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Tottenham Hotspur v Sheffield United — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 16 September 2023 · ENG-Premier League · 2324

Premier League xG

Tottenham Hotspur
2–1
2.16 – 0.79 xG
Sheffield United
Shots
28 – 7
On target
10 – 5
Shots in box
18 – 6
xG per shot
0.08 – 0.11
Set-piece xG
0.56 – 0.42
Goals − xG
-0.16 – +0.21
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.61.21.82.40'15'30'45'60'75'90'Gustavo Hamer 72' — goalRicharlison 97' — goalDejan Kulusevski 99' — goal
Tottenham Hotspur 2.16 xGSheffield United 0.79 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Pape Sarr 8' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Oliver McBurnie 10' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Pape Sarr 16' — Saved Shot (0.29 xG, Open Play)Cristian Romero 17' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Yves Bissouma 18' — Saved Shot (0.35 xG, Open Play)Son Heung-Min 20' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)James McAtee 22' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)James Maddison 23' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Manor Solomon 26' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)James Maddison 33' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Son Heung-Min 38' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)James Maddison 39' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Dejan Kulusevski 41' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Dejan Kulusevski 45' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Set Piece)Pape Sarr 46' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Oliver McBurnie 48' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Son Heung-Min 55' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Set Piece)Dejan Kulusevski 56' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Cristian Romero 60' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Manor Solomon 60' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Manor Solomon 65' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)James McAtee 66' — Saved Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Dejan Kulusevski 66' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Dejan Kulusevski 67' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Chris Basham 70' — Missed Shot (0.37 xG, Set Piece)Gustavo Hamer 72' — Goal (0.08 xG, Open Play)Yves Bissouma 75' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Manor Solomon 76' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Ivan Perisic 87' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Richarlison 88' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Dejan Kulusevski 89' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Pedro Porro 90' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Oliver Norwood 94' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Richarlison 97' — Goal (0.34 xG, From Corner)Dejan Kulusevski 99' — Goal (0.10 xG, Open Play)
Tottenham Hotspur attacking right Sheffield United attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
8' Tottenham Hotspur Pape Sarr 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Pedro Porro
10' Sheffield United Oliver McBurnie 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Gustavo Hamer
16' Tottenham Hotspur Pape Sarr 0.29 Open Play — Saved Shot Dejan Kulusevski
17' Tottenham Hotspur Cristian Romero 0.02 From Corner — Missed Shot James Maddison
18' Tottenham Hotspur Yves Bissouma 0.35 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Dejan Kulusevski
20' Tottenham Hotspur Son Heung-Min 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Manor Solomon
22' Sheffield United James McAtee 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Jayden Bogle
23' Tottenham Hotspur James Maddison 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Cristian Romero
26' Tottenham Hotspur Manor Solomon 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot —
33' Tottenham Hotspur James Maddison 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Pape Sarr
38' Tottenham Hotspur Son Heung-Min 0.06 Open Play — Missed Shot Manor Solomon
39' Tottenham Hotspur James Maddison 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Manor Solomon
41' Tottenham Hotspur Dejan Kulusevski 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Pedro Porro
45' Tottenham Hotspur Dejan Kulusevski 0.04 Set Piece Left Foot Blocked Shot James Maddison
46' Tottenham Hotspur Pape Sarr 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Manor Solomon
48' Sheffield United Oliver McBurnie 0.06 From Corner — Saved Shot Gustavo Hamer
55' Tottenham Hotspur Son Heung-Min 0.07 Set Piece Left Foot Blocked Shot —
56' Tottenham Hotspur Dejan Kulusevski 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Pedro Porro
60' Tottenham Hotspur Cristian Romero 0.02 From Corner — Missed Shot Yves Bissouma
60' Tottenham Hotspur Manor Solomon 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot James Maddison
65' Tottenham Hotspur Manor Solomon 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Dejan Kulusevski
66' Sheffield United James McAtee 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Cameron Archer
66' Tottenham Hotspur Dejan Kulusevski 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Yves Bissouma
67' Tottenham Hotspur Dejan Kulusevski 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot James Maddison
70' Sheffield United Chris Basham 0.37 Set Piece — Missed Shot Gustavo Hamer
72' Sheffield United Gustavo Hamer 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Goal Jack Robinson
75' Tottenham Hotspur Yves Bissouma 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Pape Sarr
76' Tottenham Hotspur Manor Solomon 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Yves Bissouma
87' Tottenham Hotspur Ivan Perisic 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Dejan Kulusevski
88' Tottenham Hotspur Richarlison 0.05 Open Play — Missed Shot Pedro Porro
89' Tottenham Hotspur Dejan Kulusevski 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Brennan Johnson
90' Tottenham Hotspur Pedro Porro 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Dejan Kulusevski
94' Sheffield United Oliver Norwood 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot —
97' Tottenham Hotspur Richarlison 0.34 From Corner — Goal Ivan Perisic
99' Tottenham Hotspur Dejan Kulusevski 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Goal Richarlison

Players

Sheffield United

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Chris Basham DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.37 0.00 0.10
Oliver McBurnie FW 90 0 0 2 0 0.14 0.00 0.18
Anel Ahmedhodzic DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Wes Foderingham GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.18
Cameron Archer FW 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.10 0.18
Vinicius Souza MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.18
Jack Robinson DC 90 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.17
Luke Thomas DML 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Jayden Bogle DMR 89 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.10 0.18
Gustavo Hamer MC 84 1 0 1 3 0.08 0.50 0.17
James McAtee MC 73 0 0 2 0 0.19 0.00 0.19
Oliver Norwood Sub 17 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.01
Tom Davies Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Auston Trusty Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Tottenham Hotspur

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Dejan Kulusevski AMR 90 1 0 7 5 0.41 0.80 1.22
Yves Bissouma DMC 90 0 0 2 3 0.37 0.09 0.74
James Maddison AMC 90 0 0 3 4 0.13 0.13 1.00
Cristian Romero DC 90 0 0 2 1 0.04 0.03 0.62
Pedro Porro DR 90 0 0 1 4 0.03 0.20 0.82
Micky van de Ven DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.56
Iyenoma Destiny Udogie DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.81
Guglielmo Vicario GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.34
Pape Sarr DMC 83 0 0 3 2 0.36 0.06 0.98
Manor Solomon AML 83 0 0 4 4 0.24 0.20 0.47
Son Heung-Min FW 83 0 0 3 0 0.15 0.00 0.16
Richarlison Sub 7 1 1 2 1 0.39 0.10 0.15
Ivan Perisic Sub 7 0 1 1 1 0.04 0.34 0.14
Brennan Johnson Sub 7 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.16
Emerson Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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