Tottenham Hotspur v Ipswich — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 21 November 2026 · ENG-Premier League · 2627
Premier League
xG Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the chances say
Tottenham Hotspur are finishing sharply below their chances — 5.2 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.
Ipswich are conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 4.5 goals above expected, which tends to correct.
Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.
What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 2.05–1.21 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-goals | 2.03–1.45 | 1-1 10% | 68% | 67% | |
| dc-xg | 2.09–1.10 | 2-1 10% | 62% | 58% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.