Toronto v CF Montréal — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 10 October 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 02:06

Toronto

13:00

CF Montréal

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 835h before kick-off

Toronto win

53.7%

model 52.3%

Draw

23.2%

model 23.9%

CF Montréal win

23.1%

model 23.8%

542323

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,060 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.2%
2-1 9.8%
1-0 8.7%
2-0 8.4%
1-2 6.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.3%	Under 2.5	42.7%
BTTS yes	58.1%	BTTS no	41.9%
Toronto 1+	83.8%	Toronto 2+	54.3%
CF Montréal 1+	68.8%	CF Montréal 2+	32.4%

Expected goals 1.82 – 1.16. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

54/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Toronto carry the stronger rating, 1470 Elo against 1402.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Toronto have an estimated 53.7% win probability, against 23.2% for the draw and 23.1% for CF Montréal. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.82 for Toronto and 1.16 for CF Montréal.

Why Toronto

Toronto carry the stronger rating, 1470 Elo against 1402. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.2%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why CF Montréal can win

Nothing in the data singles out CF Montréal.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Toronto, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for CF Montréal, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Toronto: 41% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. CF Montréal: 50% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 12.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Toronto are the model's most likely outcome at 53.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.2%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	572320	1.86–1.01	1-1 11%	55%	54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto to win	56.8%	54.1%	45.4%	1.19×	1.85
Draw	23.4%	24.4%	24.9%	0.98×	4.09
CF Montréal to win	19.7%	19.4%	29.9%	0.65×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto & not both score	30.4%	29.7%	21.1%	1.41×	3.37
Toronto & both teams score	26.4%	25.2%	24.4%	1.03×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	17.3%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
CF Montréal & both teams score	10.3%	13.3%	17.8%	0.75×	7.55
CF Montréal & not both score	9.4%	8.4%	12.3%	0.68×	11.92
Draw & not both score	6.2%	8.4%	5.8%	1.43×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto & over 1.5	46.7%	45.2%	37.1%	1.22×	2.21
Toronto & over 2.5	36.8%	34.9%	30.9%	1.13×	2.86
Toronto & under 3.5	36.0%	34.9%	28.3%	1.23×	2.87
Toronto & over 3.5	20.8%	21.6%	17.2%	1.26×	4.62
Toronto & under 2.5	20.0%	18.0%	14.5%	1.24×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.3%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	17.3%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	17.3%	18.0%	16.0%	1.12×	5.56
CF Montréal & over 1.5	14.4%	12.9%	23.5%	0.55×	7.77
CF Montréal & under 3.5	14.5%	12.9%	18.8%	0.69×	7.77
CF Montréal & over 2.5	11.5%	12.9%	20.3%	0.63×	7.77
Toronto & under 1.5	10.1%	12.9%	8.4%	1.54×	7.77
CF Montréal & under 2.5	8.2%	7.9%	9.7%	0.81×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	6.2%	7.9%	5.8%	1.35×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	6.1%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	6.1%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.70
CF Montréal & under 1.5	5.3%	7.9%	6.5%	1.21×	12.70
CF Montréal & over 3.5	5.2%	7.9%	11.2%	0.70×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto (1UP)	70.2%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
CF Montréal (1UP)	37.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto (2UP)	56.8%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
CF Montréal (2UP)	19.7%	17.8%	—	—	5.63

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto to win 2nd half	45.9%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
2nd half drawn	33.5%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
CF Montréal to win 2nd half	20.6%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal (+2.5)	84.4%	82.4%	89.5%	0.92×	1.21
Toronto (+0.5)	80.3%	82.4%	70.1%	1.18×	1.21
CF Montréal (+1.5)	66.8%	68.7%	76.7%	0.89×	1.46
Toronto (-0.5)	56.8%	57.0%	45.4%	1.26×	1.75
CF Montréal (+0.5)	43.2%	43.0%	54.6%	0.79×	2.33
Toronto (-1.5)	33.2%	31.3%	23.3%	1.35×	3.19
CF Montréal (-0.5)	19.7%	17.6%	29.9%	0.59×	5.68
Toronto (-2.5)	15.6%	17.6%	10.5%	1.67×	5.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal to concede	84.4%	81.4%	82.0%	0.99×	1.23
CF Montréal clean sheet	15.6%	18.6%	18.0%	1.04×	5.37

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal clean sheet in 1st half	45.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
CF Montréal to concede in 1st half	55.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal over 2.5 corners	83.4%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
CF Montréal over 3.5 corners	70.3%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
CF Montréal under 6.5 corners	70.3%	71.5%	—	—	1.40
CF Montréal under 5.5 corners	58.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
CF Montréal over 4.5 corners	55.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
CF Montréal under 4.5 corners	44.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
CF Montréal over 5.5 corners	41.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
CF Montréal under 3.5 corners	29.7%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
CF Montréal over 6.5 corners	29.7%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
CF Montréal under 2.5 corners	16.6%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal under 3.5 goals	98.1%	97.6%	93.9%	1.04×	1.03
CF Montréal under 2.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	83.3%	1.11×	1.08
CF Montréal under 1.5 goals	73.4%	72.0%	61.3%	1.17×	1.39
CF Montréal over 0.5 goals	63.4%	62.9%	73.2%	0.86×	1.59
CF Montréal under 0.5 goals	36.6%	37.1%	26.8%	1.38×	2.70
CF Montréal over 1.5 goals	26.6%	28.1%	38.7%	0.72×	3.57
CF Montréal over 2.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	16.7%	0.46×	13.06
CF Montréal over 3.5 goals	1.9%	2.4%	6.1%	0.40×	40.88

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal under 1.5 in 1st half	93.8%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
CF Montréal under 0.5 in 1st half	66.9%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
CF Montréal over 0.5 in 1st half	33.1%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
CF Montréal over 1.5 in 1st half	6.2%	5.8%	—	—	17.17

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto (away no bet)	70.8%	68.5%	64.6%	1.06×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	29.2%	31.5%	35.4%	0.89×	3.17

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal even goals	56.7%	56.9%	53.6%	1.06×	1.76
CF Montréal odd goals	43.3%	43.1%	46.4%	0.93×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.3%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.7%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	66.8%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	33.2%	31.6%	—	—	3.17

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	59.9%	55.4%	—	—	1.81
Toronto to score 2+ in a row	47.6%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Toronto to score 3+ in a row	20.5%	19.5%	—	—	5.14
CF Montréal to score 2+ in a row	18.4%	16.4%	—	—	6.08
CF Montréal to score 3+ in a row	4.0%	2.6%	—	—	37.95

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal corners (+3.5)	84.3%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Toronto corners (+3.5)	79.4%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
CF Montréal corners (+2.5)	77.3%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Toronto corners (+2.5)	71.4%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
CF Montréal corners (+1.5)	68.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Toronto corners (+1.5)	62.0%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
CF Montréal corners (-1.5)	38.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Toronto corners (-1.5)	31.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
CF Montréal corners (-2.5)	28.6%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Toronto corners (-2.5)	22.7%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
CF Montréal corners (-3.5)	20.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Toronto corners (-3.5)	15.7%	20.3%	—	—	4.93

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	36.7%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
12+ corners	33.8%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	74.2%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	73.2%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	66.2%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	63.3%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	57.0%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	53.0%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	47.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	43.0%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	36.7%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	33.8%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	26.8%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	25.8%	27.3%	—	—	3.66

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.1%	11.4%	10.3%	1.11×	8.74
1-0	10.1%	11.4%	8.4%	1.37×	8.74
2-0	9.8%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.47
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.47
0-0	6.2%	7.4%	5.8%	1.27×	13.47
0-1	5.3%	7.4%	6.5%	1.14×	13.47
1-2	5.4%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.47
3-0	6.1%	7.4%	4.1%	1.80×	13.47
3-1	6.1%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.47
2-2	5.0%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.50
0-2	2.9%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.51
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.52
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.52
1-3	1.8%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.51
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.52
2-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.51
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.7%	0.99×	58.52
3-2	3.1%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.51
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.52
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.49×	58.52
4-0	2.8%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.51
4-1	2.8%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.51
4-2	1.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.52
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.52
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.73×	58.52
Any other score	4.4%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.50

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto leading at HT (DNB)	71.0%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
CF Montréal leading at HT (DNB)	29.0%	28.6%	—	—	3.49

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto or draw (1X)	80.3%	80.6%	70.1%	1.15×	1.24
Toronto or CF Montréal (12)	76.6%	75.6%	75.1%	1.01×	1.32
CF Montréal or draw (X2)	43.2%	45.9%	54.6%	0.84×	2.18

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto or draw at HT	82.8%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Toronto or CF Montréal at HT	59.3%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
CF Montréal or draw at HT	57.9%	56.6%	—	—	1.77

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto or draw (1UP)	80.3%	88.2%	—	—	1.13
CF Montréal or draw (1UP)	43.2%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto or draw in 2nd half	79.4%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Toronto or CF Montréal in 2nd half	66.5%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
CF Montréal or draw in 2nd half	54.1%	54.5%	—	—	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.1%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	39.9%	38.4%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto (DNB)	74.2%	71.5%	60.3%	1.19×	1.40
CF Montréal (DNB)	25.8%	28.5%	39.7%	0.72×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto to score first	60.9%	64.4%	—	—	1.55
CF Montréal to score first	33.0%	27.0%	—	—	3.71
No goal scored	6.2%	7.5%	—	—	13.42

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	54.0%	51.5%	61.1%	0.84×	1.94
Not both teams to score	46.0%	48.5%	38.9%	1.25×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	42.9%	41.6%	50.9%	0.82×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	34.3%	34.3%	29.9%	1.15×	2.91
Not both score & over 2.5	11.7%	12.3%	9.2%	1.34×	8.12
Both score & under 2.5	11.1%	12.3%	10.3%	1.19×	8.12

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.2%	85.6%	79.5%	1.08×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.8%	14.4%	20.5%	0.70×	6.97

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.3%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.7%	25.9%	—	—	3.87

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	57.3%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	24.4%	21.0%	—	—	4.76
Both score 1st half only	12.9%	10.6%	—	—	9.47
Both score in both halves	5.4%	6.7%	—	—	14.89

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.7%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	18.3%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	56.9%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	43.1%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.2%	47.4%	42.5%	1.12×	2.11
4-6 goals	29.5%	26.5%	33.1%	0.80×	3.78
0-1 goals	21.6%	22.8%	20.5%	1.11×	4.38
7+ goals	2.7%	1.8%	4.1%	0.44×	54.97

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal to score exactly 1	36.8%	36.0%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
CF Montréal to score exactly 0	36.6%	36.0%	26.8%	1.34×	2.78
CF Montréal to score exactly 2	18.5%	19.5%	22.1%	0.88×	5.12
CF Montréal to score 3+	8.1%	8.5%	16.7%	0.51×	11.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto to score exactly 1	29.0%	26.5%	31.0%	0.85×	3.77
Toronto to score 3+	28.5%	26.5%	25.2%	1.05×	3.77
Toronto to score exactly 2	26.9%	26.5%	26.0%	1.02×	3.77
Toronto to score exactly 0	15.6%	18.9%	18.0%	1.05×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto leading at HT	42.1%	43.4%	—	—	2.30
Draw at HT	40.7%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
CF Montréal leading at HT	17.2%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto -1: 2	43.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Toronto -1: 1	33.2%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Toronto -1: X	23.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal (0:1)	43.2%	42.7%	54.6%	0.78×	2.34
Toronto (0:1)	33.2%	30.0%	23.3%	1.29×	3.33
Draw (0:1)	23.7%	24.3%	22.2%	1.09×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal (0:2)	66.8%	72.2%	76.7%	0.94×	1.39
Draw (0:2)	17.6%	15.3%	12.8%	1.19×	6.54
Toronto (0:2)	15.6%	15.3%	10.5%	1.45×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal (0:3)	84.4%	85.2%	89.5%	0.95×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	9.5%	5.8%	6.6%	0.88×	17.14
Toronto (0:3)	6.0%	5.8%	4.0%	1.45×	17.20

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal (0:4)	94.0%	94.7%	96.0%	0.99×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.1%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.13
Toronto (0:4)	2.0%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.38

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto (1:0)	80.3%	81.4%	70.1%	1.16×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	12.6%	12.8%	16.8%	0.76×	7.80
CF Montréal (1:0)	7.1%	6.9%	13.2%	0.52×	14.47

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto (2:0)	92.9%	94.0%	86.8%	1.08×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.2%	6.4%	8.7%	0.74×	15.55
CF Montréal (2:0)	1.9%	2.3%	4.6%	0.49×	44.39

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.8%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.9%	24.3%	—	—	4.11

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto to concede	63.4%	63.4%	73.2%	0.87×	1.58
Toronto clean sheet	36.6%	36.6%	26.8%	1.37×	2.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto clean sheet in 1st half	66.9%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Toronto to concede in 1st half	33.1%	31.5%	—	—	3.17

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto over 2.5 corners	80.4%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Toronto under 6.5 corners	74.9%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Toronto over 3.5 corners	65.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Toronto under 5.5 corners	63.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Toronto over 4.5 corners	50.6%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Toronto under 4.5 corners	49.4%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Toronto over 5.5 corners	36.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Toronto under 3.5 corners	34.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Toronto over 6.5 corners	25.1%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Toronto under 2.5 corners	19.6%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto under 3.5 goals	88.2%	87.2%	90.6%	0.96×	1.15
Toronto over 0.5 goals	84.4%	82.1%	82.0%	1.00×	1.22
Toronto under 2.5 goals	71.5%	74.2%	74.8%	0.99×	1.35
Toronto over 1.5 goals	55.4%	58.8%	51.1%	1.15×	1.70
Toronto under 1.5 goals	44.6%	41.2%	48.9%	0.84×	2.43
Toronto over 2.5 goals	28.5%	25.8%	25.2%	1.02×	3.88
Toronto under 0.5 goals	15.6%	17.9%	18.0%	0.99×	5.60
Toronto over 3.5 goals	11.8%	12.8%	9.4%	1.36×	7.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto under 1.5 in 1st half	80.9%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Toronto under 0.5 in 1st half	45.0%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Toronto over 0.5 in 1st half	55.0%	49.5%	—	—	2.02
Toronto over 1.5 in 1st half	19.1%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	54.3%	51.6%	45.4%	1.14×	1.94
CF Montréal (home no bet)	45.7%	48.4%	54.6%	0.89×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto even goals	51.2%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Toronto odd goals	48.8%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.2%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
HT 1-0	24.0%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
HT 0-1	12.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 1-1	9.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.13
HT 2-0	9.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.14
Any other HT score	5.5%	7.0%	—	—	14.20
HT 2-1	3.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.78
HT 0-2	2.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.89
HT 1-2	1.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.92
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.3%	—	—	44.01

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto at HT / Toronto at FT	35.6%	40.7%	—	—	2.46
Draw at HT / Toronto at FT	18.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.94
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
CF Montréal at HT / CF Montréal at FT	10.0%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Draw at HT / CF Montréal at FT	8.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.56
Toronto at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
CF Montréal at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
CF Montréal at HT / Toronto at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Toronto at HT / CF Montréal at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto to score last	60.9%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
CF Montréal to score last	32.9%	33.1%	—	—	3.02
No goal scored	6.2%	7.5%	—	—	13.42

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.8%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Toronto to lead by 1 at any time	70.2%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	51.2%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Toronto to lead by 2 at any time	39.8%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
CF Montréal to lead by 1 at any time	37.9%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Toronto to lead by 3 at any time	18.3%	15.0%	—	—	6.67
CF Montréal to lead by 2 at any time	11.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.63
CF Montréal to lead by 3 at any time	2.9%	1.6%	—	—	63.59

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal most corners	48.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Toronto most corners	41.1%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.8%	87.4%	83.2%	1.05×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.6%	78.6%	73.1%	1.08×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.7%	78.6%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.3%	72.4%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.2%	63.4%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
1-3 goals	61.6%	63.4%	57.2%	1.11×	1.58
3-6 goals	51.8%	53.2%	55.9%	0.95×	1.88
3-5 goals	47.5%	48.7%	48.9%	0.99×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.2%	48.7%	42.5%	1.15×	2.06
1-2 goals	39.3%	39.2%	34.4%	1.14×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.3%	39.2%	38.8%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	29.5%	30.2%	33.1%	0.91×	3.31
4-5 goals	25.1%	30.2%	26.1%	1.16×	3.31
5-6 goals	13.5%	14.9%	17.2%	0.87×	6.72
7+ goals	2.7%	2.5%	4.1%	0.62×	39.39

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto never behind	55.9%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
CF Montréal never behind	23.6%	24.4%	—	—	4.10

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.9%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.1%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.7%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	45.3%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.1%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.9%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.8%	92.3%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.9%	92.3%	88.9%	1.04×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	83.8%	82.4%	78.8%	1.05×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	78.4%	77.4%	79.5%	0.97×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	67.8%	66.2%	62.9%	1.05×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	54.5%	52.5%	59.9%	0.88×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	45.5%	47.5%	40.1%	1.19×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	32.2%	33.8%	37.1%	0.91×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	21.6%	22.6%	20.5%	1.10×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	16.2%	17.6%	21.2%	0.83×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	11.1%	0.70×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	6.2%	7.7%	5.8%	1.32×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.2%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.2%	92.5%	87.6%	1.06×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	80.7%	81.1%	74.8%	1.08×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	71.6%	72.6%	74.5%	0.97×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	58.5%	55.5%	51.9%	1.07×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	41.5%	44.5%	48.1%	0.93×	2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	28.4%	27.4%	25.5%	1.08×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	19.3%	18.9%	25.2%	0.75×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.8%	7.5%	12.4%	0.61×	13.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.8%	2.8%	4.4%	0.62×	36.34

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.9%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.8%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.2%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.8%	30.9%	—	—	3.24
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.2%	30.8%	—	—	3.25
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.15

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.9%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.7%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	50.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	49.6%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.3%	20.1%	—	—	4.98
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.1%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal not to score in both halves	85.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Toronto not to score in both halves	64.1%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Toronto to score in both halves	35.9%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
CF Montréal to score in both halves	15.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	54.0%	53.9%	61.1%	0.88×	1.85
Only Toronto scores	30.4%	33.3%	21.1%	1.58×	3.00
Only CF Montréal scores	9.4%	7.2%	12.3%	0.59×	13.89
Neither team scores	6.2%	7.2%	5.8%	1.23×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.9%	22.6%	19.7%	1.15×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	16.0%	17.4%	16.0%	1.09×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	15.4%	17.4%	14.8%	1.18×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	9.2%	7.6%	10.2%	0.75×	13.09
6 or more goals	7.1%	7.6%	11.1%	0.69×	13.10
Exactly 0 goals	6.2%	7.6%	5.8%	1.31×	13.10

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	49.6%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	31.2%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
No goals in 2nd half	19.1%	17.1%	—	—	5.84

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal not to win both halves	96.4%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Toronto not to win both halves	80.6%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Toronto to win both halves	19.4%	16.0%	—	—	6.25
CF Montréal to win both halves	3.6%	2.8%	—	—	35.54

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto to win either half	68.6%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
CF Montréal to win neither half	65.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
CF Montréal to win either half	34.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Toronto to win neither half	31.4%	32.1%	—	—	3.12

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
CF Montréal not to win to nil	90.6%	92.0%	87.7%	1.05×	1.09
Toronto not to win to nil	69.6%	69.7%	78.9%	0.88×	1.44
Toronto to win to nil	30.4%	30.3%	21.1%	1.44×	3.30
CF Montréal to win to nil	9.4%	8.0%	12.3%	0.65×	12.51

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Toronto by 1	23.7%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
Draw	23.4%	24.2%	24.9%	0.97×	4.14
Toronto by 2	17.6%	17.0%	12.8%	1.32×	5.90
Toronto by 3+	15.6%	16.9%	10.5%	1.61×	5.90
CF Montréal by 1	12.6%	11.8%	16.8%	0.70×	8.47
CF Montréal by 2	5.2%	7.2%	8.7%	0.83×	13.81
CF Montréal by 3+	1.9%	2.7%	4.6%	0.59×	37.08