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TSV Eintracht Braunschweig v Dynamo Dresden — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · GER-2. Bundesliga · 2627

GER-2. Bundesliga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig win
39.1%
model 39.6%
Draw
22.0%
model 24.6%
Dynamo Dresden win
38.8%
model 35.7%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 11.2%
  2. 2-1 8.6%
  3. 1-2 8.1%
  4. 1-0 6.9%
  5. 0-1 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.559.5% Under 2.540.5%
BTTS yes62.1% BTTS no37.9%
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 1+79.5% TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 2+47.1%
Dynamo Dresden 1+77.6% Dynamo Dresden 2+44.1%

Expected goals 1.59 – 1.50. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
22/100
Data quality
55/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
2-6 goals
Multi goal · usually 76%
78.9% fair odds 1.27
moderate signal · 2095 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig (2:0)
Handicap 2:0 · usually 87%
83.1% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 326 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out TSV Eintracht Braunschweig.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • The model's measured edge in this competition is 0.0041 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this

The price

TSV Eintracht Braunschweig have an estimated 39.1% win probability, against 38.8% for Dynamo Dresden and 22.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.59 for TSV Eintracht Braunschweig and 1.50 for Dynamo Dresden.

Why TSV Eintracht Braunschweig

Nothing in the data singles out TSV Eintracht Braunschweig.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.0%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.59 to 1.50. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Dynamo Dresden can win

Dynamo Dresden carry the stronger rating, 1472 Elo against 1424.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for TSV Eintracht Braunschweig, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Dynamo Dresden, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

TSV Eintracht Braunschweig: 43% possession, 14.6 shots a match, 15.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Dynamo Dresden: 56% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. TSV Eintracht Braunschweig's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

TSV Eintracht Braunschweig are the model's most likely outcome at 39.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.2%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.59–1.50 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.65–1.51 1-1 11% 61% 63%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to win 40.9% 43.0% 43.1% 1.00× 2.33
Dynamo Dresden to win 34.9% 30.4% 31.2% 0.97× 3.29
Draw 24.2% 24.5% 25.9% 0.94× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig & both teams score 23.4% 21.9% 22.2% 0.99× 4.57
Dynamo Dresden & both teams score 20.3% 21.9% 18.1% 1.21× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 19.6% 17.9% 19.7% 0.91× 5.58
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig & not both score 17.5% 17.9% 21.1% 0.85× 5.58
Dynamo Dresden & not both score 14.6% 13.3% 13.3% 1.00× 7.54
Draw & not both score 4.6% 4.9% 6.4% 0.76× 20.55
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig & over 1.5 34.3% 30.9% 34.3% 0.90× 3.24
Dynamo Dresden & over 1.5 28.8% 26.0% 25.9% 1.01× 3.84
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig & over 2.5 28.5% 26.0% 27.8% 0.94× 3.84
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig & under 3.5 24.3% 21.7% 27.8% 0.78× 4.62
Dynamo Dresden & over 2.5 24.0% 21.7% 22.2% 0.98× 4.62
Dynamo Dresden & under 3.5 21.3% 21.7% 21.1% 1.03× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 19.6% 18.0% 19.7% 0.92× 5.56
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig & over 3.5 16.6% 18.0% 15.4% 1.16× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 15.5% 18.0% 16.8% 1.07× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 15.5% 18.0% 16.8% 1.07× 5.56
Dynamo Dresden & over 3.5 13.6% 12.9% 10.3% 1.25× 7.77
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig & under 2.5 12.4% 12.9% 15.4% 0.83× 7.77
Dynamo Dresden & under 2.5 10.9% 12.9% 9.2% 1.40× 7.77
Draw & over 2.5 8.7% 7.9% 9.2% 0.86× 12.69
Draw & over 3.5 8.7% 7.9% 9.2% 0.86× 12.69
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig & under 1.5 6.6% 7.9% 8.9% 0.89× 12.70
Dynamo Dresden & under 1.5 6.0% 7.9% 5.5% 1.44× 12.70
Draw & under 1.5 4.6% 4.8% 6.4% 0.75× 20.93
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig (1UP) 59.4% 58.2% 1.72
Dynamo Dresden (1UP) 54.3% 52.7% 1.90
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig (2UP) 40.9% 47.5% 2.11
Dynamo Dresden (2UP) 34.9% 31.1% 3.22
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to win 2nd half 34.7% 34.6% 2.89
Dynamo Dresden to win 2nd half 32.8% 34.5% 2.90
2nd half drawn 32.6% 34.5% 2.90
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dynamo Dresden (+2.5) 91.3% 92.1% 90.6% 1.02× 1.09
Dynamo Dresden (+1.5) 78.9% 78.4% 77.7% 1.01× 1.28
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig (+0.5) 65.1% 68.7% 68.8% 1.00× 1.46
Dynamo Dresden (+0.5) 59.1% 57.0% 56.9% 1.00× 1.75
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig (-0.5) 40.9% 43.0% 43.1% 1.00× 2.33
Dynamo Dresden (-0.5) 34.9% 31.3% 31.2% 1.00× 3.19
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig (-1.5) 21.1% 21.6% 22.3% 0.97× 4.64
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig (-2.5) 8.7% 7.9% 9.4% 0.85× 12.62
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dynamo Dresden to concede 80.9% 81.3% 80.5% 1.01× 1.23
Dynamo Dresden clean sheet 19.1% 18.7% 19.5% 0.96× 5.34
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dynamo Dresden clean sheet in 1st half 49.1% 50.8% 1.97
Dynamo Dresden to concede in 1st half 50.9% 49.2% 2.03
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dynamo Dresden over 2.5 corners 86.0% 85.2% 1.17
Dynamo Dresden over 3.5 corners 73.6% 71.6% 1.40
Dynamo Dresden under 6.5 corners 67.9% 67.5% 1.48
Dynamo Dresden over 4.5 corners 59.2% 57.1% 1.75
Dynamo Dresden under 5.5 corners 55.2% 57.1% 1.75
Dynamo Dresden over 5.5 corners 44.8% 42.9% 2.33
Dynamo Dresden under 4.5 corners 40.8% 42.9% 2.33
Dynamo Dresden over 6.5 corners 32.1% 32.5% 3.08
Dynamo Dresden under 3.5 corners 26.4% 28.4% 3.52
Dynamo Dresden under 2.5 corners 14.0% 14.8% 6.75
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dynamo Dresden under 3.5 goals 93.3% 92.3% 94.5% 0.98× 1.08
Dynamo Dresden under 2.5 goals 80.6% 81.4% 83.6% 0.97× 1.23
Dynamo Dresden over 0.5 goals 78.0% 76.2% 72.7% 1.05× 1.31
Dynamo Dresden under 1.5 goals 55.4% 59.5% 60.2% 0.99× 1.68
Dynamo Dresden over 1.5 goals 44.6% 40.5% 39.8% 1.02× 2.47
Dynamo Dresden under 0.5 goals 22.0% 23.8% 27.3% 0.87× 4.21
Dynamo Dresden over 2.5 goals 19.4% 18.6% 16.4% 1.14× 5.37
Dynamo Dresden over 3.5 goals 6.7% 7.7% 5.5% 1.40× 13.04
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dynamo Dresden under 1.5 in 1st half 87.7% 89.1% 1.12
Dynamo Dresden under 0.5 in 1st half 54.6% 56.3% 1.78
Dynamo Dresden over 0.5 in 1st half 45.4% 43.7% 2.29
Dynamo Dresden over 1.5 in 1st half 12.3% 10.9% 9.14
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig (away no bet) 62.8% 62.1% 62.4% 0.99× 1.61
Draw (away no bet) 37.2% 37.9% 37.6% 1.01× 2.64
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dynamo Dresden even goals 52.4% 52.8% 54.1% 0.98× 1.89
Dynamo Dresden odd goals 47.6% 47.2% 45.9% 1.03× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 79.1% 82.3% 1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals 20.9% 17.7% 5.65
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 72.3% 67.3% 1.49
Both halves under 1.5 goals 27.7% 32.7% 3.06
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 63.2% 59.9% 1.67
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to score 2+ in a row 38.7% 36.5% 2.74
Dynamo Dresden to score 2+ in a row 33.9% 29.0% 3.44
Either team to score 3+ in a row 24.4% 19.6% 5.11
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to score 3+ in a row 13.9% 12.2% 8.19
Dynamo Dresden to score 3+ in a row 11.0% 12.1% 8.24
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig corners (+3.5) 82.4% 79.7% 1.25
Dynamo Dresden corners (+3.5) 80.3% 79.7% 1.25
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig corners (+2.5) 75.1% 74.9% 1.34
Dynamo Dresden corners (+2.5) 72.7% 70.7% 1.41
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig corners (+1.5) 66.4% 65.8% 1.52
Dynamo Dresden corners (+1.5) 63.6% 61.9% 1.62
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig corners (-1.5) 36.4% 38.1% 2.63
Dynamo Dresden corners (-1.5) 33.6% 34.2% 2.92
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig corners (-2.5) 27.3% 29.3% 3.42
Dynamo Dresden corners (-2.5) 24.9% 25.1% 3.98
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig corners (-3.5) 19.7% 20.3% 4.93
Dynamo Dresden corners (-3.5) 17.7% 20.3% 4.94
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 42.7% 38.7% 2.59
9-11 corners 29.5% 31.2% 3.20
0-8 corners 27.9% 31.2% 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 80.8% 80.8% 1.24
Over 8.5 corners 72.1% 72.6% 1.38
Under 12.5 corners 66.4% 67.7% 1.48
Over 9.5 corners 62.5% 63.4% 1.58
Under 11.5 corners 57.4% 57.8% 1.73
Over 10.5 corners 52.4% 53.3% 1.88
Under 10.5 corners 47.6% 46.7% 2.14
Over 11.5 corners 42.7% 42.2% 2.37
Under 9.5 corners 37.5% 36.6% 2.73
Over 12.5 corners 33.6% 32.3% 3.09
Under 8.5 corners 27.9% 27.4% 3.66
Under 7.5 corners 19.2% 19.3% 5.20
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 10.9% 11.5% 10.6% 1.08× 8.73
2-1 8.7% 7.4% 8.7% 0.85× 13.48
1-0 6.6% 7.4% 8.9% 0.83× 13.48
1-2 8.0% 7.4% 9.0% 0.82× 13.48
2-2 6.6% 7.4% 7.2% 1.03× 13.48
0-1 6.0% 7.4% 5.5% 1.36× 13.48
2-0 5.8% 7.4% 6.7% 1.11× 13.48
0-2 4.8% 1.7% 3.9% 0.44× 58.46
3-1 4.8% 1.7% 5.5% 0.31× 58.46
4-1 2.0% 1.7% 2.0% 0.84× 58.48
4-2 1.5% 1.7% 0.8% 2.19× 58.48
4-3 0.8% 1.7% 0.6% 2.74× 58.49
4-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.3% 5.48× 58.49
Any other score 4.5% 1.7% 5.5% 0.31× 58.46
0-0 4.6% 1.7% 6.4% 0.27× 58.46
0-3 2.4% 1.7% 3.1% 0.55× 58.48
0-4 0.9% 1.7% 1.1% 1.57× 58.48
1-3 4.0% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.47
1-4 1.5% 1.7% 0.9% 1.83× 58.48
2-3 3.3% 1.7% 2.8% 0.61× 58.47
2-4 1.3% 1.7% 0.8% 2.19× 58.48
3-0 3.2% 1.7% 3.9% 0.44× 58.47
3-2 3.6% 1.7% 3.1% 0.55× 58.47
3-3 1.8% 1.7% 2.0% 0.84× 58.48
3-4 0.7% 1.7% 0.9% 1.83× 58.49
4-0 1.3% 1.7% 0.9% 1.83× 58.48
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig leading at HT (DNB) 55.4% 57.5% 1.74
Dynamo Dresden leading at HT (DNB) 44.6% 42.5% 2.36
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig or Dynamo Dresden (12) 75.8% 75.5% 74.1% 1.02× 1.32
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig or draw (1X) 65.1% 69.6% 68.8% 1.01× 1.44
Dynamo Dresden or draw (X2) 59.1% 57.0% 56.9% 1.00× 1.75
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig or draw at HT 73.2% 74.4% 1.35
Dynamo Dresden or draw at HT 66.6% 66.4% 1.51
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig or Dynamo Dresden at HT 60.2% 62.0% 1.61
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig or draw (1UP) 65.1% 75.8% 1.32
Dynamo Dresden or draw (1UP) 59.1% 62.8% 1.59
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig or Dynamo Dresden in 2nd half 67.4% 65.5% 1.53
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig or draw in 2nd half 67.2% 65.5% 1.53
Dynamo Dresden or draw in 2nd half 65.3% 65.5% 1.53
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 59.0% 58.1% 1.72
Neither half drawn 41.0% 41.9% 2.39
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig (DNB) 54.0% 51.0% 58.0% 0.88× 1.96
Dynamo Dresden (DNB) 46.0% 49.0% 42.0% 1.17× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to score first 49.8% 45.7% 2.19
Dynamo Dresden to score first 45.6% 45.4% 2.20
No goal scored 4.6% 4.3% 23.18
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 63.4% 56.5% 59.6% 0.95× 1.77
Not both teams to score 36.6% 43.5% 40.4% 1.08× 2.30
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 52.5% 47.1% 49.1% 0.96× 2.13
Not both score & under 2.5 27.8% 33.6% 30.7% 1.09× 2.98
Both score & under 2.5 10.9% 12.3% 10.6% 1.16× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 8.8% 8.4% 9.8% 0.85× 11.95
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 78.1% 79.9% 80.5% 0.99× 1.25
Both teams to score 2+ 22.0% 20.1% 19.5% 1.03× 4.99
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 63.5% 66.1% 1.51
Both teams to score in 2nd half 36.5% 33.9% 2.95
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 48.7% 53.5% 1.87
Both score 2nd half only 28.1% 26.5% 3.77
Both score 1st half only 14.7% 10.8% 9.27
Both score in both halves 8.4% 6.8% 14.68
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 76.9% 81.5% 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 23.1% 18.5% 5.40
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 61.8% 58.8% 1.70
A half without a goal 38.2% 41.2% 2.43
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 43.8% 42.1% 45.1% 0.93× 2.37
4-6 goals 34.7% 30.8% 30.6% 1.01× 3.25
0-1 goals 17.2% 20.2% 20.4% 0.99× 4.96
7+ goals 4.2% 1.8% 4.2% 0.44× 54.36
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dynamo Dresden to score exactly 1 33.3% 33.8% 33.1% 1.02× 2.96
Dynamo Dresden to score exactly 2 25.2% 27.4% 23.6% 1.16× 3.65
Dynamo Dresden to score exactly 0 22.0% 22.4% 27.3% 0.82× 4.46
Dynamo Dresden to score 3+ 19.4% 19.6% 16.4% 1.20× 5.11
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to score exactly 1 31.7% 32.6% 31.8% 1.03× 3.06
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to score exactly 2 26.2% 26.5% 26.4% 1.01× 3.77
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to score 3+ 23.0% 23.2% 22.6% 1.03× 4.30
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to score exactly 0 19.1% 18.9% 19.5% 0.97× 5.29
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 39.8% 38.0% 2.63
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig leading at HT 33.4% 33.6% 2.98
Dynamo Dresden leading at HT 26.8% 25.6% 3.90
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig -1: 2 59.1% 56.7% 1.76
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig -1: 1 21.1% 23.6% 4.24
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig -1: X 19.8% 17.5% 5.71
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dynamo Dresden (0:1) 59.1% 55.9% 56.9% 0.98× 1.79
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig (0:1) 21.1% 24.3% 22.3% 1.09× 4.12
Draw (0:1) 19.8% 17.8% 20.9% 0.85× 5.62
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dynamo Dresden (0:2) 78.9% 79.5% 77.7% 1.02× 1.26
Draw (0:2) 12.4% 11.0% 13.1% 0.84× 9.12
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig (0:2) 8.7% 7.7% 9.4% 0.83× 12.94
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dynamo Dresden (0:3) 91.3% 92.6% 90.6% 1.02× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 5.7% 5.8% 5.9% 0.98× 17.19
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig (0:3) 3.0% 2.4% 3.6% 0.66× 42.13
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dynamo Dresden (0:4) 97.0% 98.1% 96.4% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.1% 1.2% 2.0% 0.59× 83.43
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig (0:4) 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 0.70× 83.58
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig (1:0) 65.1% 69.9% 68.8% 1.02× 1.43
Draw (1:0) 18.1% 17.0% 18.1% 0.94× 5.87
Dynamo Dresden (1:0) 16.7% 17.0% 13.3% 1.28× 5.87
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig (2:0) 83.3% 84.5% 86.7% 0.97× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 10.3% 10.4% 7.2% 1.44× 9.65
Dynamo Dresden (2:0) 6.4% 6.5% 6.2% 1.03× 15.50
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 49.7% 48.2% 2.08
1st half highest scoring 27.1% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 23.2% 24.1% 4.15
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to concede 78.0% 76.0% 72.7% 1.04× 1.32
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig clean sheet 22.0% 24.0% 27.3% 0.88× 4.16
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig clean sheet in 1st half 54.6% 56.3% 1.78
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to concede in 1st half 45.4% 43.7% 2.29
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig over 2.5 corners 87.0% 86.3% 1.16
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig over 3.5 corners 75.2% 76.5% 1.31
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig under 6.5 corners 65.9% 66.7% 1.50
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig over 4.5 corners 61.2% 62.3% 1.61
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig under 5.5 corners 53.1% 52.8% 1.90
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig over 5.5 corners 46.9% 47.2% 2.12
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig under 4.5 corners 38.8% 37.7% 2.65
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig over 6.5 corners 34.1% 33.3% 3.00
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig under 3.5 corners 24.8% 23.5% 4.26
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig under 2.5 corners 13.0% 13.7% 7.29
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig under 3.5 goals 91.4% 92.2% 92.4% 1.00× 1.08
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig over 0.5 goals 80.9% 82.1% 80.5% 1.02× 1.22
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig under 2.5 goals 77.0% 77.7% 77.4% 1.00× 1.29
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig under 1.5 goals 50.8% 53.2% 51.2% 1.04× 1.88
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig over 1.5 goals 49.2% 46.8% 48.8% 0.96× 2.14
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig over 2.5 goals 23.0% 22.3% 22.6% 0.98× 4.49
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig under 0.5 goals 19.1% 17.9% 19.5% 0.92× 5.59
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig over 3.5 goals 8.6% 7.8% 7.6% 1.01× 12.90
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig under 1.5 in 1st half 84.0% 84.4% 1.19
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig under 0.5 in 1st half 49.1% 50.9% 1.96
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig over 0.5 in 1st half 50.9% 49.1% 2.04
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig over 1.5 in 1st half 16.0% 15.6% 6.39
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dynamo Dresden (home no bet) 59.0% 56.7% 54.6% 1.04× 1.76
Draw (home no bet) 41.0% 43.3% 45.4% 0.95× 2.31
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig even goals 51.8% 50.6% 50.9% 1.00× 1.98
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig odd goals 48.2% 49.4% 49.1% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 26.9% 28.8% 3.47
HT 1-0 19.0% 18.8% 5.33
HT 0-1 16.2% 18.7% 5.35
HT 1-1 11.6% 10.9% 9.16
HT 2-0 6.8% 7.1% 14.05
Any other HT score 5.8% 7.1% 14.07
HT 0-2 4.9% 2.3% 43.25
HT 2-1 4.1% 2.3% 43.31
HT 1-2 3.5% 2.3% 43.35
HT 2-2 1.2% 2.3% 43.52
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig at HT / TSV Eintracht Braunschweig at FT 24.6% 21.9% 4.57
Dynamo Dresden at HT / Dynamo Dresden at FT 19.1% 16.8% 5.96
Draw at HT / TSV Eintracht Braunschweig at FT 13.6% 12.7% 7.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 13.4% 12.7% 7.89
Draw at HT / Dynamo Dresden at FT 12.8% 12.7% 7.89
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig at HT / Draw at FT 5.8% 6.0% 16.71
Dynamo Dresden at HT / Draw at FT 5.1% 6.0% 16.74
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig at HT / Dynamo Dresden at FT 3.0% 3.5% 28.85
Dynamo Dresden at HT / TSV Eintracht Braunschweig at FT 2.7% 3.5% 28.86
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to score last 49.8% 46.8% 2.14
Dynamo Dresden to score last 45.6% 46.6% 2.15
No goal scored 4.6% 4.3% 23.18
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 95.4% 95.6% 1.05
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to lead by 1 at any time 59.4% 55.2% 1.81
Dynamo Dresden to lead by 1 at any time 54.3% 50.7% 1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 52.4% 50.7% 1.97
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to lead by 2 at any time 28.7% 25.5% 3.92
Dynamo Dresden to lead by 2 at any time 24.1% 19.6% 5.09
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 20.1% 19.6% 5.11
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to lead by 3 at any time 11.4% 10.5% 9.57
Dynamo Dresden to lead by 3 at any time 8.7% 6.7% 15.00
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig most corners 46.3% 46.9% 2.13
Dynamo Dresden most corners 43.4% 43.5% 2.30
Corners level 10.3% 10.4% 9.62
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 85.3% 87.4% 84.6% 1.03× 1.14
2-6 goals 78.5% 78.6% 75.5% 1.04× 1.27
1-4 goals 74.1% 72.4% 75.5% 0.96× 1.38
2-5 goals 72.6% 72.4% 70.5% 1.03× 1.38
2-4 goals 61.5% 63.4% 61.5% 1.03× 1.58
3-6 goals 57.0% 59.2% 54.8% 1.08× 1.69
1-3 goals 56.5% 59.2% 59.1% 1.00× 1.69
3-5 goals 51.1% 53.2% 49.8% 1.07× 1.88
2-3 goals 43.8% 43.6% 45.1% 0.97× 2.30
3-4 goals 40.0% 39.2% 40.7% 0.96× 2.55
4-6 goals 34.7% 35.4% 30.6% 1.16× 2.83
1-2 goals 34.2% 35.4% 34.9% 1.01× 2.83
4-5 goals 28.8% 30.3% 25.6% 1.18× 3.31
5-6 goals 17.1% 18.6% 14.2% 1.31× 5.37
7+ goals 4.2% 2.6% 4.2% 0.61× 39.14
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig never behind 41.1% 48.2% 2.08
Dynamo Dresden never behind 36.0% 44.6% 2.24
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 49.2% 50.8% 50.5% 1.01× 1.97
Even number of goals 50.8% 49.2% 49.5% 0.99× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 53.7% 51.7% 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 46.3% 48.3% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.5% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.5% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 95.4% 95.5% 93.6% 1.02× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 89.9% 87.7% 90.8% 0.97× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 82.8% 82.4% 79.6% 1.04× 1.21
Under 4.5 goals 78.7% 77.4% 81.7% 0.95× 1.29
Over 2.5 goals 61.3% 61.7% 58.8% 1.05× 1.62
Under 3.5 goals 61.0% 61.7% 65.4% 0.94× 1.62
Over 3.5 goals 39.0% 38.3% 34.6% 1.10× 2.61
Under 2.5 goals 38.7% 38.3% 41.2% 0.93× 2.61
Over 4.5 goals 21.3% 22.6% 18.3% 1.24× 4.42
Under 1.5 goals 17.2% 17.6% 20.4% 0.86× 5.68
Over 5.5 goals 10.1% 12.3% 9.2% 1.34× 8.10
Under 0.5 goals 4.6% 4.5% 6.4% 0.70× 22.19
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 95.5% 97.2% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 88.6% 86.8% 89.9% 0.97× 1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 78.0% 75.9% 74.2% 1.02× 1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 74.1% 72.6% 78.2% 0.93× 1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 50.1% 51.8% 45.7% 1.13× 1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 49.9% 48.2% 54.3% 0.89× 2.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 25.9% 27.4% 21.8% 1.26× 3.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 22.0% 24.1% 25.8% 0.93× 4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 11.4% 13.2% 10.1% 1.31× 7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 4.5% 2.8% 4.4% 0.63× 36.09
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 85.4% 88.9% 1.13
Over 0.5 in 1st half 73.1% 71.2% 1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half 62.1% 63.6% 1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half 37.9% 36.4% 2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half 26.9% 28.8% 3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half 14.6% 11.1% 9.01
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 84.1% 82.9% 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 71.7% 77.7% 1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 55.3% 54.8% 1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 44.7% 45.2% 2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 28.3% 22.3% 4.48
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 15.9% 17.1% 5.84
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dynamo Dresden not to score in both halves 72.9% 73.8% 1.36
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig not to score in both halves 69.0% 70.5% 1.42
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to score in both halves 31.0% 29.5% 3.40
Dynamo Dresden to score in both halves 27.1% 26.2% 3.82
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 63.4% 60.3% 59.6% 1.01× 1.66
Only TSV Eintracht Braunschweig scores 17.5% 16.1% 21.1% 0.76× 6.22
Only Dynamo Dresden scores 14.6% 10.9% 13.3% 0.83× 9.14
Neither team scores 4.6% 4.6% 6.4% 0.72× 21.79
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.3% 22.6% 24.3% 0.93× 4.42
Exactly 2 goals 21.5% 22.6% 20.9% 1.08× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 17.7% 17.4% 16.5% 1.05× 5.74
Exactly 1 goals 12.7% 12.1% 14.2% 0.85× 8.27
Exactly 5 goals 11.2% 12.1% 9.2% 1.31× 8.28
6 or more goals 10.1% 12.1% 9.2% 1.31× 8.28
Exactly 0 goals 4.6% 4.4% 6.4% 0.69× 22.65
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 55.3% 53.2% 1.88
1 goal in 2nd half 28.9% 29.9% 3.35
No goals in 2nd half 15.9% 17.1% 5.85
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dynamo Dresden not to win both halves 91.2% 93.9% 1.07
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig not to win both halves 88.4% 87.9% 1.14
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to win both halves 11.6% 12.1% 8.29
Dynamo Dresden to win both halves 8.8% 6.1% 16.42
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to win either half 56.4% 59.4% 1.68
Dynamo Dresden to win either half 50.8% 54.9% 1.82
Dynamo Dresden to win neither half 49.2% 45.1% 2.22
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to win neither half 43.6% 40.6% 2.47
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Dynamo Dresden not to win to nil 85.4% 88.2% 86.7% 1.02× 1.13
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig not to win to nil 82.5% 83.0% 78.9% 1.05× 1.20
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to win to nil 17.5% 17.0% 21.1% 0.81× 5.89
Dynamo Dresden to win to nil 14.6% 11.8% 13.3% 0.89× 8.48
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 24.2% 24.2% 25.9% 0.93× 4.14
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig by 1 19.8% 16.9% 20.9% 0.81× 5.91
Dynamo Dresden by 1 18.1% 16.9% 18.1% 0.94× 5.91
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig by 2 12.4% 11.8% 13.1% 0.90× 8.48
Dynamo Dresden by 2 10.3% 11.8% 7.2% 1.64× 8.48
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig by 3+ 8.7% 7.3% 9.4% 0.78× 13.78
Dynamo Dresden by 3+ 6.4% 7.3% 6.2% 1.16× 13.79
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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