TOP Oss v Jong Ajax — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 23 October 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

TOP Oss

14:00

Jong Ajax

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,148h before kick-off

TOP Oss win

46.6%

model 45.8%

Draw

22.4%

model 22.9%

Jong Ajax win

31.0%

model 31.4%

472231

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.5%
2-1 9.2%
1-0 8.8%
1-2 7.4%
0-1 7.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.7%	Under 2.5	42.3%
BTTS yes	59.2%	BTTS no	40.8%
TOP Oss 1+	81.1%	TOP Oss 2+	49.6%
Jong Ajax 1+	73.7%	Jong Ajax 2+	38.6%

Expected goals 1.67 – 1.34. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

53/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

TOP Oss carry the stronger rating, 1392 Elo against 1322.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

TOP Oss have an estimated 46.6% win probability, against 31.0% for Jong Ajax and 22.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.67 for TOP Oss and 1.34 for Jong Ajax.

Why TOP Oss

TOP Oss carry the stronger rating, 1392 Elo against 1322.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.4%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why Jong Ajax can win

Nothing in the data singles out Jong Ajax.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for TOP Oss, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Jong Ajax, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

TOP Oss: 38% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 16.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Jong Ajax: 51% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 17.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

TOP Oss are the model's most likely outcome at 46.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.5%. Confidence 53/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	482428	1.58–1.15	1-1 11%	51%	54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss to win	47.8%	47.5%	44.4%	1.07×	2.11
Jong Ajax to win	28.4%	27.9%	33.5%	0.83×	3.59
Draw	23.8%	24.5%	22.3%	1.10×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss & not both score	25.7%	25.2%	22.9%	1.10×	3.97
TOP Oss & both teams score	22.1%	21.9%	21.6%	1.01×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	17.9%	17.9%	17.7%	1.01×	5.58
Jong Ajax & not both score	14.7%	13.3%	13.9%	0.95×	7.54
Jong Ajax & both teams score	13.7%	13.3%	19.7%	0.67×	7.54
Draw & not both score	6.0%	8.4%	4.7%	1.77×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss & over 1.5	36.9%	34.9%	36.8%	0.95×	2.86
TOP Oss & under 3.5	32.7%	30.9%	25.9%	1.19×	3.24
TOP Oss & over 2.5	28.8%	26.0%	30.6%	0.85×	3.84
Jong Ajax & under 3.5	20.9%	21.6%	19.8%	1.09×	4.62
Jong Ajax & over 1.5	20.3%	21.6%	27.2%	0.79×	4.62
TOP Oss & under 2.5	19.0%	18.0%	13.9%	1.29×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.9%	18.0%	17.7%	1.02×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	17.2%	18.0%	14.2%	1.27×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.2%	18.0%	14.2%	1.27×	5.56
Jong Ajax & over 2.5	15.9%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.56
TOP Oss & over 3.5	15.1%	18.0%	18.7%	0.96×	5.56
Jong Ajax & under 2.5	12.4%	12.9%	10.0%	1.29×	7.77
TOP Oss & under 1.5	10.9%	12.9%	7.7%	1.67×	7.77
Jong Ajax & under 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	6.3%	1.24×	12.70
Jong Ajax & over 3.5	7.4%	7.9%	13.8%	0.57×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	6.0%	7.9%	4.7%	1.67×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	6.6%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	6.6%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss (1UP)	62.6%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Jong Ajax (1UP)	45.8%	43.2%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss (2UP)	47.8%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
Jong Ajax (2UP)	28.4%	25.1%	—	—	3.98

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss to win 2nd half	38.6%	36.3%	—	—	2.75
2nd half drawn	34.8%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Jong Ajax to win 2nd half	26.6%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax (+2.5)	90.1%	92.1%	88.1%	1.05×	1.09
Jong Ajax (+1.5)	75.7%	78.4%	75.6%	1.04×	1.28
TOP Oss (+0.5)	71.6%	73.7%	66.5%	1.11×	1.36
Jong Ajax (+0.5)	52.2%	52.4%	55.6%	0.94×	1.91
TOP Oss (-0.5)	47.8%	47.6%	44.4%	1.07×	2.10
Jong Ajax (-0.5)	28.4%	26.3%	33.5%	0.79×	3.80
TOP Oss (-1.5)	24.3%	21.6%	24.4%	0.88×	4.64
TOP Oss (-2.5)	9.9%	7.9%	11.9%	0.66×	12.62

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax to concede	79.3%	79.0%	81.5%	0.97×	1.27
Jong Ajax clean sheet	20.7%	21.0%	18.5%	1.13×	4.77

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax to concede in 1st half	49.2%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Jong Ajax clean sheet in 1st half	50.8%	49.4%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax over 2.5 corners	85.5%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Jong Ajax over 3.5 corners	72.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Jong Ajax under 6.5 corners	70.2%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
Jong Ajax over 4.5 corners	57.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Jong Ajax under 5.5 corners	57.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Jong Ajax under 4.5 corners	42.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Jong Ajax over 5.5 corners	42.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Jong Ajax over 6.5 corners	29.8%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
Jong Ajax under 3.5 corners	27.5%	28.5%	—	—	3.52
Jong Ajax under 2.5 corners	14.5%	14.8%	—	—	6.74

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax under 3.5 goals	97.0%	97.6%	93.0%	1.05×	1.03
Jong Ajax under 2.5 goals	89.0%	87.9%	81.5%	1.08×	1.14
Jong Ajax over 0.5 goals	68.3%	68.0%	72.5%	0.94×	1.47
Jong Ajax under 1.5 goals	68.1%	68.0%	58.1%	1.17×	1.47
Jong Ajax over 1.5 goals	31.9%	32.0%	41.9%	0.76×	3.12
Jong Ajax under 0.5 goals	31.7%	32.0%	27.5%	1.17×	3.12
Jong Ajax over 2.5 goals	11.0%	12.1%	18.5%	0.65×	8.27
Jong Ajax over 3.5 goals	3.0%	2.5%	7.0%	0.35×	40.82

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax under 1.5 in 1st half	92.2%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Jong Ajax under 0.5 in 1st half	63.1%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Jong Ajax over 0.5 in 1st half	36.9%	35.4%	—	—	2.82
Jong Ajax over 1.5 in 1st half	7.8%	5.9%	—	—	17.00

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss (away no bet)	66.7%	66.4%	66.6%	1.00×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	33.3%	33.6%	33.4%	1.01×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax even goals	55.0%	56.9%	57.1%	1.00×	1.76
Jong Ajax odd goals	45.0%	43.1%	42.9%	1.00×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.2%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.8%	12.3%	—	—	8.16

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	63.5%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals	36.5%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	55.9%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
TOP Oss to score 2+ in a row	38.6%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Jong Ajax to score 2+ in a row	23.5%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.0%	16.5%	—	—	6.07
TOP Oss to score 3+ in a row	14.1%	12.2%	—	—	8.23
Jong Ajax to score 3+ in a row	6.1%	5.6%	—	—	17.86

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss corners (+3.5)	87.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
TOP Oss corners (+2.5)	81.1%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Jong Ajax corners (+3.5)	73.7%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
TOP Oss corners (+1.5)	73.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Jong Ajax corners (+2.5)	65.0%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Jong Ajax corners (+1.5)	55.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
TOP Oss corners (-1.5)	44.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
TOP Oss corners (-2.5)	35.0%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
TOP Oss corners (-3.5)	26.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Jong Ajax corners (-1.5)	26.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Jong Ajax corners (-2.5)	18.9%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Jong Ajax corners (-3.5)	12.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	48.0%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	28.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
0-8 corners	23.3%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	84.5%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	76.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 9.5 corners	67.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 12.5 corners	61.4%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 10.5 corners	57.9%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Under 11.5 corners	52.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 11.5 corners	48.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 10.5 corners	42.1%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 12.5 corners	38.6%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 9.5 corners	32.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 8.5 corners	23.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Under 7.5 corners	15.5%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.3%	11.4%	9.6%	1.20×	8.74
1-0	10.9%	11.4%	7.7%	1.48×	8.74
2-1	9.4%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.47
0-1	8.1%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.47
1-2	6.8%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.47
2-0	8.1%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.47
0-0	6.0%	7.4%	4.7%	1.57×	13.47
2-2	5.4%	7.4%	6.7%	1.11×	13.47
3-1	4.9%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.50
0-2	4.3%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.50
0-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.51
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.52
1-3	2.6%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.51
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	2.2%	0.76×	58.52
2-3	2.1%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.51
2-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.5%	1.14×	58.52
3-0	4.3%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.50
3-2	2.8%	1.7%	4.2%	0.40×	58.51
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.52
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.52
4-0	1.7%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.51
4-1	1.9%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.51
4-2	1.1%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.52
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.43×	58.52
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	13.74×	58.52
Any other score	2.9%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss leading at HT (DNB)	62.3%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Jong Ajax leading at HT (DNB)	37.7%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss or Jong Ajax (12)	76.2%	75.5%	77.7%	0.97×	1.32
TOP Oss or draw (1X)	71.6%	72.1%	66.5%	1.08×	1.39
Jong Ajax or draw (X2)	52.2%	52.6%	55.6%	0.95×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss or draw at HT	78.4%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Jong Ajax or draw at HT	64.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
TOP Oss or Jong Ajax at HT	57.4%	56.6%	—	—	1.77

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss or draw (1UP)	71.6%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Jong Ajax or draw (1UP)	52.2%	59.2%	—	—	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss or draw in 2nd half	73.4%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
TOP Oss or Jong Ajax in 2nd half	65.2%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
Jong Ajax or draw in 2nd half	61.4%	63.7%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.2%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	36.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss (DNB)	62.8%	62.8%	57.0%	1.10×	1.59
Jong Ajax (DNB)	37.2%	37.2%	43.0%	0.87×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss to score first	54.4%	54.0%	—	—	1.85
Jong Ajax to score first	39.7%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	6.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.43

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	53.6%	51.5%	58.7%	0.88×	1.94
Not both teams to score	46.4%	48.5%	41.3%	1.18×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	42.4%	41.6%	49.3%	0.84×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	37.4%	38.5%	28.4%	1.36×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.3%	12.3%	9.6%	1.29×	8.12
Not both score & over 2.5	8.9%	8.4%	13.1%	0.64×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.1%	85.6%	79.0%	1.08×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.9%	14.4%	21.0%	0.68×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.6%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.4%	25.9%	—	—	3.87

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.0%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	24.0%	21.0%	—	—	4.77
Both score 1st half only	12.7%	10.6%	—	—	9.48
Both score in both halves	5.4%	6.7%	—	—	14.90

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.9%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	18.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	53.8%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	46.2%	46.5%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.9%	47.4%	41.2%	1.15×	2.11
4-6 goals	27.0%	26.4%	37.3%	0.71×	3.78
0-1 goals	25.0%	22.8%	18.5%	1.23×	4.38
7+ goals	2.2%	1.8%	3.2%	0.56×	55.03

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax to score exactly 1	36.4%	36.0%	30.7%	1.17×	2.78
Jong Ajax to score exactly 0	31.7%	33.8%	27.5%	1.23×	2.96
Jong Ajax to score exactly 2	20.9%	22.4%	23.5%	0.95×	4.46
Jong Ajax to score 3+	11.0%	12.8%	18.5%	0.69×	7.82

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss to score exactly 1	32.6%	32.7%	30.5%	1.07×	3.06
TOP Oss to score exactly 2	25.7%	26.5%	25.9%	1.02×	3.77
TOP Oss to score 3+	21.1%	23.3%	25.4%	0.92×	4.30
TOP Oss to score exactly 0	20.7%	23.3%	18.5%	1.26×	4.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.6%	43.4%	—	—	2.30
TOP Oss leading at HT	35.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Jong Ajax leading at HT	21.6%	20.1%	—	—	4.98

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss -1: 2	52.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
TOP Oss -1: 1	24.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
TOP Oss -1: X	23.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax (0:1)	52.2%	51.2%	55.6%	0.92×	1.96
TOP Oss (0:1)	24.3%	24.3%	24.4%	1.00×	4.12
Draw (0:1)	23.5%	24.3%	20.1%	1.20×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax (0:2)	75.7%	79.4%	75.6%	1.05×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	14.3%	11.0%	12.6%	0.88×	9.10
TOP Oss (0:2)	9.9%	7.7%	11.9%	0.65×	12.93

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax (0:3)	90.1%	92.6%	88.1%	1.05×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.6%	5.8%	5.7%	1.02×	17.19
TOP Oss (0:3)	3.3%	2.4%	6.3%	0.37×	42.06

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax (0:4)	96.7%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.4%	1.2%	4.4%	0.28×	83.33
TOP Oss (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	83.50

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss (1:0)	71.6%	72.5%	66.5%	1.09×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	17.3%	17.0%	18.2%	0.94×	5.87
Jong Ajax (1:0)	11.0%	12.8%	15.4%	0.83×	7.81

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss (2:0)	89.0%	88.4%	84.6%	1.05×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.6%	6.4%	8.8%	0.73×	15.52
Jong Ajax (2:0)	3.4%	2.3%	6.7%	0.34×	44.29

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.1%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss to concede	68.3%	66.6%	72.5%	0.92×	1.50
TOP Oss clean sheet	31.7%	33.4%	27.5%	1.22×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss clean sheet in 1st half	63.1%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
TOP Oss to concede in 1st half	36.9%	35.4%	—	—	2.83

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss over 2.5 corners	91.3%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
TOP Oss over 3.5 corners	82.1%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
TOP Oss over 4.5 corners	70.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
TOP Oss over 5.5 corners	56.5%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
TOP Oss under 6.5 corners	56.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
TOP Oss under 5.5 corners	43.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
TOP Oss over 6.5 corners	43.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
TOP Oss under 4.5 corners	30.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
TOP Oss under 3.5 corners	17.9%	19.1%	—	—	5.25
TOP Oss under 2.5 corners	8.7%	10.7%	—	—	9.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss under 3.5 goals	92.4%	92.3%	89.8%	1.03×	1.08
TOP Oss over 0.5 goals	79.3%	77.7%	81.5%	0.95×	1.29
TOP Oss under 2.5 goals	78.9%	77.7%	74.6%	1.04×	1.29
TOP Oss under 1.5 goals	53.2%	53.3%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
TOP Oss over 1.5 goals	46.8%	46.7%	51.1%	0.91×	2.14
TOP Oss over 2.5 goals	21.1%	22.3%	25.4%	0.88×	4.49
TOP Oss under 0.5 goals	20.7%	22.3%	18.5%	1.20×	4.49
TOP Oss over 3.5 goals	7.6%	7.7%	10.2%	0.76×	12.92

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss under 1.5 in 1st half	85.2%	89.8%	—	—	1.11
TOP Oss over 0.5 in 1st half	49.2%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
TOP Oss under 0.5 in 1st half	50.8%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
TOP Oss over 1.5 in 1st half	14.8%	10.2%	—	—	9.80

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax (home no bet)	54.3%	51.6%	60.0%	0.86×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	45.7%	48.4%	40.0%	1.21×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss even goals	52.1%	50.6%	51.7%	0.98×	1.98
TOP Oss odd goals	47.9%	49.4%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.9%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
HT 1-0	21.8%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	14.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	9.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.13
HT 2-0	7.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.17
Any other HT score	4.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.75
HT 0-2	3.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.81
HT 2-1	3.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.81
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.90
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	44.01

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss at HT / TOP Oss at FT	28.5%	26.7%	—	—	3.74
Draw at HT / TOP Oss at FT	16.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.95
Jong Ajax at HT / Jong Ajax at FT	14.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Jong Ajax at FT	11.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
TOP Oss at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.65
Jong Ajax at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Jong Ajax at HT / TOP Oss at FT	2.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
TOP Oss at HT / Jong Ajax at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss to score last	54.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Jong Ajax to score last	39.7%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
No goal scored	6.0%	7.4%	—	—	13.43

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.0%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
TOP Oss to lead by 1 at any time	62.6%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	46.8%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Jong Ajax to lead by 1 at any time	45.8%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
TOP Oss to lead by 2 at any time	30.7%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.9%	15.0%	—	—	6.69
Jong Ajax to lead by 2 at any time	16.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
TOP Oss to lead by 3 at any time	12.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.62
Jong Ajax to lead by 3 at any time	4.7%	1.6%	—	—	61.74

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss most corners	54.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Jong Ajax most corners	35.4%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	9.9%	8.5%	—	—	11.79

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	88.2%	87.4%	86.3%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.9%	78.6%	74.1%	1.06×	1.27
2-6 goals	72.9%	72.4%	78.4%	0.92×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.2%	69.0%	72.5%	0.95×	1.45
1-3 goals	64.9%	63.4%	55.0%	1.15×	1.58
2-4 goals	60.9%	63.4%	60.3%	1.05×	1.58
3-6 goals	49.1%	48.7%	59.1%	0.82×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.9%	48.7%	41.2%	1.18×	2.06
3-5 goals	45.4%	48.7%	53.2%	0.91×	2.06
1-2 goals	42.7%	43.6%	33.2%	1.31×	2.30
3-4 goals	37.2%	39.2%	41.0%	0.95×	2.55
4-6 goals	27.0%	30.2%	37.3%	0.81×	3.31
4-5 goals	23.3%	24.5%	31.5%	0.78×	4.09
5-6 goals	12.0%	14.9%	18.2%	0.82×	6.73
7+ goals	2.2%	2.5%	3.2%	0.78×	39.42

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss never behind	48.3%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Jong Ajax never behind	31.4%	35.7%	—	—	2.80

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.1%	50.8%	49.5%	1.03×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.9%	49.2%	50.5%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.9%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.1%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.7%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.3%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.0%	92.3%	95.3%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	94.1%	92.3%	90.9%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.9%	87.6%	78.7%	1.11×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	75.0%	77.4%	81.5%	0.95×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	70.8%	72.5%	59.6%	1.22×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	51.3%	52.4%	62.2%	0.84×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	48.7%	47.6%	37.8%	1.26×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	29.2%	27.5%	40.4%	0.68×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	25.0%	22.6%	18.5%	1.22×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	14.1%	12.4%	21.3%	0.58×	8.09
Under 0.5 goals	6.0%	7.7%	4.7%	1.63×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	5.9%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.8%	97.2%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.6%	92.5%	89.7%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	83.4%	81.1%	73.7%	1.10×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	67.3%	67.4%	77.0%	0.87×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	62.5%	62.1%	48.3%	1.28×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	37.5%	37.9%	51.7%	0.73×	2.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	32.7%	32.6%	23.0%	1.42×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	16.6%	18.9%	26.3%	0.72×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.4%	7.5%	10.3%	0.73×	13.28
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.2%	2.8%	3.4%	0.80×	36.35

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.3%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.6%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.1%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.9%	30.9%	—	—	3.24
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.4%	30.8%	—	—	3.24
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.7%	10.9%	—	—	9.19

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.8%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.6%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	53.1%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	46.9%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.4%	20.0%	—	—	4.99
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.2%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax not to score in both halves	81.6%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
TOP Oss not to score in both halves	70.8%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
TOP Oss to score in both halves	29.2%	26.0%	—	—	3.84
Jong Ajax to score in both halves	18.4%	15.6%	—	—	6.39

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	53.6%	53.9%	58.7%	0.92×	1.85
Only TOP Oss scores	25.7%	26.1%	22.9%	1.14×	3.83
Only Jong Ajax scores	14.7%	11.0%	13.9%	0.79×	9.13
Neither team scores	6.0%	7.2%	4.7%	1.52×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.7%	22.6%	19.4%	1.17×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	19.0%	17.4%	13.9%	1.25×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.1%	17.4%	19.3%	0.90×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	8.2%	7.6%	12.3%	0.62×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	6.0%	7.6%	4.7%	1.62×	13.10
6 or more goals	5.9%	7.6%	9.1%	0.84×	13.10

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	46.9%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	32.8%	33.6%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	20.2%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax not to win both halves	94.3%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
TOP Oss not to win both halves	86.3%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
TOP Oss to win both halves	13.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Jong Ajax to win both halves	5.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.73

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
TOP Oss to win either half	60.6%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Jong Ajax to win neither half	57.4%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Jong Ajax to win either half	42.6%	40.6%	—	—	2.47
TOP Oss to win neither half	39.4%	34.9%	—	—	2.87

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Jong Ajax not to win to nil	85.3%	88.2%	86.1%	1.02×	1.13
TOP Oss not to win to nil	74.3%	75.3%	77.1%	0.98×	1.33
TOP Oss to win to nil	25.7%	24.7%	22.9%	1.08×	4.05
Jong Ajax to win to nil	14.7%	11.8%	13.9%	0.85×	8.47

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.8%	24.2%	22.3%	1.08×	4.14
TOP Oss by 1	23.5%	24.2%	20.1%	1.20×	4.14
Jong Ajax by 1	17.3%	17.0%	18.2%	0.93×	5.90
TOP Oss by 2	14.3%	11.8%	12.6%	0.94×	8.47
TOP Oss by 3+	9.9%	7.3%	11.9%	0.61×	13.79
Jong Ajax by 2	7.6%	7.2%	8.8%	0.82×	13.80
Jong Ajax by 3+	3.4%	2.7%	6.7%	0.40×	37.03