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Udinese v Como — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 September 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

1–0
1.18 – 1.66 xG
Shots
10 – 21
On target
2 – 4
Shots in box
7 – 15
xG per shot
0.12 – 0.08
Set-piece xG
0.19 – 1.11
Goals − xG
-0.18 – -1.66
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.50.91.41.90'15'30'45'60'75'90'Brenner 42' — goal
Udinese 1.18 xGComo 1.66 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Andrea Belotti 3' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Kingsley Ehizibue 10' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Lucas Da Cunha 16' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Luca Mazzitelli 24' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Andrea Belotti 31' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Patrick Cutrone 32' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Lorenzo Lucca 33' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Máximo Perrone 39' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Brenner 42' — Goal (0.09 xG, Open Play)Lucas Da Cunha 44' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Florian Thauvin 44' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Gabriel Strefezza 47' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Lucas Da Cunha 48' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Gabriel Strefezza 50' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Patrick Cutrone 50' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Brenner 56' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Jaka Bijol 58' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Marc-Oliver Kempf 59' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Nico Paz 70' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Keinan Davis 73' — Missed Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Alieu Fadera 76' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Nico Paz 76' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Iker Bravo 83' — Blocked Shot (0.57 xG, Open Play)Jaka Bijol 83' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Alessandro Gabrielloni 86' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Marc-Oliver Kempf 87' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, From Corner)Patrick Cutrone 87' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, From Corner)Marc-Oliver Kempf 91' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Set Piece)Patrick Cutrone 94' — Missed Shot (0.76 xG, )Nico Paz 98' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Set Piece)Keinan Davis 100' — Missed Shot (0.12 xG, Set Piece)
Udinese attacking right Como attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
3' Como Andrea Belotti 0.03 Open Play Missed Shot Lucas Da Cunha
10' Udinese Kingsley Ehizibue 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Sandi Lovric
16' Como Lucas Da Cunha 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
24' Como Luca Mazzitelli 0.03 Open Play Missed Shot
31' Como Andrea Belotti 0.05 Open Play Missed Shot Alberto Moreno
32' Como Patrick Cutrone 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
33' Udinese Lorenzo Lucca 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
39' Como Máximo Perrone 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Luca Mazzitelli
42' Udinese Brenner 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Goal Kingsley Ehizibue
44' Como Lucas Da Cunha 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
44' Udinese Florian Thauvin 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Lorenzo Lucca
47' Como Gabriel Strefezza 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Andrea Belotti
48' Como Lucas Da Cunha 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Máximo Perrone
50' Como Gabriel Strefezza 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Luca Mazzitelli
50' Como Patrick Cutrone 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
56' Udinese Brenner 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
58' Udinese Jaka Bijol 0.01 From Corner Saved Shot Florian Thauvin
59' Como Marc-Oliver Kempf 0.04 From Corner Saved Shot Lucas Da Cunha
70' Como Nico Paz 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Alberto Moreno
73' Udinese Keinan Davis 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Iker Bravo
76' Como Alieu Fadera 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Máximo Perrone
76' Como Nico Paz 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
83' Udinese Iker Bravo 0.57 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Kingsley Ehizibue
83' Udinese Jaka Bijol 0.06 From Corner Missed Shot Jesper Karlström
86' Como Alessandro Gabrielloni 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Alberto Moreno
87' Como Marc-Oliver Kempf 0.11 From Corner Blocked Shot Sergi Roberto
87' Como Patrick Cutrone 0.07 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot
91' Como Marc-Oliver Kempf 0.05 Set Piece Blocked Shot Sergi Roberto
94' Como Patrick Cutrone 0.76 Right Foot Missed Shot
98' Como Nico Paz 0.08 Set Piece Saved Shot Ignace Van der Brempt
100' Udinese Keinan Davis 0.13 Set Piece Missed Shot Martín Payero

Players

Udinese

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Jaka Bijol DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.07 0.00 0.69
Kingsley Ehizibue DMR 90 0 1 1 2 0.02 0.67 0.83
Maduka Okoye GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Lautaro Giannetti DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jesper Karlström MC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.00
Jordan Zemura DML 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.67
Christian Kabasele DC 85 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sandi Lovric MC 81 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.32
Brenner AMC 72 1 0 2 0 0.16 0.00 0.16
Florian Thauvin AMC 72 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.01 0.18
Lorenzo Lucca FW 71 0 0 1 1 0.09 0.03 0.18
Keinan Davis Sub 19 0 0 2 0 0.24 0.00 0.12
Iker Bravo Sub 18 0 0 1 1 0.57 0.12 0.69
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp Sub 18 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.69
Martín Payero Sub 9 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.13 0.00
Thomas Thiesson Kristensen Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Como

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Patrick Cutrone FW 90 0 0 4 0 0.88 0.00 0.05
Marc-Oliver Kempf DC 90 0 0 3 0 0.20 0.00 0.05
Máximo Perrone DMC 90 0 0 1 2 0.09 0.05 0.25
Alberto Dossena DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Alberto Moreno DL 90 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.16 0.33
José Reina GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.13
Gabriel Strefezza AMC 85 0 0 2 0 0.04 0.00 0.19
Lucas Da Cunha AMC 65 0 0 3 2 0.10 0.07 0.30
Andrea Belotti FW 65 0 0 2 1 0.08 0.03 0.12
Luca Mazzitelli DMC 65 0 0 1 2 0.03 0.11 0.14
Alessio Iovine DR 48 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ignace Van der Brempt Sub 42 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.08 0.09
Nico Paz Sub 25 0 0 3 0 0.12 0.00 0.07
Alieu Fadera Sub 25 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.14
Sergi Roberto Sub 25 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.16 0.11
Alessandro Gabrielloni Sub 5 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.08
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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