton United not to win to nil | 83.9% | 83.0% | 78.1% | 1.06× | 1.21 |
| Scunthorpe United not to win to nil | 80.7% | 83.0% | 83.5% | 0.99× | 1.21 |
| Scunthorpe United to win to nil | 19.3% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 1.03× | 5.87 |
| Sutton United to win to nil | 16.1% | 17.0% | 21.9% | 0.78× | 5.88 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 23.3% | 24.1% | 22.8% | 1.06× | 4.14 |
| Scunthorpe United by 1 | 21.0% | 24.1% | 17.6% | 1.37× | 4.14 |
| Sutton United by 1 | 19.1% | 16.9% | 23.3% | 0.73× | 5.90 |
| Scunthorpe United by 2 | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 1.17× | 8.46 |
| Sutton United by 2 | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 1.13× | 8.47 |
| Scunthorpe United by 3+ | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 1.17× | 13.80 |
| Sutton United by 3+ | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 0.70× | 13.81 |