Tijuana v Atlas — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 26 September 2026 · MEX-Liga MX · 2627

MEX-Liga MX results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Tijuana

23:00

Atlas

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 451h before kick-off

Tijuana win

51.6%

model 53.9%

Draw

27.3%

model 25.3%

Atlas win

21.2%

model 20.8%

522721

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.0%
1-0 9.8%
2-1 9.8%
2-0 9.6%
0-0 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	53.0%	Under 2.5	47.0%
BTTS yes	54.2%	BTTS no	45.8%
Tijuana 1+	83.0%	Tijuana 2+	52.8%
Atlas 1+	64.2%	Atlas 2+	27.4%

Expected goals 1.77 – 1.03. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

36/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Tijuana or draw (1X)

Double chance · usually 71%

78.5% fair odds 1.27

moderate signal · 1358 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1227 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Tijuana carry the stronger rating, 1595 Elo against 1494.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Tijuana have an estimated 51.6% win probability, against 27.3% for the draw and 21.2% for Atlas. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.77 for Tijuana and 1.03 for Atlas.

Why Tijuana

Tijuana carry the stronger rating, 1595 Elo against 1494. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. Draws run at 24% in this competition.

Why Atlas can win

Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Tijuana, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Atlas, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Tijuana: 42% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Atlas: 49% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 17.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Tijuana are the model's most likely outcome at 51.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.0%. Confidence 36/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	542521	1.77–1.03	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	512523	1.76–1.12	1-1 12%	55%	57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana to win	51.3%	51.4%	47.1%	1.09×	1.95
Draw	25.4%	27.9%	23.8%	1.17×	3.59
Atlas to win	23.2%	24.5%	29.3%	0.83×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana & not both score	26.1%	25.2%	22.7%	1.11×	3.97
Tijuana & both teams score	25.3%	25.2%	24.5%	1.03×	3.98
Draw & both teams score	18.8%	17.9%	17.4%	1.03×	5.58
Atlas & both teams score	12.6%	13.3%	17.8%	0.75×	7.54
Atlas & not both score	10.7%	13.3%	11.7%	1.13×	7.55
Draw & not both score	6.6%	8.4%	6.6%	1.28×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana & over 1.5	42.4%	40.3%	37.3%	1.08×	2.48
Tijuana & over 2.5	33.7%	30.9%	30.4%	1.02×	3.24
Tijuana & under 3.5	32.5%	30.9%	30.9%	1.00×	3.24
Tijuana & over 3.5	18.9%	18.0%	16.3%	1.10×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.8%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	18.6%	18.0%	17.9%	1.00×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	18.6%	18.0%	17.9%	1.00×	5.56
Tijuana & under 2.5	17.6%	18.0%	16.9%	1.07×	5.56
Atlas & over 1.5	17.9%	18.0%	23.4%	0.77×	5.56
Atlas & under 3.5	16.4%	18.0%	19.7%	0.91×	5.56
Atlas & over 2.5	14.3%	12.9%	19.9%	0.65×	7.77
Tijuana & under 1.5	8.9%	7.9%	9.9%	0.79×	12.69
Atlas & under 2.5	8.9%	7.9%	9.6%	0.82×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	6.6%	7.9%	6.6%	1.20×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	6.8%	7.9%	6.0%	1.30×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	6.8%	7.9%	6.0%	1.30×	12.70
Atlas & over 3.5	6.8%	7.9%	9.8%	0.81×	12.70
Atlas & under 1.5	5.3%	7.9%	6.0%	1.30×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana (1UP)	66.4%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Atlas (1UP)	42.1%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana (2UP)	51.3%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Atlas (2UP)	23.2%	23.7%	—	—	4.22

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana to win 2nd half	42.1%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
2nd half drawn	34.3%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Atlas to win 2nd half	23.6%	23.2%	—	—	4.32

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlas (+2.5)	87.1%	88.5%	90.9%	0.97×	1.13
Tijuana (+0.5)	76.8%	78.4%	70.7%	1.11×	1.28
Atlas (+1.5)	71.1%	73.7%	77.1%	0.96×	1.36
Tijuana (-0.5)	51.3%	52.3%	47.1%	1.11×	1.91
Atlas (+0.5)	48.7%	47.7%	52.9%	0.90×	2.10
Tijuana (-1.5)	28.9%	26.3%	22.9%	1.15×	3.80
Atlas (-0.5)	23.2%	21.6%	29.3%	0.74×	4.64
Tijuana (-2.5)	12.9%	11.5%	9.1%	1.27×	8.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlas to concede	82.7%	81.3%	81.9%	0.99×	1.23
Atlas clean sheet	17.3%	18.7%	18.1%	1.03×	5.35

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlas clean sheet in 1st half	47.0%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Atlas to concede in 1st half	53.0%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlas under 6.5 corners	85.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Atlas under 5.5 corners	76.5%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Atlas over 2.5 corners	69.6%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Atlas under 4.5 corners	63.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Atlas over 3.5 corners	52.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Atlas under 3.5 corners	47.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Atlas over 4.5 corners	36.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Atlas under 2.5 corners	30.4%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Atlas over 5.5 corners	23.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
Atlas over 6.5 corners	14.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlas under 3.5 goals	97.3%	97.5%	95.9%	1.02×	1.03
Atlas under 2.5 goals	89.7%	87.9%	86.7%	1.01×	1.14
Atlas under 1.5 goals	69.2%	68.0%	64.8%	1.05×	1.47
Atlas over 0.5 goals	67.3%	68.0%	70.9%	0.96×	1.47
Atlas under 0.5 goals	32.7%	32.0%	29.1%	1.10×	3.12
Atlas over 1.5 goals	30.8%	32.0%	35.2%	0.91×	3.12
Atlas over 2.5 goals	10.3%	12.1%	13.3%	0.91×	8.27
Atlas over 3.5 goals	2.7%	2.5%	4.1%	0.60×	40.74

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlas under 1.5 in 1st half	92.5%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Atlas under 0.5 in 1st half	63.9%	64.2%	—	—	1.56
Atlas over 0.5 in 1st half	36.1%	35.8%	—	—	2.80
Atlas over 1.5 in 1st half	7.5%	5.8%	—	—	17.18

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana (away no bet)	66.9%	66.4%	66.4%	1.00×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	33.1%	33.6%	33.6%	1.00×	2.97

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlas even goals	55.3%	56.9%	54.4%	1.05×	1.76
Atlas odd goals	44.7%	43.1%	45.6%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.1%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.9%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.3%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.7%	31.4%	—	—	3.19

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	59.3%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Tijuana to score 2+ in a row	44.0%	38.4%	—	—	2.60
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.8%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Atlas to score 2+ in a row	21.9%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Tijuana to score 3+ in a row	17.7%	16.3%	—	—	6.12
Atlas to score 3+ in a row	5.4%	5.6%	—	—	17.85

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana corners (+3.5)	88.5%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Tijuana corners (+2.5)	82.1%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Atlas corners (+3.5)	79.1%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Tijuana corners (+1.5)	73.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Atlas corners (+2.5)	70.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Atlas corners (+1.5)	59.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Tijuana corners (-1.5)	40.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Tijuana corners (-2.5)	29.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Atlas corners (-1.5)	26.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Tijuana corners (-3.5)	20.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Atlas corners (-2.5)	17.9%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Atlas corners (-3.5)	11.5%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	52.5%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	27.2%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	20.2%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	85.7%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	79.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	72.2%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	63.0%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	58.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	52.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	47.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	41.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	37.0%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	27.8%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 11.5 corners	20.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	14.3%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.0%	11.5%	11.5%	0.99×	8.73
1-0	8.9%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.48
2-0	8.7%	7.4%	7.1%	1.04×	13.48
2-1	9.7%	7.4%	10.7%	0.70×	13.48
0-0	6.6%	7.4%	6.6%	1.13×	13.48
0-1	5.3%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.48
1-2	6.2%	7.4%	8.9%	0.84×	13.48
2-2	5.4%	7.4%	4.6%	1.61×	13.48
3-0	5.1%	7.4%	3.7%	1.99×	13.48
3-1	5.7%	7.4%	5.7%	1.31×	13.48
0-2	3.5%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.47
0-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.48
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.49
1-3	2.3%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.48
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.49
2-3	2.0%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.48
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.49
3-2	3.2%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.47
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.48
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.93×	58.49
4-0	2.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.48
4-1	2.5%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.48
4-2	1.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.48
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.41×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.81×	58.49
Any other score	3.9%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana leading at HT (DNB)	66.6%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Atlas leading at HT (DNB)	33.4%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana or draw (1X)	76.8%	75.5%	70.7%	1.07×	1.32
Tijuana or Atlas (12)	74.6%	72.1%	76.2%	0.95×	1.39
Atlas or draw (X2)	48.7%	48.6%	52.9%	0.92×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana or draw at HT	80.4%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Atlas or draw at HT	61.0%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Tijuana or Atlas at HT	58.6%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana or draw (1UP)	76.8%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
Atlas or draw (1UP)	48.7%	52.8%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana or draw in 2nd half	76.4%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
Tijuana or Atlas in 2nd half	65.7%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Atlas or draw in 2nd half	57.9%	59.0%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.5%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.5%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana (DNB)	68.9%	67.2%	61.6%	1.09×	1.49
Atlas (DNB)	31.1%	32.8%	38.4%	0.85×	3.05

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana to score first	57.1%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Atlas to score first	36.3%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	6.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.35

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	56.7%	54.9%	59.3%	0.93×	1.82
Not both teams to score	43.3%	45.1%	40.7%	1.11×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	44.6%	41.6%	48.0%	0.87×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	33.1%	34.3%	32.7%	1.05×	2.92
Both score & under 2.5	12.0%	12.3%	11.5%	1.07×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	10.2%	12.3%	8.2%	1.51×	8.11

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.9%	83.1%	82.6%	1.01×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	16.1%	16.9%	17.4%	0.97×	5.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	31.3%	32.4%	—	—	3.09

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	55.4%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Both score 2nd half only	25.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
Both score 1st half only	13.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	5.9%	6.8%	—	—	14.81

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.7%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Both teams to score by HT	19.3%	17.7%	—	—	5.66

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.3%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	42.7%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.6%	47.4%	46.2%	1.03×	2.11
4-6 goals	29.7%	26.5%	29.1%	0.91×	3.78
0-1 goals	20.9%	22.8%	22.2%	1.03×	4.39
7+ goals	2.8%	1.8%	2.8%	0.65×	54.52

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlas to score exactly 1	36.5%	36.0%	35.9%	1.00×	2.78
Atlas to score exactly 0	32.7%	33.8%	29.1%	1.16×	2.96
Atlas to score exactly 2	20.4%	22.4%	22.0%	1.02×	4.47
Atlas to score 3+	10.3%	12.8%	13.3%	0.96×	7.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana to score exactly 1	30.3%	32.6%	33.4%	0.98×	3.06
Tijuana to score exactly 2	26.6%	26.5%	26.6%	1.00×	3.77
Tijuana to score 3+	25.8%	26.5%	22.2%	1.19×	3.77
Tijuana to score exactly 0	17.3%	18.9%	18.1%	1.04×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.4%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Tijuana leading at HT	39.0%	38.0%	—	—	2.64
Atlas leading at HT	19.6%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana -1: 2	48.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Tijuana -1: 1	28.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Tijuana -1: X	22.4%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlas (0:1)	48.7%	46.0%	52.9%	0.87×	2.18
Tijuana (0:1)	28.9%	27.0%	22.9%	1.18×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	22.4%	24.3%	24.3%	1.00×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlas (0:2)	71.1%	75.6%	77.1%	0.98×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	16.0%	15.3%	14.0%	1.09×	6.55
Tijuana (0:2)	12.9%	11.0%	9.1%	1.21×	9.12

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlas (0:3)	87.1%	90.8%	90.9%	1.00×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	8.2%	5.8%	6.0%	0.97×	17.15
Tijuana (0:3)	4.7%	2.4%	3.2%	0.74×	42.05

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlas (0:4)	95.3%	98.1%	96.8%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.3%	1.2%	1.8%	0.68×	83.30
Tijuana (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	1.6%	0.75×	83.51

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana (1:0)	76.8%	78.4%	70.7%	1.11×	1.28
Draw (1:0)	13.9%	12.8%	19.0%	0.67×	7.80
Atlas (1:0)	9.3%	6.9%	10.5%	0.66×	14.41

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana (2:0)	90.7%	93.9%	89.5%	1.05×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	6.5%	6.5%	7.3%	0.89×	15.50
Atlas (2:0)	2.8%	2.3%	3.4%	0.67×	44.19

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.6%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	25.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana to concede	67.3%	66.6%	70.9%	0.94×	1.50
Tijuana clean sheet	32.7%	33.4%	29.1%	1.15×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana clean sheet in 1st half	63.9%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Tijuana to concede in 1st half	36.1%	35.7%	—	—	2.80

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana over 2.5 corners	77.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Tijuana under 6.5 corners	77.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Tijuana under 5.5 corners	66.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Tijuana over 3.5 corners	62.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Tijuana under 4.5 corners	53.0%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Tijuana over 4.5 corners	47.0%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Tijuana under 3.5 corners	37.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Tijuana over 5.5 corners	33.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Tijuana over 6.5 corners	22.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Tijuana under 2.5 corners	22.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana under 3.5 goals	89.8%	87.3%	92.4%	0.94×	1.15
Tijuana over 0.5 goals	82.7%	82.1%	81.9%	1.00×	1.22
Tijuana under 2.5 goals	74.2%	74.2%	77.8%	0.95×	1.35
Tijuana over 1.5 goals	52.4%	53.2%	48.7%	1.09×	1.88
Tijuana under 1.5 goals	47.6%	46.8%	51.3%	0.91×	2.14
Tijuana over 2.5 goals	25.8%	25.8%	22.2%	1.16×	3.87
Tijuana under 0.5 goals	17.3%	17.9%	18.1%	0.99×	5.59
Tijuana over 3.5 goals	10.2%	12.7%	7.6%	1.67×	7.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana under 1.5 in 1st half	82.5%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Tijuana under 0.5 in 1st half	47.0%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Tijuana over 0.5 in 1st half	53.0%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
Tijuana over 1.5 in 1st half	17.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.35

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	52.3%	51.6%	44.8%	1.15×	1.94
Atlas (home no bet)	47.7%	48.4%	55.2%	0.88×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana even goals	51.5%	50.6%	49.9%	1.01×	1.98
Tijuana odd goals	48.5%	49.4%	50.1%	0.99×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
HT 1-0	22.5%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 0-1	13.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 1-1	10.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.18
HT 2-0	8.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
Any other HT score	5.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
HT 2-1	3.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.33
HT 0-2	3.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.39
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.44
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.55

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana at HT / Tijuana at FT	31.7%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Draw at HT / Tijuana at FT	16.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.3%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Atlas at HT / Atlas at FT	12.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Atlas at FT	9.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.61
Tijuana at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Atlas at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Atlas at HT / Tijuana at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Tijuana at HT / Atlas at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.89

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana to score last	57.2%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Atlas to score last	36.2%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
No goal scored	6.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.35

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Tijuana to lead by 1 at any time	66.4%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	50.0%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Atlas to lead by 1 at any time	42.1%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Tijuana to lead by 2 at any time	35.8%	34.8%	—	—	2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.5%	15.0%	—	—	6.69
Tijuana to lead by 3 at any time	15.5%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Atlas to lead by 2 at any time	14.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.51
Atlas to lead by 3 at any time	4.0%	1.7%	—	—	60.37

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana most corners	51.8%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Atlas most corners	36.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.2%	87.4%	86.5%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.0%	78.6%	75.8%	1.04×	1.27
2-6 goals	76.4%	78.6%	75.1%	1.05×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.9%	72.4%	70.9%	1.02×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.7%	63.4%	60.2%	1.05×	1.58
1-3 goals	60.9%	63.4%	61.8%	1.03×	1.58
3-6 goals	52.1%	53.2%	53.3%	1.00×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.7%	48.7%	49.0%	0.99×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.6%	48.7%	46.2%	1.05×	2.06
1-2 goals	38.6%	39.2%	37.7%	1.04×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.4%	39.2%	38.4%	1.02×	2.55
4-6 goals	29.7%	30.3%	29.1%	1.04×	3.31
4-5 goals	25.3%	30.2%	24.9%	1.22×	3.31
5-6 goals	13.7%	14.9%	15.1%	0.99×	6.72
7+ goals	2.8%	2.6%	2.8%	0.90×	39.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana never behind	51.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Atlas never behind	27.0%	30.0%	—	—	3.33

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.9%	50.8%	52.6%	0.97×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.1%	49.2%	47.4%	1.04×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.4%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.6%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	93.4%	0.99×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.8%	92.3%	92.9%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.6%	82.4%	82.2%	1.00×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	79.1%	77.4%	77.8%	0.99×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	67.5%	66.2%	68.2%	0.97×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	54.8%	52.5%	56.0%	0.94×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	45.2%	47.5%	44.1%	1.08×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	32.5%	33.8%	31.8%	1.06×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	20.9%	22.6%	22.2%	1.02×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	16.4%	17.6%	17.8%	0.99×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	7.2%	7.7%	7.1%	1.09×	12.92
Under 0.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	6.6%	1.18×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.1%	97.2%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.1%	92.5%	92.0%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.4%	81.0%	79.3%	1.02×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	72.4%	72.6%	71.6%	1.01×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	58.2%	55.4%	58.1%	0.95×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	41.8%	44.6%	41.9%	1.06×	2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	27.6%	27.4%	28.4%	0.97×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.6%	19.0%	20.7%	0.92×	5.27
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.9%	7.5%	8.0%	0.95×	13.26
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.9%	2.8%	3.0%	0.93×	36.14

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.9%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.8%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.0%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.0%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.2%	30.9%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.08

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.9%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.4%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.6%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlas not to score in both halves	82.4%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Tijuana not to score in both halves	66.5%	70.4%	—	—	1.42
Tijuana to score in both halves	33.5%	29.6%	—	—	3.38
Atlas to score in both halves	17.6%	15.7%	—	—	6.37

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	56.7%	58.4%	59.3%	0.98×	1.71
Only Tijuana scores	26.1%	26.1%	22.7%	1.15×	3.83
Only Atlas scores	10.7%	10.9%	11.7%	0.93×	9.15
Neither team scores	6.6%	7.2%	6.6%	1.09×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.3%	22.6%	22.0%	1.03×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	24.3%	0.93×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	16.1%	17.4%	14.2%	1.23×	5.74
Exactly 1 goals	14.3%	12.1%	15.8%	0.76×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	9.2%	7.6%	10.8%	0.71×	13.08
6 or more goals	7.2%	7.6%	7.1%	1.08×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	6.6%	7.6%	6.6%	1.16×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.2%	51.2%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	30.7%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	19.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlas not to win both halves	95.3%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Tijuana not to win both halves	83.4%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Tijuana to win both halves	16.6%	15.8%	—	—	6.35
Atlas to win both halves	4.7%	2.8%	—	—	35.26

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tijuana to win either half	64.5%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Atlas to win neither half	61.5%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Atlas to win either half	38.5%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Tijuana to win neither half	35.5%	34.9%	—	—	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlas not to win to nil	89.3%	88.2%	88.3%	1.00×	1.13
Tijuana not to win to nil	73.9%	75.3%	77.3%	0.97×	1.33
Tijuana to win to nil	26.1%	24.7%	22.7%	1.09×	4.05
Atlas to win to nil	10.7%	11.8%	11.7%	1.00×	8.50

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.4%	27.8%	23.8%	1.17×	3.59
Tijuana by 1	22.4%	24.1%	24.3%	0.99×	4.14
Tijuana by 2	16.0%	16.9%	14.0%	1.21×	5.91
Atlas by 1	13.9%	11.8%	19.0%	0.62×	8.47
Tijuana by 3+	12.9%	11.8%	9.1%	1.30×	8.47
Atlas by 2	6.5%	7.3%	7.3%	1.00×	13.79
Atlas by 3+	2.8%	2.7%	3.4%	0.80×	36.99