Tottenham Hotspur v Everton — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · ENG-Premier League · 2627

Premier League xG Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Tottenham Hotspur

12:30

Everton

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 153h before kick-off

Tottenham Hotspur win

44.3%

model 44.4%

Draw

27.5%

model 25.4%

Everton win

28.2%

model 30.1%

442728

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.1%
1-0 10.1%
2-1 9.1%
0-1 8.0%
2-0 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	50.8%	Under 2.5	49.2%
BTTS yes	54.4%	BTTS no	45.6%
Tottenham Hotspur 1+	77.9%	Tottenham Hotspur 2+	44.5%
Everton 1+	69.8%	Everton 2+	33.6%

Expected goals 1.51 – 1.20. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

95/100

Data quality

100/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Under 3.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 65%

73.4% fair odds 1.36

moderate signal · 1338 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time · usually 80%

83.0% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1236 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

At home Tottenham Hotspur average 1.44 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Tottenham Hotspur have an estimated 44.3% win probability, against 28.2% for Everton and 27.5% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.51 for Tottenham Hotspur and 1.20 for Everton.

Why Tottenham Hotspur

At home Tottenham Hotspur average 1.44 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.5%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Everton can win

Everton carry the stronger rating, 1591 Elo against 1501. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five. They have had 14 days' rest to Tottenham Hotspur's 7. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Tottenham Hotspur were missing 0.90 expected goal involvements a match against 0.47.

Key players

Tottenham Hotspur's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Omar Marmoush (0.39), Richarlison (0.37), Dominic Solanke (0.29). Everton's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (0.32), Thierno Barry (0.31), Iliman Ndiaye (0.29).

Availability

2 of Tottenham Hotspur's top three contributors did not start their last match. 36% of Tottenham Hotspur's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Tottenham Hotspur: 56% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.61 xG a match from set pieces. Everton: 48% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.34 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Tottenham Hotspur are the model's most likely outcome at 44.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.1%. Confidence 95/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Tottenham Hotspur are finishing sharply below their chances — 5.2 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

LDWWDLWLLD last 10 scored 8 from 13.2 xG conceded 12 from 13.4 xG

Everton are conceding fewer than expected — 2.7 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WDLLDDLLWD last 10 scored 16 from 14.1 xG conceded 16 from 18.7 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	442530	1.51–1.20	0%	0%	0%
dc-goals	303040	1.13–1.32	1-1 14%	44%	51%
dc-xg	502426	1.68–1.16	1-1 11%	54%	56%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur to win	43.3%	43.0%	43.1%	1.00×	2.33
Everton to win	31.0%	30.4%	32.3%	0.94×	3.29
Draw	25.7%	27.9%	24.6%	1.13×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur & not both score	23.1%	21.9%	20.4%	1.08×	4.57
Tottenham Hotspur & both teams score	20.2%	21.9%	22.8%	0.96×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	18.8%	17.9%	19.9%	0.90×	5.58
Everton & not both score	16.1%	17.9%	16.9%	1.06×	5.58
Everton & both teams score	14.9%	13.3%	15.6%	0.85×	7.55
Draw & not both score	6.9%	8.4%	4.8%	1.75×	11.95

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur & over 1.5	33.1%	30.9%	36.7%	0.84×	3.24
Tottenham Hotspur & under 3.5	30.2%	30.9%	26.8%	1.15×	3.24
Tottenham Hotspur & over 2.5	25.7%	26.0%	30.2%	0.86×	3.84
Everton & over 1.5	22.7%	21.6%	25.5%	0.85×	4.62
Everton & under 3.5	22.7%	21.6%	21.7%	1.00×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	18.8%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	19.1%	18.0%	16.3%	1.11×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	19.1%	18.0%	16.3%	1.11×	5.56
Tottenham Hotspur & under 2.5	17.6%	18.0%	13.0%	1.38×	5.56
Everton & over 2.5	17.7%	18.0%	20.0%	0.90×	5.56
Tottenham Hotspur & over 3.5	13.1%	12.9%	16.4%	0.78×	7.78
Everton & under 2.5	13.3%	12.9%	12.4%	1.04×	7.78
Tottenham Hotspur & under 1.5	10.1%	12.9%	6.5%	1.98×	7.78
Everton & under 1.5	8.3%	7.9%	6.9%	1.14×	12.69
Everton & over 3.5	8.3%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	6.9%	7.9%	4.8%	1.64×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	6.6%	7.9%	8.5%	0.93×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	6.6%	7.9%	8.5%	0.93×	12.69

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur (1UP)	59.0%	58.1%	62.2%	0.93×	1.72
Everton (1UP)	48.3%	43.0%	51.3%	0.84×	2.33

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur (2UP)	43.3%	47.7%	44.9%	1.06×	2.10
Everton (2UP)	31.0%	30.9%	34.6%	0.90×	3.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	36.1%	36.0%	30.8%	1.17×	2.77
Tottenham Hotspur to win 2nd half	33.8%	34.5%	36.4%	0.95×	2.90
Everton to win 2nd half	30.1%	34.4%	32.9%	1.04×	2.91

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (+2.5)	91.9%	92.1%	89.2%	1.03×	1.09
Everton (+1.5)	78.9%	78.5%	76.0%	1.03×	1.27
Tottenham Hotspur (+0.5)	69.0%	68.7%	67.7%	1.02×	1.46
Everton (+0.5)	56.7%	57.0%	56.9%	1.00×	1.75
Tottenham Hotspur (-0.5)	43.3%	43.0%	43.1%	1.00×	2.33
Everton (-0.5)	31.0%	31.3%	32.3%	0.97×	3.20
Tottenham Hotspur (-1.5)	21.1%	21.5%	24.0%	0.90×	4.65
Tottenham Hotspur (-2.5)	8.1%	7.9%	10.8%	0.73×	12.66

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to concede	77.0%	79.0%	78.4%	1.01×	1.27
Everton clean sheet	23.0%	21.0%	21.6%	0.98×	4.76

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to concede in 1st half	48.6%	50.9%	51.4%	0.99×	1.96
Everton clean sheet in 1st half	51.4%	49.1%	48.6%	1.01×	2.04

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton under 6.5 corners	81.3%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Everton over 2.5 corners	76.9%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Everton under 5.5 corners	70.4%	72.3%	—	—	1.38
Everton over 3.5 corners	60.5%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Everton under 4.5 corners	56.1%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Everton over 4.5 corners	43.9%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Everton under 3.5 corners	39.5%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Everton over 5.5 corners	29.6%	27.7%	—	—	3.61
Everton under 2.5 corners	23.1%	24.2%	—	—	4.13
Everton over 6.5 corners	18.7%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton under 3.5 goals	96.6%	97.6%	94.5%	1.03×	1.03
Everton under 2.5 goals	87.9%	87.9%	84.9%	1.03×	1.14
Everton over 0.5 goals	70.0%	68.0%	74.9%	0.91×	1.47
Everton under 1.5 goals	66.1%	68.0%	60.6%	1.12×	1.47
Everton over 1.5 goals	33.9%	32.0%	39.4%	0.81×	3.12
Everton under 0.5 goals	30.0%	32.0%	25.1%	1.28×	3.12
Everton over 2.5 goals	12.1%	12.1%	15.1%	0.80×	8.26
Everton over 3.5 goals	3.4%	2.4%	5.5%	0.45×	41.01

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton under 1.5 in 1st half	92.0%	94.1%	89.1%	1.06×	1.06
Everton under 0.5 in 1st half	62.8%	64.4%	59.4%	1.09×	1.55
Everton over 0.5 in 1st half	37.2%	35.6%	40.6%	0.88×	2.81
Everton over 1.5 in 1st half	8.0%	5.9%	10.9%	0.54×	17.01

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur (away no bet)	62.7%	62.1%	63.6%	0.98×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	37.3%	37.9%	36.4%	1.04×	2.64

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton even goals	54.5%	52.8%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
Everton odd goals	45.5%	47.2%	46.4%	1.02×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.8%	87.8%	80.1%	1.10×	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.2%	12.2%	19.9%	0.61×	8.20

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	62.6%	57.8%	70.2%	0.82×	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	37.4%	42.2%	29.8%	1.42×	2.37

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	54.6%	51.3%	61.5%	0.83×	1.95
Tottenham Hotspur to score 2+ in a row	35.0%	28.6%	39.1%	0.73×	3.50
Everton to score 2+ in a row	25.6%	25.1%	29.9%	0.84×	3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.7%	16.4%	26.3%	0.63×	6.08
Tottenham Hotspur to score 3+ in a row	12.0%	12.0%	16.5%	0.73×	8.35
Everton to score 3+ in a row	7.0%	5.6%	10.2%	0.55×	17.97

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur corners (+3.5)	91.3%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Tottenham Hotspur corners (+2.5)	86.3%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Tottenham Hotspur corners (+1.5)	79.5%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Everton corners (+3.5)	69.6%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Everton corners (+2.5)	60.0%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Tottenham Hotspur corners (-1.5)	50.5%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Everton corners (+1.5)	49.5%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Tottenham Hotspur corners (-2.5)	40.0%	43.2%	—	—	2.32
Tottenham Hotspur corners (-3.5)	30.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Everton corners (-1.5)	20.5%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Everton corners (-2.5)	13.7%	15.8%	—	—	6.31
Everton corners (-3.5)	8.7%	11.4%	—	—	8.81

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	36.7%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
0-8 corners	32.9%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
9-11 corners	30.4%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	76.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	71.9%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	67.1%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Under 11.5 corners	63.3%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Over 9.5 corners	56.8%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	53.6%	52.2%	—	—	1.91
Over 10.5 corners	46.4%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
Under 9.5 corners	43.2%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	36.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Under 8.5 corners	32.9%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Over 12.5 corners	28.1%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	23.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.28

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of corners	50.0%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Odd number of corners	50.0%	49.6%	—	—	2.02

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.2%	11.5%	11.5%	0.99×	8.73
1-0	10.1%	11.4%	6.5%	1.76×	8.73
2-1	9.0%	7.4%	8.9%	0.84×	13.46
0-0	6.9%	7.4%	4.8%	1.55×	13.46
0-1	8.3%	7.4%	6.9%	1.07×	13.46
1-2	7.3%	7.4%	6.9%	1.07×	13.46
2-0	7.5%	7.4%	6.6%	1.13×	13.46
0-2	5.0%	7.4%	5.6%	1.34×	13.46
2-2	5.4%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.46
0-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.6%	0.67×	58.58
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.53×	58.59
1-3	2.9%	1.7%	3.3%	0.53×	58.58
1-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.5%	1.17×	58.59
2-3	2.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.58
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.49×	58.59
3-0	3.7%	1.7%	5.0%	0.34×	58.57
3-1	4.4%	1.7%	5.5%	0.31×	58.57
3-2	2.6%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.58
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.22×	58.59
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.33×	58.59
4-0	1.3%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.58
4-1	1.6%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.58
4-2	1.0%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.59
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.81×	58.59
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	4.99×	58.59
Any other score	2.5%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.58

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur leading at HT (DNB)	61.4%	66.1%	59.6%	1.11×	1.51
Everton leading at HT (DNB)	38.6%	33.9%	40.4%	0.84×	2.95

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur or Everton (12)	74.3%	72.1%	75.4%	0.96×	1.39
Tottenham Hotspur or draw (1X)	69.0%	69.6%	67.7%	1.03×	1.44
Everton or draw (X2)	56.7%	57.0%	56.9%	1.00×	1.76

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur or draw at HT	78.0%	80.0%	75.4%	1.06×	1.25
Everton or draw at HT	65.1%	66.0%	63.7%	1.04×	1.52
Tottenham Hotspur or Everton at HT	56.9%	56.8%	60.7%	0.94×	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur or draw (1UP)	69.0%	76.0%	74.3%	1.02×	1.32
Everton or draw (1UP)	56.7%	62.6%	65.1%	0.96×	1.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur or draw in 2nd half	69.9%	65.6%	67.1%	0.98×	1.52
Everton or draw in 2nd half	66.2%	65.5%	63.6%	1.03×	1.53
Tottenham Hotspur or Everton in 2nd half	63.9%	64.0%	69.2%	0.92×	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.6%	61.6%	56.6%	1.09×	1.62
Neither half drawn	36.4%	38.4%	43.4%	0.89×	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur (DNB)	58.3%	58.2%	57.1%	1.02×	1.72
Everton (DNB)	41.8%	41.8%	42.9%	0.98×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur to score first	51.2%	54.1%	52.1%	1.04×	1.85
Everton to score first	41.9%	41.6%	43.2%	0.96×	2.40
No goal scored	6.9%	7.4%	4.8%	1.54×	13.56

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	53.9%	51.5%	58.2%	0.88×	1.94
Not both teams to score	46.1%	48.5%	41.8%	1.16×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	41.7%	41.5%	46.7%	0.89×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	37.8%	38.5%	30.0%	1.28×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.2%	12.3%	11.5%	1.07×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.3%	8.4%	11.9%	0.70×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.4%	85.7%	82.2%	1.04×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.6%	14.3%	17.8%	0.81×	6.97

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.1%	74.4%	68.9%	1.08×	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.9%	25.6%	31.1%	0.82×	3.91

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.3%	59.9%	55.9%	1.07×	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	23.6%	21.2%	24.6%	0.86×	4.72
Both score 1st half only	12.8%	10.5%	13.0%	0.81×	9.53
Both score in both halves	5.2%	6.6%	6.7%	1.00×	15.05

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.9%	82.8%	80.4%	1.03×	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	18.1%	17.2%	19.6%	0.88×	5.83

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	53.2%	53.4%	62.0%	0.86×	1.87
A half without a goal	46.8%	46.6%	38.0%	1.23×	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.6%	47.4%	46.6%	1.02×	2.11
4-6 goals	26.0%	26.4%	32.7%	0.81×	3.79
0-1 goals	25.4%	26.4%	18.1%	1.46×	3.79
7+ goals	2.0%	1.8%	2.8%	0.64×	55.23

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton to score exactly 1	36.1%	36.0%	35.6%	1.01×	2.78
Everton to score exactly 0	30.0%	33.9%	25.1%	1.35×	2.95
Everton to score exactly 2	21.7%	22.4%	24.5%	0.91×	4.47
Everton to score 3+	12.1%	12.8%	15.1%	0.85×	7.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur to score exactly 1	33.8%	32.7%	29.7%	1.10×	3.06
Tottenham Hotspur to score exactly 2	24.8%	23.3%	26.0%	0.90×	4.30
Tottenham Hotspur to score exactly 0	23.0%	23.3%	21.6%	1.08×	4.30
Tottenham Hotspur to score 3+	18.3%	18.9%	22.9%	0.82×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.1%	43.2%	39.3%	1.10×	2.31
Tottenham Hotspur leading at HT	34.9%	34.0%	36.3%	0.94×	2.94
Everton leading at HT	22.0%	20.0%	24.6%	0.81×	5.01

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur -1: 2	56.7%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Tottenham Hotspur -1: X	22.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Tottenham Hotspur -1: 1	21.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (0:1)	56.7%	55.8%	56.9%	0.98×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	22.2%	24.3%	19.2%	1.27×	4.12
Tottenham Hotspur (0:1)	21.1%	24.3%	24.0%	1.01×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (0:2)	78.9%	79.5%	76.0%	1.05×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	12.9%	11.0%	13.3%	0.83×	9.08
Tottenham Hotspur (0:2)	8.1%	7.7%	10.8%	0.72×	12.97

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (0:3)	91.9%	92.6%	89.2%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.6%	5.8%	7.5%	0.77×	17.26
Tottenham Hotspur (0:3)	2.6%	2.4%	3.3%	0.71×	42.03

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (0:4)	97.4%	98.1%	96.7%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.9%	1.2%	2.1%	0.59×	83.25
Tottenham Hotspur (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	1.4%	0.88×	83.40

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur (1:0)	69.0%	69.9%	67.7%	1.03×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	18.2%	17.0%	16.6%	1.03×	5.87
Everton (1:0)	12.8%	12.8%	15.8%	0.81×	7.80

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur (2:0)	87.2%	88.3%	84.2%	1.05×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.7%	6.5%	9.3%	0.69×	15.47
Everton (2:0)	4.2%	2.3%	6.6%	0.34×	44.14

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.8%	48.2%	49.7%	0.97×	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.8%	26.5%	25.7%	1.03×	3.77
Halves equal	25.3%	26.5%	24.6%	1.08×	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur to concede	70.0%	66.5%	74.9%	0.89×	1.50
Tottenham Hotspur clean sheet	30.0%	33.5%	25.1%	1.33×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur clean sheet in 1st half	62.8%	64.5%	59.4%	1.09×	1.55
Tottenham Hotspur to concede in 1st half	37.2%	35.5%	40.6%	0.87×	2.82

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur over 2.5 corners	89.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Tottenham Hotspur over 3.5 corners	79.4%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Tottenham Hotspur over 4.5 corners	66.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Tottenham Hotspur under 6.5 corners	60.2%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Tottenham Hotspur over 5.5 corners	52.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Tottenham Hotspur under 5.5 corners	47.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Tottenham Hotspur over 6.5 corners	39.8%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Tottenham Hotspur under 4.5 corners	33.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Tottenham Hotspur under 3.5 corners	20.6%	23.9%	—	—	4.19
Tottenham Hotspur under 2.5 corners	10.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur under 3.5 goals	93.8%	92.2%	91.6%	1.01×	1.08
Tottenham Hotspur under 2.5 goals	81.7%	82.1%	77.1%	1.07×	1.22
Tottenham Hotspur over 0.5 goals	77.0%	77.7%	78.4%	0.99×	1.29
Tottenham Hotspur under 1.5 goals	56.8%	58.8%	51.2%	1.15×	1.70
Tottenham Hotspur over 1.5 goals	43.2%	41.2%	48.8%	0.84×	2.43
Tottenham Hotspur under 0.5 goals	23.0%	22.3%	21.6%	1.03×	4.48
Tottenham Hotspur over 2.5 goals	18.3%	17.9%	22.9%	0.78×	5.60
Tottenham Hotspur over 3.5 goals	6.2%	7.8%	8.4%	0.92×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur under 1.5 in 1st half	85.6%	89.9%	84.4%	1.06×	1.11
Tottenham Hotspur over 0.5 in 1st half	48.6%	51.0%	51.4%	0.99×	1.96
Tottenham Hotspur under 0.5 in 1st half	51.4%	49.0%	48.6%	1.01×	2.04
Tottenham Hotspur over 1.5 in 1st half	14.4%	10.1%	15.6%	0.65×	9.85

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton (home no bet)	54.7%	51.6%	56.8%	0.91×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	45.3%	48.4%	43.2%	1.12×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur even goals	52.6%	50.6%	53.6%	0.94×	1.97
Tottenham Hotspur odd goals	47.4%	49.4%	46.4%	1.06×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	32.3%	32.5%	27.5%	1.18×	3.08
HT 1-0	21.5%	24.2%	21.8%	1.11×	4.13
HT 0-1	15.0%	18.8%	14.9%	1.27×	5.31
HT 1-1	10.0%	7.1%	10.9%	0.65×	14.06
HT 2-0	7.2%	7.1%	8.1%	0.87×	14.11
Any other HT score	4.2%	2.2%	5.3%	0.42×	44.61
HT 0-2	3.5%	2.2%	4.5%	0.49×	44.66
HT 2-1	3.3%	2.2%	3.8%	0.59×	44.68
HT 1-2	2.3%	2.2%	2.8%	0.79×	44.76
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.2%	1.0%	2.17×	44.88

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur at HT / Tottenham Hotspur at FT	26.7%	26.6%	26.3%	1.01×	3.76
Everton at HT / Everton at FT	15.6%	16.8%	16.9%	0.99×	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.6%	16.8%	13.4%	1.25×	5.96
Draw at HT / Tottenham Hotspur at FT	14.6%	12.7%	13.9%	0.91×	7.88
Draw at HT / Everton at FT	13.0%	12.7%	12.1%	1.05×	7.89
Tottenham Hotspur at HT / Draw at FT	5.8%	6.0%	6.6%	0.91×	16.62
Everton at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.4%	4.8%	0.72×	29.11
Tottenham Hotspur at HT / Everton at FT	2.4%	3.4%	3.5%	0.98×	29.19
Everton at HT / Tottenham Hotspur at FT	2.0%	3.4%	3.0%	1.14×	29.20

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur to score last	51.2%	51.8%	50.3%	1.03×	1.93
Everton to score last	41.9%	40.1%	45.0%	0.89×	2.49
No goal scored	6.9%	7.4%	4.8%	1.54×	13.56

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.1%	92.7%	95.2%	0.97×	1.08
Tottenham Hotspur to lead by 1 at any time	59.0%	55.1%	62.2%	0.89×	1.82
Everton to lead by 1 at any time	48.3%	44.0%	51.3%	0.86×	2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	45.4%	43.9%	50.9%	0.86×	2.28
Tottenham Hotspur to lead by 2 at any time	27.3%	25.2%	29.9%	0.84×	3.97
Everton to lead by 2 at any time	18.3%	14.9%	21.3%	0.70×	6.69
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.7%	14.9%	21.2%	0.70×	6.71
Tottenham Hotspur to lead by 3 at any time	10.1%	10.4%	13.2%	0.79×	9.61
Everton to lead by 3 at any time	5.6%	6.5%	8.1%	0.80×	15.42

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur most corners	61.1%	58.8%	—	—	1.70
Everton most corners	29.0%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Corners level	9.9%	8.4%	—	—	11.88

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.6%	87.4%	88.5%	0.99×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.8%	78.6%	78.2%	1.01×	1.27
2-6 goals	72.7%	72.4%	79.2%	0.91×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.2%	69.0%	75.3%	0.92×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.1%	69.0%	59.9%	1.15×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.3%	63.5%	64.9%	0.98×	1.58
3-6 goals	48.0%	48.7%	55.8%	0.87×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.6%	48.7%	46.6%	1.04×	2.06
3-5 goals	44.5%	43.6%	51.8%	0.84×	2.29
1-2 goals	43.1%	43.6%	36.8%	1.19×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.7%	39.2%	41.5%	0.94×	2.55
4-6 goals	26.0%	30.2%	32.7%	0.92×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.5%	24.4%	28.7%	0.85×	4.09
5-6 goals	11.3%	14.8%	14.4%	1.03×	6.74
7+ goals	2.0%	2.5%	2.8%	0.90×	39.49

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur never behind	44.8%	48.4%	48.7%	0.99×	2.07
Everton never behind	34.1%	35.5%	37.8%	0.94×	2.82

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.8%	50.8%	49.0%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.2%	51.0%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.2%	57.8%	53.3%	1.08×	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.8%	42.2%	46.7%	0.90×	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.3%	52.0%	51.8%	1.01×	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.7%	48.0%	48.2%	0.99×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.5%	92.3%	93.2%	0.99×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.1%	92.3%	95.2%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	86.7%	87.7%	82.9%	1.06×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	74.6%	72.6%	82.0%	0.89×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	72.0%	72.5%	64.6%	1.12×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	52.4%	41.5%	1.26×	1.91
Over 2.5 goals	50.0%	47.6%	58.5%	0.81×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	28.0%	27.5%	35.4%	0.78×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	25.4%	27.5%	18.1%	1.52×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	13.3%	12.3%	17.1%	0.72×	8.11
Under 0.5 goals	6.9%	7.7%	4.8%	1.61×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	5.5%	7.7%	6.8%	1.14×	12.96

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.0%	97.3%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.1%	92.5%	92.5%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	84.4%	81.1%	79.1%	1.03×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	66.3%	67.3%	76.4%	0.88×	1.49
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	64.1%	62.2%	53.9%	1.15×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	35.9%	37.8%	46.1%	0.82×	2.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	33.7%	32.7%	23.6%	1.39×	3.06
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	15.6%	18.9%	20.9%	0.90×	5.30
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.9%	7.5%	7.5%	1.00×	13.28
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.0%	2.7%	2.9%	0.94×	36.39

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.4%	89.4%	87.3%	1.02×	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.8%	69.0%	64.1%	1.08×	1.45
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.7%	69.0%	72.5%	0.95×	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	32.3%	31.0%	27.5%	1.12×	3.23
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.2%	31.0%	35.9%	0.86×	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.6%	10.6%	12.7%	0.84×	9.41

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.8%	80.0%	75.9%	1.05×	1.25
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.6%	80.0%	84.8%	0.94×	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.4%	53.1%	45.8%	1.16×	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.6%	46.9%	54.2%	0.86×	2.13
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.4%	20.0%	15.2%	1.32×	4.99
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.2%	20.0%	24.1%	0.83×	5.00

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton not to score in both halves	80.6%	84.2%	76.7%	1.10×	1.19
Tottenham Hotspur not to score in both halves	73.2%	74.3%	68.7%	1.08×	1.35
Tottenham Hotspur to score in both halves	26.8%	25.7%	31.3%	0.82×	3.89
Everton to score in both halves	19.4%	15.8%	23.3%	0.68×	6.33

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	53.9%	54.0%	58.2%	0.93×	1.85
Only Tottenham Hotspur scores	23.1%	22.4%	20.4%	1.10×	4.47
Only Everton scores	16.1%	16.1%	16.9%	0.96×	6.21
Neither team scores	6.9%	7.2%	4.8%	1.50×	13.95

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.7%	22.7%	23.5%	0.96×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.0%	22.6%	23.2%	0.98×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	18.5%	17.5%	13.3%	1.31×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.7%	12.1%	18.4%	0.66×	8.29
Exactly 5 goals	7.8%	7.6%	10.4%	0.73×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	6.9%	7.6%	4.8%	1.59×	13.14
6 or more goals	5.5%	7.6%	6.8%	1.13×	13.14

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.6%	44.6%	54.2%	0.82×	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	33.0%	33.8%	30.6%	1.10×	2.96
No goals in 2nd half	21.4%	23.4%	15.2%	1.54×	4.27

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton not to win both halves	93.4%	94.0%	91.2%	1.03×	1.06
Tottenham Hotspur not to win both halves	88.2%	88.1%	86.5%	1.02×	1.14
Tottenham Hotspur to win both halves	11.8%	11.9%	13.5%	0.88×	8.40
Everton to win both halves	6.6%	6.0%	8.8%	0.68×	16.63

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Tottenham Hotspur to win either half	57.0%	59.4%	59.1%	1.01×	1.68
Everton to win neither half	54.6%	54.8%	51.3%	1.07×	1.82
Everton to win either half	45.4%	45.2%	48.7%	0.93×	2.21
Tottenham Hotspur to win neither half	43.0%	40.6%	40.9%	0.99×	2.46

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Everton not to win to nil	83.9%	83.0%	83.1%	1.00×	1.21
Tottenham Hotspur not to win to nil	76.9%	78.0%	79.6%	0.98×	1.28
Tottenham Hotspur to win to nil	23.1%	22.0%	20.4%	1.08×	4.55
Everton to win to nil	16.1%	17.0%	16.9%	1.01×	5.88

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	25.7%	27.8%	24.6%	1.13×	3.59
Tottenham Hotspur by 1	22.2%	24.1%	19.2%	1.26×	4.14
Everton by 1	18.2%	16.9%	16.6%	1.02×	5.90
Tottenham Hotspur by 2	12.9%	11.8%	13.3%	0.89×	8.46
Everton by 2	8.7%	7.2%	9.3%	0.78×	13.80
Tottenham Hotspur by 3+	8.1%	7.2%	10.8%	0.67×	13.80
Everton by 3+	4.2%	2.7%	6.6%	0.41×	36.94