Toulouse v Le Havre — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 19 September 2026 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2627
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyToulouse win
59.2%
model 60.0%
Draw
21.5%
model 22.7%
Le Havre win
19.3%
model 17.3%
Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (282 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-0 12.6%
- 2-0 11.4%
- 1-1 10.8%
- 2-1 9.7%
- 0-0 7.0%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 49.7% | Under 2.5 | 50.3% |
| BTTS yes | 47.9% | BTTS no | 52.1% |
| Toulouse 1+ | 83.6% | Toulouse 2+ | 54.0% |
| Le Havre 1+ | 57.3% | Le Havre 2+ | 21.0% |
Expected goals 1.81 – 0.85. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
AI confidence
99/100
Data quality
100/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
Toulouse (+0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 68%
82.0% fair odds 1.22
moderate signal · 1065 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Toulouse or draw (1UP)
Double chance 1UP · usually 73%
84.1% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 419 settled matches behind the band
Positive factors
- Toulouse carry the stronger rating, 1519 Elo against 1442.
- Toulouse have created 1.46 xG a match over their last five while Le Havre have allowed 1.86.
- At home Toulouse average 2.12 xG a match.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Toulouse have an estimated 59.2% win probability, against 21.5% for the draw and 19.3% for Le Havre. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.81 for Toulouse and 0.85 for Le Havre.
Why Toulouse
Toulouse carry the stronger rating, 1519 Elo against 1442. Toulouse have created 1.46 xG a match over their last five while Le Havre have allowed 1.86. At home Toulouse average 2.12 xG a match.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 21.5%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.
Why Le Havre can win
Le Havre have created 1.33 xG a match over their last five while Toulouse have allowed 1.67. Away from home Le Havre average 1.28 xG a match.
Key players
Toulouse's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Thomas Jørgensen (0.33), Aron Dønnum (0.31), Christ Tapé (0.30). Le Havre's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Issa Soumaré (0.45), Mbwana Samatta (0.24), Sofiane Boufal (0.24).
Availability
1 of Toulouse's top three contributors did not start their last match. 2 of Le Havre's top three contributors did not start their last match. Le Havre had a player sent off last time out, worth about 0.10 expected goal involvements a match. 36% of Le Havre's last eleven are new to the club this window. Reported unavailable for Le Havre: Junior Mwanga (suspended).
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Toulouse: 46% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.55 xG a match from set pieces. Le Havre: 48% possession, 12.2 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.16 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Toulouse are the model's most likely outcome at 59.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 12.6%. Confidence 99/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the chances say
Toulouse are finishing below their chances — 3.6 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding more than the chances against them merit — 2.3 goals above expected, which tends to correct.
LLLDWWDLDL last 10
scored 11
from 14.6 xG
conceded 19
from 16.7 xG
Le Havre are conceding sharply fewer than expected — 5.6 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.
DDDDDLWLDL last 10
scored 12
from 13.3 xG
conceded 13
from 18.6 xG
Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.
What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.81–0.85 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.89–0.88 | 1-0 12% | 52% | 50% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse to win | 60.5% | 58.1% | 45.6% | 1.28× | 1.72 |
| Draw | 21.8% | 24.4% | 22.8% | 1.07× | 4.09 |
| Le Havre to win | 17.7% | 19.3% | 31.8% | 0.61× | 5.17 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse & not both score | 33.8% | 29.7% | 23.7% | 1.25× | 3.36 |
| Toulouse & both teams score | 26.7% | 25.2% | 22.0% | 1.14× | 3.97 |
| Draw & both teams score | 15.9% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 1.09× | 5.58 |
| Le Havre & not both score | 8.9% | 8.4% | 16.1% | 0.52× | 11.92 |
| Le Havre & both teams score | 8.8% | 8.4% | 15.9% | 0.53× | 11.92 |
| Draw & not both score | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 1.28× | 11.94 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse & over 1.5 | 49.3% | 45.2% | 35.7% | 1.27× | 2.21 |
| Toulouse & over 2.5 | 38.6% | 34.9% | 28.2% | 1.24× | 2.87 |
| Toulouse & under 3.5 | 38.7% | 34.9% | 28.9% | 1.21× | 2.87 |
| Toulouse & under 2.5 | 21.9% | 21.7% | 17.5% | 1.24× | 4.62 |
| Toulouse & over 3.5 | 21.9% | 21.7% | 16.8% | 1.29× | 4.62 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 15.9% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 1.10× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 16.2% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 1.09× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 16.2% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 1.09× | 5.56 |
| Le Havre & under 3.5 | 13.5% | 12.9% | 20.7% | 0.62× | 7.77 |
| Le Havre & over 1.5 | 12.3% | 12.9% | 25.6% | 0.50× | 7.77 |
| Toulouse & under 1.5 | 11.2% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 1.29× | 7.77 |
| Le Havre & over 2.5 | 9.8% | 7.9% | 20.0% | 0.39× | 12.69 |
| Le Havre & under 2.5 | 7.9% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 0.66× | 12.70 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 1.20× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 1.23× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 1.23× | 12.70 |
| Le Havre & under 1.5 | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 1.23× | 12.70 |
| Le Havre & over 3.5 | 4.2% | 4.8% | 11.2% | 0.43× | 20.93 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse (1UP) | 72.6% | 75.8% | 58.0% | 1.31× | 1.32 |
| Le Havre (1UP) | 35.1% | 34.1% | 49.6% | 0.69× | 2.93 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse (2UP) | 60.5% | 67.4% | 47.1% | 1.43× | 1.48 |
| Le Havre (2UP) | 17.7% | 17.4% | 34.2% | 0.51× | 5.73 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse to win 2nd half | 49.0% | 45.6% | 42.1% | 1.08× | 2.19 |
| 2nd half drawn | 33.9% | 34.5% | 31.2% | 1.11× | 2.90 |
| Le Havre to win 2nd half | 17.1% | 19.0% | 26.8% | 0.71× | 5.28 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre (+2.5) | 82.6% | 82.4% | 90.0% | 0.92× | 1.21 |
| Toulouse (+0.5) | 82.3% | 82.4% | 68.2% | 1.21× | 1.21 |
| Le Havre (+1.5) | 64.0% | 62.9% | 75.0% | 0.84× | 1.59 |
| Toulouse (-0.5) | 60.5% | 62.9% | 45.6% | 1.38× | 1.59 |
| Le Havre (+0.5) | 39.5% | 37.1% | 54.4% | 0.68× | 2.70 |
| Toulouse (-1.5) | 36.0% | 37.1% | 25.0% | 1.49× | 2.70 |
| Le Havre (-0.5) | 17.7% | 17.6% | 31.8% | 0.55× | 5.69 |
| Toulouse (-2.5) | 17.4% | 17.6% | 10.0% | 1.76× | 5.69 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre to concede | 85.2% | 86.4% | 77.5% | 1.11× | 1.16 |
| Le Havre clean sheet | 14.8% | 13.6% | 22.5% | 0.61× | 7.35 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre to concede in 1st half | 57.7% | 58.5% | 47.7% | 1.22× | 1.71 |
| Le Havre clean sheet in 1st half | 42.3% | 41.5% | 52.3% | 0.79× | 2.41 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre under 6.5 corners | 86.2% | 85.2% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Le Havre under 5.5 corners | 77.8% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Le Havre over 2.5 corners | 66.4% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Le Havre under 4.5 corners | 66.0% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Le Havre under 3.5 corners | 50.9% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Le Havre over 3.5 corners | 49.1% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Le Havre over 4.5 corners | 34.0% | 32.5% | — | — | 3.08 |
| Le Havre under 2.5 corners | 33.6% | 32.5% | — | — | 3.08 |
| Le Havre over 5.5 corners | 22.2% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
| Le Havre over 6.5 corners | 13.8% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.75 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre under 3.5 goals | 98.5% | 97.5% | 93.4% | 1.04× | 1.03 |
| Le Havre under 2.5 goals | 93.3% | 92.3% | 84.6% | 1.09× | 1.08 |
| Le Havre under 1.5 goals | 76.4% | 76.2% | 63.2% | 1.21× | 1.31 |
| Le Havre over 0.5 goals | 60.3% | 62.9% | 69.9% | 0.90× | 1.59 |
| Le Havre under 0.5 goals | 39.7% | 37.1% | 30.1% | 1.23× | 2.70 |
| Le Havre over 1.5 goals | 23.6% | 23.8% | 36.8% | 0.65× | 4.21 |
| Le Havre over 2.5 goals | 6.7% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 0.50× | 13.04 |
| Le Havre over 3.5 goals | 1.5% | 2.5% | 6.6% | 0.37× | 40.80 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre under 1.5 in 1st half | 93.0% | 94.2% | 87.2% | 1.08× | 1.06 |
| Le Havre under 0.5 in 1st half | 65.0% | 68.1% | 57.3% | 1.19× | 1.47 |
| Le Havre over 0.5 in 1st half | 35.0% | 31.9% | 42.7% | 0.75× | 3.14 |
| Le Havre over 1.5 in 1st half | 7.0% | 5.8% | 12.8% | 0.45× | 17.23 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse (away no bet) | 73.5% | 68.6% | 66.7% | 1.03× | 1.46 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 26.5% | 31.4% | 33.3% | 0.94× | 3.18 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre even goals | 57.9% | 56.9% | 56.3% | 1.01× | 1.76 |
| Le Havre odd goals | 42.1% | 43.1% | 43.7% | 0.99× | 2.32 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 83.1% | 83.0% | 83.0% | 1.00× | 1.21 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 16.9% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 1.00× | 5.87 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 65.8% | 68.5% | 65.5% | 1.05× | 1.46 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 34.2% | 31.5% | 34.5% | 0.91× | 3.18 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 60.2% | 59.8% | 60.2% | 0.99× | 1.67 |
| Toulouse to score 2+ in a row | 49.7% | 46.0% | 38.1% | 1.21× | 2.17 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 25.2% | 25.0% | 22.6% | 1.10× | 4.00 |
| Toulouse to score 3+ in a row | 22.2% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 1.39× | 5.12 |
| Le Havre to score 2+ in a row | 16.0% | 16.3% | 28.1% | 0.58× | 6.13 |
| Le Havre to score 3+ in a row | 3.2% | 2.6% | 9.2% | 0.28× | 38.60 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse corners (+3.5) | 90.2% | 89.6% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Toulouse corners (+2.5) | 84.8% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Toulouse corners (+1.5) | 77.6% | 74.9% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Le Havre corners (+3.5) | 72.3% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Le Havre corners (+2.5) | 63.1% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Le Havre corners (+1.5) | 52.7% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Toulouse corners (-1.5) | 47.3% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Toulouse corners (-2.5) | 36.9% | 38.1% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Toulouse corners (-3.5) | 27.7% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Le Havre corners (-1.5) | 22.4% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| Le Havre corners (-2.5) | 15.2% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.94 |
| Le Havre corners (-3.5) | 9.8% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.58 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 49.0% | 41.7% | — | — | 2.40 |
| 9-11 corners | 26.7% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
| 12+ corners | 24.4% | 25.6% | — | — | 3.90 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 81.9% | 80.8% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 75.6% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 67.9% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 61.5% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 58.9% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 51.0% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 49.0% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 41.1% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 38.5% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 32.1% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 24.4% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 18.1% | 19.2% | — | — | 5.20 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 1.15× | 8.73 |
| 2-0 | 10.7% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 1.50× | 8.73 |
| 1-1 | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 1.13× | 8.73 |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 0.93× | 13.48 |
| 3-0 | 6.8% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.98× | 13.48 |
| 0-0 | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 1.13× | 13.48 |
| 0-1 | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 1.16× | 13.48 |
| 3-1 | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 1.19× | 13.48 |
| 1-2 | 4.8% | 1.7% | 6.6% | 0.26× | 58.46 |
| Any other score | 4.8% | 1.7% | 5.1% | 0.33× | 58.46 |
| 0-2 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 5.8% | 0.30× | 58.48 |
| 0-3 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.69× | 58.49 |
| 0-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.10× | 58.49 |
| 1-3 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 0.50× | 58.48 |
| 1-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.10× | 58.49 |
| 2-2 | 4.6% | 1.7% | 4.8% | 0.35× | 58.46 |
| 2-3 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.91× | 58.48 |
| 2-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.19× | 58.49 |
| 3-2 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 58.47 |
| 3-3 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.10× | 58.48 |
| 3-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.19× | 58.49 |
| 4-0 | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.00× | 58.47 |
| 4-1 | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.84× | 58.47 |
| 4-2 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.10× | 58.48 |
| 4-3 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.48× | 58.49 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.48× | 58.49 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse leading at HT (DNB) | 71.5% | 71.4% | 53.2% | 1.34× | 1.40 |
| Le Havre leading at HT (DNB) | 28.5% | 28.6% | 46.8% | 0.61× | 3.50 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse or draw (1X) | 82.3% | 80.7% | 68.2% | 1.18× | 1.24 |
| Toulouse or Le Havre (12) | 78.2% | 75.6% | 77.2% | 0.98× | 1.32 |
| Le Havre or draw (X2) | 39.5% | 41.9% | 54.4% | 0.77× | 2.39 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse or draw at HT | 82.5% | 84.5% | 71.1% | 1.19× | 1.18 |
| Toulouse or Le Havre at HT | 61.3% | 62.1% | 61.5% | 1.01× | 1.61 |
| Le Havre or draw at HT | 56.2% | 56.8% | 67.2% | 0.85× | 1.76 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse or draw (1UP) | 82.3% | 88.5% | 72.5% | 1.22× | 1.13 |
| Le Havre or draw (1UP) | 39.5% | 42.7% | 62.2% | 0.69× | 2.34 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse or draw in 2nd half | 82.9% | 81.0% | 73.2% | 1.11× | 1.23 |
| Toulouse or Le Havre in 2nd half | 66.1% | 65.5% | 68.8% | 0.95× | 1.53 |
| Le Havre or draw in 2nd half | 51.0% | 54.4% | 57.9% | 0.94× | 1.84 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 59.5% | 58.1% | 56.8% | 1.02× | 1.72 |
| Neither half drawn | 40.5% | 41.9% | 43.2% | 0.97× | 2.39 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse (DNB) | 77.4% | 74.6% | 58.9% | 1.27× | 1.34 |
| Le Havre (DNB) | 22.6% | 25.4% | 41.1% | 0.62× | 3.94 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse to score first | 63.5% | 64.6% | 49.3% | 1.31× | 1.55 |
| Le Havre to score first | 30.7% | 27.0% | 44.3% | 0.61× | 3.70 |
| No goal scored | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 1.14× | 13.40 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 51.4% | 51.4% | 54.0% | 0.95× | 1.95 |
| Not both teams to score | 48.6% | 48.6% | 46.0% | 1.06× | 2.06 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 41.1% | 41.6% | 44.0% | 0.95× | 2.40 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 35.7% | 38.5% | 35.7% | 1.08× | 2.60 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 12.9% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 1.18× | 8.11 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 10.4% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 1.22× | 8.11 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 86.5% | 85.6% | 84.7% | 1.01× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 13.5% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 0.94× | 6.94 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 74.6% | 74.2% | 69.9% | 1.06× | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 25.4% | 25.8% | 30.1% | 0.86× | 3.88 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 59.6% | 59.5% | 57.4% | 1.04× | 1.68 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 20.2% | 20.7% | 23.7% | 0.87× | 4.82 |
| Both score 1st half only | 15.1% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 1.23× | 6.44 |
| Both score in both halves | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 1.03× | 14.86 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 79.8% | 81.6% | 81.0% | 1.01× | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 20.2% | 18.4% | 19.0% | 0.97× | 5.43 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 57.1% | 57.3% | 59.4% | 0.96× | 1.75 |
| A half without a goal | 42.9% | 42.7% | 40.6% | 1.05× | 2.34 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 45.9% | 47.4% | 43.4% | 1.09× | 2.11 |
| 4-6 goals | 29.0% | 26.5% | 30.7% | 0.86× | 3.78 |
| 0-1 goals | 22.5% | 22.8% | 22.6% | 1.01× | 4.38 |
| 7+ goals | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 0.51× | 54.54 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre to score exactly 0 | 39.7% | 36.0% | 30.1% | 1.20× | 2.78 |
| Le Havre to score exactly 1 | 36.7% | 36.0% | 33.2% | 1.08× | 2.78 |
| Le Havre to score exactly 2 | 17.0% | 19.6% | 21.5% | 0.91× | 5.11 |
| Le Havre to score 3+ | 6.7% | 8.5% | 15.4% | 0.55× | 11.83 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse to score 3+ | 30.0% | 26.5% | 22.9% | 1.16× | 3.77 |
| Toulouse to score exactly 1 | 28.2% | 26.5% | 31.8% | 0.83× | 3.77 |
| Toulouse to score exactly 2 | 27.0% | 26.5% | 23.1% | 1.15× | 3.77 |
| Toulouse to score exactly 0 | 14.8% | 14.3% | 22.5% | 0.64× | 6.97 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse leading at HT | 43.8% | 43.2% | 32.8% | 1.32× | 2.32 |
| Draw at HT | 38.7% | 37.9% | 38.5% | 0.98× | 2.64 |
| Le Havre leading at HT | 17.5% | 15.5% | 28.9% | 0.54× | 6.43 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse -1: 2 | 39.5% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Toulouse -1: 1 | 36.0% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Toulouse -1: X | 24.5% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre (0:1) | 39.5% | 37.3% | 54.4% | 0.69× | 2.68 |
| Toulouse (0:1) | 36.0% | 37.2% | 25.0% | 1.49× | 2.69 |
| Draw (0:1) | 24.5% | 24.3% | 20.7% | 1.17× | 4.12 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre (0:2) | 64.0% | 67.4% | 75.0% | 0.90× | 1.48 |
| Draw (0:2) | 18.6% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 1.01× | 6.54 |
| Toulouse (0:2) | 17.4% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 1.53× | 6.54 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre (0:3) | 82.6% | 85.1% | 90.0% | 0.95× | 1.18 |
| Draw (0:3) | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 1.64× | 10.03 |
| Toulouse (0:3) | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.44× | 17.17 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre (0:4) | 93.0% | 94.7% | 95.9% | 0.99× | 1.06 |
| Draw (0:4) | 4.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 0.45× | 83.14 |
| Toulouse (0:4) | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.77× | 83.41 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse (1:0) | 82.3% | 81.4% | 68.2% | 1.19× | 1.23 |
| Draw (1:0) | 11.8% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 0.85× | 7.81 |
| Le Havre (1:0) | 5.8% | 6.9% | 16.8% | 0.41× | 14.47 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse (2:0) | 94.2% | 94.0% | 83.2% | 1.13× | 1.06 |
| Draw (2:0) | 4.3% | 2.3% | 9.8% | 0.23× | 44.09 |
| Le Havre (2:0) | 1.5% | 2.3% | 7.2% | 0.31× | 44.28 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 43.3% | 49.5% | 47.3% | 1.05× | 2.02 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 31.8% | 28.7% | 26.8% | 1.07× | 3.48 |
| Halves equal | 24.9% | 24.1% | 26.1% | 0.93× | 4.14 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse to concede | 60.3% | 63.4% | 69.9% | 0.91× | 1.58 |
| Toulouse clean sheet | 39.7% | 36.6% | 30.1% | 1.22× | 2.73 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse clean sheet in 1st half | 65.0% | 68.4% | 57.3% | 1.19× | 1.46 |
| Toulouse to concede in 1st half | 35.0% | 31.6% | 42.7% | 0.74× | 3.16 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse over 2.5 corners | 80.6% | 80.9% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Toulouse under 6.5 corners | 70.6% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Toulouse over 3.5 corners | 67.3% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Toulouse under 5.5 corners | 59.6% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Toulouse over 4.5 corners | 53.4% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Toulouse under 4.5 corners | 46.6% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
| Toulouse over 5.5 corners | 40.4% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Toulouse under 3.5 corners | 32.7% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.00 |
| Toulouse over 6.5 corners | 29.4% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| Toulouse under 2.5 corners | 19.4% | 19.1% | — | — | 5.25 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse under 3.5 goals | 87.3% | 87.3% | 91.7% | 0.95× | 1.15 |
| Toulouse over 0.5 goals | 85.2% | 87.2% | 77.5% | 1.13× | 1.15 |
| Toulouse under 2.5 goals | 70.0% | 74.2% | 77.1% | 0.96× | 1.35 |
| Toulouse over 1.5 goals | 57.0% | 58.8% | 45.9% | 1.28× | 1.70 |
| Toulouse under 1.5 goals | 43.0% | 41.2% | 54.1% | 0.76× | 2.43 |
| Toulouse over 2.5 goals | 30.0% | 25.8% | 22.9% | 1.13× | 3.87 |
| Toulouse under 0.5 goals | 14.8% | 12.8% | 22.5% | 0.57× | 7.84 |
| Toulouse over 3.5 goals | 12.7% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 1.54× | 7.85 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse under 1.5 in 1st half | 78.7% | 77.3% | 87.4% | 0.88× | 1.29 |
| Toulouse over 0.5 in 1st half | 57.7% | 58.1% | 47.7% | 1.22× | 1.72 |
| Toulouse under 0.5 in 1st half | 42.3% | 41.9% | 52.3% | 0.80× | 2.39 |
| Toulouse over 1.5 in 1st half | 21.3% | 22.7% | 12.6% | 1.80× | 4.40 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (home no bet) | 55.2% | 56.7% | 41.7% | 1.36× | 1.77 |
| Le Havre (home no bet) | 44.8% | 43.3% | 58.3% | 0.74× | 2.31 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse even goals | 51.1% | 50.6% | 51.3% | 0.99× | 1.98 |
| Toulouse odd goals | 48.9% | 49.4% | 48.7% | 1.01× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 27.5% | 28.8% | 28.5% | 1.01× | 3.47 |
| HT 1-0 | 23.7% | 24.1% | 21.1% | 1.15× | 4.15 |
| HT 0-1 | 11.8% | 10.9% | 16.8% | 0.65× | 9.16 |
| HT 1-1 | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 1.15× | 9.18 |
| HT 2-0 | 10.2% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 1.66× | 9.18 |
| Any other HT score | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.52× | 14.06 |
| HT 2-1 | 4.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 0.71× | 43.29 |
| HT 0-2 | 2.5% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 0.42× | 43.42 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 0.51× | 43.45 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 2.94× | 43.54 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse at HT / Toulouse at FT | 38.5% | 41.1% | 27.5% | 1.50× | 2.43 |
| Draw at HT / Toulouse at FT | 18.9% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 1.13× | 5.96 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 0.98× | 7.89 |
| Le Havre at HT / Le Havre at FT | 10.0% | 6.0% | 19.3% | 0.31× | 16.59 |
| Draw at HT / Le Havre at FT | 6.6% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 0.54× | 16.69 |
| Le Havre at HT / Draw at FT | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 0.56× | 28.79 |
| Toulouse at HT / Draw at FT | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 0.89× | 28.80 |
| Le Havre at HT / Toulouse at FT | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 0.97× | 28.84 |
| Toulouse at HT / Le Havre at FT | 1.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.02× | 28.92 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse to score last | 63.5% | 62.2% | 53.2% | 1.17× | 1.61 |
| Le Havre to score last | 30.7% | 32.7% | 40.4% | 0.81× | 3.06 |
| No goal scored | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 1.14× | 13.40 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 94.1% | 92.6% | 93.4% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Toulouse to lead by 1 at any time | 72.6% | 74.2% | 58.0% | 1.28× | 1.35 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 52.0% | 50.7% | 51.3% | 0.99× | 1.97 |
| Toulouse to lead by 2 at any time | 42.4% | 39.3% | 29.5% | 1.33× | 2.55 |
| Le Havre to lead by 1 at any time | 35.1% | 34.8% | 49.6% | 0.70× | 2.88 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 22.4% | 19.6% | 20.1% | 0.97× | 5.10 |
| Toulouse to lead by 3 at any time | 20.1% | 19.6% | 11.9% | 1.65× | 5.11 |
| Le Havre to lead by 2 at any time | 9.9% | 6.7% | 22.0% | 0.30× | 14.94 |
| Le Havre to lead by 3 at any time | 2.3% | 1.6% | 8.4% | 0.19× | 62.06 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse most corners | 58.1% | 55.5% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Le Havre most corners | 31.5% | 34.3% | — | — | 2.92 |
| Corners level | 10.4% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.62 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 87.3% | 87.4% | 85.0% | 1.03× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 78.3% | 78.6% | 76.4% | 1.03× | 1.27 |
| 2-6 goals | 74.9% | 72.4% | 73.9% | 0.98× | 1.38 |
| 2-5 goals | 70.7% | 72.4% | 69.0% | 1.05× | 1.38 |
| 1-3 goals | 62.5% | 63.4% | 59.4% | 1.07× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 61.7% | 63.4% | 60.4% | 1.05× | 1.58 |
| 3-6 goals | 51.4% | 53.2% | 50.9% | 1.05× | 1.88 |
| 3-5 goals | 47.1% | 48.7% | 45.9% | 1.06× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 45.9% | 48.7% | 43.4% | 1.12× | 2.06 |
| 1-2 goals | 40.2% | 43.6% | 39.3% | 1.11× | 2.30 |
| 3-4 goals | 38.1% | 39.2% | 37.3% | 1.05× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 29.0% | 30.3% | 30.7% | 0.98× | 3.31 |
| 4-5 goals | 24.8% | 24.5% | 25.7% | 0.95× | 4.08 |
| 5-6 goals | 13.2% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 1.08× | 6.72 |
| 7+ goals | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 0.71× | 39.21 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse never behind | 59.1% | 62.9% | 50.4% | 1.25× | 1.59 |
| Le Havre never behind | 21.6% | 24.3% | 42.0% | 0.58× | 4.12 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 49.8% | 50.8% | 47.3% | 1.08× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 50.2% | 49.2% | 52.7% | 0.93× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 53.8% | 51.7% | 51.6% | 1.00× | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 46.2% | 48.3% | 48.4% | 1.00× | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 52.3% | 52.1% | 49.5% | 1.05× | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 47.7% | 47.9% | 50.5% | 0.95× | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94.1% | 92.3% | 93.4% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 93.2% | 92.3% | 91.4% | 1.01× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84.2% | 82.4% | 82.8% | 0.99× | 1.21 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.5% | 77.3% | 77.4% | 1.00× | 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68.4% | 66.2% | 65.8% | 1.01× | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.9% | 52.5% | 54.3% | 0.97× | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46.1% | 47.5% | 45.7% | 1.04× | 2.11 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.6% | 33.8% | 34.2% | 0.99× | 2.96 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22.5% | 22.7% | 22.6% | 1.00× | 4.41 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15.8% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 1.03× | 5.68 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 0.90× | 12.93 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 1.18× | 12.93 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 97.3% | 97.2% | 96.2% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 92.5% | 92.5% | 90.6% | 1.02× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 81.2% | 81.0% | 79.3% | 1.02× | 1.23 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 70.6% | 72.6% | 70.6% | 1.03× | 1.38 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 59.3% | 55.5% | 57.2% | 0.97× | 1.80 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 40.7% | 44.5% | 42.8% | 1.04× | 2.25 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 29.4% | 27.4% | 29.4% | 0.93× | 3.64 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 18.8% | 19.0% | 20.7% | 0.92× | 5.28 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 0.80× | 13.26 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 0.73× | 36.14 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 85.9% | 88.9% | 87.2% | 1.02× | 1.13 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 72.5% | 71.2% | 71.5% | 1.00× | 1.40 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 63.0% | 63.7% | 66.1% | 0.96× | 1.57 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 37.0% | 36.3% | 33.9% | 1.07× | 2.75 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 27.5% | 28.8% | 28.5% | 1.01× | 3.47 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 14.1% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 0.87× | 9.03 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 79.7% | 79.8% | 75.4% | 1.06× | 1.25 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 78.7% | 79.8% | 81.4% | 0.98× | 1.25 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 54.2% | 53.2% | 51.3% | 1.04× | 1.88 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 45.8% | 46.8% | 48.7% | 0.96× | 2.14 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 21.3% | 20.2% | 18.6% | 1.09× | 4.94 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 20.3% | 20.2% | 24.6% | 0.82× | 4.95 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre not to score in both halves | 86.4% | 85.7% | 77.4% | 1.11× | 1.17 |
| Toulouse not to score in both halves | 62.4% | 63.4% | 68.0% | 0.93× | 1.58 |
| Toulouse to score in both halves | 37.6% | 36.6% | 32.0% | 1.14× | 2.73 |
| Le Havre to score in both halves | 13.6% | 14.3% | 22.6% | 0.63× | 7.00 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 51.4% | 53.9% | 54.0% | 1.00× | 1.86 |
| Only Toulouse scores | 33.8% | 33.4% | 23.7% | 1.41× | 3.00 |
| Only Le Havre scores | 8.9% | 7.2% | 16.1% | 0.45× | 13.90 |
| Neither team scores | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 1.10× | 13.92 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 23.6% | 22.6% | 23.2% | 0.97× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.3% | 22.6% | 20.3% | 1.11× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 16.6% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 1.07× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 15.8% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 1.02× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 0.88× | 13.08 |
| 6 or more goals | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 0.89× | 13.09 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 1.17× | 13.09 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 45.8% | 44.9% | 48.7% | 0.92× | 2.23 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 32.9% | 33.4% | 32.9% | 1.02× | 2.99 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 21.3% | 23.0% | 18.6% | 1.24× | 4.34 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre not to win both halves | 97.0% | 97.2% | 90.6% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| Toulouse not to win both halves | 78.5% | 75.4% | 83.3% | 0.91× | 1.33 |
| Toulouse to win both halves | 21.5% | 24.6% | 16.7% | 1.47× | 4.06 |
| Le Havre to win both halves | 3.0% | 2.8% | 9.4% | 0.30× | 35.99 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse to win either half | 71.3% | 72.9% | 58.2% | 1.25× | 1.37 |
| Le Havre to win neither half | 68.4% | 67.9% | 53.7% | 1.27× | 1.47 |
| Le Havre to win either half | 31.6% | 32.1% | 46.3% | 0.69× | 3.12 |
| Toulouse to win neither half | 28.7% | 27.1% | 41.8% | 0.65× | 3.68 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre not to win to nil | 91.1% | 92.0% | 83.9% | 1.10× | 1.09 |
| Toulouse not to win to nil | 66.2% | 69.6% | 76.3% | 0.91× | 1.44 |
| Toulouse to win to nil | 33.8% | 30.4% | 23.7% | 1.28× | 3.29 |
| Le Havre to win to nil | 8.9% | 8.0% | 16.1% | 0.50× | 12.54 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse by 1 | 24.5% | 24.2% | 20.7% | 1.16× | 4.14 |
| Draw | 21.8% | 24.1% | 22.8% | 1.06× | 4.14 |
| Toulouse by 2 | 18.6% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 1.12× | 5.91 |
| Toulouse by 3+ | 17.4% | 16.9% | 10.0% | 1.70× | 5.91 |
| Le Havre by 1 | 11.8% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 0.78× | 8.48 |
| Le Havre by 2 | 4.3% | 2.7% | 9.8% | 0.28× | 36.94 |
| Le Havre by 3+ | 1.5% | 2.7% | 7.2% | 0.38× | 37.04 |