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Troyes v Paris FC — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 22 August 2026 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2627

Ligue 1 xG

0–0
0.34 – 1.55 xG
Shots
9 – 10
On target
2 – 1
Shots in box
7 – 5
xG per shot
0.04 – 0.16
Set-piece xG
0.18 – 0.00
Goals − xG
-0.34 – -1.56
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.91.31.70'15'30'45'60'75'90'
Troyes 0.34 xGParis FC 1.56 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Renaud Ripart 13' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Set Piece)Iron Gomis 14' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Renaud Ripart 15' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Luca Koleosho 23' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Ilan Kebbal 26' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Renaud Ripart 30' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Ilan Kebbal 31' — Shot On Post (0.03 xG, Open Play)Lassine Sinayoko 31' — Missed Shot (0.42 xG, Open Play)Pablo Pagis 32' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Yvann Titi 42' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Pierre Lees-Melou 43' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Kandet Diawara 44' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Pablo Pagis 45' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Pablo Pagis 52' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Merwan Ifnaoui 59' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Ilan Kebbal 68' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Antoine Mille 76' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Antoine Mille 85' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Zabi Gueu 86' — Missed Shot (0.77 xG, Open Play)
Troyes attacking right Paris FC attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
13' Troyes Renaud Ripart 0.06 Set Piece Missed Shot Merwan Ifnaoui
14' Troyes Iron Gomis 0.03 From Corner Missed Shot Hugo Picard
15' Troyes Renaud Ripart 0.05 From Corner Saved Shot Iron Gomis
23' Paris FC Luca Koleosho 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Adama Camara
26' Paris FC Ilan Kebbal 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Lassine Sinayoko
30' Troyes Renaud Ripart 0.04 Open Play Saved Shot Merwan Ifnaoui
31' Paris FC Ilan Kebbal 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post Rudy Matondo
31' Paris FC Lassine Sinayoko 0.42 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
32' Paris FC Pablo Pagis 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Luca Koleosho
42' Troyes Yvann Titi 0.01 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
43' Paris FC Pierre Lees-Melou 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Ilan Kebbal
44' Troyes Kandet Diawara 0.02 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot Merwan Ifnaoui
45' Paris FC Pablo Pagis 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Lassine Sinayoko
52' Paris FC Pablo Pagis 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Moses Simon
59' Troyes Merwan Ifnaoui 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Kandet Diawara
68' Paris FC Ilan Kebbal 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
76' Troyes Antoine Mille 0.02 Open Play Missed Shot Noah Donkor
85' Troyes Antoine Mille 0.01 From Corner Missed Shot Hugo Picard
86' Paris FC Zabi Gueu 0.77 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Moses Simon

Players

Paris FC

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Ilan Kebbal AMR 90 0 0 3 1 0.13 0.02 1.48
Pierre Lees-Melou DMC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.09
Otávio DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Mamadou Mbow DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Kevin Trapp GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.85
Diego Coppola DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.96
Adama Camara DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.91
Pablo Pagis AMC 81 0 0 3 0 0.20 0.00 0.30
Lassine Sinayoko FW 79 0 0 1 2 0.42 0.12 0.60
Rudy Matondo DMC 63 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.12
Luca Koleosho AML 46 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.07 0.14
Moses Simon Sub 44 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.82 0.82
Maxime Lopez Sub 27 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Omar Sissoko Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.77
Zabi Gueu Sub 9 0 0 1 0 0.77 0.00 0.77

Troyes

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Merwan Ifnaoui FWR 90 0 0 1 3 0.10 0.12 0.13
Patrick Beach GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mouhamed Diop MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Michel Diaz DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Hugo Picard MC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.04 0.04
Anis Ouzenadji DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adrien Monfray DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Renaud Ripart FW 86 0 0 3 0 0.15 0.00 0.04
Iron Gomis MC 76 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.05 0.00
Kandet Diawara FWL 75 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.10 0.10
Yvann Titi DR 55 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.04
Noah Donkor Sub 35 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Antoine Mille Sub 15 0 0 2 0 0.04 0.00 0.02
Alexandre Phliponeau Sub 14 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Yacouba Koné Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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